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It was easy to accept Jay(Wrong)’s offer to add an additional column when I heard his idea. The concept was simple: take a look through the most added and dropped players and decide which ones are actually deserving of their big gains or declines in ownership percentage. Every fantasy baseball platform has some version of the ‘Most Added/Dropped’ sheet, but for the purposes of this column, I’ll use ESPN’s data. I don’t consider ownership percentages to be research. In fact, if you you are using ownership percentages as your only barometer for player evaluations, then you probably found Razzball by mistake. Welcome. We’re here to help.

What is interesting about these numbers is that they offer a window into the minds of all the other teams out there patrolling the waiver wire. We see a player on our roster or in free agency with the double digit red/green numbers next to his name and we tend to think, “What am I missing?” There are two feelings I hate in fantasy baseball- the feeling that I just dropped somebody I shouldn’t have, and the feeling I just picked up a guy who’s about to go as cold as ice. God forbid we tick both boxes in the same move (I’ve done this).

Each week, we’ll look at one of the biggest adds or drops, then I’ll suggest one player from the most added column that I feel is actually trash, and one player from the most dropped list that is actually a treasure.

Take one of this week’s biggest adds, Dallas Keuchel (+64%). He’s now up to 83% ownership overall. Is this mob mentality or is Keuchel for real? That’s the question we hope to answer in this column so you don’t have to waste a waiver claim. As for Keuchel, he’s the real deal. His 68% ground ball percentage leads all major league pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched. His walk rate is under two per nine innings and he’s striking out more than eight batters per nine. Those three stats, along with an FIP that closely resembles his actual ERA, lead me to believe that Keuchel is deserving of the rush to pick him up and could be a valuable starter from this point forward. Here are some of the other big adds and drops I noticed for fantasy baseball…

David Murphy – 48% owned (+30)

Part of the appeal with Murphy is his 31 runs batted in, which is good for top 20 in MLB. He’s cashed in with runners in scoring position this year, but in most leagues he’s going to be frustrating to own. Murphy has really struggled this season against left-handed pitching (46 wRC+) and will be out of the lineup occasionally. He hasn’t hit well away from Progressive Field either, sporting a meh wRC+ of 83 on the road compared to 158 at home. If you can afford the luxury of shifting him in and out of your lineup, he has value. He’s not somebody I’m running to add as an everyday outfielder. His career high in homers is 17 and he’s never driven in more than 74 runs. TRASH.

Ben Revere – 46% owned (-15)

I mentioned Revere in yesterday’s SAGNOF column, because his ownership numbers have declined since the beginning of the year. I’ll mention him again here because he was listed as one of the most dropped players. Revere told reporters that he is still learning how to play with the ups and downs of his ankle injury. This leads me to believe that he could actually improve as the year progresses, making him a smart add and definitely not a drop. Unless you are running away and hiding with the stolen bases category in your league, Revere is a valuable piece. He’s hitting .291 on the season with 12 stolen bases. He’s only been caught twice, and his 68.7% ground ball percentage is the highest of his young career. If he can continue to keep the ball on the ground, the steals will mount. I’d still project him to steal 40 bases this year and finish the season with a line very similar to that of 2012: .290+ average, 70 runs scored, 40 steals. TREASURE.

 

Mike’s on Twitter @643ball

From Around The Web

  1. Jay

    Jay says:
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    dat new look brah

    • PK says:
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      @Jay: I’m digging the new avatar!

      • Jay

        Jay says:
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        @PK: Yeah, it’s something awesome.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      haha. thanks! it’s all Jay man. dude is full of good ideas. it’s growing on me I must admit.

    • Do You Even Lift? says:
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      @Jay: You aware?

  2. MadDog says:
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    Bravo! I hope this column is the first of many like it!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks!

  3. No Soup for Yu says:
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    Who do you like between Keuchel and I Kennedy? JB pitcher profile on Keuchel coming soon?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @No Soup for Yu: Pitcher profile will be up Thursday last time I talked with JB. Mem day weekend kinda jumbled things around.

      • Cram It says:
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        @Jay: No! No more Hodgepadre pitching profiles/sleeper posts! Stuff ‘em all in a sack!

        • Cram It says:
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          @Cram It: I misread that. Move along.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d still prefer Kennedy

  4. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Great stuff, Mike, even better new photo!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      ha, thanks Grey!

  5. BTXJ

    BTXJ says:
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    great column! i’m calling the biggest + next week – khris davis!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks! great call

  6. gareth says:
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    Nice avatar Mike!

    I had revere on my team all year but dropped him last week. Niggling injuries, coupled with the managers lack of faith in him which led to reduced playing time made me decide to cut ties.

    However my rcl team looked desperately short of speed without him (alcides being my only other true speed threat) and there was nothing else available. I noticed revere had started playing consistently again and had even gone 4 for 4. Luckily no one had picked him up and he was a free agent. I had to drop either swisher or reddick to pick up revere.

    Who do you think I dropped, and who would you have dropped for revere?

    Finally, you think revere ever hits a home run in mlb? Odds / percentage of this happening?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks Gareth. I’ll guess Reddick since they are both OF. Swish has been frustrating though.

      yeah, I do. It’ll be a warm July day and it’ll sneak over the scoreboard in right field at CBP. ESPN tracker will label it lucky and it may even need to bounce off of the right fielder’s head Canseco style. I think I saw a tweet that the anniversary of that crazy play was this past weekend.

      • jstudius says:
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        @Mike: lol, or maybe a warm night in May?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          ;)

  7. Sky

    Sky says:
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    Looking downright shaggable with the new avi, Mike. But I don’t wanna cuz…well…penis. Either way, nice writeup. I’m doing Kegel exercises at work as I type. Thanks for the reminder!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      ha, thanks man. don’t hurt yourself!

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Too late, might’ve pulled a taint muscle.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          ouch! have fun with your new inflatable butt pillow

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            had to google butt pillow just to get the results. Twas not disappointing:

            Butt Pillow

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              wow. just wow.

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                @Mike: This made my day. Thanks Japan!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @Sky: They look so peaceful…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @Sky: That’s a girlfriend lap pillow, by the by

              • Mike

                Mike says:
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                Reminds me of “Dutch” when the kid drools on the hooker’s boob

              • Sky

                Sky says:
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                Haha, interesting. Well, google told me it was a butt. Don’t argue with the google!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I don’t know how many laps you’ve rested on vs. butts, but there’s a huge difference!

                  • Sky

                    Sky says:
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                    What you got against huge butts!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Don’t twist my words, I was simply pointing out a difference between a butt pillow and a lap pillow…

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Well someone put on his serious pants. I’m assuming they’re plaid. And cover a very nice lap.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      A very comfortable lap, if you must know

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      How many Japanese men have enjoyed its bounty to date? I can only imagine…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      They all signed NDAs so I can’t mention…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I tried to open that link and it said stay 500 feet away, why is that?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      How you cuddle vs how the rest of us cuddle might be a bit different. There should be no grabbing of butt pillows.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Reminds me of the Japanese adaption of Planes, Trains and Automobiles where they changed it to, “Those ARE pillows!”

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Ha! Let me close this conversation by saying that you are one unique individual.

  8. Ryan says:
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    Upton Darvish or Stanton Cingrani? Which pair would you want in a dynasty league

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      tough one. I’d lean Upton side.

  9. Wacha Wacha says:
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    Hello Mike! Love the new column. Aj Pollock trash or treasure? Also which two adds do I make in 10 team 5×5 categories league? I Kennedy, T Ross,G Richards, D Keuchel, Taveras, K Davis, KMorales, Pollock

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! Pollock is treasure IMO.

      I’d add Richards and Pollock.

  10. Red Barons says:
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    Would you drop Rajai for Revere, or am I moving sideways?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I would. Prefer Revere

  11. Tehol Beddict

    Tehol Beddict says:
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    that new picture tho

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Haha

  12. King Trout says:
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    Great idea. I like using the ownership trends as a starting point for my research. Can’t wait for your next article. Good stuff.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks!

  13. uncdrew says:
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    Excellent column addition. I look forward to having already added the players you mention. ;)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! That’s the ticket ;)

  14. Abdoozy says:
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    Great idea for a column, Mike. I’ve been a fan since I got your autograph on a game program when you were in AAA in Eugene in the early 70s. It’s a prized possession, or it would be if my mom hadn’t thrown it out with my comic books..

    Anyway. ROS in a QS H2H league: Eovaldi as a 5th starter? Others on staff Teheran, Cobb, Chavez, Sanchez, Niese, plus streamer spots currently occupied by Hughes and Pomeranz. I’d have to use a good waiver slot on Eovaldi, but the K potential of Eovaldi intrigues me. Who would you drop for NEo? Anyone?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! Credit to Jay for the idea…sorry about the auto, what a bummer. I lost a pretty valuable Schmidt card in a move/breakup. Sucked.

      Drop Pomeranz. ROS rater likes him the least of the three.

      • Abdoozy says:
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        @Mike: that new pic though.. Looks like Gabe Kaplan..

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Ha

      • Abdoozy says:
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        @Mike: And I’m not sure about the player rater, sometimes it has weird results, like right now for QS leagues it has Straily ranked above Sonny Gray, and last time I looked Straily was in Sacramento with no immediate prospects for return…

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          I still prefer Eovaldi to Pomeranz

          • Abdoozy says:
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            @Mike: yeah, i’m with you there..

  15. whodat says:
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    Is Masterson worth picking up??? He was just dropped. Can he bounce back??

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      stream him for a good match up maybe, but he keeps pitching like dogs**t, so I’m hands off

  16. J Boy says:
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    My team is pretty loaded and in an effort to “go for it” I have an opportunity to deal Machado/J Peralta for Andrus/Seager. Swipes is my lone weak spot but the catch is it’s a 14 team keeper and I’d have the option of having Machado as an 11th round ref for the next 5 years. Thoughts?

    Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d hold Machado. Big price to pay for steals.

      • J Boy says:
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        @Mike: Thanks – I’m kinda hesitant too. Jhonny for Rajai more reasonable with Zobrist due back soon, no?

        Also, how soon before my man Otto is saving games in the Rocky Mountains?

        Thanks again Mike, great column.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Thanks! Anytime, yeah the Rajai deal makes more sense.

          Hard to say about the Rockies, Hawkins could still end up with most saves.

  17. gareth says:
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    Holy crap. A revere home run!

    That’s just spooky.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Hells bells!

      • Dong Kelly says:
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        @Mike: Are you a wizard?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Haha

  18. Nick says:
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    In need of SS help, Asdrubal and Solarte are killing me. I also have Zobrist, but usually play him at 2B. Think Baez will be called up this June after getting hot as of late?

    • Nick says:
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      Is Stephen Drew worth a look? Bogaerts does have 3B eligibility..

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      My guess would be more July unless he just absolutely rakes over the next week or two,. He struggled earlier, so I could see them giving him some more AAA time.

      I’d give Owings a look if he’s out there. Drew’s ok, but I’d rather have Owings personally.

  19. The Guru

    The Guru says:
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    Nice work, sir. I tip my turban in your general direction and send all the Stephen Drew questions your way.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! I welcome them with open arms and a warm Japanese lap pillow.

  20. Anthony says:
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    Is giving greinke and eovaldi for Teheran overpaying in d dynasty league? Thanks!!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      yeah, I think it’s too much

  21. Josh says:
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    Keep or drop Carlos Santana? It’s a redraft 10 team/ h2h points league .

    He hasn’t looked good this season & found out he’s on the 7 day DL; unfortunate I can’t move him until rosters unlock on Monday

    That being said if I drop Santana here is who I’d look into Devin mersasco, sal Perez , Miquel montero, salty, Carlos Ruiz , Derek Norris

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d keep him. If you have to drop him though I prefer Mesoraco and Perez from that list.

      • Josh says:
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        @Mike:

        I’d prefer to keep Santana too, here’s my bench; Hosmer, votto , polanco & Harper on DL

        • Josh says:
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          @Josh:

          Just thought I’d need a catcher since Santana won’t be activated from DL til prob next wed

          • Mike

            Mike says:
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            Do you have to drop somebody? Personally, I wouldn’t stress the catcher slot and just ride out Santana.

            • Josh says:
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              @Mike:
              Now someone in my league will prob need an OF’er with Crawford most likely going on DL, would you look to add the OF option to block him? Available are jay Bruce, cuddyer, Desmond Jennings, AJ pollock – he may need two with kemp struggling & his bench OF is coco crisp

              It’s not top need, since I have Matt Holliday, pence, Brantley & springer & polanco too

              • Mike

                Mike says:
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                Bruce or Jennings would be nice adds from the wire.

  22. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    Mike: Hey here is one for ya.

    G Sizemore @ $13 first year FBB contact

    Kuroda @ $10 – dead-ender FBB contract (last year)

    For

    Loney @ $14 2nd year FBB contract

    Webb CWS @ $5 1st year FBB contract

    What do yu do?

    One team needs, SPing & the other, Saves and and an improvement in offense (BA, Runs and RBIs)

    Grady is taking off again right now and has an opening with both Victorino and Napoli down – his MLB contract is scary though = $250K for every 25 ABs going forward now above 150 ABs – He could cost the BeanieBoys another 4 million to keep around now. @ Decent keeper price if he can improve a bit for this league. His situation is always volatile.

    Kuroda is a winner – But ugly since last mid season and old. Is there a chance of sudden improvement?

    Vs

    Loney = a un-sexy BA machine, who is scoring runs and RBIs at a good clip. Lower HR#s than expected so far. He has a solid real MLB and good FBB contract price for this salary inflated fantasy league. A keeper and highly flip-able in trade to a dumping teams

    Webb 2nd in line for shot – at least, for a Closer by C gig with CWS. Not a keeper unless he is anointed with the C mantle for next year going in. He may vulture some important saves this year now given Beli-blow-up being the only thing in front of him.

    This is happening in a 12 team 40 man roster keeper league.

    Seeking advice from a pro.

    • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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      @Ghost of the Disappeared: This would be considered an above average in import non dump deal for this league – not huge – but important

      • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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        @Ghost of the Disappeared: And Jay Wrong is still cheating on our league. It is so obvious, why does he even bother trying to hide it?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I like the Loney side. On Webb, he’s had experience closing games in the minors and he’s only 25? years old I believe. He could be closer of the future in CWS or at the very least a solid middle reliever. One thing that’s maybe working against him getting saves right away is that teams sometimes avoid putting these guys in that situation early on since saves=$ in arbitration.

      You know what you’re getting in Loney and there’s risk tied to Sizemore’s health.

      • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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        @Mike: I’m that side too.

        Webb being the key that swings the deal

        Loney is solid ( his fault is his lack of power at the corner)

        Might have to take Smith of LAA in lieu of Webb which is not chopped liver. I prefer the risk of Webb going forward. Smith is better suited for that special inning before the ninth (and De La Rosa is looming and Frieri sp could right his boat – always does – has now)

        Thanks Mike..

        PS: It sounds as if Jay Wrong has taken on a larger role at RB. Meaning, he has now been fully consumed by the shadow. And to think, I use to have a crush on him too – mother warned me about his type.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Anytime

Comments are closed.