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The current world record to beat the original Nintendo Entertainment System classic video game Super Mario Bros –from a fresh start to evading Bowser to save the princess — is 4 minutes, 54 seconds, and 881 milliseconds. The second-fastest time is 4 minutes, 54 seconds, and 914 milliseconds. A human thumb can’t twitch fast enough to accurately clock the difference between first place and second place (although I bet you’re trying to prove me wrong right now). That one-thousandth of a percent faster time by the elite speed-runner Niftski has placed him at the top of the Super Mario Bros speed-running pantheon. Many speed-running fans believe we have reached the human limit of optimizing the Super Mario Bros speed run, meaning that everything about the game has been studied, examined, optimized, and played out. In other words, if you decided to go pick up Super Mario Bros and try to speed run it today, you would have the work of hundreds of thousands — nay, millions — of other runs that have shown you the optimal path to complete the game in the best possible time. To arrive at the top of the speed-running leaderboards at this point, one would need a confluence of skill and luck: they would need to be skilled enough to pull off the necessary moves AND successful at lining up each and every one of the low-chance maneuvers in order to succeed.

Of course, this whole speed-running spiel is a metaphor for fantasy sports: we fantasy sports-ers have draft optimizers, lineup optimizers, draft analyzers, projections, and people competing to be the best in the world. Only, the difference is, is that people can make a lot of money or social capital in fantasy sports. Speed-running Super Mario Bros isn’t something that Niftski can do to make a million dollars in one night or even one year. But for a fantasy sports fan, you could win any number of contests through multiple providers — whether they be season-long or daily fantasy sports — and walk away much richer or much more respected. OK, maybe not either of those, at least for most of us. But when providers like NFC, DraftKings, FanDuel, and so on are paying out millions of dollars to players every year, there’s a natural human urge to, at the very least, wonder how to climb that metaphorical fantasy mountain and stand atop it for a short while. The same sentiment applies to even the most mundane fantasy player who wants to win their friends and family league just to show up Uncle Ken, the guy who both introduced you to the un-edited cuts of Star Wars and the flavor of tequila on your 16th birthday.

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Hidey-ho neighborino! Is that phrase trademarked or just very, very old? Fine, let’s dismiss the formalities and get straight to the nitty-gritty: men who throw balls. Hard. We’re at the point in the pre-season where we understand that the MLB and MLBPA are definitely far, far away from any sort of agreement on a contract. That said, I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s actually a “realistic” contract that’s been shared between the groups and we’ll see that contract appear the first week of March, just in time for a shortened spring training and perfectly-timed Opening Day. But that’s just me spitballing labor negotiations, and what do I know other than the chords to every song on Green Day’s Dookie album? I suppose I know pitchers somewhat well, and wouldn’t you know it — I’ve got a pitcher listicle for you! A Pitchsticle!

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In that dark apocalyptic nightmare that we called 2021, there was a light shining brightly upon the firm buttocks of Robbie Ray, who illuminated our world with a cheeky Cy Young Performance. Why use this as my lede? Because last year, I was brazen enough to look at Robbie Ray — a player who was being drafted as SP5 on in 24-team leagues — and see a Top 50 pitcher. Do I have any other tricks up my sleeve or am I just Simple Minds hoping that you won’t forget about me when I don’t produce any successful brazen takes in 2022?

For “brazen” takes, I want to move beyond the typical “bold” takes that flood the blogosphere. You’re not going to win your league by drafting players who are just OK. You want the players who are massively outperforming their draft position — or who look like obvious avoids, like that roller grill hot dog that clearly has a coffee stain on it.

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“Drafting players returning from injury isn’t a great idea, until it is.” — Some Guy With a -1,050% ROI.

Over the past few years, we’ve been watching starting pitchers throw fewer and fewer innings every year [insert citation to every article I’ve written since 2019]. Part of that has to do with luminary pitchers getting injured and, for whatever reason, not stepping back on the field for what seems like a metric decade. Wait, a decade is already metric. But years aren’t metric…wait, am I in the New Matrix or the Old Matrix? ENYWHEY. “Don’t draft injured players” is something touts say every year and then we ogle Shane Bieber as a top 10 starter. So, what are we doing about players coming back from injury? This question matters more this year than in previous years because — as you’ll see below — there are a metric crap ton of starters who were injured last year that are getting drafted like they’re gonna throw for 600IP. Let’s jump in and see what the market is already doing about some notable players, and we’ll think about how we might want to manage these guys in our drafts.

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One of the great mysteries of pitcher prognostication is the volume of innings pitched. Pop quiz hotshot: who had the second-best fastball in MLB last year? Answer: Ranger Suarez. How many runs better was his fastball in 2021 than 2020? An astounding 27 runs. How cool is that? OK, how many innings did he pitch in 2021? 106. That’s…a few. How about 2020? Oh, 4 innings pitched. I see the conundrum. Imagine you reach into your swear jar and pick out a quarter and start flipping it, and 8 times out of 10 it lands heads. Did you just find a weighted coin? IS IT COUNTERFEIT? Do you have magic hands? Or did you just need to flip the coin, say, 100 times for it to end up 53 heads and 47 tails? Even if it ended up heads 53% of the time, do you think you’ve discovered a magical coin that gives you 3% advantage over the field (which pro gamblers would slit your throat for), or do you think that hot streak at the start weighted the final results? What if you flipped it, say, 200 times? Do you want to take that bet that your swear jar coin is going to have a 53% heads rate after another 100 flips? Suddenly this pop quiz is more quiz and less pop…

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You the man now dog! [Sean Connery bot, terminate program] Yes, friends, family, and internet stalkers, come into my brownstone that reeks of 12-year-old Appleton Estate and box wine and let me tell you the good word about men who throw balls hard. Fear not as you enter Draftland, the ESPN-owned theme park located in middle Tennessee, where you undoubtedly take Trea Turner 1.01 and then ask yourself, “But…now I’m waiting for 23 picks until a pitcher…who will I take?” OK, Rebecca Black, just chill out and choose a seat already. Let’s finish up the lede before I write another 8,000 words on why you shouldn’t draft Gerrit Cole in the first round and you don’t listen to me anyway and then you throw that $1700 Main Event entry fee down the drain. Coulda had a MacBook!

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Wooooow, fans said in awe as 18-year old Ohtani Shohei rounded the bases after hitting a home run. The opposing right fielder jumped from the warning track onto the outfield fence, searching for the home run ball’s landing spot. What the hell was that, a voice said in disbelief when the ball landed outside of the ballpark, an estimated 460 feet from home plate. It had cleared the defense-in-depth style outfield wall that separated high school baseball players from the industrial and commercial buildings nearby. Behind home plate, a high school girl jumped from her seat to snap a photo of Ohtani when he crossed home plate. As Ohtani left the field of play, the umpire tossed a fresh ball towards the catcher almost as an afterthought.

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There are entire industries based around the cultivation of focus. For neurodivergent people, focus is something we kind of tap into; we don’t necessarily have it every minute of the day, but when I put music on and start my fingers typing at the keyboard, the flow state comes and I’m able to direct my thoughts in a manner that stays, “Marcus Stroman good. Use him.” I mean, it’s the last week of the season, and we’re in baseball chaos right now. Jack Flaherty pitched to, what, four batters the other night? He was supposed to be your SP1 this year. Gerrit Cole’s given up like 10 runs in his last two outings. We’re in the wild, wild west right now, and the best thing you can do is follow your own flow state, and to tap that (hehe!), I recommend going with the Str0 State. Also, this is my final DFS article for the year. So sad to see the regular season go! (not)

New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!

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All right, your boi EWB took first place in the DFS Wars Friday Night contest last night, and I’m hoping a strong finish will propel me into the NFL season. Yesterday, I pursued Eric Lauer and Dylan Cease as my top SPs, forgoing players like Gerrit Cole and Sonny Gray. Son, Rudy, and I had a long conversation about the merits of contrarian vs optimal play, and we all agreed that contrarian was the better path. The problem, of course, is that contrarian play isn’t about choosing awful players and hoping they have a good day by means of variance. Contrarian is all about picking good players that the crowd isn’t using. So, when Gerrit Cole has just an average game, you’re running with Dylan Cease’s awesome game, and you’re ahead of 80% of the pack. Let’s see who we can highlight today for you.

New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!

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It’s championship week! Or, maybe 3rd place week. Or, if you’re like me in the RCLs, the continuation of 12th place year. LFG! This will likely be the last time I see some of you for half a year as the fantasy baseball season finishes up and I shift my focus to Razzball Fantasy Football. If you’re out of here for the winter — have a good one! If you’re still playing fantasy sports, check out Razzball Football, Razzball Basketball, and Razzball Hockey.

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What happens when the unstoppable force meets the immovable object? Bad movies? Awkward metaphors? Strained fantasy baseball pieces? Yeah, it’s the latter there. The Dodgers are playing in Coors Field tonight against surprise ace Antonio Senzatela. According to old-school baseball data, the over/under on the game should be around 97 runs, with the Dodgers winning by a 30 run margin. According to Senzatela’s recent streak of 7 quality starts, he’ll be the contrarian pitcher option of the week. Now you’re presented a quandry worthy of Rebecca Black in her famed song “Friday,” — which seat will you take?

New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Hey friends! Are you in your imaginary baseball management championship bracket right now? Or at least the consolation bracket? I know we’re winding down and the vast majority of players are just awaiting some solid playoff baseball DFS. But for those of you still in the season-long baseball basket, let’s see if we can’t get you a couple starters that will save your season — or starters you might want to stay away from.

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