The Matt Holiday Experiment

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The Matt Holiday Experiment

Postby Fman99 » Thu Jan 29, 2009 7:58 pm

Totally interesting reading on why Matt Holliday should put up good numbers in Oakland. I just moved him up in my mind a spot or two...

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Re: The Matt Holiday Experiment

Postby Grey » Thu Jan 29, 2009 8:58 pm

It's only half the story. These are not road games. These are home games in a really poor hitter's stadium. Acclimate to it? He might. He still hit only 15 home runs in almost 300 ABs at Coors. Let's say Alameda sucks only 5 HRs away from him. That's a 20 HR/10 steal hitter you're thinking about drafting in the 2nd round.
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Re: The Matt Holiday Experiment

Postby The Dude » Sun Feb 01, 2009 3:57 pm

If you are setting the under/over at 20 HR's for Holliday then I want some of that action.

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Re: The Matt Holiday Experiment

Postby IowaCubs » Wed Feb 04, 2009 8:34 am

It's a total gamble on Billy Beane's part... He's essentially betting that he'll put up Denver numbers so that he's a worthy trade deadline dump.
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Re: The Matt Holiday Experiment

Postby NetOwl » Thu Feb 05, 2009 4:08 pm

Holliday hasn't had an OPS+ under 137 since 2005, and OPS+ is park-adjusted. He should be great in real life, if still somewhat overrated, like a modern day Jim Rice sans THE FEAR.

I'd want him in my favorite team's outfield. Watch his fantasy value shoot up when Beane trades him for four minor league pitchers in June.

Edit: There are GMs out there who will properly adjust Holliday's 2009 numbers for context. I wouldn't be totally shocked to see him with someone like the Red Sox or Blue Jays. I think I might have to break something if he goes to the [insert long string of vulgar pejorative adjectives] Yankees. Isn't New York still planning on using Nick Swisher in center, or did they find somebody better?

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Re: The Matt Holiday Experiment

Postby ~Slap~ » Sat Feb 07, 2009 3:58 pm

NetOwl, nice call on Holliday's park-adjusted OPS+. Nobody seems to be mentioning that when they project him into the third round. I honestly think the biggest thing he has going against him isn't the ballpark, but the lousy lineup around him.

Great year to be drating in the top five. You get one of the premier players in the league and then Matt Holliday falls into your lap late round two/early round three.

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