Keeper strategy, and 'reaching' for players

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Keeper strategy, and 'reaching' for players

Postby blurred » Thu Feb 27, 2014 3:08 am

Got a bit of a quandary in a H2H keeper league I'm in, entering its second year. We're down to 14 from 16 teams last year, so a couple of premium players are re-entering the draft pool (Beltre, Fielder, Darvish, Strasburg, Rios, Bautista...). Keeper rules are such that anyone drafted in the first 5 rounds that you keep will slot in to the first available pick, anyone from Round 6 onwards is kept at a 2 round penalty. There's no limit on the number of players you can keep.

As of last year's finishing positions I'm picking 7th (and then 21st, 35th, 49th, etc). I've no idea what strategy the other managers will be employing on keepers, but I suspect a fair few will be quite conservative and keep more than they should. Most of my keepers are no-brainers - I've got Braun in Round 1, Bailey with 105th pick and Arenado with my 203rd, for instance.

If I wanted to keep Carlos Beltran, though, he'd have to be a fifth round (pick 63) which I think is a bit too high (I have him in the 80s). A couple of others that are closer to my rankings but would still be a reach are Lucroy (133rd) and Frieri (175). I know Grey will be down on Lucroy that high, but he's just an example from my later rounds to illustrate my point.

I guess my question comes down to rather than "would you keep x player at y spot", but what extent should you be prepared to reach and go with the known quantity, or how much should you trust your own rankings and not overpay?

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Re: Keeper strategy, and 'reaching' for players

Postby Grey » Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:48 am

I'd trust my rankings... But it's all hypothetical...
Grey Albright

If you want me to look at your team, post the team. Don't post a link to another site where the team is.
Have you given me all the info I need to judge your team? The number of teams in the league is a good start for the big overall questions.
Is your league H2H? Roto?
I don't know who's on your waivers. Don't just ask me who you should pick up. Give me names to choose from.
If you only have one team, post your team in your signature with the league parameters.
I don't know every single matchup for next week, so if you want me to choose a player for the following week and you think the matchups are important, tell me who they're facing.
There's more than one player with the same last name? Then spell out who you're talking about.

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