Stolen Base Success Rates Against Starting Pitchers

Updated: | Maintained by

All Pitchers with 1+ GS in 2015 (stats from 2013 through 2015 season to date)


# Name Team L/R IP SB CS SB Suc% IP by SB IP by SB Att
Brian Johnson BOS L 4.3 2 0 100 2.2 0.0
Josh Smith CIN R 12.3 5 2 71 2.5 0.0
Tyler Wagner MIL R 3.7 1 0 100 3.7 0.0
Phil Klein TEX R 36.3 8 0 100 4.5 4.5
Drew Rucinski LAA R 14.3 3 1 75 4.8 3.6
Matt Barnes BOS R 41.7 8 1 89 5.2 4.6
Manuel Banuelos ATL L 21.7 4 2 67 5.4 0.0
Jon Moscot CIN R 11.7 2 0 100 5.8 0.0
Chris Beck CHA R 6.0 1 0 100 6.0 0.0
Taylor Jungmann MIL R 90.7 15 6 71 6.0 0.1
Brandon Beachy FA R 38.0 6 0 100 6.3 0.0
Tyson Ross SD R 485.7 76 29 72 6.4 4.6
Scott Feldman HOU R 376.7 58 10 85 6.5 5.5
A.J. Burnett PIT R 540.0 83 19 81 6.5 5.3
Colin Rea SD R 19.7 3 1 75 6.6 0.0
Jonathan Gray COL R 21.0 3 1 75 7.0 0.0
Jimmy Nelson MIL R 237.6 32 5 86 7.4 6.4
Trevor Cahill FA R 283.7 38 6 86 7.5 6.4
Tim Lincecum SF R 429.7 56 9 86 7.7 6.6
Jake Arrieta CHN R 391.4 51 12 81 7.7 6.2
Roberto Hernandez FA R 400.4 51 12 81 7.9 6.4
David Hale COL R 158.3 20 3 87 7.9 6.9
Noah Syndergaard NYN R 122.3 15 1 94 8.2 0.1
Gerrit Cole PIT R 425.0 52 18 74 8.2 6.1
Donn Roach TOR R 33.6 4 2 67 8.4 5.6
Nate Karns TB R 168.0 20 4 83 8.4 7.0
Daniel Norris DET L 51.4 6 2 75 8.6 6.4
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL R 455.3 53 15 78 8.6 6.7
Eddie Butler COL R 95.3 11 4 73 8.7 6.4
Anthony DeSclafani CIN R 183.0 21 3 88 8.7 7.6
Anibal Sanchez DET R 465.0 53 8 87 8.8 7.6
Jon Lester CHN L 596.0 67 17 80 8.9 7.1
Archie Bradley ARI R 35.7 4 1 80 8.9 0.0
Chris Young KC R 269.3 30 10 75 9.0 6.7
Drew Hutchison TOR R 323.4 36 11 77 9.0 6.9
Jered Weaver LAA R 493.3 54 10 84 9.1 7.7
Cole Hamels TEX L 588.0 64 21 75 9.2 6.9
Drew Pomeranz OAK L 168.7 18 1 95 9.4 8.9
Felix Doubront OAK L 289.3 30 9 77 9.6 7.4
Robbie Ray ARI L 125.4 13 4 76 9.6 7.4
Daniel Hudson ARI R 58.0 6 3 67 9.7 6.4
John Lackey STL R 566.0 58 13 82 9.8 8.0
Drew Smyly TB L 259.7 26 12 68 10.0 6.8
Brad Peacock HOU R 220.0 22 2 92 10.0 9.2
Charlie Morton PIT R 380.0 38 10 79 10.0 7.9
Joe Blanton PIT R 192.7 19 1 95 10.1 0.2
Trevor Bauer CLE R 326.7 32 14 70 10.2 7.1
Severino Gonzalez PHI R 30.7 3 1 75 10.2 0.0
Rafael Montero NYN R 54.3 5 1 83 10.9 9.0
Adam Conley MIA L 32.7 3 1 75 10.9 0.0
Anthony Ranaudo TEX R 54.6 5 1 83 10.9 9.1
Samuel Deduno HOU R 229.7 21 4 84 10.9 9.2
Todd Redmond FA R 168.0 15 7 68 11.2 7.6
Carlos Rodon CHA L 112.7 10 3 77 11.3 0.1
Matt Cain SF R 327.3 29 10 74 11.3 8.4
Vincent Velasquez HOU R 45.3 4 2 67 11.3 0.0
T.J. House CLE L 115.0 10 2 83 11.5 9.6
J.R. Graham MIN R 57.7 5 0 100 11.5 0.1
Steve Geltz TB R 69.3 6 3 67 11.5 7.7
Mat Latos LAN R 420.7 36 11 77 11.7 9.0
Yusmeiro Petit SF R 235.7 20 5 80 11.8 9.4
Michael Lorenzen CIN R 95.3 8 4 67 11.9 0.1
Sean O’Sullivan FA R 108.7 9 4 69 12.1 8.4
Colby Lewis TEX R 340.3 28 10 74 12.2 9.0
Ricky Nolasco MIN R 304.0 25 11 69 12.2 8.4
Dan Straily HOU R 219.6 18 6 75 12.2 9.2
Edinson Volquez KC R 500.3 41 13 76 12.2 9.3
Aaron Nola PHI R 49.7 4 3 57 12.4 0.0
Bud Norris SD R 365.0 29 17 63 12.6 7.9
Hector Santiago LAA L 428.6 34 19 64 12.6 8.1
Felix Hernandez SEA R 607.3 48 13 79 12.7 10.0
Tyler Matzek COL L 139.7 11 4 73 12.7 9.3
Ian Thomas LAN L 26.0 2 0 100 13.0 13.0
Jorge de la Rosa COL L 481.0 37 16 70 13.0 9.1
Marco Estrada TOR R 414.0 31 13 70 13.4 9.4
Jeff Samardzija CHA R 615.4 46 19 71 13.4 9.5
Shelby Miller ATL R 528.3 39 15 72 13.5 9.8
Mike Fiers HOU R 244.0 18 6 75 13.6 10.2
Aaron Harang PHI R 366.3 27 10 73 13.6 9.9
Chase Whitley NYA R 95.0 7 7 50 13.6 6.8
Chris Archer TB R 504.4 37 14 73 13.6 9.9
Steven Matz NYN L 13.7 1 0 100 13.7 0.0
Juan Nicasio LAN R 301.7 22 5 81 13.7 11.2
Jason Marquis FA R 165.0 12 7 63 13.8 0.2
Zach McAllister CLE R 279.0 20 7 74 14.0 10.3
Andrew Cashner SD R 449.3 32 17 65 14.0 9.2
Jason Vargas KC L 380.0 27 8 77 14.1 10.9
Aaron Sanchez TOR R 114.7 8 7 53 14.3 7.6
Alfredo Simon DET R 430.7 30 18 62 14.4 9.0
Allen Webster ARI R 115.3 8 4 67 14.4 9.6
Francisco Liriano PIT L 477.0 33 11 75 14.5 10.8
Phillippe Aumont FA R 29.0 2 1 67 14.5 9.7
Mike Pelfrey MIN R 319.1 22 4 85 14.5 12.3
Dustin McGowan FA R 131.0 9 4 69 14.6 10.1
Justin Verlander DET R 510.3 35 9 80 14.6 11.6
Chris Bassitt OAK R 103.0 7 5 58 14.7 8.6
Carlos Carrasco CLE R 338.7 23 12 66 14.7 9.7
Jason Hammel CHN R 457.6 31 9 78 14.8 11.4
Wily Peralta MIL R 474.0 32 13 71 14.8 10.5
Mike Foltynewicz ATL R 105.4 7 3 70 15.1 10.5
Kyle Hendricks CHN R 227.6 15 6 71 15.2 10.8
Rick Porcello BOS R 503.4 33 16 67 15.3 10.3
Ryan Vogelsong SF R 413.1 27 10 73 15.3 11.2
Tommy Milone MIN L 372.3 24 8 75 15.5 11.6
Matt Shoemaker LAA R 265.7 17 8 68 15.6 10.6
Ian Kennedy SD R 393.0 25 15 62 15.7 9.8
C.J. Wilson LAA L 520.0 33 13 72 15.8 11.3
Bruce Chen FA L 175.6 11 7 61 16.0 9.8
Yovani Gallardo TEX R 527.7 33 7 82 16.0 13.2
Joe Wieland LAN R 16.0 1 0 100 16.0 16.0
Logan Verrett NYN R 32.3 2 0 100 16.2 0.0
Scott Kazmir HOU L 502.3 31 4 89 16.2 14.4
Asher Wojciechowski HOU R 16.3 1 0 100 16.3 0.0
Cory Rasmus LAA R 81.7 5 3 62 16.3 10.2
Dan Haren CHN R 510.4 31 7 82 16.5 13.4
Odrisamer Despaigne SD R 214.3 13 7 65 16.5 10.7
Trevor May MIN R 149.4 9 2 82 16.6 13.6
David Huff FA L 99.7 6 2 75 16.6 12.5
Jeff Locke PIT L 438.9 26 18 59 16.9 10.0
Brett Oberholtzer HOU L 253.7 15 8 65 16.9 11.0
Dillon Gee NYN R 376.0 22 9 71 17.1 12.1
Bryan Mitchell NYA R 34.3 2 1 67 17.2 11.4
Kendall Graveman OAK R 120.4 7 5 58 17.2 10.0
Phil Hughes MIN R 499.7 29 6 83 17.2 14.3
James Paxton SEA L 156.3 9 2 82 17.4 14.2
Kyle Lobstein DET L 87.0 5 3 62 17.4 10.9
Stephen Strasburg WAS R 489.0 28 13 68 17.5 11.9
J.A. Happ PIT L 386.7 22 8 73 17.6 12.9
Tim Hudson SF R 421.9 24 7 77 17.6 13.6
Edgar Olmos SEA L 17.7 1 0 100 17.7 0.0
Brad Hand MIA L 213.0 12 3 80 17.8 14.2
Scott Baker FA R 106.7 6 3 67 17.8 11.9
Brandon McCarthy LAN R 358.0 20 6 77 17.9 13.8
Gio Gonzalez WAS L 496.1 27 17 61 18.4 11.3
Max Scherzer WAS R 612.6 33 20 62 18.6 11.6
Yimi Garcia LAN R 55.7 3 0 100 18.6 18.6
Jordan Lyles COL R 317.4 17 5 77 18.7 14.4
Jerome Williams PHI R 392.6 21 9 70 18.7 13.1
Collin McHugh HOU R 339.0 18 8 69 18.8 13.0
Ervin Santana MIN R 472.0 25 15 62 18.9 11.8
Ivan Nova NYA R 228.0 12 7 63 19.0 12.0
Homer Bailey CIN R 366.0 19 7 73 19.3 14.1
Eric Stults FA L 427.4 22 7 76 19.4 14.7
Garrett Richards LAA R 474.7 24 12 67 19.8 13.2
Yohan Pino KC R 79.6 4 2 67 19.9 13.3
Corey Kluber CLE R 583.3 29 18 62 20.1 12.4
Mike Bolsinger LAN R 141.3 7 9 44 20.2 8.8
Kris Medlen KC R 222.7 11 5 69 20.2 0.2
Shane Greene DET R 162.4 8 7 53 20.3 10.8
Andrew Heaney LAA L 101.6 5 0 100 20.3 20.3
David Holmberg CIN L 62.0 3 1 75 20.7 15.5
Chris Sale CHA L 559.6 27 9 75 20.7 15.5
David Phelps MIA R 311.7 15 11 58 20.8 12.0
Ross Detwiler ATL L 190.3 9 7 56 21.1 11.9
Steven Wright BOS R 107.0 5 2 71 21.4 15.3
Tony Cingrani CIN L 194.0 9 7 56 21.6 12.1
Brett Anderson LAN L 240.3 11 11 50 21.8 10.9
Julio Teheran ATL R 568.4 26 12 68 21.9 15.0
Wandy Rodriguez FA L 175.7 8 0 100 22.0 22.0
Michael Pineda NYA R 198.6 9 11 45 22.1 9.9
Kyle Lohse MIL R 533.3 24 11 69 22.2 15.2
Adam Morgan PHI L 67.0 3 0 100 22.3 0.1
Gonzalez Germen COL R 90.3 4 0 100 22.6 22.6
Chris Narveson MIA L 22.7 1 0 100 22.7 0.0
Joe Kelly BOS R 340.6 15 5 75 22.7 17.0
Jose Quintana CHA L 570.6 25 16 61 22.8 13.9
Rubby de la Rosa ARI R 274.3 12 6 67 22.9 15.2
Jeremy Hellickson ARI R 366.7 16 6 73 22.9 16.7
Tom Koehler MIA R 485.0 21 15 58 23.1 13.5
Matt Moore TB L 187.0 8 0 100 23.4 23.4
Josh Collmenter ARI R 376.3 16 13 55 23.5 13.0
Nick Martinez TEX R 261.3 11 6 65 23.8 15.4
Jake Peavy SF R 356.7 15 11 58 23.8 13.7
Justin Masterson FA R 381.0 16 10 62 23.8 14.7
Brandon Morrow SD R 120.6 5 3 62 24.1 15.1
Kyle Gibson MIN R 388.3 16 7 70 24.3 16.9
Mike Leake SF R 561.9 23 11 68 24.4 16.5
Tyler Wilson BAL R 24.7 1 1 50 24.7 0.0
Kyle Kendrick COL R 494.3 20 13 61 24.7 15.0
Jeremy Guthrie KC R 547.4 22 13 63 24.9 15.6
Erasmo Ramirez TB R 274.9 11 3 79 25.0 19.6
John Danks CHA L 477.7 19 8 70 25.1 17.7
Tyler Lyons STL L 126.0 5 1 83 25.2 21.0
Jordan Zimmermann WAS R 580.0 23 16 59 25.2 14.9
Alex Wood LAN L 403.7 16 10 62 25.2 15.5
Brad Mills FA L 25.7 1 1 50 25.7 12.8
Hector Noesi FA R 232.3 9 3 75 25.8 19.4
Jarred Cosart MIA R 285.6 11 7 61 26.0 15.9
Henderson Alvarez MIA R 312.0 12 4 75 26.0 19.5
James Shields SD R 627.0 24 17 59 26.1 15.3
Danny Duffy KC L 287.6 11 6 65 26.1 16.9
Matt Garza MIL R 378.3 14 9 61 27.0 16.4
David Price TOR L 624.3 23 16 59 27.1 16.0
Derek Holland TEX L 272.3 10 6 62 27.2 17.0
Jake Odorizzi TB R 330.7 12 8 60 27.6 16.5
Jacob deGrom NYN R 303.3 11 8 58 27.6 16.0
Miguel Gonzalez BAL R 471.3 17 6 74 27.7 20.5
Matt Andriese TB R 55.7 2 1 67 27.8 0.1
Kevin Correia FA R 362.6 13 7 65 27.9 18.1
Clayton Richard CHN L 83.7 3 1 75 27.9 0.1
Clay Buchholz BOS R 391.9 14 15 48 28.0 13.5
Keyvius Sampson CIN R 28.0 1 1 50 28.0 0.0
Matt Harvey NYN R 338.3 12 5 71 28.2 0.3
Henry Owens BOS L 29.0 1 1 50 29.0 0.0
Aaron Brooks OAK R 29.0 1 1 50 29.0 14.5
Taijuan Walker SEA R 206.0 7 4 64 29.4 18.7
Alex Wilson DET R 118.0 4 5 44 29.5 13.1
Chris Rusin COL L 177.3 6 6 50 29.6 14.8
Lance McCullers HOU R 89.7 3 1 75 29.9 0.1
Kevin Gausman BAL R 241.0 8 4 67 30.1 20.1
Jon Niese NYN L 483.4 16 11 59 30.2 17.9
Mike Wright BAL R 30.7 1 1 50 30.7 0.0
Taylor Jordan WAS R 94.4 3 1 75 31.5 23.6
Randall Delgado ARI R 252.0 8 2 80 31.5 25.2
Jesse Chavez OAK R 352.3 11 8 58 32.0 18.5
Travis Wood CHN L 458.4 14 9 61 32.7 19.9
Madison Bumgarner SF L 594.3 18 21 46 33.0 15.2
Tanner Roark WAS R 331.7 10 6 62 33.2 20.7
Sonny Gray OAK R 464.7 14 6 70 33.2 23.2
David Buchanan PHI R 166.7 5 2 71 33.3 23.8
Alex Colome TB R 135.4 4 5 44 33.8 15.0
Jesse Hahn OAK R 170.0 5 5 50 34.0 17.0
Carlos Frias LAN R 102.0 3 3 50 34.0 17.0
Carlos Martinez STL R 272.3 8 9 47 34.0 16.0
Jhoulys Chacin ARI R 273.9 8 5 62 34.2 21.1
Christian Bergman COL R 103.0 3 2 60 34.3 20.6
Wei-Yin Chen BAL L 483.4 14 6 70 34.5 24.2
Bartolo Colon NYN R 553.6 16 5 76 34.6 26.4
Danny Salazar CLE R 313.3 9 5 64 34.8 22.4
Vidal Nuno SEA L 244.0 7 3 70 34.9 24.4
Zack Greinke LAN R 559.3 16 11 59 35.0 20.7
Matthew Wisler ATL R 70.7 2 1 67 35.4 0.1
Roenis Elias SEA L 249.4 7 4 64 35.6 22.7
R.A. Dickey TOR R 614.1 17 9 65 36.1 23.6
Masahiro Tanaka NYA R 258.0 7 3 70 36.9 25.8
Justin Nicolino MIA L 37.0 1 1 50 37.0 0.0
Adam Warren NYA R 266.0 7 6 54 38.0 20.5
Nicholas Tropeano LAA R 38.0 1 1 50 38.0 19.0
Jose Fernandez MIA R 267.4 7 6 54 38.2 20.6
Clayton Kershaw LAN L 619.3 16 15 52 38.7 20.0
Chad Bettis COL R 156.1 4 3 57 39.0 22.3
Randy Wolf DET L 39.7 1 2 33 39.7 13.2
Raisel Iglesias CIN R 80.3 2 1 67 40.2 0.1
Williams Perez ATL R 81.0 2 0 100 40.5 0.1
Chase Anderson ARI R 248.6 6 5 55 41.4 22.6
Johnny Cueto KC R 476.1 11 9 55 43.3 23.8
Buck Farmer DET R 43.3 1 2 33 43.3 14.4
Kyle Ryan DET L 43.6 1 1 50 43.6 21.8
CC Sabathia NYA L 395.3 9 6 60 43.9 26.4
Dallas Keuchel HOU L 546.4 12 7 63 45.5 28.8
Jaime Garcia STL L 192.0 4 3 57 48.0 27.4
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS L 97.3 2 2 50 48.6 0.1
Adam Wainwright STL R 493.7 10 5 67 49.4 32.9
Doug Fister WAS R 467.4 9 9 50 51.9 26.0
Cody Anderson CLE R 52.3 1 2 33 52.3 0.1
Michael Wacha STL R 329.0 6 3 67 54.8 36.6
Alex Gonzalez TEX R 55.0 1 0 100 55.0 0.1
Lance Lynn STL R 553.1 10 11 48 55.3 26.3
Wade Miley BOS L 563.7 10 14 42 56.4 23.5
Shaun Marcum FA R 113.3 2 7 22 56.6 0.1
Vance Worley FA R 228.4 4 7 36 57.1 20.8
Chris Capuano FA L 238.0 4 3 57 59.5 34.0
Joe Ross WAS R 66.7 1 1 50 66.7 0.1
Martin Perez TEX L 219.3 3 5 38 73.1 27.4
Chris Heston SF R 154.6 2 5 29 77.3 22.1
Hisashi Iwakuma SEA R 488.4 6 12 33 81.4 27.1
Michael Montgomery SEA L 90.0 1 1 50 90.0 0.1
Nathan Eovaldi NYA R 455.0 5 5 50 91.0 45.5
Yohan Flande COL L 109.7 1 0 100 109.7 109.7
Chris Tillman BAL R 549.3 5 12 29 109.9 32.3
Mark Buehrle TOR L 576.7 5 9 36 115.3 41.2
Patrick Corbin ARI L 258.3 2 6 25 129.2 0.3
Josh Tomlin CLE R 132.3 1 2 33 132.3 44.1
Yordano Ventura KC R 318.6 2 5 29 159.3 45.5
Scott Copeland TOR R 15.3 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Dallas Beeler CHN R 19.3 0 1 0 999.0 19.3
Zach Lee LAN R 4.7 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
A.J. Cole WAS R 9.3 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Zachary Godley ARI R 23.7 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Tyler Duffey MIN R 21.0 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Chad Billingsley PHI R 49.0 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Casey Sadler PIT R 15.3 0 1 0 999.0 15.3
Jerad Eickhoff PHI R 19.0 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Tyler Cravy MIL R 27.0 0 2 0 999.0 0.0
Matt Harrison PHI L 44.0 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Kendry Flores MIA R 12.7 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Jose Urena MIA R 49.3 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Luis Severino NYA R 29.0 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Alec Asher PHI R 5.7 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Tsuyoshi Wada CHN L 100.6 0 1 0 999.0 100.6
Matt Boyd DET L 36.7 0 2 0 999.0 0.0
John Lamb CIN L 22.3 0 1 0 999.0 0.0
Toru Murata FA R 3.3 0 0 0 999.0 0.0
Tim Cooney STL L 31.3 0 3 0 999.0 0.0

Totals by Left-Handed vs. Right-Handed Starting Pitchers (SPs from 2013-2015)


# L/R IP SB CS SB Suc% IP by SB IP by SB Att
L 20,110 994 475 67.7 20.2 13.7
R 53,970 3250 1345 70.7 16.6 11.7

  1. Count de Monetball says:
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    Great tool rudy! When did you put this up and are you going to do a writeup about it sometime?

    • Thanks. I just built it per our SAGNOF guy’s request (Mike). He’ll be referencing in future posts.

  2. Alex says:
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    couldn’t help but notice that A.J. Burnett isn’t on the list. any chance this will get fixed before I have to decide whether to play Altuve or Dee Gordon tomorrow?

  3. Alex says:
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    and no chris young!

    p.s. love, love, love the tool.

  4. Greg says:
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    Not sure if you’re monitoring these comments these days, but it’s H2H playoffs and I want to stream a speedster for Sunday – any chance to add Odrisamer Despaigne, Trevor Bauer, and hector noesi added to the tool?

  5. David says:
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    What’s usually the baseline for SB’s against a pitcher…anything over 60 percent is really good? Also, is this tool incorporated into the dfs tool when it mentions a player has .20 percent chance of a stolen base for instance? I assume it takes in rSB values, etc. in deciding the percent…

    • @David: i think the league average is something like 70% for SB/SB attempts. But the other factor is that good pitchers will limit the attempts – e.g., a Buehrle or Cueto. I only factor in handedness for SB daily projection as it’s unknown who the catcher is going to be until close to gametime. I would need to do a rather large analysis to figure out exactly how much to credit/blame pitchers vs catchers for SB attempts and SB success rate. Given how small SBs factor into DFS, it hasn’t been an area that I’ve prioritized to date.

  6. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
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    Rudy, I love this tool. Questions though:
    Gose is facing Cueto today. He is ranked #236 above (tough to steal upon). Gose gets a .23 for SB in today’s hittertron.
    He faces Volquez on Wed. Volquez is rated #58 above (a much better bet to get a steal). Yet, Gose gets a .23 in Wed. hittertron.
    Why does he have the same likelihood of SB in hittertron, yet widely different in here? This not a factor in hittertron? (but, maybe should be?) (I may be missing something…)

    • @Fred Barker: I am only using pitcher hand for SB projections. Have a big analysis in the queue to determine how much to credit/blame pitcher vs catchers for SBs.

      • Simply Fred

        Fred Barker says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Cool. Just when one can’t believe the models can get ANY better!

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