I hate to be rude, so I won’t be Brash in the truest sense, but Seattle pitcher Matt Brash will make this list, so Brash this list will be. 

The individual predictions, however, are a step below that. I can’t exactly call them reasonable predictions for 2022, but I do think these are all within the realm of reason, and I think those kinds of predictions tend to be a little more sticky and useful than the boldest ones.

I hope you’ll join me in the speculatory fun. What are your most reasonably brash predictions for the coming season? Which of these seems most bold to you? (Thanks for reading! I’ll tally everything in this piece up for an article next season, so if you want to get something on the record to amplify your human memory, here is a place to do it.) 

Now into the future we go! 

 

Guardians OF Steven Kwan hits .295 with 16+ HR and 12+ SB in about 500 plate appearances. 

Stop looking at me, Kwwaaannnnn!!

 

Giants RHP Camilo Doval saves 20+ games with an ERA under three and WHIP under 1.10. 

Yeah yeah I know what Kapler said. Jake McGee. Sure. But who was it in the playoffs last year with the season on the line? Not McGee, that’s who. Baseball’s season is a marathon. San Francisco wins a lot of games. Doval will save a lot of them. 

 

Padres SS CJ Abrams plays 115  games in the majors, stealing 20 bases and hitting 10 home runs.

Preller moves aggressively in most matters, and this season lines up perfectly for an early Abrams debut. 

 

OF Julio Rodriguez hits .290+ with 20 home runs and 25 stolen bases. 

Doesn’t feel particularly bold to me, but the stolen bases might surprise some people. 

 

RHP Matt Brash wins the fifth starter spot out of Spring Training and remains in the rotation all season. 

I’m not putting stats here only to protect myself because I am irrationally optimistic. 

 

LHP Nick Lodolo pitches 100+ MLB innings with an ERA under four and a WHIP under 1.2. 

Plus command from a tricky angle will make Lodolo effective from the jump. 

 

RHP Hunter Greene pitches 110+ MLB innings with 140+ strikeouts and an ERA under four. 

Whisper mill had Greene breaking camp with the big club, and the Reds made it official just before this article went to post on Wednesday. 

 

SS Bobby Witt is the best statistical rookie since Bryant. 30-30 season. 

Witt has decided to never miss when he swings this spring. Seems like a good strategy. 

 

Eury Perez and Daniel Espino are the top two pitching prospects in baseball entering 2023. 

Who’s gonna hit these guys? Watch them pitch if you get the chance! 

 

Corbin Carroll and Luis Matos are the top two position-player prospects in baseball entering 2023. Honorable mention to Kahlil Watson. 

My three favorite rocketmen poised to launch themselves up the lists this season. Carroll doesn’t have much atmosphere left above him, but those final ten spots are the toughest ascent. 

 

RHP Art Warren refuses to return the closer gig to Lucas Sims. A timeshare ensues. Warren wins out in the end. 25+ saves. 

Warren just doesn’t give up home runs: one so far in 26.1 big league innings. That’s a good trait for a reliever with a 41.5 percent strikeout rate. 

 

OF Oscar Colas dominates after a shaky couple weeks and winds up inside the top 25 on several prospect lists next season. 

Icy early, fizzy late. 

 

Atlanta SS Vaughn Grissom is included on Atlanta’s playoff roster and plays a role in their 2022 postseason run. 

No numbers here. Just glory. Grissom is a tough out with a center-right approach, and he might just skill-out of the minors by August even though he’s only played a month or so at High-A. I’m not saying he’ll bump anyone off their spot, but things happen, and Grissom will look like a possible solution to any roster problems that bubble up late season. 

 

Cubs LHP Justin Steele enters next season locked into the starting rotation.  

Oh hey, here’s a bold one. Steele pitched well late last season and his pitch mix matches well with the current era. 

 

Reds LHP Reiver Sanmartin wins ten games. 

On the Reds? Yeah, dude, the Reds

 

Oakland 3B Kevin Smith goes 15/15 in 500+ plate appearances. 

I’m a little worried about the contact skills, but the defense, power and speed all play at the highest level. 

 

Bonus: Non-Prospect Predictions: 

RHP Tony Gonsolin wins and holds the five-spot while healthy this season, spinning 150 solid innings and winning 14 games for his efforts. 

Bet against Dodgers pitching at your own peril. Gonsolin was solid as a swingman but will settle back into his plus command as a starter. 

 

Yankees 1B Anthony Rizzo hits 30+ home runs. 

If this doesn’t happen in New York, Rizzo might be in trouble. 

 

Thanks for reading!

I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter.

40 Comments
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MIkeyMike
MIkeyMike
2 months ago

Matt Brash shows us why taking SP high is not needed compiling 155 k’s in 120 IP while sporting a 2.80 ERA

Mark
Mark
2 months ago

In my keepers I have 4 top 100 prospects. Most prospects go bust…post hype prospects past the threshold in abs and or innings you see good things for.

Anything in spring that you notice from former prospects?

Senzel always intrigues me and Ian Happ. Mostly due to former hype.

I always get worried over Kyle Lewis types with high k’s. They seem to go bust really fast.

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
2 months ago

Itch,

I have 4 minor leaguers that may make the Opening Day rosters.

CJ Abrams / SS / SD
Julio Rodriguez / OF / SEA
Bobby Witt, Jr. / SS / KC
Mackenzie Gore / SP / SD

Have you heard anything about them making it as yet? If not what should I do with them? Bring them up or keep them in minors?

TualatinTwoStep
TualatinTwoStep
2 months ago

What’s up Itch?

Towards the end of my dynasty draft right now, and would like to add Vaughn Grissom to my squad. After promoting Oneil Cruz, I do not really have anyone to promote from my minors squad, as the guys closes to the majors are probably Shea Langeliers (it’s a 2 catcher league) and Michael Toglia. Out of the following guys on my MiLB roster, who is the cut?

Elijah Tatis
Matt Tabor
Jhon Torres

Already swooped Roderick Arias and Oscar Colas earlier in the draft, would you rather have Christhian Vaquero, Dyan Jorge, or Ryan Reckley than any of these guys?

TarmanGotHim
TarmanGotHim
2 months ago

ITCH!! THE ITCH!!

Haha. In a Keeper League where you’re competing. Keep 7. I draft 7th. Where would you draft Witt? I know it’s hard to say (if he isn’t kept I’ll know this weekend). Do I take him right away? My keepers are

Soto
Harper
Robert
Chisholm
Olson
Bieber
Manoah

And next season it’ll be 8 and so on.

So I’d intend on keeping him next season depending on what the season looks like and who I draft. He’s obviously someone you want for a decade+.

Thank you!!

DaroSan
DaroSan
Reply to  TarmanGotHim
2 months ago

He should be 1st pick in your draft

Rain
Rain
2 months ago

Do you have any articles on top foreign players who may come to MLB soon like Seiya Suzuki just did. Thanks

Foxmanisu
Foxmanisu
2 months ago

Jeremy Peña seems poised for a breakout rookie year, is he close to Jonathan India of 2021?

Laura Holt
2 months ago

Hey Itch! I think I warned you that I’d have some minor league draft questions, so here we go! A) Now that Miranda has been demoted, if he and Nick Yorke are the best two names on the board in my AL-only milb draft, who would you go with? B) Are there any names from the upcoming draft class that are promising enough to take a flier on even though if they sign in the NL they can’t be kept (or vice versa)? C) I’m pretty intrigued by Elly De La Cruz for my NL milb draft; do you think he’s the real deal? Assuming I miss out on Eury Perez and Kahlil Watson who I think will get taken before my pick, should I grab Elly over Roansy Contreras or Henry Davis? Thanks, and sorry, that was even longer that I meant for it to be! ;)

Laura Holt
Reply to  The Itch
2 months ago

Thanks Itch! Trade pieces are pretty valuable in this league, and I am the most impatient owner by far when it comes to waiting on minor leaguers, so I am always looking either for a great trade chip or someone who might be close to making an impact for my team — sounds like I should take Elly if I want the former and Roansy if I want the latter.

Easymoney
Easymoney
2 months ago

Oops $10 alek manoah

Easymoney
Easymoney
2 months ago

Itch love the insight….do I trade a $12 adolis garcia for a $ alek manoah

Al KOHOLIC
Reply to  Easymoney
2 months ago

I would

Dude
Dude
2 months ago

Keep forever.

Current pitchers:
SP-Schedzer
SP-Burnes
SP-Urias
SP-Woodruff
SP-Gausman
SP-Alex Wood
SP-Ober
SP- Joe Ryan

You dropping Ober for any of these?
Detmers, Ed Cabrera, Luzardo

Dude
Dude
2 months ago

Current squad:
1st- Olsen
2nd- Edman
SS- Swanson
3rd- Devers
2nd/SS- Story
1st/3rd- Alonso
LF- Arozarena
RF- Haniger
CF- Adolis Garcia
OF- Gurriel
UTL- Ozuna
UTL- Jesus Sanchez
BE- Pham
BE-Straw
BE- Josh Rojas
BE-Kevin Smith
BE- Miranda
BE- Luis Urias

Keep forever. Are you dropping anyone for any of the following?
-Kwan(thinking of dropping Pham)
-Melendez(thinking of dropping K Smith)

Norman Ginsberg
Norman Ginsberg
2 months ago

I thought you recently did a column grouping the expected 2022 arrival dates for the top prospects; but I can’t find it. Please post the link. Thanks.

Dan
Dan
2 months ago

Hello. Trade proposal : side a) Adrian Houser, Bailey Ober for b) Taijaun Walker , miles Mikolas ? Thanks

Prawn Lord
Prawn Lord
2 months ago

Hey Itch! Do you think Ashby makes the rotation or is he more of a spot start/long relief guy this year? If he does end up starting, got any predictions for what he could do?

Prawn Lord
Prawn Lord
Reply to  The Itch
2 months ago

Thanks! Hey if he can be pre-2021 Robbie Ray, choosing to dream that he can be 2021 Robbie Ray at some point down the line.

toolshed
toolshed
2 months ago

I like the way you are thinking. I have several of these guys on my teams.

I love julio rodriguez but are we sure that the M’s call him up and he plays that much? They started him in high A last year which was surprising since he was there in 2019 and tore it up. They don’t seem to be in a rush with him. I want to believe that he”ill he up for more than a cup of coffee, but they have not been very aggressive with him even though that bat is ready.

Last edited 2 months ago by toolshed
The Original Whatever
The Original Whatever
2 months ago

Hey Itch,

12 team mixed OBP keeper I just drafted Seiya and Jeremy Pena.

Trying to decide between Andy Pages, Rocchio or Stott. Which way would you go in a vacuum?

My current minors:

Greene,Jung,Barrero,Marcelo,McLain,G Jones,Seiya,Jeremy Pena and Whitlock

The Original Whatever
The Original Whatever
Reply to  The Itch
2 months ago

Thanks Itch. I am ok at OF so I can wait.

Thoughts on Pena? I guess opportunity knocks you gotta open the door and see what you got right?

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
2 months ago

The Itch!!!

Awesome!!

a. Great predictions, seriously bold but not way out there. Did you do a similar prediction report last year? How were your results, if so?

b. So, no trades came through and I need to reduce the roster+bench down to 35. Anyway who are the 4 drops?

4*4 (OBP, TB, RC, SB X WHIP, K/9, SVH, QS), dynasty, keep forever, 12-team

Garver
Cron
India
Chapman
Bogaerts
Schwindel
Villar
Walsh, Mateo, Arozarena, Betts, Marte
CJoe, Robles
Bench Brujan, Biggio, Burger, Fraley, JLowe, McCormick, Mercado, Siri, Vierling
MiLB Harris, EMontero, JWalker, BAcuna, LButler, Cowser, Wiemer

14 starters plus 9 bench

SP Cease, Manoah, Musgrove, Gonsolin, Houck, Kopech, Lodolo, Ryan, Ranger
RP Hendriks, Iglesias, Kittredge, Whitlock, Doval, CGreen, Warren
MiLB Canterino, Roansy, LoganT, EuryP, Walston, JMurray

16 pitchers

So, 23+16=39 which must go down to 35 by April 1.

Help me!

Cheers,
Ante

Jeff Graup
Jeff Graup
2 months ago

CONTRERAS

Worm Burner
Worm Burner
2 months ago

Hey The Itch,

It’s always nice to see your voice a couple times a week.
I’m excited to see Jeremy Pena get a chance this year since I got to see a lot of games in Fayetteville.
You think he has a better 2022 than CJ Abrams IF Abrams gets the playing time?

Thanks man, have a good one!