Stolen Base Success Rates Against Starting Pitchers

Updated: | Maintained by

All Pitchers with 1+ GS in 2015 (stats from 2013 through 2015 season to date)


# Name Team L/R IP SB CS SB Suc% IP by SB IP by SB Att
Brian Johnson BOS L 4.3 2 0 100 2.2 0.0
Phil Klein TEX R 36.3 8 0 100 4.5 4.5
Drew Rucinski FA R 14.3 3 1 75 4.8 3.6
Manny Banuelos ATL L 26.3 5 2 71 5.3 0.0
Josh Smith FA R 32.7 6 2 75 5.4 0.0
Jon Moscot CIN R 11.7 2 0 100 5.8 0.0
Chris Beck CHA R 6.0 1 0 100 6.0 0.0
Scott Feldman HOU R 379.3 60 10 86 6.3 5.4
Brandon Beachy LAN R 38.0 6 0 100 6.3 0.0
A.J. Burnett FA R 568.7 88 20 81 6.5 5.3
Matt Barnes BOS R 52.0 8 1 89 6.5 5.8
Tyson Ross SD R 516.7 79 30 72 6.5 4.7
Taylor Jungmann MIL R 119.3 18 6 75 6.6 0.1
Rich Hill OAK L 73.0 10 2 83 7.3 6.1
Tim Lincecum FA R 429.7 56 9 86 7.7 6.6
Jake Arrieta CHN R 437.4 57 12 83 7.7 6.3
Jimmy Nelson MIL R 256.6 33 6 85 7.8 6.6
Roberto Hernandez TOR R 400.4 51 12 81 7.9 6.4
Trevor Cahill CHN R 300.7 38 7 84 7.9 6.7
David Hale COL R 176.6 22 3 88 8.0 7.1
Jonathan Gray COL R 40.7 5 2 71 8.1 0.0
Donn Roach FA R 33.6 4 2 67 8.4 5.6
Gerrit Cole PIT R 463.3 55 20 73 8.4 6.2
Nate Karns SEA R 171.0 20 5 80 8.6 6.8
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL R 492.0 57 15 79 8.6 6.8
Eddie Butler COL R 95.3 11 4 73 8.7 6.4
Anibal Sanchez DET R 465.0 53 8 87 8.8 7.6
Jered Weaver LAA R 526.6 60 16 79 8.8 6.9
Jon Lester CHN L 638.0 72 20 78 8.9 6.9
Archie Bradley ARI R 35.7 4 1 80 8.9 0.0
Ariel Pena MIL R 27.3 3 1 75 9.1 0.0
Tony Zych SEA R 18.3 2 2 50 9.2 0.0
Drew Smyly TB L 295.7 32 15 68 9.2 6.3
Vincent Velasquez PHI R 55.7 6 3 67 9.3 0.1
Chris Young KC R 288.3 31 11 74 9.3 6.9
Drew Hutchison TOR R 335.0 36 11 77 9.3 7.1
Felix Doubront OAK L 317.3 34 11 76 9.3 7.1
Barry Zito FA L 140.3 15 9 62 9.4 0.1
Cole Hamels TEX L 637.0 68 22 76 9.4 7.1
Joe Blanton FA R 208.7 22 2 92 9.5 0.2
Edgar Olmos CHN L 19.0 2 0 100 9.5 0.0
John Lackey CHN R 605.3 62 13 83 9.8 8.1
Drew Pomeranz SD L 176.7 18 2 90 9.8 8.8
Anthony DeSclafani CIN R 217.7 22 3 88 9.9 8.7
Brad Peacock HOU R 220.0 22 2 92 10.0 9.2
Noah Syndergaard NYN R 150.0 15 1 94 10.0 0.1
Jorge Lopez MIL R 10.0 1 1 50 10.0 0.0
Daniel Hudson ARI R 70.4 7 3 70 10.1 7.0
Trevor Bauer CLE R 346.0 34 14 71 10.2 7.2
Severino Gonzalez PHI R 30.7 3 1 75 10.2 0.0
Matt Cain SF R 335.3 32 10 76 10.5 8.0
Colin Rea SD R 31.7 3 1 75 10.6 0.0
Charlie Morton PHI R 402.3 38 10 79 10.6 8.4
J.R. Graham MIN R 63.7 6 1 86 10.6 0.1
Rafael Montero NYN R 54.3 5 1 83 10.9 9.0
Anthony Ranaudo TEX R 54.6 5 1 83 10.9 9.1
Samuel Deduno FA R 229.7 21 4 84 10.9 9.2
Daniel Norris DET L 66.7 6 2 75 11.1 8.3
Robbie Ray ARI L 156.4 14 4 78 11.2 8.7
Todd Redmond BAL R 168.0 15 7 68 11.2 7.6
Ian Thomas LAN L 34.0 3 0 100 11.3 11.3
Yusmeiro Petit WAS R 241.0 21 5 81 11.5 9.3
T.J. House CLE L 115.0 10 2 83 11.5 9.6
Chris Bassitt OAK R 115.7 10 5 67 11.6 7.7
Mat Latos CHA R 429.3 37 12 76 11.6 8.8
Edinson Volquez KC R 535.3 46 13 78 11.6 9.1
Steven Matz NYN L 35.7 3 0 100 11.9 0.0
Sean O’Sullivan FA R 108.7 9 4 69 12.1 8.4
Dan Straily HOU R 221.0 18 6 75 12.3 9.2
Ricky Nolasco MIN R 308.6 25 11 69 12.3 8.6
Bud Norris ATL R 374.3 30 17 64 12.5 8.0
Colby Lewis TEX R 375.0 30 11 73 12.5 9.1
Steve Geltz TB R 75.6 6 3 67 12.6 8.4
Henry Owens BOS L 63.0 5 1 83 12.6 0.1
Hector Santiago LAA L 457.0 36 21 63 12.7 8.0
Tyler Matzek COL L 139.7 11 4 73 12.7 9.3
Andrew Cashner SD R 483.0 38 19 67 12.7 8.5
Felix Hernandez SEA R 642.0 50 15 77 12.8 9.9
Allen Webster FA R 120.3 9 5 64 13.4 8.6
Alfredo Simon FA R 471.0 35 19 65 13.5 8.7
Juan Nicasio PIT R 309.7 23 5 82 13.5 11.1
Jorge de la Rosa COL L 501.0 37 16 70 13.5 9.5
Chase Whitley TB R 95.0 7 7 50 13.6 6.8
Shelby Miller ARI R 561.6 41 16 72 13.7 9.9
Tyler Wagner ARI R 13.7 1 0 100 13.7 0.0
Mike Fiers HOU R 274.3 20 7 74 13.7 10.2
Jason Marquis FA R 165.0 12 7 63 13.8 0.2
Francisco Liriano PIT L 510.0 37 11 77 13.8 10.6
Jason Hammel CHN R 486.3 35 9 80 13.9 11.1
Carlos Rodon CHA L 139.3 10 3 77 13.9 0.1
Jeff Samardzija SF R 647.4 46 19 71 14.1 10.0
Jason Vargas KC L 380.0 27 8 77 14.1 10.9
Ivan Nova NYA R 254.0 18 8 69 14.1 9.8
Michael Lorenzen CIN R 113.3 8 5 62 14.2 0.1
Aaron Harang FA R 399.6 28 10 74 14.3 10.5
Erik Johnson CHA R 86.4 6 6 50 14.4 7.2
Zach McAllister CLE R 289.3 20 8 71 14.5 10.3
Chris Archer TB R 535.4 37 15 71 14.5 10.3
Phillippe Aumont FA R 29.0 2 1 67 14.5 9.7
Dustin McGowan FA R 131.0 9 4 69 14.6 10.1
Carlos Carrasco CLE R 364.4 25 13 66 14.6 9.6
Trevor May MIN R 160.4 11 2 85 14.6 12.3
Robbie Erlin SD L 133.0 9 2 82 14.8 12.1
Marco Estrada TOR R 459.7 31 13 70 14.8 10.4
Mike Pelfrey DET R 341.1 23 5 82 14.8 12.2
Rick Porcello BOS R 553.7 37 17 69 15.0 10.3
James Paxton SEA L 165.0 11 2 85 15.0 12.7
Mike Foltynewicz ATL R 105.4 7 3 70 15.1 10.5
Justin Verlander DET R 557.6 37 12 76 15.1 11.4
Cory Rasmus LAA R 91.7 6 3 67 15.3 10.2
Kyle Hendricks CHN R 260.3 17 8 68 15.3 10.4
Wily Peralta MIL R 490.7 32 14 70 15.3 10.7
Matt Shoemaker LAA R 276.3 18 8 69 15.4 10.6
Aaron Nola PHI R 77.7 5 3 62 15.5 0.1
Aaron Sanchez TOR R 125.3 8 8 50 15.7 7.8
Ryan Vogelsong PIT R 423.4 27 10 73 15.7 11.4
C.J. Wilson LAA L 520.0 33 13 72 15.8 11.3
Bruce Chen FA L 175.6 11 7 61 16.0 9.8
Jeff Locke PIT L 465.9 29 20 59 16.1 9.5
Scott Kazmir LAN L 531.3 33 4 89 16.1 14.4
Mike Bolsinger LAN R 161.6 10 9 53 16.2 8.5
Asher Wojciechowski HOU R 16.3 1 0 100 16.3 0.0
Yovani Gallardo FA R 557.3 34 11 76 16.4 12.4
Ian Kennedy KC R 426.6 26 16 62 16.4 10.2
John Lamb CIN L 49.7 3 1 75 16.6 0.0
David Huff FA L 99.7 6 2 75 16.6 12.5
Yimi Garcia LAN R 66.7 4 1 80 16.7 13.3
Tommy Milone MIN L 403.0 24 8 75 16.8 12.6
Brett Oberholtzer PHI L 253.7 15 8 65 16.9 11.0
Dan Haren FA R 543.0 32 8 80 17.0 13.6
Odrisamer Despaigne BAL R 222.0 13 7 65 17.1 11.1
Dillon Gee KC R 376.0 22 9 71 17.1 12.1
Collin McHugh HOU R 377.4 22 9 71 17.2 12.2
Kendall Graveman OAK R 120.4 7 5 58 17.2 10.0
Keyvius Sampson CIN R 52.3 3 2 60 17.4 0.1
Stephen Strasburg WAS R 525.3 30 13 70 17.5 12.2
Phil Hughes MIN R 510.7 29 6 83 17.6 14.6
J.A. Happ TOR L 422.7 24 10 71 17.6 12.4
Tim Hudson FA R 444.3 25 8 76 17.8 13.5
Scott Baker FA R 106.7 6 3 67 17.8 11.9
Brandon McCarthy LAN R 358.0 20 6 77 17.9 13.8
Brandon Finnegan CIN L 55.0 3 1 75 18.3 13.8
Jerome Williams FA R 405.3 22 10 69 18.4 12.7
Jordan Lyles COL R 317.4 17 5 77 18.7 14.4
Brad Hand MIA L 225.0 12 4 75 18.8 14.1
Ervin Santana MIN R 515.0 27 15 64 19.1 12.3
Homer Bailey CIN R 366.0 19 7 73 19.3 14.1
Aaron Brooks OAK R 58.0 3 1 75 19.3 14.5
Eric Stults FA L 427.4 22 7 76 19.4 14.7
Gio Gonzalez WAS L 530.1 27 18 60 19.6 11.8
Nicholas Tropeano LAA R 59.4 3 2 60 19.8 11.9
Yohan Pino FA R 79.6 4 2 67 19.9 13.3
Joe Wieland SEA R 20.0 1 0 100 20.0 20.0
Garrett Richards LAA R 521.0 26 13 67 20.0 13.4
Tom Koehler MIA R 521.6 26 15 63 20.1 12.7
Max Scherzer WAS R 663.3 33 20 62 20.1 12.5
Corey Kluber CLE R 605.0 30 19 61 20.2 12.3
Jeremy Hellickson PHI R 383.7 19 6 76 20.2 15.3
Kyle Gibson MIN R 425.0 21 7 75 20.2 15.2
Shane Greene DET R 162.4 8 7 53 20.3 10.8
Bryan Mitchell NYA R 40.7 2 1 67 20.4 13.6
Kyle Lobstein PIT L 103.0 5 3 62 20.6 12.9
Brett Anderson LAN L 268.3 13 11 54 20.6 11.2
Gonzalez Germen FA R 103.3 5 0 100 20.7 20.7
David Holmberg ATL L 62.0 3 1 75 20.7 15.5
Luis Severino NYA R 62.3 3 3 50 20.8 0.1
David Phelps MIA R 311.7 15 11 58 20.8 12.0
Adam Morgan PHI L 84.3 4 1 80 21.1 0.1
Kris Medlen KC R 255.3 12 6 67 21.3 0.3
Chris Sale CHA L 597.0 28 10 74 21.3 15.7
Tyler Lyons STL L 149.7 7 1 88 21.4 18.7
Steven Wright BOS R 107.0 5 2 71 21.4 15.3
Ross Detwiler CLE L 192.6 9 7 56 21.4 12.0
Rubby de la Rosa ARI R 301.7 14 7 67 21.6 14.4
Jake Peavy SF R 393.4 18 11 62 21.9 13.6
Wandy Rodriguez FA L 175.7 8 0 100 22.0 22.0
Joe Kelly BOS R 354.6 16 5 76 22.2 16.9
Adam Conley MIA L 67.0 3 1 75 22.3 0.1
Tony Cingrani CIN L 201.3 9 7 56 22.4 12.6
Jose Quintana CHA L 606.6 27 16 63 22.5 14.1
Julio Teheran ATL R 607.4 27 12 69 22.5 15.6
Andrew Heaney LAA L 135.0 6 0 100 22.5 22.5
Kyle Lohse FA R 549.3 24 12 67 22.9 15.3
Jeremy Guthrie FA R 562.7 24 13 65 23.4 15.2
Frank Garces FA L 47.0 2 1 67 23.5 15.7
Kyle Kendrick ATL R 523.3 22 15 59 23.8 14.1
Justin Masterson FA R 381.0 16 10 62 23.8 14.7
Logan Verrett NYN R 47.7 2 0 100 23.8 0.0
Nick Martinez TEX R 265.3 11 6 65 24.1 15.6
Brandon Morrow SD R 120.6 5 3 62 24.1 15.1
John Danks CHA L 509.7 21 9 70 24.3 17.0
Josh Collmenter ARI R 392.3 16 13 55 24.5 13.5
Matt Moore TB L 223.3 9 2 82 24.8 20.3
Mike Leake STL R 598.6 24 11 69 24.9 17.1
James Shields SD R 658.0 26 18 59 25.3 15.0
Jordan Zimmermann DET R 614.7 24 16 60 25.6 15.4
Brad Mills SEA L 25.7 1 1 50 25.7 12.8
Hector Noesi FA R 232.3 9 3 75 25.8 19.4
Jarred Cosart MIA R 310.0 12 8 60 25.8 15.5
Danny Duffy KC L 310.3 12 6 67 25.9 17.2
Erasmo Ramirez TB R 310.9 12 4 75 25.9 19.4
Henderson Alvarez OAK R 312.0 12 4 75 26.0 19.5
Jake Odorizzi TB R 367.0 14 9 61 26.2 16.0
Michael Pineda NYA R 237.0 9 13 41 26.3 10.8
Chris Rusin COL L 210.7 8 6 57 26.3 15.0
Randall Delgado ARI R 266.0 10 2 83 26.6 22.2
Matt Garza MIL R 383.0 14 9 61 27.4 16.7
Alex Wood LAN L 439.1 16 10 62 27.4 16.9
Jacob deGrom NYN R 331.3 12 10 55 27.6 15.1
Kevin Correia FA R 362.6 13 7 65 27.9 18.1
Miguel Gonzalez BAL R 475.0 17 6 74 27.9 20.7
Clay Buchholz BOS R 391.9 14 15 48 28.0 13.5
Matt Harvey NYN R 367.6 13 5 72 28.3 0.4
David Price BOS L 655.3 23 16 59 28.5 16.8
Sean Gilmartin NYN L 57.3 2 2 50 28.6 0.1
Alec Asher PHI R 29.0 1 1 50 29.0 0.0
Jon Niese PIT L 507.4 17 12 59 29.8 17.5
Alex Colome TB R 149.4 5 5 50 29.9 14.9
Cody Martin SEA R 30.7 1 0 100 30.7 0.0
Christian Bergman COL R 123.0 4 3 57 30.8 17.6
Derek Holland TEX L 308.7 10 8 56 30.9 17.2
Sean Nolin OAK L 31.3 1 0 100 31.3 31.3
Taylor Jordan WAS R 94.4 3 1 75 31.5 23.6
Alex Wilson DET R 126.0 4 6 40 31.5 12.6
Marcus Stroman TOR R 157.7 5 2 71 31.5 22.5
Clayton Richard CHN L 95.0 3 1 75 31.7 0.1
Raisel Iglesias CIN R 95.3 3 1 75 31.8 0.1
Taijuan Walker SEA R 222.7 7 5 58 31.8 18.6
Madison Bumgarner SF L 636.9 20 21 49 31.8 15.5
Adam Warren CHN R 287.0 9 6 60 31.9 19.1
Chris Narveson FA L 32.3 1 1 50 32.3 0.0
Sonny Gray OAK R 491.0 15 6 71 32.7 23.4
Jesse Chavez TOR R 360.3 11 8 58 32.8 19.0
Matt Andriese TB R 65.7 2 2 50 32.8 0.1
Tanner Roark WAS R 363.4 11 9 55 33.0 18.2
Kyle Ryan DET L 66.6 2 2 50 33.3 16.6
Travis Wood CHN L 474.4 14 9 61 33.9 20.6
Jesse Hahn OAK R 170.0 5 5 50 34.0 17.0
Kevin Gausman BAL R 273.3 8 5 62 34.2 21.0
Roenis Elias BOS L 279.0 8 6 57 34.9 19.9
Jhoulys Chacin ATL R 287.3 8 6 57 35.9 20.5
Tyler Wilson BAL R 36.0 1 2 33 36.0 0.0
Chris Heston SF R 183.0 5 6 45 36.6 16.6
Carlos Frias LAN R 110.0 3 4 43 36.7 15.7
Zack Godley ARI R 36.7 1 0 100 36.7 0.0
Bartolo Colon NYN R 587.3 16 7 70 36.7 25.5
Wei-Yin Chen MIA L 514.0 14 6 70 36.7 25.7
Carlos Martinez STL R 297.3 8 9 47 37.2 17.5
Zack Greinke ARI R 602.7 16 12 57 37.7 21.5
Chase Anderson MIL R 267.0 7 5 58 38.1 22.2
David Buchanan PHI R 192.4 5 2 71 38.5 27.5
R.A. Dickey TOR R 654.7 17 9 65 38.5 25.2
Danny Salazar CLE R 347.0 9 8 53 38.6 20.4
Vidal Nuno SEA L 270.7 7 3 70 38.7 27.1
Williams Perez ATL R 116.7 3 0 100 38.9 0.1
Clayton Kershaw LAN L 667.0 17 17 50 39.2 19.6
Jose Fernandez MIA R 289.1 7 6 54 41.3 22.2
Masahiro Tanaka NYA R 290.3 7 3 70 41.5 29.0
Lance McCullers HOU R 125.7 3 1 75 41.9 0.1
CC Sabathia NYA L 424.3 10 6 62 42.4 26.5
Mike Wright BAL R 44.7 1 1 50 44.7 0.0
Dallas Keuchel HOU L 585.7 13 7 65 45.1 29.3
Chad Bettis COL R 184.4 4 3 57 46.1 26.3
Vance Worley BAL R 231.1 5 7 42 46.2 19.3
Johnny Cueto SF R 516.4 11 10 52 46.9 24.6
Lance Lynn STL R 580.7 12 11 52 48.4 25.2
Buck Farmer DET R 49.6 1 2 33 49.6 16.5
Adam Wainwright STL R 496.7 10 5 67 49.7 33.1
Jerad Eickhoff PHI R 51.0 1 2 33 51.0 0.1
Doug Fister HOU R 475.7 9 9 50 52.9 26.4
Matt Wisler ATL R 109.0 2 1 67 54.5 0.1
Shaun Marcum FA R 113.3 2 7 22 56.6 0.1
Jaime Garcia STL L 228.7 4 3 57 57.2 32.7
Matt Boyd DET L 57.3 1 5 17 57.3 0.1
Michael Wacha STL R 353.0 6 5 55 58.8 32.1
Craig Breslow FA L 179.0 3 5 38 59.7 22.4
Wade Miley SEA L 597.7 10 14 42 59.8 24.9
Randy Wolf FA L 60.4 1 2 33 60.4 20.1
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS L 121.7 2 2 50 60.8 0.1
Chris Capuano FA L 243.7 4 3 57 60.9 34.8
Martin Perez TEX L 254.3 4 5 44 63.6 28.3
Yohan Flande FA L 127.3 2 1 67 63.6 42.4
Chi Chi Gonzalez TEX R 67.0 1 0 100 67.0 0.1
Justin Nicolino MIA L 74.0 1 1 50 74.0 0.1
Joe Ross WAS R 76.7 1 1 50 76.7 0.1
Hisashi Iwakuma SEA R 528.4 6 12 33 88.1 29.4
Mike Montgomery SEA L 90.0 1 1 50 90.0 0.1
Cody Anderson CLE R 91.3 1 2 33 91.3 0.1
Nathan Eovaldi NYA R 460.3 5 5 50 92.1 46.0
Patrick Corbin ARI L 293.3 3 6 33 97.8 0.3
Chris Tillman BAL R 586.6 6 12 33 97.8 32.6
Yordano Ventura KC R 361.6 3 5 38 120.5 45.2
Mark Buehrle FA L 604.4 5 9 36 120.9 43.2
Josh Tomlin CLE R 171.7 1 3 25 171.7 42.9
Tsuyoshi Wada FA L 101.6 0 1 0 999.0 101.6
Zachary Davies MIL R 34.0 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Tyler Duffey MIN R 58.0 0 0 0 999.0 0.1
Tyler Cravy MIL R 42.7 0 2 0 999.0 0.0
Marco Gonzales STL L 37.4 0 2 0 999.0 18.7
Tim Cooney STL L 31.3 0 3 0 999.0 0.0
Jose Urena MIA R 61.7 0 0 0 999.0 0.1
Kendry Flores MIA R 12.7 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
A.J. Cole WAS R 9.3 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Matt Harrison PHI L 44.0 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Frankie Montas LAN R 15.0 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Casey Sadler FA R 15.3 0 1 0 999.0 15.3
Zach Lee LAN R 4.7 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Toru Murata FA R 3.3 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Casey Kelly ATL R 11.3 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Dallas Beeler CHN R 19.3 0 1 0 999.0 19.3
Chad Billingsley FA R 49.0 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Scott Copeland TOR R 15.3 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Ryan Weber ATL R 28.3 0 3 0 999.0 0.0

Totals by Left-Handed vs. Right-Handed Starting Pitchers (SPs from 2013-2015)


# L/R IP SB CS SB Suc% IP by SB IP by SB Att
L 22,543 1113 535 67.5 20.3 13.7
R 58,158 3470 1458 70.4 16.8 11.8

  1. Count de Monetball says:
    (link)

    Great tool rudy! When did you put this up and are you going to do a writeup about it sometime?

    • Thanks. I just built it per our SAGNOF guy’s request (Mike). He’ll be referencing in future posts.

  2. Alex says:
    (link)

    couldn’t help but notice that A.J. Burnett isn’t on the list. any chance this will get fixed before I have to decide whether to play Altuve or Dee Gordon tomorrow?

  3. Alex says:
    (link)

    and no chris young!

    p.s. love, love, love the tool.

  4. Greg says:
    (link)

    Not sure if you’re monitoring these comments these days, but it’s H2H playoffs and I want to stream a speedster for Sunday – any chance to add Odrisamer Despaigne, Trevor Bauer, and hector noesi added to the tool?

  5. David says:
    (link)

    What’s usually the baseline for SB’s against a pitcher…anything over 60 percent is really good? Also, is this tool incorporated into the dfs tool when it mentions a player has .20 percent chance of a stolen base for instance? I assume it takes in rSB values, etc. in deciding the percent…

    • @David: i think the league average is something like 70% for SB/SB attempts. But the other factor is that good pitchers will limit the attempts – e.g., a Buehrle or Cueto. I only factor in handedness for SB daily projection as it’s unknown who the catcher is going to be until close to gametime. I would need to do a rather large analysis to figure out exactly how much to credit/blame pitchers vs catchers for SB attempts and SB success rate. Given how small SBs factor into DFS, it hasn’t been an area that I’ve prioritized to date.

  6. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
    (link)

    Rudy, I love this tool. Questions though:
    Gose is facing Cueto today. He is ranked #236 above (tough to steal upon). Gose gets a .23 for SB in today’s hittertron.
    He faces Volquez on Wed. Volquez is rated #58 above (a much better bet to get a steal). Yet, Gose gets a .23 in Wed. hittertron.
    Why does he have the same likelihood of SB in hittertron, yet widely different in here? This not a factor in hittertron? (but, maybe should be?) (I may be missing something…)

    • @Fred Barker: I am only using pitcher hand for SB projections. Have a big analysis in the queue to determine how much to credit/blame pitcher vs catchers for SBs.

      • Simply Fred

        Fred Barker says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble: Cool. Just when one can’t believe the models can get ANY better!

  7. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
    (link)

    Congrats on moving up the ladder the second half in ‘Perts!

    Hey, I worked this SB chart hard for the last MONTH and got very marginal positive impact. Just my two-bits:
    I would put my development effort in other areas.
    (seems like the base stealers are gonna get em; those who don’t won’t–even against pitchers who give em up)

    Finallly, some extra time to play with the kids!

    • @Fred Barker: Thx. Agreed regarding stolen bases. I did incorporate pitcher into the Hittertron SB projections and it seemed to have minor impact overall. I do think it’s most helpful for the handful of pitchers who are awesome/awful at holding guys on. But streaming for SBs is not as enjoyable or lucrative as for HRs.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *