Razzball DFSBot – DraftKings Daily Pitching Projections

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Click to sort and text boxes to filter.  GT=(Game Time by EST Hour). See more in footnotes. 


# Name Team Date GT Opp W L IP H ER K BB+ HBP ERA WHIP PTS Proj$ Salary Diff$ $/Pt
David Price DET 9/17 8 at MIN 0.42 0.31 7.3 6.2 2.1 8.2 1.7 2.63 1.05 25.6 10791 12800 -2009 500.0
Cole Hamels PHI 9/17 10 at SD 0.38 0.35 7.0 5.7 2.2 7.6 2.1 2.77 1.08 23.4 10280 11000 -720 470.1
Chris Sale CHA 9/17 8 at KC 0.38 0.35 7.4 6.5 2.7 7.1 2.1 3.26 1.14 21.8 9908 13000 -3092 596.3
Adam Wainwright STL 9/17 8 MIL 0.38 0.35 7.4 6.6 2.6 6.1 1.8 3.12 1.10 20.2 9535 10000 -465 495.0
Madison Bumgarner SF 9/17 3 at ARI 0.42 0.31 6.8 6.0 2.4 6.2 1.9 3.12 1.13 19.9 9466 12500 -3034 628.1
Francisco Liriano PIT 9/17 7 BOS 0.38 0.35 6.4 5.3 2.6 6.9 2.9 3.64 1.24 19.6 9396 9900 -504 505.1
Alex Cobb TB 9/17 7 NYA 0.39 0.34 6.7 5.8 2.4 5.9 2.3 3.23 1.18 18.8 9210 10800 -1590 574.5
Gio Gonzalez WAS 9/17 7 at ATL 0.35 0.37 6.2 5.7 2.7 6.8 2.6 3.93 1.32 18.5 9140 8800 340 475.7
Jeff Samardzija OAK 9/17 10 TEX 0.39 0.34 6.8 5.6 2.4 5.3 2.2 3.14 1.12 18.0 9024 10400 -1376 577.8
Carlos Carrasco CLE 9/17 8 at HOU 0.38 0.35 5.9 5.7 2.4 6.1 2.0 3.67 1.26 17.6 8931 8900 31 505.7
Alex Wood ATL 9/17 7 WAS 0.38 0.35 6.0 5.4 2.3 5.7 2.1 3.52 1.23 17.3 8861 9200 -339 531.8
Dillon Gee NYN 9/17 7 MIA 0.36 0.37 6.4 5.7 2.6 5.5 2.1 3.59 1.19 17.0 8791 7600 1191 447.1
Mike Fiers MIL 9/17 8 at STL 0.35 0.38 6.0 5.5 2.4 5.2 1.9 3.58 1.21 16.1 8582 10500 -1918 652.2
Clay Buchholz BOS 9/17 7 at PIT 0.35 0.37 6.8 6.8 3.1 5.5 2.5 4.08 1.33 15.9 8535 8300 235 522.0
C.J. Wilson LAA 9/17 10 SEA 0.40 0.33 6.4 6.0 2.7 5.3 2.9 3.77 1.34 15.9 8535 6800 1735 427.7
Yordano Ventura KC 9/17 8 CHA 0.35 0.38 5.9 5.1 2.5 5.4 2.6 3.81 1.27 15.8 8512 8100 412 512.7
Kyle Hendricks CHN 9/17 8 CIN 0.45 0.29 6.0 5.5 2.3 4.6 1.8 3.47 1.18 15.5 8442 7100 1342 458.1
Derek Holland TEX 9/17 10 at OAK 0.34 0.39 6.6 6.5 2.9 5.1 2.2 3.98 1.30 15.4 8419 9000 -581 584.4
Brandon McCarthy NYA 9/17 7 at TB 0.34 0.38 6.2 6.6 2.7 4.5 1.3 3.94 1.25 14.2 8140 8000 140 563.4
Eric Stults SD 9/17 10 PHI 0.34 0.38 6.4 5.8 2.4 3.9 1.9 3.38 1.17 14.2 8140 6000 2140 422.5
Brett Oberholtzer HOU 9/17 8 CLE 0.35 0.37 6.5 6.5 2.9 4.4 1.9 4.06 1.27 14.0 8093 5900 2193 421.4
Henderson Alvarez MIA 9/17 7 at NYN 0.37 0.36 6.1 6.2 2.4 3.9 1.5 3.45 1.24 13.6 8000 7000 1000 514.7
Randall Delgado ARI 9/17 3 SF 0.31 0.41 6.0 6.3 3.3 5.2 2.2 5.02 1.40 13.4 7954 6400 1554 477.6
Bud Norris BAL 9/17 7 TOR 0.38 0.35 5.9 5.6 2.9 4.5 2.2 4.46 1.30 13.3 7930 7200 730 541.4
J.A. Happ TOR 9/17 7 at BAL 0.36 0.37 5.8 5.8 3.1 4.4 2.4 4.85 1.39 12.2 7675 7300 375 598.4
Jorge de la Rosa COL 9/17 3 LAN 0.41 0.32 5.7 6.3 3.3 4.7 2.3 5.25 1.48 12.1 7651 6200 1451 512.4
James Paxton SEA 9/17 10 at LAA 0.34 0.39 5.8 6.4 3.1 4.6 2.8 4.86 1.53 11.9 7605 8700 -1095 731.1
Kyle Gibson MIN 9/17 8 DET 0.30 0.42 5.7 6.2 2.9 3.4 2.2 4.57 1.42 10.0 7163 4800 2363 480.0
Daniel Corcino CIN 9/17 8 at CHN 0.29 0.43 5.4 6.2 3.7 4.6 3.2 6.11 1.67 9.5 7047 5400 1647 568.4
Carlos Frias LAN 9/17 3 at COL 0.35 0.38 5.6 6.8 3.9 3.5 2.1 6.29 1.56 7.9 6674 5000 1674 632.9

Razzball DFSBot for DraftKings:  This tool helps identify which starting pitchers to choose for today on DraftKings.com. DFSBot projections rely on Steamer Rest of Season projections as a foundation and then adjust based on several game-specific factors that include opponent strength vs. the pitcher’s handedness, whether the start is home or away and park factors. DraftKings Salary (DS $) are directly from DraftKings.com.  All other stats/projections are from Razzball.

What Is The Expected Accuracy Of DFSBot Projections?:  For both May and June 2014, DFSBot projection predicted DraftKings player points better than DraftKings’ salaries.  For more details, please see the Razzball Ombotsman.

Filtering Results:  You can filter multiple fields at the same time.  The text fields below the column headers enable several methods for filtering the data.  Here are some examples:

Function Symbol Example Explanation
ANY MATCH ‘B’ in Pos Typing B in Pos will filter to any player with 1B, 2B, or 3B eligibility.  Type in more details to filter further – e.g., “1B’, “1B, 3B”, etc.
OR | 2B|SS Requires exact match on both sides – so 2B|SS returns anyone who has 2B or SS eligibility but not anyone with 2B/SS, 2B/3B, etc.
NOT ! !OF All players who do not have OF eligibility.
NOR ! | !1B|OF All players who do not have 1B eligibility NOR OF eligibility.  Just use the ! once.
GREATER THAN > >30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than 30.  Does not work for Date.
LESS THAN < <30 in $ All players whose $ is less than 30.  Does not work for Date.
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO >= >=30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than or equal to 30.  Does not work for date.
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO <= <=30 in $ All players whose $ is less than or equal to 30.  Does not work for Date.

 

  1. Eric the Actor says:
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    This is a fantastic resource. In my opinion, one improvement would be to post the projections a day in advance. Right now, they go live at some point mid-morning on gameday and being able to use it to make a lineup the previous day would be awesome. Thanks, guys!

    • @Eric the Actor: Thanks! I don’t have access to DraftKings $ values a day before games so not able to deliver it a day before games. Will look into ways to post these values sooner in the day.

  2. Brad says:
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    I’m a new user of Draft Kings after the DraftStreet/Kings buyout. I used your services daily for DraftStreet. What times are projected points for Draft KINGS typically available? Thanks and this is a wonderful website.

    • All the tools (DFSBot, Streamonator, Hittertron, Player Rater) are usually updated by 9:30 EST at the latest but last night was a rough one in Austin. Slow start to the day. Should be up by the time you read this comment though.

  3. sean says:
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    Is there any way you could add a early game/late game filter?

    • The GT column says the game time. Add a >6 in the filter fled to remove day games

  4. James Kallas says:
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    Can you swap out Shelby Miller for Wainwright please?

  5. Anthony says:
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    I’m surprised at the high value for Shelby Miller today considering he’s been so bad lately. Is this driven that strongly by matchup/ballpark? Inverse could be true for Capuano, would be curious to get some input on what is driving that if possible. Thanks!

    • @Anthony: Shelby’s influenced pretty high by opponent/ballpark. STL is a pitcher’s ballpark (97 index for runs, 91 for HR). Cubs – while exciting – aren’t a great offense and have contact issues. It also seems like there’s a lot of just okay starts today – in SON, this is only a $12 start which is rather low for the 3rd best start.

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