We are in the thick of draft season now and we have real, live draft data to sift through. Numbers nerds, assemble! We have spreadsheets, charts and ADP, oh my! It was a busy couple of weeks here at Razzball Commenter Leagues HQ but I’ve gone through each league that has drafted and added their drafts to a master spreadsheet in order to calculate RCL ADP. We’ve had twenty leagues draft already, so there’s plenty of numbers to look at. All leagues have gone off without a hitch and we have plenty more to fill up, including a couple spots in some of the legacy RCLs. There are two spots in Original Recipe, the longest running RCL, two spots in the $100 NOTLZ RCL, on of the most competitive leagues every year and five spots in Crab Army which drafts tonight and features a few regular Razzball Commenters. Join or post in the comments and we’ll get you taken care of. PSA: We don’t want to have any leagues get axed, so if you notice your league is not full the day of or day before the draft, hit us up on Twitter: @Razzball or @MattTruss and let us know. You can also leave a comment in Grey’s most recent post and/or invite a friend to join. I know, sacrilege to tell your fantasy baseball friends you read Razzball, but sharing is caring. Speaking of sharing, jump below and I’ll share with you a fancy RCL ADP spreadsheet for your perusing pleasure.
We’ve got twenty leagues worth of draft data to peek at. Being first to draft means first to be criticized, so we’ll dive into the numbers and see what’s going on in the early draft season.
THE FIRST PICK OF THE 2021 FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT IS…
Ronald Acuna Jr. (17), with a dash of Fernando Tatis Jr. (2) and just a hint of Juan Soto (1). I know at least one Fernando drafter was just to spread the equity since they already had Acuna on a couple teams (lucky!). It seems like almost everyone is aboard the Acuna train though, I know I love the guy. These three make up the top three picks in most leagues, but Mookie Betts has slipped into the three spot five times himself and these four are going off in some order very consistently. Meanwhile, Mike Trout is dominating the fifth spot, having been drafted there 15 times. Trea Turner is the only other consensus first rounder joining these five monsters for the honor. Picking anywhere in the top five is dreamy this season and picking fifth is fine by me. I’ll take my Mike Trout and get to pick sooner on the way back.
WE DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ NFBC ADP
We’ve got RCL ADP! Here’s a list from our twenty league sample of some guys I’m lusting for this year and some general notes. If there’s an ADP you’re curious about for my next update, fire away and I’ll add them to the chart next time out. This time around I decided to look at some of the kids everyone is excited to draft as well as some soon to be AARP members.
As I’m looking at this chart I’ve realized that Juan Soto is younger than all of them. Yeesh. These are the new kids on the drafting block I guess. Randy, Trent and Kyle are the hot, new thing in outfielders that everyone has to have this year. Sadly, I haven’t ended up with any of them yet. Mostly, I think this range is when I’m eyeballing my first starter or filling out my infield.
Ian Anderson and Jesus Luzardo have sizable ranges, but check out the range on Sixto! 173 is a crime and 50 is crumby with crackers (or just Dylan Vaughan Skorish drafting) but I have been trying to land Sixto where I can.
Alec Bohm is a nice CI when you miss on the early ones and pass on the old ones. I think he returns plenty of value around pick 100.
Triston McKenzie is right on the cusp of pitchers that I’m not looking to draft in RCLs and just opting for streamers instead, it really depends on how the rest of my pitching looks. He’s got another crazy range, from just outside the top 100 to almost undrafted at 264.
Finally, we have Jo Adell. Being the keeper of RCL data is nice, because I can go back and do some digging. For example, Adell’s ADP last draft season was 224. I don’t think he should be going undrafted in leagues. It’s crazy what a whacky 60 game season can do to a promising prospect’s ADP. Oh, and Joe Maddon.
Now, out with new, in with the old:
I still refuse to believe in Lance Lynn being a reliable thing. I refuse this in spite of myself, I realize that, but it’s my hill to die on.
Of course, I’ve also denied Nelson Cruz being a thing for the past….5 seasons? So, what do I know.
I know that Charlie Morton, at 37, intrigues more than many other pitchers. Pick 88 is pretty dang early, but around pick 150 or so, I’m down.
Josh Donaldson is the “Oh no, I totally forgot to grab a CI” last ditch effort to get one that could be steady. I think I’d rather have Austin Riley, going a little later, but I almost always have CI filled in by this point.
If you made it this far, you earn a reward. I told you I was a numbers nerd. Now you can take a look at any player you want as more and more data is collected. I’ll be keeping that sheet up to date as I collect draft data, so bookmark it and check back often. Next, head down to the spreadsheet below and fill up some more leagues so we have even more data to chew through!
TO JOIN A LEAGUE
Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN. Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference. If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money. That’s it! No pesky third requirement! Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money. You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like. To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom). Now go join some leagues!
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