Every time I've opened the Twitter machine this month, there was a particular Cincinnati Reds player hitting a home run. Fine, I lied, as I scroll through Twitter constantly and said player only hit 11 home runs. IN 18 GAMES!!! Babe Ruth began his professional baseball career in 1914. After three seasons, in which he played 166 games and accrued 405 plate appearances, the Bambino hit a total of 9 homers. Let's just leave him with his candy bar, shall we? Because there's a new Bambino in town, and his name is Aristides Aquino. He's obviously not going to maintain this ridiculous pace and hit another 20 homers to finish the year, but how bad will the regression be?
See all of today’s starting lineups
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ARI | ATH | ATL | BAL | BOS | CHC | CHW | CIN | CLE | COL | DET | HOU | KC | LAA | LAD | MIA | MIL | MIN | NYM | NYY | PHI | PIT | SD | SEA | SF | STL | TB | TEX | TOR | WSH | OAK |
Angels outfield prospect Jordyn Adams was a double shy of the cycle Monday night and is riding a seven-game hitting streak. Being one hit short of a cycle is like being one person short of a threesome. In my case, I'm consistently two people short of a threesome. Good thing I have you over-the-internet friends to cheer me up. Here's what I said about Adams in the preseason, where he ranked fifth in the Angels top ten: "Adams is a toolsy former wideout drafted 17th overall in 2018. His double-plus speed will work as SAGNOF at the very least. It’s a wait-and-see approach like Maitan, but Adams could vault into the top tier pretty quickly after we’ve seen a full season from him. He’s the best lottery ticket in this tier in terms of overall upside. Upside like how I wish I could smack Grey upside his head." Weird, I must have written that in a blackout. Sorry Grey! And apologies for ranking Maitan anywhere in that preview. Oof. Back to Adams...we're in the midst of that full season and he's hit .252 with seven homers and 12 steals for Burlington (A). Importantly, his strikeout and walk rates remained stable at the higher level and longer season. If anything, he's gotten better as the year has gone on. Not shabby for a 19-year-old. Here's what else is happening around the minor leagues...
With one week left in the regular season for most H2H leagues (20 regular season matchups) you most likely know if you will be making a championship push in the playoffs, or if you came up short. If you are still reading these at this point in the year, I'm assuming your team is still alive. So let's make one last push this week if you are on the bubble, or let's starting thinking about next week if you have a spot secured.
We’re almost at the end of August and I’m here to remind you that projections are still more important than what a player has done so far this year. MGL did a study a few years ago and found that a “hot” player, after 5 months, can have his projection bumped up a few points of wOBA, but a “cold” player hits what the projection says he’ll hit. Obviously if you’re reading this you’re statistically inclined, but even the best of us can weight the current season too much, especially for players who are in a big time slump. And in DFS when salary moves based on streaks and people get fearful after cold streaks, you should jump all over these guys.
On to the picks...
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Andrew Heaney has an eye on a prize and that prize is a 2020 sleeper article. "Grey usually puts sleepers out starting in December, and I know Oscar Mercado, Zac Gallen and, ugh, Delino DeShields are going to be vying for a spot on that list. Listen, all you can do is say your prayers, eat your kale and hope Grey picks your name." Delino added, "Usually one good game is all it takes." Oh, shut up, Delino! Yesterday, Andrew Heaney gave us a how's your father without the small talk of asking how one's father actually was -- 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 baserunners (zero walks), 14 Ks, ERA at 4.31. He now hasn't allowed more than three runs dating back to June (small bit of cherrypicking since he has gone less than 5 IP in some of those starts, but injuries and yadda). Heaney perfs (kids call them that) are solid if teetering on 'just okay' -- 10.9 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 4.33 FIP. A solid September could vault him into a top 40 starter conversation for 2020, but the lack of health and propensity for homers makes me think he's going to fall short of that bar. For right now, he's an obvious own. "But no sleeper, right?" Shut up, Delino! Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Perhaps you've read or listened to Grey Albright over the years and thought "Is this the Larry David of Fantasy Sports?" If you have, then my friend you were 100% correct, and this week's opening will only further cement that thought. Grey Albright our fearless leader of SAGNOF was banned from his favorite Crab+Boba establishment. I know what you're saying "Ralph, it's Crab+Boba spot?!?! Does Grey own this joint?" Surprisingly no, Grey does not own this anomaly that seems like it was birthed in the recesses of Grey's brain. Not only did he not create it, he can't even go there any longer. Oh and we talk about fantasy baseball too. Actually most of the time we discuss baseball, topics like 2020 predictions, Schmotatoes to add, and some of the recent callups we've got the monocle on. It's the latest episode of the Razzball Fantasy Baseball Podcast, now 17% more dangerous.
The hits just keep on coming, quite literally in fact. One week after clobbering our Razzball Commenter Leagues weekly records we came very close to doing so again. We did crush the weekly batting average record as we had a team hit nearly .400 for the week! There were actually three teams with an average over .393 this week, all of which would have been a new record. We’re just cranking out the hits these days. The Fat Fruckin’ Babies cracked the weekly leaders yet again and nearly set a new Runs record. They gained another point in RCL #57 and another point in the overall standings as well. We’ve had one perfect season in the history of the RCLs, Team levy back in 2016. That season ran away with the RCL overall title and we’ll all be watching to see if FFB can pull off the feat. FFB is only lacking in batting average right now, a tough spot to make gains in this time of year but they are only looking for 3 points, moving from .274 to .277 would be enough. More on the weekly stats and the rest of the week that was, week 20 below:
It's a hot, sunny Tuesday and thanks to a double header we have day baseball as well as a 15 game DFS slate. It doesn't really get much better than this. For pitching today I'll be looking mostly at two plays, one of which is much, much safer in
Shane Bieber ($11,000). Beebs has been outstanding this year, rocking an 11 K/9 a sub-2 BB/9 and a FIP that matches his ERA almost perfectly. The Mets haven't really been awful, but they haven't been anything special either, posting a team OPS right about middle of the pack and striking out right around average as well. I'm betting on Bieber making them look silly today though and you get a nice discount from Kershaw. I don't love my cash game pitcher on the road but despite this, Vegas stills pegs the Tribe as a decent sized favorite today. Take heed!
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The Cardinals pulled Dakota Hudson 111 pitches, 6 2/3 IP, into his no-hitter, which is a smart move. He was gassed and they had thunderbolt and lightning, very, very frightening, Gallegos (Gallegos), Gallegos (Gallegos), Gallegos Figaro magnifico! The Cardinals don't make dumb moves. They even make smart moves about which teams to hack. The Ghost of Dave Duncan makes something out of nothing with every Cards starter (don't look at Wacha). It's without can. Ya know, uncanny. David Duncan's leftover notes jotted on a loose-leaf spiral notebook are better than Ray Searage. Don't at me; it's true. Put him in the Hall of Fame before he really is a ghost. You look at Hudson's numbers -- 7 K/9, 4.2 BB/9, 5.10 FIP -- and you shudder they're so bad. Yet -- again with stank -- YET! he has a 3.63 ERA and he no-hit the Brewers last night for almost seven innings. Dave Duncan, man! He's the best ghoster. Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
I hope you're all making a standings push as we inch toward September. Now is the time for action. Don't wait too long and need a drastic solution. Don't be like Patrick Swayze's star character in Road House, bouncer extraordinaire Dalton. He kept having to up the violence ante to maintain the status quo. Look ahead at which categories could be within reach with a few wise adds this week.
It's rare to see a player having a breakout year in his age 35 season in the post-Selig era, but Yuli Gurriel needs just 2 runs, 1 RBI and even 2 SB to set career highs in all of those categories. He already has a career-high in HRs with 25 and could end the season with 30-35. With 37 games remaining Gurriel could end the season with an 85/33/100/8/.300 line for the year. Not too shabby from a guy with an ADP in the 200s. This production uptick is due to a career-low ground ball rate, career-high fly ball rate, career-high hard contact rate -- the underlying numbers are pointing to this being for real and he should finish the year strong.
The Cincinnati Reds’ Trevor Bauer ($10,200) is in a prime spot to carry your FanDuel entries on Monday. The right-hander has a 27.6% K%, which is the second-highest among the starters on today’s DFS slate. With the San Diego offense striking out at a 25.4% clip this month, Bauer should rack up the K’s in this one. While Bauer has gotten himself in trouble with the long ball this season, that threat is negated some today as the Padres have just a .171 ISO in the month of August. Look for Bauer to put together a big FanDuel score in this one.
New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!
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