One day, late-summer, when your cousin, who you don’t like, started posting her kids going-back-to-school pictures on Facebook and a Russian troll farm began mining said pictures and getting your cousin’s kids to distribute propaganda, your so-called ace, James Paxton, decided to show up and be spoken for, after five months of grueling ‘what’s wrong with him/is there something wrong with him/is there something wrong with us for not accepting James Paxton for who he is’ questions. Yesterday’s Paxton line of 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 hit, 1 walk, 12 Ks, ERA at 4.16, was what we signed up for! (If we signed up for it, I didn’t, but that’s semantics.) If you drill down on Paxton — hey now! — his velocity is relatively samesies; his K/9 is fine; his walks are up (3.4 BB/9); his FIP is the highest it’s been in almost five years and he’s getting choked by the long ball like a zipper on a senior. This looks like poor luck and worse command. For 2020, a lot depends on how much the ball is flying out still, and I imagine a lot, but it’s hard to not think he should rebound, no matter what your cousin’s brats’ leaflets say.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Gary Sanchez – 2-for-3, 3 runs, 3 RBIs and his 33rd and 34th homer, hitting .237. Sanchez has 34 homers and 11 doubles and that’s basically the 2019 stat line in a nutshell and there’s nothing odd about the baseball at all.

Edwin Encarnacion – 2-for-4, 2 runs, 2 RBIs and his 31st homer as he returned from the IL. Edwin can hit homers with a fractured wrist as long as he has his parrot. “Polly want homers!” Chillax, Polly!  “Polly. Wants. Homers.”

Brett Gardner – 1-for-4, 2 RBIs and his 20th homer. Oddly enough, he’s also been thrown out of 20 games. 19 for arguing with umps, once after someone mistakenly thought he was an alien from Mars Attacks! Their exclamation, not mine.

Didi Gregorius – 1-for-4, 2 runs, 3 RBIs and his 14th homer. Member when Aaron Judge hit homers and not “everyone but Aaron Judge?” Good times!

Jack Flaherty – 8 IP, 0 ER, 1 hit, 1 walk, 8 Ks, ERA at 3.14. In his last 70 1/3 IP, his ERA is 0.90. Somewhere, my “reason for drafting German Marquez this year after his huge 2nd half last year” is howling in laughter.

Marcell Ozuna – 2-for-3 and his 25th homer. OZUNA homer and feel brand new. OZUNA love new-OZUNA smell.

Dereck Rodriguez – 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 baserunners, 7 Ks, ERA at 5.15. I was intrigued by Der-Rodri coming into this year for deep leagues, but, at this point, I don’t trust him no matter where he’s pitching or who he’s facing.

Adam Eaton – Out with a bad bone bruise, or if George Thorogood is reading, a bruise that’s bad to the bone.

Juan Soto – 3-for-4, 3 runs, 3 RBIs and his 32nd homer, hitting .299. His name is Sexy Dr. Pepper, but he’s so dependable and more like Classic Coke.

Jacob deGrom – 7 IP, 4 ER, 11 baserunners, 6 Ks, ERA at 2.76 vs. Max Scherzer – 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 baserunners, 7 Ks, ERA at 2.60. Scherzer didn’t look that sharp, but neither pitcher looked as bad as their lines appear. It’s just 2019, man.

Edwin Diaz – 0 IP, 2 ER, ERA at 5.65, 6th blown save, moves record to 1-7, and about a week after the season ends it’s revealed the Mets ignored Diaz when he said his elbow needs surgery. Crazy that Mickey Callaway (or any manager) hitches his wagon to any closer that is clearly leading him to getting fired.

Pete Alonso – 3-for-5, 2 runs, 2 RBIs and his 44th homer. Albombso!

Jeff McNeil – 2-for-5, 2 runs, 3 RBIs and his 18th homer, 2nd homer in as many games, hitting .323. I liked McNeil a lot in the preseason, but all of my preseason enthusiasm for David Fletcher should have been harnessed towards McNeil too.

Brandon Nimmo – 1-for-2, 2 RBIs and a slam (4) and legs (2), hitting well since his return from the IL, but Nimmo’s more of an NL-Only play for now, unless you find yourself in a jam or being flushed down a toilet.

Mike Foltynewicz – 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 baserunners, 2 Ks, ERA at 5.28. Here’s a good comparison:  look at what Verlander just did to the Blew Kays and what Faultyelbowitz did. Obviously, every pitcher isn’t Verlander, but there’s a stark difference.

Rowdy Tellez – 1-for-4 and his 17th homer, and his 2nd homer in as many games. I’m hesitant to shine a hot schmotato light on Tellez, because the Kays could do something inexplicable like start Smoak.

Andrew Benintendi – 2-for-4 and his 13th homer, hitting .283. “We can sell him as chum for the sequel of Sharknado–Wait! Benintendi moved! He’s alive!” Honestly, Benintendi doesn’t have a bad line. Dot dot dot. If this were April!

Rick Porcello – 4 IP, 6 ER, ERA at 5.63. This year’s Porcello’s gone full-Mushaboom. Never go full-Mushaboom.

Nelson Cruz – 1-for-4 and his 35th homer, hitting .310. Nelson Cruz is such a beast and always wildly underrated. Not the type I usually draft, but I think I’m going to go all-in on him next year. You’ve been warned that he will finally have a down year.

Miguel Sano – 2-for-5, 3 RBIs and his 27th homer, in a bit more than half a season (87 games). He’ll start next year still 26 years old and I am going to get so burned by so many Twins next year! Everyone except Buxton. Eff that doode. (Yes, he’ll be the one good Twins hitter next year now. I realize this.)

Mike Clevinger – 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 baserunners, 9 Ks, ERA at 2.71. Clevinger was the AL Pitcher of the Month for August. He held the award and said, “This means so much to me after my early season troubles,” then someone pointed out he was holding up a bucket of Dubble Bubble.

Carlos Carrasco – 1 IP, 4 ER, ERA at 5.51. Okay, are we at all worried that in the middle of the heartwarming story of the year he’s screwing up his arm?

Roberto Perez – 2-for-3, 4 RBIs and his 22nd homer, hitting .228. Ro-Pe is the world’s longest unedited take of why you should punt catchers.

Eloy Jimenez – 3-for-4, 3 RBIs and his 23rd and 24th homer, hitting .252. He’s so quiet this year I’m going to start calling him, The Librarian.

Dylan Cease – 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 baserunners, 11 Ks, ERA at 6.75. Streamonator is barely positive for his next start, but I’d be lying if I said I was trusting Cease at all this year. At best, he’s raising awareness for 2020. Dylan is Cease’ing next year.

Willson Contreras – 2-for-3, 4 RBIs and his 20th homer, as he was activated from the IL. Kevin from ESPN’s “Get Him In Your Lineup” Department said, “When I’m on vacation, I go by the name Skip Hassles.”

Nicholas Castellanos – 2-for-3, 4 RBIs and his 23rd homer, and 37th homer on the Cubs. Coolwhip recently gave you a Nicholas Castellanos breakdown. It was a good read about recent differences between Tigers and Cubs’ Greek God of Hard Contact.

Kyle Schwarber – 3-for-3, 2 runs and his 33rd homer. Yadda-blabbity-bloo, saw an article yesterday that said MLB is strongly considering altering the baseball for the 2021 season. Hahahahahaha–Breathe, Grey! Breathe! Yo, MLB, just stop by Modell’s on the way to the park today and buy some new balls! You don’t need 20 months to get new balls!

Anthony Santander – 2-for-8 and his 17th homer in roughly half a season. In March, I drafted Santander, knowing the O’s weren’t competing, so I figured they’d let Santander play the whole year, and I liked what I saw from him. However, the O’s kept Santander in the minors for over two months. Let’s recap to illustrate not my genius but the O’s stupidity. Santander should’ve been playing the whole year and they’re so dumb for not promoting Mountcastle.

Scott Kingery – 1-for-3 and his 17th homer, hitting .276, and his 2nd homer in as many games. As anyone that owned Kingery in the 1st half of the year can tell you, when Kingery gets hot, he gets scalding. Anoint him King Schmotato.

Jorge Soler – 3-for-3, 2 runs, 3 RBIs and slam (39) and legs (2), hitting .255, as he set the Royals’ home run record. I wonder if in ten years Jorge Soler’s 40+ homer season will be looked at with the same bemusement as Brady Anderson’s 50-homer season. I’d guess no, since he also doesn’t have the sideburns.

Victor Reyes – 4-for-5, 1 RBI, hitting .315, hitting near-.450 in the last week with three steals. Hot schmotato alert!

Nolan Arenado – 2-for-4 and his 37th homer, hitting .312.  I’m going to place the last four years of my tax returns by this open window to signify what a breeze this IRS audit is going to be–NOOOOO!!!  Torenado!

Daniel Murphy – 1-for-4 and his 13th homer, hitting .284. Wow, Murphy and Benintendi homering in the same night. There’s some last place team in your league having a heck of a night!

Julio Urias – 3 IP, 1 ER, ERA at 2.55. When Urias was asked if he could throw more innings the next time out, he slyly winked, and never stopped winking.

Gavin Lux – 1-for-4 as he hit leadoff. Sorry, don’t want to be a Homer Homeystein, but good for Dave Roberts and the Dodgers deserve to win. Screw the Astros and their playing of Josh Reddick over Kyle Tucker. Reddick and his .209 post-All-Star break average with zero homers.

George Springer – Left the game after being carted off the field. Too bad, so sad! Kyle Tucker could have some daylight now!  Though, I am worried, something tells me Hinch will play Tony Kemp over Tucker, and Kemp isn’t even on the Astros anymore.

Carlos Correa – Hitting off a tee. Astros expect him back in time for the 2020 All-Star Game.

Jordan Lyles – 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 baserunners, 2 Ks, ERA at 4.46. Pirates’ starters overall ERA is 18.71; Pirates’ starters off the Pirates: 0.00 ERA.

Mitch Keller – Left yesterday’s start after a line drive hit his wrist. Pirates pitching coach, Ray Searage said, “I tell them pitch to contact. Some of the younger guys don’t know what contact I mean.”

Adam Frazier – 3-for-4, 3 RBIs and his 9th homer, and 2nd homer in as many games. I’m saying hot schmotato through gritted teeth, because the leadoff slot is for…Newman!

Sandy Alcantara – 7 IP, 4 ER, 7 baserunners, 7 Ks, ERA at 4.26. In one deeper league, I grabbed Alcantara for this start, and his next one, which the Streamonator loves. Won’t Sandy be the one you want too?

Jose Urena – 1 IP, 0 ER and his 1st save, ERA at 4.58, as he looks like the new Marlins’ closer, which turns his value to 11, but it’s out of 100.

Justin Upton – 2-for-3 and his 11th homer, and 2nd homer in his last two games. Could be hot, but I’m more curious if Upton’s got a Zombino-type year in him left for 2020, because he’s definitely gonna be all but forgotten in next year’s drafts.

Albert Pujols – 1-for-4 and his 21st homer. This homer was significant because he also has 21 grandkids.

Mike Trout – 1-for-3 and his 44th homer. I hope Trout wins the Home Run Derby this year. That is what we’re witnessing, right? The world’s longest Home Run Derby.

 
  1. toolshed says:
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    Springer going down with a head injury is horrible news, but, tucker came in as a replacement and went 0 for 2. Hinch probably thinks that was his chance and he has seen enough. Tucker has 3 AB’s over 2 games and is 0 for 3. I am sure marisnack will be in there tomorrow. Alvarez and correa were off so Alvarez is an option too. Or they can call up another minor league player to play him instead of tucker. Btw, tucker is never going to hit if he doesn’t get everyday AB’s.

    • bigbear says:
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      Alvarez hasn’t played in the field in NL stadiums (@ MIL). He must be a butcher in the field. I doubt Hinch starts playing him there now. Probably Tucker.

      • Russ says:
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        Alvarez started in the OF on Monday though

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, Marisnick seems like a good bat to play over Tucker, if I’m Hinch

  2. toolshed says:
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    Saw the Mets put up 10 runs sans jd davis so I figured conforto did something. Of course not. What is up with him? He looks like he is getting hot and then is invisible for a couple of weeks. It’s been that way all year. He hasnt been able to sustain any kind of hot streak. His 2nd half numbers are better but I expected so much more and have been waiting for him to go on an extended run. I don’t know if it’s happening this year. Is it me, or are you left with wanting more from him?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Didn’t he have a big game the day before?

      • toolshed says:
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        1 for 5 with a run and 3k

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          In his last 7 games, 2 HRs, 5 RBIs, .286

  3. galica says:
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    Grey!!!

    Excellent report, loved it. You know the day I don’t open with that we have a nuclear holocaust, so I do not dare not open without that. Phew!

    a. So happy I dropped Paxton before his start in LA, three starts ago! The guy has been money ever since, as opposed to the nightmare season he’s had (more or less minus the Ks) when I owned him. I blame it on…

    1. 2019
    2. Rio
    3. My stupid noggin

    b. Abbott and Costello quote of the day for September 4

    Here Come the Co-Eds, 1945. It’s a movie about 2 guys who become caretakers (!!!) at an all-girls college (!!!). And one wonders where psycho killers get their ideas!

    Costello (Oliver Quackenbush): I really don’t like dancing because it’s nothing but hugging set to music.

    Woman in Trailer: What don’t you like about it?

    Costello (Oliver Quackenbush): The music.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, thanks, won’t use launch codes today

      A. It’s definitely 2

      B. Haha, classic flick!

  4. Norman Ginsberg says:
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    Catcher question – Will Smith or Contreras?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Smith for me

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT

  5. Ciwa says:
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    Hi Grey!
    I need two starts in this playoff week, what are the best according to you?

    Stripling vs SF (if he will start)
    Means vs Tex
    Desclafani vs Ari
    Montgomery @ Mia
    Bailey vs Det
    Burke @ Bal
    McKay vs Tor
    Valdez vs Sea
    Duffy @Mia
    Allard @Bal

    And, second question, will you start tomorrow Boyd @KC?
    I like the matchup but I’m really scared about what Boyd did the last few starts.

    Thanks from evertything from Italy!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      McKay and Framber for me.

      I’ll start Boyd.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      DeSclafani, Homer

      I’d start Boyd

  6. BH says:
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    Are you staring any of these guys today:

    Wheeler @ Wash
    Lynn @ Yankees
    Gallen vs SD

    Thanks!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d start all of em

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT

  7. sportivetricks says:
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    YototheYo,

    Who da better stream tonight: Junis v DET or Williams v MIA. Bot likes them both 25.9 and 14.5, respectively . . . but I am iffy on both of them, even in those matchups.

    LurvvvvvvveYas!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Junis for me

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, yo!

      Junis

      Lurves!

  8. Twins Peaker says:
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    With MLB saying they MIGHT introduce modified balls in 2021, how are you tackling pitching in 2020? Assume regression from pitchers? Or will they adapt? What kind of pitchers will succeed….2 pitch pitchers? Or those with 3-4 pitches? Veterans who are crafty enough to adapt?

    I’m in a pts league where we lose 14 pts for every hr surrendered. This season, I’d say 75% of every game I’ve streamed a pitcher, that guy has gotten rocked, despite it being a good matchup. I feel like my staff for next year is okay: Greinke, Paddack, C. Smith, Ohtani, Price and Pablo is decent….but the happy fun ball is frustrating.

    So I get that my question above is broad. Just didn’t know if you had any advice at all

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d guess the guys with more than two pitches will still be more successful. I’m sure Grey is still fading the top pitchers…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m not drafting top starters, they’re all terrible — In a points league, I might let up on that a little, but for every Strasburg there’s a Wade Miley

      • Twins Peaker says:
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        I feel the same way! Anyone can give up a HR quite easily….

        The staff I listed above, plus Will Smith, Josh James, Hector Neris and Ross Stripling is a total of $44 for a total of 10 players….with a $300 budget and Grienke costing $35, which is significantly cheaper than the elites which are at least twice as much. Not comparing to other teams in my league but based on how you think they’ll perform in a pts league, does this look solid?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That looks awesome for that price

          • Twins Peaker says:
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            Thanks. I was considering paying for deGrom or Scherzer, but I’m leaning now towards spending the remaining $225 budget I’ll have with 3 roster spots to fill on elite hitting: Trout, Altuve, etc.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, I’d grab a top bat

  9. dude says:
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    Rays play double header and no mention of any of there bats…oh yea they only scored 4 runs total. Good thing they left N. Lowe on the bench for both. Thought he might have a chance to get some playing time upon call up, especially after the HR, but TB keeps being TB. Assume he’s a drop for re-draft? Also have him in keeper league and curious what you think he can be next year and beyond?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Drop in redraft, I think he can be a top 100 player next year…maybe more.

      • dude says:
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        Yea, everything in his profile looks legit. Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT — I’m dropping Lowe today (benched him yesterday)

  10. Will says:
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    Sano this year plus last year: 158 games, 581 at bats, 40 home runs, 31 doubles, 102 RBIs…and a .220 average along with 247 K’s. And yes on Buxton, I’ve been burned so many times but keep holding on to both Sano and Buxton. Is there term for this? PostPostPostHypeSleepers Anonymous maybe?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, there should be a term, I’ll pose it to the masses one of these days

  11. Scoop says:
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    Can we dare trust Ed-Rod against MIN tonight? I’ve stubbornly held him all season but it’s the playoffs and this feels like one of those 6 ER starts that kills the ratios. (H2H with QS instead of W.) And yet I want to leave him in there.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d start him but if you already feel great about your pitching counting stats in the match up then maybe no need

      • Scoop says:
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        I need the Ks (and a chance at a QS) but am leading ratios so far. Leaning toward throwing caution to the wind and rolling with him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wouldn’t touch him

  12. Five-on-One says:
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    12-team, 5×5 weekly lineups (lock today).

    I have been using Dannys, Ford, VanMeter and Dyson, but lots of others are available. Listed below, in order of Hitter-Tron’s values for the next seven days, are possibilities. Please rank top 4.

    Dannys (21.3)
    Longoria (11.7)
    Starlin the Marlin (6.2)
    Adam Frazier (5.6)
    Dyson (4.3)
    Will Myers (3.6)
    Josh Rojas (3.4)
    Moreland (3.1)
    VanMeter (-0.9)
    H.Alberto (-1.1)
    Ford (-1.3)
    Cano (-2.4)

    Thanks

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Tough to argue with the bot, it knows more about parks and match ups than we do without digging in…but I’d move VanMeter and Rojas up to #3 and #4 on the list.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT — I’d look at Hittertron — Don’t trust Frazier to play every game tho, so I’d prolly skip to Rojas over him

  13. elzo says:
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    You starting Wheeler @ Washington? (Vs Sanchez)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes

  14. omar says:
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    Which schmatato has the most staying power ROS?
    Newman
    Canha
    J. Rojas
    Wong

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You mean careerwise? Newman/Rojas

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Dur, I see you said ROS — I’d say Newman, Canha, that order

  15. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    GREY! Who’s the drop in these two scenarios, Dynasty league looking forward to next year and beyond (can keep for 5 years).

    1 – DJ Stewart $3, Travis Demeritte $5, Greg Allen $6.

    2. Danny Jansen $4, Jake Rogers $1, Zack Collins $7.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      1. Allen 2. Collins

  16. saint says:
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    Hello Grey,

    12 Team H2H 6×6 QS Redraft Daily

    Semi final match up off to a good start, however I may need to use my final move of the week to add a streamer as my opponent has more starters going the rest of the week.

    Please rank the following available options with Streamonator’s number listed. Will be dropping Folty -4.4 @PHI next Monday.

    Framber 33.2 SEA
    P. Lopez 20.8 KC
    Gonsolin 9.3 SF

    All home starts.

    Thanks again for your thoughts

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Lopez, Gonsolin

      • saint says:
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        Thanks Grey

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  17. Damien D. says:
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    Albombso? How about Algonzo?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      How about Pete Beef?

    • galica says:
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      Damien D!!

      Algonzo reminds us too much of Adrian Gonzalez and you don’t want Pete to EVER associate with Adrian Gonzalez. EVER. Like offseason for defense, NO AND NEVER!!!

      Cheers,
      Ante

  18. Thundergunn says:
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    Mike Ford not getting playing time, is it time to move on to new schmotato horizons …

    Schwarber, a frazier, seth brown, victor reyes..someone else?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes, depends on needs… Schwarber

  19. Curious George says:
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    Start or sit Bauer today vs phi? First week of two week playoff matchup. H2h qs and w

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I benched him

  20. Norman Ginsberg says:
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    ROS: Yarbrough or Miley?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yarbrough

  21. Metric Man says:
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    Catcher question- Willson contreras or Will Smith ROS this standard roto? Smith has only 7 fewer HR in a third fewer AAB.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Contreras

      • Norman Ginsberg says:
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        In my earlier question (Will Smith or Contreras), you and DT answered Smith (12 minutes earlier). Are you essentially saying it’s “too close to call”?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Flip a coin, Contreras has more counting stats, Smith is higher upside

  22. Edgar Gonzalez says:
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    What to make of Patrick Sandoval pitching at Oakland. Is he a start or no?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Seems like he could get blown up any moment, too many walks

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      He’s the ultimate feast or famine pitcher, gets blown up or blows them away. I’d hard pass, and rather spend my luck at the casino, lol.

  23. steve stevenson says:
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    SON really likes Ryu v Col and Bauer v Phi today, but they’ve both been booty lately. Are you starting either of them?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m starting Ryu

  24. JakeTPE says:
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    Grey, DT, and Razzball homies,

    What’s up?! Sorry, I’ve been in fantasy baseball detox (necessitated in part by my roto team’s poor performance) BUT there’s still H2H, right?!

    Could you please rank these pitchers for fantasy playoffs — we do QS and W:

    Montgomery, Allard, Urias, Stripling, Dugger, Richards

    Drops would be struggling established guys like Bauer (why couldn’t you be like you last season??!!) and Caleb Smith (three bad starts on the trot). I gather from previous posts their time is up and are safe to drop.

    TIA guys. Hope y’all are well. Can’t wait for next season!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Good to see you!

      I’d look at matchups — But in general Montgomery, Allard, Richards

  25. lwomack58 says:
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    Is Mike Moustakas a drop at this point. I could use his spot to stream pitching. Currently have McNeil @ 2nd and Devers @ 3rd.

    Do you like Plesac tomorrow vs CHW. Son has him at +12.1 and his home era is 3.06.

    Thank you

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You can drop Moose

      I grabbed Plesac already

      • lwomack58 says:
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        He’s gone. What about Lamet vs Colo. Home era is not that [email protected] 5.85. Couple of other options are

        B. Anderson vs Det. home era @ 4.82 SON @ +0.7
        Allard @ Balt. Away era @ 2.76. Son +5.4. Going against Means and Balt. crushes lefty’s.

        Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’d go Lamet

  26. frankgrimes says:
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    i love when Upton get hot. #nohomo