Hey, guys and five girls, we’re (I’re) back! Today’s 2019 fantasy baseball rankings tackle your favorite (I’m guessing!), the top 40 outfielders for 2019 fantasy baseball. Last year, this post had Cain, Acuña, Merrifield, Mazara, Gallo, Pollock, McCutchen, Pham and Domingo Santana. Well, at least Acuña was able to hightail it outta here! Those who don’t learn from their mistakes are doomed to repeat them. Or is it, ‘Those whom don’t learn?’ Meh, whatever! As always, my projections are noted for each player and where I see tiers starting and stopping. Also, all of Rudy’s hitter projections are under that easy-to-click link. Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2019 fantasy baseball:
21. Michael Conforto – This tier started in the top 20 outfielders in 2019 fantasy baseball. This tier goes from here until here. I called this tier, “You’re Kate Upton’s non-celebrity freebie.” Already gave you my Michael Conforto sleeper. I wrote it while standing in line for bread in war-torn Poland. 2019 Projections: 87/33/98/.268/4 in 569 ABs
22. Joey Gallo – This tier goes from here until Merrifield. I call this tier, “Joey Gallo is an outfielder? To Whit!” As for Joey Gallo, I went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
23. Whit Merrifield – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
24. Nicholas Castellanos – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Eloy. I call this tier, “Remembering your kids’ names.” By the tier name I mean, these guys have appreciated skills but they are somehow underappreciated. Other underappreciated skills are being kind when your blood sugar is low or remembering your kids’ names. As for Castellanos, I get that it’s lame that The Greek God of Hard Contact can’t connect for more homers. While he presides in his Greek diner, showing his launch angle on his limp disco fry, he demonstrates how he prefers to swing his disco fry for line drives rather than home runs. You can’t fault a guy for wanting to make hard contact, especially not a Greek God. So, he will either have some of the best contact in the game and hit 23 homers or will make just the tiniest of adjustments and hit 35 homers with a .300 average. I’m taking that gamble. 2019 Projections: 93/28/98/.302/3 in 597 ABs
25. Justin Upton – Shouldn’t Justin Upton be in Kate Upton’s tier? No, they’re not related. You’re thinking of a B.J. In relation to Justin, not Kate. And not like that! The reason why I’m saying Justin Upton is underappreciated is, because, well, um, interjection, he just is. He’s had wonky moments in his career, but a 30/10/.250 guy should be ranked around here. 2019 Projections: 77/30/82/.252/11 in 541 ABs
26. Nomar Mazara – Year after year, I expect Mazara to break out in the biggest of ways. He has been compared to a young Miguel Cabrera (by me at least), and every year I write a sleeper post on Mazara. This year, I skipped the sleeper post but I am still all-in. Yes, three years in a row now he’s hit only 20 homers even, odd? P to the erhaps, but he’s still only 23 years old. He might not break out until age 25, but it is coming. He needs to adjust his swing and spend some time in the Ramada Inn Launch Angle seminar being taught by Scott Boras. I admit he will not break out if he’s at a 26% fly ball rate, but two years ago he was at 34% and he’s a career 30% fly ball guy. If he hits 36% fly balls, he will hit at least 29 homers. He is still underappreciated like being able to shake your humiliating high school nickname. 2019 Projections: 83/28/90/.263/2 in 581 ABs
27. Ender Inciarte – The big similarity between the guys in this tier is I like them all more than most ‘perts. Also, Ender, like the rest of these guys, is underappreciated. Like being able to leave a social gathering undetected. Ender has 10-homer power, 30-steal speed and has .280 hitting ability. 30 steals might be peak, since he did get caught a lot last year, but the ability is still there. For one more year, at least. When you draft him, Ender’s not going to raise your freak flag, but he’s always valuable. 2019 Projections: 101/10/45/.278/27 in 615 ABs
28. Victor Robles – Already gave you my Victor Robles fantasy. I wrote it while wondering if Robert Durst was related to Fred Durst. 2019 Projections: 78/12/47/.281/29 in 524 ABs
29. Eloy Jimenez – Already gave you my Eloy Jimenez fantasy. It was written while submitting a video of someone kicking me in the balls to America’s Funniest Home Video. 2019 Projections: 58/22/64/.291/1 in 472 ABs
30. Lorenzo Cain – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Pollock. I call this tier, “AIDS with cilantro.” By the tier name I mean, this tier is making outfielders worse and they weren’t good to begin with, i.e., making something bad worse. The outfielders are just not great. I’m surprised they’re this bad this quickly, so I went to look at last year’s Player Rater to see how they were last year. They were not great then either. Not sure why I thought they were better, but they just aren’t. As for Cain, why is Cain…Sugar! making something bad even worse? I.e., it’s like Nickelback featuring Kid Rock, covering MmmBop. His ground balls went from 44% to 54% year over year. For a guy who is going to be 33 years old in April with diminishing speed? That is like a fanny pack on your racist uncle. Just making something bad worse. 2019 Projections: 83/10/41/.281/25 in 557 ABs
31. A.J. Pollock – I will say about the AIDS with cilantro tier, there’s very little chance these guys are still on board to draft, if you follow my rankings. If Robles is drafted before Cain or Pollock in more than 5% of leagues, I will eat my hat. Granted, I am wearing a hat made of a tostada. Pollock’s strikeouts went up 6%, and he’s now swinging at everything. That is surely going to get worse, and don’t call me Shirley. That is like Piers Morgan mating with Piers Morgan. Just making something bad worse. UPDATE: Pollock signed with the Dodgers, because they had an itch Joc couldn’t scratch. This does nothing for my confidence in Pollock suddenly staying healthy and I already miss everyday at-bats for Pederson. Thanks a lot, Pollock! Damn, I said that aloud…at a pierogi festival…in Warsaw. I really need a better travel agent. 2019 Projections: 69/24/76/.248/11 in 503 ABs
32. Mitch Haniger – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until McCutchen. I call this tier, “Benefits of an arranged marriage.” Let’s see, you don’t have to waste time on dating apps. Can’t really blame yourself when you hate your spouse after three months. You get a cow and goat at your front door as gifts. And, who knows, maybe your parents have good taste. In other words, there’s obvious drawbacks with guys in this tier, but there’s enough benefits. As for Haniger, he’s very similar to teammate, Kyle Seager. (At least teammate as of this writing, but they might be on different teams any day now.) You can set your watch to how remarkably similar Haniger’s stats year over year, if you had a watch with a fly ball rate hand and HR/FB% hand. “It is a half past the fly ball rate and…Ugh, I need a Fangraphs glossary to tell the time.” Haniger seems like a lock for 27/7/.280. Of course, he might only have 27 runs and RBIs, because the M’s are secretly filming simultaneous sequels to Major League and Brewster’s Millions. Get your tickets on Fandango now! 2019 Projections: 83/27/89/.282/7 in 577 ABs
33. Yasiel Puig – Here’s what I said when he was traded to the Reds, “Not sure why the Dodgers rehired Dave Roberts, but I’m impressed the Dodgers realized that Dave Roberts had zero capacity for managing a team. “What’s he doing?” “I don’t know.” That’s two Dodgers execs watching Dave Roberts juggle three VHS copies of the movie Platoon. “I don’t think he understands what we meant when we asked him to juggle platoons.” “Yeah.” “So, we should trade Puig?” “Maybe trade like five guys.” “Okay.” So, Puig goes back to the Reds, but they’re no longer an island nation in the Caribbean. Now, they’re in Ohio. In five years, people will be like, “I forgot Puig played for the Reds for three months.” Yes, I think he’ll likely be traded in July. Either way, he will get everyday at-bats and should get a nice boost in fantasy value. The Reds were surprising solid last year on offense, and I see no reason why that would end.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 73/27/83/.273/11 in 502 ABs
34. Stephen Piscotty – He might’ve just had a career year and still only hit 27 homers with two steals while hitting .267. Did he? Piscotty doesn’t know! His peripherals don’t scream that he can’t repeat his previous season. A year that saw him finish 27th for outfielders on our Player Rater. But the numbers don’t also say he’s going to take a huge step forward still. See, like the benefit of arranged marriage, at least you can now drive in the HOV lane, but there’s also a drawback. 2019 Projections: 76/26/90/.272/4 in 572 ABs
35. Domingo Santana – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Domingo was) traded to the Mariners. Free at last, free at last, thank God almighty, Sunday Santana is free at last! I haven’t been this excited for a Sunday since the first Easter. That one was a letdown, don’t you do the same, Domingo! Sunday Funday Santana got so screwed out of so many millions of dollars it makes me feel for him. If he kept starting every day on the Brewers, he would be looking at a $60+ mill deal somewhere. And, as much as I like Domingo, it’s hard to argue with what Lorenzo Cain and Yelich did on the Brewers. As my inappropriate uncle says about a lactating woman, you can’t cry over spilled MILF. Like a great pair of boxers, Domingo has room to breath and I’m looking forward to drafting him everywhere again.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 77/27/83/.257/8 in 533 ABs
36. Andrew McCutchen – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Signed with the Phils. Lots of talk about how this was a terrible deal for the Phils. I don’t particularly love McClutchin’ His Knee for fantasy, but seems like a great deal for the Phils. Listen, much love and respect to Nick Williams and Roman Quinn, even re2pect to them, if you prefer, but McCutchen’s uni number for a while was 22 so that’s re22pect, and, if you’re gonna be a contender, ya gotta make contender moves. Contenda, even, and getting McCutchen is a contenda move.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 78/23/89/.251/11 in 541 ABs
37. Tommy Pham – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 60 outfielders for 2019 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “An empty IKEA box by the curb.” By the tier name I mean, you could have a durable, not-too-descript, usable piece for your team, but you also might blow your top from aggravation. As for Pham, he had one weird-ass season last year. It took him having a broken foot in the 2nd half, a seemingly season-ending injury, for him to suddenly become as valuable as you thought he would be last preseason. He hit five homers and .386 in September after breaking his foot, and I guess getting inspired by Daniel Day Lewis’ My Left Foot performance. His BABIP was .484 in September though, so a teensy bit high. Like .150 points high. Pham could be usable, but I’m not getting in the weeds for the aggravation. Or as Ron Kovic might say, “Never get in the weeds in Pham, man.” 2019 Projections: 92/19/68/.281/18 in 512 ABs
38. David Peralta – The weird part of this tier that I’m disparaging is I liked or flat-out loved every guy in this tier in the past. Myers and Peralta were like my baby boos for so many years. I didn’t like Pham last year, but loved him in his breakout the year before. Now, I think there’s just a bit too much heat on all of them. Peralta’s previous year screams career year and looks like way more of a 20-22 homer guy than a 30-homer guy like he was last year. Unlike the M’s, I don’t think the Diamondbacks’ offense is going to be a huge drain. Peralta can still be decent, but, sticking with the tier theme, is he worth the aggravation that it took to put together that Wäddafäcker dresser from IKEA? 2019 Projections: 69/21/81/.291/5 in 555 ABs
39. Wil Myers – Went over him in the top 20 3rd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
40. Aaron Hicks – Which players are going to be the Peralta and Hicks for next year? I don’t know, but they’re likely in the next tier or a tier after. I prolly already wrote a sleeper post on him or them. I’ve got magic in my fingertips. So, why rank Hicks, someone who I’m not drafting, before the guy who I want to draft who is a sleeper? Because there’s just more risk with some of the guys in the next tier. In a perfect scenario, I will wait until guys in this tier are drafted, then draft one of the guys in the next tier. 2019 Projections: 77/19/71/.258/9 in 445 ABs
Really hoping that Harper doesn’t circle circle back to DC. Robles looks like Cain without the age-related downside. Love him this year.
Surprised not to see Bader here. Lots of SB upside and developing pop. Got a bit lucky last year average-wise, but I think he’s starting to figure things out offensively. I’d take him over half of this lot.
Can see Puig having a nice walk year if the Reds just leave him alone. Shouldn’t have to worry about the Reds yanking him in and out of the lineup.
McCutchen thrived down the stretch in NY after wasting his prime away in pitchers parks. He’s in a good spot now. Looks a bit undervalued.
Don’t really understand the Mazara hype. He had a solid minor league career but never really dominated there, and he hasn’t done anything at the big league level. Never topped 20 homers in a single season. 3 total SBs in 3 seasons. Sub .260 avg each of the last two, since he hasn’t figured out how to hit lefties and half of his BIP are on the ground. What’s his upside? .275/27/3 with ugh Rs and eh RBIs? That’s like hoping on Growing Pains era Alan Thicke. Eh.
Domingo seems to be a forgotten man. Still just 26 years old and a year removed from a .278/30/15 season. Nice late-round lottery ticket.
@Big Magoo: Love Robles this year!
He’ll be around shortly https://razzball.com/harrison-bader-2019-fantasy-baseball-sleeper/
McCutchen will be who he’s been for many years…
Mazara has .300+ potential and can grow into more power… If he had speed it would be much better, obvi
Domingo’s not forgotten where I’ve ranked him, he’s pretty high here
Hi Grey,
Love the fantasy lists!
How would you rank the following 4 players in a keeper league?
Andujar, Conforto, Albies, Marquez?
Albies, Conforto, Andujar
Grey!!!
Fab top 40 for outfielders write-up!
a. So judging by the fact that Piscotty and Polanco were back-to-back in the final season rankings from last year and that they are back-to-back in these rankings makes me believe that we can just go off of last year’s final season rankings. Thanks for making that crystal clear!
b. Wow! What a drop off after Ender. Not interested in taking much after Ender. By then I’ll be looking to take flyers on sleepers or somewhere something will be available for better value. It’s all about value, making a value pick but for something you need not just taking the 4th SS when you have no space for him.
c. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for January 24
1. Dr James Watts, a neurosurgeon who performed the first frontal lobotomy, died this week in Washington. If you recall, a lobotomy involves drilling holes in the skull and and then inserting and rotating a knife to destroy brain cells. What a genius! He’ll be sorely missed.
2. Liza Minelli has gotten word that she’ll have to have hip replacement surgery. This marks the first time in fifteen years that the name Liza Minelli and the word hip have been used in the same sentence.
3. Former first lady Nancy Reagan reports that her husband has been relaxing at their ranch riding horses and chopping wood. Sadly, eyewitnesses report that he was actually riding wood and chopping horses! Sadly!
4. A 2″ hummingbird that waited too long to fly south and ended up getting stranded in Alaska will be flown via a commercial airline to California this week. My solution to this little problem? Kill the hummingbird!
Cheers,
Ante
Hey Ante just wondering , do you play in a 5 team league with 3 outfielder spots?
@Ante Galic: A. Nah B. There’s a few still to come C. 4. Oofa
Where would you rank eloy….. for next year? Assuming he’s within the ballpark of your projection for this year.
@Pash: Read the post
Thanks Grey. Love your perspective. I too like Puig a lot, but was expecting higher projections across the board for him, so a couple of questions…
1. 502 AB’s is not a lot for an everyday player. Do you expect injury or just deep Reds OF leading to extra days off? If the latter, do you bump him down a tier (or two?) in weekly leagues?
2. In 2016, with 152 games played, Puig went 28/72/74 – basically what you project for him this year. I was thinking the move to GABP and what should be a stacked lineup would see that closer to 32/85/85. Am I crazy?
3. Rudy has him at 38 ($19.4) overall in 10-team OBP, sandwiched between K Davis and Bellinger. Does he outperform that position in your opinion?
Thanks Grey!
@Big Ticket: 1. They have Winker and Puig had 550+ ABs one year and hit like 15 HRs 2. Not entirely, but see 1 3. That feels a bit high, but I’m going to own him, so I do like him
Keeper league what do you think about these separate trades? Thanks:
E.Suarez for Blackmon?
Archer for Shaw?
@Bruce: Eugenio — Shaw
Keeper league what do you think about these separate trades? Thanks:
E.Suarez for Blackmon?
Archer for Shaw?
@Indingo Montoya: See above
Pumped about Conforto. But it also looks like there is a decent sized discrepancy between where you and Rudy stand on him.
conforto is likely a little underprojected by steamer b/c he played through the shoulder injury in 1st half. i’d take the over on my projected $ for him. i doubt he’s going to go at any discount this year like matt carpenter did last year.
@Rudy Gamble: Good stuff, thanks for the insight Rudy.
@knucks: Me too! And agree with Rudy
14 teamer draft standard cats what do you think of this opening 11, Albright?
Lindor
Kluber
Kershaw
Torres
Murphy
Sanchez
Conforto
Haniger
Hamilton
Cody Allen
Giles
@OaktownSteve: Is that Conforto around 90? Yes, please!
@OaktownSteve: It’s the anti-Grey draft lol
@OaktownSteve: Does not look good
@OaktownSteve: Wait, is this a trap? Did someone draft this associated with Razzball? I know it wasn’t me
@Grey: It’s a Razz-Trap
I’m getting wise to these OTS/Magoo traps!
@Grey: It feels like they are messing with you but they are really just being honest and because of their high fantasy IQ, well IQ in general, it make you stop for a second and think against yourself.
This is true, but I’m too stubborn in what I think to 2nd guess myself…
@Grey: you have a rock solid stubbornness surrounded by a massive ego
It’s an illness… How about this crappy Pollock signing? Damn you, Dodgers…
@Grey: Its perfect Friedman. Cheap incentive laden deal that says yeah if you play more you get paid more but really we just want you healthy in the playoffs and not sucking. Harper and Machado aren’t smart money. I think they really want the Toronado next off-season as Turner is getting older and Bellinger seems bound to be an OF (they move Turner to 1st) because we don’t know if Muncy can repeat. He could pull a Taylor. What these idiots need to do is package Verdugo and young arms to ship to Cleveland to get Kluber.
Love how you’re thinking… Do you think Puig vs. Pollock was a positive, negative or neutral move? Real baseball, not fantasy
@BJFOHOHL: For as high a ceiling as Puig has the mental side has been a drain. I think he had good positive teammates that will embrace anyone but in Pollock they should have a more steady presence. I also think the move to Cincy was because he needs Turner Ward to function. Ward was only coach to get through to him in all his seasons. If we can get 400-500 AB’s out of Pollock then its a win and I think for the better. To quote my boy Lifshitz “Pollock will be the steal of the off-season” The wild card in all this is Roberto-Loco who can out manage himself with the best of them.
@Grey: I know who drafted this team so far. C and the W.
I don’t mind VS’s team
5×5 10 team league, keepers 170 total to keep.
Jose Ramirez 80,
Eugene Suarez 10
Garrett Cole 20
Patrick Corbin 10
Ozzie Albies 10
Vlad Jr. 10
Ozzie Albies 10
Eloy Jimenez 10
Eddie Rosario 10 could you see keeping Max Muncy 10 or Walker Buehler 20 over anybody above? Only other mid grade keepers are Luis Servino 70 or Anthony Rendon 50 to try to make it work. I’m not a huge fan of Jose Ramirez but still view as first round talent.
@Robert: I’d be between Walker and Eloy, but can see going with the bat
@Robert: Oh, I see you only have 10 if losing Eloy, then you have no choices
Grey,
Some good work overall. You’re gonna catch some heat over Haniger so low. The M’s lineup isn’t that much different than last year (no Segura won’t help) but he should be about what he was last year. Nick the Greek tho, you’re asking a lot and it’ll be hard to get runs and RBI’s out of him wth that awful Tiger lineup. I think the general take away from today’s post is they all suck in one way or another and it’s a role of the dice as to who will be decent for this year.
@Sweatpants Nation: I’m not catching any heat, he appears to be a 27/8/.280 guy, I’ve ranked him around where I think he should go, considering his track record
@Grey: Not saying you woud deserve it just from reading the site seems like people have Haniger higher. In the end it matters little with this whole group. They are all about the same. Other than Robles and Eloy they are basically known.
I love Robles (as long as Harper doesn’t re-sign with the Nats)
This group is the estuary of outfielders. Some good upside, but some bad downside. Makes for interesting fishing though!
Liking Conforto, Robles, and Puig the most from this crew. Domingo and McClutchen are interesting too. They’ll probably be ranked lower than where you have them.
Where do you see Castellanos’ ADP? He seems like the type of guy that could be slotted all over the place in a big box default draft.
I think that was Delino DeShields Jr. that kicked your nads and ran off with your SAGNOF!
@bigbear: In the 44 NFBC drafts that took place from 24DEC-24JAN… Castellanos ADP is about #83 overall
@bigbear: Think Castellanos is going too high right now — Stupid DeShizz!
@Grey:
Yeah, that’s ahead of Upton, Conforto in NFBC ADP. Not “value” territory, probably just gives reasonable but not great return won investment.
Agreed, prolly won’t own him, even though I like him
14 team, 7×7 H2H (OPS and Ks, K/BB and IP added)
Keeping:
SS Lindor $21
OF Judge $6
OF Mazara $5
P Ray $12
5th keeper, who should it be (none is not an option)?
Wacha $2
Dick Mountain $7
Buxton $12
LCastillo $17
Segura $21
@AdamH: Segura
Assuming MI
@Grey: Sorry, I should have clarified. No MI/CI. 3 OF, 2 U.
Bleh, I guess Dick
@Grey: I know. I am ashamed and sorry to have failed you, oh Fantasy Master Lothario.
Don’t beat yourself up!
Hey Grey. Thanks for all these rankings and information.
I have a question about who should I keep. Roto league, 5×5.
I can keep 5 out of these 7:
Harper
Machado
Julio Daniel Martinez
Mondesi
Juan Soto
Scherzer
Blackmon
The 5 that I choose can be keepers for the next two seasons also (2020 and 2021).
I’m thinking on Harper, Machado, JD, Soto and Mondesi. Would you suggest something different?
@HarperBetterThanTrout: Nice keepers, those work for me
heyI tried to find S4 of Gomorrah last night and could not find anything past season 2. Tried netflix, amazon prime, itunes. What am I doing wrong?
@Peacecoast: Season 4 comes out in March, Grimey and I watched Season 3
@Peacecoast:
You have to download the torrent to watch season 3.
If you lived in LA you could watch with me and Cougs
@Grey:
Haha Can I stay in the pool house?
Any time, Grimey! Sleepover!
which side?
greinke or mazara & freeland
Mazara
Here’s another one:
Betts
Nola
Blackmon
Guerrero
Votto
Seager
Folty
Doolittle
Gennett
Gallo
Hader
@OaktownSteve: Are you messing with me? I like Betts and Hader!
@Grey:
Two “expert” teams from the FSTA going on right now.
That first one in particular is HIDEOUS
I knew it! A trick! Anyone calling themselves an expert should get a solid side eye, just like how I’d look at those teams
@Grey:
https://rtsports.com/baseball/baseball-pdf-draft-results.php?LID=503595&UID=fantasybaseball&CID=0&RANDOM=1548355433/draft.pdf
I get nervous about clicking on pdfs
@Grey:
Not like you can’t find the draft results yourself!
Haha, if I wanted to look, prolly… I saw someone draft Jo-Ram 4th overall and I tuned out
@Grey:
Haha yea then it went Max Acuña Turner Torendo
I listen to that channel in background and imagine your head exploding like Jays infamous Kershaw gif of you
A day late for my Dahl commentary, but Dahl’s situation feels like how we felt on Arenado when you were first beating the drum after his 2013/2014 (i forgot when).
Totally different players obviously, but Arenado had been one of those guys that all the ‘perts liked as a “sleeper” but you really pushed to reach for him as a must draft, to our benefit! (too bad I wasn’t in any keeper leagues at the time)
Here’s hoping Dahl turns out the same!
Hope so! Dahl feels headed for the top 25 next year
@Grey:
Unless his “ribcage” acts up again. He burned me a couple years back. Was day to day for months. I’m not totally over it. Perhaps I should rethink. Remember that “injury”? Could be second coming of Michael Brantley.
Yeah, I hear that… I’m still not over an injury to Ian Kinsler 9 years ago
Went Lindor over Ramirez at pick 3 in a draft. Ramirez is the consensus pick there, but your top 20 discussion on Ramirez convinced me. Helps that Rudy/steamer rankings concur.
That said, really don’t like the third pick this year. Feel like there is a big drop off from Betts and then a bunch of guys around the same value. Almost rather see what drops to me late in the first and then get another “first” rounder early in the second round.
Lindor feels pretty consensus at #3, but I agree that Trout/Betts are pulling away from the field and 3-10 feel more marginal
Hi Grey! Great work here as always!
Wanted to get your take on a trade I’ve been offered, a 12-team, 15-player keeper league with a draft quirk that makes anyone drafted in the first 3 rounds non-keeper-eligible the following year(changing to first 2 rounds this year). I’ve got pretty good young keepers and great draft picks, including #1 & #10 overall and 10 picks in the first 6 rounds.
The offer was
#10 overall (best players likely to be available here as NON-keepers are Strassburg, KDavis, JAbreu, maybe Rizzo or Kershaw)
for
Lester and Pivetta + a late-round pick
I know you like Pivetta bc of your sleeper post, so I guess I’m asking what you think of Lester and those guys available as a 1-year rental…
I’d want some of those non-keepers with the pick
@Grey: cool. thank you
No problem, JM!
@Grey: Hey Grey, I negotiated this pick into Dahl and Peraza (both keepers) instead of Pivetta and Lester.
You are literally the only person on earth who might sort of care a little, and I’m excited about it, so I’m telling you about this. Please validate me and say I did good….
Haha, nicely done!
In an OPS league would we see Winker sneaking into the top-40? Or is his playing time still too tenuous?
Thanks.
He has no PT
Great stuff as usual Grizzzzle.
Does Pollock leading off for the Doyers (until he gets hurt) change anything?
No mention of Polanco Shoulder surgery recovery. Are you expecting a nearly full season from him?
Thanks!
I’m expecting a bounce back from Polanco… I have to look at Pollock now
Trade question a bit off topic, as none of the players were in today’s post:
Which side of Scherzer ($40) for Dahl ($11) and Heaney($4) in a $325, OPS/ QS, 12 team dynasty?
I got Scherzer for Votto in a steal last year, but would like to flip him for some savings and youth. Should I be asking for more? Less?
Thanks a bunch.
I’d want more, but I’d take Dahl
In a 12 team AL only dynasty league. We have an auction for free agents with a $26 salary. I was offered Odor at $1.60 for Mazara at $2.10. Would you trade Mazara for Odor?
Works for me
Confessional booth time. I’m pretty sure I’m the only person in my league who knows of razzball. I want to share your wisdom and help you profit.… But I can’t. I’m too selfish, you’re my precious. To ease my conscience I change my team name to SAGNOF just for the day preceding the draft. They should understand the google machine. Thank you! The content here has help to guide my team to the superpower that it is.
Haha, No problem! I understand, I don’t tell my leaguemates about Razzball either
@NATRONEMEANSBUSINESS: I struggle with this very moral dilemma regularly. You are not alone. I think it’s ok that we keep Grey to ourselves
I respect the decision, let them do their own work!
@NATRONEMEANSBUSINESS: Dood. Incredible nickname. Used to have both a Chargers and a Jags Means jersey as a kid. My best friend had a cat named Natrone growing up. That feline was a straight up thug.
Grey I’m in a tough spot I have a trade offered to me that I don’t love but it’s one I may have to make because of my teams position. In other words I need your advise to enlighten my fantasy self if this is wise.
It’s a 12 team head to head dynasty format. Categories are 7 by 7: runs, hr, rbi, steals, avg, obp, xbh. Wins, saves, era, whip, ks, hits per 9, qs. 35 players are kept 40 man roster 10 of those are NA guys. Players are position eligible after 5 appearances.
My team is as follows:
C. Willson Contreras, 1b. Travis Shaw, 2b. Jonathan Schoop, 3b. Nolan Arenado, Ss. Trevor story, Of. Christian yelich , Of. Giancarlo Stanton, Of. Nick Castellanos,
Util. Khris Davis, Util. Jake lamb
Be. Max Kepler, Carlos Gonzalez, Marwin Gonzalez, Justin smoak, Franchy Cordero
Starters: Blake snell, Trevor Bauer, Walker buehler, Robbie Ray, Lance McCullers, Julio Teheran, Jake odorizzi, Kenta Maeda, Alex Cobb, Danny Salazar, Trevor Cahill
Relievers: Blake trienan, Adam ottovino, Corbin burnes
Na guys: yordan Alvarez, Nate Lowe, Nolan Jones, George Valera, Helios Ramos, Lazaro armenteros, brusdar graterol, Ethan Hankins, Logan Allen.
I feel I’m a little light on average/obp, definitely light on steals but that’s okay, and I’m short on saves.
After all that mumbo jumbo, would you trade my Khris Davis and Marwin Gonzalez for Eric Hosmer and raisel Iglesias? If you could spare the time to say why it would be appreciated!
Thank you,
Matt
It’s a terrible trade for you
@Grey: Hahahah thank you!
No problem
@Matt: Because you’re trading one of the top HR hitters in the game for a mediocre 1B and a closer.
@Cram It: yeah I definitely get that and agree. I think my roster is loaded with power, by chance what are you craming?
Excellent work as always Grey. You do a wonderful job, so please take this rebuttle as constructive criticism.
I’ll be the guy who says you’ve under-valued Haniger. As Mitch heads into his first arbitration-eligible season (2020), I’m betting he makes some adjustments to his swing this season to put him over that 30 Home Run mark. He’s already close. I think he takes a step forward there even if it is by the slightest of margins.
However, what I don’t understand about your post is how you can literally dog walk the two players you rank above Haniger and then rank him at #32. Here’s your projections for A.J. Pollock, Lorenzo Cain and Haniger:
Pollock — 2019 Projections: 69/24/76/.248/11 in 503 ABs
Haniger — 2019 Projections: 83/27/89/.282/7 in 577 ABs
Cain —- 2019 Projections: 83/10/41/.281/25 in 557 ABs
Now, when you compare what you believe the three will do, Haniger is as good or better in every category except steals. He’s only four steals shy of Pollock and 18 steals shy of Cain. Are four steals and 18 steals really worth that?
If there were no names on these three projections, I think it becomes quite clear who you think is the better player yet you didn’t follow your own projections. That I don’t understand.
Anyway, maybe you’re right. Maybe Haniger will stink in a horrible Mariners lineup. There’s some truth to that concern. I like him though. I think he’ll be a nice piece for another 2-3 years.
Maybe, we’ll see… I don’t dislike Haniger, so I’m not going to disparage him, but it’s not like he’s young and he doesn’t have a ton of great seasons under his belt
@Grey:
Fair enough. He is still new to the league. He could take a step back as easily as taking a step forward.
I have two words for you son: WAR ROOM
Anyway you really like the last viking? I was sure it was not your style. The first season looks so low budget, the whole thing does no? Armies that look like they have about 50 guys in them. Season 3 is great, I barely made it through 1. You are right though everyone fucking dies.
I have one word for you: Huh?
I love The Last Kingdom (Kinedom?) — really enjoying it… The 1st season is a little low budge, they use a bit of Offscreen Theater Presents: The Battles. “I can’t believe Odda got so injured in that fight that we didn’t show on screen.”
@Grey: War room? that magnificent excel file wtf. What do you call it? That situation room? I mean fuck Grey.
so does your office/guest house have a bathroom and kitchen? Why on earth does your house have a separate god damned guest house? No wonder you are house poor.
Damn, so triggered! Yeah, War Room, but it’s done by someone else, so hopefully that person does it (or someone)… Yeah, the guest house/office is zoned for rental, if we wanted to do that… So, kitchen, bathroom, TV mounted on the wall that I’ve never turned on… You know, the uze!
@Grey: I want to rent the guest house. How much per month?
Depends, how many fantasy questions will you hit me up with while I’m trying to work?
@Grey:
I never have very many questions, I do answering of questions on here more than ask them..
True, you could come in handy in the guest house!
@Grey: Will fantasy advise be part of the AirBnB listing?
There will be two rates
@Grey:
I could be your assistant. We could go to Dodger games and down to San Diego to scout the Padres…
Will the theme song of the Odd Couple be playing too?
@Grey:
The last kingdom is the David Dahl of tv
I’m beginning to think this…I love it!
@Peacecoast: HotRod did it last year for us. I put together Grey’s rankings ahead of time to try to save him some time. I’ll ping him if we don’t hear from him in here as we get closer to March or so.
Does the Pollock signing mean Muncy loses his playing time? Or more of a problem for Pederson and Taylor?
Muncy and Taylor are still full-timers… Joc lost PT
@Grey: Gotta believe some trades are coming- Verdugo, Joc. No room or PT
I hope so, Verdugo needs out of town — maybe Castellanos for Verdugo, but that would screw Muncy
@Grey: I have seen Muncy as 2B so maybe Taylor is out? Who knows. As you said earlier Roberts is juggling dvd’s of Platoon.
Nah, Joc’s out — hey now! — Muncy and Taylor are still fine
We have an expansion team joining, and need to offer up 3 players into the pool for selection.
If they’re not chosen by that manager, we get them back onto our team. Which 3 would you submit from the group below?
Dynasty keep forever, 6×6 with OPS/QS
SET KEEPERS
Goldy, Rendon, Trea, Rosario, Springer, Khrush, Moncada, Carrasco, Greinke, Paxton
OPTIONS FOR THE EXPANSION POOL:
Polanco, Dozier, Moustakas, Mallex Smith, Kopech, Wheeler, Glasnow
Thanks G
Dozier, Kopech, Moose
@Grey:
Shoot, I’ve actually gotta throw out 5 for the expansion pool. Who would your next 2 be?
@southside dom:
Wheeler and Glasnow
Polanco, Glasnow
Hi grey,
No Aaron hicks? i thought for sure he would be top 30 considering he had a breakout year last year.
Nope, he’ll be along shortly tho
In my keeper league we each get to keep six players each. I’ve already got the first five figured out but still debating on the sixth guy. Matt Olson, Victor Robles, or Miguel Andujar. Categories are R,HR, RBI, SB, and OPS. Who would you choose as the last keeper?
I like Olson and Robles best, prolly go reverse order, but I don’t know your other keepers
Judge, Sanchez, Albies, Yelich, and deGrom are the others.
Dynasty OBP
Grey which side you taking?
T.Hernandez
or
M. Margot
Is it close?
Neither? Margot
I’m in on Castellanos this year and like his ranking / projections, but how does it compare to other consistent players? Would keeping Castellanos in the 10th round be smarter than say Rizzo in the 3rd round or Bauer in the 7th?
Bauer in the 7th, al about the same tho, depends on your other keepers too, maybe
Thanks, Grey! I have JoRam and Rhysus as other 2 keepers…..shame I just can’t keep Rhysus 3 times, he is all you need!
He will save us
January Grey at his finest. Do you think Robles bats 9th until Eaton gets hurt? I’m assuming Harper won’t be back when I ask.
Is anyone else having trouble viewing the site on their phone? Could be just me but seems like the last week or so when I click on your posts and start scrolling down my screen will eventually turn black, then I scroll back up and the small portion where I was originally will be there but everything above it is black too.
Until? Is Eaton not hurt yet? That’s weird on the screen being black, I view on my phone sometimes and I don’t see that… Maybe the page is catching up to the image?
@Grey: probably my phone/connection then. Haha I just assumed Eaton was healthy but that’s a terrible assumption he’s probably already hurt. Robles for leadoff!
Robles for prez, 2020!
I’m in a six player keeper league. I’ve got the first five figured out. The last position I’m debating between is Matt Olson, Victor Robles, and Miguel Andujar. Categories are r, hr, rbi, sb, and ops. Let me know who you think.
Answered above
Play fake ball!
I’m a few months anyway….
Quick questions about some keepers.
260 auction 13 team.
12 keeper at value with 5 / year raises.
Trout year 2 @$67.
Machado year 2 @$53
Severino year [email protected]$1…
Gleybar yearv2 @$2…
Grandal year [email protected]$1..hate catchers..all the good ones will be gone…
Altuve year [email protected]$76…
Clevinger year [email protected]$2
Murphy year 3 $9
Robbie ray @$12
Mad [email protected]$33
[email protected]$2
Pham$2
Austin meadow $2
Jorge Polanco $2
Adam Eaton $8
M Frank $3
Doolittle $1
Obviously if I keep the big 3…I’ll have no money left at table
I was thinking trout Machado and …
Sev/gleybar/albies/murphy (in col)/clevinger
Trout, Machado, Albies
Grey
Which side you taking in a Dynasty OBP league?
T. Hernandez
or
M. Margot
Is it close? Who you like Long term better?
Answered above
@Grey:
Sorry it would not refresh and did not think the first one sent. Thanks for all you wisdom!
No problem
One more question today. Lots of moving pieces in my league I hope.
If I were to trade Betts (gasp, sacrilege); I should be able to get two outfielders from which tier?
12-team, OPS dynasty.
I’m always curious to see how people value tiers in 1-for-2 type situations.
Why would you trade the 2nd best player in baseball if not the best?
@Grey:
His salary will escalate soon- not a walk year situation exactly, but similar idea- and my three outfield slots behind him are sparse. I’m mostly just putting out feelers.
It is a blessing and a curse to have players like that sometimes, because it can be tough to justify a trade to yourself.
I’d want at least a 1st rounder back, and another piece
@Grey:
So a Bellinger-caliber player, and a Dahl-type? Generally? I like the Trade Analyzer, but it doesn’t feel like it gives enough credit to the gravity of a situation like this.
It’s a tough thought exercise. I’ll offer Scherzer or Harper up in trades all day long, but once you get to the heady levels of Betts and Trout it’s harder.
I’m feeling it out so that in the future I can avoid being like the dude in this league who is spending 30% of his budget on Trout.
Bellinger isn’t high enough if I’m trading away Betts — I’d want a top 15 overall guy and a Dahl-type
Honestly, I just would’t do it
@Grey:
Thanks. If anyone comes back with offers that can touch what it’ll take to move him I’ll be back to talk about it like always.
No problem
@Matty:
And where I say “Bellinger-caliber” I obviously mean Acuna or Yelich. Common typo.
@Grey:
LOL lets hope not..we dont have to hang out. i am good tenant and a good neighbor..
@Malicious Phenoms:
this should be above in the guesthouse for rent thread.
Welcome home!
@Grey: thanks
No problem
@Grey: sooo do we need Cougs approval before i start moving in?
Nah, but you have to wear pants around her
@Grey: ill make a note on that.
Write legibly so you can return to it later
@Grey:
write? I just need a mental note, as I am not one of those nudist types..
Perfect
@Malicious Phenoms: ok lets get down to business…
how much a month for rent. would i have any bills or is this all inclusive?
Inclusive? What do you think, we’re a Sandal’s Resort?
@Malicious Phenoms:dont know about this resort you speak of, but i had to ask,
If you look at NFBC ADP and your rankings, yikes! Things be cray cray. Now I clearly don’t draft off ADP, but, some examples:
Merrifield 31: So 10th OF off the board. You do need steals from somewhere
Mallex Smith: 100 and 26th OF off the board and you don’t mention him.
Puig is 31st, but looks like at that ADP you’d have no shares, as all the recent drafts he is going in 4th or 5th round.
Pham: I see you don’t like him. I still don’t know why, because the sum of the parts has always been good and he is the 18th OF off the board.
Cain: 19th overall OF (66th pick) so I agree with you on him.
Ian Desmond; He was 59th overall player last year, doing exactly what he has done all but 1 time in the last 7 years. He is literally mr. consistent.
Ian Desmond has a terrible batted ball profile…Coors might fix, but it will need to…
Yeah, there’s a chance I don’t own any of these guys… There’s other guys to own…
@Grey: well he sure as fuck ain’t getting traded with that absurd contract/considered one of the worst regulars in the game these days (but not for fantasy)
Breaking: Byron Buxton is in the best shape of his life. I repeat, Byron Buxton is in the best shape of his life. This a not a drill.
Was his shape ever a problem? It was everything else
@Grey:
BSOHL!!!!! 30 lbs of muscle!!!!
Haha, does that help him not swing at balls in the dirt? Can someone ask him?
@Grey:
Nobody’s kicking sand in his face on the beach any more
Nope, but he’s still stepping in everyone’s buckets
@Grey:
Nice
Bruh
Is Adam Jones stick a fork in him done?
He needs a team
Hi Grey. Glad Razzball isn’t involved in the government shutdown. That wouldn’t be so good! 8 team keeper league. Would you keep Degrom at $31 or Rizzo at $16 or neither. Thanks
Whew! Me too, Uncle Ernie! Rizzo
Keep 3, 5×5 rot with OBP instead of Avg 14 team league;
Soto, Mondesi, Carpenter, Dahl, Eloy, Ohtani
Soto, Mondesi, Dahl
That feeling you get after the top 40 outfielders when you realize you have to wait through several more days of top 60 outfielders, then top 80 outfielders, (then top 100?) before getting to the sweet, sweet pitcher rankings.
@SwaggerJackers: I’m still praying we are blessed with the lovely DH rankings first!
Sir,
As always informative and helpful. I have Mazara, Robles and Soto in dynasty so hope you’re correct on Mazara and really hope Nats don’t sign Harper.
Thought quotes were only accepted from Twain but one from Winston Churchill in exchange with Lady Astor (they both hated each other).
L.A. to W.C.- If you were my husband Sir, I would poison your tea.
W.C. to L.A.- If you were my wife Madam, I would drink it.