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What time is it?!  8:25 AM! No, random italicized voice, it’s time for the 2011 Fantasy Baseball RankingsSecond guess. All the 2011 fantasy baseball rankings will live in that link.  The one that reads 2011 fantasy baseball rankings.  It’s also at the top of the page.  No, not “Home.”  Between that, Fantasy Football and the Fantasy Baseball Forum link.  Now we’re cooking with gas!  If you’re a completist, follow us on Twitter or Facebook.  I don’t go to either site longer than 2 minutes a month, but as ex-girlfriends have told me all you need is two minutes.  Hmm… Maybe that’s why they’re ex.  Nah, if I were a selfish lover, I wouldn’t have a mustache.  Now my expositional half insists I breakdown some generalizations about these 2011 fantasy baseball rankings.  The 2011 fantasy baseball rankings will be an ever-evolving mass like the blob.  This fantasy baseball top 10 for 2011 list is as of right now and could potentially change with a big injury or Miguel Cabrera showing up at camp drunk, breaking a tooth on his maple bat as he tries to extract hops.  So while it is the 2011 fantasy baseball gospel, take it with a tablet of salt.  Tomorrow we will cover the rest of the top twenty for 2011 fantasy baseball then we will go around the horn with a top 20 list for every position.  Then for pitchers and outfielders, I’ll turn the dial to 80.  Listed next to each player are my 2011 projections.  Did I consult with whoever else does projections?  It would be ignorant not to, but in the end they are my projections.  Players need 10 games at a position to get included in the positional rankings.  Finally, as with each list in the 2011 fantasy baseball rankings, I will be mentioning where I see tiers start and stop.  I look at tiers like this, if Miguel Cabrera and Albert Pujols are in the same tier, it doesn’t matter if one guy is ranked 1st and one guy is ranked 3rd, they’re both very close. It comes down to personal preference.  I would prefer the guy at number one better than the guy at two, but you do you, I’ll do me and let’s hope we don’t go blind.  Anyway, here’s the top 10 for 2011 fantasy baseball:

1. Albert Pujols – Ho-hum, Pujols is first again.  He’s not without some concerns.  Specifically, he’s a Latin 30, his elbow is hella wonky and the Cards are two injuries away from Pujols hitting between Berkman and David Freese.  But, see, there’s good distractions and bad distractions.  Playing for a contract, good distraction.  Swigging booze while a deputy has you pulled over?  Bad distraction.  Then there’s the bad distraction that is in fact a good distraction like Charlene from The Fighter, but that’s neither here nor there.  “She’s MTV, Ma!”  Oh, and this is the first tier.  It goes from here until Votto.  I call this tier, “The top five.  Dur.”  2011 Projections:  105/37/115/.315/10

2. Hanley Ramirez – Just as Utley and A-Rod disappointed last year after being in the top five, there’s going to be at least one pitfall in this top five.  My guess is it’ll be Hanley, but I have nothing to back that up other than my gut and my gut only scored a 750 on the SATs.  In 2008, Hanley hit 33 home runs.  In 2009, 24.  Last year, 21.  Who is he?  Garrett Atkins?  Maybe, but let’s hear from Mr. Brightside, “He has shortstop eligibility.”  Good point, friend.  2011 Projections:  100/26/100/.310/25

3. Miguel Cabrera – I originally had Miggy ranked number one, but I’d be lying if I said I’d pick Miggy over the top two after his DUI.  I had Miggy number one, not simply to be different from every Tom, Dick and Berry, but I really believed he was about to put up a career season.  Then he started touring the country with his traveling production of “Leaving Las Vegas” and I got cold feet.  I’m still looking forward, not looking back.  Miggy will be 28-years-old for the majority of the 2011 season and he’s solidly in his prime.  He doesn’t give you ten steals like Pujols.  So what?  I’m a rock star.  You know what Pujols doesn’t give you?  Healthy elbow tendons.  Miggy’s power and plate discipline (except at a buffet) were already fantastic and they’re trending up.  And now he has Victor Martinez in the lineup.  Yes, please and thank you.   Don’t let his run-in with the law change your mind too much on him.  Like Miggy should’ve done, just temper yourself.  2011 Projections:  110/37/120/.320/5

4. Evan Longoria – I’ll admit it.  I’m going outside the box and turning it inside out.  Hey, if you want last year’s rankings, search the sidebar.  This is a brave new world, Huxley.  What, you don’t want a 35-homer, in-his-prime 3rd baseman?  That’s cool.  I’d like to play in a league with you.  Sure, he only hit 22 home runs last year.  His HR/FB% was also way off from his career.  His K-rate was down, his walk rate was up, he will hit 30 home runs in 2011.  Probably more.  Plus, he doesn’t have to carry around the dead weight of Tony Parker anymore.  2011 Projections:  105/33/115/.280/10

5. Joey Votto – I got no qualms about Joey Votto.  In my post titled, “Sir Votto Left Foot:  The Player of Loco Dusty,” I said, “16 steals last year is not the high end.  It’s the high end taking off the high end’s ceiling and making a new high end.  He’s closer to a 8-12 steal guy.  Still good, but cuts his value a bit.  37 homers are terrific.  Don’t think he gets there again either.  He’s more of a 30-35 homer guy.  Still good, but cuts his value a bit.  In 2010, he swung at more balls outside the strike zone than in 2009.  Not a terrific trend.  What I think was going on is everything he was hitting was falling in so he was like, “What the eff, I’m going to swing at everything.”  Average might come down next year.  Not too low, probably closer to .310.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Oh, and with all of that undercutting his 2010, Votto is still a top five pick.  Yeah, he’s that good.  2011 Projections:  95/32/110/.310/10

6. Ryan Braun – Yeah, I’ve read all the articles talking about the end of Braun’s power as we know it.  It’s a sad story, I know.  I also don’t buy it.  I’ve watched Braun enough to know he’s a 30+ home run hitter.  He doesn’t hit warning track flies that get blown out by Bernie the Brewer’s burps.  He hits bombs.  I know that’s not scientific, but it’s true.  His HR/FB% was off last year, he’s cut his K-rate and can steal 15 bases.  Even in last year’s off year, he was a top 20 hitter for fantasy.  I’m sorry if you think I’m being stubborn here, but Braun’s a five category performer and the first outfielder I’m taking.  Oh, and this is a new tier.  This tier ends at A-Gon.  This tier is called, “I’m totally fine drafting my first player from this tier.”  2011 Projections:  105/32/120/.295/15

7. David Wright – Usually fantasy baseball ‘perts overrate the previous season and don’t look at the last three years.  Other ‘perts more than me.  You’re welcome.  But that makes Wright’s case an odd one.  People still seem hung up on 2009.  As I said in the preseason last year, “Prior to last year, three of the last four years Wright’s HR/FB rates were above 16 percent.  Last year, he had a home run to fly ball rate of 6.9.  So I’m chalking some of last year up to bad luck.”  In 2010, his HR/FB% bounced back to 15.5% and he hit 29 home runs again.  Fluky shizz can happen like in 2009, but Wright is not a 10 home run hitter.  As Extenze commercials should say, “Don’t sweat the small stuff.”  2011 Projections:  95/30/105/.285/17

8. Troy Tulowitzki – I’m massively concerned about ranking Tulowitzki here.  To borrow heavily from Jesse Malin, Tulo smells like cigarettes and violets.  With every positive there’s a negative.  He had only 12 home runs entering September, but he still hit 27 home runs.  He’s terrible in April, but championships are won in September.  He’s always getting injured, but he’s only 26-years-old.  Finally, shortstop is just so damn shallow.  2011 Projections:  95/30/105/.280/15

9. Prince Fielder – So many players could’ve been listed here.  I’m sure I’ll hear a lot of them in the comments.  Crawford, Cano, CarGo, etc. etc. etc.  They’ll be in the top 20 for 2011 fantasy baseball.  I didn’t forget about them.  I’m just stacking my top 10 with potential 40 home run hitters.  I’m sorry if you don’t understand, I hear ESPN puts out a nice fantasy product.  Don’t overrate the previous year’s numbers.  Fielder is notorious for his on one year and off the next year cycle.  2011 is the year he should be on.  Also, don’t overrate his lack of RBIs last year.  It’s a flukey category, hirame.  Fielder can easily knock in 120 RBIs in 2011.  Remember he knocked in 141 RBIs in 2009.  Sure, the big-bellied don’t age well, but he’ll still only be 27-years-old for the majority of 2011.  Here’s a sneak preview of a July post title celebrating Fielder, “Fatty Goes Batty.”  2011 Projections:  100/38/115/.280

10. Adrian Gonzalez – He was a little low on his HR/FB% last year, so 31 homers seems like the lowest total you can expect. Before you even sit at the Razz counter, I know what you want. It’s a 30+ home run 1st baseman. A-Gon at your service. Now don’t forget to tip your server. This hairnet I’m wearing doesn’t grow on trees. For further Adrian Gonzalez fantasy news regarding his trade to Boston, click that linkie-ma-jig.  2011 Projections: 100/37/110/.280

From Around The Web

  1. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    West Coast RULES! First in line for the GOLD. Same time. Same place. Every night, baby!

  2. Steve says:
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    First iPhone 4?

    Big whoop. I’m the first in the world with the 2011 Razzball rankings!

    The first! Did you hear that? The first!

    Not even gonna take ‘em out of the box. Putting ‘em straight on to Ebay.

  3. Steve says:
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    What happened? I was at the front of the line! I only left for a second to take a leak.

  4. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Steve: That leak my friend will cost you the championship. :-)

  5. Steve says:
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    @Steve: What a plonker.

  6. DrEasy says:
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    Oooooh controversial stuff, Grey! The comments should be interesting…

  7. Al Swedgin says:
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    So happy, so happy.

    I see you decided against playing time estimations, Grey? Even AB #s rounded to the nearest 50 or so would be extremely helpful.

    Anyway, it finally feels like a new year. **sighs contentedly**

  8. Steve says:
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    And now that I’ve finished making a complete dick of myself…

    Great job as always, Grey. Really looking forward to watching these rankings unfold.

  9. @Steve:

    Complete dick? Not really, no… not at all. Much too hard on yourself! Doofus Maximus perhaps, but not Biggus Dickus.

  10. Doug Ault says:
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    I wonder how far down this years rankings Grey bitch slaps Bautista

    ;-)

  11. @Al Swedgin:

    AB/IP is asking a bit much of Grey’s discerning proboscis, tho I agree its one of the more overlooked stats.

  12. vinko says:
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    Nice to see you January Grey!

  13. xxxthetoadxxx says:
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    11 comments and nothing to do with the ranks? Nice work. How about: Why Braun over CarGo?

  14. Howard says:
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    Welcome back ranking Grey! I liked the Jesse Malin reference!

  15. Curt says:
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    Ah, the optimism of January….David Wright in the top 10??……Next, tell me my Mets will win the World Series……I cant wait for spring training, when reallity will kick me in my marble bag.

  16. Eddy says:
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    Mondays have so much more meaning now.

    Btw, I like how you went all rebel on snitches and put Miggy first.

    I also like how I can keep Miggy and Wright in rounds 1 and 2 even better.

    Great stuff Grey, can’t wait for these rankings to progress!

  17. 101 MPH says:
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    It’s pitch black when I wake up in the morning.
    It’s 15 degrees Fahrenheit outside.
    I spent last night shoveling a foot of snow out of my driveway.
    And yet I suddenly feel like spring’s not that far away.

    Thanks Grey and Rudy, for the best fantasy baseball resource on the web.

  18. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Al Swedgin: Unless noted, we’re looking at a full season.

    @Steve: Thanks!

    @vinko: Hola!

    @xxxthetoadxxx: CarGo’s overrated, he’s coming tomorrow.

    @Howard: Thanks!

    @Curt: 29 homers and 19 steals last year at third isn’t good enough for the top 10?

    @Eddy: Thanks!

  19. Nate Marcum says:
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    Welcome back January Grey! Boy how we have missed you. Not that November and December Grey weren’t any fun, but you get the point. Just wondering when you were gonna give us this year’s Ian Stewart? Just kidding! But seriously, any names written on your trapper keeper yet?

  20. GopherDay says:
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    Ah, the rankings are here. I am at peace. :)

    I missed the “deadline” last night for comments. Grey, would you like Chacin or EY2 in a 5X5, 14 team dynasty league. I don’t necessarily need EY2, I have Phillips at 2B and an IF slot with better options than him.

    Pitching Staff:
    Gallardo
    Kershaw
    DLR
    Marcum
    Vazquez
    Bailey
    Kennedy
    Richard
    Minor

    Also, in the same Dynasty league, Nolasco or Bucholze?

  21. Rhymenoceros says:
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    The rankings look good, Grey, but not nearly as good as your mustache. The only blemish is ranking Tulo at 9. I would have certainly put Cano in that spot. 2nd base is as deep as a kiddie pool, and Cano is the best of the group. I can definitely justify Tulo in the 2nd round. I’m no K-Ro, which means I’m not the Gambler. Give me a safe player like Cano in round 1.

  22. Tony says:
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    GREY where are all the pitchers! lol good list…

  23. SwaggerJackers says:
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    Teeeeeeee Shirt Tiiiiiiiiiiiiime!

    Power-hungry Grey is in full force with this top 10 listing. Crawford never stood a chance!

  24. Bill Lumbergh says:
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    Welcome back January Grey!!! We’ve been looking forward to this!!!

  25. John A. Boehnerz says:
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    I know I’ll get the answer to this in a few days but I just can’t wait! Weeks or Konerko?

  26. xxxthetoadxxx says:
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    Why not Cano or A Gone instead of Fielder. He is getting fatter and worse.

  27. GopherDay says:
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    @Rhymenoceros: I doubt you get Tulo in the second round this year.

    @Grey: In all the mocks, A-Gone has been getting more love than Howard and Fielder. Is he in the same general tier or is he still a slight step behind them? If you cover that tomorrow I will happily wait.

  28. John A. Boehnerz says:
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    check that… Weeks, Konerko, Cruz?

  29. johnson says:
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    “I’m just stacking my top 10 with potential 40 home run hitters” …but no AGone in Boston? the guy hit 40 in Petco! and in the middle of that lineup! I like Howard and Prince, but AGone is above both of them.

  30. Tarasco's Secret Stash says:
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    Ah, January. Big up, G.

    Keeper league (OBP instead of average), Matt Holliday for Gordon Beckham and Chris Carpenter. Which side ya got?

  31. Terrence Mann says:
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    @Grey: I know you’re coming out of the gate saying Little Pony is overrated. But I’d like to point out that he hits bombs, too. May be at Coors, but I can assure you they are bombs.

  32. Cole says:
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    My team Mock team from last night:

    C J. Buck
    1B K. Youkilis
    2B R. Theriot
    SS E. Andrus
    3B D. Wright
    OF A. Dunn
    OF A. McCutchen
    OF C. Hart
    OF B. Gardner
    OF C. Lee
    CI I. Davis
    MI Al. Gonzalez
    U D. Ortiz
    P Z. Greinke
    P J. Weaver
    P R. Oswalt
    P D. Hudson
    P T. Lilly
    P O. Dotel
    P M. Capps
    P K. Greg
    P J. Hanrahan
    BN L. Cain

    I know you’re going to say too much pitching, but I couldn’t pass Oswalt up mid 9th round. Thanks for any input!

  33. Matt Crapps says:
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    @Nate Marcum:

    LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

  34. Matt Crapps says:
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    @NateMarcum (didn’t quote right, it was the Ian Stewart jab)

    @Cole your team kills it, with the exception that it’s a different crowd in January. I think the serious drafters on MDC will come back late Feb, i’ve been drafting sick teams like that and not gotten much benefit out of it.

  35. Jim the Gent says:
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    I’m with the growing commenter consensus on A-Gon vs.
    Fielder. Looking at only his road stats over the last four years,
    Gonzalez is averaging a .306 average, 45 HRs, 128 RBIs, and 112
    Runs per season. Fielder has never topped those avg. and runs
    numbers, and only topped that RBI total once in his career. You may
    question whether Gonzalez’s road splits will fully translate, but
    over only the last three years, his numbers are even better, and
    now he’s going to a much better lineup and a park that should be
    much better than the league average NL park he was playing in on
    the road. Even if Fielder has a nice bounce-back year (which could
    easily happen), he’s very unlikely to top a .300 avg. or put up the
    runs and RBIs Gonzalez will hitting in the middle of the BoSox
    lineup in the Fenway bandbox.

  36. Smokey

    Smokey says:
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    “I mentioned fantasy player rankings, so here are a couple that popped up over the weekend. There’s Razzball with its overall top 10 that is definitely a bit too 1B-heavy. Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder in the first round, really?” pulled that from Rotohardball site.

  37. MAC DADDY says:
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    Ohhhhhhhh Grey! The top ten tickled but I can’t wait for
    the whole enchilada!

  38. Tony says:
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    @johnson: one word: surgery….. i dont think he can be in a top 10 list UNTIL he’s proven he can swing a bat….

  39. Tom says:
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    Grey im a big fan of this top 10 – i do feel like cano should be in there but im not mad about it – I love to see Miggy took over #1 – Im also happy your not listing all these hyped up players – like cargo, good for him and everything but you would think last year is the best year hes ever going to have and Im calling it now but i dont see him hitting more then 27 homers with a 280 avg.

  40. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Johnson: He’ll be in the top 20.

    @Tarasco: I want Holliday.

    @Smokey: Never heard of that site.

  41. Smokey

    Smokey says:
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    @Grey: Well they are nice enough to link to Razzball, At the very least. Yea i haven’t either before i stumbled on it through fangraphs.

  42. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Cole: I’m on a plane… Need to look when I get back in LA.

    @Mac Daddy: Cool…

    @Tom: Thanks!

  43. john butte says:
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    Grey, I won my ten team league last year with your assistance. I am trying to grow a mustache to improve my chances of repeating, but in the meantime I have a keeper question. I mortgaged my future last year to secure the pitching I needed to win, so I don’t have a first round pick this year, but do have the #11 pick. I can keep one player from last year’s squad who was drafted in the first 5 rounds if he wasn’t a keeper from the previous year, and two guys from the later rounds. I have Cargo and Bautista as later round keepers. For my early keeper I can keep Wainwright and give up my 5th round pick. Should I keep him, or do I need to throw him back and concentrate on offense to make up for not having a first round pick? Also, how do I grow a thicker, fuller mustache?

  44. joe from pt pleasant says:
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    GREY THE MAN WITH THE PLAN AND THE MUSTACHEEEE.

    imagine if pauly d had a mustache even half as great as yours!
    RANKINGS ARE HEREEE!

    anyway, nice rankings i liked seeing your thoughts on these guys, very different than the norm… im SOOOO glad u bumped down hanley a little because i definitely dont like his trends, or lack of motivation. Most other websites are still stuck on ranking him 1 or 2. I personally don’t even see him being top 5.

    i wasnt so crazy about howard or wright being top ten. and i think longo might be closer to 7-8 rather than 4… but thats just nit picking. and im probably wrong… because im clean shaven.

    YOU DESERVE TO WIN AN MVM AWARD.

  45. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @John Butte: Keep CarGo and work on the stache.

    @Joe: Thanks!

  46. the thing that bugs me about wright is his peripherals are all over the map the last 3 years. i’m not saying i look at them and see an imminent collapse. i’m just saying i look at them and don’t know what the hell i’m looking at. which makes me uncomfortable.

    his power came back last year, but the K rate stayed up around the 26-27% he put up in 09, when before that it used to be 18-19. that’s a huge jump, from tex/youk levels into weeks/ortiz territory. the only other guys who i have even in shouting distance of the first round with K rates that high last year are howard (usually even higher) and kemp (weirdly high for him last year, expect it to go back down).

    in the other numbers – his whiff rate and chase rate both spiked last year, which smells like a guy deciding to swing harder to try and get his HR total back where it’s supposed to be. LD% dropped from a consistent 23-25 (which is absurdly high, but he did it every year) to a mortal 19-ish. and his caught-stealing hit double digits for the first time.

    all of that just confuses me. he’s 27, 28 years old. he shouldn’t be declining. but it’s been a freaky couple of years for the dude. and i can’t just pretend he got his 30 homers last year so everything’s back to normal for him. it’s not. not that it couldn’t be next year! but as of today he’s still a moving target, statistically.

    my concern is that his bat may not really be substantially better than guys like youk, zimmerman, even beltre at this point, which leaves you banking on the steals, which leaves you eyeing those 11 CS nervously.

    or maybe he’s just still been letting the new park psyche him out and he comes roaring back to normal this year. but taken together it’s enough to put me off him in the first.

    howard worries me some too – wright’s K rate is climbing too much for me, howard’s is dropping too much; there’s no pleasing me! – but i like the bold prince ranking. i agree with the 40-homer principle, in principle.

  47. big o says:
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    @Grey:

    you’ve been racking up the frequent-flier miles , lately .
    how come no mention of the “mile-high” club ?

  48. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Grey: Hey, the ONE thing I don’t get about Bautista is that his 2010 BABIP was .233. His xBABIP .287. My basic understanding is that indicates that he UNDER-performed last year and is due a whopping increase of +20% in performance this year. Given his obvious over-the-top 2010, it just doesn’t add up to me. Help???

  49. Eddy says:
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    @Matt Crapps:

    Perhaps you’ve been absent the past 2-3 weeks, but Cole got that team in a Razzball draft. Though last night’s draft had 2 auto-drafters and 2 yahoo users, I’d hardly go as far as to label the draft “not serious”.

    Guys like Terrence Mann, simply fred, GopherDay, etc will attest to that lol.

    In the Drew Stubbs fantasy post, towards the end, user VinWins has the result of the draft as well as a very useful ADP sheet.

  50. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Wily mo: It was all considered. Wright doesn’t worry me but it’s humans playing a game with wide variations so he could have me screaming bloody murder.

    @big o: No takers. Yet.

    @Simply Fred: His average could raise but his homers will drop.

  51. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Grey: Thank gawwwd. I just couldn’t figure out that COMPLEX conundrum. I join Steve in the hierarchy of Richard-Noggins.

  52. tom thumb says:
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    Hey grey,

    Just did a mock — how does it look?

    Hey grey,

    Just did a mock — how does it look?

    C Carlos Santana   CLE
    1B Prince Fielder   MIL
    1B Ike Davis   NYM
    2B Dan Uggla   ATL
    2B Ben Zobrist   TB
    2B Aaron Hill   TOR
    SS Jose Reyes   NYM
    3B Ian Stewart   COL
    OF Ryan Braun   MIL
    OF Justin Upton   ARI
    OF Michael Stanton   FLA OF Drew Stubbs   CIN
    OF Josh Willingham   OAK OF Dexter Fowler   COL
    SP Zack Greinke   MIL
    SP Tommy Hanson   ATL SP Francisco Liriano   MIN SP Jorge De La Rosa   Col
    SP Jonathan Sanchez   SF SP Ted Lilly   LA
    SP Madison Bumgarner   SP Ian Kennedy   ARI
    RP Huston Street   COL
    RP Octavio Dotel   TOR
    RP Dan Bard   Bos

  53. Pochucker says:
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    Grey,
    Maybe im your long lost brother (considering my age make that grandfather). I had decided to draft Miggy as the #1 pick in my big money league and was secretly looking for some affirmation.
    I also never draft speed player in first round nor pitcher in first 60 picks!

  54. Ray says:
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    Grey-nice Top 10. I had a slightly different top 10, but wanted to know if there was a reason behind all the power in your top 10? Do you think power will get scarcer in 2011?

  55. Cole says:
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    @Grey: That’s cool, whenever you get the chance

    @Matt Crapps: I get your point, but the Razz mocks have been reasonably sharp for this early. I suggest you get in on the next one if you haven’t already. Also my league is switching from H2H to roto this year for the first time and there is bound to be a guy or two that drafts pitchers like you would in a H2H, so this team may not be as unrealistic in that situation. Thanks for the feedback.

  56. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Tom thumb: Hard for me to look at it on my iPhone. Will look later when I get home.

    @Pochucker: Hey, grandpa.

    @Ray: Power is very scarce compared to speed.

  57. Tony says:
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    @Grey: I didn’t have power or speed last year how you like dem apples! thanks jacoby ellsbury, prince fielder, youk, and all you other bums who underperformed or got hurt!

  58. Big O's Fan 8 says:
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    8 of the 10 are in the senior circuit! But there are more very good players to go around in the AL!

  59. Jason says:
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    My 10 team mock: (any comments appreciated) R1 P2 M.
    Cabrera R2 P9 M. Kemp R3 P2 R. Zimmerman R4 P9 J. Upton R5 P2 B.
    Phillips R6 P9 D. Price R7 P2 K. Morales R8 P9 BJ Upton R9 P2 C.
    Billingsley R10 P9 M. Stanton R11 P2 A. Ramirez R12 P9 P. Hughes
    R13 P2 H. Kuroda R14 P9 S. Victorino R15 P2 D. Span R16 P9 C. Ruiz
    R17 P2 D. Aardsma R18 P9 K. Gregg R19 P2 M. Scherzer R20 P9 I.
    Desmond R21 P2 B. Morrow R22 P9 M. Thornton R23 P2 R. Martin (had
    to pick 2 catchers, otherwise Bard probably) What do you
    think?

  60. Ray says:
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    Grey-I agree about the power scarcity….not many 30 HR hitters as in past seasons….same with 40 HR hitters.
    Do we see Kemp in the 11-20 range tomorrow?

  61. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Tony: Sour.

    @Big O’s Fan: Try not discriminate per league.

    @Jason: I’m on a plane on my iPhone… Will look at it when I get home.

    @Ray: Kemp’s in tomorrow’s post.

  62. Jay says:
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    Grey, not to be a d-bag, but you’re over-hyphenating players’ ages. Prince Fielder is a 27-year-old who is 27 years old.

    Nitpicking aside, thanks for the Top Ten. Looking forward to the rest of the rankings, man. Has Pujols’ elbow made the news this offseason, or do you just not trust it, in general?

  63. pjtres says:
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    whoa nellie. thanks for the list sir. as a miggy owner, im with you on him being #1. hah.

  64. Max says:
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    It must be because in all my leagues hitters strikeouts are a stat (and HR are not, total bases), because I would not draft Howard or Fielder in the top 10. I would prefer Cano or Holliday or Utley, players of a shallow position. I would even draft A-Gon, Zimmermann or Texeira instead of Howard and Prince.

  65. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: My bad with the ages. Just a small concern with Pujols.

  66. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    i agree with an earlier post,10 degrees here but i can feel the heat of spring training coming,thanks

  67. Jah says:
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    Please rank the following:

    Keith Hernandez’s mustache
    Tom Selleck’s mustache
    Mike Ditka’s mustache
    Joseph Stalin’s mustache
    Grey Albright’s mustache

  68. Smokey

    Smokey says:
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    @Jah: No Rollie Fingers?

  69. sean says:
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    @Cole: Team is pretty weak. Even with Dunn, you have a serious power outage. You may get a total of 25 HRs from your 2B/SS/MI/CI slots combined and it’s not like you have a guaranteed 35 in the bank at 1B or 3B. You can definitely do better than Ike Davis on the corner. I’m not in love with your staff either. I didn’t see the round, but I would much rather have had the offensive player you gave up to draft Greinke. I’m not a fan of your relievers either, especially given that only one of them really has the closer job for certain.

  70. sean says:
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    @Jay: Your “not to be a d-bag” qualifier was like those idiots that trash you after they say “with all due respect.” Grammar policing isn’t necessary.

  71. Dr. Orlando Schadenfreude says:
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    @simply fred: Wow, Grey was on the money across the board on that one. We may not write the same names all over our trapper keepers, but when Grey says overrated, I listen.

  72. Curt says:
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    I can keep one minor from last year, Dominic Brown or Desmond Jennings???

  73. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    @Eddy: You probably didn’t go back to the last post, so I’ll repeat:

    Thanks for the heads up! I see I had Dunn in the OF everywhere.

    Please feel free to point out any mistakes.

  74. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Curt: Depends a bit on league and team size…. In a vacuum, Brown.

  75. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @AL: No problem.

    @Jah: You have them in reverse order.

  76. Terrence Mann says:
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    From last night’s mock, I really like what Ashy Larry did. Went very power heavy and took the Red Sox strategy (you can never have too many 1st basemen!) Took 2 SPs a lot earlier than I probably ever would but followed them up with bounce back Aramis and filled the speed void with Figgins and Pierre (though, maybe a bit early on Pierre for my taste). The Crisp pick looks to be a throwaway but overall, this draft my change my outlook on how to approach future mocks.

    Really good value with just about every pick.

    http://www.mockdraftcentral.com/draft_grid.jsp?id=154921&color=0

  77. Frank Rizzo says:
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    Miggy #1? My 6 year old son will be elated! What with the Miggy fathead in his room and all.

    As a Tiger fan, I just hope the behemoth doesn’t start to break down early. That is a very large man. His calves are bigger than my waist.

    Miggy needs V-Mart to stay healthy badly. As a Tiger fan I’m starting to wonder about the clubhouse. Miggy, Maggs, V-Mart….the place is becoming Venezuela North.

  78. Awesomeness says:
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    Jesse Malin definitely needs the Razzball bump.

  79. Frank Rizzo says:
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    Not a chance Grey. I’m not falling for your love of all things Braun again. I will not own him and definitely would not take him over Tulo. Pass.

  80. Cole says:
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    @sean: In my defense I was drafting 7th, took wright, and expected one of the top 1B to get back to me. When two guys went 1B/1B before me, I took Youk for his 1B eligibility and also to deplete the other teams 3B options. As for my MIs I could have taken Uggla instead of McCutchen which I will consider for my real draft. I am happy with those SPs and have no idea who closing yet…just grabbed some guys. Thanks for the input.

  81. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @Terrence Mann: Were FantasyBalleballVision and FantasyJunkies on autodraft? They have particularly sketchy looking teams. Maybe I’m just use to our Razz style of drafting but they look out of place.

  82. Neidecker says:
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    I am in a 16 team 5 keeps league, and have selected my
    heroes as Wright, J-Up, Youk, Tommy Hanson, and Ubaldo. With 2nd
    and 3rd overall picks in round one, there are whispers of Holliday
    being available, so after I go have my post-orgasm smoke, would you
    take Stanton, Ellsbury, Phillips, (my own best available) or a
    pitcher?

  83. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Neidecker: So is Holliday not an option? Take Phillips…

  84. sean says:
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    @Cole: Only a mock, not trying to be overly negative. Just trying to help. I would have considered passing on Wright to get an elite 1B and then coming back to him in the 2nd. If he wasn’t there, you still could have looked to Youk and put him at 3B or even to Zimmerman. I really like the way that these guys would compliment a higher power, lower average first baseman in the 7 slot (Tex, Howard, Fielder, etc).

    Also, I like the Dread Pirate. I would not want to see you take Uggla instead because you already have several average drains on your team and your speed is not really plus batting average speed (Andrus, Theriot, etc). I think the fundamental flaw in this draft is how you played the first two rounds.

    To each his own on the pitching. Sometimes bubble gum and paper clips can hold together a winning staff and there is so much you can pick up off the WW. Much harder to find a guy who can bank 30 HRs in free agency. Saves are the easiest thing to find on the WW, so no worries there. Four brain freezes could hurt you.

  85. GopherDay says:
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    @VinWins: I drafted Howard and Fielder right out of the bat and have a 1 in RBIs?? What do they predict for these guys? Those projections are pretty crummy. I’ll wait for the War Room to come out!

  86. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    @GopherDay: Especially strange when you are getting 8 for home runs. Lots of solo shots I guess.

    Yeah, nothing to take too seriously, just another discussion point. (I will be trying to top their list though!)

  87. Neidecker says:
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    @ Grey: Holliday is not getting kept, and the guy with 1st pick will not take him, barring a pre-draft trade. Thanks for the input! Do I take Phillips there for the position fill?

  88. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Neidecker: Yes.

    @JoeC: Hehe

  89. JoeC says:
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    @Grey
    BTW, I owe my exposure to that video to you! You referenced it in one of your posts last year and I have shared the joy many times over. So thank you!

    BTW, have you seen the Tosh.0 segment where Tosh hangs out with the Double Rainbow guy? High-larious!

  90. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @JoeC: Nah, hadn’t seen the Tosh segment.

  91. Dracula says:
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    In a keeper league which side do you like better, A) McCutchen/Reyes, B) CarGo/Andrus?

  92. Eddy says:
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    Hey, Grey (and razzballers), can you give me some feed back on my team? Besides the obvious void of speed, any holes?

    C Chris Iannetta COL R21 P9
    1B Justin Morneau MIN R4 P4
    1B Gaby Sanchez FLA R16 P4
    2B Aaron Hill TOR R7 P9
    2B Neil Walker PIT R18 P4
    SS Ian Desmond WAS R14 P4
    SS Alcides Escobar KC R24 P4
    3B Alex Rodriguez NYY R2 P4
    OF Ryan Braun MIL R1 P9
    OF Justin Upton ARI R3 P9
    OF Michael Stanton FLA R8 P4
    OF Adam Lind TOR R11 P9
    OF Domonic Brown PHI R17 P9
    OF Ryan Raburn DET R19 P9
    SP CC Sabathia NYY R5 P9
    SP Clayton Kershaw LA R6 P4
    SP Shaun Marcum MIL R9 P9
    SP Jhoulys Chacin COL R12 P4
    SP Clayton Richard SD R20 P4
    SP Jordan Zimmermann WAS R23 P9
    SP Aaron Harang SD R25 P9
    RP Heath Bell SD R10 P4
    RP Joe Nathan MIN R13 P9
    RP Jonathan Broxton LA R15 P9
    RP Leo Nunez FLA R22 P4

  93. GopherDay says:
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    In case anyone is interested, the Yahoo ‘perts are having a ‘mock’ of their own. Aka some rankings to compare. http://tiny.cc/cziv6

  94. GopherDay says:
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    Hmmm…..I wonder if Miggy will go first in the next Razz mock.

  95. Ray says:
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    @Dracula-I like A…..

  96. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @Dracula I like B better. Elvis is on the rise and Reyes is on the decline. CarGo may have topped out last year but in combination with a SS with minimal pop, CarGo is the better option compared to McCutchen. If there is a lesson from Grey’s top 10: take the player that gives you the most HR’s and that is clearly CarGo.

  97. Dracula says:
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    Hah, of course one for A and one for B. I have CarGo and Andrus, in a keeper league it’s nice to be somewhat solid at SS before the draft which is why I want Reyes, but I’m on the fence about whether or not it’s worth the downgrade from Gonzalez to McCutchen.

  98. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Cole: I don’t mind your pitching, but you probably could’ve done without one of the top guys so you could’ve drafted more power. I agree with the poster below, you’re power light.

    @Tom Thumb: I like your team a lot. Probably could’ve grabbed a better 3rd baseman instead of one of your pitchers, but not a bad team at all.

    @Jason: Hitting looks solid. I’m not crazy about Price and Hughes in that shallow of a league.

    @Eddy: Would’ve preferred an first SP other than CC but it’s a small quibble. Team looks real solid.

  99. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Dracula: B

  100. @VinWins: @GopherDay: personally i think the MDC standings projections are excellent

  101. Cole says:
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    @Grey: I see what you’re saying. I probably reached on Greinke. Also should not have gone with Andrus and just punted MI all together in favor of power bats.

    @sean: So in my previous mock i went Miggy (no regrets) and no decent 3Bs were left round 2. I ended up with Mighty Michael Young and was again power deficient. Got to say I regret Andrus. I never draft pure speed players early. Oh and I didn’t take your comment negatively, I appreciate the comments.

  102. Eddy says:
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    ***RAZZBALL MOCK DRAFT OPEN***

    Taking place this Thursday at 7pm EST on mockdraftcentral.com!

    Password is sonavabench.

    Hurry up and join fellas!

  103. I think Don Mattingly should have made this list.

  104. Brien says:
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    Very fun read, your writing style is hilarious. Very enjoyable.

    One quick notice regarding your catcher rankings…
    You have McCann over Mauer citing that you’d prefer 20+ bombs to a .320 avg. You then have their projected stats below giving McCann 25 Hr with a .280 and Mauer with 15 and .325.

    Based on the two given stat lines, you’re holistically looking at a better season from Mauer. It’s not close (especially given that you’ve projected Mauer with more runs as well). Basically, your rankings do not match your projections here….

    Confusion.

  105. Bosshog says:
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    Opinions welcome by all: I am in a 10 team H2H with 2 keepers. Options are:
    A-Rod
    R. Halladay
    Carlos Gonzalez
    Adrian Gonzalez
    Josh Hamilton

    I bounce around between the top 4, what do you think? Thx

  106. Wade8813 says:
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    I know I’m late to the comment party – oh well…

    I like that you’re not afraid to disagree with everyone on the planet on some of your projections, but if you’re going to do so, I think you need to back up your claims a bit more.

    You project Cabrera to set a career high in HR (not unreasonable, but no reason to expect it), and you expect Pujols – the king of consistency himself, to have slightly down years in both HR and BA.

  107. Blinkuldhc says:
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    I think Votto has a chance to be a #1 pick in 2012 after he repeats a 2010 season. Hear me out:

    He plays in a hitters’ park, but look at his 2010 AWAY numbers: 73 starts, .349/.452/.641, 19 HRs (w/ 64 R, 61 RBI, 12 SB), far superior to his home numbers of .297/.394/.556, 18 HRs, though still respectable. There’s room for improvement. Double his away numbers, what’s Votto’s line?

    .350-128-38-122-24 in 146 starts.

    Votto’s only 27 and his lineup protection is improving. Assuming he improves his HOME numbers — and his away numbers come back down — realistically we should expect .320-110-35-115-10, If Votto improves at home and maintains away prod., then we have the potential for a nasty .340-120-40-130-20 season.

    With Votto’s high floor (.314 career BA), I’d say his low, low end is .300-90-28-100-5, which is basically Braun’s 2010 season minus a handful of steals. Basically, Votto could disappoint and still produce like a first-rounder.

    ***************

  108. Blinkuldhc says:
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    I’d probably drop Howard down in favor of Prince Fielder:

    Fielder has THE PERFECT STORM of those illogical-but-undebunkable forces working for him: Fielder’s going to be 27, he’s in a contract year, and he’s playing in an odd-numbered year (Fielder’s MiLB OPS: ’03: .935; ’04: .839; ’05: .957).

    Take the average of his odd-numbered MLB seasonss, you get .298-106-48-130-2. Add the age-27 factor, bump it to .305-110-52-135-4. Add some contract-year motivation for .310-115-55-140-6?

    I don’t totally buy into those things, but I do believe he’s better than what he was last season, and he’s a still-young proven 50-HR bomber. Realistically, I’m guessing .290-100-45-110 in a year we’re all starving for power.

    Also, I’d drop Howard in favor of Adrian Gonzalez. AGon’s lifetime splits every 162 games away from Petco: .303-109-40-116.

  109. JJ Robinson says:
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    Are these rankings updated? Obviously a Jan 10 post could be out dated.

    Thanks.

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