Don't be shellfish...Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

You read the title right. So, I guess I might have some splainin’ to do at the end of the year, but I’m proud to throw out the wildest, aka BOLDEST predictions out there. Trust me, these will all be two-drink minimum statements I’ll be laying down. But we ain’t calling this bold because I have a grudge against italics. And I’m not just spouting crazy for crazy’s sake… which I know, brace yourselves, is much different than you’re used to. I’m also going to be sharing evidence to support my claims. And everyone does 10-lists, so I’m going to be one better, cause that’s how I roll. Right down that hill over there. Hey, you want to punch that guy 10 times? Here I am, pushing you out of the way to punch him 11 times. Then I’m quickly running, cause those be sirens I hear. So, you’re going to eat 10 of those hot dogs? Well then, challenge accepted, I’ll eat 11 hot dogs, and then eat 11 Tums to wash it all down. You ain’t got nothing on me son!

1. Bryce Harper will hit 40+ homeruns and steal 25+ bases.

For his rookie season, Bryce Harper did not disappoint, hitting 270/340/477 with 22 homeruns and 16 steals. In fact, while non-fantasy related, his 4.9 WAR was the highest ever for a 19 year-old player. In an offense only context, his season stands with Ty Cobb, Mickey Mantle, and Mel Ott’s rookie campaign. Not too shabby. While he doesn’t have elite speed, he’s a savvy runner, taking advantage of opportunities when they present themselves. Most projections already have him pegged for a 25/15 season on average, so what does he need to do to reach my 40/25? Well, his LD% is fantastico at 22.5%. So what he needs to do is pull a switchero with his 44.6 GB% and his 32.9 FB%. Yes, it might be a stretch to expect that, but it is not as rare as you might think it is. Power guys are notorious for hitting more fly-balls as they get older. As a guy who lives in the metro area and gets the privilege of watching such a talent, Harper is quite bizarre with his mix of patience and aggression combined with 80 raw power on the scouting scale. He’s basically there to destroy the ball like Frank Thomas once did, and will be a constant 30-35 HR threat. Its not that hard to imagine multiple 40+ HR years will get mixed in there, even in the current run environment. Add in an expected marginal improvement in his BB%, and he’ll be on base enough times to to steal plenty.

2. Robinson Cano will not have a batting average higher than .275 and will not reach 20 homeruns.

This prediction is based solely on second base aging curves. If you didn’t know, players who man the keystone do their best impersonation of Mo Vaughn trying to fly off a cliff once they reach a certain point in their careers. And, yes, that Vaughn reference was a double entendre. Diction baby! Did you hear that? Half of New York just cursed my name. The other half are too busy chugging down Big Gulps like no one’s biz. Want examples? Oh, I got your examples right here. Edgardo Alfonso, Roberto AlomarCarlos Baerga, Marcus Giles, fellow Yank-me Chuck Knoblauch, Chase Utley, etc. So, you get my point. Now, how do I know Robinson Cano is one of these guys? Well, you got me there, because I don’t. But there is plenty of evidence to show that as these players reached and passed the age of 31, things went downhill and went downhill fast in terms of health and the overall erosion of skills, or both. Cano is 30 by the way. Bake in the fact that he just produced a season in which we saw a career high in HR’s, a career high BB%, and a career high SLG%, the regression dragon might just put more hot flame on this fire. I’m staying away from this top-15 player for this year and beyond.

3. Yu Darvish will win the AL Pitching Triple Crown (ERA, W, K’s).

I went over him in the first Razzball Podcast of the season. If you need help picking which one is me talking, I’m the guy directional vomiting an Apache helicopter in your general area while doing my best impersonation of a Jim Rome clone. PHA! NOMINAL! Here’s a quick recap. Yu Darvish maintained his speed over the course of the entire season — Good. His strikeout rate improved over the course of the season, from 23% in April to 29% in September — Great. In his last 9 starts, he struck out 76 while only walking 19 in 64 innings — Awesome. And his lollipop curve, oh man his lollipop curve — GIF Porn. Did you say GIF Porn? You didn’t think I was going to develop a super power and not use it again, did you? Love me!

The emotion I feel when I see this…

Is the same emotion when I see this…

I call this emotion a boner. 

To get the Triple Crown, I’m estimating that he’ll need a sub 2.75 ERA, 20+ Wins, and 230+ K’s. I think Darvish gets there if he sustains his aggressive last two months of the 2012 season. (2.21 ERA, 9.57 K/9.) Remember, only Yu can prevent forest fires. And herpes.

4. Everth Cabrera will steal 70+ bases.

Since Everth Cabrera was covered in my Deep Impact series recently, I’ll just do a quickie. Hey, its happened to every guy. But only a few times… I swear. Everth is going in as a starting SS this year and he did all of his damage (44 SB) in 2012 without even reaching 400 AB’s. In 39 games after August 16th, he stole 25 bases. Yes, read that again until you can wrap your head around it. In 39 games, he stole 25 bases. Es loco. In fact, Cabrera, in his last month of play, stole 19 bags. So basically, in one month, he stole more bases than Justin Upton stole all year. So I’m going to go with the assumption that he plays a full season and runs like Sam Gerard is on the case and searching every outhouse.

5. Ivan Nova will outproduce Dan Haren in Wins, IP, and K’s.

This one may be the least bold so far, but, then again it may not. Dan Haren was once an anchor for MLB pitching staffs and Fantasy pitching staffs alike. Usually registering an 8+ K/9 and FIPS in the low 3′s and high 2′s, last year showed how quickly the stock in a pitcher can change. Last year, his FIP was 4.24 and his K/9 stood at 7.23, most likely a direct result from his numerous back and hip issues. But this prediction is two-fold, in that I’m not entirely writing off Haren. I’m just saying that a young sleeper in the AL East will out-produce him. Here’s where the prediction gets hard for me. If it gets hard for you, then I’m doing it wrong. So put that away, before you poke someone’s eye out. Or we can sword fight. It’s all about what you want. Before last year, Ivan Nova had never known what it was to have a K/9 above six. But 2012 was a different story. While Nova struggled a bit with his fastball command, he had a career high strikeout rate of 8.08. Thanks to a big jump in BABIP, his ERA stood at 5.02. While he doesn’t do anything particularly well, he doesn’t really have any weaknesses either. Nova throws a 91-94 mph fastball with a good changeup and solid curveball. Slated to start in the Yankees rotation, he just might end up being more productive counting stats wise.

Join me next time when we reveal the last 5 predictions, along with the bonus uno mas prediction. It’s so awesome, I had to use another language to describe it!

96 Responses

  1. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    If loving you is Jaywrong, I don’t want to be Jayright

    I’ve been waiting for an opportunity to use that line…..it feels sooooo good!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jack Full of Hate: Hah. Speak that phrase carefully, for it is legend.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: Me and Mrs. Jaywrong, we got a thing going on…..

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
            (link)

            @jaywrong: I’m not drunk so i can’t blame it on the alcohol. To save face I will say that I just won the game of gay internet chicken!

  2. Adam says:
    (link)

    5×5 weekly league….

    Got 8 of my 9 pitching spots set, but I’m undecided on the last one.

    Halladay @ ATL
    Maholm vs PHI

    or a MR like

    Pestano
    Bailey

    Thanks!

    • Jack Full of Hate says:
      (link)

      @Adam: who are the other 8

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Adam: Halladay.

      • Adam says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong:

        Thanks

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Adam: NP.

  3. Harkrider says:
    (link)

    I’m in a 5×5, 10 team keeper league
    My current team
    C-Perez; 1B-Votto; 2B-Espinosa; SS-Castro; 3B-Chisenhall; OF-Bruce, Heyward, Gordon, Beltran; UTIL-Pujols, Goldy; Bench-Aoki, Rutledge
    SP-grienke, Scherzer, Parker, samardzija, minor
    RP-Romo, Boggs, Holland, wilhelmsen, Marmol, clippard

    Trade idea:
    Pujols and Espinosa
    for
    Beltre and Zobrist

    Any thoughts? I could use Aoki or Rutledge at UTIL or Chisenhall

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Harkrider: I’d do that trade. Aoki if you need avg and speed, Rutledge if you need power.

  4. Doug says:
    (link)

    Love ya jaywrong, but Cano is way too interested in cashing in on his contract year to fall apart just yet. He’ll wait ’til he’s got his 10 yr/$250mil contract from Boras first.

    • Trout=GOAT says:
      (link)

      @Doug: i dont see cano dropping 20 or less bombs in a contract year…

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Doug: Yeah, I’ll happily eat crow on all of them. The truth is, I hate seeing ‘Bold’ prediction lists out there saying something like; “Bryce Harper will be fantasy relevant this year.”

      WTF? Maybe it’s bold that you think that we would think that is bold.

      I wanted to make sure all of these were extreme predictions, and yeah, they might have odds against them panning out. But I found reasons why each could happen, and I’ll let the pieces fall as they may.

      For what its worth, I think he has a more than better chance to make me look silly.

      But I’m going bold, I’m going bold.

  5. Baseball Furies says:
    (link)

    I don’t think Razzball has every gotten its point across quite as succinctly and descriptively…and awesomely hilariously I might add…than section #3 on Yu Darvish. If there is anything remotely resembling a Pulitzer Prize for fantasy blog writing then you JayWrong have just won it.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Baseball Furies: I do it all for you, the readers.

      Well, maybe for me too. But I try not to enjoy it as much as possible.

  6. Tehol Beddict says:
    (link)

    you forgot Frasier hitting 50 plus jacks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Wasn’t it 40 yesterday and 30 the day before? Well, it’s still pre-season, we will let you keep your dreams until reality takes hold.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Tehol Beddict: Let me guess. You own him in some leagues?

      In my deep league, as Sky knows, I’m predicting 30+ bombs by Brenden Ryan.

      • Sky

        Sky says:
        (link)

        He owns him in the writer’s league and drafted him in the 7th round. Just let him own his prediction for another day or two. It’s not good to let someone know they’re doomed day one of the season.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Sky: Well, for his sake, I hope that he also predicts that Max Scherzer will win the Cy Young.

          • Sky

            Sky says:
            (link)

            I’m gonna go out on a limb and say he thinks he’ll strike out 400 guys this year since he drafted him in the 4th round.

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
              (link)

              @Sky: Is that a rule of 4′s or something?

              • Sky

                Sky says:
                (link)

                It’s a rule of hols…Tehols.

                • Tehol Beddict says:
                  (link)

                  @Sky: max scherzer is an absolute monster. don’t sleep guys. trust my instinct

                  • Jay

                    jaywrong says:
                    (link)

                    @Tehol Beddict: Far be it for me to put a hex on that, based on what I said in this post.

                  • Sky

                    Sky says:
                    (link)

                    If 4th round is your instinct when you could’ve gotten him in the 7th, I fear what would happen to you in the wild

                    • Jay

                      jaywrong says:
                      (link)

                      @Sky: And you are no Liam Neeson sir.

              • Tehol Beddict says:
                (link)

                @jaywrong:

                3.74 era 16-7 231 ks. whip 1.27 Scherzer

                3.90 era 16-9 221 ks. 1.28 whip Darvish

                well i love both of these guys and except to improve. I expect darvish to improve more and Im on board with your predictions but based on these statistics and darvish being gone for my pick, why is shcerzer a reach? is their a huge difference between the two? id say no. they are both hogs.

                • Jay

                  jaywrong says:
                  (link)

                  @Tehol Beddict: True enough. I’d like to make sure Max’s velocity bump is for real. I’d expect regression in his SwStk%, but his advanced metrics look good. Shoulder still scares me a bit though.

      • Wallpaper Paterson says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: If by bombs you mean farts, then Ryan might drop 30 in games this year.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Wallpaper Paterson: Well, I meant that bombs for him were fly balls that left the infield… but we can go with what you said.

  7. Mike says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Jose Fernandez in a 12 team mixer that counts k/9 and k/bb?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mike: I wouldn’t expect gangbusters, but he’ll be a 3/4 guy with K potential. But then the sky is the limit, health withstanding.

      In a 12 team, yes, he should be on a roster.

  8. royce! says:
    (link)

    I think that short porch in right will continue to fuel the difference between nova’s xFiP and ERA… His HR/FB rate at home v lefties was over 25%, and I don’t see any reason that should change. But, you didn’t predict that he would do anything more than be more valuable than Haren. I got Haren in the RCL at 201, so I hope you’re wrong about Nova outperforming him, but right about Nova doing well.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @royce!: I just got dizzy. Heh. Yeah, I think, if healthy, Haren can still put up better rate stats because of the different environments.

  9. Harkrider says:
    (link)

    Which RP should I drop?

    Romo, Marmol, clippard, wilhelmsen, Holland, Boggs

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Harkrider: I want to say Marmol, since I don’t think he’ll be getting saves for the whole season, but right now, have to go with Clippard. He’s got two guys in front, and he’s really good as a SU guy and Johnson knows this.

    • bossmanjunior says:
      (link)

      @Harkrider:

      Assuming no holds, Clippard. Marmol is a mess but has a job until he’s traded.

  10. bossmanjunior says:
    (link)

    I would have loved to have seen that Harper 40/25 blurb be about Goldschmidt. Steals would be more of a stretch but better chance at 40 bombs.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @bossmanjunior: I think Grey has handled the Goldy stuff pretty well.

      Harper has better power projection. Did you know that Harper is 5 years his younger, and out-homered him? Age matters.

  11. Mike says:
    (link)

    OK Miami brought up their top pitching prospect. What can we expect from him.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Yeah, been getting some q’s on him.

      Expect a 3/4 starter output, with high K’s. Maybe something like Matt Moore, but in an NL environment.

      Something like a 3.75/1.30/175. Sky’s the limit for the kid, but temper expectations. Most guys like this start off as league average pitchers.

  12. Mike says:
    (link)

    I am in 16 team league with deep bench he is my 9th starter. I have 3 good RP’s

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Yeah, in a 16 team league, he should be on your roster.

  13. Sam says:
    (link)

    Starting Bud Norris tonight, how nuts is that?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Sam: You’ll be fine. There is light rain and it usually takes a few days for the offense to ramp up. I think it ends up being a pitchers duel.

  14. gareth says:
    (link)

    before going all googly eyed over darvish you have to temper the enthusiasm with a reality check. He plays in the american league. He plays half his games at the ballpark in arlington. The texas lineup has lost hamilton, young and napoli. Aj and puma as replacements? Yeah, the offense will be weaker. He eill give up his fair share of home runs.

    He’s good but fanasy experts seem to have targeted this guy on masse. Doesn’t this now kake the guy overrated?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @gareth: I’m sure glad I made the prediction AL specific then.

      He might be overrated, but I took it a step further. Bold is the name of the game in this post.

  15. mike says:
    (link)

    Can you rank these DL stashes for second half contributions.

    Dan Hudson
    Danny Duffy
    Felipe Paulino
    Colby Lewis

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @mike: Lewis, then flip a coin on Duffy and Paulino (I’d prefer Paulino), then Hudson. This assumes no setbacks and they are fully healthy upon arrival.

  16. BASH says:
    (link)

    16 team H2H
    I give Matt Kemp and get felix and jennings , accept?

    My pitchers are trash … and my Of would be jennings J Up Pence and AJax

    Thanks

    • AL KOHOLIC says:
      (link)

      @BASH: if your pitchers are real bad,id have to say yes

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @BASH: Yeah, I’d do that deal.

  17. Gavin says:
    (link)

    Jose Fernandez or Iwakuma?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Gavin: Fernandez if you need K’s. Everything else, go with Iwakuma.

  18. Mitch says:
    (link)

    I was offered Yu Darvish for Freddie Freeman and Brandon Morrow..

    i have to pass on this right?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mitch: Depending on who you have at first, yeah, I’d pass. But as an earlier commentator suggested, I’m awfully high on Darvish.

      • Mitch says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: I have Adam LaRache and Brandon Belt. Only start one.

        He would get nick swisher in return.. Darvis and swisher for Freeman and Morrow

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Mitch: I would hold even more then.

          LaRoche is Freeman basically, no?

          • Mitch says:
            (link)

            @jaywrong: Right that is why i am kind of considering trading freeman and morrow to get Darvish and swisher. I attempted to get Darvish and Austin Jackson but it was a little too rich for his blood.

            My pitchers are: Hamels, Geinkie, Shields, Lincecum, Morrow, Hellickson, Porcello, and Gee.

            12 team league i think my pitching is pretty good. I think adding darvish to the mix would give me the best pitching staff in the league.

            Yah or Nah on the trade??

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
              (link)

              @Mitch: Oh, I thought you were the one trading away Darvish. My bad. Go get him.

              • Mitch says:
                (link)

                @jaywrong: would you rather give up Morrow or Lincecum?

                • Jay

                  jaywrong says:
                  (link)

                  @Mitch: Lincecum.

  19. Jay says:
    (link)

    Current OF: Braun, Morse, Marte. Have Neil Walker on the bench, not very proud of that….Have Freese and Corey Hart on the DL

    Walker would be the first dropped once Freese comes back. In the meantime, I kinda want to drop Walker now…for an OF

    Here is what I narrowed it down to (in no particular order): A Soriano, Fowler, Torii Hunter, Viciedo. Thoughts or maybe some other suggestions?

    Thanks

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jay: Eh, I’d go with Fowler. Marte might hurt your rate stat(s), so its nice to have a hedge if his K’s start catching up.

      Walker isn’t *that* bad depending who’s on your MI.

      • Jay says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: We only roster an IF position
        10 tm H2H 5 keepers
        C- y molina
        1b – votto
        2b – zobrist
        3b – Longo
        ss- a cabrera
        IF – Hosmer
        OF – braun, morse, marte
        Util Walker
        DL – Freese, Hart
        SP – Verlander, Strasburg, Moore, Minor, Bailey, Tim Hudson, McCarthy and picked up Jose Fernandez for s’s and g’s.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Jay: Yeah, you should be fine dropping him. I love that Hosmer is at IF.

          • Jay says:
            (link)

            @jaywrong: me too! I like the power that soriano could offer. I’m not sold on Fowler’s average.

            Also looking again, it doesn’t necessarily have to be an OFer.

            I really like Gyorko so he is under consideration as well.

  20. Nonstoptalk says:
    (link)

    I joined a 14 Team Roto 7×6 League (OBP/SLG/HLD) with a 1500 innings limit and a somewhat wild roster configuration. Another manager threw both Chapman and Darvish on the block. Thought about offering Hamilton in exchange for both. Good move? Bad move? Always have a hard time trading top talent because I seem to often times undervalue them. Any help would be appreciated.

    Thanks In Advance…

    C: Avila
    1B: Goldschmidt
    2B: Hill
    3B Prado
    SS: Rutledge
    CI: Freeman
    MI: Bonifacio
    IF: Cuddyer
    LF: Hamilton
    CF: McCutchen
    RF: A. Gonzalez
    OF: Victorino
    UTIL: Reimold
    UTIL: Marte
    BN: Arenado, Valdespin

    SP: Samardzija, Lester, Niese, Parker, Milone
    RP: Cishek, Wilhelmson, D. Hernandez, P. Strop, J. Peralta, O. Dotel, S. Casilla

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Nonstoptalk: In a 14-team, you may not need that much pitching, and it certainly leaves you with a weakness in LF.

      In a vacuum, I’d do that deal in a heartbeat, though.

      Maybe try to throw Lester, who I’m not high on this year, back at him for an OF as part of the deal?

      • Nonstoptalk says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong:

        Thanks.

        Yeah. His OF is Jennings/Hicks/Upton/Maybin/Martin/Brantley. Any suggestions knowing that? Machado/Gyrko are on the block too. My thought was sending away maybe Parker/Milone and grab Machado also.

        Hamilton/ Parker for Yu/Chapman/Machado

        Then I can move Cuddyer to the OF.

        I see what your saying about maybe not needing that much pitching but my offense has got to be one of the 3 best if not the best. Otherwise I was just gonna work the WW and maybe stream a little to hit the 1500

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Nonstoptalk: Yeah, in that case, go for it. I don’t like losing Parker, but it’s a fair deal if its a keeper league.

  21. Jay says:
    (link)

    one more question –

    need a SP to fill a spot due to a DL’er
    AJ Griffin or Hisashi Iwakuma

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jay: Iwakuma.

  22. Kennedy says:
    (link)

    Bold prediction? Astros 162-0.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Kennedy: A man can dream, can he not?

  23. GR says:
    (link)

    Hey Guys
    Please take a look at my team…What do you think! Followed Grey’s advise as much as possible…Thanks a lot!!!
    Auction League/12 Guys

    C-Matt Wieters
    1B-Ike Davis
    2B-Ben Zobrist
    3B- Frazier
    SS-Josh Rutledge
    OF-Adam Jones
    OF-Andrew McCutchen
    OF-Bryce Harper
    UTIL-Justin Upton
    BN-Emilio Bonifacio (I know you don’t like Bench Bats but I got Emilio for $1)

    SP- Scherzer
    SP-Madison Bumgarner
    SP-Jarrod Parker
    SP-A.J. Burnett
    SP-Jake Peavy
    RP-Greg Holland
    RP-Brandon League
    SP-Brandon McCarthy
    SP-Mike Fiers
    SP-Paul Maholm

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @GR: Looks fine to me. I personally don’t mind a bench bat if its a flexible hedge that serves a purpose.

  24. Shoop da Whoop says:
    (link)

    Cano’s flyball rate dropped to 26% last season, and had his HR/FB rate been his career 13.7% mark instead of a career high 24%, he’d have hit 19 HR last season. Additionally, his zone contact rate fell by 5% to 89.8%, after sitting at 95%+ for his career. Thanks to that, his swinging strike rate has risen from 4.7% in 2009 to 8.3% last season. If he hacks at 41% of pitches outside of the strike zone again, like he did in 2011, his K rate could jump up close to the 20% range. If his HR total drops significantly and his K rate rises, his average will obviously suffer. So your prediction has at least some statistical possibility of happening.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Shoop da Whoop: Impressive. If I ever have enough money for a crack research staff, I’m calling you first.

  25. Eric says:
    (link)

    Mistah Jay, please talk me out of this trade…

    I might trade Kinsler + Bumgarner for Cano + Parnell. Just to give you a view on my pitching… I’m going quantity over quality at the moment I think (Peavy/Lester after Bumgarner in terms of quality) I’m just getting cold feet over Kinsler hahaha

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Eric: I’m not that high on Kinsler, but obviously, I’m not that high on Cano. I think the gap between Bum and Parnells is too great, especially if you can survive without the save potential.

  26. R3velation says:
    (link)

    Question: I had to draft on my phone and when I went through the Lincoln tunnel I lost service and auto drafted Carlos Gomez. Is this guy worth keeping or should I drop him to pick up a pitching I desparately need. Available SP’s are masterson, J Fernandez, maholm, gee, nieman, Ervin Santana, or Bronson arroyo. If so which of these pitchers would you pick up. You can take two because I have an empty spot as well.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @R3velation: I’d keep Gomez. Power/Speed has value, even though I don’t expect much in the BA department.

      Out of all the pitchers you listed, I’d go with Fernandez.

  27. Rob says:
    (link)

    10 team nl only league – 23 man roster, standard 8 roto. Fab limit $100 only for season. Do I shoot my load and try to procure all three: Jose Fernandez, Kyle lohse and Boggs? Drop eovaldi, melancon and Kendrick? How much would you allocate from 100 for each of those guys and would you go for all 3? If not what order would you rank. I have hamels, lee, niese, Cahill, delorasa, papelbon. Thanks!!!!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Rob: I’d put 25 on Fernandez and 10 on Boggs if you need the saves. Any tearing of anything in the elbow is more than a 15-day DL stint I’d think.

      I’m not really high on Lohse in that environment.

      I know last year was kind of light with AL guys coming over before the trade deadline, but there could be some nice pieces coming.

  28. Bourne says:
    (link)

    I got two boners from this, one from Jennifer Lawrence and one from 70 sb. I have cabrera as my keeper SS so I’d love if he gets all the at bats and obp to get that many.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Bourne: Two boners is always better than one.

      He’s gonna run. Its only a question if he can hit enough to stick in the lineup.

      • R3velation says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong:

        Does CarGo junior really have 70 sb speed? That would be bonertastic. All I’m hoping for is 25 hr and 40 bags. That would be well worth the 10th round pick I spent. What’s the overall consensus on gomezs projections.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @R3velation: I think 15/30 might happen. His contact rates and low BB% might hold him back.

  29. T Moore says:
    (link)

    Mr. Jay Wrong: Sorry for posted late, dearest

    I was busy with my Carlisle United -League One -survival relegation match with Sheffield United yesterday morning… A great result for the good guys a 0-0 draw away for a valuable point

    I cannot believe, the same wavelength we are riding in FBB… With ya on all the above…

    I have a surprise for you coming… But, I’ll do it on your next thread… When more are watching..

    Until then Tootle loo

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @T Moore: I await with bated breath.

Comments are closed.