The first week I told you to buy Devon Travis. The 2nd week I told you to buy Steven Souza. This might be the most improbable streak since Joe DiMaggio's. I'm not talking about his 56-game hitting streak, either. I'm talking about his lesser known streak, but equally improbable 117-day streak of him calling Marilyn Monroe, having another man pick up, but still thinking she was being loyal. That streak might actually be even more remarkable than the hitting one. "Who was that? Cable guy? There's no cable for another thirty years. Oh, a guy that drives a San Fran cable car? It's research for a part? Gotcha." That's Joe D. ringing up Monroe. Dexter Fowler's criminally underowned. Let's just go on this alone: Fowler, Soler, Rizzo, Bryant, Castro. For the whole year. That's the Cubs lineup. If Fowler doesn't back into 95 runs, it's due to injury. Next up, he looks like Pookie from New Jack City, but he has surprising ten homer power. Actually, 12 homers is likely the low end. A couple of windy days in Chicago when it gets hot and he's getting 15 homers. If Jim Belushi bats his eyelashes at the right Cubs scorer, Fowler may just get gifted an extra homer. Steals? Well, that's the tricky thing. He has 25-steal speed, but it's been a few years since he's shown it. He had 4 steals already this year. Just doing rudimentary math and he gets to 24 steals on the year. That can go up to 30 or down to 19. Either way, 95/12/40/.265/20 is ownable and startable in every single league. Now, excuse me, I'm returning to writing my one man stage play of Joe D. and Marilyn dating in heaven called, "And The Cloud Went Crazy." Anyway, here's some more players to buy or sell this week in fantasy baseball:
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Apparently, it was never the elevation in Coors. It was because it was cold in Colorado. Or at least that's what the Yanks/Tigers game looked like last night while it was played in Arctic temps (granted, a hot day in the Arctic) and snow. Other teams may get some ideas that it's all about the cold. "Let's get Howard, Utley, Galvis and Asche on that side of the air conditioner, and the outfield on the other side. Now go straight from the AC to the batter's box. No, don't stop at the on-deck circle! You're dropping to room temp!" Yesterday, David Price gave up 8 ER on 13 baserunners in 2 1/3 IP. That reminded Yankee fans of their teams from the 1950s, or when most of the current roster was teenagers. Obviously, this is just a blip, but if you can buy Price from a panicked owner, I'd consider it, even if it did seem yesterday like Price was Rocky screaming at Mickey to cut him. Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
As the Greek myth goes, the Yellin' of LaTroy is the closer that launched thousands of fantasy baseballers to the waiver wire to pick up his set-up man, Adam Ottavino. There's something to that great myth. There's also the Greek myth about the LaTrojan Horse. In that one, the Greeks sent a closer that seemed like a workhorse onto the field, but once the battle began the LaTrojan Horse opened up and inside was marshmallows and the opposing team made a campfire, lit up the LaTrojan Horse and ate Smores. There's also the Greek myth of Mike Mostsuckass, but that isn't appropriate for right now. LaTroy Hawkins was spotted one out in the ninth inning and still gave up three earned runs, allowing a homer to the 135-pound power slugger, Dexter Fowler (who had a slam and legs and went 2-for-5, 2 RBIs). Whether the Rockies come out and say Hawkins is finished or on thin ice, I'd still stash Ottavino. He's about to become a 35-save guy. Anyway, here's what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:
Being a consumer of Razzball for years, I’m sure many of you already participate in or know OBP or On-Base Percentage league(s). The metric has eased into MLB broadcasts (along with OPS) as an advanced way of measuring player value and performance. During the course of the season we will look at OBP, OPS, WQS, OPS, RC27 and assorted other measurements to put a lens on how these scoring leagues may differ from standard leagues. This is not a commentary on what type of leagues you should play in, I enjoy playing in all kinds of baseball leagues, Head to Head, Rotisserie, etc... The idea is to provide you some insight, which I hope is helpful regardless of your favorite format.
For the opening week of 2015, I hope you’ve avoided a closer surprise (injury or trade for instance), a starter clutching his arm, or an ex-MVP suddenly hurting his ribs. If you have avoided this, your lineup can benefit with a speculative stash, so stay right here. Most fantasy leagues allow 2 DL spots, look around your league, someone is using them to stash value right now. I didn’t remember to look at this until after I saw Matt Weiters come up in a league with his elbow being on the mend. For longtime RCL leaguers, apologies for "DL 101," but if you're new like me, take a look at your wire:
Danny Salazar was sent to the minors because the Indians are trying to make life difficult for themselves. As someone who needs to pat their lip with a kerchief after a sip of anything, I know about making your life difficult, but my mustache makes me sexy, Salazar going to the minors does the exact opposite. Behind this move was almost definitely The House of McAllister trying to boost their progeny, Zach. "I don't need stirrups." That's Zach McAllister, talking to the Indians equipment manager, as he dons a kilt. McAllister isn't terrible (or Allisn'terrible if portmanteaus light your fire), but he's really nothing more than any standard 5th starter. He'll have stretches where he's usable in all leagues, and other stretches where your ratios will need stretchers. Pithy points! I've moved Salazar into my top 100 starters and down my top 400 and I've left McAllister unranked, because what will likely happen is he'll be replaced by Salazar by June. The other half of the scheming House of McAllister is T.J. House, who will also be in the rotation. Sky gave you a T.J. House sleeper, and I'm a bit more excited about House's foundation and have ranked him in the top 100 starters. Anyway, here's what else I saw in spring training for fantasy baseball:
It is about that time...you’re checking Grey’s daily updates, dreaming about your draft position, and in need of those last minute tips. As high-profile fantasy leagues like Tout Wars and broadcasts begin to infuse OBP an advanced way to look at player productivity, this is an effort to provide you with more data for your OBP drafts this year. First, a few notes to consider while reading...
Well, I thought I was extremely clever when I came up with the title for this one, but then a quick Google search proved that there were others that were clever before I thought I was being clever. Darn you Google for knowing so much! And darn you Al Gore for inventing the internet! Thanks to the internet, a guy can't get away with anything these days. Google, Facebook and Twitter have made it next to impossible for a guy to get a reach around in the back of the bowling alley from the girl that rents the shoes without everyone knowing, and every one of those people finding out about it. But I digress...
As draft dates draw nearer, I decided it was time to put together and share my head-to-head points league rankings. But before I do, I wanted to let you in on my process. Points leagues are all about one thing. Points. It's the only category that counts for jack squat. I wonder how many dudes out there actually have the name Jack Squat? I guess it's better than Richard Nose. I don't care if my player gets 100 points because he had 100 RBIs or because he stole 100 bases. Whatever he needs to do to bring home the bacon is A-O-K with me. In Japanese that would be "Aoki". I don't even care if it's turkey bacon! Points are points. So ranking players within the same position comes down to who will score more points. I'll touch on comparing players across positions in my next post.
Well, there's one schmohawk post I don't have to write, right? Stutterer! Yu Darvish left a game the other day with a tight triceps. That's what the she-dinosaur said! Huh? Then, this past weekend, it was announced he's a candidate for Tommy John surgery. Stop sullying the word candidate with your surgery, Tommy John! I wonder if the whole -san suffix for names like Daniel-san gets confusing with Tommy John. Thomson John? Tommy Johnson? Thomson Johnson? It's no secret that I didn't like Darvish coming into this year. For my foray into pannin' Asian, too much risk was attached to his arm for where people were drafting him. His NFBC ADP was 43 prior to this news, so you had to start thinking about him in the 3rd round. No thanks, Yu, I said. Of course, when I told you in my top 40 starters post to avoid him, I was beat up in the comments for losing my way. Yu was the greatest pitcher since sliced bread that had a portrait of Hello Kitty on it! Don't Yu know, Grey?! Yu can strike out so many something-somethings that you should want to bear his children, then one day shout at him in divorce court, "These are all Yus!" I had Yu in a tier named, "Not touching them with a nine-foot pole that has twelve one-inch straws taped to its end." One person in the comments on the top 40 starters said, "Phil Hughes ranked above Darvish, I've seen everything now." Then there was someone else arguing for Darvish's dignity like they fought with Darvish in The Great War. I don't want to say I told you so, but I'm saying I told you so by saying I don't want to say I told you so. Anyway, here's what else I saw in spring training for fantasy baseball:
Wanna know how dedicated I am to you? I have your name tattooed on my tramp stamp area. Yeah, your name. Wanna know how else I'm dedicated to you? I flipped guys in and out of this post, moved a few to the top 80 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, moved some more to the top 60 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, didn't move any into the top 40 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, but considered it and made sure everyone was ranked to the best of my ability in this post. You're thinking, "I'd hope you're making sure your rankings in this post are correct, these are you rankings after all." True, You. But, honestly, most of the guys in the second half of this post are irrelevant outside of deeper leagues. It's simple math. If you're in a 12-team league with five outfielders, 60 outfielders are drafted, then twenty more guys are drafted that have multi-position eligibility, another ten for utility slots or for some schmohawks that draft a bench outfielder and, add up all of that, and it equals Frank Ocean. Okay, the math is off there. It should've equaled, "About 90 outfielders drafted." And everyone knows the fifth outfielder drafted doesn't last long on your team. Sure, maybe Josh Hamilton bounces back (doubtful), or maybe Carl Crawford becomes the latest Zombino (more doubtful), but in most mixed leagues these guys aren't even being drafted. In one mock draft I did for a magazine (they still make these? Where do you buy them?), Josh Reddick wasn't even drafted and he's ranked higher than all the guys here. Never the hoo! All the 2015 fantasy baseball rankings are under that linkie-ma-whosie. Anyway, here's the top 100 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball:
Today we go over the top 80 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, which comes after we went over the top 60 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, which came after the top 40 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball which followed the top 20 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball. Link dump! Tomorrow we hit the final 100 best outfielders, then on to the top 100 starters. It’s the best day of your life because I’m bestowing on you wonderful like your father never did. Don’t ask me to go see you play Little League though, that’s not happening. As always, my tiers and projections are noted and all of the 2015 fantasy baseball rankings are there. Where? There. Dur. Anyway, here's the top 80 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball:
Earlier this offseason, it was reported that the Red Sox coaches didn't like Yoenis Cespedes. Wait until they get a load of Hanley Ramirez! If you were to put "Happiness That You Have Hanley" on the Y-axis and "Time Spent With Hanley" on the X-axis, you would find a line that starts at the top left and slopes right down to the bottom right. For what it's Wuertz, the enjoyment of Hanley matches directly with the chart of Pancake Eating. After one bite, "Mmm, that is delicious." After two bites, "Not bad at all." After three bites, "I'm gonna try and douse these with some maple syrup." After ten bites, "You gonna share your bacon or should I order my own?" That's Hanley. Try to douse him with maple syrup, but when it's July and your team is in the pennant chase and he has a sore hamstring, enjoy! From a real baseball standpoint, I hate the move for the Red Sox. You had Xander Bogaerts for short, you nabbed Panda for 3rd (which I'll get to shortly) and now you have Hanley playing left and Home Run Derby Champion Yoenis that you have to trade for the most you can get. (By the by, I love that everyone refers to Yoenis as Home Run Derby Champion Yoenis, so I will now do the same.) That's not even mentioning Allen Craig, Will Middlebrooks, Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley, Daniel Nava and Juan Francisco. It's kinda sad that all of those guys would be starting for the Padres (and Astros and Marlins and about ten other teams) and for the Red Sox they're trade bait. Maybe the Red Sox will also sign Han's brother, Head. From a fantasy perspective, this is about as good as it gets for Hanley. Will this mean he'll play 150 games? No, I didn't say that. It's hard to account for insouciance (Word of the Day!). If he shows up at Fenway in April and wants to play, great. If he shows up at Fenway in April and doesn't want to play until August, it wouldn't surprise me. If we get 150 games from him (it will be nothing short of a miracle), I'd give him the projections of 86/24/91/.266/17. I'd only count on a 130 games though, which would knock him to 72/20/84/.268/12. Anyway, here’s some more offseason moves for 2015 fantasy baseball:
Every year we get together in a Schenectady Sheraton to give away fantasy baseball awards for the past season. I'm your host, Grey Albright and I'm joined by Random Italicized Voice -- What's up, guys and four girls?" On the red carpet for everyone's arrival is the Comatose Rangers Fan, "Let's get started, I need to get home to see my Rangers face the Tigers!" Joining us up on the balcony is Kevin from ESPN's "Get Him In Your Lineup" Department, "I'm high above the crowd, in more ways than one!" Today's very special musical guest opening the show is...Counting Crows! Coming straight from opening for Pink! Not playing on stage prior to her performing, but literally opening a door for her. They now work as doormen. At hotels. It's very sad. Anyway, here’s the 2014 Razzball Year End Awards:
