True story:  I looked at my fantasy baseball sleepers from last year and decided since I wrote a Ryan Yarbrough sleeper last year, I wouldn’t write one this year, and instead focused on Chris Bassitt, who I wrote as a ‘guy to target’ but necessarily a full sleeper post. Coming off such a weird year, it’s honestly difficult to have my opinions on starters change that dramatically. I’m trying not to cover ground I covered as recently as last year (which might explain my Nathan Eovaldi sleeper), because I was covering that ground as recently as last July/August. Ryan Yarbrough is still 100% a guy I like, and I have no idea why he’s ranked so low in ADP. He doesn’t have huge strikeouts, but he doesn’t walk anyone, and is good for a mid-3 ERA, which is nothing to sneeze at unless you’re allergic to quality starters. See that, I was able to give you a quick Ryan Yarbrough sleeper inside my Chris Bassitt sleeper. Also, one more thing that needs to mentioned prior to talking about Chris Bassitt and after this awkward intro to this sentence, I’m taking 20-30 innings off all my starter projections this year. I don’t know how to handle guys only throwing 40-60 IP other than just dock them all. It’s worth keeping that in mind when drafting starters this year, and looking at projections. It means there’s gonna be a lot of sixth, seventh and maybe even eighth starters on teams getting upwards to 50 IP, because someone is going to need to replace the missing innings. Without reading anything about docking starters this year, it seems to me people are already doing this. Using Gerrit Cole as an example, he usually is projected for 220+ innings, and this year I see him being projected for ~200 IP. My guess is maybe one starter gets 200 IP this year. You’re gonna read something similar from me in my starter rankings, so quickly forget what you just read so it seems new in a few weeks. By the way, my 2021 fantasy baseball rankings start on Monday. All of them are already available on our Patreon. So, what can we expect from Chris Bassitt and what makes him a sleeper?

Last year, Chris Bassitt had 7.9 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 4.49 xFIP, but .359 FIP, due to suppressing home runs and I don’t know if the xFIP is fair to him, because he doesn’t allow home runs in a park that is the size of Yellowstone, and hitters don’t tee up on him. His ERA (2.29) will beat his FIP, SIERA, you name it, because he doesn’t allow solid contact. It’s why I was in on him last year (and Ryan Yarbrough) and still am. Also, you can just go read my Marcus Stroman sleeper again too, because, while the dates might be wrong, it all remains the same. Look for weak contact and you can only go so wrong. Weak contact and strikeouts, and we’re talking about an ace. Bassitt? Aceitt? No. He’s not an ace. He’s not going to sneak into 200 Ks. You need some number three starters that are going to put together solid seasons and stabilize all your junk like Snuggies. Everyone can’t be Sixto Sanchez. This year is going to be very weird for pitchers, because we’re up against a lot more unknown factors. I’m not concerned about us not having a full season (naive? Perhaps.), but pitchers not throwing 150+ IP last year won’t make them all able to go deeper this season. It will more likely make them all need extra rest.

Chris Bassitt operates (without a medical license) primarily with a sinker, which might explain some of the weak contact. He throws the sinker 39.4% of the time, and that’s 18th most in the league. What’s interesting (to me, at least), it wasn’t always his best pitch, but I believe this is helping his somewhat league-average fastball play up. When you’re expecting everything to drop out of the zone, a regular geezer-laned speedball looks like Goose city. He’s also one of the few pitchers I’ve found that has five plus-pitches. His usage charts from year to year is all over the place too, likely because if one thing isn’t working, he can easily go to another pitch. For unstints, his cutter wasn’t working in 2019 so he threw it 13.6% of the time, and it worked in 2020, so he threw it 23% of the time. Also, he didn’t even have a slider in 2019, and last year it had a .125 BAA with 42.9% Whiff rate. Bassitt is one of the few guys you can hang your hat on as being useful, without worrying about upside, while only needing to bench him occasionally for tough road starts. For 2021, I’ll give Chris Bassitt projections of 12-8/3.49/1.18/156 in 162 IP with a chance for more.

 
  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Great Bassitt fantasy/sleeper report and again great logic.

    a. To my friend, MP….Bassitt Hound!

    b. Bassitt will be good, mind the 2s’s and 2t’s in the name! Also, like Eo from yesterday not even close to being touched in mock drafts anywhere.

    c. Have a nice weekend!

    d. MLB quote of the day for January 16, 2021

    1. Bobby Grich, January 15, 1949

    ‘When I was a kid growing up in Long Beach (California), I used to dream about some day playing for the California Angels. That’s not unusual. Most kids have dreams like that. I was fortunate enough to realize my dream. If I had a hero in those days it was the Angels’ shortstop, Jim Fregosi. As often as I could, I’d go see the Angels and Fregosi play. I’d hop in my ’56 Ford – I paid $125 for it – and drive from Long Beach to Anaheim, get a general admission rocket, and root for Fregosi and the Angels.’

    Bobby Grich in Baseball Digest (February 1986, ‘George Vass, ‘The Game I’ll Never Forget’, Page 63)

    2. Jerry Narron, January 15, 1956

    ‘(Paul) Wilson was pitching on three days’ rest Monday and a few other starting pitchers have done likewise this week. But (Reds Manager Jerry) Narron had no ulterior motives in mind. ‘I’m not trying to get a four-man rotation, if that’s what you’re thinking,’ Narron said. ‘My thoughts on a four-man rotation and Nicole Kidman are probably the same.’ Narron is a fan of the days when there were still four-man rotations.’

    Sportswriter Mark Sheldon on MLB.com (03/05/2007)

    3. Jeff Banister, born January 15, 1965

    ‘The events in my life allowed me to just really, truly kind of hold on to that one at-bat, that one game, and just how precious they really are. And how fragile professional sports and athletes really are. It can be there one day and gone the next. I didn’t dwell on it. I don’t dwell on it.’

    Jeff Banister in The Los Angeles Times (Kevin Baxter, 03/12/2013, ‘For baseball’s one-hit wonders, the magic can last a lifetime’, Source)

    4. Matt Holliday, born January 15, 1980

    ‘If I were Commissioner for a day I’d change the rules so that you get credited with a sacrifice if you get a runner from second to third on a fly ball or on a ground ball.’

    Matt Holliday in Sports Illustrated (The Questions, 08/21/2006, pg 38)

    5. Tony Solaita, born January 15, 1947

    ‘Tony (Solaita) rates among the top two to three players I’ve managed, when it comes to on and off-the-field consideration.’

    Kansas City Royals Manager (1973-1975) Jack McKeon in The Sporting News (Del Black, Tony Now Loud Royal Chirper, 06/07/1975)

    6. Luis Alvarado, born January 15, 1949

    ‘The new manager had his sights fixed on 21-year-old shortstop Luis Alvarado to make the big league club. Alvarado, who had played for (Eddie) Kasko in Louisville, Boston’s Triple-A farm club, had good credentials; he was a slick fielder and had his best year in the minors in 1969, batting .292 with 166 base hits.’

    Author Ron Anderson in Long Taters: A Baseball Biography of George “Boomer” Scott (McFarland Publishing, 11/25/2011, Page 179)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Not to be confused with MC Bassitt Hound, who let the dogs out, is a question he asks

      B. Nice!

      C. You too!

      D. 4. Ha, I bet you would, Matt

      5. I wonder if he said that about everyone, bc he figured no one was paying attention

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        Grey!!!

        a. On D.5. so true!

        b. Found Ratched, Striking Out and Criminal: UK. Gonna go with those 3 for now after we finish off season 5 of Grantchester.

        c. Icy cold here, man. Going into the teens tonight. Snowstorm but hey, it’s winter. Better it be winter in winter than in the summer!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Criminal UK was decent, didn’t watch those others — how was Grantchester?

          • Ante GALIC says:
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            Grey!

            We liked Grantchester, there’s a murder in every episode and the priest helps out the local police to catch the criminal. It works, overall.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              So, it’s a procedural? Hmm…Not usually my cup of tea

  2. Bamabterry says:
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    Bassit is going so low in NFBC. Every draft I have had I have taken him super late almost by default. Glad to see him here.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice!

  3. Tom says:
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    Someone wake me when Grey’s sleepers are over zzzzzzz….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha

  4. Not the real Hubie Brooks says:
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    Random SP question: how do you rate Scherzer this year? Was 2020 a blip or more indicative of what we’ll see going forward? Would you rather have him or Snell in 21? See you on Monday!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d draft Scherzer, if he were going late enough — rankings start next week

  5. Atheists for Jesus says:
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    That was a two for the price of one sleeper post.
    In a weekly h2h 6×5 where the extra category is OPS, would you advise waiting until the 4th or 5 round on SP? People tend to get an SP early in that league. Also, (two for the price of one question) I know your h2h strategy is to fill my bench with SP to monopolize 2-start pitchers. Our bench is 10 deep. Would you fill a bench that deep with all SP? Thanks for your time.

    • Atheists for Jesus says:
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      We have open waivers but lineups are locked for the week.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      10 deep is pretty deep, prolly don’t need 10 SPs — can wait until 4th/5th for an SP, sure

  6. Woolly the Mammoth says:
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    I guess that ends the sleeper posts. I was thinking that you might write sleeper posts about Trey Mancini and Jameson Taillon. Both seem like bounce back candidates that are under the radar.

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      We need bounce back candidate’s posts!

      • Coolwhip says:
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        I got you MP. I’m looking at doing a few over next month or so.

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
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          Awesome, thanks man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, Coolwhip will do bounce backs

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Not sure how Mancini and Taillon are anything more than “if he’s healthy again” which no one has any way of knowing

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
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          I love this, you are always smarter than us, no matter how smart we think we are. We are so blessed to have you, my friend, in my computer. Razzball is always the best cause you are just too smart for the rest!!

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            Grey, this was for you and what you wrote above it, in case you missed it

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I did miss it — thanks for saying! Appreciate it, MP! Hope you’re well!

      • Coolwhip says:
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        also, I just posted one! haha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, did Graver say to you at any point, “I think you might believe in me more than I believe in myself?”

          • Coolwhip says:
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            HAHA. Not yet. *thinking emoji*

            But i think he convinced me not to take 2020 too seriously on guys that were “down” without a trend pointing to it happening. Him/May/Dobnak all said the clusterf*ck of offseason/camp was brutal. I think season is going to be wild in fantasy. A lot of people will either take 2020 too much at face value, or miss something that happened. projections/predictions going to be the wild west.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, that I 100% agree with…I’m reminded of Arozarena’s ADP vs. Charlie Blackmon, who I never liked before, but I’m suddenly like, “He’s going how late????”

  7. Coolwhip says:
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    Bassitt was low-key brilliant for the majority of last season, I think I had him in both of the RazzPro leagues.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I owned last year too, I didn’t think I’d write him up, but he’s still going so low in drafts this year

  8. David Niven says:
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    Bro from another mo, in a dynasty get Dylan Moore, woodruff and C Abrams for Meadows, Urias and Espino.

    Pullo el trigero?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Works for me

  9. David Niven says:
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    You’re a god among men sir, anyone that can put a pretty bow on Eovaldi deserves international recognition.

    Have a great weekend man thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, thanks! You too!

  10. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Afternoon Grey,

    I am trying to acquire DJ LeMaheiu. He wants 3 top prospects from me and another player.

    Would you make that deal? If so what player would you add from my roster:

    C/1B Austin Nola (SD) $6.00
    C/1B *J.T. Realmuto () $26.00
    1B/OF Cody Bellinger (LAD) $29.00
    1B/3B Alec Bohm (PHI) $5.00 (He is asking for)
    1B/2B/SS Jake Cronenworth (SD) $5.00
    1B Freddie Freeman (ATL) $30.00
    1B Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. (TOR) $5.00
    1B Luke Voit (NYY) $27.00
    2B Jose Altuve (HOU) $34.00
    2B Nick Madrigal (CWS) $5.00 (He is asking for)
    3B Alex Bregman (HOU) $35.00
    3B Jose Ramirez (CLE) $53.00
    SS Javier Baez (CHC) $33.00
    SS Bo Bichette (TOR) $6.00
    OF *Michael Brantley () $30.00
    OF J.D. Martinez (BOS) $39.00
    OF Luis Robert (CWS) $5.00
    OF Austin Slater (SF) $5.00
    OF Kyle Tucker (HOU) $5.00
    UT Yordan Alvarez (HOU) $6.00
    UT/SP Shohei Ohtani (LAA) $34.00
    UT Franmil Reyes (CLE) $35.00
    SP *Trevor Bauer () $35.00
    SP Yu Darvish (SD) $33.00
    SP Deivi Garcia (NYY) $5.00
    SP Clayton Kershaw (LAD) $29.00
    SP Lance McCullers, Jr. (HOU) $27.00
    SP/RP Tristan McKenzie (CLE) $5.00
    SP Casey Mize (DET) $5.00
    SP Chris Paddack (SD) $6.00
    SP Chris Sale (BOS) $42.00
    SP Max Scherzer (WAS) $47.00
    SP Luis Severino (NYY) IL $33.00
    SP Julio Urias (LAD) $6.00
    RP Nick Anderson (TB) $6.00
    RP *Alex Colome () $22.00
    RP Giovanny Gallegos (STL) $6.00
    RP *Brad Hand () $39.00
    RP Raisel Iglesias (LAA) $39.00
    RP Emilio Pagan (SD) $6.00
    RP Tanner Rainey (WAS) $5.00
    RP Will Smith (ATL) $17.00

    Minor Leaguers:

    C Dillon Dingler (DET)
    C Adler Rutschman (BAL)
    C Tyler Soderstrom (OAK)
    1B Andrew Vaughn (CWS) (He is asking for)
    2B Josh Smith (NYY)
    3B Kody Hoese (LAD)
    SS CJ Abrams (SD)
    SS/3B/OF Ryan Vilade (COL)
    SS Masyn Winn (STL)
    SS Bobby Witt, Jr. (KC) (He is asking for)
    OF Corbin Carroll (ARI)
    OF Evan Carter (TEX)
    OF Tyler Gentry (KC)
    OF Luis Matos (SF)
    OF Heliot Ramos (SF)
    OF Julio Rodriguez (SEA) (He is asking for)
    OF Drew Waters (ATL)
    SP/RHP Mick Abel (PHI)
    SP,RP/RHP Nick Bitsko (TB)
    SP/LHP Braxton Garrett (MIA)
    SP/RHP Yoendrys Gomez (NYY)
    SP/LHP MacKenzie Gore (SD)
    SP/RHP Hunter Greene (CIN)
    SP/RHP Ethan Hankins (CLE)
    SP,RP/RHP Cole Henry (WAS)
    SP/RHP Ben Hernandez (KC)
    SP/RHP Landon Knack (LAD)
    SP,RP/LHP Shane McClanahan (TB)
    SP/RHP Max Meyer (MIA)
    SP,RP/RHP Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT)
    SP/RHP Alexander Vizcaino (NYY)
    SP/LHP Joey Wentz (DET)

    • Scott Kimmel says:
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      or at least 2 top prospects and a player

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Maybe, which prospects does he want?

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        Julio Rodriguez, Bohm, Madrigal, Witt and Vaughn, He wants 2 of them and a player. I was offering Greene and something else i really dont give up any of the other names.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          If you don’t want to give up players he wants, then how is this gonna work?

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            I am willing to part with hunter greene and one of them? which one would u give up?

            • Jr says:
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              I play in a dynasty league and l own greene. I doubt he’s gonna want Greene, but I wouldn’t do two of those prospects you listed if it were me. I’d try Greene and Madrigal (can afford to move him with altuve, DJ, and cronenworth). If you need to give up a major league player with it I wouldn’t give up a ton. But giving up two of those prospects he wants could bite you hard as soon as next year.

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                i said Rodriguez and Greene and he said I would have to add a player

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Wouldn’t send Ju-Rod

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                I dont have LeMaheiu yet.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  He’s saying you will get DJ

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Vaughn

  11. CJ says:
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    HNY!!! Could Bassitt close this year? Not sure where I heard that but wanted to ask you. Not too familiar with his skill set. If not who holds the next seat? Thanks Grey! As always- cheers!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HNY! He’s not a closer — right now the setup man in OAK is Trivino or Wendelken

      • CJ says:
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        Thx. Just peeked at our site that has the Wendel-fellar… also seen TB had Anderson that I own loosing majority of saves to Diego. “Hand on forehead” Why do waste my time and yours haha! Especially this early… Just will need that Cat once we open transaction is all… ‘preciate ya!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, if it’s any consolation I think Anderson is the guy in Tampa, but that’s obviously not secure

          • Cj says:
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            ?

            • Cj says:
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              “Praying Hands” not ???
              Just a case of the 2021’s~

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, praying hands back at cha

            • Cj says:
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              Huh… “Praying Hands” not ?
              Just a case of the 2021’s~

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                “Pray your hands on me” — Jon Bon Jovi

  12. putitontheboard says:
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    Anyone willing to weigh in? I appreciate any feedback.

    I’m in a keeper league standard 5×5

    I trade Vlad Jr. and Merrifield
    I get Luis Robert and Mile Moose

    I’m a White Sox fan so I’m trying to cut through the bias. What do y’all think?

    Thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mile Moose? I’d want Robert

      • putitontheboard says:
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        My bad! Mike Moose…

        • putitontheboard says:
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          Also, thanks Grey. I happily pay for the Patreon and Razzball services. ?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Thanks!

  13. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    Grey! Happy 2021 my friend. Working on some off season trades for my 12 tm AL only keeper league. We can only keep 15 and I have a few good players that aren’t going to make the cut. I’m going to try and package them for one ACE.

    If you had your pick, who would you target 1st, 2nd, 3rd out of this group. Keeping in mind this is a 5yr keeper league but I’ll be in heavy contention this year.

    Judge
    Bichette
    Vlad Jr
    Moncada
    Mondesi

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      2021! You’re throwing back Bichette and Mondesi? Wow… I’d want a top 5 starter

      • The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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        no sorry, let me clarify.

        those players are on other teams that I’m targeting to acquire.

        I’m going to try and give a package of 5-6 players for one of

        Judge
        Bichette
        Vlad Jr
        Moncada
        Mondesi

        Just wondering which one you’d go after first. I’m thinking BO

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bichette

  14. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Afternoon Grey (or morning for you on West Coast)

    He came back with this. He wants J-Rod, and either Bohm or Vaughn for LeMahieu and a 3rd round pick in next years draft., I said if l am giving those prospects up l want your 1st and 2nd pick next year. What do you think I should do? He asked for 2 of these 5 prospects (Bohm, Madrigal, J-Rod, Vaughn and Bobby Witt).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, I’d pass

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        thats exactly what l was thinking

  15. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Hey Grey. Hope you are having a relaxing weekend. I need some help. I have a big draft coming up in a couple of months and I need to know how you would rank these catchers:

    Isiah Kiner-Falefa
    Daulton Varsho
    J.T. Realmuto
    Travis d’Arnaud
    Austin Nola
    Yasmani Grandal
    Victor Caratini
    Salvador Perez
    Willson Contreras
    Christian Vazquez
    Will Smith
    James McCann
    Martin Maldonado
    Max Stassi
    Pedro Severino
    Sean Murphy
    Yan Gomes
    Gary Sanchez
    Kurt Suzuki
    Kevin Plawecki
    Danny Jansen
    Yadier Molina

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Catcher ranks will be out in a couple of days, Vin!

  16. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Oh, I didn’t know. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yup, No problem!

  17. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Haha. I hope you’re just playing like I am.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, yeah, completely

Comments are closed.