Short-season ball kicked off on Friday, allowing us to dig even deeper into the prospect player pool for some performance data. Short-season is a melting pot of players. You’ll get your injury recovery guys, your recent draftees, and your teenagers getting their first taste of pro ball. It’s also a great season to follow if you happen to live close to one of these parks. Small, intimate stadiums, cheap prices, good food, and good baseball. That’s what it’s all about, especially if you’re a dad teaching your son or daughter about the Game for the first time. By and by, Happy Father’s Day to all the dads reading this today. Here’s what’s happening around the minor leagues…
Bobby Bradley, 1B | CLE – 2-for-5 with two homers. This is getting a bit ridiculous. I guess the Indians are doing just enough to not warrant a call to the majors, but I’m honestly puzzled why Bradley isn’t playing for Cleveland instead of Columbus at this point. Once he’s up, he’ll be a cheap source of power, albeit with high strikeout rates and a poor average.
Yusniel Diaz, OF | BAL – 2-for-4 with homer, and a homer in three straight. Here’s my take on Diaz from the preseason, where I ranked him the top prospect in the Orioles system: “Diaz was arguably the best piece in the return for Manny Machado last year. He’s close to the majors which means he could have some redraft value. His floor is also relatively high after playing pro ball in Cuba and demonstrating average or better tools across the board. He’s not elite, but a guy who can hit .280 with 15/15 potential is useful in fantasy. He posted an outstanding 14% walk rate and 16% strikeout rate in 2018.” This year, he’s back from a hamstring injury and posting the same solid walk and strikeout rates as a year ago.
Drew Waters, OF | ATL – 4-for-5 with a homer, hitting .335 on the year. The 20-year-old Waters now has four homers and ten steals on the season for the Double-A Mississippi Braves. Waters checked in at number six in the Braves preseason top ten. He looks like a 10/20 type if everything works out and I’d invest in most dynasty formats if you haven’t already.
Rogelio Armenteros, RHP | HOU – Three innings pitched with three strikeouts, no walks, and the save in his major league debut. Here’s what I said about Armenteros in the offseason, where I ranked him fourth in a deep Astros system: “Spending the entire 2018 season at Triple-A Fresno, Armenteros logged 118 innings and struck out 134 batters (10.2 K/9). His best pitch is his change-up, and between his big build (6’1?/220), his experience (over 400 MiLB innings), and his reported feel for his entire arsenal, he looks like an easy bet to carve out a role in the rotation as early as this year.” Ok, so he’s not in the rotation. One news outlet said he could be safely ignored in all formats. I’m not so sure about that. I’d definitely keep an eye on him in AL-only leagues and deeper dynasties.
Andrew Vaughn, 1B | CWS – If you’re wondering where my 2019 draft content is, it’s sitting in the bushes waiting for the July 2 international signings so that I can put everything into one comprehensive post. But as a tease, I’ll say that Vaughn is going to be my pick for the best fantasy bat in first-year player drafts. I know that Adley Rutschman went first overall, but that seems like the Orioles are looking for a field general/leader and not the guy that’s going to impact your fantasy offense.
Good stuff as always, Mike!
Couple would you rathers:
Jazz Chisholm or Isan Diaz?
Jordan Yamamoto or Elieser Hernandez?
It’s a 10×10 dynasty FWIW, and I’ve got J-Ram, Story and Polanco as my 2B/SS/MI right now.
Thanks! I’d go Chisholm and Hernandez.
Mike dynasty lg Kikuchi or Canning? Thx
eh, kind of a toss up. I prefer the younger Canning there though.
Been a bit quiet what’s going on with Brujan’s IL stint. Not serious right?
Zack Collins is a guy who’s completely disappeared off prospect radars after being ranked inside top 100 lists when he was drafted. He’s done what was expected and improved behind the dish so what’s the deal? He must be close and I still like him in OBP formats, but is it time to give up and add T lutz instead? I’ve invested 2 years into him so don’t want to give up easily! But I haven’t heard anything about a call.
Haven’t heard anything on Brujan. I’d stay the course with Collins. Catchers just take a while to cook.
Guess the oven timer has just gone off….Collins is up! Guess it just required a threat from me haha. Be interesting to see how much PT he gets. Catchers just devalued in prospect ranks in general I guess?
Nice! Yeah, on fantasy lists they need to have a lot of offensive upside. On regular lists they need to have plus defense/arm. Tough go for backstops.
I can stash Gallen or Cease in a 12-team redraft league.
1) who do you think gets the call first?
2) who do you like more ROS?
Thanks for writing!
Gallen and Gallen.
Cease more beyond this season.
Happy Fathers Day Mike!
Thanks for writing.
Happy Father’s Day Mike!
I’m in a 12-team keeper league and owners have already picked up and lost patience with Keston Hiura & Brendan Rodgers. If you were to stash one for the rest-of-the-season which would you choose? Thank you.
That’s tough…Hiura seems to be about service time, Rodgers seems to be about a logjam. I’d bet on Rodgers being back up as soon as there’s an injury or extended slump (or trade?). Hiura they may let him rot until September unless they trade to clear a position. So I guess I just talked myself into Rodgers for the 2nd half.
That’s the complete opposite of what I was thinking, but your justification for doing so makes sense. I think I might just hold onto Lourdes Gurriel for the time being. Thanks Mike.
No problem. It really is a toss up.
In h2h league I have clevinger coming off DL
Reserves machado , yodan alvarez , Stanton
Pitchers beiber , Flaherty ,price, months, soroka
Treinen, Iglesias and Kimberly
Who do I drop I have bring clevinger off the IL
That I Craig Kimbrel not kimberly
I guess it’s gotta be Kimbrel. I can’t see losing any of those others…
I have Stanton Stanton coming back Tuesday as well! First worlds problems
No problem! Nice!
Thanks for these updates!
I bet Diaz is a Sept call up. Think the O’s have to be managing with the long view of team control as much as possible.
Happy Daddy’s Day!
No problem! Yeah I would agree with that. Probably why we haven’t seen Mounty yet.
Pache or waters nl dynasty league?
Tough one…I’d go Pache
Happy Father’s Day, Mike!
Who will be the Mets 5th starter with Syndergaard out ??? will it be Lugo?? If not whom ??
Maybe A to the Kay?
NL-only keeper, have to drop one of Touki and Minter. They’ve both lost some shine this year, but who do you like more as a cheap dart throw? I could still make a run this year, but thinking more long term.
Touki for me.
What’s your thought on the Mize injury? Is he that fragile? I have a draft coming and wondering if I should be avoiding him.
Can you rank these guys? Mize ,Kelenic, krobinson, Brujan,and Bohm
Sorry can you throw Johnathan India into that mix also. Thanks
Nah, this is just what you get with pitching prospects. They hum along and then next thing you know they’re out. I’d go for hitters in your draft. Much more reliable.
Kelenic, Brujan, Bohm, Mize, Robinson
India I’d slot between Bohm and Mize.
Thanks….curious for long term upside…Brayan Rocchio or Antoni Flores?
No problem…prefer Flores by a smidge
Is that because you think he will stick at short?
Nah, cause he has a little more in the power department.
What field player currently in the minors are you picking to have the biggest impact the ROS on a major league roster?
Also your thoughts on Bradley Zimmer?
Thanks for your thought.
I’d go with one of Urias, Bichette, and/or Tucker. They’ll likely be up in that order, with the long term fantasy impact reversed. Looks like Grady Sizemore 2.0 unfortunately.
Hey Mike, thanks for the prospect work – much appreciated! I’m wondering what your thoughts are on Larnach and Madrigal? ETA, ceiling, comps, etc. Thanks!
Thanks! I got this one above I think.
I need power and runs. Should I drop Aguilar for any of them for short and long term? 14 deep mixed keeper.
Got this one above I think.
Should I drop Aguilar for any of these guys? I need power and runs. 14 team deep mixed keeper league.
You could give Bradley a look when he comes up. Also, Luis Urias should be up soon if nobody has stashed him yet.
Short season leagues are finally here … thank freaking Gawd!
Two words: Kristian Robinson — whaddya think?
I have a real fantasy baseball weakness for anyone resembling a well built brick-you-know-what-house who can also run like a gazelle …
Woo hoo! I like him a lot. I skipped him over in my Top 100 this time around because he’s pretty far away, but in the preseason DBacks report I comped him to Eloy, so I’d get on the train now before anybody knows what’s up.
Mike, thanks for the great prospect work! What are you thoughts on Trevor Larnach and Nick Madrigal? Ceiling, comps, eta, etc.
Thanks! I like Madrigal a lot…maybe 5-10 homers, 20+ steals, .300 ceiling…think DJ Lemahieu circa 2015.
Larnach is more a power/RF guy, so you’re hoping for 30 homers and an average around .280, sorta like a Michael Conforto type of profile.
ETAs 2020, you probably won’t see them this season.
Great spec report.
Happy Father’s day to you too!
Signed up for the streamonator and I must say it is wonderful. Thank you all for all the inputs. Invaluable source of great info.
In a redraft, who would you rather have as a bench bat?
I’d go with Biggio
Ina h2h dynasty league would you trade Albies for hiura and? mackenzie g?ore????
Man that’s tempting. Yeah I think I would, especially if this isn’t your year.