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As always, probable pitchers are subject to change.  For a look at all fantasy baseball streamers, click that link.

Matt Moore is a bust,” fantasy expert Cocker Cockleysworth says. “He got lit up in Spring Training and his walks are way up. Great arm, bad command.”

“Now wait a second,” fantasy analyst Roger Dingleberry says. “This is the same Matt Moore who was an All-Star in 2013 and was so close to Cy Young he got himself a peep show. He went 17-4 with a 3.29 ERA and 143 Ks in 150 innings.”

And so the debate raged on all the way up through the 2014 fantasy draft, where owners got the gas face if they drafted Moore too high, while others were quite pleased to have him fall in their laps later than expected. The war of words kicked up a notch. It got heated. Someone got killed with a trident.

Well, that’s all settled now. In real life, Moore’s torn UCL – and probably Tommy John surgery – is a sad turn of events for a would-be ace. He’d be the 13th pitcher since Spring Training to go under the knife for the procedure, which is only six less than all of last year. In fantasy life, it’s not great news for his owners, unless you have him in a keeper’s league. Of the 179 dudes who’ve had it, 83 percent made it back to the bigs.

In fact, Moore’s injury might not be that bad for owners in regular old leagues – I bet they kind of feel off the hook now. I know I do.

Plus you have the exciting task of finding a replacement. Maybe he’s in this week’s list of two-start pitchers!

Must Start

Yordano Ventura (@HOU, MIN), Gerrit Cole (@CIN, MIL), Masahiro Tanaka (CHC, @TB)

Feel the heat, pushing you to decide. Feel the heat. Burning you up, ready or not. Some like it hot, and those who do must start Ventura and Cole for their pair of starts this week. Yordi (he likes it when I call him that) is a no-brainer: Astros in Houston? Minny at home? Yummy! Cole blew away 10 Cubs on Thursday and reportedly wasn’t even sharp. His match-ups aren’t as easy but you have to have this guy on the mound whenever it’s his turn.

First Tier

Jordan Zimmermann (@MIA , STL), Stephen Strasburg (@MIA, STL), Anibal Sanchez (CLE, LAA), Shelby Miller (@MIL, @WAS)

All four are very capable of having great weeks, but so far in 2014 there is not much statistical evidence to back this up. With Strasburg having a weird 2013, Zimmerman became the Nats ace, winning 19 games. Fantasy anal-cysts came up with all kinds of reasons why: Increased ground ball rate, decreased walk rate, improved ability to induce pop-ups. How about this: He’s a good pitcher who had to pitch better and did. Same thing will start to happen this week, as he gets a solid matchip in Miami and what I see as a nut-up-or-shut-up game at home against the Cards. Similar situation for Strasburg, who could get his third double-digit strikeout game of the season against the Fish.

Second Tier

Jake Peavy (@CWS, BAL), Cliff Lee (ATL, @COL), Matt Garza (STL, @PIT), Chris Archer (@BAL, NYY), Jesse Chavez (@LAA, HOU), Marco Estrada (STL, @PIT), Homer Bailey (PIT, @CHC), Zack Wheeler (@ARZ, ATL), Ervin Santana (@PHI, @NYM), Zach McAllister (@DET, TOR), David Hale (@PHI), @NYM), Robbie Erlin (COL, SF)

Yup, The Adverb is in the Second Tier. He oughta be thankful that he made it this high. He hasn’t been great in any of his starts, and the matchups (Braves get homer happy at Senior Citizens Bank Park; Denver is Denver) are just plain nasty. Archer was totes post-hype to the fantasy world in Spring Training, but to the Rays he was just plain hype so they gave him a big ol’ contract extension. While Ventura got the oohs in their April 8 duel, Archer got the aahs. Oh and while Chavez could stumble against the Angels, I would definitely wheel (it’s our word for streaming in Delaware) him against the Astros at home.

Third Tier

Brandon Morrow (@MIN, @CLE), Bronson Arroyo (NYM, @LAD), Lance Lynn (@MIL, @WAS) , Jake Odorizzi (@BAL, NYY), Juan Nicasio (@SD, PHI), Roenis Elias (@TEX, @MIA), Eric Stults (COL, SF), Josh Beckett (@SF, ARZ), Phil Hughes (TOR, @KC), Wandy Rodriguez (@CIN, MIL), Jordan Lyles (@SD, PHI), Tim Lincecum (LAD, @SD), Robbie Ross (SEA, CWS), Wei-Yin Chen (TB, @BOS), Colby Lewis (SEA, CWS), Chris Young (@TEX, @MIA)

We see hard-luck losers all the time. A guy goes eight strong but doesn’t come away with a W because his team didn’t hit. Lance Lynn is a good-luck winner. He won 18 games in 2012 and 15 in 2013 with an ERA close to 4.00. This year he has a bulging (not in a good way) 6.55 ERA and he’s 2-0. He’ll need more of that luck in Milwaukee and Washington, and I’m not really feeling it. The Mariners have a plethora of tantalizing young arms in their rotation (Erasmo Ramirez, James Paxton) and at least one on the way up (the returning Taijuan Walker). Lefty Roenis Elias is another guy in the mix, but dates in Homer Heaven (aka Globe Life Stadium in Arlington) and Miami, where Marcell Ozuna and Giancarlo Stanton will be hacking away at the young guy’s stuff, have me a little scared. Lewis and Young are two guys coming back from injury, so like a box of chocolates you don’t know what you gonna get. Could be one of those assy pink ones that people eat half of and put back in there. What’s the deal with that?

Don’t Start

Lucas Harrell (KC, @OAK), Brad Hand (WAS, SEA), Erik Johnson (BOS, @TEX), Hector Santiago (OAK, @DET), Roberto Hernandez (ATL, @COL)

You can call him Roberto Hernandez, or you can call him Fausto Carmona. Just don’t call on him to pitch for your fantasy squad this week. Also: With Jacob Turner hitting the DL, the Marlins talked to the Hand and told him he’d get a pair of starts next week against two tough opponents. That tells me to tell you to stay away.

From Around The Web

  1. Bump Bailey's Ghost says:
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    What do you folks think about this trade?

    I get: Scott Kazmir
    I give: Charlie Blackmon

    I have Myers, Bruce, Rios, Heyward and Zobrist for OF and I waited on SP so I need some help there. This is a 12-team H2H redraft. Thanks!

      • Bump Bailey's Ghost says:
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        @Pete Nice: Thanks! I accepted the deal. Hopefully Kaz keeps it up.

  2. Picard56 says:
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    I agree with you guys 99 percent of the time. But Shelby Miller a first tier two-starter, and Cliff Lee a second tier two-starter? You gotta switch those guys.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Picard56: We shall see

    • hawk says:
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      @Picard56:

      Lee should be a second tier guy just on his @Col start alone.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @hawk: have you watched Miller since about last late July?

  3. Bugle hobos says:
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    Eovaldi or Tillman for the week?

  4. Ty Wiggington says:
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    Ervin Santana will OWN this week.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Ty Wiggington: Yea he could have moved up within that bunch but I need to see another good start against a decent opponent to be total sold.

  5. dino says:
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    The rays are calling moores injury an elbow sprain now and he said he wants to try and rehab the injury and continue to pitch this season. This has been done before by Wainwright so its possible for him to pitch again this year especially if its only a slight tear in the ucl.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @dino: Strange. Is it torn AND strained, or strained and not torn. Whatever. If he pitches through it he’s a moron.

      • dino says:
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        yea i mean my buddy pitches in the rays minor league system in double a and he actually has a similar issue, hes got a slight tear in his ucl, but he just rehabs it really hard and hes been pitching like that for 2 years now, idk how serious moore’s tear is, they are calling it a strain but technically thats just a small tear, so i guess it really matter how badly its torn, if its small enough and he can pitch through the pain i guess thats what hes planning on doing, well see what happens, because moore said he was going to throw in about 3 to 5 days and see how it feels

        • Pete Nice

          Pete Nice says:
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          @dino: Not worth it in my opinion. Cool insight man! Thanks!

  6. Scooterboy says:
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    On one of the other threads, I asked about a dilemma that I have. I own Goldy, Rizzo, Pujols, and Encarnacion(because someone foolishly dropped him). I asked which one I should trade, because I can’t play them all. Dano suggested I either trade Pujols, or package Pujols + Rizzo for Freeman. No disrespect to Dano, but that seems a little to much to give for Freeman. Does anyone else have any suggestions, or do you agree Freeman is worth that much?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Scooterboy: it does seem like a lot but at the same time you’re playing with house money. Edwin dropped? What is this like a 4 team league? in your situation I would do Pujols and a low middle tier pitcher for Freeman or a lower top tier pitcher and Rizzo for Freeman.

  7. gareth says:
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    For Sunday which one do you like better:

    Jason Vargas @ correia in Minnesota (SON $6.7)
    Martin perez versus oberholtzer in Arlington (SON -$0.9 )

    It seems like SON is not a fan of Perez versus the astros in Arlington, but for me its a coin flip.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @gareth: It would seem like Vargas but those Twinkies have been hitting huh? I’d still go Vargas over Perez. The ball flies out of that stadium in Arlington.

  8. Justin says:
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    4 SP slots, 2 RP, 1 P. Max 2000 innings.

    Ross, Frieri, Samardzija, or Cobb in the P slot? Already have Chavez with 2 starts in one of the RP slots…

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Justin: I’m a Cobb guy.

    • dino says:
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      i agree id go cobb dudes change-up is nasty, one of the most underrated pitchers in my opinion

      • Pete Nice

        Pete Nice says:
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        @dino: as reported by another commenter Cobb to DL.

  9. Sniff Test says:
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    Should I drop Sabathia for Chavez?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Sniff Test: No but anyone else you could drop?

  10. Wash Heights says:
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    Should I drop Jose Veras right away just for the roster space (i need roster space, I have literally no bats on the bench) or wait it out? I’ve Already scooped Rondon, and Strop is already taken. I have a smorgasboard of temp/pseudo/committee/likely closers (Broxton, Gregerson, Valverde, Santos) but Hawkins is my only “sure thing” so basically I have no sure thing. I’m usually the first to see new developments, so I have that going for me. This is a 12-team Rotiss. league that’s 6X6 (the reg 5 plus QS and XBh)

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Wash Heights: Keep an eye on Grimm, he could take over for Strop. You could spec there. But if you need a bat real bad you could dump Broxton, since Chapman is a few weeks away. Also looking like Johnson is getting back on track in Oakland. Did anyone drop?

      • Wash Heights says:
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        U think Grimm over Rondon? Johnson’s dropped but still on waivers and of course I’m close to dead last on the old queue.

        • Wash Heights says:
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          Update: my trade for Cuddyer went through so I was able to scoop Grimm without dropping Rondon, but still curious on who you like more.

          • Pete Nice

            Pete Nice says:
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            @Wash Heights: Strop has looked bad so Grimm could be getting a shot.

  11. The Fan says:
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    Howdy pete,
    Which pitcher that is SP/RP eligible would you add (I’d be putting the pitcher in RP slot)
    Some are two start & some aren’t two start:

    Garrett Richards- vs Oakland

    Roberto Hernandez two starts; (start 1 vs braves), (start 2 at Colorado)

    Dallas Keuchel- vs Houston

    Joe Kelly- at Milwaukee

    Bruce Chen- At Houston

    Alex Wood- At philly

    Tanner Roark- at Miami

    Brett Anderson- at San Diego

    I’m kind of leaning towards Alex wood or Garrett Richards
    Thanks man!

    • Matt says:
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      @The Fan: Richards or Wood…Anderson may not pitch this week due to a hand contusion suffered in yesterdays game

      • Pete Nice

        Pete Nice says:
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        @Matt: @The Fan: I agree. Only thing that scares me about Wood is those old fogie Phils can wake up and hit at times, and in warmer weather Citizens Bank can become a tough place to pitch.

  12. Just Make Pitch says:
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    Should I drop A.J. Burnett in a 10-team league? He’s looked like crap the last two starts with 6BBs in each start and he’s pretty old/has an injured groin now apparently. My only hesitation is that I’m in a K/9 league and he’s had ridiculous K rates the last two years but I kind of have a gut feeling that he looks like he’s done.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Just Make Pitch: Who would you drop for? Could wait a few days and see if he goes on DL.

  13. Joeg414 says:
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    Thoughts on Collmenter? Looks like he’s starting vs the Mets on Tuesday. Not sure he’s a two starter ,but the Mets do K a lot.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Joeg414: You could stream and spec him out, maybe the Backs see something in him. but the Mess have been pesky. just be willing to take a hit if he craps the mound

  14. Natty Boh says:
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    You’re frome Delaware? Wesley College Grad and Pitcher here. Although that’s not saying too much haha.

    • Natty Boh says:
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      @Natty Boh: as you can see by the lack of spell check before hitting submit.

      • Pete Nice

        Pete Nice says:
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        @Natty Boh: Yup! Mad props to Wesley!

  15. Starting Ps Please says:
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    Felix @ Texas or Gray against Houston at home?

    Felix has been money so far but his numbers against Texas are not so great. Houston is a lot less scary.

    And please let Bailey figure things out this week. Picked him up as someone cut bait on him already…

  16. Rubik's Pube says:
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    Lance Lynn with 2 starts on the road or Cobb with 1 start against the Yankees? Lynn hasn’t looked good so far and his numbers on the road aren’t good. SON favors him against the red hot Brew crew but I am hesitant. Thoughts?

  17. Em says:
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    What is your opinion of Buchholz for this year, I dont trust him unless hes using the spittball again. Would you drop him for T. Walker, or Eovaldi?

    • Rubik's Pube says:
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      @Em: hell yes

    • hawk says:
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      @Em:

      For either, in a heartbeat

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Em: Agree with these guys.

      • Wash Heights says:
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        Taijuan got dropped in one of my leagues and my immediate thought was: idiot! Scoop scoop scoop. It’s like ppl have no idea there’s a DL slot!

          • Wash Heights says:
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            Oh my bad I wasn’t clear, this was weeks ago, I sooo got him. I’m Taijuan-loaded in all 3 of my leagues

  18. Lemmingness says:
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    For my weekly points league, is Kazmir worth keeping, or is it better to open his spot for any of your second-tier two-start pitchers (namely Chavez, McAlliste, Erlin, or Hale)? If so, which two would you pick out of those four?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Lemmingness: Stay with Kaz but I like Chavez out of that group

  19. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    Mr Nice: Thank the FBB Gods. At least, in your job and show, you haven’t been lassoed and been forced into the new sports betting dirty side of RazzBall.

    I hear, they play for keeps over there. Poor, nice and polite,Phillie Mike is currently being forced to work over. I do think, Sky “A Player of the Strip” went there willingly with stars in his eyes.

    Started E Ramirez yesterday and listened to the game. The A’s announcers were concerned for his health (really).. He could not throw a strike for the longest while. He may need a trip to AAA to straighten things out or worse, something maybe wrong. Be Wary!!!

    Starting Vargas of KC today. He has been berry berry good to me in the past and I like his landing with the Royals – Whom, I have high hopes for and every year for the last 2 decades

    Keep’m coming.

    PS: We have not seen you at the RB opera rehearsals?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Ghost of the Disappeared: Sore wrist from “enjoying” one too many Sonny Gray starts. can’t play my trumpet.

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