Yeah, you‚ÄĒthe one looking at me in your rearview mirror.¬† I‚Äôm talking to YOU.¬† Well, actually, I want to LISTEN to YOU!¬† Am interested in the trade secrets that helped you to make the big, bold, and successful moves that helped you to climb the ranks mid-to-late season.¬† (Not so interested in the lucky circumstances, more the planned strategy that worked to perfection!)
Am looking for material that will help each of us to put together a managerial portfolio for the start of 2011 as well as to have moves at the ready for when the start-of-season stuff isn‚Äôt going to plan.
I‚Äôll start the ball rolling with one aspect of my strategy:¬† I drafted FIVE solid closers rounds eight through fourteen.¬† Didn‚Äôt draft an SP until R15.¬† Strategy was to sacrifice Ks and Ws for ‚Äúiron-clad‚ÄĚ ERA, WHIP, and SVs.¬† The War Room projected similar.
Interesting results (through end of May):
I was near the top in Ks, Ws, SVs‚ÄĒdead last in ERA and WHIP.¬† I swear that my daily lineup always had a combined list of guys who, to that date, had sub-3.00 ERA and sub-1.20 WHIP.¬† Time after time guys blew up.¬† Ouchhhhh!¬† I disdained SP the entire season, choosing to stream all the way.¬† At the end-of-season, I ranked near the top with 10 pts in Ks, 11 in Ws, 11 in SVs, 5 in ERA, and 2 in WHIP.¬† I was fearful of losing ground in Ks and Ws as others caught up in GS.¬† However, I was careful to maintain a full list of NINE available pitchers everyday.¬† Where I didn‚Äôt have a SP in a starting position, I was sure to have the rest of the spots filled with either closers or MRs.¬† I found myself keeping up in Ws with the pretty frequent vulture Ws and the small, but steady daily accumulation of Ks.¬† (TIP: my small sample size projects that one has a two-to-one advantage for Saves on the road; so if you have two MRs who have been performing about the same, pick the one with upcoming away games over the guy at home.¬† There are normally enough MR available on the waiver wire to make this distinction and move them in and out as need be.)
Think about it:¬† I am almost at the top in Ks and Ws without ever rostering a single preseason, high-ranking SP (that wasn‚Äôt available on the wire).¬† I will definitely consider a similar approach next year.¬† However, I may eschew early season IP until pitchers settle in to more solid routines.
BTW:¬† The Schmohawks won league Razzball Original Recipe not drafting a SP until Round…drumroll‚Ä¶16!
BTW2:¬† On the four days a week that
were NOT starting, the following MRs filled those empty slots and amassed almost identical stats‚ÄĒwithout using up a single, valuable, GS:
Jonny Venters:¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† 4W/93K/1.95ERA/1.20WHIP
Matt Belisle:¬†¬† ¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† 7W/91K/2.93ERA/1.09WHIP
Sean Marshall:¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† 7W/90K/2.65ERA/1.11WHIP
Rafael Betancourt:¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† 5W/89K/3.61ERA/0.96WHIP
Combined:¬†¬†¬†¬† ¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬†¬† 23W/363K/2.74ERA/1.10WHIP
Bonus Trial:¬† Reached number 179 GS (180 the season limit) with about a week to go.¬† Began filling my pitching roster (bench) a bit at a time with SP for Friday, Oct. 1 (two days before the end of the season, thinking this my best shot at getting my best group of guys; remember, I‚Äôm having to get what I can from the waiver wire.).¬† Wood, Norris, De La Rosa, Beachy, Chen, Matsuzaka (rained out), Zimmerman, Carmona, Guthrie.¬† Note:¬† this was written with only the ‚Äúafter‚ÄĚ numbers (bad or good) to be filled.
Last pitching day, 8 pitchers combined: 40 K, 3 W, 2.17 ERA, 0.87 WHIP
Stunning!¬† Frankly, I was going to be happy taking a hit in ERA and WHIP (since they were weak already) just for the Ks and Ws.
Roto Points: K/W/SV/ERA/WHIP
Start of Day: 8.5/11/11/3/1
End of Day:¬† 10/11/11/5/2
One day gain (this late in the season):¬† +4.5 pts.
Not only do I get the gain, now other managers must deal with, ‚ÄúDo I take the risk?‚ÄĚ¬† If they resort to last minute pickups, maybe they don‚Äôt do quite so well.¬† Then maybe I can move up more.¬† Here’s what the rest of the league did:
Sat: Worldwide Suicide (#5):
6 SP: 41 K, 4 W, 3.16 ERA, 1.24 WHIP. +1 point, moved from #5 overall to #4 (in the money).
Su: Retro Vertigo (#1), with +5.5 edge over #2, runs 9 SP–steel cojones!:
9 SP: 48K, 5 W, 3.20 ERA, 1.13 WHIP.¬† 0 point change.
Su: Brooklyn Trolley Dodgers (#3):
6 SP: 18 K, 2.27 ERA, 1.01WHIP. -1 point.
Su: Lebron James (#5):
5 SP: 26 K, 2.38 ERA, 0.97 WHIP. +1.5 points.¬† Overall, from #5 to #4 (dropped Saturday‚Äôs gainer back to #5).
AVERAGES FOR THE 5¬† MANAGERS WHO RAN ‚ÄėEM OUT THERE THE LAST DAY:
2.64 ERA, 1.04 WHIP
So, next year HAVE NO FEAR!
Okay, time to share the one, or two, strategies that worked for you‚Ä¶