I’ve always enjoyed good knock offs. Are those Mikes or Nikes? Why does the horse logo on your Polo shirt only have three legs? Some of my favorite were Dolce & Banana, Johnnie Worker Red Labial, Adidos, and Skerpie. In the baseball world, knock offs are prevalent as well. Sometimes intentional, as younger players try to pattern their games after another, but more often than not, players just end up profiling very similarly. Yulieski Gurriel (57.9% owned – increase of 12.7%) has always reminded me of Martin Prado – high batting average, high contact, limited power, and low strikeout hitter from the right side of the plate. For his career, Prado has a .290 batting average, 11.2% strikeout rate, 6.7% walk rate, and .129 ISO. Gurriel has a career .296 batting average, 10.6% strikeout rate, 3.9% walk rate, and .162 ISO. Yes, Yuli has slightly more power, but that’s not saying much. So, why is Yuli one of the highest-added players in ESPN leagues over the past week? Since July 1st, he has a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .367/.444/.667 with 2 home runs. The ISO is .300 and strikeout rate is at 13.9%. Yuli has value, as he will hit for a high average. Just like Mikes can allow you to walk around, but try playing in a tournament with those bad boys and…..TRASH

Austin Meadows (28.9% owned – decrease of 12.1%) has a nice season line: .304 batting average with 5 home runs and 4 stolen bases. Unfortunately, most of the production came back in May. Since the hot start, Meadows has only hit 1 home run and stolen 1 base. The batting average, OBP, and slugging have all decreased every month. The most disconcerting thing, though, is that he no longer starts every game. TRASH

Brandon Nimmo (42.2% owned – decrease of 11.8%) has been been easy to find lately. On league waiver wires!!! Ba dum tss. I accept PayPal and Venmo. Nimmo hasn’t homered since June 18th and hasn’t stolen a base since June 16th. Over the past month, the strikeout rate has been a whopping 35% and the BABIP has been .351! There’s a lot of ugliness here, especially since he plays for the Mets. With that said, he hasn’t been flailing away at pitches, as the chase rate has only been 23%. The contact rates have been decent, the hard contact rate has been at 32.8%, and line drive rate has been at 14.8%. Nimmo is still batting 1st or 2nd in the lineup on a daily basis and maintains a double-digit walk rate. He won’t hit for a high average and will be streaky, but there will be heaters with pop and speed. TREASURE

Niko Goodrum (12.3% owned – increase of 8.5%) has been….well, Niko. Urbandictionary.com defines Niko as a French adjective to”qualify someone close to perfection.” Since the start of July, Niko has a .429/.442/.690 slash with 6 doubles, 1 triple, 1 home run, and 1 stolen base. He’s a switch hitter, has multi-eligibility (2B, 1B, and OF), and bats 3rd in the Tigers lineup. There’s a lot to like with Niko, but let’s not get carried away here. The BABIP has been .548 and the ISO has been at .262. On the season, he chases 34.1% of pitches outside the zone and has a 14.2% swinging strike rate. The projection systems have Niko down for a .240-ish average, .150-ish ISO, and 28% strikeout rate the rest of season. 6 home runs and 6 stolen bases are also projected. As with Yuli above, there’s value, but don’t expect the levels of the current heater. TRASH

  1. Don'tBeAHader says:
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    Trash or Treasure? (14 team roto mixer)
    Duvall
    Bour
    Hosmer
    Winker
    DeShields

    L.Castillo
    J.Gray
    D.German

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Don’tBeAHader:

      Duvall -from these levels, treasure. Will never hit for a high average, but will club home runs and plays half his games in a great park.

      Bour and Hosmer are similar – some slight improvement is probably in the works, but they are both close to where they should be. Plus, both of their teams stink, so the lineups won’t turn over as much and pitchers don’t need to challenge them. So, I’d lean trash.

      Winker – treasure

      DeShields – SAGNOF!!! He kind of sucks at the hitting thing, but he walks and steals bases. He’s not going to bat .065 for the rest of the year, so treasure.

      Castillo – treasure, He’s still missing bats.

      Gray – treasure. What I said about Castillo. Now multiply by whatever number you want. Just not negative or zero. He’s been very unlucky.

      German – treasure. He’s young, so there will be blow ups and volatility. With that said, the xFIP is over a full run lower than his ERA and he has an insane 15% swinging strike rate.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Grey — treasure.

        • Son

          Son says:
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          @Grey: Ha! After doing due diligence on Stachegraphs.com, I gotta say trash.

          When you’re at the top, there is no other place than to go down.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            W(hoa)TF?!

            • Son

              Son says:
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              @Grey: My mind was blown as well, but the numbers don’t lie

  2. OnTillt1377 says:
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    Drop Nimmo for any of Winker, Piscotty, Cron or Nick Williams?
    5×5 14 team 10 Keepers. Any could be kept for $10 next year ($5 annual increases) $300 budget

  3. Simsbad says:
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    I just think people are wrong with Yuli. If you watch him, he appears to be able to place the ball in play where he wants to extremely well making him an incredible contact hitter. He’s on top of the leaderboards with hits with RISP. I feel if Michael Brantley can get stroked then Gurriel can get stroked too. I feel like the news media (i.e. every fantasy site) and their writers feel like they must be against him, because if they are with him then they are supporting a racist. I’m not a Houston fan but Gurriel is turning into my favorite player. He is using every bit of youth he has left and, since he is older than most, utilizing his knowledge. I’d hate to see someone with such a great backstory be underappreciated for the rest of his career for a type of mistake in which we all have made in our lives, if not worse.

    Love this site. Great article, love the buy/sell columns.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Simsbad: Thanks Simsbad!

      I hear what you’re saying. Look, I’m Asian and I hated what he did. That has nothing to do with my analysis from a fantasy perspective, though. Im with you in that he’s a really good hitter. I just don’t think he’s a power guy.

      • Simsbad says:
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        @Son: We’re only human. The Cuban culture he grew up around can’t be easily compared to the politically correct, drama loving ways that the US is use to. Not saying racism is accepted from somewhere like Cuba, I’m sure he was unaware of how insensitive of a gesture it was due to cultural differences. He probably learned from it, and if he did then it shows the beautify of growth and life.

        As for fantasy, I think someone who is a high average hitter with a top tier hitting percentage during RISP situations can be seen as an asset to a lot of fantasy teams. I don’t think he’s trying to use his strengths to launch it out of the park. He seems like a winner/competitor and knows how to use his strengths to win. Not exactly a hallmark fantasy player, but a very stable anchor.

        • Son

          Son says:
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          @Simsbad: For sure. Motivation and context are often the unknowns. Regardless, life is about learning and both giving and receiving second chances.

          For fantasy, Yuli has value. Just not for power, which is why I think many people picked him up recently.

  4. The Shoe says:
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    Yo Son, Another great write-up! I’ve been rooting for Meadows – hopefully he’ll make the adjustments to be more successful in the 2nd half!

    Another week goes by and I’m still looking to improve my pitching staff. What do you think of these ideas I’m cooking up. As a refresher, my pitching staff is Morton, Quintana, Eflin, Bieber, Stripling, Clevinger, Gibson, Eovaldi, Treinen, Norris, Rondon, Hicks and my hitters are Posey, C. Santana, Merrifield, Bregman, Arenado, Trout, Cain, Haniger, Tucker, Cruz, Aguilar:

    A. Play the waiver wire: I’ll be punting Eovaldi after he pooped all over my team. I’m considering D. Rodriquez and Jon Gray. What do you think of these two? While his peripherals aren’t super shiny, D-Rod seems intriguing – he’s still growing as a pitcher after his conversion from outfield and he has already has a deep arsenal of pitches. As for Gray, I don’t know if I have the cajones to take the risk on him, but I’m warming up to it.

    B. While waiting for managers in my league to even respond about Carrasco and C-Mart (McCullers and Snell are basically off the table), I’ve been cooking up another scheme: Arenado for Bauer and Muncy, perhaps with a pitcher or two added in on my side since my trade partner would probably want an arm or two in return. Other than to improve my pitching heading into the playoffs (12 team H2H points league), I’m thinking this could be good for my keeper strategy. Arenado can be kept for $38 and Bauer for $14, which is a great value for Bauer I think. I’m most likely keeping Trout ($72 cuz I just can’t quit him yet), and I have Bregman for $19 who could slot over to 3B this year. What do you think of this deal?

    Thanks as always!

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @The Shoe: Thanks Shoe!

      I’d be more inclined to stream that last pitching spot. Play the matchups. There will be plenty of them out there.

      As for the Arenado trade idea, I’d rather hold onto Arenado.

      • The Shoe says:
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        @Son: I hear ya on staying the course. It may sound strange, but streaming is discouraged in our league (I think because people didn’t want to disadvantage people with heavy work schedules), so if you were to stick with D-Rod and Jon Gray (or Ryu) who I have on the DL, who would it be?

        The 1st place team’s offense is not quite as good as mine, but his pitching staff is nasty: Kershaw, Kluber, Berrios, Sale, Flaherty, Pivetta, Bundy plus six dominant relievers. I don’t know if I can beat him in the playoffs with my staff, but I guess I’ll have to have faith in my strategy thus far!

        • Son

          Son says:
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          @The Shoe: Is streaming discouraged or do the rules prohibit it?

          • The Shoe says:
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            @Son: It’s technically prohibited, but the policing is lax.

            • Son

              Son says:
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              @The Shoe: Got it. I’m a Gray guy.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Damn right you are, Son!

                • Son

                  Son says:
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                  @Grey: In the name of the Father, the SON, and Holy Spirit….amen

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Haha

                    • The Shoe says:
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                      @Grey: And this is why I love razzball.

  5. Son

    Son says:
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    @TheShoe Viva Razzball!!!

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