Hey guys! Today, I’ll be looking at outfielders that I think are currently overvalued and undervalued in dynasty leagues. I’ll be referencing their overall rank and rank among outfielders based on the expert consensus at Fantasy Pros. I’ve selected some guys that are currently going at the top of the draft, a few rounds after the top and then in the middle. Let’s get right to it!
Andrew McCutchen (#6 overall, #3 OF) – This isn’t at all to say I don’t like McCutchen. He’s an amazing player who has a long track record of staying healthy. My problem is that if I was starting a 12-15 man dynasty league today, there’s no chance that I’m taking McCutchen in the first round, let alone at 6th overall. This is because of the steep dropoff he’s had in the stolen base department. After years of getting 20+ steals, he had 18 in 2014 and 11 in 2015. From 2010 to 2015, here are his attempted steal totals: 43 (33 SB + 10 CS), 33 (23+10), 32 (20+12), 37, (27+10), 21 (18+3), 16 (11+5). He’s going to be 29 this year so it makes logical sense for his steals to start declining. His counting stats are going to be strong, his average will be around .300 and Cutch should hit 20-25 bombs, but if he only gets 10-15 steals, that’s not a first rounder in normal leagues. In dynasties, that pushes him even further down the totem pole because McCutchen’s decline is approaching us.
Please, blog, may I have some more?