Black and white footage plays as the crowd at Yankee Stadium watches on. There’s not a dry eye in the place. Some newsies hang off the foul pole; elsewhere, grown men, dressed in military fatigues, weep. Babe Ruth adjusts the microphone for Randy Arozarena and motions for him to approach. Randy leans into the microphone, and quivering, “Today, I consider myself the Randiest man alive.” Sorry! I didn’t hear you come in. I was just directing this editing crew to recut the Lou Gehrig retirement speech. Don’t worry, it’s being done in a very respectful way. As you can imagine, it’s going to be hard for Randy Arozarena to play in 2021 after being inducted into the Hall of Fame after this postseason. Has that ever happened before? The prior-to-retirement induction? Did you just say “your stove?” That’s induction, but different meaning. Yes, words can have more than one meaning. Are you dumb in the head? So, here’s a peek behind the giant curtains at Razzball, I lower my Bro strap and say to Prospect Itch, “Give me your top rookie for 2021 fantasy baseball.” And he says, “No, you give me yours,” and I say, “What? You’re the prospect guy. I wasn’t being coy, I was just scratching under my Bro strap.” Then he told me Randy Arozarena, and I laughed for ten minutes, which coincided with Randy Arozarena hitting multiple homers in the playoffs and….Dot dot dot…Holy crap, is Randy Arozarena the top rookie going into 2021 fantasy baseball? I’m between him and Sixto Sanchez. This is the 1st year in maybe ever I’m not 100% positive on one rookie as the number one rookie. Last year was obviously Luis Robert, the year before was Vlad Jr. or the year before–You get the picture! Every year there’s a clearcut #1 rookie going into the upcoming season, but I’ve wrestled with this, and I don’t know if there is one in 2021. Wander Franco would be that guy, if I had any faith the Rays would ever promote him early enough for redraft leagues. Ergo/Therego:  Welcome to the 2021 rookie series and Randy Arozarena!  So, what can we expect from Randy Arozarena for 2021 fantasy baseball?

I didn’t originally buy into the Randy Arozarena being the Randiest of all-time; I thought Randy Dobnak had that title. It’s at least what it says on Dobnak’s Uber bumper. Wasn’t Randy Arozarena a 2nd-tier prospect coming into this year? Not asking, but setting myself up to boogie into my thoughts. It seems like Randy Arozarena was a 2nd-tier prospect when he was blocked by the Cardinals’ crapfecta of Fowler, Bader and O’Neill. Then they had Dylan Carlson breathing down one of those guy’s necks and where was Randy Arozarena going to fit in? Well, the trade to the Rays (shouldn’t he have been traded to the Randies?) freed Arozarena up, and earlier this year, I said, “I honestly thought Arozarena was a hot schmotato, and the best part of him was his last name sounds like a Red Hot Chili Peppers lyric. Psychic spies from Tampa try to steal your fantasy team’s elation, and little girls from Sweden dream of me quoting me quotation, and if you want these kind of dreams of Arozarenication. Also, he has a readymade nickname, the Rice Bowl, because his name split up is Arroz Arena. Damn it, I love him now too! In Triple-A, Arozarena went 12/9/.358 in 64 games in 2019, and he has 25+ steal speed, and roughly 15-homer power. That’ll play the Red Hot Chili Peppers in the Rice Bowl.” And that’s me quoting me! In just over 30 games this year (with playoffs included, and that’s still going, obviously), he went 14/4/.350-ish (I didn’t do the math on the BA). I don’t have a ton of concern for him losing the speed or average (at least not dramatically, he’s a 17% strikeout rate guy). He also has a 9-11% walk rate. The power seems downright goofy. Right now, he has around a 55% HR/FB in his major league career (still including playoffs). Anything over 20% is silly to expect from him. So, instead of 10 homers every month, he hits 2-3 and is back on that formerly predicted 15-homer pace, which might’ve been a hair underselling him. I’m way more interested in him for his contact and speed/power combo. Not sure he’s going to be a superstar like we’ve been seeing for the last week of the playoffs, but he could be a solid, everyday fantasy contributor. Think Kevin Kiermaier without the drain on average. I also don’t fully trust Cash to play him every day in 2021, even if that seems absurd after his huge playoffs. There’s a lot of time between now and, say, next June if he’s slumped for a month. I’m holding my love for the Rice Bowl with its rising steam, but blowing on it to tamp down enthusiasm because of Cash and potential unrealistic expectations from his playoffs performance. For 2021, I’ll give Randy Arozarena projections of 73/22/78/.286/17 in 517 ABs with a chance for more.

 
  1. TisYourBoy says:
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    Grey,
    In a 12 team H2H keeper league where we keep 10 players. He is expected to be a top 3 pick next season. Would you trade Paddock for Arozarena? Also, JD martinez over Arozarena ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hmm…I think I’d go Arozarena over Paddock, and yes on JD

      • Leslie F Clarke says:
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        Temper your hotness for any Tampa player with the reminder that Kevin Cash LOVES to platoon …and rotate …and give guys days off all willy-nilly. A Tampa pitcher? Is it possible to get the W when all the starters go 4 1/3 innings ? ( sigh … )

  2. LaRockakis says:
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    Mmmm, the Rice Bowl has me wanting Teriyaki Madness again.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Let’s get it and put it in our mouths! Actual rice, that is

      • LaRockakis says:
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        Google translate says “arroz arena” means sand rice. I want to trust you since you studied Spanish for half of your life, but I dunno…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Just go ahead and trust me, I am very Spanish — muy even

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          Sandy is Randy!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Candy is dandy, Randy is sandy

            • Coolwhip

              Coolwhip says:
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              but liquor is quicker… wait what?

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Mad rhymes!

  3. The Situation says:
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    Hey @Grey!

    Who you keeping between Arozarena or Kyle Lewis in a 12-team, 10-keeper league that is H2H and 6×6 categories (+BBs & Holds)? And how CLOSE is it?

    Know that you had Kyle Lewis in your 2021 top 25 in the snake draft podcast you did a few weeks ago, but you’re not concerned that over the 2nd half of 2020, Lewis’ BA dropped to .150 and his K-rate rose to 37%. Obviously, Lewis wasn’t going to maintain his .368 1st half BA, but would’ve liked to see him sustain closer to his 1st half 22% K-rate. Ultimately, his full season 29% K-rate was in line with his 2018 full season numbers in AA, but the drastic splits are concerning, especially in a H2H league.

    Any thoughts would be much appreciated! Thanks as always!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I did? That’s crazy, even for me… I don’t think I’m that high on Lewis, but the problem is before I lay it out, I’m not sure…I think Arozarena and him are close tho, maybe around 60-80

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        I think i’d prefer Rice Bowl over Lewis, uhhh oh, i’m gonna make up for it now…
        Ovbiously Randy could get exposed in a full season, but right now i think Randy can maintain a lower K-rate and his speed upside is higher making him a bit more desirable since the 2 likely have similar power.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I remember loving Kyle Lewis this year, like that did happen didn’t it? Now all I can think of is Randy Arozarena

          • Coolwhip

            Coolwhip says:
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            oh yes it happened, you were sucked in after Kyle went Randy in spring training and flashed new found power… Now Randy has gone Randier and all you can see is rice patties! rice patties as far as the eyes can see!

            Not sure if Itch told you, but the one knock on Randy was that his power hadn’t really developed yet. Well, guess what… it’s hereeeeeeeeeee. LOL. he plays above average def, and rumor is he has a pretty good arm… so if he can show off that, i think he get lionshare of PT in the corners because we know Cash loves OF defense, sharing time in LF, maybe little in RF (depends on Margot) and then at DH.

            • Coolwhip

              Coolwhip says:
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              Or Cash could screw us all and platoon him in LF and only give him 25% look at DH. *shrug*

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, that makes sense…I saw that he was a very extreme low ball hitter, which is rare and might be an issue (I was half paying attention when I read it)…I don’t know…His HR/FB% is goofy right now tho, don’t care if he hits everything 420 feet, he can’t continue quite like this…But I do like him, and I’m in bc why not

              • Coolwhip

                Coolwhip says:
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                Yeah for sure, i think you were pretty honest with the projections, 22 HR over a full season +/- 2-3 seems to be about right, before he his tear at end of season and now i kinda saw him as a 12-15 HR guy, and it looks like he’s tapped into a bit more now.

                • Coolwhip

                  Coolwhip says:
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                  not the best comp, but shane victorino comes to mind. power and speed combo, with the speed being a bit more reliable. though, now that i think about it… maybe a bit more toward the power than speed, but reliability being the same, cus i dont see him stealing 30. lol. clear is crystal!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Haha, yeah, not feeling that comp, but don’t love the comp I made in the post either — Kiermaier with better AVG… Honestly, I was thinking of comping him to a mid-career Ryan Braun, but thought that was even more confusing

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, so hard with these small sample sizes, but I’m pretty confident with 22 HRs, even if it looks like he’s a 50/20 guy right now

                  • Coolwhip

                    Coolwhip says:
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                    my original comp few weeks ago was prob best comp, tbh. Trent Grisham with better bat-to-ball contact

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That’s a solid comp, also could have platoon issues if their managers lose their minds

  4. Queen Rice 4 Life!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Get it, put it in you!

  5. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Is Arroz Arena any relation to RICE-A-RONI, another type of rice bowl…lol

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes, on father’s side, obviously, otherwise there would be some explaining to do

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        Thats Ricky not Randy

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Tho, ya know, who knows

  6. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    IMHO, I think Rand of the Randys will be a bust next year. Cash will prolly mix and match as he always does. I just think dude is that guy that comes out of nowhere and has a big playoff run and we never hear from him again. Happens every year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, big bummer on the Randiest — damn, MP

    • American Troutfisher says:
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      Whatever happened to Aristides Aquino, right?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Haha, GGOATOAT!

    • swaggerjackers says:
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      The platoon is real with that team. I think you’re onto something.

      • Player X says:
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        The platoon is real with the Rays, but I have a feeling he’s gonna be the star the Rays need. Plus Arozarena has more of a prospect pedigree than Aquino – he def can’t continue this pace but def has better quality of contact than Aquino. I could see Azozarena hit .280 with 25 hrs 160+ runs/rbis with maybe 10-15 stolen bases to boot

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Cash even platoons Brandon Lowe

          • Player X says:
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            Cash does, but I think that’s more of Lowe being a lefty bat. Small sample size, but Arozarena’s played just about all the postseason games this year. Def important for Arozarena to get a fast start out of the gate next year though.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, don’t disagree with that

  7. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Dodgers in four! LA is hot right now, even Roberts made the right call, by not going to Kenley and letting Julio U finish it up. Rays have lost their mojo, nearly collapsed against those cheatin asstros. Dodger pitching will shut down what little O the Rays have and end the Randiest of Randy’s playoff run.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I hope it doesn’t go 4 games — might come down to how many IP each team can get from the bullpen — if Rays can get enough IP from their starters, then they’re gonna be tough…But the Dodgers’ offense can put up big runs…Think I’d go Dodgers in 6

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        Sorry, but Dodgers are cursed by Clayton. He is going to throw up 2 dud games and Rays will just get enough bullpen help to win in 7.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That is also a very real possibility… I think it will be a good series…Hopefully goes 7 games, that’s all I can ask

  8. The Rays have a legitimate shot.

    Kershaw?
    Game 2?? May???
    Bullpen????
    Why did they move Maeda again?????

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Maeda would be nice right now…But can Snell, Yarbrough and Glasnow get thru 4+ IP?

      • Wake Up says:
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        Maybe you didn’t hear…they have a whole stable of guys that throw 98…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, true, that’s fair…Even tho I live in LA, I kinda hope Rays win…

          • Wake Up says:
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            I only ask for another Game 7.

            What a great game that was!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, that’s all I want too…Game 7’s right into my veins

  9. everywhereblair

    everywhereblair says:
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    Dear Grey,

    The current world-record holder for “Randiest Randy that ever did Randy” goes to the Twins’ former utility man, Randy Bush.

    I think no further explanation is needed.

    But Sandy Randy con Rice is, well, awfully Randy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Can you please rank Randies for us? Randy Bush, Randy Arozarena, Randy Dobnak, Randy of the Redwoods, am I missing any?

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        Randy Savage, Randy Johnson(!), Randy Jackson, Randy Newman, Randy Orton

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Randy Orton, that’s #1…Can’t believe the insult in burying him

        • everywhereblair

          everywhereblair says:
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          Randy Roundup:

          1) Randy Bush
          2) Randy Savage
          3) Randy Johnson
          4) Candy Randy
          5) Randy Dobnak
          6) Randy of the Redwoods
          7) Randy Moss
          8) Randy Jackson
          9) Randy Arozarena
          10) Randy Travis
          11) Randy Rainbow
          12) Randy Brice
          13) Randy Newman

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Randy Rainbow at 11 lost all credibility… Dude’s barely a top 100 Randy…I’d go Randy Garber over him — the rest seemed pretty close tho

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Wait, no Randy Orton?!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              NO RANDY QUAID?!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Okay, struggling with some of these Randies

                • everywhereblair

                  everywhereblair says:
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                  My Randy Roundup May be lacking, but it’s backed by years of study in Randy-nomics.

                  You’re just lucky I didn’t include my list of Randall’s, because your mind would have been blown.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Didn’t realize you studied at the feet of the Randyball Gods

              • Wake Up says:
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                From Houston…too soon

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, never too soon for Houston

          • Wake Up says:
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            Randy Jackson at 8…that’s gonna be a nah from me dawg…

            • everywhereblair

              everywhereblair says:
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              Yo dawg, maybe if you practice a little more, put a little more oomph in your oomph, you’ll be a star. Right now, dawg, i’m just not seeing it.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Ouch, that Randy is tough

              • Coolwhip

                Coolwhip says:
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                yo dawg you were bit too pitchy for an infielder, as a reliever i’m no believer.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  HAHA

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

              • DonnieB says:
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                Randy Travis, Randy Owen, and DT Randy White belong on any list of Randys.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Randy Orton!

  10. The Great Knoche says:
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    Mountcastle is the guy I would have gone to first. I only finished ahead of you in 1 of 8 leagues this year so take it with a grain of salt. That 2019 AAA season was very good, and he improved plate discipline in majors this year.

    You like Sixto better than Anderson?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like Mountcastle a lot too, but if Randy can steal 12-ish bags, that’s gonna push him over Mountcastle…I like Anderson, I’ll go over him shortly too…I think Sixto slightly ahead of him, but they are close

  11. FrankGrimes says:
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    I dumped this chump cuz he went cold for fantasy playoffs.
    Now it’ll be 4 rounds too early to get him next year…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Randy’s a 3-homer World Series from going in the top 20 overall

      • Wake Up says:
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        Forget Queen Rice and Rice Bowl…he’s about to be the Sandwich Pick!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Rye tho???

  12. Woolly the Mammoth says:
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    RANDDDDYYYYY!!! I’m stacked at outfielder and sorely in need of a third baseman in my keeper points league, thinking of offering up Arozarena, any thoughts on who would be a reasonable request in return?

    • Wake Up says:
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      Devers…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hmm…Machado and Devers (won’t happen), maybe Eugenio

      • Wake Up says:
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        If Randy is going to be a Sandwich Pick and Devers is going in the 3rd round…it’s worth a shot after his “down” year…Machado is coming off of his best season so far…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Arozarena gonna be crazy overrated next season, isn’t he?

          • Wake Up says:
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            Uh huh!!!

            • Woolly the Mammoth says:
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              Stoked to hear you suggest Devers, I figured that was too much but what the hell I’ll give it a try. Like Grey, I was thinking Suarez was reasonable but definitely will go for Devers. Thanks guys.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                No problem

              • to be clear…it is too much…but you might as well check to see if he is enraptured with the Queen!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha

      • Mr Crab says:
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        What about Bregman, which side do you go for?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You can take new questions to my newest post

  13. Zeus says:
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    I think Randy West or Randy Spears are probably the randiest Randy’s of all time.

    Those numbers are intriguing but he is going to go way to high for my tastes, It is hard to go in on any Ray with how they platoon.

    I like the Dodgers in 6.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, Randy might be priced out of the market — fantasy baseball market, not Randy market

  14. 2005 Randy…for the Winn!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, Randy Winn just sitting around forgotten

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        damn no kidding

  15. Norman Ginsberg says:
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    14 months ago, Aquino would have been comparable to Arozaena — but more legs.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      For sure, but Aquino did have one big issue that Arozarena doesn’t have…Aquino has major contact issues

  16. Harley Earl says:
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    Ahhhhhh, another idiotic mistake by my favorite General Manager and Bonehead John Mozeliak.

    Let’s think about this. The Cardinals had a glut of outfielders and a few other players two years ago, so Mozeliak did his homework and shipped away the ones he thought were shit and kept the ones he thought were shiny! We end up with Bader patrolling centerfield, Tyler BlowNeil in left field, and $85 million dollar bust Dexter Fowler in right with Dylan Carlson waiting in the wing.

    Shipped away were Randy Arozarena, Randal Grichuk, Luke Voit and Marco Gonazalez as well as Oscar Mercado. Let’s see, Arozarena is on fire, Grichuk is coming off his best season ever, Luke Voit led all of MLB in Home Runs and Marco Gonzalez has evolved into an ace.

    But you know what? The Cardinals’ owner Bill DeWit thinks Mozeliak is doing a great job because they made the playoffs, despite going out in the first round and failing to make the playoffs each of the three previous seasons. DeWitt sees dollar signs, cheap players, lots of profit with little overhead and a fanbase too dumb to realize the butt-ramming he’s giving all 3 million-plus of them.

    Mozeliak is a joke and so are the Cardinals as long as he’s making the decisions. DeWitt is just like any other owner. All he cares about is the money. Winning is secondary. Grey, I believe you could run the Cardinals better than these two clowns.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, writer for us, JKJ, is looking at writing an article about all the guys the Cards traded away…It’s not so pretty

      • JKJ

        JKJ says:
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        Whoa!! Like not even 30 minutes ago I was talking to Grey about my next idea: an ex-Cardinals fantasy All-Star team. You could roster solely ex-Cards and remain very competitive, at least in terms of 2020 production. Breaks my heart.

        • Harley Earl says:
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          It’s a disgrace when you really dissect it.

          But even with all that I’ve already mentioned, I left out the best part!

          Cardinals fans are treated to an annual farewell Tour for Molina and Wainwright every year and they lick it up like Jessica Hahn did in the Wild Thing video with Sam Kinnison. They’re so stupid, they think those two old farts can still win. DeWitt and Mozeliak see dollar signs at the ticket window and T-shirt store every year they run them out there. It’s sickening.

          Meanwhile Luke Voit leads the MLB in HR and Ozuna, a guy they could have had for the minimum basically, led the NL in HR. I really can’t stand their ownership or front office.

          Grey, let’s make a move for a hostile takeover. You with me?

          • Harley Earl says:
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            Oh, while I’m at it, one more thing.

            I didn’t even mention that Tommy Pham trade. Another good one by Mo & Company!

            • JKJ

              JKJ says:
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              Tell us how you really feel, Harley!

              I do still like Yadi and Waino though.

  17. scoboticus says:
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    I’m Arozarena Dreaming!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, nice!

  18. Well there goes my Arozasleeper! Haha hey bottom line is Cardinal talent evaluators got rolled by the Rays, a beautiful bunch of robbers! Liberatore better be special

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, seriously

  19. Artmuldoon says:
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    Will the Rays keep Randy Arozarena in the minors for a few weeks to start the 2021 season (for salary/contract purposes)? If so, he’ll be my #1 pick. #2 will be Adley Rutschman ? I own the top 2 picks plus #9 (via trades).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Imagine he wins World Series MVP then is kept in minors to start 2021…haha, oy…

      • Player X says:
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        The MLBPA would have a field day with that one!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, yup!

  20. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey! Would you swap a $19 Snell for a $4 Randy A?

    Also, forgot if I mentioned, but thanks to you guys I took home a crown in my big league + 2nd place finish in my other keeper. Thanks again as always!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Congrats!

Comments are closed.