Stolen Base Success Rates Against Starting Pitchers

Updated: | Maintained by

All active starting pitchers with stats from 2013 through 2017 season to date.

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Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output!

# Name Team L/R IP (2013-2017) SB (2013-2017) CS (2013-2017) SB Suc% (2013-2017) SB / Est SB Opp IP by SB (2013-2017) IP by SB Att (2013-2017)
Tyler Glasnow PIT R 77.4 22 5 81 0.184 3.5 2.9
Noah Syndergaard NYM R 360.8 64 12 84 0.198 5.6 4.7
Tyson Ross TEX R 530.2 80 30 73 0.140 6.6 4.8
Scott Feldman CIN R 539.5 78 17 82 0.131 6.9 5.7
Taylor Jungmann MIL R 146.0 21 9 70 0.119 7.0 4.9
Alex Meyer LAA R 77.1 11 2 85 0.103 7.0 5.9
Steven Matz NYM L 188.0 26 6 81 0.139 7.2 5.9
Trevor Cahill KC R 407.5 56 9 86 0.112 7.3 6.3
Jimmy Nelson MIL R 525.9 71 15 83 0.112 7.4 6.1
Andrew Triggs OAK R 121.4 16 5 76 0.121 7.6 5.8
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL R 699.5 92 23 80 0.107 7.6 6.1
Gerrit Cole PIT R 669.4 83 23 78 0.122 8.1 6.3
Anibal Sanchez DET R 644.3 79 19 81 0.116 8.2 6.6
Nate Karns KC R 310.4 38 8 83 0.107 8.2 6.7
Jake Arrieta CHC R 718.9 88 17 84 0.140 8.2 6.8
Colin Rea SD R 134.4 16 3 84 0.099 8.4 7.1
Sean O’Sullivan BOS R 130.0 15 4 79 0.084 8.7 6.8
Jon Lester CHC L 929.8 107 41 72 0.120 8.7 6.3
Jered Weaver SD R 746.7 85 24 78 0.107 8.8 6.9
John Lamb LAA L 119.7 13 4 76 0.082 9.2 7.0
Joe Biagini TOR R 129.9 14 2 88 0.102 9.3 8.1
Felix Doubront OAK L 317.3 34 11 76 0.087 9.3 7.1
Cole Hamels TEX L 869.9 91 28 76 0.103 9.6 7.3
Drew Hutchison PIT R 359.0 37 13 74 0.089 9.7 7.2
Rafael Montero NYM R 99.4 10 2 83 0.068 9.9 8.3
Tyler Skaggs LAA L 230.5 23 8 74 0.091 10.0 7.4
Matt Cain SF R 502.6 50 18 74 0.087 10.1 7.4
Drew Smyly SEA L 471.0 46 19 71 0.101 10.2 7.2
Mat Latos TOR R 514.3 50 16 76 0.092 10.3 7.8
John Lackey CHC R 880.7 85 19 82 0.098 10.4 8.5
Eddie Butler CHC R 197.5 19 7 73 0.067 10.4 7.6
Brad Peacock HOU R 295.9 28 4 88 0.078 10.6 9.2
Rich Hill LAD L 223.3 21 8 72 0.086 10.6 7.7
J.C. Ramirez LAA R 206.5 19 10 66 0.079 10.9 7.1
Yu Darvish LAD R 555.3 51 9 85 0.095 10.9 9.3
Anthony DeSclafani CIN R 341.0 31 9 78 0.085 11.0 8.5
Edinson Volquez MIA R 801.7 72 24 75 0.074 11.1 8.4
Carlos Rodon CHW L 304.3 27 6 82 0.073 11.3 9.2
Edwin Jackson WSH R 455.7 40 9 82 0.070 11.4 9.3
Charlie Morton HOU R 476.8 41 12 77 0.072 11.6 9.0
T.J. House TOR L 117.7 10 3 77 0.067 11.8 9.1
Mike Pelfrey CHW R 520.2 44 7 86 0.064 11.8 10.2
Mike Bolsinger TOR R 214.5 18 10 64 0.067 11.9 7.7
Matt Andriese TB R 254.4 21 4 84 0.079 12.1 10.2
Jason Hammel KC R 731.1 60 12 83 0.078 12.2 10.2
Felix Hernandez SEA R 827.5 67 19 78 0.085 12.4 9.6
Andrew Cashner TEX R 684.1 55 28 66 0.073 12.4 8.2
Julio Urias LAD L 100.1 8 5 62 0.062 12.5 7.7
Tyler Matzek CHW L 139.7 11 4 73 0.063 12.7 9.3
Chris Bassitt OAK R 143.7 11 5 69 0.061 13.1 9.0
Brandon Finnegan CIN L 237.0 18 7 72 0.067 13.2 9.5
Alex Cobb TB R 424.7 32 10 76 0.072 13.3 10.1
Daniel Norris DET L 213.1 16 10 62 0.064 13.3 8.2
Hector Santiago MIN L 704.0 52 30 63 0.063 13.5 8.6
Trevor May MIN R 203.1 15 3 83 0.062 13.5 11.3
Mike Clevinger CLE R 95.0 7 4 64 0.062 13.6 8.6
Shelby Miller ARI R 684.6 50 21 70 0.066 13.7 9.6
Zach Eflin PHI R 110.3 8 3 73 0.064 13.8 10.0
Kyle Hendricks CHC R 511.5 37 13 74 0.079 13.8 10.2
Jameson Taillon PIT R 155.1 11 2 85 0.072 14.1 11.9
Brandon McCarthy LAD R 467.0 33 11 75 0.068 14.2 10.6
Francisco Liriano HOU L 723.0 51 13 80 0.062 14.2 11.3
Tyler Wilson BAL R 143.1 10 5 67 0.058 14.3 9.5
Tommy Milone NYM L 505.3 35 10 78 0.062 14.4 11.2
Drew Pomeranz BOS L 420.4 29 12 71 0.066 14.5 10.3
Aaron Nola PHI R 246.8 17 4 81 0.065 14.5 11.8
Jason Vargas KC L 479.1 33 12 73 0.065 14.5 10.6
Kyle Freeland COL L 87.2 6 2 75 0.054 14.5 10.9
Jeff Locke MIA L 616.4 42 23 65 0.058 14.7 9.5
Jon Gray COL R 220.8 15 4 79 0.059 14.7 11.6
Mike Fiers HOU R 521.0 35 15 70 0.064 14.9 10.4
Robbie Ray ARI L 417.9 28 10 74 0.057 14.9 11.0
Chad Kuhl PIT R 134.8 9 3 75 0.055 15.0 11.2
Trevor Bauer CLE R 617.1 41 20 67 0.057 15.1 10.1
Matt Shoemaker LAA R 513.5 34 15 69 0.066 15.1 10.5
Jeff Samardzija SF R 948.9 62 30 67 0.064 15.3 10.3
Ryan Vogelsong MIN R 505.7 33 12 73 0.054 15.3 11.2
Marco Estrada TOR R 720.7 47 15 76 0.068 15.3 11.6
Dan Straily MIA R 496.3 32 15 68 0.060 15.5 10.6
Dylan Bundy BAL R 201.7 13 9 59 0.058 15.5 9.2
Taijuan Walker ARI R 420.0 27 6 82 0.061 15.6 12.7
Matt Wisler ATL R 280.7 18 2 90 0.056 15.6 14.0
Luis Perdomo SD R 219.7 14 2 88 0.049 15.7 13.7
Chris Archer TB R 840.8 53 22 71 0.062 15.9 11.2
Zack Wheeler NYM R 351.4 22 5 81 0.053 16.0 13.0
German Marquez COL R 79.9 5 1 83 0.050 16.0 13.3
Homer Bailey CIN R 389.0 24 8 75 0.059 16.2 12.2
Ivan Nova PIT R 519.0 32 11 74 0.057 16.2 12.1
Jaime Garcia NYY L 487.4 30 12 71 0.060 16.2 11.6
Aaron Sanchez TOR R 341.4 21 11 66 0.062 16.3 10.7
Scott Kazmir LAD L 667.6 41 7 85 0.058 16.3 13.9
Julio Teheran ATL R 882.4 54 19 74 0.062 16.3 12.1
Adam Morgan PHI L 197.6 12 5 71 0.053 16.5 11.6
Rick Porcello BOS R 875.7 53 22 71 0.060 16.5 11.7
Michael Pineda NYY R 495.8 30 24 56 0.062 16.5 9.2
Jharel Cotton OAK R 100.5 6 5 55 0.058 16.8 9.1
Marcus Stroman TOR R 453.9 27 10 73 0.059 16.8 12.3
Ricky Nolasco LAA R 590.4 35 21 62 0.053 16.9 10.5
Clayton Richard SD L 256.8 15 9 62 0.048 17.1 10.7
Tyler Anderson COL L 175.3 10 3 77 0.051 17.5 13.5
Jesse Hahn OAK R 283.5 16 6 73 0.050 17.7 12.9
Justin Verlander DET R 872.5 49 18 73 0.055 17.8 13.0
Alec Asher BAL R 106.9 6 2 75 0.046 17.8 13.4
Gio Gonzalez WSH L 801.5 44 26 63 0.050 18.2 11.4
Odrisamer Despaigne MIA R 257.5 14 7 67 0.046 18.4 12.3
Garrett Richards LAA R 559.9 30 14 68 0.053 18.7 12.7
Phil Hughes MIN R 616.7 33 9 79 0.051 18.7 14.7
Justin Nicolino MIA L 169.3 9 3 75 0.046 18.8 14.1
Yovani Gallardo SEA R 753.5 40 17 70 0.045 18.8 13.2
James Shields CHW R 861.8 45 21 68 0.047 19.2 13.1
Kyle Gibson MIN R 632.4 33 11 75 0.043 19.2 14.4
Tom Koehler TOR R 736.4 38 26 59 0.044 19.4 11.5
Carlos Carrasco CLE R 597.8 30 23 57 0.054 19.9 11.3
J.A. Happ TOR L 661.9 33 11 75 0.047 20.1 15.0
Brett Anderson TOR L 301.6 15 12 56 0.042 20.1 11.2
Mike Leake STL R 867.3 43 17 72 0.049 20.2 14.5
Nick Martinez TEX R 364.1 18 8 69 0.040 20.2 14.0
Ian Kennedy KC R 689.4 34 29 54 0.046 20.3 10.9
Jerad Eickhoff PHI R 324.5 16 8 67 0.049 20.3 13.5
Dillon Gee MIN R 514.0 25 14 64 0.043 20.6 13.2
Corey Kluber CLE R 885.1 43 30 59 0.053 20.6 12.1
Stephen Strasburg WSH R 768.2 37 17 69 0.052 20.8 14.2
Adam Conley MIA L 228.5 11 2 85 0.039 20.8 17.6
Kendall Graveman OAK R 353.4 17 7 71 0.043 20.8 14.7
Erasmo Ramirez SEA R 460.7 22 5 81 0.044 20.9 17.1
Tanner Roark WSH R 659.6 31 19 62 0.047 21.3 13.2
Nick Tropeano LAA R 127.7 6 5 55 0.040 21.3 11.6
Collin McHugh HOU R 562.1 26 12 68 0.044 21.6 14.8
Blake Snell TB L 131.0 6 3 67 0.034 21.8 14.6
Jeremy Hellickson BAL R 656.7 30 11 73 0.042 21.9 16.0
Steven Wright BOS R 287.7 13 7 65 0.040 22.1 14.4
Kyle Kendrick BOS R 531.4 24 15 62 0.038 22.1 13.6
Kyle Lohse TEX R 558.6 25 12 68 0.044 22.3 15.1
Nick Tepesch TOR R 224.2 10 6 62 0.037 22.4 14.0
Jose Berrios MIN R 112.3 5 2 71 0.035 22.5 16.0
Matt Garza MIL R 539.7 24 10 71 0.040 22.5 15.9
Jeremy Guthrie WSH R 562.9 25 13 66 0.037 22.5 14.8
Tyler Chatwood COL R 383.4 17 14 55 0.038 22.6 12.4
Jordan Zimmermann DET R 802.1 35 20 64 0.045 22.9 14.6
Randall Delgado ARI R 392.2 17 5 77 0.040 23.1 17.8
Tim Adleman CIN R 138.7 6 2 75 0.040 23.1 17.3
James Paxton SEA L 347.0 15 4 79 0.041 23.1 18.3
Max Scherzer WSH R 998.8 43 24 64 0.052 23.2 14.9
Junior Guerra MIL R 162.9 7 3 70 0.042 23.3 16.3
Ervin Santana MIN R 796.3 34 16 68 0.042 23.4 15.9
Andrew Heaney LAA L 141.0 6 0 100 0.041 23.5 23.5
Robert Gsellman NYM R 117.7 5 5 50 0.034 23.5 11.8
Jacob deGrom NYM R 568.3 24 15 62 0.045 23.7 14.6
Kenta Maeda LAD R 237.8 10 4 71 0.043 23.8 17.0
Buck Farmer DET R 96.1 4 3 57 0.030 24.0 13.7
Ty Blach SF L 96.2 4 1 80 0.042 24.0 19.2
Ross Detwiler OAK L 241.3 10 7 59 0.030 24.1 14.2
John Danks ATL L 532.0 22 9 71 0.036 24.2 17.2
Miguel Gonzalez CHW R 688.2 28 8 78 0.037 24.6 19.1
Derek Holland CHW L 492.1 20 12 62 0.037 24.6 15.4
Sonny Gray NYY R 665.2 27 8 77 0.040 24.6 19.0
Zach Davies MIL R 275.4 11 11 50 0.036 25.0 12.5
Matt Harvey NYM R 530.4 21 9 70 0.043 25.3 17.7
Mike Foltynewicz ATL R 307.7 12 9 57 0.032 25.6 14.7
Chris Sale BOS L 930.8 36 12 75 0.044 25.9 19.4
Jarred Cosart SD R 391.0 15 9 62 0.031 26.1 16.3
Vince Velasquez PHI R 236.7 9 9 50 0.034 26.3 13.2
Jose Quintana CHC L 902.7 34 22 61 0.037 26.6 16.1
Chase Anderson MIL R 507.8 19 16 54 0.034 26.7 14.5
Carlos Martinez STL R 592.7 22 15 59 0.034 26.9 16.0
Jesse Chavez LAA R 512.5 19 13 59 0.034 27.0 16.0
Jake Odorizzi TB R 623.7 23 18 56 0.037 27.1 15.2
Logan Verrett BAL R 139.4 5 5 50 0.030 27.9 13.9
Matt Moore SF L 506.6 18 9 67 0.030 28.1 18.8
Antonio Senzatela COL R 88.1 3 1 75 0.032 29.4 22.0
Alex Wood LAD L 566.6 19 15 56 0.033 29.8 16.7
Madison Bumgarner SF L 890.6 29 26 53 0.038 30.7 16.2
Chad Bettis COL R 370.4 12 7 63 0.026 30.9 19.5
Michael Wacha STL R 559.0 18 8 69 0.030 31.1 21.5
Luis Severino NYY R 220.4 7 3 70 0.031 31.5 22.0
Clay Buchholz PHI R 538.3 17 19 47 0.029 31.7 15.0
Bartolo Colon MIN R 838.0 26 15 63 0.031 32.2 20.4
Christian Bergman SEA R 193.8 6 4 60 0.026 32.3 19.4
Chris Heston MIN R 194.0 6 7 46 0.025 32.3 14.9
Jonathon Niese NYY L 628.4 19 14 58 0.026 33.1 19.0
Travis Wood SD L 535.4 16 10 62 0.027 33.5 20.6
Jhoulys Chacin SD R 514.5 15 8 65 0.026 34.3 22.4
Trevor Williams PIT R 70.8 2 3 40 0.023 35.4 14.2
A.J. Griffin TEX R 358.0 10 8 56 0.027 35.8 19.9
Roenis Elias BOS L 286.7 8 6 57 0.024 35.8 20.5
Masahiro Tanaka NYY R 574.2 16 8 67 0.031 35.9 23.9
Sean Manaea OAK L 217.8 6 7 46 0.028 36.3 16.8
David Price BOS L 913.3 25 18 58 0.030 36.5 21.2
Kevin Gausman BAL R 533.2 14 8 64 0.023 38.1 24.2
Zack Greinke ARI R 858.5 22 19 54 0.029 39.0 20.9
Danny Duffy KC L 558.2 14 10 58 0.024 39.9 23.3
Bronson Arroyo CIN R 359.0 9 11 45 0.024 39.9 18.0
Martin Perez TEX L 535.1 13 11 54 0.021 41.2 22.3
Danny Salazar CLE R 539.3 13 15 46 0.022 41.5 19.3
Wei-Yin Chen MIA L 664.3 16 6 73 0.024 41.5 30.2
Seth Lugo NYM R 83.1 2 2 50 0.024 41.6 20.8
Matthew Boyd DET L 209.7 5 11 31 0.019 41.9 13.1
Williams Perez CHC R 170.4 4 0 100 0.018 42.6 42.6
Johnny Cueto SF R 829.3 19 18 51 0.025 43.6 22.4
R.A. Dickey ATL R 908.5 20 11 65 0.020 45.4 29.3
Joe Ross WSH R 230.9 5 3 62 0.020 46.2 28.9
Lance Lynn STL R 658.8 14 13 52 0.019 47.1 24.4
Mike Montgomery CHC L 241.2 5 5 50 0.018 48.2 24.1
Clayton Kershaw LAD L 919.1 19 19 50 0.029 48.4 24.2
Adam Wainwright STL R 774.4 16 10 62 0.021 48.4 29.8
Vance Worley MIA R 338.9 7 8 47 0.017 48.4 22.6
CC Sabathia NYY L 679.1 14 8 64 0.018 48.5 30.9
Michael Fulmer DET R 252.0 5 3 62 0.020 50.4 31.5
Hisashi Iwakuma SEA R 758.4 15 18 45 0.022 50.6 23.0
Jose Urena MIA R 215.5 4 2 67 0.015 53.9 35.9
Doug Fister BOS R 656.0 12 12 50 0.017 54.7 27.3
Dallas Keuchel HOU L 828.9 15 10 60 0.018 55.3 33.2
Wade Miley BAL L 839.8 15 20 43 0.015 56.0 24.0
Zack Godley ARI R 168.4 3 0 100 0.016 56.1 56.1
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS L 289.7 5 7 42 0.016 57.9 24.1
Amir Garrett CIN L 58.1 1 3 25 0.013 58.1 14.5
Jeff Hoffman COL R 66.5 1 0 100 0.013 66.5 66.5
Lance McCullers Jr. HOU R 282.9 4 5 44 0.013 70.7 31.4
Jordan Montgomery NYY L 74.2 1 1 50 0.013 74.2 37.1
Patrick Corbin ARI L 533.2 7 11 39 0.012 76.2 29.6
Josh Tomlin CLE R 420.9 5 5 50 0.013 84.2 42.1
Nathan Eovaldi TB R 585.0 6 9 40 0.009 97.5 39.0
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD L 415.7 4 4 50 0.010 103.9 52.0
Christian Friedrich SD L 211.9 2 1 67 0.008 106.0 70.6
Chris Tillman BAL R 797.8 7 17 29 0.008 114.0 33.2
Mike Wright BAL R 119.4 1 2 33 0.006 119.4 39.8
Joe Musgrove HOU R 129.1 1 2 33 0.007 129.1 43.0
Ariel Miranda SEA L 142.2 1 3 25 0.007 142.2 35.6
Cody Anderson CLE R 152.0 1 3 25 0.006 152.0 38.0

Totals by Left-Handed vs. Right-Handed Starting Pitchers (SPs from 2013-2017)

Download Table as CSV
Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output!

# L/R IP SB CS SB Suc% SB / Est SB Opp IP by SB IP by SB Att
L 27,922 1377 667 67.4 0.046 20.3 13.7
R 72,695 4269 1776 70.6 0.055 17.0 12.0

  1. Count de Monetball says:
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    Great tool rudy! When did you put this up and are you going to do a writeup about it sometime?

    • Thanks. I just built it per our SAGNOF guy’s request (Mike). He’ll be referencing in future posts.

  2. Alex says:
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    couldn’t help but notice that A.J. Burnett isn’t on the list. any chance this will get fixed before I have to decide whether to play Altuve or Dee Gordon tomorrow?

  3. Alex says:
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    and no chris young!

    p.s. love, love, love the tool.

  4. Greg says:
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    Not sure if you’re monitoring these comments these days, but it’s H2H playoffs and I want to stream a speedster for Sunday – any chance to add Odrisamer Despaigne, Trevor Bauer, and hector noesi added to the tool?

  5. David says:
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    What’s usually the baseline for SB’s against a pitcher…anything over 60 percent is really good? Also, is this tool incorporated into the dfs tool when it mentions a player has .20 percent chance of a stolen base for instance? I assume it takes in rSB values, etc. in deciding the percent…

    • @David: i think the league average is something like 70% for SB/SB attempts. But the other factor is that good pitchers will limit the attempts – e.g., a Buehrle or Cueto. I only factor in handedness for SB daily projection as it’s unknown who the catcher is going to be until close to gametime. I would need to do a rather large analysis to figure out exactly how much to credit/blame pitchers vs catchers for SB attempts and SB success rate. Given how small SBs factor into DFS, it hasn’t been an area that I’ve prioritized to date.

  6. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
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    Rudy, I love this tool. Questions though:
    Gose is facing Cueto today. He is ranked #236 above (tough to steal upon). Gose gets a .23 for SB in today’s hittertron.
    He faces Volquez on Wed. Volquez is rated #58 above (a much better bet to get a steal). Yet, Gose gets a .23 in Wed. hittertron.
    Why does he have the same likelihood of SB in hittertron, yet widely different in here? This not a factor in hittertron? (but, maybe should be?) (I may be missing something…)

    • @Fred Barker: I am only using pitcher hand for SB projections. Have a big analysis in the queue to determine how much to credit/blame pitcher vs catchers for SBs.

      • Simply Fred

        Fred Barker says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Cool. Just when one can’t believe the models can get ANY better!

  7. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
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    Congrats on moving up the ladder the second half in ‘Perts!

    Hey, I worked this SB chart hard for the last MONTH and got very marginal positive impact. Just my two-bits:
    I would put my development effort in other areas.
    (seems like the base stealers are gonna get em; those who don’t won’t–even against pitchers who give em up)

    Finallly, some extra time to play with the kids!

    • @Fred Barker: Thx. Agreed regarding stolen bases. I did incorporate pitcher into the Hittertron SB projections and it seemed to have minor impact overall. I do think it’s most helpful for the handful of pitchers who are awesome/awful at holding guys on. But streaming for SBs is not as enjoyable or lucrative as for HRs.

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