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When does a fad become a trend, and a trend the new standard? Whether it’s fashion, politics, music, movies, language or style, the shift from perception to reality advances faster and faster. In baseball, how fast does that timeline shift for a player? How long do we need to realize that a player’s stats are the new norm and not a flash in the pan? 50 at bats? 100 at bats? 2 months? Of course, there’s always the risk of regression, like the 80’s being totally back in style, but there are other things from the past that just won’t come back. Or at least we all better hope they don’t. Like Jnco. Haha, that used to be cool?

There’s been a trend so far in the 2016 season that I’m hoping becomes the new norm for some players. Patience. A new wave of players are taking jumps forward this year in large part to an increased walk rate. If you search the MLB leaders in walk rate you’ll find guys that had no business being there in years past. Dexter Fowler, Gregory Polanco, Christian Yelich, and Colby Rasmus (more on him later) are all in the Top 12 for BB% with all but Fowler more than doubling their previous high mark. You know those names. You probably own some of those names. But if you look at the top of that leaderboard you’ll find a name that you probably don’t own. And maybe you should, because I think his shift will actually stick as a new standard. Who’s creeping?

  • Odubel Herrera, OF (11%) – “I just wish he still had SS eligibility!” That’s the first thought that runs through my head every time I look at Odubel Herrera on the waiver wire, but as we approach Week 4 and Odubel approaches 100 at bats, the time for gathering reasons of why not to pick him up are beginning to cease. He’s always been a runner, and it’s that speed that’s allowed him to carry a .356 OBP through his first 165 MLB games, but he did it with just a 7% walk rate. That number’s about to skyrocket. In 2016 he’s coupling his speed with incredible patience to the tune of an MLB leading 22.1% BB rate. He’s The Speed Walker! After Saturday’s monster line (3-4, 4R, 1HR, 2RBI, 2SB) Herrera is proving himself more than worthy of roster consideration; he’s cracked the Top 100 and I don’t know if he’ll be leaving any time soon. Owned at just 11% in ESPN leagues heading into Sunday’s games (a number that will most likely jump by the time you’re reading this), Odubel’s a great option for those of you putting struggling bigger name OFs in your lineup every day. Still. Here’s looking at you, Carlos Gomez. Geez. Odubel’s young enough (24 yo) and is playing with enough production where he’ll easily hit his end-of-season numbers from 557 ABs in 2015, and most likely surpass them. Get him now before April ends and he’s not available anymore.

Enough creepin…we have a NEW #1! Here’s your Top 100 Hitters for Week 4!

The Top 100 Hitters

Rank Name Pos Team
1 Bryce Harper OF WAS
2 Mike Trout OF LAA
3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B ARI
4 Josh Donaldson 3B TOR
5 Nolan Arenado 3B COL
6 Manny Machado 3B BAL
7 Jose Altuve 2B HOU
8 Carlos Correa SS HOU
9 Anthony Rizzo 1B CHC
10 Andrew McCutchen OF PIT
11 Giancarlo Stanton OF MIA
12 Edwin Encarnacion 1B TOR
13 Kris Bryant 3B CHC
14 Jose Bautista OF TOR
15 Mookie Betts OF BOS
16 George Springer OF HOU
17 Chris Davis 1B BAL
18 Nelson Cruz OF SEA
19 Starling Marte OF PIT
20 Miguel Cabrera 1B DET
21 J.D. Martinez OF DET
22 Jose Abreu 1B CWS
23 Justin Upton OF DET
24 Buster Posey C SF
25 David Ortiz DH BOS
26 Joey Votto 1B CIN
27 Carlos Gonzalez OF COL
28 Jason Heyward OF CHC
29 Ryan Braun OF MIL
30 Dee Gordon 2B MIA
31 Yasiel Puig OF LAD
32 Lorenzo Cain OF KC
33 Yoenis Cespedes OF NYM
34 Gregory Polanco OF PIT
35 Albert Pujols 1B LAA
36 Ian Kinsler 2B DET
37 Adrian Gonzalez 1B LAD
38 Charlie Blackmon OF COL
39 Xander Bogaerts SS BOS
40 Adam Jones OF BAL
41 Robinson Cano 2B SEA
42 Todd Frazier 3B CWS
43 Miguel Sano DH MIN
44 Brian Dozier 2B MIN
45 Matt Carpenter 3B STL
46 Eric Hosmer 1B KC
47 Freddie Freeman 1B ATL
48 Adrian Beltre 3B TEX
49 Brandon Belt 1B SF
50 Troy Tulowitzki SS TOR
51 Francisco Lindor SS CLE
52 Maikel Franco 3B PHI
53 Jason Kipnis 2B CLE
54 Prince Fielder DH TEX
55 Kyle Seager 3B SEA
56 Matt Kemp OF SD
57 Hanley Ramirez OF BOS
58 Joc Pederson OF LAD
59 David Peralta OF ARI
60 Adam Eaton OF CWS
61 Christian Yelich OF MIA
62 Corey Seager SS LAD
63 Stephen Piscotty OF STL
64 Evan Longoria 3B TB
65 Dexter Fowler OF CHC
66 Anthony Rendon 2B WAS
67 Hunter Pence OF SF
68 Brian McCann C NYY
69 Gerardo Parra OF COL
70 Mark Trumbo OF BAL
71 Carlos Gomez OF HOU
72 DJ LeMahieu 2B COL
73 Daniel Murphy 2B/3B WAS
74 Kendrys Morales DH KC
75 Corey Dickerson OF TB
76 Starlin Castro SS NYY
77 Trevor Story SS COL
78 Tyler White 3B HOU
79 Brett Gardner OF NYY
80 Delino Deshields, Jr. OF TEX
81 Travis Shaw 3B BOS
82 Jonathan Lucroy C MIL
83 Kole Calhoun OF LAA
84 Colby Rasmus OF HOU
85 Jay Bruce OF CIN
86 Mark Teixeira 1B NYY
87 Jean Segura SS ARI
88 Lucas Duda 1B NYM
89 Jacoby Ellsbury OF NYY
90 Eugenio Suarez SS CIN
91 Brandon Crawford SS SF
92 Odubel Herrera OF PHI
93 Shin-Soo Choo OF TEX
94 Ben Zobrist OF CHC
95 Nomar Mazara OF TEX
96 Rougned Odor 2B TEX
97 Melvin Upton, Jr. OF SD
98 Michael Conforto OF NYM
99 Steven Souza, Jr. OF TB
100 Brandon Phillips 2B CIN

Dropped from Rankings: Carlos Santana (77), Ian Desmond (89), Jeremy Hazelbaker (94)

  • We have to address the change at the top. It’s time we anoint Bryce Harper as the best player in baseball. Mike Trout’s done nothing wrong, but Harper’s ascension is in full bloom, and he’s proving that his MVP 2015 was no fluke. He’s 9th in R, 1st in HR, 1st in RBI while hitting .314. The only player this year close to his value is Jose Altuve, who is rising fast himself. Also creeping up on Trout? Manny Machado. Baseball’s youth movement is a glorious thing.
  • I was this close to dropping Colby Rasmus from the rankings. I honestly don’t believe in him, but then he went and dropped three bombs in three days to tie Harper and others for the MLB lead in the category, all while accumulating 8 RBI in that three day bender. He’s going to be streaky, and probably won’t hit above .260 the rest of the way, but the stats aren’t lying: he’s been really good. And maybe he’s changed? 14 BB to balance the 15 K mirrors what Odubel is doing. Hopefully it keeps up.
  • That little patch in the middle features five guys I dropped quite a bit in the rankings. Here’s the reasoning: Blackmon’s toe injury worries me since a lot of his value is tied to his speed, Jones hasn’t been himself in well over a year, this is probably a more accurate ranking of Cano, and I’m afraid Frazier just isn’t that good. Care to disagree?

Drop those comments!