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I got you something for Chrimbus! It’s a jar of tartar sauce. Oh, you don’t like it? Then how about some Baltimore Orioles pitching prospects instead? That tartar sauce is looking a lot better now, you ungrateful reader. Pitching prospects break all the time, but the Orioles seem especially good at it. Dylan Bundy and Hunter Harvey still have a lot of upside, and of course they will still be perched atop most Orioles lists, but both will also need to prove healthy to regain their lost fantasy value. I own a share of Bundy myself, so I feel your pain out there. Harvey is just a big bowl of I don’t know. Get past those two risky arms, and there are two hitting prospects I like a lot…power lolita Jomar Reyes and 2015 breakout Trey Mancini. If you need more instant gratification, Baltimore is currently in the process of signing Korean import Hyun-soo Kim. Praise Rang! So while this system isn’t a treasure trove of impact fantasy talent, there’s at least enough here to pass the time while you wait in line to see Winter Man. Remember – keep your Chrimbus bush trimmed and wet for Winter Man and he’ll bring you that pasta bear you’ve had your eye on.

2015 Graduates
None

Tier 2: Floorboreds
Lacking the “star” upside. They might have some warts, but their ETAs are on the horizon.

Hyun-soo Kim, OF | Age: 27 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: KBO
2015 Stats:
630 PA, .326/.438/.541, 28 HR, 11 SB, 16% BB, 10% K

Technically the Kim deal isn’t finalized as I write this, but unless something crazy happens he’ll most likely patrol left field for the Orioles this season. Like most KBO hitters the stats are bonkers, but a realistic expectation in MLB would be 15 homers, solid average and on-base, and enough counting stats to matter if he ends up hitting in the top half of the lineup – essentially an OF4. Prepare for the usual growing pains as he transitions to MLB, and I’d treat him more as a “win-now” piece in dynasties with an Opening Day age of 28.

Trey Mancini, 1B | Age: 23 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A+/AA
2015 Stats:
571 PA, .341/.375/.563, 21 HR, 6 SB, 5% BB, 16% K

Mancini enjoyed a big breakout in 2015. He wasn’t highly ranked on most prospect lists coming into the year, and proceeded to destroy Double-A when he was promoted – hitting .359/.395/.586 with 13 homers and 29 doubles in 354 plate appearances. If you temper power expectations to around 20 homers, Mancini looks like a solid buy for average and on-base percentage. Of course, it’s generally better practice to buy before these breakouts occur than after.

Dylan Bundy, RHP | Age: 23 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AA
2015 Stats:
22 IP, 3.68 ERA, 2.0 BB/9, 10.2 K/9

One way or another we’re going to see Bundy in the majors this year since he’s out of options. Whether that’s as a reliever to limit his innings, or as a back-end starter, Bundy’s going to pitch in Baltimore. That is, of course, if his arm doesn’t fall off. Bundy’s feeling “great”, but had yet another setback in the AFL, so we’re definitely not out of the woods. The upside is still there for a frontline starting pitcher, but right now there are too many question marks to pay for it.

Hunter Harvey, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017? | 2015 Level: DNP
2015 Stats: 
N/A

If Bundy feels too safe for you, then maybe Harvey is a better fit. The 21-year-old hasn’t pitched since July…2014. His most recent shutdown was due to elbow discomfort, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up needing Tommy John. Maybe they’ll jerk us around a little bit first and say he’s fine for spring training though. Like Bundy, Harvey has tremendous upside when he’s healthy, but these arms remind me of Russian roulette with six bullets.

Joey Rickard, OF | Age: 24 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: A+/AA/AAA
2015 Stats:
480 PA, .321/.427/.447, 2 HR, 23 SB, 14% BB, 16% K

The Orioles snagged Rickard in the Rule 5 draft from the Rays this year. The nice thing about Rule 5 picks is that they usually get a decent shot at playing time since the teams that draft them have to keep them on the roster. I don’t think Rickard will have the same impact that DeShields or Herrera did last year, but he has has good plate discipline, contact skills, and speed. That’s a good bet for some stolen bases, which are hard to come by in deep formats. There’s upside for more if an injury or other circumstance vaults him into an everyday role.

Christian Walker, 1B | Age: 24 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AAA
2015 Stats:
592 PA, .257/.324/.423, 18 HR, 1 SB, 8% BB, 23% K

Walker was in line to see a healthy amount of plate appearances at first base if Davis walked, but then the O’s went and signed Trumbo and at this point Crush is still in the mix as well. Mancini is right behind Walker and offers more upside anyway, so Walker is stuck between the current MLB talent and a hotter prospect. If you’re looking at him as a low-risk depth piece and not relying on him as your first baseman, I think it still makes sense to have some shares in deeper dynasties.

Chance Sisco, C | Age: 20 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A+/AA
2015 Stats:
384 PA, .297/.376/.415, 6 HR, 8 SB, 11% BB, 14% K

Sisco has enough pop to get to 12-15 homers and he can certainly hit enough not to hurt your average or OBP, but if you own shares it’s best if he clicks as a catcher, and right now that’s not a given. His bat could probably hang in the majors later this season, but like a lot of catching prospects the defensive side of his game could delay the debut.

Dariel Alvarez, OF | Age: 27 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AAA
2015 Stats:
560 PA, .277/.309/.426, 16 HR, 8 SB, 3% BB, 12% K

I was pretty high on Alvarez going into last season, and while his Triple-A numbers were solid, he never really surfaced in the bigs and AAA stats don’t win me anything. Now the Kim signing and the Rule 5 selection of Joey Rickard muddy his playing time picture once again, limiting his value to AL-only leagues or as a reserve piece in deeper mixed formats. The best case scenario is he gets a shot in right field and sticks, but there are a lot of moving parts on the roster at the moment.

Josh Hart, OF | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A+
2015 Stats:
445 PA, .255/.282/.311, 1 HR, 30 SB, 2% BB, 18% K

Hart is your typical center field profile with plus speed, but to bring more fantasy value to the table he’ll need to do more of the things that table setters typically do…like walking…or hitting. Hart’s still just 21 years old and yet to reach Double-A, but outside of deep dynasties where you play with 29 of your closest friends I don’t see a reason to roster him yet.

Mike Yastrzemski, OF | Age: 25 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AA
2015 Stats:
536 PA, .246/.316/.372, 6 HR, 8 SB, 8% BB, 19% K

Yes, Virginia, there is an outfielder with fringe average power and speed and marginal fantasy value outside of mono leagues. His name rhymes with Pastrzemski and he’ll probably spend most of the year in Triple-A. If you play in a league where you get excited about players like this then we really need to get together and geek out in person. Perhaps put a Carl Yastrzemski Donruss puzzle together to pass the time.

Mike Wright, RHP | Age: 25 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AAA/MLB
2015 Stats:
81 IP, 2.22 ERA, 2.8 BB/9, 7.0 K/9

I had a hard time choosing between the boring starter in Wright and the strikeout machine reliever Givens. 2015’s stats are likely the best case scenario for Wright, who’s really a BORP with good control and it looks like he’ll start the season in AAA. If you need depth for your deep league rotation he’s not a terrible option, and since he skirted under the eligibility limits you can stash him on your farm, which is a plus.

Others: Mychal Givens, David Hess, Tim Berry, Adrian Marin, Jason Garcia


Tier 3: Long Shot Lolitas
Sexy ceilings, but these youngsters also come with risks and distant ETAs.

Jomar Reyes, 3B | Age: 18 | ETA: 2018 | 2015 Level: Rk/A
2015 Stats:
354 PA, .277/.336/.437, 5 HR, 2 SB, 6% BB, 22% K

Reyes is huge and brings a lot of power potential to this system. It hasn’t shown up yet in stats, but I really like Reyes as a buy that you let cook on your farm for the next year or two, hoping that he blows up in fantasy value if the double-plus raw does start to surface as he advances. His size could lead to a move across the diamond, but you’re buying the bat and there’s enough power that he’d still be a fantasy asset at first base. He’s really the only player on this list that has a 30+ homer ceiling and he’s still just 18.

Ryan Mountcastle, SS | Age: 18 | ETA: 2019 | 2015 Level: Rk/A(ss)
2015 Stats:
209 PA, .296/.325/.393, 4 HR, 10 SB, 4% BB, 22% K

If Mountcastle was a lock to stick at short, his above average power would be even more appealing, but most reports on the 2015 draftee see him moving to third base or the outfield. 20 homers will still play there just fine, but keep that eventual defensive change in mind when deciding where to select him in dynasty drafts this winter.

Ryan McKenna, OF | Age: 18 | ETA: 2019 | 2015 Level: Rk
2015 Stats:
41 PA, .265/.366/.324, 0 HR, 1 SB, 15% BB, 15% K

You need to look a little deeper to find McKenna in the 2015 batch. He went in the fourth round and it’s basically a hit/speed profile that could end up as a top-of-the-lineup bat if everything clicks. He’s a flyer and has a long way to go, but it’s cheap upside.

D.J. Stewart, OF | Age: 22 | ETA: 2018 | 2015 Level: A(ss)
2015 Stats:
268 PA, .218/.288/.345, 6 HR, 4 SB, 9% BB, 19% K

The Orioles selected Stewart with their first pick of the 2015 draft. The outfielder is an average hitter with power and *should* move quickly in the minors, but he didn’t have the greatest debut and his defense limits him to left field/first base. That means the bat will have to carry him, and .218 as a 22-year-old in short-season is just kinda meh.

Others: Jason Heinrich, Tanner Scott, Garrett Cleavinger, Gray Fenter, Derrick Bleeker


2016 Minor League Preview Index

   
  1. J-FOH says:
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    6 bullet roulette? That’s called suicide.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      exactly

  2. Packers says:
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    I have C. Hernandez as my 2nd SS in a dynasty league. We have 2 players at each position. I grabbed him for SB. Aybar,Lowrie, Marte, Miller and Suarez are all available. It’s a 12 team league and my other SS Castro. Do you see an upgrade over Hernandez? Thanks and Merry Christmas.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Marte…you too!

  3. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Morning prospector Mike!

    Quick Question for you.

    Would you add Tomas or Reyes as my 3B for the future in my keep forever league.

    MERRY CHRISTMAS!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks…you too!

      I don’t know if Tomas is a 3B eligible for much longer (RF), but he’s much less risky than Reyes

      • Malicious Phenom says:
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        @Mike: I need to get another 3B.

        Right now I have Frazier @ 3B and that is it, I have Sano, just not sure if he stays at 3rd..

        I have been trying to deal for your boy Maikel Franco..

        Now lets say, just for the fun of it, YOU have Franco, who would YOU want from my team below for him?

        C – Travis D’arnaud NYM – C
        1B – Miguel Cabrera DET – 1B
        2B – Addison Russell CHC – 2B,SS
        3B- Todd Frazier CWS– 1B,3B
        SS – Starlin Castro NYY- 2B,SS
        CI-Albert Pujols LAA – 1B (DL)
        MI – Ian Desmond WAS – SS
        OF – Justin Upton – OF
        OF – Yoenis Céspedes – OF
        OF – Billy Hamilton CIN– OF
        U-Miguel Sano MIN – 3B
        U – Gregory Polanco PITT – OF

        BENCH:
        Javier Báez CHC – 2B,SS,3B
        Jurickson Profar TX – 2B/SS
        Wil Myers SD – 1B/OF
        Jorge Soler CHC- OF
        Jay Bruce CIN – OF
        José Reyes COL– SS

        STARTING PITCHERS:
        Félix Hernández SEA – SP
        Stephen Strasburg WAS – SP
        Johnny Cueto SF – SP
        Masahiro Tanaka NYY – SP
        Robert Ozuna TOR – CL
        Kenley Jansen LAD – CL
        David Robertson CWS – CL
        Michael Pineda NYY – SP
        Scott Kazmir – SP
        Luis Severino NYY -SP

        BENCH:
        Trevor Bauer CLE – SP
        Carlos Rodon CWS – SP
        Taijaun Walker SEA – SP
        Lucas Giolito WAS – SP
        Lance McCullers HOU – SP
        Julio Urias LA – SP (NA)
        Alex Wood LA – SP

        • Malicious Phenom says:
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          @Malicious Phenom: Also, theses guys are available in my league, anybody on this list below better than what I have already:

          Yasmani Tomas – 3B/OF
          Hyun-Jin Ryu – SP
          Ryan Zimmerman – 1B,3B,OF
          Matt Moore – SP
          Jose Peraza – 2B/SS
          Blake Snell PIT – SP
          Dylan Bundy – SP
          Joe Ross – SP
          Trey Mancini – 1B

          • Mike

            Mike says:
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            nah looks good to me…I’d try Myers for Franco

            • Malicious Phenom says:
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              @Mike: No way on Myers, I traded him Wheeler to get Myers..lol

              Anybody else YOU would take for Franco?

              • Mike

                Mike says:
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                what does my hypothetical team hypothetically need in this hypothetical situation

                • Malicious Phenom says:
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                  @Mike: This is the kind of guy that never really makes offer’s but if he likes the offer he will take it…

                  With that said, is Urias or Giolito too much for Franco..

                  • Mike

                    Mike says:
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                    eh, no I don’t think so. I prefer hitters

                    • Malicious Phenom says:
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                      @Mike: I offered him Kazmir and that was quickly shot down…He likes both of the young guys I mentioned…Who do YOU like better Urias or Giolito, and which one would YOU offer first or should I give him the option..

                    • Mike

                      Mike says:
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                      Urias

  4. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
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    Happy Festivus Mike, great write as usual. Love the Mancini chatter. Considering how out classed in the prospect game in Razznasty I feel sometimes, I’m pretty psyched I was able to nab him for nothing. Take it easy Mike, have a great Christmas.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      you too! thanks!

      solid pickup

  5. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Trimming the Chrimbus bush, what am I going to get……

    another Dylan Bundy injury!!!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      dammit….all I got was a gravy boat and some damaged cans

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Mike: At least you got cans! I have a 23 year old former top prospect sleeping on couch and demanding fresh bags of ice from my wife. It’s totally killing the X-mas vibe in my house.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          you’ve got fresh ice? Lucky

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Mike: I live in an igloo, we chip it off the walls.

  6. reese says:
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    Need help deciding my last keeper out of the following (12 team mixed):
    Conforto
    Lackey
    Giolito
    Taijuan Walker
    Odorizzi
    Teheran
    Thanks for the advice!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      anytime…Conforto

  7. James says:
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    I would add Joe Gunkel to the floorboard

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      cool

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Mike: you totally should

    • james says:
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      @J-FOH:
      An actual reasoning (i was on my work comp, and it kept slugging out, so i cut any explanation out).

      Good size (6’5), solid but non spectacular stuff (works in the low 90ies). He is a ground ball guy (only had 6k per 9 in AA last year), but works hitters well and his stuff does play up well. His numbers in AA last year (as a 23 year old, so about the right age for the level) he had great numbers.

      I am not saying that this kid is a future ace, or even sniffing the upside of Bundy, Harvey or even Birdwell if any of them figure it out… but he is developing well and doing well in the high minors doing exactly what you expect a tall SP to do. I expect him to compete for a 5th starter role this season (who knows what that rotation will look like), and like every pitching prospect, if it all clicks he could become an inning eating #3 ground baller. As a guy with success in the high minors and a chance to break camp with the club, he sounds like a tail end of the floorboards (and this is a team stocked with future back end starters, middle releivers and 4th OF types).

      On that, Yastemski is the most boring player I have every seen. He has a plus glove and really looks good in the field, and the swing looks good, but he looks like he has maxed out his frame, and still only has doubles power. I could see the average skyrocket at some point since he really does have a line drive swing, but how much value does a 25 year old who has not really shown anything have in the big leagues.

      • TJ says:
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        @james: groundball guys arent #3 starters in fantasy…6k per 9 sounds like the most boring minor league pitcher Ive ever seen.

  8. TrumpYall says:
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    Hey Mike, Berrios and Dan Norris making an impact in 2016?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      both have a chance to. I think Berrios will be sexier for fantasy once he’s up though

      • TrumpYall says:
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        @Mike: Thanks brother, happy holidays

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          anytime…you too!

  9. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Anybody know of a site I could do a live mock fantasy baseball draft, NOW?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      not sure

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Mike: CBS

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          CBS…come for a mock draft. stay for the people’s choice awards

  10. J-FOH says:
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    To spread a little Christmas cheer I think if I was in full re-build mode I would buy low on HH. If he gets the TJ then we at least know its out of the way and he can get back to pitching. So many guys are going that route now you are better off early than when he’s 25.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      or you could not rebuild around pitching prospects period but what do I know

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Mike: I think if you went full rebuild there isn’t anything wrong with having a few arms and Harvey is someone you could probably get for peanuts. Isn’t the injury side of pitchers one of the reasons people don’t like to keep them? In HH’s case that would be addressed if he did go TJ.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          maybe, but that’s not how I would do it

        • Yescheese says:
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          @J-FOH: as a HH owner, I support any and all HH hype.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Yescheese: there is no hype, he’s a buy low gamble at this point for a rebuilding owner

            • james says:
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              @J-FOH:

              I still saw him as a top 30 prospect mid season a few places. PErsonally, I avoid pitching prospects too, and just gamble on young non prospect types and hot hands…. they tend to break out at odd ball ages.

              It is also the reason in my 12 team 10 prospect league (deepest minor league dynasty i am in), I own 2 pitching prospects, De Leon (he was a free agent pick up mid season last year) and Kingham (a throw in in a larger deal where i sent jose berrios and Stroman for Marte and kingham…. so he was 4th billing)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      haha nice

    • Mordacious Levator says:
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      @J-FOH: i was pretty sure this was Tehol, but a joke version. It’d be entirely funny if it’s really Grey, who actually does know about football, just wants some time off (i said some) during football season.

  11. Combover King says:
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    Prospect Mike!!!
    Russell vs. C. Seager… Whatcha think this year? Long-term?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      seager

  12. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    looks like swanson will miss being a part of one of these team lists due to his trade date. what’s his blurb look like had it not?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      lower risk, late 2017/early 2018 ETA with average pop (more of a hit/speed guy), and good chance to stay at SS with above average D

  13. Left Hangs Lower says:
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    Mike,

    In a 12-round, 16-team brand new MiLB draft, where are you taking Kim? 5 OF, 2 UTIL in MLB roster.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      hmmmm, he’s safer, closer, low ceiling type that probably fits somewhere around Rd 3-4? once all the big upside guys in the higher levels are gone. the draft will likely dictate where guys like him are going once you’re in there

  14. goodfold2 says:
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    ok, finally am caught up with all baseball posts, and am making my master list for our 30 team draft that starts jan 5th. the onslaught is coming. first off, i’m wading through all 15 (half done) prospect team lists, and i can’t find daniel montano in fantrax, i’ve also just looked up every COL player that started with M and that’s not helping. So i guess he got traded AND the name was spelled slightly wrong. there is a salvador montano P on HOU, is the only thing remotely close. Fantrax is so good it’s hard to believe they’ve missed him. Name also wasn’t in BA 2015, nor did Google even help.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: guess he’s just not in fantrax. i’ll tell comish, he’s gotten them to add players before. In hockey they are so good i’ve gotten them to give a guy his correct position (say he came up a center in minors, but in every NHL game he plays LW) twice, the 2nd time (since they knew me) it only took 25 minutes. no shit. fantrax is so good it’s not even funny.

  15. goodfold2 says:
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    finally caught up with all baseball posts, adding all those football/hockey leagues and comishing some has eaten the crap out of time. tag time tomorrow in 30 man roto (but done with divisions like real life, we have overall standings but you make playoffs in how you do in your division/conference) 6×6 with holds/OPS added. 25 active roster and 25 minor slots (goes up to 30 this year, which i believe will cap it, draft starts jan 5th). 100 million budgets. Assume all contracts are minimum (.4 million) and this year ending contract unless noted. 7 BN spots, usually i find it’s optimal to have 2-3 for hitters rest for SP to make up to 6 SP or so total, and also have 6 RP that start every day (unless i have more than 3 SP go at same time).
    C – D’Arnaud (2017)
    CI – Drury (2019)
    CI – Smoak 1.347 mil
    MI – Segura 6.4 mil
    MI –
    OF – A-Jax 6.4 mil
    OF – Altherr (2019)
    OF – Leonys 3.1
    UT – E.Rosario (2019), no longer counts as MI anymore.
    SP – Sale 6.425
    SP – Liriano 11.5
    SP – Quintana 6.4
    RP – Melancon 6.421
    RP – Fien
    RP – Leone 1.15 (2017)
    P Z.Davies (2019)
    P R.J. Alvarez (2019)
    P Urena (2018)
    So i need about 2 more SP at least. 3 solid or better ones.
    The kinds of tags we get are one Restricted tag in which i get to match the highest bid or get a draft pick(s) depending on size of contract (last year got screwed by matching Werth for 12 mil per for two years, three days later he just happens to mention he’s injured and needs shoulder surgery, ruining at least 2/3 of 2015 for himself and me, still on hook for 6 mil of that now); also one Franchise tag in which i pay exactly what a guy makes in real life. Also a third tag, which can be of either type. Depth charts this early are notoriously worthless of course, but Drury/Alvarez/Leone would be in minors according to them. I could put both of the first two into minors, but i’d have to cut a prospect to do it (i have some weak ones that i could do this with). Leone can’t be put down, i overpaid for him slightly and if i want to cut him i’d be on hook for half of 1.15 for each of this year and next (or all of 1.15 this year). He was awesome in 2014 however. Options for tags are
    1. beltre (16 million, or very much likely cheaper if i restrict, and if his hand thing is fine he’d be much better than in 2015)
    2. alcides (5.25, or ? if i restrict)
    3. segura (franchising would likely make him cheaper than 6.4, but it’s unknown at this point too)
    4. a-jax (since he has no team and made 7.7 last year it’s hard to tell, but if he gets a job and starts restricting him now would very likely save me money, franchising probably awful idea, could cost more)
    5. uribe (made 6.5 last year in real life, no team, likely non starter, restricting would be cheap)
    6. coghlan (was big value last year and MI/OF, but no role now)
    7. chirinos
    8. furbush/liam hendriks (would be cheap no matter which, hendriks really sick FIP of 2.15, currently slotted as 7th inning man at OAK, furbush about same role)
    9. c.anderson/j.chavez (both would be cheap either tag, BUT no worthwhile role really yet)
    10. ERV santana (way too expensive to franchise at 13.5 million)

    Sounding about like restricting Beltre (hoping it costs less than 10 or maybe just take a pick for full rebuild), franchising Alcides for 5.5, and then an unknown third (franchising and hoping if segura is only slightly above his last year .534 real life money?)?
    Ah the christmas tag rush to start our 2016 fantasy season. so GD early this league goes, and then we do nearly nothing important when normal leagues do all their important preseason stuff. it’s annoying, as most prospect stuff isn’t even out yet. By early/mid FEB we’ve finished restricted free agency, unrestricted free agency and the draft (5 picks), so comish doesn’t get worried we won’t finish in time, even though we leave 1.5 months (useful info months) when we should be doing this stuff then.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: very important pt, i have 41.657 left not including my current roster.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Beltre, Escobar, Segura look like good picks here

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: just found out if a player is in arb you get him for his last year money, meaning i’ll save 6 million (just under) on segura, i paid him 6.4, but he really made .534.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          excellent

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @Mike: who are the two prospects i cut if i don’t make a deal moving somebody by tomorrow and/or i have to put down rj alvarez/drury if they later don’t make a roster? here’s names:
            C -o’connor TB
            CI – l.encarnacion PHI
            CI – padlo COL
            CI – kubitza LAA
            MI – a.rondon TB
            MI – p.gonzalez COL
            MI – gumbs NYY
            MI – h.lee TB
            MI – salcedo ATL
            OF – tocci PHI
            OF – d.alvarez BAL
            OF – cozens PHI
            OF – v.reyes ATL
            OF – sierra STL
            OF – wates MIA
            OF – dj davis TOR
            SP – kilome PHI
            SP – heredia ?
            SP – r.lopez WAS
            SP – varbrough SEA
            SP – ynoa WSOX
            SP – v.alcantara LAA
            SP – b.martin TEX
            RP – m.cabrera ATL
            RP – sherfy ARI
            i clearly need to draft some CI for sure, esp a big one in the first round.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              lee and reyes

              • goodfold2 says:
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                @Mike: wow, lee was a big deal two years ago. late around being you are. reyes interesting too.

  16. Connor says:
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    Hey, Mike.

    I’m doing my first dynasty league and it’s 30-team, 40 or so players. I’m just sort of curious how the decision making process works when it gets into the later rounds. I’m reading through all the previews but I don’t really get how I choose between Lolita SS from the Yankees and Floorbored OF from the Cardinals?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d probably go for more of the risky upside guys late

  17. goodfold2 says:
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    when you said garvis lara on MIA did you mean Braulio Lara? he’s only Lara i can find on MIA in Fantrax. And in case he was traded i can’t find any Garvis Lara anywhere.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: also can’t find jose chavez in OAK, or anybody with that name in Fantrax, nor other Chavez’s on other teams. just checking in case he has a slightly different name. If not i’ll add him along with Montano to be added by fantrax.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @goodfold2: a third guy, brian anderson 3B MIA. there are three brian anderson’s in fantrax, 2 are pitchers, and the third is listed as a OF/RP on the WSOX. is this him, or is this another guy i have to have fantrax add? since i need CI he seems like a decent later rounder (i’m thinking 3rd or later maybe)

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @goodfold2: scratch the third, b.anderson i found him.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: i’ll send those 2 along with daniel montano onto the fantrax support. thanks.

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @goodfold2: thanks for using baseball reference too, that’s what Fantrax wants for reference. daniel montano wasn’t in there though so i used your baseball america link (hope it’ll still work)

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @goodfold2: wow, fantrax added them about 1 hour after i went through the proper channel of “add player” option. Unlike in hockey where you go to customer support in baseball there’s already a specific option in place. they’re so F’ing better than any other site it’s like they are run by Grey or something.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              haha nice

              • goodfold2 says:
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                @Mike: i’m gonna go ask him, since it is possible.

  18. goodfold2 says:
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    ok, now with this roster and 42.273 mil left for at least 6 spots (up to 9 if i drop leone/urena and minor alvarez)
    C d’arnaud
    CI beltre (probably, i still have to match whatever offer he gets or take the pick(s) by the 3rd)
    CI smoak
    MI segura
    MI alcides
    OF leonys
    OF a-jax (man i should’ve traded him a couple of months back when i had an offer, now he has no team and still costs 6.4)
    OF altherr
    util e.rosario
    BN drury
    SP liriano, z.davies, quintana, sale
    RP melancon, fien, rj alvarez, leone, urena (these last 3 current listed in minors, but i can’t minor the last 2)
    and 6 more BN spots to fill (at least 2 SP needed at some point).
    Trying to see if bidding on any restricted FA makes sense (and up to how much)
    guys that could be worth it
    CI – plouffe, valencia, aroid (he’ll bost too much though)
    MI – walker, h.kendrick
    OF – fowler, souza
    SP – chen, lackey, miley, erasmo, peavy, tomlin, kazmir, hammel
    RP – a.miller (he’ll cost too much though), nate jones, joe smith, romo, benoit

    The much bigger list of just straight free agents includes (we’ll bid on these post draft, in FEB, i’m just showing these for what will be left if i get none of the restricted guys.
    CI – colabello, yunel, yogt, dan murphy, c.hernandez, espinosa, howard, napoli, matt duffy, marwin, v-mart, pearce, sandoval, laroche
    MI – j-honney, alexei ram, e.escobar (MIN), kike, kelby tom, giovatella, villar
    OF – werth, maybin, beltran, byrd, blanco, aokidoki, pham, bj upton (starting now again, but for how long)
    SP – fatolo, b.anderson, koehler, bolsinger, shoemaker, hellickson, erv santana, godley, c.anderson, j.chavez, roark, sabbathia
    RP – tons of good names here
    Looking like i might want bid on some SP, or anybody else?

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: actually could be up to 10 spots if drury doesn’t play for a while, but i guess i go into year assuming he does, against current depth charts. our FA bidding goes right after our draft, so early FEB.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @goodfold2: oops, up to 8 max spots needed.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: m.givens is on restricted list, could bid on him too.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Maybin and Souza are interesting…lots of pitching options there. I’d try to land a couple of those SP

  19. goodfold2 says:
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    question, i’ve seen this a couple of times so far, a guy ranks higher on your new blood post than he does on the team post, an example being d.j. stewart being mentioned on new blood but he’s below mountcastle and mckenna here? i thought about just using the new blood post as a top guys to draft, but when i see guys ranked higher for sure on team page this sounds wrong.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d go by the team previews

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