by: Professor P Rich
The SPs at the top of the pricing tiers are going to be popular tonight. Anyone from Logan Webb, Woo, Pivetta, Eovaldi, Imanaga and Gore gets a decent projection tonight. All of these pitchers are projected for 5.5-6.5 Ks tonight and 3.5 ERAs (Pivetta, Webb, Eovaldi, and Imanaga) or 4s (Woo, Gore). A case can […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
In 2018, the Astros won the AL West, and deGrom and Scherzer led the league in all pitching categories. In a recent post on X, Michael Kasper @KasperStats shared the impact of different metrics (stats) on runs scored. It was news to my eyes when I saw good old wOBA right up there with the […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
So far this season LHPs have a K/BB of 22/7 and a 3.93 SIERA with a .239 BA against Similarly for RHPs – 21/8 4.16 .247 BA against Similar discrepancies exist in home vs. away starts and specifically for SPs on the end of longer homestands. We have three left handed starters, two of whom […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
This far into the season is a fun time to be playing DFS. On a large slate, there is no need to roster a player who is having a bad season or who you have a hunch on. We can find plenty of baseball players who are having great seasons, who have figured out how […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
One method for breaking down a slate is to look at each game in the DK app and pinpoint the SPs and offense you want to target. Here are some “first glance” thoughts. TB at BOS: Giolito is generally worse vs. RHBs who get a big park upgrade at Fenway, but TB will roster 6 […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
If anyone gets the D2: The Mighty Ducks reference in the title, brilliant! I went backwards today and wrote about the players I am focusing on below before this initial breakdown. I don’t want to write too much here, because my basic message is that I like the Cardinals and the Blue Jays tonight. I […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
DFS is never easy. I am mired in a slump of sorts where it seems like I am a day or two off of my recommendations. It basically seems like every time I roster a player or a pitcher, they have their ceiling game a day or two after I roster them. Still, I must […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
Games that are played in Colorado are more likely to produce a higher score because Coors has 12% more scoring than the average game. DFS players know this and love to roster opposing offenses in Colorado, but the players’ prices increase as well. Aaron Judge had his price raised nearly 10% because of this matchup […]
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Professor P Rich
When you look at pitcher heat maps, you will see a red circular shape where the pitcher most often hits the catcher’s mitt. Some pitchers have two spots they like to target in the zone, but most have one particular spot they like to focus inside the zone. For Tarik Skubal, that dot is very […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?11 of the top 25 starting pitchers (by SIERA) are starting today. Cole Ragans, Jack Flaherty, and Max Meyer are in this grouping, but due to some small sample issues, they still have an ERA over 4. This means that with 24 offenses to choose from, I am cancelling out 11 right away. Here is […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?Whenever I review a slate and find the makings of a straightforward slate, my mind instantly starts looking for the holes. Can the advanced stats, the matchup charts, and Vegas all be wrong somewhere, and if so, is it worth it to take the risk? I am usually very grateful for this way of thinking, […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?I start my process every day by recognizing that making money in DFS requires 1st place finishes every so often and that I must have a fearless mentality (willing to lose) in order to win. I love the way this slate sets me up to play fearless tonight. I think the high priced “safe” pitching […]
Please, blog, may I have some more?