Razzball DFSBot – DraftKings Daily Pitching Projections

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FAQ - Please click here for the DFSBot FAQ. Razzball DFSBot for DraftKings:  This tool helps identify which starting pitchers to choose for today on DraftKings.com. DFSBot projections rely on Steamer Rest of Season projections as a foundation and then adjust based on several game-specific factors that include opponent strength vs. the pitcher’s handedness, whether the start is home or away and park factors. DraftKings Salary (DS $) are directly from DraftKings.com.  All other stats/projections are from Razzball. What Is The Expected Accuracy Of DFSBot Projections?:  Please see our FAQ or the Razzball Ombotsman. Filtering Results:  You can filter multiple fields at the same time.  The text fields below the column headers enable several methods for filtering the data.  Here are some examples:
Function Symbol Example Explanation
ANY MATCH ‘B’ in Pos Typing B in Pos will filter to any player with 1B, 2B, or 3B eligibility.  Type in more details to filter further – e.g., “1B’, “1B, 3B”, etc.
OR | 2B|SS Requires exact match on both sides – so 2B|SS returns anyone who has 2B or SS eligibility but not anyone with 2B/SS, 2B/3B, etc.
NOT ! !OF All players who do not have OF eligibility.
NOR ! | !1B|OF All players who do not have 1B eligibility NOR OF eligibility.  Just use the ! once.
GREATER THAN > >30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than 30.  Does not work for Date.
LESS THAN < <30 in $ All players whose $ is less than 30.  Does not work for Date.
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO >= >=30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than or equal to 30.  Does not work for date.
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO <= <=30 in $ All players whose $ is less than or equal to 30.  Does not work for Date.
 
  1. Eric the Actor says:
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    This is a fantastic resource. In my opinion, one improvement would be to post the projections a day in advance. Right now, they go live at some point mid-morning on gameday and being able to use it to make a lineup the previous day would be awesome. Thanks, guys!

    • @Eric the Actor: Thanks! I don’t have access to DraftKings $ values a day before games so not able to deliver it a day before games. Will look into ways to post these values sooner in the day.

  2. Brad says:
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    I’m a new user of Draft Kings after the DraftStreet/Kings buyout. I used your services daily for DraftStreet. What times are projected points for Draft KINGS typically available? Thanks and this is a wonderful website.

    • All the tools (DFSBot, Streamonator, Hittertron, Player Rater) are usually updated by 9:30 EST at the latest but last night was a rough one in Austin. Slow start to the day. Should be up by the time you read this comment though.

  3. sean says:
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    Is there any way you could add a early game/late game filter?

    • The GT column says the game time. Add a >6 in the filter fled to remove day games

  4. James Kallas says:
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    Can you swap out Shelby Miller for Wainwright please?

  5. Anthony says:
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    I’m surprised at the high value for Shelby Miller today considering he’s been so bad lately. Is this driven that strongly by matchup/ballpark? Inverse could be true for Capuano, would be curious to get some input on what is driving that if possible. Thanks!

    • @Anthony: Shelby’s influenced pretty high by opponent/ballpark. STL is a pitcher’s ballpark (97 index for runs, 91 for HR). Cubs – while exciting – aren’t a great offense and have contact issues. It also seems like there’s a lot of just okay starts today – in SON, this is only a $12 start which is rather low for the 3rd best start.

  6. Nugs says:
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    Rudy,

    I picked up Wacha today on my waiver wires. A good day by him today could put me in great position to be in the money.
    Does everybody like him that much today even coming off his shoulder issues?

  7. Jimmy says:
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    Missing T.J. House today,

    • Must be a name conflict with their salary feed. Sorry. Look at SON for projections.

  8. tbill87 says:
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    I see today’s hitter projections, but when I click on the link to see the pitcher projections, it takes me back to the sign up screen. Should I not be able to see the pitching projections as well?

    • @tbill87: If you did the day pass, you only are buying access to the one page. If you bought a monthly or season-long subscription, let me know as something would be amiss.

  9. Charles says:
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    Rudy – I’m trying to compare the hitting prices to the pitching prices. However, it appears to be a different formula to convert points to dollars. Why is that? I’m assuming you use the projections to forecast points which you then convert to dollars. I assumed a point for the pitcher was no more or less valuable than a point for a hitter, so they should convert the same way. For example: 9.5 pts projected for Adam Warren is shown as $7047, while 9.5 pts projected for Pearce and Stanton is shown as $4408.

    Could you please shed some light on this for me?

    • It’s a good question. I have to create a formula to convert PTS to Salary via regression. I ran them separately for hitters and pitchers but don’t have a good reason why this should be the case. I think some of it is a reflection that DraftKings puts a higher salary floor on SPs.

  10. David says:
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    Rudy – I believe that Chris Sale and Chris Tillman are not the probable starters for today’s super-secret-behind-closed-gates game between the White Sox and the Orioles. Ubaldo Jimenez and Jeff Samardzija are. That would be Wednesday, 4/29.

      • David says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Well then I guess my issue is why the updated pitcher listing wasn’t showing for me at the time I posted it (and yes, I did hit refresh). I fully understand how difficult it is sometimes to keep up with pitcher changes in lieu of rainouts, rescheduling, and recently, potentially violent protests – just want to be able to see the updates obviously after you guys do them.

        • David says:
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          @David: Nevermind. I read your reply as saying “it was updated 30 minutes before you, the initial poster, posted”, as opposed to 30 minutes before the reply was made. I see now what was actually stated by you guys. Thanks for the update and the response.

        • I hear you. I’m manually updating the SP grid as I learn about it and then re-running all the hitter/pitcher projections. Haven’t figured out a great way to communicate updates yet – commenting on the post would make sense but there’s at least 10 impacted pages. I’ll try and do better about replying to comments about necessary SP switches when I’m ‘on the case’ and changes are imminent.

          • David says:
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            @Rudy Gamble: Some sort of “change log” or “updates log” list, on a seperate page, that one can set to manual refresh every, say, minute?

            So if I have that page open in the background and I bring it to the foreground, it will have all the updates you have done listed from most recent on down, because the page automatically refreshes on its own? And if I have the page in the foreground, every minute it will refresh and if there’s been any changes during that minute, it’ll obviously list it?

            • I think I can do better. Let me think about it. Envisioning a little widget in the top right of all the reports that notes relevant updates.

  11. a says:
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    ya’ll ever update pitchers? you guys had your shit together better when it was free…

    • a says:
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      @a:

      touche pretty sure it was updated as i was writing this…but in all seriousness i haven’t participated in dfs recently because of late updates

      • @a: It’s been ridiculous this past week with rainouts, injuries, last-second replacements and riots. The file I get in the morning is usually 100% right. I’ve been scrambling w/ changes every morning. Trust me – more attention is being put on this than when it was free. Just a ridiculous last couple of days.

        (Note: I checked several sites last night and they all were in the same position.)

  12. Jimmy says:
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    Hey same thing as yesterday with the Baltimore series being played in Toronto, assume that would bump Archer up quite a bit.

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