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Angels SS Zach Neto 39.9

Neto might be paying a price for being on the Angels, and that’s not totally unwarranted given that runs and RBI might be hard to find. Still, he hit 26 homers and stole 26 bases while batting .257 in his age 24 season on a team with little lineup protection. He’s going after a trio of first basemen in Matt Olson, Rafael Devers, and Bryce Harper, and I totally understand that impulse to take the safest bats you can find. I just prefer the five-category contributions of a guy like Neto, who’s going almost ten spots higher than this in the NFBC: 30.37 since March 1 (121 drafts). 

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Pirates SS Yordany De Los Santos has been living in the present and making the most of his limited opportunities with Pittsburgh this preseason, popping three home runs in just 11 plate appearances, good for a 394 wRC+. Prior to spring training, he had played just two games above Low-A and slashed .249/.311/.388 in 116 games there last year, but he was 20 years old posting an average (95 wRC+) against older players (+1 years on average) in full-season ball, so I’m looking past the slash line a little bit and gazing longingly at his 51 stolen bases in 65 attempts. That’s a 78 percent success rate, which ain’t great but isn’t the kind of red flag that would stop a youngster from running. He looks bigger this year than his listed 6’1” 170 pounds, and while a reality beyond their listed size is true of just about every international signing, De Los Santos looks like a major leaguer, physically, when glanced through my admittedly large television screen. At 21 years old, he’s ripe for a statistical breakthrough playing in a hitter-friendly home park for High-A Greensboro. If that materializes, he’ll be headed to Double-A by midseason. Won’t turn 22 until February 17 of next year. There’s a lot to like here. 

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The World Baseball Classic is underway, leaving most major league rosters ripe with opportunity. Also with some soft spots. The stats could get weird for a little while here. We’re always taking spring outcomes with a grain of salt anyway, but it can be tough when a guy I like for a breakout like Twins RHP Taj Bradley cruises through four scoreless innings against a Yankees lineup with four regulars. 

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Twins RHP Mick Abel (24) bullied a lineup built mostly of backup Braves, recording six strikeouts in three scoreless innings. I don’t care much about the lineup, actually, because Abel looked excellent, spotting a 97 mile an hour fastball and sweepy slider time after time. He got taken out into the field a bit in 2025, but it was just 39 innings, and the jump from Triple-A to the major leagues proves difficult for pretty much every prospect these days. 

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Pirates SS Konnor Griffin has been the early talk of spring training after blasting two moonshots in the same game followed by Pittsburgh leaking their desire to sign him long term. Translation: they know he should be part of the opening day lineup but would like to maximize whatever leverage they have here. We’ve seen this move a lot, and I get it. I actually think it makes sense for most young players to offer a year or two of free agency to make a ton of money earlier than they would’ve and have stable income across time. Decent money management is all you’d need for your whole family to live like royalty for a hundred years, minimum. Why quibble over the dollars beyond that? It’s a little different for a Pittsburgh player. Humans like to win, or at least compete. 

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I don’t know of a better way to introduce this piece than to lean into the braggadocio right off the bat, even as bragging comes about as naturally as dunking a basketball to me. I’m just not sure why you’d give a shit what I have to say about a 12-team AL Only auction among fantasy analysts except that I won it back-to-back in 2022 and 2023. It’s kind of an odd set-up in that we fill our starting lineups via auction and then draft a seven-man bench. This nudges me towards a stars and scrubs dynamic despite my occasional efforts to distribute the funds evenly throughout my build.

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My plan for the day is to share some of my first-year-player drafting process, starting where I left off with the Razz 30 write-ups. Click here to see the first three roundsIn the article, you’ll find the first 90 picks from a highly competitive 30-team league in which everyone has a pretty good idea what they’re doing. 

My first four picks were Padres 2B Sung Mug Song (1.26), Tigers P Drew Anderson (2.56), Dodgers RP Edgardo Henriquez (3.80) and Reds RP Connor Phillips (3.86). 

I still feel good about the third-rounders, but the Padres and Tigers have both added a lot of playing time competition where there was once an open runway. I still like both players, and I’d still make the Song pick, but it’s a peak at how quickly things can change this time of year. 

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My FYPD rankings have changed more over this winter than any I can remember. Some of it is just the OCD in action, but I think it’s mostly because class is especially tricky to sort. This sequence is the best I could come up with for now for a typical dynasty league, but every context is different in every dynasty league. I just drafted Red Sox C Carlos Narvaez at the end of the 2nd round in a league I won last year. Sure, I could’ve tried to draft a prospect and trade that for a catcher, but sometimes it’s better just to take the guy who best fits your build during a contention cycle. Good luck out there in your leagues. 

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Interesting couple weeks in the Acuña family chat. Ronald got to dance the halftime away with Bad Bunny at the Super Bowl, which probably made him feel young again a few days before Pirates SS Konnor Griffin probably made him feel old by saying he grew up watching him. On the other end of the professional development spectrum, Luisangel’s new boss very publicly thinks he’s somebody he’s not. White Sox Senior Vice President and General Manager Chris Getz couldn’t stop referring to the younger brother as a switch-hitter when discussing the Luis Robert trade during media hits. Rumors suggest he thought he was trading for Ronny Maurcio and got crossed up in the process. Gotta be just rumors, right? That’s way too big a mistake to make with that job title. Although, alternatively, that’s exactly the kind of job title you might have if you find yourself getting away with such a mistake. And Mauricio would make a lot more sense to me as a trade target for a team in Chicago’s spot. Hard to see how Getz could’ve handled the whole Luis Robert Jr. saga any worse. 

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Prospect News: Notes From The Razz 30 First-Year-Player Draft

The Razz 30 off-season is a tradition like no other. Owners slowly trim their rosters from 50-something players (43 spots with unlimited IL) down to the required 25 total, bartering over mid-round draft picks and borderline droppable players. It’s quite the party, and after a couple hundred trades have been made, we begin the First-Year-Player Draft. 

Click here to read how the first round went down. 

Results From Round Two:

31. Diamondbacks SS Kayson Cunningham 

32. Twins SS Marek Houston

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The Razz 30 off-season is a tradition like no other. Owners slowly trim their rosters from 50-something players (43 spots with unlimited IL) down to the required 25 total, bartering over mid-round draft picks and borderline droppable players. It’s quite the party, and after a couple hundred trades have been made, we begin the First-Year-Player Draft. 

1. White Sox 3B Munetaka Murakami 

2. Blue Jays 3B Kazuma Okamoto 

3. Astros RHP Tatsuya Imai

4. Mariners LHP Kade Anderson 

I wouldn’t put Murakami in the top group, but he’ll probably go that high in most leagues, and Okamoto will probably go a little lower as people chase upside over present production at the top of their drafts. Likely wouldn’t be picking that high if they had enough right-now juice in the categories to contend. Even in a rebuild, I’d be tempted to take Okamoto. If he hits right away, you can trade him for more or just build around him heading into 2027. I don’t advocate for rebuilds with long tails anyway. I think the goal should be an 18-24 month turnaround, and you have to start stacking functional pieces at some point. Why not start with Okamoto? Well, if he doesn’t hit in his first MLB season, his value will be pretty much shot. There’s some safety in far-away players like Ethan Holliday because he doesn’t have to generate big outcomes to keep his dynasty stock alive for a couple years. Or so goes that theory anyway. Every league is different though. In the Razz 30, a bad 2026 from Holliday could tank his stock just as quickly as a bad 2026 would tank Okamoto’s. 

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76. Pirates RHP Seth Hernandez | 19 | NA | 2029

I might wind up low on Seth Hernandez despite loving the player. How could you not? He throws a hundred miles an hour with an adult change-up and solid command. Comes down to timeline stuff. Pittsburgh can develop pitching, but they won’t be in any kind of hurry with Hernandez. They have Oneil Cruz and Paul Skenes today. Jared Jones is on the way back and Bubba Chandler is on the way up. Why take a player who’s five years away? It’s certainly defensible because Hernandez is awesome, but it also feels like old thinking in that a front office shouldn’t draft for short-term impact. We have all seen the opposite over the last several years. Amateur baseball has come a long way. Then I think of Jackson Jobe and Andrew Painter, who’ve both been great in the minors at times but have battled injuries throughout their careers. Can’t predict that, of course, but it’s just hard to point to a high school right-hander who has returned a ton of dynasty value. There’s Hunter Greene, but he’s been hurt, too

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