Razzball DFSBot – DraftKings Daily Pitching Projections

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# Name Team Date GT Opp W L IP H ER K BB+ HBP ERA WHIP PTS Proj$ Salary Diff$ $/Pt
David Price DET 9/28 1 MIN 0.46 0.28 7.3 6.1 2.1 7.1 1.7 2.65 1.03 23.6 10326 12300 -1974 521.2
Cole Hamels PHI 9/28 1 ATL 0.44 0.30 7.0 5.9 2.5 7.5 2.1 3.18 1.10 22.7 10117 10500 -383 462.6
Felix Hernandez SEA 9/28 4 LAA 0.46 0.28 7.0 5.6 2.4 7.1 1.8 3.05 1.04 22.6 10094 12700 -2606 561.9
Jordan Zimmermann WAS 9/28 1 MIA 0.41 0.32 7.0 6.3 2.2 6.7 1.4 2.85 1.08 21.8 9908 11100 -1192 509.2
Mike Fiers MIL 9/28 2 CHN 0.42 0.31 6.1 5.1 2.1 7.0 2.0 3.08 1.12 21.0 9722 10900 -1178 519.0
Zack Greinke LAN 9/28 4 COL 0.46 0.28 6.7 5.3 1.9 6.0 1.8 2.55 1.03 20.9 9698 11400 -1702 545.5
Adam Wainwright STL 9/28 4 at ARI 0.40 0.33 7.3 7.2 2.9 6.1 1.7 3.56 1.19 19.1 9280 11500 -2220 602.1
Bartolo Colon NYN 9/28 1 HOU 0.38 0.35 6.6 6.3 2.6 5.7 1.2 3.49 1.12 18.1 9047 8200 847 453.0
Gerrit Cole PIT 9/28 1 at CIN 0.36 0.36 6.4 5.8 2.5 6.0 2.2 3.50 1.23 18.0 9024 9200 -176 511.1
Johnny Cueto CIN 9/28 1 PIT 0.36 0.36 6.0 5.5 2.3 5.7 1.9 3.52 1.20 17.3 8861 11700 -2839 676.3
Alex Cobb TB 9/28 1 at CLE 0.37 0.36 6.6 6.6 2.8 5.8 2.2 3.88 1.32 17.1 8814 10000 -1186 584.8
R.A. Dickey TOR 9/28 1 BAL 0.41 0.32 6.8 6.2 2.9 5.3 2.2 3.91 1.22 16.7 8721 8300 421 497.0
Clay Buchholz BOS 9/28 1 NYA 0.39 0.34 6.8 7.1 3.3 5.0 2.4 4.30 1.36 14.5 8210 7900 310 544.8
Yordano Ventura KC 9/28 2 at CHA 0.41 0.32 5.8 5.5 2.8 4.9 2.6 4.33 1.36 14.0 8093 8400 -307 600.0
Sonny Gray OAK 9/28 3 at TEX 0.43 0.31 6.0 6.1 2.9 4.6 2.4 4.30 1.39 13.5 7977 8800 -823 651.9
Michael Pineda NYA 9/28 1 at BOS 0.35 0.37 5.8 6.5 3.1 5.0 1.7 4.81 1.38 13.4 7954 8600 -646 641.8
T.J. House CLE 9/28 1 TB 0.36 0.36 5.8 5.9 2.5 4.2 2.2 3.96 1.37 13.0 7861 6900 961 530.8
Robbie Erlin SD 9/28 4 at SF 0.38 0.35 5.9 6.5 3.0 4.4 1.8 4.63 1.37 12.6 7768 6200 1568 492.1
Henderson Alvarez MIA 9/28 1 at WAS 0.32 0.40 6.0 6.9 2.9 3.9 1.5 4.32 1.39 11.7 7558 7200 358 615.4
Chris Heston SF 9/28 4 SD 0.37 0.36 5.7 6.5 3.1 4.0 1.9 4.80 1.43 11.1 7419 5500 1919 495.5
Josh Collmenter ARI 9/28 4 STL 0.34 0.39 5.8 6.1 3.0 3.7 1.9 4.59 1.34 11.0 7396 6500 896 590.9
Miguel Gonzalez BAL 9/28 1 at TOR 0.33 0.40 6.0 6.8 3.5 4.0 2.2 5.35 1.48 10.4 7256 8000 -744 769.2
Cory Rasmus LAA 9/28 4 at SEA 0.28 0.43 5.6 5.8 3.6 4.6 3.2 5.89 1.56 10.3 7233 5000 2233 485.4
Jacob Turner CHN 9/28 2 at MIL 0.31 0.41 5.8 6.4 3.2 3.8 2.2 4.91 1.46 10.3 7233 4700 2533 456.3
James Russell ATL 9/28 1 at PHI 0.30 0.42 5.6 6.7 3.4 3.5 2.0 5.42 1.51 8.8 6884 5000 1884 568.2
Chris Bassitt CHA 9/28 2 KC 0.34 0.39 5.5 5.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 5.51 1.58 8.3 6767 5000 1767 602.4
Christian Bergman COL 9/28 4 at LAN 0.28 0.44 5.6 7.2 3.4 3.2 1.4 5.49 1.50 8.1 6721 4500 2221 555.6
Kyle Gibson MIN 9/28 1 at DET 0.27 0.44 5.6 6.9 3.5 3.3 2.1 5.71 1.57 7.9 6674 5700 974 721.5
Nick Martinez TEX 9/28 3 OAK 0.32 0.40 5.5 6.5 3.7 3.3 2.6 6.06 1.63 7.4 6558 6000 558 810.8

Razzball DFSBot for DraftKings:  This tool helps identify which starting pitchers to choose for today on DraftKings.com. DFSBot projections rely on Steamer Rest of Season projections as a foundation and then adjust based on several game-specific factors that include opponent strength vs. the pitcher’s handedness, whether the start is home or away and park factors. DraftKings Salary (DS $) are directly from DraftKings.com.  All other stats/projections are from Razzball.

What Is The Expected Accuracy Of DFSBot Projections?:  For both May and June 2014, DFSBot projection predicted DraftKings player points better than DraftKings’ salaries.  For more details, please see the Razzball Ombotsman.

Filtering Results:  You can filter multiple fields at the same time.  The text fields below the column headers enable several methods for filtering the data.  Here are some examples:

Function Symbol Example Explanation
ANY MATCH ‘B’ in Pos Typing B in Pos will filter to any player with 1B, 2B, or 3B eligibility.  Type in more details to filter further – e.g., “1B’, “1B, 3B”, etc.
OR | 2B|SS Requires exact match on both sides – so 2B|SS returns anyone who has 2B or SS eligibility but not anyone with 2B/SS, 2B/3B, etc.
NOT ! !OF All players who do not have OF eligibility.
NOR ! | !1B|OF All players who do not have 1B eligibility NOR OF eligibility.  Just use the ! once.
GREATER THAN > >30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than 30.  Does not work for Date.
LESS THAN < <30 in $ All players whose $ is less than 30.  Does not work for Date.
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO >= >=30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than or equal to 30.  Does not work for date.
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO <= <=30 in $ All players whose $ is less than or equal to 30.  Does not work for Date.

 

  1. Eric the Actor says:
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    This is a fantastic resource. In my opinion, one improvement would be to post the projections a day in advance. Right now, they go live at some point mid-morning on gameday and being able to use it to make a lineup the previous day would be awesome. Thanks, guys!

    • @Eric the Actor: Thanks! I don’t have access to DraftKings $ values a day before games so not able to deliver it a day before games. Will look into ways to post these values sooner in the day.

  2. Brad says:
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    I’m a new user of Draft Kings after the DraftStreet/Kings buyout. I used your services daily for DraftStreet. What times are projected points for Draft KINGS typically available? Thanks and this is a wonderful website.

    • All the tools (DFSBot, Streamonator, Hittertron, Player Rater) are usually updated by 9:30 EST at the latest but last night was a rough one in Austin. Slow start to the day. Should be up by the time you read this comment though.

  3. sean says:
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    Is there any way you could add a early game/late game filter?

    • The GT column says the game time. Add a >6 in the filter fled to remove day games

  4. James Kallas says:
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    Can you swap out Shelby Miller for Wainwright please?

  5. Anthony says:
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    I’m surprised at the high value for Shelby Miller today considering he’s been so bad lately. Is this driven that strongly by matchup/ballpark? Inverse could be true for Capuano, would be curious to get some input on what is driving that if possible. Thanks!

    • @Anthony: Shelby’s influenced pretty high by opponent/ballpark. STL is a pitcher’s ballpark (97 index for runs, 91 for HR). Cubs – while exciting – aren’t a great offense and have contact issues. It also seems like there’s a lot of just okay starts today – in SON, this is only a $12 start which is rather low for the 3rd best start.

  6. Nugs says:
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    Rudy,

    I picked up Wacha today on my waiver wires. A good day by him today could put me in great position to be in the money.
    Does everybody like him that much today even coming off his shoulder issues?

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