Listen, I'm a realist when it comes to numbers. I understand that trends are written in there somewhere and the analytic guys use their Little Orphan Annie decoder rings to decipher everything. I, my friends, am not that guy. I look at something and then relay the message to you. I am a sharer, an over excessive high-fiver, and extremely (and most importantly) excessively inappropriate in public. I have looked at the numbers and I am telling you that the stolen base is the new punt stat. Everyone always talks about punting stats from time-to-time in their ramblings of delusion, but I am being serious. The downward trend in baseball is written in the stats. I will even slap a handy chart in this post to clarify my thinking, (the chart is through the end of May for all other years but this), but the trend is going down the way of the SAGNOF drain. I wish it weren't true, because I loved watching the go-go 80's and guys like Vince Coleman make a living being this generations, chuckle... Billy Hamilton. Those days are gone. Do we even remember the last guy who stole 100? 90? or even 80 bases in a year? The answers are: 1987, 1988, and 1988 again. The last significant stolen base total was when Jose Reyes was single and not suspended in 2007 with 78 swipes. Like I said, I hate it to be true, but the days of amassing a significant total from one player, and having that player be a fantasy asset are dead and gone. Running just doesn't happen as frequently... This is based on delivery times to plate, video technology, and basically the game evolving. So I am sorry that this week's report is a sad trombone of fantasy reality, which is an oxymoron, but I just wanted people to realize the decline in stat that they chase on a weekly basis.
Monthly Archives: May 2016
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Nerds Again? Yes, this is my second consecutive week with a Nerds reference, thank you for noticing. Since my Tri-Lamb recommendation went for 28 points last Monday, I figured let's keep it going tonight with John Lackey for a reasonable $9,400. Yes, Clayton Kershaw is at home tonight going for his 7th consecutive 10 K performance, but he's $14,000 and he'll be owned on most rosters so I wanted to highlight the less obvious choice. Yes, I like V2 and Rich Hill tonight as well, but Lackey loves him some Busch! Last month when he faced his former team he went 7 Ing, 11 K's and 0 ER. Over the last 2 seasons Lackey went 11-4 with a 2.03 ERA racking up 129 K's in 155 Ing's, dude is lights out when he steps on the mound in St. Louis. I'm banking on Lackey being underowned tonight in both cash and tourney play, so now we're going to try to find some budget offensive plays so we can pair him with Kershaw and cash in on tonights contests.
New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well reserve your spot in the 25 Team Razzball Exclusive League set to run today to wet your DK whistle. Just remember tosign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.
All The A’s Are Down And This Guy Is Gray
May 23, 2016 | Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes | 731 Commentsby: Grey
Yesterday, Sonny Gray hit the Disgraceful List with a combination of ineffectiveness and Grey calling him a preseason schmohawk. My schmohawks: Schwarber, Pollock, Gray, Tulo and Sano. If I were Sano, I'd move into the giant bubble that Tulo is apparently living in to still be healthy. Seriously, if you were placing odds in the preseason on which one of those would hit the DL, Tulo would be 10 to 1 odds as the first one; Pollock likely 2nd since he was nursing an elbow issue in the preseason; third would be Schwarber because he was playing a position he had no business playing and bound to run into a wall; finally, Gray because I put the kavorka on my namelganger, which is a magic spell so hideous that no amount of Creoles with an unlimited supply of chickens to sacrifice could reverse that hex. By the by, everything I know of Creole black magic I learned from Angel Heart. Gray has a 6+ ERA, so you can DL him if you have room, but I could see just dropping him if you don't. Anyway, here's what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:
Points Leagues: Come Sale Away
May 22, 2016 | Fantasy Baseball Points Leagues | 22 Commentsby: malamoney
Don't let the title fool you, I am by no means a Styx fan. I actually had to look up who sang this song when I decided to use it. Does anyone even say "look up" any more or has the term been officially replaced with "google". Speaking of Google, whatever happened to the "I'm feeling lucky" button. I wonder how many times Clint Eastwood clicked that thing? I wonder if he sued Google to have the button removed. I have questions that need answers. In the meantime, let's talk points leagues. For weeks I've been promising to focus on pitchers in one of these posts and today's the lucky day. Do you feel lucky?
I had my whole article raring and ready to go with the flow, and then Thursday happened; Michael Brantley down indefinitely, Josh Reddick broken hand. No biggie I told myself, I have Jason Heyward, who is about to go off. Then Friday night, Heyward crashes in to the wall and now he’s out. So I have no more OF to play and it’s time for dumpster diving. Or wading through the valley of the waiver wire of a 12 team league that’s been picked over like honey crisp apples with no blemishes at a farmers market. So scrap the original article, that will go next week. It’s really good, so make sure you come back to check it out. Maybe even better than this week. Probably better. So you should definitely check it out next week. Please? Pretty please?
Hello everyone, and welcome to Sunday!
Just like always, we've got a very hearty 11-game slate on our hands today, with a number of stud SP's set to take the mound, 5 of which are priced above $10k, which begs the question of which high-priced stud we want.
There's a couple of issues that I have with each "ace" that we have on our hands today with the exception being Noah Syndergaard.
Max Scherzer: We've seen the 20-strikeout performance, and we know the upside that he brings to the table with his high K%, but he brings serious blowout potential with his 21.30% HR/FB rate, his low GB-rate, and the fact that he doesn't do well against lefties is cause for concern.
Jordan Zimmermann: His 2.45 ERA makes it seem that he is playing at a good level, but that is not true. He lacks the ability to strike guys out with his stuff, with a 16.40 K% and a 7.40 SwK%, and I prefer the likes of Danny Salazar for less.
Cole Hamels: Yes, Houston strikes out a bunch, causing for opposing pitchers to get a price bumb, yet I don't think anyone should pay up for Hamels when you can get other, better pitchers for less. Hamels has serious blowup potential with a daunting 25.0% HR/FB rate, and while he has been solid this year, he isn't doing that well for me to want to use him, yet we can't really pick on him that much with our bats.
With that being said, I don't think there are any cheap/value options on the slate that we should use, as most of the lower-priced guys are the ones we want to pick on. Especially Alfredo Simon and Phil Hughes.
You ready? Let's break it down.
New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well reserve your spot in the 25 Team Razzball Exclusive League set to run Monday May 23rd to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.
Down On The Farm: They Forgot About Rey(es)
May 22, 2016 | Fantasy Baseball Prospects | 139 Commentsby: Geoff
After serving a 50 game suspension because all he do is smoke mad izm, the Cardinals top prospect Alex Reyes returns this afternoon for AAA Memphis. If you're not familiar with Reyes, then leave...seriously get the heck out of here. Okay, I'm kidding, but really you should be generally aware of the right handed flamethrower. If all goes well, I could easily see him in the big league rotation come late July, with a chance at being one of the most impactful rookies of the 2016 term. After all this is a player that averaged a 13.4 K/9 in 101 innings across three levels last year. He's also starting his season just a step away from St. Louie in AAA Memphis. With "ironmen" like Jaime Garcia and Carlos Martinez in the Cardinals rotation, it's easy to imagine a scenario where he's in the bigs rather quickly. Going forward he needs to be considered amongst the top ten potential promotions, and a top 3-5 pitcher in the minors. In keepers or redrafts where you can stash minors, grab Reyes if he's available.
It was almost 20 years ago. Aaaah, middle school. I remember it like yesterday. Or, well, like twenty years ago. Sweater vests, braces, and bleached blonde caesar haircuts. Before the real Slim Shady showed up a different white boy with rhythm busted onto the scene with his troupe of ex-Disney-turned-MTV boy banders. We all thought it was dumb (of course). Why should all the girls that we thought were hot think they were hot? Because they're on TV? Stupid. Because they can sing? Hey, we were in chorus! Every crush I had at 12 would swoon over *NYSNC and their lyrics, thinking it was written for them.
'It's tearin' up my heart when I'm with you/And when we are apart I feel it, too/And no matter what I do I feel the pain with or without you!'
Okay, a few things. Why in the Kanye West did you have an asterisk in front of your name? You're not Roger Maris! GTFO. At least put a hashtag. Be ahead of the times. Instead your name looks like something that could be traded on NASDAQ. Second, besides their style choices asterikNSYNC was clearly a confused calamity of young 20-Somethings. How about ya find a lady that doesn't make you manic? Just a thought. Third, how dare you steal from U2 with those lyrics!?! Fourth, thank heavens for progression. Amiright Justin Timberlake? (In case you're totally lost, but somehow still reading this asinine intro, JT's the aforementioned white boy whom I massively respect now, see: Jessica Biel). Fifth, I didn't have to look those lyrics up. I knew them. In the darkness of my memories. Damn it. 
Maybin This Time Will Be Different
May 21, 2016 | Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes | 71 Commentsby: Dan Pants
[player]Cameron Maybin[/player] was 3-for-4 Friday night with his fourth stolen base in four games. Did someone say SAGNOF? Since his return from the disabled list last Monday, Killa Cam has hit safely in all four games he's played, going 8-for-13 (.615 AVG), with 3 runs, an RBI, and oh, did I mention he's stolen four bases?! Because that's why I'm writing this lede about Cameron Maybin and not some obviously more valuable and less disappointment-prone player. I googled my headline thinking it was a song title by the Cure or something but all that came up was a sub reddit about depression. What's worse is I had visited this page before. Hmm, probably because I've owned Maybin so many times in the past. Cameron has burned me more over the years than the cast of That 70's Show, but four steals in four games should not be ignored. Grey told you to BUY and he said "That's so, Maybin!" Wow, that's so Grey to say that. Temper your expectation, but pick up Maybin if you got the Need for Speed but refuse to support EA games or Aaron Paul's acting career. So yeah, Maybin this time will be different? This could be my crippling depression talking, but he's available in about 80% of leagues and I'd take a flier wherever I needed steals.
Here's what else I saw Friday night in fantasy baseball:
In a world where humans are fed up with umps missing calls and players getting injured ... Chappie takes the mound! Some people are preaching for robot umpires, but what about robot pitchers! Wouldn't you love to have a robot pitcher on your team? Don't worry about overuse and Tommy John surgery, you just need to grease the elbow joint between innings. And no more hanging sliders when you only up one run in the bottom of the ninth. Okay, the LAST thing we need is another Chappie movie. Let's talk about the human pitcher J.A. Happ. Humans make mistakes, and many mistakes were made in Happ's last outing. Happ only managed to throw 2 innings while giving up 8 runs. Luckily for him, he gets to face the Twins today. Nothing says bounceback match up like a lefty facing the Twinkies. Against LHP, they have only 18 runs, 2 HR, a .576 OPS, and 25% K rate. Meanwhile, the Jays get to tee off against Pat Dean, who is unlikely to make it make it into the 6th inning. The Twins bullpen has surrendered 79 runs, 23 HR, .289 batting average, and an .837 OPS. So if the Jays cant get after the 90 MPH throwing lefty Dean, they should be able to strike against the weak bullpen. Twins pitching should easily put Happ in line for the win if he can improve from his last appearance. With Twins inability to hit lefties and their far from fabulous pitching, Happ at $8,100 should be a safe play today. Introducing, Chappie 3: The DFS Guru - Let us find some deals for you today!
New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well reserve your spot in the 25 Team Razzball Exclusive League set to run Monday May 23rd to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.
Closer Report, Week 7 – Call On Me, Colome
May 21, 2016 | Closers, Middle Relievers | 37 Commentsby: Smokey
Besides that Eric Prydz catchy a** song, the bullpen situation/decision in Tampa is drawing nearer and dearer to our closer hearts. The return of the "Box" is coming, and it drums in the deep. Now we automatically assume, myself included, that three weeks ago, Brad Boxberger would just go all cutzies like in the high school cafeteria and get his job back at the time he arrives. Fast forward three weeks, or to now, and that situation doesn't look like it is a foregone conclusion because look what Alex Colome is doing in the role. He checks all the "I am keeping my job" boxes. He of the 10 saves in 10 chances, 12 K/9, 2 BB/9, BAA under two bills variety. Those are all good things to have, and better than 15 other closers in baseball for stats across the board. Now, I just said that I don't see Box claiming what's his right away, but it could happen, because loyalty rules everything around baseball. So if you own Colome and can get Boxberger before he gets noticeable stats on the cheap, I advise to do so. If you own Boxberger and don't own Colome, well, the price will be higher because the people that own him can read stats just as easily as I can type them out for you. So be proactive as we reach the quarter post in the fantasy year, and for giggles, stay around as I find some goofy things to learn you...
My years of sitting in French cafes, smoking really long cigarettes and wearing a beret, while sneering at children and puppies, has taken its toll. I'm no longer the innocent fantasy baseballer who picks up just any potential rookie call-up. I have more discerning tastes now. When I was a mere jejune tot, I'd sip a combination of ale and grenadine my bartendress called a Monaco and talk about Super 2's and so-and-so was going to be the next Ryan Braun-like call-up. I'm no longer a tot; now, I'm a full potato, and I drink gin with extra juniper berries. Crunching on juniper berries, coughing from a tumor, watching cyclists in spandex shorts, carrying baguettes. The days bleed together. I take out my daily planner and pencil, lick the pencil, turn the calendar day to make a note to, "Buy more Virginia Slim 120s," when I read a note to myself, "It's almost June, start picking up rookie call-ups, you dipshit!" Ah, yes, Daily Planner Grey has a point. Today, I decided to highlight Trea Turner. At this point, he feels like the number one call-up. A.J. Reed, Jameson Taillon, Tyler Glasnow, Orlando Arcia might make bigger impacts, but the Nats consider themselves a playoff team and they're in a heated division battle right now. I doubt they let Dusty simply ignore Turner because Espinosa is older. Older really isn't a reason to play someone. An exec has to relay that to Dusty at some point. Turner looks like he could be a Francisco Lindor-type from last year -- 7-10 HRs, 15-18 steals, solid average. Basically, a top ten shortstop from the time he's called up. I would stash him now--*coughs* Sorry, I accidentally bought Virginia Slim 140s. The extra 20 is killing me. Anyway, here's some more players to Buy or Sell this week in fantasy baseball:
