First off, what a boring-ass team to sign Shohei Otani.  At best, the Angels are the Mets of SoCal.  Pissed off Mets fan, “I’m supposably assuming youse are talking like the Yanks are the best team of New York?”  Well, I wasn’t saying it was the Nets, Jets, Giants or Bills.   The Yankees just traded for Giancarlo, the Mets are looking at re-signing Neil Walker.  Point, set, match.  (Here’s my Giancarlo Stanton 2018 fantasy after his trade; it’s super erotic.)  The Angels are so pathetic they decided to change their name to the Los Angeles Angels.  I’m sorry, but that’s just sad.  That’s like marrying a woman who has a kid, who is a Jr., and you decide to take his father’s first name, so you can be his new Sr.  Angels, you are not L.A.’s senior!  Have you heard anyone in Anaheim complaining about the fires of Los Angeles?  No?  That’s because they’re 40 minutes away without traffic, and there’s always traffic!  Okay, blood’s boiling in my ulcer, I need to calm down.  Let’s do the jump, and get back at it about Shohei Otani.  Anyway, here’s what I think of Shohei Otani for 2018 fantasy baseball:

I saw the 60 Minutes segment on Shohei Otani.  I read Prospector Ralph’s Shohei Otani fantasy.  I heard Ohtani has an 80 Speed Score.  I heard Ohtani was a character created by George Plimpton for Sports Illustrated.  I heard Ohtani once ate a turtle, farted out a shell, and that shell stopped a speeding bullet.  I’VE HEARD IT ALL!  Ohtani might be the most hyped player since Henry Rowengartner.  And Henry Rowengartner was a 12-year-old who could throw 100 MPH and actually understood advice given by Gary Busey.  We’re talking off the charts hype for Ohtani.  For this reason, I’m not sure any of us will be able to draft him at a reasonable price.  Will an unreasonable price be worth it?  P to the erhaps.

As a hitter, Ohtani has been compared to Curtis Granderson in his prime, which is actually a pretty lofty compliment when you consider his pitching is why most teams were clamoring.  Allow two GIFs to illustrate:

From Prospector Ralph’s post, “As a pitcher Otani has been described by some as one of the top 5-10 arms in the world. Getting “ace” labels from several unanimous scouts quoted all over the internet. His arsenal is comprised of a 5 pitch mix led by his 80 grade fastball that has been clocked as high as 102, but mostly sits 97-100 MPH with late life and elite command. His secondaries are led by a splitter (swoon) that sits 88-92 with nasty diving action, giving him a classic swing and miss out pitch. Some have gone on record saying the splitter is better than compatriot Masahiro Tanaka’s, and that’s lofty praise. His slider also earns plus and plus-plus grades, and is reported to have two variations, one that’s more like a classic sweeping hard slider with tilt, and another version with more cutter type shape with shorter break. Both are clocked in the low to mid 80’s sitting 82-87, giving him nice separation between his fastball and splitter, his most frequently used offerings. His arsenal is rounded out by an average curveball, and reported changeup.”

“While on the other side of the ball, Otani the lefthanded power hitter has been comped by some to Curtis Granderson, an athletic power hitter, with swing and miss concerns. Scouts have put 70’s on his raw power and 60’s on his game speed, that’s an exciting profile for any potential hitting prospect. Despite the high strikeout totals in Japan he’s not a hack at the plate, showing a patient approach, and ability to work counts, and find his pitch.”

That’s really the nuts and bolts of both sides of the ball.  For fantasy, there’s two big issues.  1) Ohtani has never exceeded 160 IP as a pitcher.  2) How do the Angels handle him?  The first issue eliminates him from the top 15 starter conversation, which is around a top 50 overall player.  You have to pitch 200+ IP to be a top 50 overall player.  But can Ohtani be a top 25 starter?  His last season in Japan produced K/9 and BB/9 of 10.3 and 1.5, respectively.  MLB is better than Nippon leagues, but how much better has been debated.  I’ve heard Japan is like Triple-A.  That sounds fair, and I’m willing to accept that comparison.  Ohtani also only pitched 25 1/3 IP in 2017.  If a pitcher only threw 25 1/3 IP in Triple-A last year, you’d have some concerns.  The hype is clouding Ohtani’s concerns — cloudcerns? — but I have them.  I’m only projecting him for 140 IP this year, and I think that might be optimistic.  There’s The Sciosciapath, who has an M.D. (Managing Dementia), which might lead Ohtani to throw 160+ IP, but that would be aggressive and partially criminal to do to him.  As for wins and loses:

Angels are now Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and pray for rain.  Unfortunately, it hasn’t rained in SoCal since 2012.  So, it’s 140 IP and a team that is still kinda gnarly.  Don’t give me that Justin Upton story.  I’ll give you back a guy who hits .185 for two months at a time.   Can Shohei Ohtani play 3rd?  Because the Angels have a Jefry Marte/Valbuena platoon that sounds good on paper, if that paper is toilet paper.  Maybe Ohtani backs into 12 wins.  Do you see how hard it is to make Ohtani sound like a top 25 pitcher, let alone a top 15 one?  For 2018, I’ll give Shohei Ohtani, the pitcher, projections of 12-4/3.28/1.22/146 in 140 IP.  Absolutely solid, not a top 50 overall player.

Now, for Shohei Ohtani, the hitter.  Keith Law said Ohtani was clocked as a 80 Speed Score guy, which is, ya know, the same as Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon.  Though, to be fair, those guys are off the Speed Score charts.  I watched Ohtani run — he had a some steals in Japan — and I think he’s a 12-15 steal guy if he were to get 500 ABs.  Considering he’s also a 27-30 homer guy, that’s impressive.  However, 500 ABs is what he’d get if he was mainlining Red Bull and trucker speed, while sniffing a Ron Washington-sized line of the devil’s dandruff.  Then, when Ohtani, crashed on the last day of the season, he would self-combust from being run ragged.  Ya kinda need a day or two off here and there, unless you’re Cal Ripken, and the most stress Cal Ripken ever put on his arm was giving Gregg Zaun a wedgie.  After Ohtani throws 100 pitches in one game, he’s going to get up the next day and play nine innings?  Every game?  C’mon.  The Angels have already said he won’t play outfield, I believe them.

Ohtani only had 109 ABs in the season when he threw 160 IP.  In a season with 25 IP, he had 202 ABs.  In other words, he’s doing one or the other.  I could see him DH’ing once, maybe twice, a week, while pushing Pujols (hehe) to 1st and Cron to the bench, or vice versa.  Which is still a lot, and cool AF, but he’s not getting 300 ABs and throwing 140 IP.  Ohtani’s arms and legs would literally fall off.  People were excited he’d have the DH, but if he were in the NL, he’d at least be guaranteed ABs when he pitches.  Now?  Not so much.  For 2018, I’ll give Shohei Ohtani, the hitter, the projections of 26/11/33/.266/3 in 192 ABs, which is eight at-bats per week.

Finally, how do fantasy sites handle Shohei Ohtani, the pitcher and hitter?  I could see some sites taking the easy way out and making two players, one hitter Ohtani, and one pitcher Ohtani.  Yes, that means you could own two Ohtani’s on the same team.  This is easy because ESPN, Yahoo, et al (not the Israeli airline), only have to add two names to their database.  Honestly, if I were them, I’d handle Ohtani like this.  If Ohtani struggles to hit major league pitching, and the Angels decide to let him just pitch, those sites haven’t changed their site just to handle one player for only a few months.  For these sites, I will be ranking Ohtani, the pitcher, and Ohtani, the hitter.  The other option sites have is to insert one Ohtani and allow you to move him from hitter to pitcher, depending on the day.  This feels more complicated for sites, and, from what I gather, they don’t like complicated.  Yahoo still has Schwarber with 1B, OF, and catcher eligibility because complicated is too much.  However, I will rank Ohtani as a dual fantasy guy, as well.  It’s going to fun either way, too bad he’s on the Not Even Really A Suburb of Los Angeles Angels.

   
  1. The Curly W's says:
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    Two teams available in a third year Fantrax dynasty league with really active managers, a deep player pool, and plenty of ratios to satisfy knowledgeable baseball guys. I have enjoyed being in this league thoroughly.

    – Play against Ralph Lifshitz. Gray hasn’t yet shown the courage to join this league.
    – 16 teams
    – rotisserie
    – 6×6 stats (R, RBI, NetSB, AVG, OBP, SLG, QS, K, NetSv, HLD, ERA, WHIP)
    – Annual two round live draft including the entire available player universe, with remaining same year draftees and international signees protected to preserve draft pick value.
    – League Constitution in place, with procedures that outline commissioner decision-making.
    – Year-round activity
    – Very active, long term owners only. This is a commitment.

    Here are the available teams

    Team 1:
    C Kurt Suzuki
    1B Albert Pujols
    2B Dustin Pedroia
    3B Kris Bryant
    SS Corey Seager
    CI Adam Lind
    MI Jedd Gyorko
    OF Josh Bell
    OF Andrew Benintendi
    OF Jackie Bradley Jr
    OF Byron Buxton
    OF Nomar Mazara
    Util Travis Shaw
    Res Yoan Moncada
    Res Christian Arroyo
    Res Scooter Gennett
    Min Blake Swihart
    Min Brendan Rogers
    Min Gavin Cecchini
    Min JP Crawford
    Min Rafael Devers
    Min Mickey Moniak
    P Tim Adleman
    P Homer Bailey
    P Jose Berrios
    P Dylan Bundey
    P Marco Estrada
    P Yovani Gallardo
    P Jarlin Garcia
    P John Lackey
    P Lance McCullers Jr.
    P Clayton Richards
    P Anibal Sanchez
    P Nick Wittgren
    Res Matt Manning
    Res Clay Buccholz
    Res Andrew Cashner
    Res Alex Reyes
    Res Hector Santiago
    Res Vince Velasquez
    Res Steven Wright
    Min Anderson Espinoza
    Min Mark Appel
    Min Luiz Gohara
    Min Julio Urias

    Team 2:
    C Evan Gattis
    1B Trey Mancini
    2B Neil Walker
    3B Nolan Arenado
    SS Asdrubal Cabrera
    CI Justin Turner
    MI Joe Panik
    OF Adam Jones
    OF Matt Kemp
    OF Gerardo Parra
    OF Kevin Pillar
    OF Justin Upton
    Util Alex Bregman
    Res Seth Smith
    Res CJ Cron
    Res Cameron Maybin
    Res Stephen Piscotty
    Res Russell Martin
    Min Brian Mundell
    Min Bobby Dalbec
    Min Kevin Maitan
    Min Mauricio Dubon
    Min Kyle Tucker
    P Chase Anderson
    P Steve Cishek
    P Gerrit Cole
    P Chris Devenski
    P Jaime Garcia
    P Luke Gregerson
    P Lance Lynn
    P Tanner Roark
    P Danny Salazar
    P Tony Watson
    P Alex Wilson
    P Alex Wood
    Res Shawn Kelley
    Res Jake Faria
    Res Steven Matz
    Res Andrew Miller
    Res Drew Smyly
    Min Jose De Leon
    Min Max Fried
    Min Austin Gomber
    Min Daniel Gossett
    Min Rob Kaminsky

    Interested? Send your answers to the following questions to dynastygurufantrax at Gmail.

    1) Your real name
    2) The reliable email address I would be able to reach you at year round.
    3) What are your baseball/fantasy baseball credentials?
    4) Which team(s) are you interested in?
    5) Why are you a good fit for the team(s) you indicated in #4 and for this league as a whole.
    6) Do you commit to being a very active long term manager if selected?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @The Curly W’s: 1. Angelina Jolie 2. [email protected] 3. I starred in a movie called The Bone Collector, where I collect the bones of my fallen fantasy opponents. 4. Twins 5. Have you seen Gia? 6. When I die in 50 years, I have many children to replace me. Bring. It. On.

      • The Curly W's says:
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        @Grey: Wow, sounds like you really want this.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Just passing along credentials of a qualified manager.

          • cmutimmah says:
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            @Grey: That first roster is leaps and bounds better than the second!

            Especially when considering the minor leaguers. Gohara, Espinoza and Urias should all be good… with Urias being the only concern. And Appel is an enigma but still young.

            • The Curly W's says:
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              @cmutimmah: I agree that the first roster seems primed to become a juggernaut, but roster 2 ain’t bad and may be the more appealing challenge for a dynasty lover.

    • HawtSauce says:
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      @The Curly W’s: You had me until Net SB…

      • The Curly W's says:
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        @HawtSauce: Sorry. The stats were selected to encourage deeper thinking that more closely emulates real baseball decision-making. Just like a high strikeout rate affects a player’s ability to get on base, a high caught rate affects a player’s ability to stay on base. We picked stats that consider negatives as well as positives and remove luck as much as possible.

    • J.R. says:
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      @The Curly W’s: Very interested, email sent.

  2. bill says:
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    Great work Grey. Sounds like his name should be OHverrati

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @bill: Ha, nice… Yeah, a little bit… As a pitcher, he’s gonna have some great games, I imagine…

  3. BringBackPluto says:
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    If anyone’s up for a spot in a $200 15-team start-up dynasty, let me know. Need a couple more owners. Otani will be available :-)

    More details by email: [email protected]

  4. Tweak says:
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    Grey, I started reading this thinking that you were simply pissed at the stupidity of naming a team “The Angels Angels,” not at the geographical nonsense.

    As for Ohtani, I can’t stay away from the hype. In my head, the guy is basically Steve Nebraska from The Scout without being a headcase. Also, Albert Brooks is great.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tweak: But can he understand Gary Busey?

  5. Schwab says:
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    Looking forward to your rankings. Keeper question. 8 team head to head point based league. We keep 15 players every year. Was offered Arenado for darvish, tanaka, carrasco and my 1st round pick. We use two utility spots. If I get Arenado, I would have three 3B (Arenado, Machado and Sano) and two SS (Correa and lindor). One of those 5 would be on my bench. I’m thinking that I would trade Sano for a pitcher. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Schwab: I’d take Arenado there, trade Sano for a pitcher

      • Schwab says:
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        Thanks Grey. Can you give me a couple of young SP’s you think are a fair offer? Robbie Ray or Carlos Martinez? Thanks.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I like both of them… Carrasco? Syndergaard? Archer?

        • Curious George Springer says:
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          @Schwab: Think you could just include Sano in the deal and take Carrasco out?

  6. JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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    Sooooo I’m assuming you’re moving back home to be closer to your boyfriend?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ve bought a tiny house in Staten Island for us… Because of our love we won’t even smell Staten Island…

      • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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        @Grey: Or need heat

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Al Gore’s gonna be complaining about the climate change due to our body friction…

          • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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            @Grey: And if he brings Judge home one night …..all bets are off

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              That reminds me of the picture of Spiderman pointing at Spiderman

              • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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                @Grey: Ha Ha

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  How’s Stan been at basketball?

                  • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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                    @Grey: Stan?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Son! His name is Stan Son (real name, I think)

  7. Member Berries says:
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    Fake News?
    Derek Jeter is a Razzball subscriber and read Ralph’s post on Jorge Guzman which triggered him to make the Stanton trade aka Crab Army!

    Dontrelle Willis Tweet “Jeter might run the Marlins but he’s still coming up clutch for the yankees” was absolute gold (although others said similar thing, they dont have the DTrain credentials)

    Ohtani signing w/ the Angels is just weak but I’d love to own him just on fantasy arm alone.

    Grey – you see Big Mouth on Netflix? quality awesomeness

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Did Dontrelle say that? That’s hilarious…. I haven’t watched Big Mouth, but started watching Fauda and it’s solid… You should check it out…

  8. Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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    Great title. Very Angels topical if you have been living on nothing but Whitesnake videos and old reruns of Love Connection

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, it was all Rudy

      • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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        @Grey: I know but for some reason I like you telling us every time that it’s Rudy

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Rudy’s also kicking ass this year with football projections…

          • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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            @Grey: That’s good for the site.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Agreed

  9. los locos says:
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    Grey, for next season i need to keep 4: what would be the early prediction of keepers? I am trying to trade the remainder for Kluber.

    HR/OBP/R/RBI/SB

    Freeman
    Schoop
    Arenado
    Seager C
    Conforto
    Bellinger
    Cruz
    Marte

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Bellinger, Freeman, Arenado, Seager… Instead of Seager, could be any of them except Conforto…

      • cmutimmah says:
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        @Grey: The fact you can trade these guys that you’re not keeping does not make sense for the integrity of your league?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Happens in all keepers, if you’re not keeping them, trade them to someone who might want to keep them… See no problem…

        • cmutimmah says:
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          @Grey: @cmutimmah: That was not supposed to end in a question mark…

          But that rule is questionable.

          • Curious George Springer says:
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            @cmutimmah: You’re saying you would not allow offseason trades? That would be the exception to the usual approach.

  10. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Ohtani #1 Ohtani #1 Ohtani #1!!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      In dynasty drafts, yup

      • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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        @Grey: Ohtani Good

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          But Ohtani great?

          • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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            @Grey: Time will tell. Knowing Murphy’s Law all too well he’ll end up taking a pitch off his wrist and be done for a year

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              On the first game of the season! If I don’t own (which I likely won’t), that would be hilarious after all the hype…

              • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                @Grey: The Anaheim curse of Mo Vaughn

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I was in Boston when he was cursing them…

                  • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                    @Grey: I always felt it was some kind of payback for those MLB worst uniforms

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      In fairness, every team had awful unis at one point…

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Grey: Mo is my all-time favorite Red Sox player. Also the first player I ever scouted at the Pawtucket Red Sox back in the day. Used to wait at the gate after the games and get autographs from Mo, John Valentin, and the legend Phil Plantier.

                    • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                      @Ralph Lifshitz: is he the first case of Plantier Fascitis?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha, nice

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, Plantier! I used to live two blocks from Fenway during some of those Mo years, and just walk over and buy tix by myself (so sad!)….

                    • Ralph Lifshitz

                      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                      @Ralph Lifshitz:As lat as 1999 we used to drive up during the summer on a whim and get into games for nothing. It’s a very different world now. Not only Fenway, but that section of Boston. Kenmore square is pretty ritzy now.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, I went back about 8 years ago, and it had completely changed… BU took over all of Comm Ave, and Kenmore… And the whole city feels like Newton took it over…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Oh my God! I need to sit down with a cup of coffee and read this…

  11. Jean Genie says:
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    Grey!

    Assuming Marcell Ozuna plays his next few years in a neutral park, who do you prefer in deep standard dynasty formats between he and Bregman? Basically, do you prefer 35hrs or 20hr/15sb type players?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Bregman

  12. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    I have three picks in the 2nd round (#11, #12 and #15) would you bid a 2nd rd pick on Luke Weaver

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Makes sense

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        ok making the offer

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Cool

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        I just got out bid on Lester

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Wouldn’t worry about it

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            How do you think Luke Weaver will do this year

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I like him, good cheap #4 SP

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                12-14 wins 185K’s 3.25 ERA?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  No way

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
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                    what are your projections for him?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      10 wins, 150 Ks, 3.70, thereabouts

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      still not terrible

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nope

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      Grey,

                      I am about to win the auction for Joey Gallo. Would you flip him for Jon Lester?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nope

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      I dont need Gallo, I have Machado and Arenado at 3B and have 1B covered. He would be a nice chip to get a frontline starter.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Trade him then

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      trying to figure out what OF/SP package I can get for him

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      Could I get someone like Strasburg and either Billy Hamilton or Benentendi for him? Or just one of them if so who should i ask for?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’d try, either of them

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
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                    The best I can get for GAllo is Lester.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      You can do better

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      ok like what? what SP can i get for him?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Like what what?

  13. Schmohawks Bob says:
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    The “Washington” Redskins (they play somewhere in Maryland) and the “San Francisco” 49ers (they play about 2 traffic hours away from Frisco down 101 in some city I’ve never heard of) wonder what’s all this fussing about the Angels naming themselves after the biggest local city in their close proximity. Besides, if it doesn’t take you at least 2 hours to get somewhere in SoCal, what’s the point to go.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      49ers did play in SF… Redskins are closest city to Washington…. Maybe cause they were California Angels, then Anaheim Angels and now they’ve decided to be LA. They’re clearly not LA, they even said they took LA to try to make themselves seem more appealing to a broader base…

      • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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        @Grey: And the Giants and Jets play in Jersey, and the Pistons in Auburn Hills and the list goes on and on. I kinda agree on the Niners because they really play in San Jose now which is rare for a team to play in another major US city.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I faintly remember New Jersey trying to get the Giants to change their name… If I wrote football content, I’d prolly call them the Jersey Giants. They are more NYC than Buffalo…

          • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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            @Grey: Buffalo? That’s basically Canada with guidos

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              That’s what I’m saying… I’m being revealed as a real city snob here, I need to stop… Anaheim is lovely, I went to grad school there… They have beautiful, uh, malls…

              • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                @Grey: They have beautiful medians and christmas lights

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I don’t know, Santa Claus Lane does a pretty good job… Their medians are better tho, that’s fair…

                  • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                    @Grey: and far less prostitutes in the OC

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Is this a positive or negative?

                    • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                      @Jack Deth the Jew Jew: well there are more carpool lanes in LA

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, solid finale last night… Fatwa!

                    • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                      NO SPOILERS!!!!! Not there yet

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’d never spoil

                    • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                      If I was still writing I’d be J-Fohtwa

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’d just go J-Fatwa

                    • Jack Deth the Jew Jew says:
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                      I like a little extra hate on my fatwa

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      And an extra Jew in your name

  14. Schmohawks Bob says:
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    Angels also played many years in LA, first at Wrigley Field, then at Dodger Stadium, until the Doyers stuck their advance ticket sales next to a Giant file of fertilizer. In fact, Angels are the only baseball team named LA actually from LA. Just saying.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      LA is one of the biggest counties in the country, and Angels don’t play in it… They might’ve played in LA at one point, but they were the California Angels to get their own identity, then they tried a marketing ploy to glom off LA’s name…

  15. Schmohawks Bob says:
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    Pile of fertilizer.

  16. LenFuego says:
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    At some point, you really need to forgive Justin Upton for that awful two month stretch in 2015, which happened over two and a half seasons ago now, which s probably attributable to some temporary injury or personal issue we do not even know about. It is not good for your constitution to hang on to the bitterness.

    Other than that stretch, do you know how many times Upton has hit below .213 over a full calendar month in his entire 10+ year career? One. For a total of three. Manny Machado has done that 5 times in a career half that length, and I bet you get a chubby when you think of owning him. Bryce Harper did it 3 times in 2016 alone, and I bet he makes your top 5 for 2018 with an enthusiastic buy recommendation and a write-up where you fantasize about being stranded on a desert island with him and Bryce finds a tree branch and some pine cones and he fungoes the cones up into the tops of coconut and pineapple trees to knock fruit down for the two of you to eat.

    So go ahead and forgive Upton, Grey! You will feel cleansed and refreshed!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Len! Was it only a two month stretch two years ago? Hmm, that’s a fair point if Upton is being unfairly perceived by me as an all or nothing guy… I honestly thought it was more… Prolly confirmation bias by me b/c that’s the last time I owned him…

      • The Curly W's says:
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        @Grey: Speaking of Uptons and unfair perception, remember when The Artist Formerly Known as BJ was going as a first rounder?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, yeah, you’d think BJ going down would’ve been a good thing…

      • LenFuego says:
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        @Grey: I had put you on that! Your scar was showing.

        I might protect him for next year, so do me a favor and do not draft him – I do not want to take the risk that it is your ownership that caused that 2015 swoon. Ok then, that’s settled.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, I’m not the reason Upton sucked in 2015 (I’m likely the reason)…

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @Grey: Speaking of leaving out some details. He may not have gone sub .213, but he sure wasn’t lighting the world on fire for most of 2016.

        2015

        Jun .196 2 HRs
        July .162 4 HRs
        Sep/Oct .239 2 HRs

        2016

        Mar/ Apr .221 2 HRs
        May .213 1 HR
        Aug .223 5 HRs

        2017

        May .217 4 HRs

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thank you, Knoche!

          • The Great Knoche says:
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            @Grey: That’s when I had him on my roster.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              And you felt that pain…

        • Curious George Springer says:
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          @The Great Knoche: Yeah — I owned him from April to August of 2016 and then dropped him. You left off what he did in the final five weeks or so in 2016.

          In Sept/Oct. of 2016 he had an 1.132 OPS and 13 homers…after everyone who drafted him had cut him.

        • LenFuego says:
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          @The Great Knoche: Well, everyone has some down months. (Except Trout, of course.)

          Upton is not really a high average guy to begin with … .269 lifetime. It’s hardly shocking that his calendar month average dips 50 points below that sometimes. If it didn’t, we’d be looking at him in the 2nd or 3rd round, not the 7th or 8th.

          The current concensus that Upton is a slumpin’ or pumpin’ guy just does not really hold up. Yeah, he had a long deep slump once (and yeah, it was truly horrific), but that was the exception, not the rule.

  17. HawtSauce says:
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    Do you think he spends anytime in the minors or straight to the show?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, he’s ready for majors

  18. Raider says:
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    I’ve read so much of people being down on Hosmer going into this year, depending where he signs, what range do you see him going? Still top 50?
    Thanks,

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He’s a top 50-ish guy

  19. Willy Mo says:
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    Not sure if this has been discussed here yet but what do we think the big box sites will do for Ohtani scoring if he both pitches and hits often enough? It would be weird to not allow his pitching or hitting stats and since right now players stats can only count to one or the other it creates an issue. If he can get stats for both why not Bumgarner?

    One idea I heard which makes a lot of sense is have 2 draftbale Ohtanis. Ohtani hitter and Ohtani pitcher. Neither of which will be on my fantasy teams. It would be funny if you addressed this in your write up, which im about to read now.

    • Willy Mo says:
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      @Willy Mo: welp, u addressed it. Yeah i think for sure there will be ohtani hitter and ohtani pitcher which kills his value since he wont do both often enough

      • LenFuego says:
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        @Willy Mo: I was speculating about this the other day with my co-commissioner. My guess is they will have a separate Ohtani hitter and Ohtani pitcher, and they will allow you to configure your league player pool to have one, the other, or both. And I bet that a league that chooses both but wants them to be linked such that a single owner will always own both (and be able to use him one way in some scoring periods and the other way in other scoring periods) will have to manually enforce that itself.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, above…

  20. Test Kitchen says:
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    Grey,

    Someone offered Lamb and a pick which will net the 75th overall player for Severino in an OBP/SLG keeper league. I am favoring the Severino side. Thoughts?

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Severino side but close

      • Test Kitchen says:
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        @Grey: Pulled the trigger, hopefully Lamb can take a step forward.

        Jose Ramirez over Donny in OBP/SLG format? Close?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Donny?

          • LenFuego says:
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            @Grey: Maybe he means Josh Donaldson?

            I have loved Ramirez ever since I got him in a trade for Billy Burns in 2016 (yes, Billy Burns!), but Donaldson walks a ton and has been a consistent SLG guy too, so I would lean him. The guy slumped last year and still finished with .385 OBP and .559 SLG, and hit 33 HRs in only 113 games. That’s a down year? I will take some of that.

            t is hard for me to believe that Ramirez will sustain a 121 point jump in SLG from this past season (but I am hoping like hell he does).

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, I like Ramirez a lot this year, I think the slugging can hold to, he’s just coming into his own…

          • Test Kitchen says:
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            @Grey: Sorry, yes, Josh Donaldson

              • Test Kitchen says:
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                @Grey: Thanks. Did my preliminary ranks yesterday. Excited to see how far off they are from January Grey’s ranks…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  No problem… Where do you have Correa?

  21. Teddy Heater says:
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    Hey buddee, hope all is good. Christmas came early for me this year. I don’t typically disclose being a Yankee fan when I’m writing as it’s biased, but I’m pretty damn excited about getting Stanton. I want an 80/90’s poster with Stanton and Judge back to back that says “Twin Towers or Bash Brothers 2.0” I’d also like a Meme of Darth Vader or Kylo Ren welcoming Stanton to the Darkside. I need those in my life. HA!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I like the idea of that Spiderman image pointing at himself for Giancarlo and Judge…. Gonna be insane against Orioles pitching… BTW, you still with that girl?

      • Teddy Heater says:
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        @Grey: 100 Percent still with her. She’s still just as awesome as before. She’ll be a CA resident before opening day fo-sho. She just went to Adam Jones Ravens tailgate with her Dad a couple Monday nights ago, the shizz looked so fun! AJ raises a bunch of money for charity each year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Awesome! Happy to hear it! Hope she didn’t wear a Red Sox jersey, I hear Adam Jones doesn’t like them…

          • Teddy Heater says:
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            @Grey: Classic! She’ll find the humor in that. Too funny!

  22. Dan Silver says:
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    Grey, slightly off topic, but since my keeper league is getting going, question on these two players:

    Last year stats
    Shaw, 27yo,84, 31, 101, 10, 0.862 OPS
    Rizzo, 28yo, 99, 32, 109, 10, 0.899 OPS

    I have both, but Rizzo will likely cost me $60 for next 3 years while Shaw would be $6 for next 3 years

    Do you buy into Shaw’s breakout? Can he continue to put up Rizzo-esque stats?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Shaw for the price difference alone

      • Dan Silver says:
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        @Grey: Thanks Grey! One more question – would you rather lock up Rizzo for 3 years at $60/year or Kluber for 3 years at $60/year? My other keepers are Bryant, Shaw, Benintendi, Scherzer, Cole, Lester, Ohtani

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Rizzo

  23. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Gray,

    Which reliever should I go after? Ryan Madson or Blake parker?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Parker

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        I just got outbid for Gallo.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh well

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            Exactly

  24. TyRon Washington says:
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    Some of your best work. I was lol’ing, while also being very intrigued.

Comments are closed.