The Cubs. The lovable losers. The trade first and ask questions later...ers...
Say what you want about what the Cubs are doing, but I liked their blockbuster deal with the A's. John Kruk was slamming it on Sunday Night Baseball (while my boy [player]Rick Porcello[/player] got a bitch slap of regression), but then again I'm a Brewers fan and not a Cubs fan!
Last year, the Cubs sold [player]Scott Feldman[/player] for current pickup of the year nominee [player]Jake Arrieta[/player]. So that's one thing they've done right! Both the Shark and [player]Jason Hammel[/player] weren't re-signing, and this ridiculous emergence from Arrieta eases the pain of rebuilding a rotation.
But we don't really care about Wrigley politics, we just want some nasty stats on our fantasy teams. Arrieta has been absolutely unbelievable (only [player]Clayton Kershaw[/player] has been better the past month) and he had back-to-back no-nos through 7 prior to Sunday's start. How legit is this breakout? Is Arrieta a sell high? I've seen the highlights and bits of some of the previous starts, but I wanted a deeper look into his stuff and decided to Profile how he looked in yesterday's great outing against the Nationals:
So, we had our first July 31st trading deadline deal, and it paid off for all the A's fans who paid Oaktown's own, Bubb Rubb, to break into Billy Beane's office and turn his iCal forward a month. "Any ideas what you want to do for the 4th of July, Billy?" "I celebrated last month with some friends." Screen spirals out and slam cuts to Bubb Rubb, maniacally (bubb)rubbing his hands together. When the A's are playing like it's playoff baseball in September, don't say your mustachioed over-the-internet friend didn't warn you. So, the trade that went down was Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel for David Addison Leave Me Alone Maddie Russell, who I will get to after this lede. Samardzija and Hammel both gain value going to the A's, which isn't often the case with an NL pitcher going to The Land of Milk and Honey-Flavored DHs. Wrigley isn't a great place to pitch -- one day it's overcast with winds blowing straight out, another day winds are just swirling overhead like a toilet bowl genie. As we've seen in the past, pitchers can do just about anything in a short period of time. Could Hammel and Samardzija completely poop the sheets? Fo'sho. Likely? Prolly not. O.co is like Petco and Metco, a big cavernous wasteland for hitters and they have more foul territory than Roseanne Barr's privates. Samardzija brings strikeout stuff to hitters that aren't as familiar with him and could be the 2nd half's Kazmir. Yesterday, in his first A's start, he had a line of 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 baserunners, 5 Ks. Dividends paying out quick there. Hammel keeps the ball down and O.co will love him. This trade only really hurts Tommy Milone, who was shipped to the minors. The A's just made themselves a serious contender and having a friend in Bubb Rubb pays off once again. Anyway, here's what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:
Wanna really mess with your brain? Think about how you could have the same thing as Guy Pearce in Memento and you would never know. Okay, don't think about it too long, it'll mess with your brain too much and then I'm gonna get sued by your loved ones. "Judge, Grey Albright, Fantasy Master Lothario (don't abbreviate it), told my darling boy, Josh, to think about how he could have a brain dysfunction and now I have to change his diaper and order in for Chinese food every fifteen minutes because he keeps forgetting he just ate." That's your momma in front of the judge, suing me. Steve Pearce is a thirty-one-year-old journeyman. That's not a cartographer, that's a guy who isn't very good and just travels around offering his services for all-you-can-drink Gatorade. Yes, he hit two homers yesterday and has hit 9 homers in just two months while batting .336. This isn't a matter of "Maybe he's breaking out now." No, there's no breaking out for Steve Pearce. He doesn't even sound right if you don't say his full name. There's no Steve and no Pearce. There's only Steve Pearce and he's the hottest schmotato in the land and is worth picking up while he's swinging a hot bat, but I wouldn't expect it to last that long. Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Oh, the world we live in today. Computers. Phones. Internet. Baseball followed so adroitly that even the deepest of prospects are owned in NL/AL-only dynasty leagues. It's a wonder any of the farm kids even have and fun with this kind of scrutiny!
But even with all the stats, all the Moneyballs, all the Jonah Hills... We still get a 27-year-old Cuban starter, who had a 6.85 ERA and unreal 2.03 WHIP in 23.2 AAA innings, allow only 1 ER in his first two MLB starts (with a 70 then 58 Gamescore - see what I did with the title there?!). Part of the fun of baseball - on any given day you just never know! Remember when [player]Phil Humber[/player] had a perfect game? Exactly.
For just as hard [player]Odrisamer Despaigne[/player] has thrust himself into the fantasy baseball lexicon, just as little is known. I remember seeing his name when he was signed, but that's about it. Only 3 Ks in these two great starts, but hey - can't hurt to take a deeper look. Just look at what fellow countryman [player]Roenis Elias[/player] is doing, and he had virtually no buzz either. Cubans know what they're doing on the bump! So I picked Despaigne for this glorious Monday's PP and broke down how he looked:
Greetings all as I wrap up this month of June
DraftKings coverage. Be sure to drive the right speed today as it's a little known - ok well known - fact that the popo need to meet their minimums and they're out to get you.
Don't laugh! The closest I ever came to getting a ticket was at the end of the month. Don't get me wrong, I speed all the time. I don't have a lead foot, per se. I more like to think of it as a permanent slab of immovable iron and that sits on the gas pedal whenever I drive. As the great poet laureate Samuel Roy Hagar once stated, 'I Can't Drive 55' and it's true for me. Unless of course the speed limit is 25 then I can prolly swing it. But enough about my illegal driving habits, we came here to talk some DK strategy and I think there's an ace in the making taking the mound today that's way too cheap to pass up given the matchup. I'm of course talking of
[player]Taijuan Walker[/player], the illegitimate son of famed Sergeant Cordell Walker of the Dallas-Fort Worth-based Texas Rangers (not true). This son of Sgt. Walker (still not true) is adept at catching the bad guys in Texas and as luck would have it, he'll be in Houston today where he'll get to face the Astros. Now these aren't your typical gang of bad guys unless you're talking plate discipline and if you are, well, they're the baddest guys in town. The Astros lead the MLB in K% on the year at 23.6% and I have recently been struck out 8 times by Verlander and 13 times by Scherzer. Since Walker's going rate is $7K, he's worth the risk as your SP2 based on pricing alone and given the upside of the matchup, I think he helps you seek cash money by the end of the day. Even the
DFSBot sees the silver-lining of this play as even though he's only the 9th best arm on the list, he's also underpriced by about $1500 DK doubloons. So now that we've established a solid number 2 (not that kind; you're gross), let's move on to see what other bargains we can find. Here are your Razzball picks for June 30th on DraftKings for 2014 Fantasy Baseball...
As always, probable pitchers are subject to change. For a look at all fantasy baseball streamers, click that link.
Are you like me? Have you been doubting the existence of the humidor at Coors Field since they allegedly installed it in the early 2000s? Didn’t it sound like some kind of lame way to side-step the concerns that juiced-up ogres were having a field day lighting up the scoreboard in the thin air? Yeah, that's it, it's the baseballs, not the steroids coursing through players' veins, leading to 15-13 games. But no,
there really is a humidor at Coors, and they really do put baseballs in there to bathe them in humidity, not groups of smelly 55-year-old cigar-smoking creeps.
All kinds of studies have been done that show home run numbers and batting averages have been somewhat deflated thanks to the humidor. But that hasn’t exactly transformed Coors into Petco. I don’t need to dig for stats on that – you’ve started your best guys there, and you’ve seen your ERA numbers skyrocket as a result. It’s why I see an “@COL” next to one of the guy’s names below and move them down from where they started. So what pitchers don’t get crushed in Coors? There’s no way to predict for certain, but I looked at some of the games where the Rockies were dominated in Denver and found something interesting. Three pitchers who have done well this year have good sinkers, decent-to-great curveballs and throw the four-seam fastball.
Sell George Springer? Are you mad, man? You're not Joan, that's for sure. You could be Bertram Cooper, because you are dead to me. I know, it's blasphemy of the highest order. Springer, for Chris Cooper in Lone Star's sake, is on the cover of Sports Illustrated! Of course, that's assuming anyone actually sees a cover of anything. Are there magazines anymore? That's a question for Stephen Hawking's Speak 'n Spell! That would be a great trick question for an alien. True or false, the smartest man on the planet uses a toy for a 5-year-old to speak. Guarantee that I'd trip up Andrelton Simmons with that question. Any the hoo! Springer is striking out like an insane man. If he continues on this rate, he may not hit above .200. For serious. He's making Adam Dunn look selective. Since 2000, he has the 15th worst K-rate. Only two guys hit above .259 in that time frame with that bad of a K-rate, and one of them needed a .404 BABIP (that means he was lucky). Most guys averaged around .220. I don't doubt Springer will be great. Maybe even as soon as next year, but he needs to make some serious adjustments, and, with him on the cover of a magazine(!), he's getting so much pub that you can sell him for a lot more than he's actually worth. Anyway, here's some more players to Buy or Sell this week in fantasy baseball:
It's deja vu all over again. It was almost a year ago that Tim Lincecum threw a no hitter vs. the Padres. Only thing better would be if they both came on 4/20. After the game, Lincecum said, "I felt unstoppable the whole game. Even if something was hit, I felt like there was a giant baseball mitt in the outfield," then seeing the giant baseball mitt sculpture in AT&T Park's outfield, Lincecum slowly looked around to see if anyone else saw what he did, then said, "Dude," five or six times, then refused to answer any more questions. The Padres are a team that could be no-hit any time they step on the field, so, in some ways, they fulfilled their destiny yesterday. What's the difference between the Padres bats and Tony Gwynn? I remember when Tony Gwynn was alive. "Dude, seriously, do you see that giant mitt?" Yes, Lincecum, leave us alone. In the game following Lincecum's no-hitter last year, he threw three and two-thirds innings and gave up eight runs, so, while this was a nice game, I wouldn't go thinking Lincecum is suddenly the pitcher he was in his Cy Young years. A paranoid Lincecum runs by, "There's a giant mitt out there!" Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Oh man, what a week for The Pitcher Profile! First we had [player]Andrew Heaney[/player] called up right when last week posted, [player]Danny Duffy[/player] stayed hot after a big ascent in the rankings, and then [player]Rick Porcello[/player] throws 6 scoreless for his 9th win. Power of the Profile!
The cherry on top - Heaney was awesome in his debut. I've had him ranked since the very unfortunate TJ for [player]Jose Fernandez[/player], envisioning a rotation spot sooner than later. Then when he moved up to AAA (and subsequently dominated), I moved him into the top 50 calling him a must-own. Ahead of the hype! I was able to catch most of his debut live, and I've got to say, I've had some Game of Thrones-esque daydreams since. Some Will Ferrell with the blow-up doll moments... "You're my boy, Blue Heaney!"
I'm all the more excited to go back into his sizzling debut for profiling this glorious Monday, and already have a new nickname for him: McDreamy. McDreamy Heaney! Wow, this is going too far... *clears throat and deepens voice* "Beer! Titties!" Here's how Heaney looked pitch-by-pitch in his first career MLB start:
What up everyone, I'm here taking the hill for back to back
DraftKings days. The coach called for the modern day Mike Marshall to come in and throw his crazy words around. I actually like Mike Marshall but I can see how he might rub people the wrong way. For more details about his work
click here. Maybe we would have less Tommy John surgeries if people would listen to him. He can bring back the screwball! Sorry, I got off track there.
[player]Henderson Alvarez[/player] has been a friggin stud this year and
Harry and the Hendersons was a stud of a movie in 1987. Ok, maybe not a stud but it was a lovable family flick I saw in the theater. I've been watching
Oaktown Steve successfully stream Henderson Alvarez on the regular, always too weary to touch the man with two last names and no first name. On the season he sports a very healthy 2.56 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP. A reasonable BABIP (.320) a solid xFIP (3.48) and a strand rate (76.1%) that isn't spelling doom on the horizon. His K-rate (5.73) is not what we like for DK, but for today I like him facing the Swing and Miss Mets. Earlier in the year he pitched a complete game shutout against them where he K'd 7. At $7,300 you won't find a better deal today.
As usual here is my promotion of the DraftKings. Your daily reminder to play with us and use the tools we give you to get an edge over all the other players in the DK universe. We have the
Hitter-tron, the
Stream-o-nator, and the
DFS-Bot at your disposal plus a slew of writers to help you along. If you are playing an RCL right now then this isn't that far off. The daily streamers and batty calls used in many of the highly competitive RCL leagues reminds me of the DFS style. The only difference is the clean slate you get every day. If you want to play with some of the other readers and writers here at Razzball then please leave your handle in the comments and we'll get resident DK league organizer Ralph to add you to the list. My goal is a day when we can get 25 players going. Here is what else I like today.
I know, I know. Terrible title pun and [player]Vance Worley[/player] isn't exactly the most exciting Pitcher Profile. CALL UP [player]ANDREW HEANEY[/player] ALREADY! Just needed to get that out of my system...
I thought about a [player]Danny Duffy[/player]. Maybe [player]Daisuke Matsuzaka[/player]. Mostly because that would be an inning-long Pitcher Profile and I could play more Call of Duty. He shoulda laid off the Steak "n Shake! Over/under on amount of times you see that joke today...
But back to Worley. I think it's easily forgotten just how good a run he had for the 2011 Phillies. 3.01 ERA? 119 Ks in 131.2 IP? 11 Wins? Really surprising looking back on those... Then he was terrible in his follow-up with the Phils, followed by getting absolutely crushed in 10 starts for the Twins last year. Starting 2014 in AAA, Worley was meh in 7 starts with a 4.30 ERA, but an encouraging 43 Ks in 46 innings. Which nobody would ever care about, except he had as good a debut anyone could've expected yesterday at Miami. And actually - and I didn't even think to look until the broadcast showed his Minors numbers - 43:4 K:BB in AAA. Wowzer! So I decided to take a look at the spectacled SP and if there's anything there for you to care about in your fantasy leagues:
David Price is one of the most interesting pitchers right now. Snooze! Okay, Random Italicized Voice, I'll try not make this too boring. No, I thought I heard an alarm and was yelling for it to snooze. Oh, okay. So-- Snooze! You're not hearing an alarm! Maybe it's your voice, Random High-Pitched Voice! Snooze! So, Price's K/9 and BB/9 are at 10+ and sub-1. He should be a top five pitcher with those numbers. It's not rocket surgery that if you're striking out ten guys per nine innings and walking less than one guy good things will happen. This isn't like when your mom says if you're good to people, good things will happen back to you, cause I'm pretty sure any millionaire will tell you that's a crock. The odd thing is not enough good things have happened to Price. See, Mom! Price's ERA is at 3.93 on the year. That couldn't be further from what is going on. Right now, he's having the best season of his career from a strictly peripheral sense. This is all happening while his fastball velocity continues to fall. It doesn't add up like Joan from Mad Men being married to that guy that looks like a young Jeff Goldblum only geekier. As each great start happens like yesterday's -- 8 IP, 3 ER, 5 baserunners, 10 Ks -- it's going to make it harder to buy Price low, but I would. Snooze! Ugh, I hate you. Anyway, here's what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:
