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Please see our player page for Michael Arroyo to see projections for today, the next 7 days and rest of season as well as stats and gamelogs designed with the fantasy baseball player in mind.

1. OF Lazaro Montes | 20 | A+ | 2026

At 6’4” 256 lbs with a picturesque swing from the left side, Montes invites visual comps to Yordan Alvarez and embraces them, incorporating regular video study and modeling his own game after the Houston slugger’s. In 116 games across two levels, he slashed .288/.397/.484 with 21 home runs, five stolen bases and 105 RBIs. I don’t mention RBIs much around here, but that’s almost a ribbie per game, which you don’t see a lot these days in the minors, especially among guys who take their walks (14.4 percent for Montes in 2024). All in all, I’ve been among the high rankers on Montes throughout his pro career, ranking him first on this list last season. He’s still ranked after Cole Young and Colt Emerson by a lot of outlets despite both of those guys having down seasons in 2024. That’s understandable given they were young for their levels, and Young had to hit in tough park at Double-A Arkansas, but if Montes produces power at 20 years old in that setting, he should earn the prospect shine elsewhere that he’s been getting here.

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Giants RHP Hayden Birdsong will make his debut for the arm-starved Giants today against the Cubs. He’s pitched well since being selected in the sixth round of the 2022 draft, leaning into a high-velocity fastball to rack up the strikeouts: 75 K’s in 57.1 innings across two levels this year. At 6’4” 215 lbs with that heater playing well atop the zone, he fits the archetype for our times. He may not pitch deep into his starts, but he’s going to try and strike out every single batter with high heat and buried breaking balls as long as he’s out there. 

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Houston has finally cut bait on Jose Abreu, who will collect another $30 million from the club over the next season and a half. Jonathan Singleton has been tabbed by manager Joe Espada to be the everyday first baseman moving forward, but that’s just, like, his opinion, man. Singleton is a free agent at season’s end, and Joey Loperfido is right there in Triple-A. He has struck out at a 39.5 percent clip in 43 major league plate appearances, but he’s also slashing .333/.381/.436 with a 138 wRC+ over that stretch. Singleton’s wRC+ in 174 plate appearances is 92, which drops to 79 if we look at just the last month. I’m all for the revitalization of a man’s career, but I’m skeptical that’s what we’re seeing here. Abreu has been bad enough that even Singleton is an upgrade, but it doesn’t make much sense to eat $30 million just to play Jon Singleton everyday while Joey Loperfido waits in the wings during what might be a lost season. As of Saturday morning, Houston is 32-and-38, eight games behind Seattle in the division and six games out of the wild card race. 

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Few teams are as adept at navigating the social media markets of our modern age. Invisible threads connect everything in the baseball world, and while it’s possible the Mariners would be able to trade Noelvi Marte and Edwin Arroyo for a big prize without the power of their brand, it certainly helps that nobody’s better at hyping their own than Seattle. The Yankees are great, too, and some of the fan bases do a lot of lifting for their organizations, but whenever Seattle isn’t posting a workout video or highlight reel, they’re handing their social media feeds over to their prospects to flash their personalities and connect to the fans. For years, the Yankees were able to spin their internal prospect praise to public-facing outlets and then flip almost all of these youngsters for big league pieces. 

When Seattle traded for Luis Castillo last year, the narrative was focused on how big a haul the Reds received. Some of that is just the moneyball-ization of the modern baseball fan, but a large portion is down to the power of marketing. No offense to Marte, a power hitter who slugged .462 in High-A, or Arroyo, a shortstop who hit .227 with a 28.4 percent strikeout in Low A, but the idea that these two plus reliever Andrew Moore and pitcher Levi Stoudt represent a huge haul in exchange for an ace-level starter is absurd to me. Castillo posted a 2.99 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 150.1 innings last year and then signed a team-comfortable contract at $108 million through 2027 with a 180-inning vesting option for 2028. This will cover his age 31, 32, 33, 34, and age 35 seasons. If he’s healthy and good enough to throw 180 innings at 35, he’ll be a bargain at $20 million as a 36-year-old. Or he’ll be off the payoff before the tough seasons start. I guess it’s not fair to compare the under-contract Castillo to the trade return he brought as a soon-to-be free agent, but I have to think everyone who said the Reds did great in this trade would feel a little differently if he’d been traded with five-plus seasons of affordable team control. Feels to me like a master-class from Jerry Dipoto, sending far-away prospects to pull a great pitcher out of a numbers-inflating environment and then signing him to a long-term contract before his statistics better reflected his pitching-friendly new home. 

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As deadlines on transactions and trades loom in many leagues, I’ve been building this Sunday’s post around the concept of last call for transactions in dynasty leagues, kind of like I did a few weeks ago in Prospect News: Junior Franco Files for Recognition from the Chamber.

Rangers OF Anthony Gutierrez (17, CPX) was already mentioned in that article but has since been promoted to the complex league just a month into his professional career. Giddyup. In six games at the complex, where the average age is 2.7 years older than Gutierrez, he’s hitting .333/.346/.625 with one home run and two stolen bases. Also zero walks and six strikeouts. Doesn’t matter yet though. Might be truly looking at last call on this one. Will be interesting to see how he fares in the league as new players trickle in from the draft, and that goes for pretty much everyone on this list who’s not in the Dominican Summer Leagues. Every affiliate in the lower minors is about to get a talent boost. Good time to zero in. 

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