When you look at pitcher heat maps, you will see a red circular shape where the pitcher most often hits the catcher’s mitt. Some pitchers have two spots they like to target in the zone, but most have one particular spot they like to focus inside the zone. For Tarik Skubal, that dot is very […]
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11 of the top 25 starting pitchers (by SIERA) are starting today. Cole Ragans, Jack Flaherty, and Max Meyer are in this grouping, but due to some small sample issues, they still have an ERA over 4. This means that with 24 offenses to choose from, I am cancelling out 11 right away. Here is […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?Whenever I review a slate and find the makings of a straightforward slate, my mind instantly starts looking for the holes. Can the advanced stats, the matchup charts, and Vegas all be wrong somewhere, and if so, is it worth it to take the risk? I am usually very grateful for this way of thinking, […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?I start my process every day by recognizing that making money in DFS requires 1st place finishes every so often and that I must have a fearless mentality (willing to lose) in order to win. I love the way this slate sets me up to play fearless tonight. I think the high priced “safe” pitching […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?If you haven’t done this already, grab your phone (or laptop) and open up the DK app to check out the slate tonight. Start by going through the list of pitchers, and if your bias works anything like mine, you will start identifying pitchers who you want to play tonight. Up at the top, Tarik […]
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DFS: Moore To Love In Seattle
April 29, 2025 | 2025 Fantasy Baseball, DFS, DraftKings, Fantasy Baseball DFS | 1 Commentby: Professor P Rich
We have a fun 10 game slate tonight on DraftKings. There are 3 exciting SPs that come with expensive price tags and 3 cheaper SPs I will be looking to roster. Personally, I use K/BB ratios and projected K/BB to hone in on the most viable SPs for the day. I also look at the […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?DFS is about decision making. Before constructing your lineup on any given slate, it is best to assess what types of decisions you will need to make and then start working through those decisions. Let’s take tonight as an example. When I look at this slate I see some obvious SP choices at the top […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? DFS: Hope Springs Eternal Against Taxed White Sox
April 15, 2025 | 2025 Fantasy Baseball, DFS, DraftKings, Fantasy Baseball DFS | 1 Commentby: Professor P Rich
Americans (at least pre-tariff Americans) would feel very adept at navigating a slate like tonight, but in actuality, they would be prone to massive bias. There are just too many options and while Americans have been used to plentiful options throughout the past 50 years at least, we are prone to bias as a way […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? DFS: The Big Apple Meets Cowtown California
April 11, 2025 | 2025 Fantasy Baseball, DFS, DraftKings, Fantasy Baseball DFS | 2 Commentsby: Professor P Rich
Only Sacramentoens can make fun of our beautiful and wonderful city, and I hope for my bank rolls sake, the Big Apple shows up in a big way tonight. We are about a quarter to a third of the way to the point where a smart mathematician will start trusting some of the K/BB numbers […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?Offense has been hard to find this year in DFS, making hitting on your stacks even more important than ever. The stud pitchers are striking everyone out and I know it is too early to predict a trend, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we continue to see some elevated K rates in MLB. On […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? DFS: Stacking Up DBacks And Going On Cruz Control
April 4, 2025 | 2025 Fantasy Baseball, DFS, DraftKings | Leave a commentby: Professor P Rich
DFS is a fertile ground for biases to emerge, especially early in the season. Perhaps you drafted a player because you thought they were going to have a breakout year. Your bias may lead you to want to roster that player in DFS, but the matchup, the weather, and the ballpark factors also need to […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? DFS: MLB Never Cease’s To Surprise
March 28, 2025 | 2025 Fantasy Baseball, DFS, DraftKings, Fantasy Baseball DFS | Leave a commentby: Professor P Rich
The winner of Day 1s 100K contest on DK ($555 entry) had a lineup with a 5/3 construction, meaning 5 players from one team (STL) and 3 from another (SD). The plays were certainly low owned, but neither of the teams really had outstanding games. MLB DFS is a marathon, not a sprint. It is […]
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