Last year at this time, if you would’ve asked me about Trey Mancini, I would’ve told you he was a great lounge singer in the Pacific Northwest who wore the winter fragrance, Eskimo’s Breath made with real Rumplemintz.  Now, brucely, I’m shocked I’m writing this post.  I figured he’d be priced correctly in 2018 drafts, and no longer a sleeper.  Two players’ stats for last year: 65/24/78/.293/1 and 94/10/62/.273/15.  The runs are nice for the 2nd player, but we know runs and RBIs are more about ABs, lineup placement and team offense around said player.  15 steals are decent, but 10 homers are terrible in the Era of the Super Ball, and a .273 average is serious bleh.  Which two players is that?  Well, you know one is Trey Mancini.  Any guesses who the 2nd player is?  I hear someone say Cesar Hernandez.  Solid guess, but not right.  Any one else?  I hear someone say a 15th century Martin Prado.  That’s way off.  Okay, someone just guessed “Your mother,” which is just rude.  The 2nd player is Xander Bogaerts.  Different position than Mancini, obviously, but also being drafted about sixty spots before Mancini.  So, what can we expect from Trey Mancini for 2018 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

First, Trey Mancini hits easy bombs:

Not only are all his strokes that easy.  He has an easy stroke to all fields.  His spray chart looks like what they teach hairdressers in cosmetology school for applying Aqua Net.  Right field, left field and center field and an easy stroke to each.  He commands a stroika.  With all the strikeouts mounting across major league baseball, batting average seems to be a lost art like men getting away with sexual improprieties.  Mancini’s ground balls (51%) are a little concerning.  Digging into the grounders like a mothereffin’ beaver yielded some positivity.  He hit 74% of grounders for either medium or hard contact, and hit for a .322 average on grounders.  Jose Altuve ‘only’ hit .339 on grounders.  Mancini’s not stereotypically fast, but his 21 infield hits, 11th best in the majors, shows he’s not flat-footed either.  (Altuve led the majors with 30 infield hits.)  The further down the Upside Down demogorgon hole, the more you see that Mancini is a hitter who looks like he was anything but a rookie.  With men in scoring position, he hit .340.  (Altuve hit .303; no, I don’t know why I keep comparing him to Altuve either.  Okay, maybe I do know, because Mancini is a guy that should be a positive on average.  Look at that, I figured out why I was mentioning Altuve after just a mere pause for a period.  Now, if I could only figure out how to get out of this parenthetical.  Oh, I know!)  In 228 at-bats out of the five hole, Mancini hit .303.  Hitting into the shift?  He hit .500 in 26 ABs.  If he can lower his strikeout rate (23.7%) to the teens (as it was in the minors), Mancini is going to challenge for many batting titles.  All of that, and he’s going to hit at least 25 homers.  For 2018, I’ll give Trey Mancini the projections of 79/27/91/.297/2 in 567 ABs with a chance for more.

   
  1. Ueckerforpresident says:
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    My heart was crushed when he ended the season with 18 starts at DH. Only two more and he would have started the 2018 season with DH eligibility in my 14 team ESPN dynasty league that has a DH position. I promptly took Showalter off my Christmas card list.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You need the DH eligibility?

      • swaggerjackers says:
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        @Grey: I was thinking the same thing.

        I’ve never heard someone longing for a player to be DH eligible.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, not sure

          • cmutimmah says:
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            @Grey: Is this real life?

            Are we actually in the Upside Down?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

      • Ueckerforpresident says:
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        @Grey: @Grey:

        Well yes, one of my leagues has a DH position in our lineups and with 14 teams with deep dynasty rosters, there are not many decent available options out there that aren’t keepers. In our league rules, I can keep Mancini on my MiLB roster for another season still before I would need to keep him as one of my MLB keepers. So yeah would love to start the season off with Mancini penciled in as my DH. Otherwise the best DH’s that will be available in our draft to top off our 40 man rosters will probably be guys like Napoli, and Beltran.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah…Gotcha…

  2. Cram It says:
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    I love this! It took me months trying to convince you of him before he even got into a Buy/Sell column in the final weeks of the season. He kinda reminds me of Zimmerman at the plate and in the boxscore. Likely get similar numbers without the prime Zim draft cost.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Totally! I think he can be better than Zimmerman, depending on health…

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: Treybombs for Boom Boom!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yes! *air-boxing around my office*

  3. BringBackPluto says:
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    Hey y’all. Still looking for another couple of owners to grab the last spots in a $200 15-team start-up dynasty. 44-man rosters with prospects, and rules to ensure stability and competitiveness. Need a couple more owners.

    More details by email: [email protected]

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oaktown Steve was asking for a league yesterday in comments…

  4. Cheese says:
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    F&*# that got me horny. Thank you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, you’re welcome.

  5. Roger says:
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    I was guessing the second player was Trumbo. I had XB on my team, Xander Bogaerts was undroppable in my 10team H2H league. I had to convince a zombie to trade with me to rid myself of that boat anchor. Mancini was very useful last year, but he will probably see a slump this year for 2reasons: #1 adjustments, #2 Orioles

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I don’t buy #1 or #2 for Mancini… He’s not a slugger, he’s a batting average hitter…

      • Jake says:
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        @Grey: Would you take on an obp over/under of 375?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Under

          • cmutimmah says:
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            Trey’s HRs will likely slide, but not a ton. I just don’t think there’s upside in dingers. but is he likely a 25 HR .300 hitter? Yup

            Baltimore is good for hitters, and Trey is likely guaranteed a job all year in LF unless he flames out like Macaulay Culkin in the mid 90s. Speaking of, Macaulay’s long term tapping of Mila Kunis is still one of the mysteries of the universe.

            the great Trumbino, Chris Davis, and the other OF boppers are gone. It’s Trey’s time to shine, and I think his current price tag will rise by February.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I hope his price doesn’t rise, and I think Mancini is what we were hoping from Mazara for the last 2 years…

              • cmutimmah says:
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                @Grey: Trades haven’t shaken out still. There’s likely some head scratchers to come along. OF is quite top loaded if you look at it like a cyclopes with a monocle. Trey falls in the “Grey” area.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, nice!

  6. Tweak says:
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    Another player that I picked up for free this past season is in a sleeper post! Seriously, Grey, are you just reading my dynasty rosters?

    Who’s next? Haniger/Castellanos/Arcia/Jorge Polanco/Matt Chapman/Matt Olson? Jeez.

    Great job with the highlight, by the way. That’s how I picked him up going into last season, by the eye test rather than just with stats.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m not saying who else I have in store, but I’m also not saying none of those guys aren’t also on my list… Yeah, he has a pretty swing…

  7. Bombers says:
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    I love this post! And my boy Mancini! Everyone in my league made fun of me for saying he’s gonna have a breakout season….

    Grey, please feel free to tell Pyper, Ritchie, and Pyne to suck it!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, you three!

      • Captainpyper says:
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        @Grey: oh please! Only chance I get near Mancini is if I’m having a grinder! (in a non-sexual way)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha!

    • Test Kitchen says:
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      @Bombers: We made fun of you because you said he was one of your 8 keepers on a team that had Altuve, Judge, Manny, Trea, Bellinger, Jose Ramirez, Sale, and C Mart and then used the fact that he was one of your 8 to try to establish his value as a stud keeper so that you could trade him to us for one of our stud keepers…

      • Bombers says:
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        @Test Kitchen:

        Hahaha! Grey, can you believe these bums let me get all those players?!?!?! Haha!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I want IQ tests done on your leaguemates, stat

          • Test Kitchen says:
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            @Grey: He traded Donaldson, Freeman, McCullers to me for Manny, Bellinger, and Sale

            He traded Devers and C Mart for Lindor

            He traded Bumgarner for Jose Ramirez

            He traded deGrom, Dozier, and JBJ for Trea

            He drafted Judge

            He kept Altuve?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Brilliant moves, tbh — no real terrible ones for other people…

              • Test Kitchen says:
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                @Grey: The Lindor, Jose, and Trea trades were all with the same team, the Bellinger/Manny/Sale trade was with me. There were draft with all of the trades probably but don;t remember what they were.

                Don’t stoke his ego. He’s already insufferable.

                • Test Kitchen says:
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                  @Test Kitchen: *draft picks

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Hahaha… I take back the IQ comment, the trades really weren’t obvious at the time, but they have worked out well for him… Can’t fault yourself too much…

            • Bombers says:
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              @Test Kitchen:

              Dang! This dude sure knows how to make some solid trades!!!!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Agreed

        • Test Kitchen says:
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          @Bombers: And my list even ignores the fact that you then traded C Mart and Devers for Lindor.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I want in this league

            • Theo says:
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              @Grey: We will kick out the guy who made most of those trades with Bombers and add you in Grey.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, I don’t want to go against Bombers tho, can we get rid of him too (kidding)

                • Theo says:
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                  @Grey: You can try, but I must warn you that because you aren’t from the original college dorm, you like me will only have 3/5ths of a vote on all league decisions.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Haha, damn, do I get 40 acres and a mule too?

                    • cmutimmah says:
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                      @Grey: 3/5s of a vote? Man, we’re going back to the plantation for these league settings…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      haha

  8. Utica Blue Sox says:
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    Happy Holidays G.

    Always appreciate the work in the offseason. Keeps me calm when needing a break from the in laws. Lmfao.

    I have a very interesting conundrum in one of my keeper leagues. After making some decent trades and being a savage on the wire down the stretch I have an interesting group to try and narrow down to 7. It’s a 12 team h2h. 6×6 ops and qs are the extra cats. We play one util and one extra infield slot. Your thoughts would be appreciated.

    So keep seven of the following.
    Bryant
    Cano
    Lindor
    Lamb
    Odor
    K.Davis
    Benentendi
    I.Happ
    Rosario
    Dahl
    Conforto
    Mcullers
    Paxton
    Verlander
    Berrios

    Thank you in advance.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Bryant
      Cano
      Lindor
      Lamb
      K.Davis
      Benentendi
      McCullers but could see others as last one, maybe Verlander for a solid 200 IP horse

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      oh, and happy holidays!

      • Utica Blue Sox says:
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        @Grey

        Thanks homes!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  9. J-FOH says:
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    I can’t believe I missed Oaktown in here yesterday. I was sleeping at the wheel

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I know! I was surprised you didn’t come storming in…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: I know you don’t watch it but they did Hanukkah on the Goldbergs and they had a loaded dreidel. Hilarious. The corked bat of the Jewish holidays

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’ll have to Hulu it… BTW, new show for you to watch, Fauda, on Netflix…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: This made me feel a lot of things but one thing for certain is I lost my appetite

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          C’mon, it’s Gareth!

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: I don’t miss it. I actually don’t miss most of them.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

  10. Roger Podacter says:
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    Still love the site Grey – never home but always repping…

    It’s still Grey day, hitta,
    and Trey sprays, hitta,
    though he homers lots, O’s won’t get him home a lot,
    So to Razzball we flock, Grey said “Trey get’s him rock.”
    I thought I heard him him yell “WHAT” when he noticed his draft spot,
    Now hitta, his last year was the chronic,
    they want to know if he still got it,
    they say naught’s changed and I want to know how to feel about it,
    (if you ain’t drafting strange)
    Dr. Grey is the name, he’s ahead of the game,
    Still, looking for heat,
    Still, helping my fleet,
    Still not loving the Jeets,
    Still rocking tracky’s that are worn in the seat,
    Still his picks bang,
    still doin’ his thang.
    Since I left ain’t too much changed… still.

    Merry Christmas ya filthy animal!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Filthy animal, you! Awesome! Way to keep it realzzies….

      • Roger Podacter says:
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        @cmutimmah: @Grey: Thanks for your hard work and amazing insight Grey’stache!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

    • cmutimmah says:
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      @Roger Podacter: Nowadays everybody wanna talk like they high drafting Trey, but nobody steps up when the 6th round hits, just draftin’ Nadir Bupkises, y’all rosterbators act like you forgot about Grey

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Haha

      • Roger Podacter says:
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        @cmutimmah: Brilliant! 10/10

  11. Squat Cobbler says:
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    Damn I want Mancini er’where! Thanks FML (don’t abbrev.!)

    Would you mind forwarding a request to Rudy to post a follow-up to his NFBC strategy post from 2013? For competitive reasons, I understand if he wouldn’t want to follow up, but I was just wondering if his approach to that format has changed since then and how it has changed.

    Or, bofa you could write one?!?!! Pwease? Over-the-internet imaginary friend?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice! I’m gonna ping Rudy with your comment… If I write an NFBC strategy post, it won’t be until March prolly, I’m neck deep in rankings…

      • Squat Cobbler says:
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        @Grey: Thanks Grey! Can’t wait for your rankings! It’s like the twelve days of Christmas, eight days of Hannukah, the 6-days War, 28 days (the movie), Dazed and Confused (the movie) and Days of our Lives ALL ROLLED INTO ONE!!!!

        • Squat Cobbler says:
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          @Squat Cobbler: Oh and I forgot, HAPPY DAYS!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, soon, my pretty!

  12. Big League Wood says:
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    Curious as to your Justin Upton take for 2018? I remember you as a fan a few years back.
    Didn’t realize how great his 2017 season was until recent NFBC draft.
    Is he a top 40 player? Outfield really seems to thin out early this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ll go over him in the outfield, yeah, I think he’s around top 40…

  13. Fungazi says:
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    Phillies get Carlos Santana, huge contract for 3 yrs. One step forward, two steps back with that organization.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I know, seriously

      • cmutimmah says:
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        @Grey: Is it a big step back tho?

        Carlos gets on base. Something this team needs ahead of Hoskins. I can see this playing out well for Rhysus. Additionally, Hoskins can play LF. They didn’t trade for him, so there is no impact to their prospect pipeline, and at 20 million per year, if they don’t compete the next two years, they can move him for a piece still.

        It’s not a dream signing, by any means… but with what they have coming up, signings like this either gel, or get traded for decent pieces later.

        I think the Phillies are trending to be the Astros of 2019 based on their prospects coming up. Not to mention – Nola, Eickoff and Velasquez still have room for improvement.

        There’s a lot to like here. They need bullpen depth and rotation depth and they can be a competitive team.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          It seems fine, a whatever move… As even you say, it’s not a dream signing… Santana is neither going to carry them to the promise land nor ruin their team…

        • Fungazi says:
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          @cmutimmah: They signed an immobile 1B when they could have played Rhys there with an up and coming OF with Williams, odubel, and Altherr, maybe others. Why clog up 60 mil on that stooge when they could have been looking for more rotation pieces?

  14. David says:
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    In an insane league, 2nd year of it. The rules are convoluted, there are so many categories, its crazy for me. Its an 11×11 keeper league. Categories are:

    Hitting:
    2b, 3b, AB, BA, BB, G, H, HR, R, RBI, SB

    Pitching:
    APP, ERA, HD, INN, INN/9, K/9, S, W, WHIP, W%

    It gets better…at the end of the season, players are rated as 1’s, 2’s, or 0’s based on a system (???) and we can keep up to 11 players. There are also convoluted rules on how many combos of rated players that can be kept.

    I can keep 18, rules are a combo of max 6 #1 + 6 #2 + 6 0’s, or 5 + 7 + 6. Not obligated to even keep all 18.

    OK… my roster w/ designation

    C Lucroy
    1B Encarnacion (1)
    1B Myers
    MI Segura (1)
    MI Gennett (2)
    MI Simmons (2)
    3B Turner (2)
    3B Healy
    OF Bruce (1)
    OF Eaton (2)
    OF Rosario (2)
    OF DeShields
    OF Marwin Gonzo
    OF Choo
    OF Gamel
    Bench: Swanson, Guerrero, Pirella, Tucker

    Pitching:
    Greinke (1), Strasburg (1), Ray (1), Archer (2), Quintana (2), Clevinger (2), Godley, Grey, Kuhl, Reyes, Iglesias

    Minor League: Puk, Wright

    My 18 right now are barring trade:
    1: Encar, Bruce, Segura, Strasburg, Greinke, Ray,
    2: Eaton, Rosario, Simmons…working on flipping the rest but Archer, Turner, Clevinger
    0: Myers, Guerrero, Tucker, Godley, Reyes, Iglesias

    Still trying to upgrade my position. I think I need 3B and OF and willing to leverage my pitching for that.

    Thoughts? Questions?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      One question, what are you asking me?

  15. FrankGrimes says:
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    Your buddy Matt Berry could be in trouble.
    I dont believe it!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      No way!

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        @Grey:

        Didn’t you two punch up Crocodile Dundee scripts toghether ?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          And he tried to grab my ass. #metoo

          • FrankGrimes says:
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            @Grey:
            Hahhaha

            And yet Tehol has not been accused of anything…
            Oh cuz no one knows of him.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hahaha

  16. J-FOH says:
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    Last night someone told me jewed isnt in Words with friends. I dont play that game and could really care less but to play the part, as an honorary jew, I asked them to use it in a sentence.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HA, I appreciate you rooting out anti-semitism wherever you come upon it…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: They asked why I get to be an honorary jew. If they only knew the depth of my self loathing

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You need to watch Fauda on Netflix

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: Keep reminding me til I add it

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I’m gonna!

  17. J-FOH says:
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    I know Matt Kemp is viewed as garbage here. I also have no dillusions that he will be in the NL come opening day. But I think he could be a real undervalued DH if that is where he ends up.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I was just thinking how he could have one more 32-homer season in him, but who knows where he’s even playing at this point…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: call me crazy, everyone else does, but I think the Twins would be a good landing spot for him.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I like that idea, I have him down for 22 HRs in 425 ABs (ish) I’d boost him to 27 HRs in 480 ABs (ish) if he went to Minny…

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: 600 DH AB’s and he’s in for 33

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Agreed, but that’s a lot…

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: Even 530-550 gets him to 30

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, could see it

  18. Crime dog says:
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    A guy I’m seeing fairly low in ranks that I’m a bit surprised is Zack godley. Any thoughts on him?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ll go over every player in my rankings…

      • Crime dog says:
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        @Grey: word. Can’t wait. Sick of football

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Me too!

  19. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    I am looking for one more bat to add. Position does not matter. My choices are:

    Pujols
    Han-Ram
    Corey Dickerson
    Maikel Franco
    Scooter Ginnett
    Tulo
    Gardner
    V-Mart
    Reddick
    Hicks
    Brandon Phillips
    Zobrist

    Who should I bid on?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Maikel

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        I only have one pick a 12 th rounder. So i will need a list should I not get Franco

  20. Randy says:
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    Grey,

    In a startup dynasty with 30 teams and 6 categories including OPS, who would you take if available between:

    Correa
    Arenado
    T. Turner

  21. Matt Sherry says:
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    Hey Grey!

    When can we expect dynasty/keeper rankings for ‘18? Looking to see if I can make some offseason maneuvers and the rest of the interweb is trash

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Keeper rankings usually come out in March

      • Matt Sherry says:
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        @Grey: goddammit just because I’m bereaved doesn’t make me a sap

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’m sorry, Matt Sherry

Comments are closed.