The only way to compare things is to look in the past and see how we match up to the year previous.  For pace reasons, for setting your mind at ease, and to basically not bore you to death, I am only going back one year because I have gone over the decline of the ever loved “stolen base” as a cumulative stat.  So in 2017 through the first 81 games of the season,  (roughly… because every team plays different amounts of games) there were a combine 1,405 steals by all MLB teams. In 2018, we currently sit at 1,310.  Now remember games for AL teams are off a bit, but still, we are sitting at 95 stolen bases fewer than the year previous.  That is an eye catching number, even when you break it into a smaller number like percentages it still sucks for the SAGNOF love.  Just to delve into it further, there were three players with 30-plus steals and three above 20 steals at the All Star break last year.  (With the leader, Billy Hamilton garnering 38.)  This year, there are only six players above 20, and none above current theft leader Michael Taylor with 23.  The downward trend, the going away from using the steal as an asset in fantasy is a dying trend that we are lucky to be apart of from a draft usability standpoint.  I am more of a “see what I know baseball guy” rather than a number cruncher, but nobody uses the steal effectively to set the pace of a game anymore.  Now for fantasy it sucks that we are mimicking real life, as a grab the best players to accumulate stats to fill our rosters mentality is the M.O., but I would be interested to see how your league standings are reflecting this downward trend in steals and how much the league leader in the category has, and if you think it is worth chasing as a catch up stat for the second half of the year.  So give me some feedback, and here’s some charts of catchers to steal on and pitchers to exploit.  Cheers!

Catchers to Stream Against:

Name SB CS
Jonathan Lucroy 47 14
Russell Martin 44 13
Robinson Chirinos 38 4
Omar Narvaez 37 11
Jorge Alfaro 33 17
Tucker Barnhart 33 13
Yasmani Grandal 32 9
James McCann 29 12
Willson Contreras 28 13
Pedro Severino 27 14
Chance Sisco 26 11
Francisco Cervelli 25 12
Devin Mesoraco 25 8
Yan Gomes 24 10
Buster Posey 24 13

Pitchers to Exploit:

Name SB’s SB Opps OBPa
Steven Matz 19 143 .316
Aaron Nola 16 150 .271
Lucas Giolito 15 152 .367
Cole Hamels 14 160 .333
Dylan Bundy 13 151 .309
Matthew Boyd 12 146 .310
Noah Syndergaard 12 89 .299
Dellin Betances 11 48 .268
Gerrit Cole  11 138 .260
Reynaldo Lopez 11 157 .328
Danny Barnes 10 59 .361
Bryan Mitchell 10 104 .424
Trevor Bauer 9 163 .280
Carlos Carrasco 9 136 .301
Patrick Corbin 9 132 .262

 

Rougned Odor – Four steals in his last 12 games is useful.  If he can keep up the unusual 10% BB rate, then the steals and usability in mixed leagues could be there.  Though I think we have all been burned by the Odor… even Bautista was.

Keon Broxton – He’s getting extra work now that Braun is on the DL and has SAGNOF speed to burn and with only 35 plate appearances in the last two weeks, but he has only got ya 3 steals.  Was a stud down the stretch last year, just needs plate time.

Miguel Rojas – If Odor is getting looked at for an add, then so does Rojas.  Two more steals this past week and slashing .371/.417/.444.  Sustainability?  Probably not, but losing teams are looking for players, he fits the bill.

David Robertson – Aroldis has some knee tendinitis, which sounds great with some HP sauce.  K-Rob got first post A.C. save.  Expect a mix and match with Betances, but Robertson may be unowned.

Will Smith – Who knew that Scientologists believed in saving anything?  Looks like a closer to me in the city by the bay.  Someone queue Steve Perry.

Trevor Hildenberger – The Rodney trade rumors are growing, and the Hildenberg disaster wouldn’t be the worst stash right now.  Anyone remember where Addison Reed left his keys!

 

   
  1. Cram It says:
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    Nearing the ASB, I’ve been assessing chasing steals in one big money league. In this 12 teamer, I have 6 points with 64 steals. The top two have 90 and 89 steals. I can catch the other few guys ahead of me but it’s going to have be done with the guys I have. I’ve determined that it’s not worth it to start a Deshields or Mallex every night and hoping for 1 steal a week when they’re sapping me in every other category.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Cram It: one category dudes are a bane of Fantasy. I’d rather lose a category than have to use them going forward.

  2. I’m Jose Canseco! says:
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    Thoughts on C McHugh?

    • Starz says:
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      @I’m Jose Canseco!: He’s good. Great for ratios. But I don’t think he steals many bases.

      • Smokey

        Smokey says:
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        @Starz: ha.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @I’m Jose Canseco!: decent streamer reliever. If you can time his usage right

  3. lubey says:
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    ROS
    SerAnt or Rondon?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @lubey: Rondon.

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