Intro
This continues to be one of the more interesting seasons as we approach the end of April that I can remember. Between the calamity of keeping up with baseball injuries, coaching my son’s tee ball team, and watching Shogun, I find myself struggling to find time to take a deep breath and retreat into my inner quiet place. An eightfold fence if you will. What I want to talk about today is a pseudo deep dive rolled into the outfield update. Let’s talk about Esteury Ruiz. I assure you though, he is anything but peaceful waters and I’m a hot little potato that Kotsay at the moment is deploying him mostly against LHP in a shot-side platoon. A deep rage boils over inside me with this garbage timeshare.
We all saw how he was sent down to minors and just raked. Then, towards the end of last week Esteury hit a massive homerun in his first at-bat after being recalled, smoking it to the tune of 109.8 mph off the bat. Let’s just say it got my attention. You do a little digging and you see that he showed up to camp a bit more bulked up this season. Okay, now we’re talking—the speed demon added some get-me-over-the-fence strength. But not just that, his hitting looks and feels different. Check this out:
Esteury Ruiz loves hitting in the sunshine. ? pic.twitter.com/xBlg165Lal
— MLB (@MLB) April 17, 2024
First, if that’s not “ball don’t lie” vibes, I don’t know what is. That homer was directly aimed at the front office. Esteury Ruiz has become Enmity Ruiz. But more than just full of spite, he appears to be a man on a mission. His plate presence just feels different. He looks like he’s commanding the zone with a lot more confidence. And after some digging, I discovered that he made some hitting adjustments.
He’s standing a little taller in the box now, less bent over. His base looks stronger and more cemented. More balanced. And perhaps the most obvious his chest/back is less constricted and more straight and firm which allows him get better rotational torque rather than competing with himself. What he was doing before allowed him to make contact but it prevented him from driving the ball with more power. It now seems like he’s trying to actively correct it.
And even more important still… he appears to be improving his plate discipline. Last year in nearly 500 plate appearances (at-bats + walks) Esteury Ruiz only collected 20 walks with 5 HR. In the very small sample of his 21 MLB plate appearances this season, he already has 3 BB (2 back-to-back last night) to go with 2 HR. If he can raise his OBP from the .309 in 2023 to somewhere in the .325+ range that would be a boon to his value in the form of runs. If this approach change sticks we’re looking at maybe 10-12 HR (like he flashed in the minors a earlier in his career) and 70 SB, yes please and thank you. The one barrier is that silly playing time. I grabbed him everywhere I could as I expect him to take the lion’s share of PT eventually. He seems to be putting it all together: power, speed, and plate discipline.
League Notes
Christian Yelich – was placed on the IL after feeling some tightness in his back. Me too bro. He’s elgible to come off the IL today (Tuesday) but there’s no indication out of MIL that he will return after the minimum. He always has battled back issues, and judging from past experience, his average stay on the IL due to this been roughly 16 days. So I’d make sure to have your roster plans set to weather the rest of this week without him. I expect Blake Perkins to continue being the main beneficiary (at least) for one more week.
Tyler O’Neill – our favorite Canadian is coming off the IL finally to continue his fight against AL pitchers.
Aaron Judge – should be added to the IL, yikes.
Mike Trout – really out here trying to turn back the clock? He has 8 HR and 5 SB, Incredible stuff. It’s just a shame he doesn’t get any support. Wash just finally started making sense with the top 4 of the lineup this week. He probably won’t get the 5-6-7 hitters figured out until the All-star Break, but I digress. If Trout keeps this up he’ll play himself onto the IL.
Andy Pages – was called up to play a near-everyday role in the outfield for the Dodgers. I want just about anyone in the Dodgers’ lineup. There’s plenty to like about him and I’d also grab him where still possible for some easy counting stats.
Bryan De La Cruz – is on a tear. He is hitting the ball extremely hard at the moment, so enjoy the ride while you can. I see some regression in his future with a high K%, Chase% among other things.
Colton Cowser – now has 6 HR, 3 SB in the month of April. Outstanding. It’s so nice to see teams give good players PT regardless of age/contract.
Ryan O’Hearn – has continued where he left off last year attempting to prove to everyone that miracles do exist. It’s not every day you see a true, bonafide late-career breakout after age 30. Is this it? Still undecided, but looks to be trending that way. So far his K-rate is down, he’s driving the ball to center, and he’s hunting fastballs. So far everything under the hood looks pretty legit. He should be rostered until further notice.
Starling Marte – that Marte Zombino season appears to be in full swing now. So glad I rolled the dice with a couple teams. He looked healthy in winter ball, and has carried over those good vibes to this season. Believe it.
Mitch Haniger – continues to show himself as a early season glass cannon. He’ll probably get injured at some point, but he has a career of high-level hitting in April and then disappearing until after August. So for now, keep rolling or sell him before the clock strikes 12.
Lars Nootbaar – has been hitting well and collecting counters since rejoining the roster. I like him for some nice combo numbers in that lineup moving forward.
Davis Schneider – Schneider SZN is in full effect, do not panic. Please put all trays and chairs in the upright locked position and move towards the waiver wire in an orderly fashion.
Brent Rooker – He’s hitting homers in limited use, and somehow feels like he’s due for a hot streak.
The Board
If you need to brush-up on my board’s value system, refer to the preseason post here.
# | Name | Team | POS | Tier | CW$ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | ATL | OF | 1 | 16.58 |
2 | Mookie Betts | LAD | 2B/SS/OF | 1 | 12.85 |
3 | Juan Soto | NYY | OF | 1 | 11.72 |
4 | Kyle Tucker | HOU | OF | 1 | 11.24 |
5 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | OF | 1 | 10.91 |
6 | Julio Rodriguez | SEA | OF | 1 | 10.59 |
7 | Yordan Alvarez | HOU | OF | 1 | 10.09 |
8 | Corbin Carroll | ARI | OF | 1 | 10.03 |
9 | Mike Trout | LAA | OF | 1 | 8.04 |
10 | Aaron Judge | NYY | OF | 1 | 8.02 |
11 | Adolis Garcia | TEX | OF | 1 | 7.53 |
12 | Michael Harris II | ATL | OF | 1 | 7.52 |
13 | Cody Bellinger | CHC | 1B/OF | 1 | 6.53 |
14 | Spencer Steer | CIN | 1B/3B/ OF | 1 | 5.86 |
15 | Randy Arozarena | TB | OF | 1 | 5.82 |
16 | Christian Yelich | MIL | OF | 1 | 5.11 |
17 | Teoscar Hernandez | LAD | OF | 1 | 5.11 |
18 | Kyle Schwarber | PHI | OF | 1 | 5.06 |
19 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | MIA | OF | 2 | 4.87 |
20 | Tyler O’Neill | BOS | OF | 2 | 4.31 |
21 | Jarren Duran | BOS | OF | 2 | 4.26 |
22 | Jackson Chourio | MIL | OF | 2 | 4.14 |
23 | Lane Thomas | WSH | OF | 2 | 4.14 |
24 | Taylor Ward | LAA | OF | 2 | 4.06 |
25 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | ARI | OF | 2 | 4.00 |
26 | Bryan Reynolds | PIT | OF | 2 | 3.92 |
27 | Anthony Santander | BAL | OF | 2 | 3.84 |
28 | Steven Kwan | CLE | OF | 2 | 3.76 |
29 | Seiya Suzuki | CHC | OF | 3 | 3.46 |
30 | Brandon Nimmo | NYM | OF | 3 | 3.22 |
31 | Cedric Mullins | BAL | OF | 3 | 3.06 |
32 | Evan Carter | TEX | OF | 3 | 3.04 |
33 | Jorge Soler | SF | OF | 3 | 3.01 |
34 | Starling Marte | NYM | OF | 3 | 3.00 |
35 | Ian Happ | CHC | OF | 3 | 2.96 |
36 | Riley Greene | DET | OF | 3 | 2.93 |
37 | Christopher Morel | CHC | 3B/OF | 3 | 2.91 |
38 | Luis Robert Jr. | CHW | OF | 3 | 2.86 |
39 | Masataka Yoshida | BOS | OF | 3 | 2.77 |
40 | Daulton Varsho | TOR | OF | 3 | 2.69 |
41 | Wyatt Langford | TEX | OF | 3 | 2.68 |
42 | Jung Hoo Lee | SF | OF | 4 | 2.00 |
43 | Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | OF | 4 | 1.86 |
44 | Kerry Carpenter | DET | OF | 4 | 1.83 |
45 | Jordan Walker | STL | OF | 4 | 1.82 |
46 | James Outman | LAD | OF | 4 | 1.82 |
47 | Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | OF | 4 | 1.60 |
48 | George Springer | TOR | OF | 4 | 1.50 |
49 | Colton Cowser | BAL | OF | 4 | 1.25 |
50 | Jake Fraley | CIN | OF | 4 | 1.10 |
51 | Nelson Velazquez | KC | OF | 4 | 1.09 |
52 | MJ Melendez | KC | OF | 4 | 1.09 |
53 | Ryan O’Hearn | BAL | 1B/OF | 4 | 1.07 |
54 | Esteury Ruiz | OAK | OF | 5 | 0.99 |
55 | Jose Siri | TB | OF | 5 | 0.93 |
56 | Will Benson | CIN | OF | 5 | 0.90 |
57 | Nolan Jones | COL | OF | 5 | 0.84 |
58 | Jack Suwinski | PIT | OF | 5 | 0.84 |
59 | Michael Conforto | SF | OF | 5 | 0.79 |
60 | Lars Nootbaar | STL | OF | 5 | 0.62 |
61 | Sal Frelick | MIL | OF | 5 | 0.54 |
62 | Luis Rengifo | LAA | 2B/SS/ 3B/OF | 5 | 0.31 |
63 | Nick Castellanos | PHI | OF | 5 | 0.21 |
64 | Brendan Donovan | STL | 2B/OF | 5 | 0.17 |
65 | Brandon Marsh | PHI | OF | 5 | 0.05 |
66 | Brent Rooker | OAK | OF | 5 | 0.04 |
67 | Mitch Haniger | SEA | OF | 5 | 0.01 |
68 | Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | 3B/OF | 5 | 0.00 |
69 | Brenton Doyle | COL | OF | 5 | -0.04 |
70 | Jeff McNeil | NYM | 2B/OF | 5 | -0.12 |
71 | Jackson Merrill | SD | SS/OF | 5 | -0.13 |
72 | Jarred Kelenic | ATL | OF | 5 | -0.14 |
73 | Chas McCormick | HOU | OF | 5 | -0.16 |
74 | Charlie Blackmon | COL | OF | 5 | -0.20 |
75 | Wilyer Abreu | BOS | OF | 5 | -0.30 |
76 | Kris Bryant | COL | OF | 5 | -0.34 |
77 | Andy Pages | LAD | OF | 5 | -0.36 |
78 | Connor Joe | PIT | 1B/OF | 5 | -0.45 |
79 | Byron Buxton | MIN | OF | 5 | -0.51 |
80 | Max Kepler | MIN | OF | 5 | -0.54 |
81 | Alex Kirilloff | MIN | 1B/OF | 5 | -0.61 |
82 | Davis Schneider | TOR | 2B/OF | 5 | -0.66 |
83 | Alex Verdugo | NYY | OF | 5 | -0.67 |
84 | Leody Taveras | TEX | OF | 5 | -0.70 |
85 | Jurickson Profar | SD | OF | 5 | -0.73 |
86 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | SF | 1B/OF | 5 | -0.81 |
87 | Joc Pederson | ARI | OF | 5 | -0.84 |
88 | Ceddanne Rafaela | BOS | OF | 5 | -0.86 |
89 | Mark Canha | DET | OF | 5 | -0.88 |
90 | Andrew Benintendi | CHW | OF | 5 | -0.88 |
91 | Henry Davis | PIT | C/OF | 5 | -0.97 |
92 | Harrison Bader | NYM | OF | 5 | -1.11 |
93 | Edward Olivares | PIT | OF | 5 | -1.19 |
94 | Tyler Freeman | CLE | 3B/OF | 5 | -1.20 |
95 | Johan Rojas | PHI | OF | 5 | -1.20 |
96 | Ezequiel Duran | TEX | SS/3B/ OF | 5 | -1.39 |
97 | Alek Thomas | ARI | OF | 5 | -1.41 |
98 | Jesse Winker | WSH | OF | 5 | -1.58 |
99 | Willi Castro | MIN | SS/3B/ OF | 5 | -1.59 |
100 | Hunter Renfroe | KC | OF | 5 | -1.59 |
As always, the individual ranks (and to a degree the dollars) don’t really matter, what’s important are the tiers, and more important than that—your roster construction. If your team is starving for steals, it doesn’t matter if Soler is worth more than Ruiz, your roster needs Ruiz more. Simple as that. Any outfielder not listed, consider them tier 5.
If you want more Coolwhip to top off your baseball experience, fantasy or otherwise, you can follow me on Twitter: @CoolwhipRB.
Outman is ranked pretty high here… seems hard to justify with the amount of at-bats he receives?
Every time I look at Jazz’s player card, I do a double take. How is he only owned in 62% of ESPN leagues? Do I own the wrong Jazz Chisolm? I mean he’s not a superstar but I’ll take him all day every day as my 4th OF.
Thanks Coolwhip! Shallow h2h keeper league, keep up to 3 years.
I have Springer, Langford, Duran. J Lowe sitting there on waivers.
Where will Lowe rank when he returns to the Rays lineup? And would you drop any of those OFs to grab him?
Hard to say since it was a hip injury, Lowe would probably be a Tier 3 OF to start off. Don’t know if i would drop anyone, maybe Springer. Would probably prefer to trade someone off for value instead of dropping.
Two words for you:
Joey Loperfido.
Houston is skuttling and getting almost 0 production from 1B and Loper is destroying balls in AAA. He also has OF eligibility. Seems to me that when the Super 2 gets cut off, Loper is going to be in Houston.
Yep, I’ve got him on the watch list. With how bad Abreu has been I could see it.
CW
I trust Oakland to figure this out, quoting nobody ever.
Ruiz has certainly proven he’s an asset for fantasy baseball, but the same can’t be said for Wyatt Langford…..yet.
I want to believe that his first home run will get him going, but curious to hear your thoughts on the young man’s cold start.
There’s nothing glaring in his peripherals so far, just he’s not quite squaring things up. I think he’s still adjusting to MLB pitching some and has had some bad luck with umps. The good news is his walk rate is decent for a rookie so far and his K-rate isn’t terrible, and the peak of his contact is going to centerfield. ATM just cold.
Yahoo, 10 team, 5×5 roto, daily lineups, seasonal 162 games played limit at offensive positions, 1500 innings pitched limit.
Current lineup:
Yanier
Nolan Jones
Westburg
Ke’Bryan
Bogaerts
IF – Steer
4 OF – Julio Rodriguez, Arozarena, Nimmo, Chourio
Util – K. Carpenter
BN – Albies (IL)
IL – Burger
NA – Jr. Caminero
2 SP – Skubal, Singer
2 RP – Hader, Philips
3 P – Suarez, Neris, Payamps
BN – Burnes, Imanaga, EdCab, Lodolo, Bryce Miller, Lugo, Keller
IL – deGrom, Buehler, Fairbanks
NA – Skenes
Was just offered Bryan Reynolds for my Robert Suarez.
Im currently in 4th, he is in 7th.
Im first in W and ERA, second in WHIP, 3rd in saves and Ks.
2nd in SB, dead last in HR and AVG9th in runs, middle of the pack in RBI.
Trade analyzer has Reynolds with a bit more value, but is he going to add enough to my team to make up for the elite closer production from Suarez?
Worth trying to get more? He is looking for a closer.
Yeah, I don’t think BryRey moves the needle in a serious way for me since you have the mirror image in Nimmo. I’d definitely want something more/different and possibly counter with a package deal of OF+Suarez for better OF etc.
I didn’t think it made sense…thanks!
His roster:
Salvy
Naylor
Hoerner
Machado
Lindor
IF – Turang
Schwarber, Judge, Lane Thomas, BryRey
Util – Tucker
BN – Hoo Lee, Oneil Cruz, hoskins, Elias Diaz, Chapman
2SP Weathers. Stroman
2RP King, Pepiot
3 P Mason Miller, J. Adam, Ryne Stanek
Bn – Stroman, S. Gray, Castillo,
IL – Darvish, Woo
Anything that does make sense to trade for?
Suarez for Machado unreasonable?
Other thoughts?
Thanks!
Tyler Freeman or Davis Schneider? Pages on Waivers…my only move is to drop Jordan Beck!
Pages, Schneider
Based on Tiers, you like W. Benson, basically a platoon bat, over Nootbar, a 3-hole everyday player?
Both are currently tier 5, so actually same. Benson has been playing nearly every day, Nootbaar right now I have for less total ABs than Benson EOY. I like both though!
I know this is bottom feeding, but I’ve got Will Brennan rostered in a deep dynasty league, and Andrew Benintendi is available. I see some potential for a power-speed combo with Brennan, and I like the park. Any reason I should consider dropping him for Benintendi, who you have ranked while Brennan is not?
Brennan was just outside, like 102 or something. I like the upside with him, whereas Benintendi has almost no upside. And, both are tier 5, so take your pick.
Esteury Ruiz is finally starting against a righty today. Is it a wait and see approach still and see if he gets consistent playing time or can we scoop him up now. Current of’s are Bryan reynolds, Tyler O’Neil, arozarena, and Varsho.
Yes, I saw that! And tweeted as much. As I said above, I grabbed him everywhere I could and if I was you I’d do the same. If he gets on base just a little bit more often he could win SB for you by himself and possibly chip a few more homers too. Those OF are okay, who you got at DH?
We don’t have a dh spot in our league but we have a utility which is occupied by Busch and bohm along with the four of’s. We can start one 3rd baseman, 3 of, one utility. Vlad is my first baseman.
I’d probably try to sell Varsho high while he’s appealing for a need and then pick up Esteury for the speed boost, seems you are light on SB.
I feel like I already know the answer to this, but the hell does one do with Buxton (this is a dynasty league)? He’s FINALLY healthy, but just not doing a damn thing. The whole reason you were appealing Bux, was because what would happen IF you stayed healthy! haha.
I mean, I’m pretty much all-the-way out on Buxton at this point. haha, I’d probably try to sell him to someone that might still believe for something with unrealized potential.
Why do you have outman so high? I want to hold onto him but he sits too often and outside one week he isn’t doing much against righties either.
Yeah, he’s trending down, and depending on how much Pages play he could siphon playing time. Right now, long term, I still think he’s got value for the rest of the season as it’s still only April.
30 games from now, if Carroll is still stinking up the joint, will you then drop him in your rankings? It hasn’t been a pretty beginning
haha, short answer: yes. his hard contact is way down not driving anything. But the speed is still there so there’s still value in that and scoring runs. I chipped down some of his HR estimate but it still bouys him up some. 2 months of less than 5 HR would have a large impact on the math.
Hi Coolwhip
Would appreciate your analysis of my OF.
Also, how do you decide who to start? I have a real problem on who to start. I do use the RAZZ dollars to decide. Any help on the appropriate criteria would be appreciated
LF: Lourdes Gurriel
CF: Jarran Durran (both LF andCF)
RF: Starling Marte
Bench: Chris Mullins (CF)
BDLG (LF and RF)
Ryan O’hearn who can play 1B
Do you see a need to upgrade?
thanks!
Martin
I guess the first question is are you in a daily league, if so, then it’s mostly based on opposing pitcher… i.e. two OF about the same skill level one vs an ace, one vs #3, start the one vs the #3. Some guys you should start all the time. I’d start LGJ every day right now while he’s hitting and due to lineup spot. Marte might depend on day and spot in order. O’Hearn should be in lineup every day he starts right now, he’s hot. As is BDLC.
Great advice- I am in a daily league. does that change any of your thoughts?
really appreciate all this help!
nope, that all applies most to daily leagues: compare matchups, and if a player is on a hot streak ignore the matchups lol.