HOT TAKE! Haha, everyone can get all giddy about the renaissance happening in Washington, but I’ll take my attention a little further north in the NL East. Sure, a certain Zimmerman is on pace for like 75 HR and 180 RBI, but I’m not interested in the past. Give me the future. You can take your old balls and five year plan, I’ll take the upside of a incredible prospect we’ve been waiting on for two years.

Listen, everything’s lining up for this. Curtis Granderson? He forgot how to hit. The Mets pitching staff? Essentially dead. Haha, they have Jose Reyes playing 3B. For the Mets, the future is now (watch out for Amed Rosario to get the call soon), and a primary cog for them in that movement is Michael Conforto. Finally.

If you lookout the current stats and slap line, Zimmerman’s the choice, but in projecting out the future, I’d take the younger option. Even ZiPS agrees with a 21 HR to 16 HR ROS projection in favor of Michael. (Keep reading…I’m a fan of Zimmerman, too.)

  • Michael Conforto, OF, NYM (75.9% owned) – With a current line of .325/17/7/20/1 Conforto’s bringing great value since taking over an everyday role. All those numbers are in only 96 PA. Looking deeper the peripheral stats seem to be sustainable, as well, whereas guys like Zimmerman have a massively inflated BABIP and ISO. And by massively inflated I mean it’s almost double anything consistent with their careers. Conforto, though, sports a .345 BABIP and a .300 ISO. Those may drop slightly, but even if they go down to the ZiPS numbers (in 450 PA) of a .224 ISO with a .292 BABIP it gives him a season ending slash of (~).285/81/28/88/3. That’s sustainable. And greater than Zimmerman. They’re both rising, but I’ll take the young buck. And if you’re in one of the 25% of ESPN leagues where he’s not owned…change that. Fast.

ROS projections are tough. Take the savvy veteran with a lower ceiling but higher floor? Go for the risk of the young’n without the history to prove he can do it further? Find what works for your team and go for it! Here’s the Top 100 Hitters…based on my thoughts! My. Subjective. Thoughts.

They just happen to be right a lot. Ha!

Note: These rankings are considered ROS Trade Value

[email protected]’s Top  Hitters

(Rankings based on 12-team Roto. GREEN = player rising. RED = player dropping. BLUE = new to the 100.)

Rank Name Pos Team
1 Mike Trout LAA OF
2 Bryce Harper WSH OF
3 Mookie Betts BOS OF
4 Nolan Arenado COL 3B
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B
6 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B
7 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1B
8 Kris Bryant CHC 3B/OF
9 Charlie Blackmon COL OF
10 Trea Turner WSH SS/2B/OF
11 Manny Machado BAL 3B/SS
12 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1B
13 Corey Seager LAD SS
14 Joey Votto CIN 1B
15 Daniel Murphy WSH 1B/2B
16 Nelson Cruz SEA OF
17 Miguel Cabrera DET 1B
18 Francisco Lindor CLE SS
19 Ryan Braun MIL OF
20 Wil Myers SD 1B/OF
21 Josh Donaldson TOR 3B
22 Brian Dozier MIN 2B
23 Robinson Cano SEA 2B
24 Giancarlo Stanton MIA OF
25 Khris Davis OAK OF
26 Carlos Correa HOU SS
27 Eric Thames MIL 1B/OF
28 A.J. Pollock ARI OF
29 Edwin Encarnacion CLE 1B
30 Yoenis Cespedes NYM OF
31 Jonathan Villar MIL 3B/SS
32 Christian Yelich MIA OF
33 George Springer HOU OF
34 Kyle Seager SEA 3B
35 Matt Kemp ATL OF
36 Mark Trumbo BAL OF
37 Miguel Sano MIN 3B/OF
38 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B/OF
39 J.D. Martinez DET OF
40 Aaron Judge NYY OF
41 Jake Lamb ARI 3B
42 Ian Desmond COL OF
43 Andrew Benintendi BOS OF
44 Matt Carpenter STL 1B/2B/3B
45 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS
46 Ian Kinsler DET 2B
47 Justin Upton DET OF
48 Jay Bruce NYM OF
49 Michael Brantley CLE OF
50 Jose Abreu CWS 1B
51 Trevor Story COL SS
52 Gregory Polanco PIT OF
53 Buster Posey SF C/1B
54 Adam Jones BAL OF
55 Carlos Gonzalez COL OF
56 DJ LeMahieu COL 2B
57 Rougned Odor TEX 2B
58 Cesar Hernandez PHI 2B
59 Michael Conforto NYM OF
60 Marcell Ozuna MIA OF
61 Justin Turner LAD 3B
62 Anthony Rendon WSH 3B
63 Aledmys Diaz STL SS
64 Jean Segura SEA 2B/SS
65 Ryan Zimmerman WAS 1B
66 Kyle Schwarber CHC OF
67 Adam Duvall CIN OF
68 Hanley Ramirez BOS 1B
69 Evan Longoria TB 3B
70 Lorenzo Cain KC OF
71 Albert Pujols LAA 1B
72 Gary Sanchez NYY C
73 Chris Davis BAL 1B
74 Odubel Herrera PHI OF
75 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B
76 Carlos Santana CLE 1B
77 Todd Frazier CWS 1B/3B
78 Mitch Haniger SEA OF
79 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B
80 David Peralta ARI OF
81 Alex Bregman HOU 3B
82 Corey Dickerson TB OF
83 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF
84 Ender Inciarte ATL OF
85 Elvis Andrus TEX SS
86 Chris Owings ARI 2B/SS
87 Jonathan Lucroy TEX C
88 Eric Hosmer KC 1B
89 Jackie Bradley BOS OF
90 Dee Gordon MIA 2B
91 Starlin Castro NYY 2B
92 Billy Hamilton CIN OF
93 David Dahl COL OF
94 Yasmany Tomas ARI OF
95 Jonathan Schoop BAL 2B
96 Brandon Phillips ATL 2B
97 Scott Schebler CIN OF
98 Jason Heyward CHC OF
99 Yonder Alonso OAK 1B
100 Stephen Piscotty STL OF

The Honorable Mentions (Next Five In…)

Rank Name Pos Team
101 Avisail Garcia CHW OF
102 Jedd Gyorko STL 2B/3B/SS
103 Aaron Hicks NYY OF
104 Troy Tulowitzki TOR SS
105 Maikel Franco PHI 3B

Dropped from the Rankings: Nomar Mazara (89), Jason Kipnis (93), Manuel Margot (97), Kevin Kiermaier (98), Brad Miller (100)

A few notes on the 100:

  • A close second in the highlight was Cody Bellinger. I’m googoo for this dude. Massive ISO, an injured Adrian Gonzalez, enough wheels to flirt with 10 SB, and the defensive flexibility to eventually qualify in OF. Every year there’s a rookie that causes massive waves in the fantasy season, leading many to Championships. Here’s the hot take: for 2017 it’s Bellinger. Not Yoan Moncada, none of the stud pitchers, not Amed Rosario (who I can’t wait for). It’s this one.
  • Chris Owings is another player poised to win a lot of people belts. Similar to his predecessor, Owings may be this year’s version of Jean Segura.
  • Speaking of Segura, I was wrong on him it seems. I thought for sure we’d see unstoppable regression, given his small sample size of dominant hitting, but he’s proving otherwise since coming back from injury. I loved what Taylor Motter brought to the M’s, but man…gonna be hard to get at bats once Mitch Haniger returns if Segura keeps raking.
  • You could have seemingly drafted a team with Sano, Ramirez, Judge, Benintendi and Desmond. Goodness…I want that team. They’re all flying up the board, and I don’t see it slowing down much. I kept a $19 Alex Bregman over a $19 Andrew Benintendi in an AL-Only this year. #smh

As always…don’t agree with something?

DROP THOSE COMMENTS!

Follow [email protected] on Twitter at @matthayes for far more than just fantasy advice.

54 Comments
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The Harrow
The Harrow
5 years ago

glad to see that you understand how to and use the green/red/blue for movement. one of the previous guys either didn’t know how to or just willfully didn’t.

Mike
Mike
5 years ago

Would you deal Altuve to get Cutch/Schwarber/Cueto?

TTRA1N
TTRA1N
5 years ago

If they would just leave Chris Owings in the 2 hole he would fly up this list.

FreshMeat
FreshMeat
5 years ago

No Travis Shaw? Average is meh but he seems to fill the stat line regularly and plays in a great park with a potent lineup. What’re you seeing you don’t like?

primetime
primetime
5 years ago

Jackie Bradley? What’s he done this past season to be on this list? Chris Young been out playing him. Jackie is still hurt and he was rushed back, still wearing a brace. I am giving him this week to get things back vs Brewers, if he fails BIG drop.

I am in a 10 team keeper league and I am holding guys like Polanco and Bradley in hopes for a break out soon. We are heading into middle of May, these guys stink up the joint.

I missed out on guys.. Gardner and Holiday are better plays, yup I said it. Polanco lineup is awful. Bradley is batting 9th and big snore fest. Ceiling was last year, he’s back in the basement like previous years.

Earl
Earl
5 years ago

Seems like Odor is really leaving a bad taste in alot of people’s mouths not to mention teams this year (one of mine included).

How high of value would people put on Ian Desmond going forward?

Trying to determine what to make of Senztala and Triggs going forward for future production??

Thanks

MJ23
MJ23
5 years ago

What does Mark Reynolds have to do to make the Top 100? In Coors, peripherals say current production is sustainable. Should be somewhere around Pujols at least,

Christian Herman
Christian Herman
5 years ago

Where is Dexter fowler?

H
H
5 years ago

Bogarts and Duffy for Kluber. Which side? Thanks!

Hammer
Hammer
5 years ago

Would you drop Peraza for Conforto in a dynasty league? Love the position eligibility of Peraza, but dude is not doing much…

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Hammer
5 years ago

@Hammer: Yes

Hammer
Hammer
Reply to  [email protected]
5 years ago

@[email protected]: Trigger Pulled – thanks [email protected]

Scott
Scott
5 years ago

Why is bregman on this list? What has he done? Where is the power? He is hitting 8th or 9th. Zero hr. Polanco also seems very high. Do you expect these guys to rebound. I am losing faith. I cant cut these guys yet, but how long do i hold them in a 10 teamer?

TTRA1N
TTRA1N
5 years ago

I’m kinda glad dude in my league changed his mind on my Benni/Springer for KB. Benni is a legit monster! MookI Betts type.

filmmeaway
filmmeaway
5 years ago

Is Castillo going to be back soon? Or should I cut him for Molina, Bandy, Leon, Hedges? 12t H2H 6×6 AVG+OBP

Eric
Eric
5 years ago

I see trumbo moved up a bit. Do you see him breaking out of his slump?

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Eric
5 years ago

@Eric: Yes he’s not going to slump for a whole season.

Grey
Admin
5 years ago

Kinsler in front of Odor?! Are you negging me?

Christian Herman
Christian Herman
5 years ago

Thoughts on Logan Morrison & if he can be a top 15 1st basemen the rest of the way?

Cram It
Cram It
5 years ago

Man, I love Mikey’s swing. That is all.

Chris
Chris
5 years ago

Thanks [email protected]!

Who should I start Dyson or Pham? Just picked up Pham. h2h roto 5×5 14 team league if it helps.

Thanks

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Chris
5 years ago

@Chris: Dyson is only good for SB’s, so depending on how that’ll factor in to your matchup…

Chris
Chris
Reply to  Cram It
5 years ago

Thanks

Chris
Chris
5 years ago

Hello [email protected],

thanks for the update on Toles. I look to add him in my 14 team league.

Trade question for 12 team league:
Option A
Give: Carlos Santana + Duffy
Get: Donaldson + Wacha

Option B
Give: Duffy
Get: Donaldson

My team is:
Realmuto, Edwin, Schoop, Arenado, Russell
OF: Brantley, Thames, Dickerson, Bradley jr (BN)
UTL: Carlos Santana
SP: Darvish, Duffy, Salazar, McCullers, Jaime Garcia, Zach Davies, Eduardo Rodriguez, Daniel Norris, Manaea (DL), Nola (DL)
RP: Giles, Osuna, Ramos

Thing of option B (Duffy for Donaldson) is that I then have to trade C. Santana or Edwin since we only have 1 UTL spot.

I’m trying to get some offense since I already lost Marte, and Eaton.

thanks!

Chris
Chris
Reply to  Chris
5 years ago

@Chris: Another option can be Darvish for Blackmon? thanks!

fknboz
fknboz
5 years ago

I’m looking to sell Duffy for a bat in my 10 team OBP/QS league. I’m hoping to snag someone in your top 40 (or thereabouts), perhaps a JD Martinez-type. Do you think that’s fair value or would you aim higher/lower? Maybe give me a return you’d be super-happy about, and one you’d be fine settling for.

c Russell Martin
1b Paul Goldy
2b Odor
3b Justin Turner
SS Xander
OF Mookie
OF Trumbo
OF Conforto
OF Bellinger
Util Segura
Util Odubel
BN Peraza
DL Cespedes

Manley Ramirez
Manley Ramirez
Reply to  [email protected]
5 years ago

@fknboz: Settle for [email protected][email protected]: Settle for JD?! No way Duffy nets you that.

pondfrogsplash
pondfrogsplash
5 years ago

What to do with Addison Russell? Diaz, Baez, and Cozart are out there on waivers in my 8 team (yeah too shallow) roto league. Would you drop Russell for any of these guys?

pondfrogsplash
pondfrogsplash
Reply to  pondfrogsplash
5 years ago

@pondfrogsplash: I also have Trea Turner and could play him at SS and pick up an outfielder like Hicks, Alonso, or Altherr. But I already have a stron outfield.

pondfrogsplash
pondfrogsplash
Reply to  [email protected]
5 years ago

@[email protected]: Thanks!

John
John
5 years ago

2 Questions
Drop Dickerson for Conforto?
Should I try to move Zimmerman, if so what tier pitcher/hitter should I look for?