True story:  I looked at my fantasy baseball sleepers from last year and decided since I wrote a Ryan Yarbrough sleeper last year, I wouldn’t write one this year, and instead focused on Chris Bassitt, who I wrote as a ‘guy to target’ but necessarily a full sleeper post. Coming off such a weird year, it’s honestly difficult to have my opinions on starters change that dramatically. I’m trying not to cover ground I covered as recently as last year (which might explain my Nathan Eovaldi sleeper), because I was covering that ground as recently as last July/August. Ryan Yarbrough is still 100% a guy I like, and I have no idea why he’s ranked so low in ADP. He doesn’t have huge strikeouts, but he doesn’t walk anyone, and is good for a mid-3 ERA, which is nothing to sneeze at unless you’re allergic to quality starters. See that, I was able to give you a quick Ryan Yarbrough sleeper inside my Chris Bassitt sleeper. Also, one more thing that needs to mentioned prior to talking about Chris Bassitt and after this awkward intro to this sentence, I’m taking 20-30 innings off all my starter projections this year. I don’t know how to handle guys only throwing 40-60 IP other than just dock them all. It’s worth keeping that in mind when drafting starters this year, and looking at projections. It means there’s gonna be a lot of sixth, seventh and maybe even eighth starters on teams getting upwards to 50 IP, because someone is going to need to replace the missing innings. Without reading anything about docking starters this year, it seems to me people are already doing this. Using Gerrit Cole as an example, he usually is projected for 220+ innings, and this year I see him being projected for ~200 IP. My guess is maybe one starter gets 200 IP this year. You’re gonna read something similar from me in my starter rankings, so quickly forget what you just read so it seems new in a few weeks. By the way, my 2021 fantasy baseball rankings start on Monday. All of them are already available on our Patreon. So, what can we expect from Chris Bassitt and what makes him a sleeper?

Last year, Chris Bassitt had 7.9 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 4.49 xFIP, but .359 FIP, due to suppressing home runs and I don’t know if the xFIP is fair to him, because he doesn’t allow home runs in a park that is the size of Yellowstone, and hitters don’t tee up on him. His ERA (2.29) will beat his FIP, SIERA, you name it, because he doesn’t allow solid contact. It’s why I was in on him last year (and Ryan Yarbrough) and still am. Also, you can just go read my Marcus Stroman sleeper again too, because, while the dates might be wrong, it all remains the same. Look for weak contact and you can only go so wrong. Weak contact and strikeouts, and we’re talking about an ace. Bassitt? Aceitt? No. He’s not an ace. He’s not going to sneak into 200 Ks. You need some number three starters that are going to put together solid seasons and stabilize all your junk like Snuggies. Everyone can’t be Sixto Sanchez. This year is going to be very weird for pitchers, because we’re up against a lot more unknown factors. I’m not concerned about us not having a full season (naive? Perhaps.), but pitchers not throwing 150+ IP last year won’t make them all able to go deeper this season. It will more likely make them all need extra rest.

Chris Bassitt operates (without a medical license) primarily with a sinker, which might explain some of the weak contact. He throws the sinker 39.4% of the time, and that’s 18th most in the league. What’s interesting (to me, at least), it wasn’t always his best pitch, but I believe this is helping his somewhat league-average fastball play up. When you’re expecting everything to drop out of the zone, a regular geezer-laned speedball looks like Goose city. He’s also one of the few pitchers I’ve found that has five plus-pitches. His usage charts from year to year is all over the place too, likely because if one thing isn’t working, he can easily go to another pitch. For unstints, his cutter wasn’t working in 2019 so he threw it 13.6% of the time, and it worked in 2020, so he threw it 23% of the time. Also, he didn’t even have a slider in 2019, and last year it had a .125 BAA with 42.9% Whiff rate. Bassitt is one of the few guys you can hang your hat on as being useful, without worrying about upside, while only needing to bench him occasionally for tough road starts. For 2021, I’ll give Chris Bassitt projections of 12-8/3.49/1.18/156 in 162 IP with a chance for more.

73 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
VinWins
VinWins
1 year ago

Haha. I hope you’re just playing like I am.

VinWins
VinWins
1 year ago

Oh, I didn’t know. Thanks!

VinWins
VinWins
1 year ago

Hey Grey. Hope you are having a relaxing weekend. I need some help. I have a big draft coming up in a couple of months and I need to know how you would rank these catchers:

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Daulton Varsho
J.T. Realmuto
Travis d’Arnaud
Austin Nola
Yasmani Grandal
Victor Caratini
Salvador Perez
Willson Contreras
Christian Vazquez
Will Smith
James McCann
Martin Maldonado
Max Stassi
Pedro Severino
Sean Murphy
Yan Gomes
Gary Sanchez
Kurt Suzuki
Kevin Plawecki
Danny Jansen
Yadier Molina

Thanks!

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
1 year ago

Afternoon Grey (or morning for you on West Coast)

He came back with this. He wants J-Rod, and either Bohm or Vaughn for LeMahieu and a 3rd round pick in next years draft., I said if l am giving those prospects up l want your 1st and 2nd pick next year. What do you think I should do? He asked for 2 of these 5 prospects (Bohm, Madrigal, J-Rod, Vaughn and Bobby Witt).

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

thats exactly what l was thinking

The Talented Mr. Dope Man
The Talented Mr. Dope Man
1 year ago

Grey! Happy 2021 my friend. Working on some off season trades for my 12 tm AL only keeper league. We can only keep 15 and I have a few good players that aren’t going to make the cut. I’m going to try and package them for one ACE.

If you had your pick, who would you target 1st, 2nd, 3rd out of this group. Keeping in mind this is a 5yr keeper league but I’ll be in heavy contention this year.

Judge
Bichette
Vlad Jr
Moncada
Mondesi

The Talented Mr. Dope Man
The Talented Mr. Dope Man
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

no sorry, let me clarify.

those players are on other teams that I’m targeting to acquire.

I’m going to try and give a package of 5-6 players for one of

Judge
Bichette
Vlad Jr
Moncada
Mondesi

Just wondering which one you’d go after first. I’m thinking BO

putitontheboard
putitontheboard
1 year ago

Anyone willing to weigh in? I appreciate any feedback.

I’m in a keeper league standard 5×5

I trade Vlad Jr. and Merrifield
I get Luis Robert and Mile Moose

I’m a White Sox fan so I’m trying to cut through the bias. What do y’all think?

Thank you!

putitontheboard
putitontheboard
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

My bad! Mike Moose…

putitontheboard
putitontheboard
Reply to  putitontheboard
1 year ago

Also, thanks Grey. I happily pay for the Patreon and Razzball services. ?

CJ
CJ
1 year ago

HNY!!! Could Bassitt close this year? Not sure where I heard that but wanted to ask you. Not too familiar with his skill set. If not who holds the next seat? Thanks Grey! As always- cheers!

CJ
CJ
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Thx. Just peeked at our site that has the Wendel-fellar… also seen TB had Anderson that I own loosing majority of saves to Diego. “Hand on forehead” Why do waste my time and yours haha! Especially this early… Just will need that Cat once we open transaction is all… ‘preciate ya!

Cj
Cj
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

?

Cj
Cj
Reply to  Cj
1 year ago

“Praying Hands” not ???
Just a case of the 2021’s~

Cj
Cj
Reply to  Cj
1 year ago

Huh… “Praying Hands” not ?
Just a case of the 2021’s~

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
1 year ago

Afternoon Grey,

I am trying to acquire DJ LeMaheiu. He wants 3 top prospects from me and another player.

Would you make that deal? If so what player would you add from my roster:

C/1B Austin Nola (SD) $6.00
C/1B *J.T. Realmuto () $26.00
1B/OF Cody Bellinger (LAD) $29.00
1B/3B Alec Bohm (PHI) $5.00 (He is asking for)
1B/2B/SS Jake Cronenworth (SD) $5.00
1B Freddie Freeman (ATL) $30.00
1B Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. (TOR) $5.00
1B Luke Voit (NYY) $27.00
2B Jose Altuve (HOU) $34.00
2B Nick Madrigal (CWS) $5.00 (He is asking for)
3B Alex Bregman (HOU) $35.00
3B Jose Ramirez (CLE) $53.00
SS Javier Baez (CHC) $33.00
SS Bo Bichette (TOR) $6.00
OF *Michael Brantley () $30.00
OF J.D. Martinez (BOS) $39.00
OF Luis Robert (CWS) $5.00
OF Austin Slater (SF) $5.00
OF Kyle Tucker (HOU) $5.00
UT Yordan Alvarez (HOU) $6.00
UT/SP Shohei Ohtani (LAA) $34.00
UT Franmil Reyes (CLE) $35.00
SP *Trevor Bauer () $35.00
SP Yu Darvish (SD) $33.00
SP Deivi Garcia (NYY) $5.00
SP Clayton Kershaw (LAD) $29.00
SP Lance McCullers, Jr. (HOU) $27.00
SP/RP Tristan McKenzie (CLE) $5.00
SP Casey Mize (DET) $5.00
SP Chris Paddack (SD) $6.00
SP Chris Sale (BOS) $42.00
SP Max Scherzer (WAS) $47.00
SP Luis Severino (NYY) IL $33.00
SP Julio Urias (LAD) $6.00
RP Nick Anderson (TB) $6.00
RP *Alex Colome () $22.00
RP Giovanny Gallegos (STL) $6.00
RP *Brad Hand () $39.00
RP Raisel Iglesias (LAA) $39.00
RP Emilio Pagan (SD) $6.00
RP Tanner Rainey (WAS) $5.00
RP Will Smith (ATL) $17.00

Minor Leaguers:

C Dillon Dingler (DET)
C Adler Rutschman (BAL)
C Tyler Soderstrom (OAK)
1B Andrew Vaughn (CWS) (He is asking for)
2B Josh Smith (NYY)
3B Kody Hoese (LAD)
SS CJ Abrams (SD)
SS/3B/OF Ryan Vilade (COL)
SS Masyn Winn (STL)
SS Bobby Witt, Jr. (KC) (He is asking for)
OF Corbin Carroll (ARI)
OF Evan Carter (TEX)
OF Tyler Gentry (KC)
OF Luis Matos (SF)
OF Heliot Ramos (SF)
OF Julio Rodriguez (SEA) (He is asking for)
OF Drew Waters (ATL)
SP/RHP Mick Abel (PHI)
SP,RP/RHP Nick Bitsko (TB)
SP/LHP Braxton Garrett (MIA)
SP/RHP Yoendrys Gomez (NYY)
SP/LHP MacKenzie Gore (SD)
SP/RHP Hunter Greene (CIN)
SP/RHP Ethan Hankins (CLE)
SP,RP/RHP Cole Henry (WAS)
SP/RHP Ben Hernandez (KC)
SP/RHP Landon Knack (LAD)
SP,RP/LHP Shane McClanahan (TB)
SP/RHP Max Meyer (MIA)
SP,RP/RHP Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT)
SP/RHP Alexander Vizcaino (NYY)
SP/LHP Joey Wentz (DET)

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Scott Kimmel
1 year ago

or at least 2 top prospects and a player

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Julio Rodriguez, Bohm, Madrigal, Witt and Vaughn, He wants 2 of them and a player. I was offering Greene and something else i really dont give up any of the other names.

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I am willing to part with hunter greene and one of them? which one would u give up?

Jr
Jr
Reply to  Scott Kimmel
1 year ago

I play in a dynasty league and l own greene. I doubt he’s gonna want Greene, but I wouldn’t do two of those prospects you listed if it were me. I’d try Greene and Madrigal (can afford to move him with altuve, DJ, and cronenworth). If you need to give up a major league player with it I wouldn’t give up a ton. But giving up two of those prospects he wants could bite you hard as soon as next year.

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Jr
1 year ago

i said Rodriguez and Greene and he said I would have to add a player

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Jr
1 year ago

I dont have LeMaheiu yet.

David Niven
David Niven
1 year ago

You’re a god among men sir, anyone that can put a pretty bow on Eovaldi deserves international recognition.

Have a great weekend man thanks!

David Niven
David Niven
1 year ago

Bro from another mo, in a dynasty get Dylan Moore, woodruff and C Abrams for Meadows, Urias and Espino.

Pullo el trigero?

Coolwhip
1 year ago

Bassitt was low-key brilliant for the majority of last season, I think I had him in both of the RazzPro leagues.

Woolly the Mammoth
Woolly the Mammoth
1 year ago

I guess that ends the sleeper posts. I was thinking that you might write sleeper posts about Trey Mancini and Jameson Taillon. Both seem like bounce back candidates that are under the radar.

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Woolly the Mammoth
1 year ago

We need bounce back candidate’s posts!

Coolwhip
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
1 year ago

I got you MP. I’m looking at doing a few over next month or so.

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Coolwhip
1 year ago

Awesome, thanks man!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I love this, you are always smarter than us, no matter how smart we think we are. We are so blessed to have you, my friend, in my computer. Razzball is always the best cause you are just too smart for the rest!!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
1 year ago

Grey, this was for you and what you wrote above it, in case you missed it

Coolwhip
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

also, I just posted one! haha

Coolwhip
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

HAHA. Not yet. *thinking emoji*

But i think he convinced me not to take 2020 too seriously on guys that were “down” without a trend pointing to it happening. Him/May/Dobnak all said the clusterf*ck of offseason/camp was brutal. I think season is going to be wild in fantasy. A lot of people will either take 2020 too much at face value, or miss something that happened. projections/predictions going to be the wild west.

Atheists for Jesus
Atheists for Jesus
1 year ago

That was a two for the price of one sleeper post.
In a weekly h2h 6×5 where the extra category is OPS, would you advise waiting until the 4th or 5 round on SP? People tend to get an SP early in that league. Also, (two for the price of one question) I know your h2h strategy is to fill my bench with SP to monopolize 2-start pitchers. Our bench is 10 deep. Would you fill a bench that deep with all SP? Thanks for your time.

Atheists for Jesus
Atheists for Jesus
Reply to  Atheists for Jesus
1 year ago

We have open waivers but lineups are locked for the week.

Not the real Hubie Brooks
Not the real Hubie Brooks
1 year ago

Random SP question: how do you rate Scherzer this year? Was 2020 a blip or more indicative of what we’ll see going forward? Would you rather have him or Snell in 21? See you on Monday!

Tom
Tom
1 year ago

Someone wake me when Grey’s sleepers are over zzzzzzz….

Bamabterry
Bamabterry
1 year ago

Bassit is going so low in NFBC. Every draft I have had I have taken him super late almost by default. Glad to see him here.

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
1 year ago

Grey!!!!

Great Bassitt fantasy/sleeper report and again great logic.

a. To my friend, MP….Bassitt Hound!

b. Bassitt will be good, mind the 2s’s and 2t’s in the name! Also, like Eo from yesterday not even close to being touched in mock drafts anywhere.

c. Have a nice weekend!

d. MLB quote of the day for January 16, 2021

1. Bobby Grich, January 15, 1949

‘When I was a kid growing up in Long Beach (California), I used to dream about some day playing for the California Angels. That’s not unusual. Most kids have dreams like that. I was fortunate enough to realize my dream. If I had a hero in those days it was the Angels’ shortstop, Jim Fregosi. As often as I could, I’d go see the Angels and Fregosi play. I’d hop in my ’56 Ford – I paid $125 for it – and drive from Long Beach to Anaheim, get a general admission rocket, and root for Fregosi and the Angels.’

Bobby Grich in Baseball Digest (February 1986, ‘George Vass, ‘The Game I’ll Never Forget’, Page 63)

2. Jerry Narron, January 15, 1956

‘(Paul) Wilson was pitching on three days’ rest Monday and a few other starting pitchers have done likewise this week. But (Reds Manager Jerry) Narron had no ulterior motives in mind. ‘I’m not trying to get a four-man rotation, if that’s what you’re thinking,’ Narron said. ‘My thoughts on a four-man rotation and Nicole Kidman are probably the same.’ Narron is a fan of the days when there were still four-man rotations.’

Sportswriter Mark Sheldon on MLB.com (03/05/2007)

3. Jeff Banister, born January 15, 1965

‘The events in my life allowed me to just really, truly kind of hold on to that one at-bat, that one game, and just how precious they really are. And how fragile professional sports and athletes really are. It can be there one day and gone the next. I didn’t dwell on it. I don’t dwell on it.’

Jeff Banister in The Los Angeles Times (Kevin Baxter, 03/12/2013, ‘For baseball’s one-hit wonders, the magic can last a lifetime’, Source)

4. Matt Holliday, born January 15, 1980

‘If I were Commissioner for a day I’d change the rules so that you get credited with a sacrifice if you get a runner from second to third on a fly ball or on a ground ball.’

Matt Holliday in Sports Illustrated (The Questions, 08/21/2006, pg 38)

5. Tony Solaita, born January 15, 1947

‘Tony (Solaita) rates among the top two to three players I’ve managed, when it comes to on and off-the-field consideration.’

Kansas City Royals Manager (1973-1975) Jack McKeon in The Sporting News (Del Black, Tony Now Loud Royal Chirper, 06/07/1975)

6. Luis Alvarado, born January 15, 1949

‘The new manager had his sights fixed on 21-year-old shortstop Luis Alvarado to make the big league club. Alvarado, who had played for (Eddie) Kasko in Louisville, Boston’s Triple-A farm club, had good credentials; he was a slick fielder and had his best year in the minors in 1969, batting .292 with 166 base hits.’

Author Ron Anderson in Long Taters: A Baseball Biography of George “Boomer” Scott (McFarland Publishing, 11/25/2011, Page 179)

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Grey!!!

a. On D.5. so true!

b. Found Ratched, Striking Out and Criminal: UK. Gonna go with those 3 for now after we finish off season 5 of Grantchester.

c. Icy cold here, man. Going into the teens tonight. Snowstorm but hey, it’s winter. Better it be winter in winter than in the summer!

Cheers,
Ante

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Grey!

We liked Grantchester, there’s a murder in every episode and the priest helps out the local police to catch the criminal. It works, overall.

Cheers,
Ante