Baseball is full of rules. For example, the mound is exactly 60 feet, 6 inches away from the back point of home plate. Home plate is 17-inches wide. The bases are 90 feet apart. Hit the foul poles in the air, it’s a home run. Your team is leading after 9 innings, you win. We all know these common rules. Of course, new rules are coming in all the time. There’s the new pitch clock, extra inning rules, larger bases, and pitch challenges are right around the corner. Some rules stay the same while others evolve.
Baseball is full of unwritten rules too. Don’t swing at a 3-0 pitch with a big lead. Take too long rounding the bases after a tater, you might wear one next time up. Position players don’t walk across the pitcher’s mound. You don’t bunt during a no-hitter. Speaking of no-hitters, players aren’t supposed to talk about those during the game. I can go on and on…
Fantasy baseball is no different, there are written and unwritten rules. For today’s Points league draft lesson, we’re going to focus on the latter – UNWRITTEN RULES. Before we do though, let’s talk a little about RazzSlam. How are your drafts are going? Here’s a quick look at mine:
Yes, our league is only through 9 rounds at this point. Moving a bit slow but that’s ok…we’ll make it.
Drafting from the #2 spot, I knew I’d get my first (and probably only) share of Bobby Witt Jr. and I couldn’t be happier. I love me some Gunnar Henderson but if there’s one SS to build your squad around, this cat is the one! You’ll also notice I didn’t take my first pitcher until Rd 9. Your eyes are not deceiving you. My strategy is to load up on high-scoring bats in the early rounds. Remember two weeks ago we talked about Points league draft strategy (go HERE if you don’t), top bats tend to score more points than top arms so I load up on them.
Will this draft strategy work? Time will tell, but I have it on good authority that it’s a viable approach. Don’t believe me, check out this article done by our own @everywhereblair. He’ll make a believer out of you too!
Feel free to share your draft progress in the comments below. I want to know who will be pushing for second place behind my team!
Ok, now that we’ve had some draft fun, let’s get back to the “unwritten” rules of drafting in Points leagues. There’s one unwritten rule specifically that I want to focus on today. It’s kinda like quicksand, sucking people in every time and real hard to escape from. And that is: Don’t follow a platform’s ADP when drafting in Points leagues!
Well, that’s usually good advice in any draft room but it’s particularly true in Points leagues. Let me show you.
Based on Razzball/Streamer Projections…and why would you use any other…here are the top 20 projected scorers in RazzSlam6. You can do this yourself. Simply download the hitter and pitcher projections into a spreadsheet (feel free to tweak them as you see fit), add a formula to input the NFBC scoring, and voilà, you have projected scoring for your Points league.
These are of course sorted by projected RazzSlam6 scoring but note the NFBC ADP (third column) that you’ll see in the draft room. Mookie Betts is a perfect example of this “unwritten rule” about using ADPs. In a Roto league, Mookie’s 5-category projections, especially 25 HRs and 15 SBs, will help you immensely at the start of a draft. In this Points league though, with HRs worth 6 points and SBs worth 5 points, he’s not quite as valuable. However, the site ADP is more reflective of results from Roto league drafts than strictly Points league drafts. So, if you follow ADP, you’re likely to draft him in the mid- to late-first round rather than mid-second round.
Also note, there are no pitchers listed in the top 20 (disregard Shohei)…but more on that shortly.
Now 21-40:
For the most part, these names track with the top 21-40 projected scoring. We don’t see a lot of situations like we did with Mookie Betts above. Conversely, some of the players, like Teoscar Hernandez and Marcel Ozuna would actually provide a little value if they fall to their ADP. Look at Josh Naylor and especially Luis Arraez, however. If you can land them near their ADP, their draft value goes up quite a bit. NOTE: if your league mates know their stuff, don’t count on these big bats falling to their ADP.
Still no pitchers here either…and we’re into the 3rd round now. I know it’s hard when Paul Skenes or Zach Wheeler are staring at you from the top of the draft board but DON’T DRAFT PITCHERS YET!
The next 20:
Now we see the top pitchers showing up. Paul Skenes, with an ADP of 17.7 in the draft room, actually comes in as the 53rd highest scoring player in this Points league format. Zack Wheeler comes in right after at 54thand Tarik Skubal at 58th.
In a 12-team league, we’re now at the end of the 5th round. Do you have the stones to keep passing on these top SPs and load up on bats for 5-7 rounds? In a Roto league, it’s definitely not the kiss of death but it will make the rest of your draft harder. In a Points league, I’m here to tell you it’s ok. In fact, go back up to see my RazzSlam6 draft. I passed on pitchers until the 9th round and still landed Aaron Nola.
For kicks, here are the stats in my RazzSlam league. As I write this, the draft is coming back to me in the 10thround. Only one other team (a fellow Razzball writer, no less) has a single pitcher drafted. The rest:
- 2 Pitchers Drafted = 4 teams
- 3 Pitchers Drafted = 5 teams
- 4 Pitchers Drafted = 1 team
So, while these other teams have been drafting pitchers, I have been loading up on hitters that score more points. In fact, six of my eight hitters are listed in the tables above (top 60 projected scorers).
Again, I know it’s hard to pass on those big hurlers, especially coming to a Points league draft after doing some Roto league drafts, but have patience – it will pay off in the long run. Even if you just pass on pitchers until their projected scoring equals the hitters, don’t sweat it. You’ll be able to assemble a solid staff and have the edge on offense.
Remember one of the key rules of Points leagues: It doesn’t matter WHERE the points come from, you just need to find them.”
Summary
The lesson for today…be cautious with how you use ADP. If you’re drafting based on ADP, especially in a Points league, you are setting yourself up for failure. I’m not saying ignore it all together. Use it as a guide or better yet, pay attention to how your league mates are drafting. If you notice they are strictly following ADP, use that to your advantage. If you’ve done your homework, like I did above, you know the players who offer scoring value at their ADP (Luis Arraez and Bo Bichette) and those to avoid at their ADP (Mookie Betts and Paul Skenes).
Feel free to post or discuss your RazzSlam draft progress below and tell me how you’re putting the team together. I promise to be kind – well, as kind as I can be.
As always, you can find me on Twitter/X (@Derek_Favret) and on BlueSky (@dfavret.bsky.social).
Until next time, my friends.
I have one keeper decision to make. Langford in the 7th or L. Butler in the 18th. Pts lg. normal hitting except SB = 3. Help pls!
Hey Jason. You’ve got a problem…but it’s a great problem to have. Two great options at real good values.
First, I have both about the same number of SB, so no issues there.
All things equal, I’d lean Langford but you really can’t discount those additional 11 rounds of value with Butler (who I absolutely love this year too).
For me, I’m going Butler in the 18th and pouring one in celebration.
Good luck, my friend.
Thanks for the advice! Appreciate your work.
Good Morning Derek,
I am thinking of trades and would appreciate your thoughts when you get a chance
I was thinking of offering Jeremy Pena and Lane Thomas to get Jackson Merrill.
Note: Lindor is my other SS. My other CFs are Nimmo and Cowser
Another possible trade is to offer the pitcher Rodon or Francis plus Thomas to get Julio Rodriguez. I would rather keep Rodon but not sure if Francis and Thomas would work.
I could also hold before making either trade.
Thoughts?
Thanks!
Hey Martin,
I love to see you contemplating your next moves already. Never stop working the phone lines.
I like the idea of pursuing Merrill. Personally, I think Pena/Thomas might be a little high to offer as a starting bid but it may get the job done. Talk with the Merrill owner and see what he’s looking for. Lindor is your everyday starter at SS but if something happens there, Pena is an excellent backup. Who is the replacement if you don’t own Pena anymore?
I don’t think the Rodon/Francis + Thomas gets it done for Julio.
Good luck!
Thoughts on my draft?
C: William Contreras
1B: Christian Walker
2B: Marcus Semien
3B: Austin Riley
SS: Bobby Witt Jr.
OF: Yordan Alvarez
OF: Luis Robert Jr.
UTIL: Mike Trout
UTIL: Jasson Dominguez
BN: Connor Norby
BN: Tyler Fitzgerald
SP: Logan Gilbert
SP: Tyler Glasnow
SP: Hunter Brown
SP: Seth Lugo
SP: Nick Pivetta
SP: Taj Bradley
SP: Nick Lodolo
RP: Lucas Erceg
RP: Chris Martin
RP: Alexis Dias
RP: Tanner Scott
Hey Adrian, I like what you did here. A good power/speed balance on offense and you hit on some nice value Ps later in the draft. Your squad should be competitive throughout but keep working the phone lines and wire.
I might be taking aSPer instead of Ozuna
Hi Derek,
I so enjoy your perspective and data approach.
I would appreciate any ideas where I need to make improvements including the pitching staff:
C: Cal Raleigh
1B: Josh Naylor
2B: Marcus Seimen
3B: Austin Riley
SS: Francisco Lindor
LF: Marcell Ozuno
CF: Brandon Nimmo
RF: Anthony Santandar
DH: Manny Machado (3B)
BN; Christian Yelich
BN: Jeremy Pena
BN;Lane Thomas
BN;Josh Jung
SP: Framber Valdez
SP: Max Fried
SP: Seth Lugo
SP: Bowden Francis
SP: Shane McClanahan
SP: Carlos Rodon
SP: Clarke Schmitt
SP: Ryan Weathers
SP: Will Warren
RP: Peter Fairbanks
RP; Jordan Romano
Thanks!!!!!
Martin
Hey Martin, good to see you again.
Is this a Roto or Points league? I’ll assume Points since that’s the topic of the article. Generally, I like your offense. There is plenty of power there to really rack up the points. With only 4 bench spots, it’s hard to cover every position. Depth at 1B is about the only position that jumps out at me.
On the pitching side, the SP are fine but you’ll need a few of them to log a lot of innings. I love McClanahan but he’s probably a year away from approaching what he was before the surgery. Rodon needs to step up too – both for you and the Yanks. Your two RPs are fine too but you may not get as many SVs as you’d like.
Overall, you have a good squad. Work on the margins (offensive depth, pitchers who fall into a bigger role due to team injuries, etc.). Also, don’t be afraid to move someone who jumps out to a hot start.
Good luck this season.
Thanks for this detailed analysis! Really appreciate your analysis!
Thanks again for this nuanced response. I would appreciate your input on these questions:
Do you prioritize 1B. 2B or RP or hold?
1. regarding 1B, the following are on the waiver wire:
Nate Lowe
Michael Toglia
Michael Busch
Rhys Hoskins
Nolan Schanual
Hold for now
2.Another option is to get a backup for 2B and leave 1B for now:
Gleyber Tores
Jonathan India
Mailel Garcia
Willi Castro
3. RP:
Carlos Estevez
Aroldis Chapman
Jason Foley
B. Can you think of a possible trade or a few players to target for a trade?
Have a great week!!!!!
Thanks so much!!
Toglia is primed to have a big year. Keep your eye on him.
Any of the 2B listed have value, it just depends on what you need.
Of the RPs listed, I like Foley best to eventually add SVs.
Thanks for taking so much of your time! Much appreciated! I really enjoying this conversation!
Would you prioritize Toglia or Foley?
Then the critical question: Who to cut?
Therefore it comes down to Jung, Coswer or Thomas.
On the one hand, jung makes the most sense since I have Riley and Machado at 3B. However if he has a bounce back year, he might have trade value. Therefore it would then come down to Cowser or Thomas or go with cutting z jung or hold. Thoughts?
Thanks again for these amazing insights!!!
Martin
Any thoughts on Tobias Myers.
Thanks so much!!!
I was going to go with my full roster of hitters before taking an arm, but I couldn’t pass up Joe Ryan in the 12th and didn’t like the hitters at the top of the War Room. I think I’ll end up taking one more soon and load up on hitting some more.
Joe Ryan in the 12th is real nice. I was in a similar spot in the 13th and wanted at least one share of Hunter Brown somewhere…
Through 10 0 arms….im at the 12 pick took Butler in the third. I also double tapped Westburg and Bregman
Your draft looks a lot like mine. I’m at Pick 2 and took Butler in the 4th, and Bregman/Westburg in the 6th/7th as you can see above.
I’ve added Rengifo, O’Hoppe, Rafaela, and Hunter Brown since…
We had a run on OF in the 11th and 12th that obliterated my queue. I’ll have some work to do there.
I’ve got every position filled but catcher. Time to start taking pitcher
Or maybe catcher
I thought about Rengifo but he is getting over a myriad of injuries atm. I already added Profar he was my one injured sorta hitter I decided to take a shot on.
Where are these projections coming from? I’d like to see them before I make further picks. Thanks.
What I mean is where are those RazzSlam numbers as in the case of Ohtani at 894.6.
You can download Razzball projections here: https://razzball.com/steamer-hitter-projections/.
Then it’s just adding the league scoring to calculate the projected points. My calculation looks like this:
=(AB*-1)+(R*2)+(RBI*2)+(HR*6)+(SB*5)+(H*4)
Thanks for getting back to me. As an English major, I’m way too dumb to execute that.
That’s where he will finish on the player rater because he’s trying to come back from labrum surgery in 4 months when it takes 6-9 months….
2025’s version of Ronald Acuna Jr. From 1st pick in fantasy drafts to season-ending surgery.
I don’t have any shares of Shohei this season but it’d still be tragic for the game if it happened.
He is great. What he did last year…..you’d think he’s invincible just like Acuna after 40/70. LA should be going easier on their billion dollar investment. Eventually we all find out we are human. Everyone see 54/59 and they aren’t worried they seem to be worried about everyone else who had shoulder surgery.
I’m having a tough time as I’m in a points league, H2H and it’s a 6-man forever keeper league (so somewhat of a dynasty league). Therein lies my conundrum. I have the opportunity to either keep Westburg or Ozuna. I know Ozuna seems like a lock for 30+ HRs and 100+ RBIs, but Westburg sounds like he’s going to be batting cleanup for the O’s and is on the verge of a breakout, AND is 2B/3B eligible. Thoughts?
Westburg in a dynasty all day everyday. Ozuna will be lucky to ever get OF eligibility again. I like them both, but Westburg is the easy call imo.
Thanks, J.R. I kinda feel that way as well. Ultimately, I feel like Ozuna may have had his best year last year, and Westburg is starting a run of many good years. Thanks again!
Hey Harry. That is a tough call for sure. First, are your other 5 keepers absolute LOCKS! If the answer is yes and you need to pick between these two, I’d lean Westburg for all the reasons you mention. Positional flexibility is so valuable…and maybe you’ll get lucky and be able to draft Ozuna back onto your team.
Yeah, I have Soto, Merrill, Duran, Lindor, and Naylor. I don’t pick until the 4th round (due to trades last season), so he’ll be drafted for sure. My hunch is still to go with Westburg as well. Thanks again!
Good advice! Thank you.
I am new to Roto and joined a RCL league that has 500 claims available during the year….if I am reading it right. That would mean nearly 20 moves per week? Am I on track or missing something here?
If correct, is it your experience that you are adding and dropping the back end of your staff each day? I guess the same would be true of marginal hitters on days off? Rookie questions but appreciate the help.
Hey JC, you are on track. In fact, the RCL king (Matt Truss) did an article recently that speaks to this. You can find it here: https://razzball.com/rcl-strategy-2025/
Regarding Pitchers, just be wary of the min/max limits. Many will strategically stream pitchers during the season then make a push at the end to maximize the innings. Truss is a magician with that strategy so I’d recommend following his RCL reports each week.
Welcome to the RCL leagues and best of luck.
Terrific! Thank you
Anytime!