The dynamic duo is back for the second time. Or potentially the first. Were we in fact back the first time if we had never been there before? Wow, I’ve talked myself into a circle. Any the flippidy flap, January Grey is back, and he brought his Top 20 with him! That’s right, these are the spoken words to go with the written ones. We talk about why Mike Trout is good, Goldy vs. Jose Altuve, Freeman vs. Rizzo, and Lindor vs. Jose Ramirez (psssst not the Braves reliever). We pretty much make all the decisions in the first two rounds for you. It’s a glorious discussion of what will be in the two dot eighteen. When Grey isn’t dropping Top 20 knowledge, he’s rapping lyrics to Belly. Enough of the spoilers, just listen blood! Finally, please make sure to support our sponsor by heading over to RotoWear.com and entering promo code “SAGNOF” for 20% off the highest quality t-shirts in the fantasy sports game. It’s the latest edition of the Razzball Fantasy Baseball Prospect Podcast:

   
  1. Jason says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    I have a dynasty question for you. I am in a 20 team dynasty league. 7×7 h2h. I am currently contending and one of the teams decided to do a complete rebuild. He has Machado and wants prospects. He provided a list of prospects he has interest from my team…they are:
    Torres, Verdugo, C. Frazier, Hays, Soto, and Riley. He also has interest in FYPD picks.

    What do you think is a fair offer for Machado from the prospects above?

    Thank you sir!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jason: Go with Frazier and Verdugo. IMO you keep your best prospects this way. If you have to add in Riley do it.

  2. Willy Mo says:
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    Before I listen to this I want to address Ralphs comments to me in the top 20 blog.

    Ralph commented that anthony rizzo and aaron judge have near identical exit velocities.

    And that david Peralta has a HIGHER exit velocity than aaron judge.

    Wut???

    • Willy Mo says:
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      @Willy Mo: how can you make that comment even if you misread the stat?

      If you watched baseball in 2017 you would know for sure that aaron judge broke and set new stat cast records for exit velocity all season.

      This is bizzare from a fantasy baseball expert. Sorry ralph, im disappointed

      • Matt says:
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        @Willy Mo: jeeze @ Willy Mo. If you are such a dynamic stat analyst; start your own site, wrote your own blogs, place your bold predictions and see who fares better.

        I would say Arron judge is due to regress a bit, and would take Anthony Rizzo over him. Rizzo is a 2 position eligible player, and they are prime positions. Outfield is deep, you can find cheap homeruns later in the draft with guys like Kris Davis .

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Willy Mo: I made a mistake as I responded to a comment while getting my kids in the car to go to dinner. I did a quick google search for 2017 exit velocities. It was set to playoffs. I was a little surprised but Judge was still Top 5, so it seemed right. It was an honest mistake. It’s frustrating to have someone trash me for a simple mistake. I can read a chart.

        I have 330+ posts on Razzball covering the most obscure topics on this site. I’ve also embraced advanced stats more than anyone on this site. You think I like having some commentor come into my post and challenge me, then talk to me like he’s my dad? It sucks, I made a mistake. Yet, while you’re sleeping tonight I’ll be writing, reading, and trying to learn more.

        Sorry to disappoint you Wily!

        • The Curly W's says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: Don’t let this moron ruin your day man. Your work is A1. With that said I think we can agree that Tehol has at least occasionally been more obscure lol

        • Willy Mo says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: dude if you didnt come in trying to obnoxiously respond to my comment on the top 20 page you wouldnt have made that mistake. You read my comment, immediately went to check my work, thought you saw an error in my comment and tried to pounce. Next time take a second and breathe.

          Whats funny is first you tell me you go by the numbers then tell me to ignore exit velo?

          Also im still shocked you could have thought david peralta really had a higher exit velo than judge. Peralta exit velo was like 88 judge is 95 its not remotely close.

          And the playoff exit velo you looked at it said peralta was 114 mph or somthing silly (was small sample like 18 at bats).
          How can a numbers guy see that and go with it thinking that could possibly be his season avg exit velo? If you spent 6 years analyzing numbers while i sleep id think you would be in the ballpark of a reasonable exit velo to spark debates. Its def not a meaningless stat

          Anyways im putting this to bed. Im sure you will still respond becasue thats the kind of guys we are. Gl

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Willy Mo: You’re the man Wily!

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Willy Mo: Do you know what stadiums had bad statcast readings?

        What’s more important to you exit velo or barrells?

        Have you read or listened to anything I’ve done?

      • Alcibiades Escobar says:
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        @Willy Mo: This dude

      • knucks says:
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        @Willy Mo: Please don’t do this again. Calmly disagree and be grateful or GTFO.

        • Willy Mo says:
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          @knucks: im very calm. Go read the comments on the top 20 post for the thread before you comment thx

          • The Harrow says:
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            @Willy Mo: he’s still ignoring how kike should be the sleeper in the whole league from his point.

    • Alcibiades Escobar says:
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      @Willy Mo: This dude…

      (Ellipses for Jake)

    • Bterry says:
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      @Willy Mo: haha. You mean the person researching 1000+ prospects doesn’t know every MLB players advanced statistics off the top of their head? Phew. That’s a relief. . I thought I was in a dynasty league with Watson there for a minute.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        The Castillo Hype Machine says:
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        @Bterry: This made my morning!

  3. SR says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    Joined a fresh league this offseason – 40 man rosters and 42 prospect slots and 9×10 scoring.

    Drafts are partitioned out – FYP Draft (10 Rounds) , MiLB Draft 1 (12 Rounds), 40 man MLB Draft, MiLB Draft 2 (12 Rounds). Always exciting to build a roster from the ground up, isn’t it?

    First two drafts done so far. Got the 7th overall pick in the FYP draft, 11th for the first MiLB Draft. Will be picking 4th in the MLB Draft and 11th in the second MiLB Draft.

    Here’s how I fared…
    FYP: Keston Hiura(7), Heliot Ramos(22), Seth Romero(35), Mark Vientos(50), Nelson Velazquez(63), KJ Harrison (78), Matt Tabor(91), Tristan Gray(106), Garrett Cave(119), Eli Morgan(134)

    MiLB 1: Kyle Tucker(11), Nick Senzel(18), Ryan McMahon(39), Kevin Maitan(46), Cal Quantrill(67), Ian Anderson(74), Miguel Andujar(95), Yordan Alvarez(102), Max Fried(123), Jahmai Jones(130), Cristhian Pache(151), Hunter Harvey(158)

    My favourite picks are probably Ramos and Harvey. Ramos for obvious reasons as a dropper, but Harvey could have Buehler type prospect trajectory in 2018. Seems like he has the mix of proximity and upside to shoot up lists very quickly with some healthy starts – and I’m not convinced his past injuries/history make him automatically predisposed to being injury prone.

    I ended up going for way more floor than I planned though, many of the upsidey back-50 prospects got snapped up very quickly (Heredia, Luzardo, Keibert, Welker, etc).

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @SR: It’s a good draft. I’ve heard this so many times on Hunter Harvey I’m a little skeptical.

    • The Harrow says:
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      @SR: this should be a good one. IF hunter harvey isn’t an injury risk, prey tell just who WOULD be an injury risk? if you could name 3 i’ll bow for ya.

  4. The Shape says:
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    Hey Ralph and community,

    12 team standard cat roto. $260 draft cap. Heading into year three of contract team must extend players at salary cost of $5 per year ($1 player heading into third year extended to 5 year contract becomes a $16 per year player in 3, 4, 5 years). Once extended players are undroppable (but can be traded).

    Most non-contention teams fire sale so super teams exist by end of each season (no cap after 6th week of season). Top players in draft avg $70-$90 (with outliers like a $101 Kershaw a few years ago). In a rebuild year I hung back and collected every dropped low dollar player I could, ended up in 6th. A few decision points:

    Do I extend Berrios a year (3/4 – $6)?
    Is Desmond worth his (relative on my team) cost at $11?
    Nola’s going to be a stud right? Worth extending 2 years (3/5 – $11)?
    Owner has Dee Gordon (5/5 – $12) on block, should I try to trade Merrifield and Cobb/Rodon for him? Should that be enough?

    Pos – Player – contract year – contract $
    C – Wellington Castillo – 2/3 – $3
    1B – Wil Meyers – 3/3 – $3
    2B – Whit Merrifield – 2/3 – $6
    SS –
    MI –
    3B – Adrian Beltre – 2/3 – $5
    CI – Ryan Zimmerman – 2/3 – $8
    OF – Charlie Blackmon – 4/4 – $21
    OF – A.J. Pollock – 5/5 – $ 15
    OF – Eddie Rosario – 2/3 – $1
    OF – Ian Desmond – 3/3 – $11
    OF –
    U – Carlos Santana – 3/3 – $1

    SP – Luis Severino – 2/3 – $6
    SP – David Price – 2/3 – $10
    SP – Masahiro Tanaka – 3/3 – $13
    SP – Aaron Nola – 3/3 – $1
    SP – Jeff Samardzija – 2/3 – $2
    RP –
    RP –

    Bench – Alex Cobb – 3/3 – $1
    Bench – Jose Berrios – 3/3 – $1
    Bench – Carlos Rodon – 2/3 – $1

    Any feedback/thoughts are appreciated!

    • The Shape says:
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      @The Shape: FYI – My current plan for extensions on 3/3 players are:

      Wil Meyers – 1 year (3/4 – $8)
      Desmond – none (drop?)
      Santana – none (keep)
      Tanaka – none (keep)
      Nola – 2 years (3/5 – $11)
      Cobb – none (keep)
      Berrios – unsure (keep)

      Likely dropping Rodon.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The Shape: I would extend Nola, then Berrios, on the fence with Desmond. Could you get him back at a lower $ amount?

      I’d keep Whit, the move to the OF worries me with Gordon.

      • The Shape says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Thsnks Ralph… can likely get Des for comparable for similar. There’s always deals to be had as owners drastically overspend on top talent. Something I can do due to my limited position openings and high draft fund. Might hook Trout and top RPs then deal shop to fill.

  5. Another fantastic episode as always gentleman. And Grey-Z is welcome on RotoRhymes any time!

  6. Collin says:
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    Hi Ralph,

    Great podcast as always. I have a dynasty question for you – I have Alex Verdugo. I am a contender, but could use starting pitching. I have several offers on the table – including Jimmy Nelson for Verdugo, zach Davies for Verdugo or Dan Strailey, Riley Pint, 1.12 in the first year draft for Verdugo. Are any of these interesting?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Collin: Take the Nelson deal. He’s ahead on his rehab. I like Verdugo but it might be a few years until he finds his power.

      • Collin says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks a bunch Ralph! Does it change your opinion if they throw in Joc Pederson with Zach Davies? or is Jimmy Nelson still the best bet?

  7. knucks says:
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    I don’t say it enough. Thank you for everything you do here at Razz. Keep up the great work man.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @knucks: Thanks bud!

  8. Lincoln Hawk says:
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    Hey Ralph…prospect question….I’ve got picks #2 and #4 in rd 1 of my upcoming MiLB draft. Was considering possibly picking up at least 1 pitcher since I’m fairly loaded with my MLB and MiLB hitters. Was wondering out of Baez, Gore, and Greene which had the best odds of becoming a bonafide ace?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Lincoln Hawk: All have that upside, and to many it’s a pick’em. Gore has the best mix of pitches. I’d go with him.

      Love Baez but he doesn’t have arsenal that Gore has. Greene has the best mechanics of the bunch but his secondaries are a ways off.

  9. Bucktail30 says:
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    Dynasty keep forever league.. Keep Franklyn Kilome or Dylan Cease?

    I think Cease has better stuff but Kilome is more likely to become a starting pitcher. Can I drop Cease to keep Kilome?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Bucktail30: I would keep Cease. Better upside.

  10. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    WOW, I made the podcast! Albeit not in the way I wanted to.

    First, what I wrote had nothing to do with Trout, Shawn Carter or Bouncy.

    It just seems like Grey is just saying silly nonsense instead of talking about baseball.

    I love talking baseball. I hate talking rap, Hollywood people and so on.

    I just miss the old Grey, that’s all. I am old school.

    Sorry you think I was an ass, not my intention at all..

    Cheers,

    MP

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      The Castillo Hype Machine says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: It’s all good MP.

  11. Packers says:
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    Ralph, in a 12 team roto redraft and with 10 games played for eligibility what would you do if Freeman and Rizzo were both available at the turn? Let’s say a couple aces and Lindor, Ramirez, JD and the like were available too. I’m thinking that would really ease things up in the infield allowing for bargains late. Just looking at ADP’s.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      The Castillo Hype Machine says:
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      @Packers: We actually discuss this on the podcast.

      • Packers says:
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        @The Castillo Hype Machine: I listened to the whole thing but my mind probably was daydreaming.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          The Castillo Hype Machine says:
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          @Packers: No worries. I listen to every podcast I follow twice HAHAHA.

  12. RICE says:
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    Hey Ralph!

    Great Pod. So nice to be back in the swing of preparing for baseball season!

    We can discuss this as the preseason unfolds but I’d like to get your early thoughts on my keepers. I have too many great options (in my opinion), which I guess I shouldn’t complain too much about.

    I’ve medal’d 4 out of the last 5 years (1st twice, 3rd twice, and 6th) so I was considering taking a slightly more long-term view with my keepers this year than I normally would.

    I only get 4 keepers (4 keepers / 10 team league / so 40 off the board). Each can be kept in the round they were originally drafted in for two additional season… then they move up 2 rounds each year.

    The Obvious (I think):

    Alex Bregman – Round 24 – starts moving up next year
    Bryce Harper – Round 5 – already moving yearly

    Less Obvious:

    Ronald Acuna – Round 24 – starts moving up in 2 years
    Ozzie Albies – Round 24 – starts moving up in 2 years
    Whit Merrifield – Round 24 – starts moving up in 2 years
    Robbie Ray – Round 19 – starts moving up in 2 years
    Jose Berrios – Round 24 – starts moving up in 2 years

    I also have Conforto, Clevinger and Alex Wood (all in that 24th round) but I don’t think they are in the conversation with the others?

    Thoughts? Help!?!

  13. thorbs says:
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    Ughhh Ramirez Q – Lance weighed in but would love to get your POV:

    I was offered J-Ram for Acuna straight-up in a 12-team, 10×10, keep-20 +8 rookies dynasty.

    Right now I’m planning on keeping Odor/Kinsler/Story as my 2B/MI/SS, and can slot Taylor in there as well. That’s a bit pupu but I have a stacked OF (Trout/Betts/Bryant/etc.) and am also keeping Robles as a rookie.

    I’m leaning towards doing it, as Ramirez should be better for the next 3 years at least, and I’d keep him instead of Kinsler. We count Ks and BBs as well so he’d help balance out my freeswingers.

    On the pod you guys sounded like you like J-Ram but think he could hit 1/3 less dingers…even with that regression, pull the trigger?

  14. Classy Freddie B! says:
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    Ralph-
    I have an enticing offer on the table. I have Degroom and Alex Reyes on my team. Somebody just offered me Kluber for both. I’m holding right but am evaluating this. I do have Forest Whitley and Keller in my minors as well.

  15. Matthew McKee says:
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    HUGE TRADES!!
    So I’m in a 10 team H2H league. We can keep 7 players with no value set… just get to keep em. This league has been around for 8 years and I’ve won it 3 times on the back of my pitching.

    So I’ve had my core together for a while and for the first time I’m thinking of breaking it apart due to finding 3 new keepers in the draft and off waivers in Jose Ramirez, Anthony Rendon, and Luis Severino.

    As of right now my keepers are…
    Paul Goldschmidt
    Jose Ramirez
    Anthony Rendon
    Clayton Kershaw
    Chris Sale
    Madison Bumgarner
    Luis Severino

    Players I’ll be throwing back or trading for picks are (Daniel Murphy, Justin Turner, Domingo Santana)

    So my dilemma is I have a chance at 2 major trades that I have been discussing and have a great chance I can pull off and bulk up my offense this season.

    Clayton Kershaw for Giancarlo Stanton

    Chris Sale and Anthony Rendon for Nolan Arenado

    I’m a little excited to do these trades but also nervous to dismantle my pitching. Would still have Bumgarner and Severino and keep Daniel Murphy as my 7th keeper. What do you think??? Should I pull the trigger or keep dominating pitching?

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