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So let’s just get this whole curse thing out of the way. Seems like every starter I’ve profiled since taking over this here gig has hit the DL, with lone exception being Luis Severino. Some how he’s escaped my DL wrath, which means he made a deal with the devil, or knows strong voodoo. Poor Charlie Morton, Vince Velasquez, Eduardo Rodriguez, and Nate Karns, y’all never had a chance without Severino’s voodoo. Yeah, seriously, the “Ralph Curse” is that real! Now that we’ve gotten all of that out of the way, my condolences to the owners of this week’s victim Dinelson Lamet. Let’s pray for a shared secret between he and Luis from the BX. Because DANG, he looks good. He feels like one of those prospects that’s never bad, but falls through the cracks on some lists (mine), while being higher on others (other people not named me). He’s two strong starts, and 10 innings into his major league career, and he’s scheduled to go twice this week. So he’s firmly on the fantasy baseball radar. Enough with the bollocks, let’s dig into the bangers and mash, see what we have here, and determine if he’s someone to hold in the right formats.

 

Scouting Report: Lamet took an unusual path for a Dominican prospect, signing with the Padres over the 2014 period as an early 20’s signee. Very few non-teenage players from the DR are typically signed, though digging a little deeper into Lamet’s background you find out he almost signed with the Phillies in 2012, before some documentation issues prevented it from happening. (Meaning he’s probably 28.) He first appeared in the Dominican Summer league for the Padres in 2014, before coming stateside the following season and spending all of his 2015 with the Padres Class A affiliate of the Midwest League, the Fort Wayne TinCaps. Over 105.1 innings that season Lamet posted a 5-8 record, with a 2.99 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, .211 BAA, a 10.25 K/9, and a 3.76 Bb/9. A very nice debut from an unheralded prospect. He followed that strong stateside debut with an equally impressive campaign in 2016, touching three levels (A+ 12 starts, AA 14 starts, AAA 2 starts), and producing a record of 12-10 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, and 3.7 Bb/9.

He features a four pitch mix, but relies heavily on the fastball and slider combo. His fastball is heavy and hits the upper 90’s, but sits 95-97, and holds his velocity as he gets deeper into his pitch count. His slider sits 84-87, sometimes ramping up to 89, and he consistently throws the breaking ball for strikes. It possesses solid movement, as it sweeps across the zone, and shows two plane movement. The pitch is at it’s best in two strike counts when buried under the hands of the hitter, but he’s effective throwing it anywhere in the zone. His changeup is harder in velocity, sitting 89-91, and is more or less a softer fastball. The difference in speeds between the fastball, slider, and change, help it to play up. He also features a sinker that sits in the low to mid 90’s, but it’s tough to identify, as it’s sink isn’t that heavy. He rarely throws it though.

Lamet boasts whiff rates 25% and 20% on his slider, and change, while hovering around 10% with both variations of his fastball. His off-speeds generate a majority of his groundballs. While his fastball, that he throws high in the zone consistently, generates flyballs at around a 33% clip, and drives the 40%+ FB% rates he put up annually in the minors. Looks like a solid mid-rotation starter with strikeout upside on paper.

Dinelson Lamet vs. the Chicago Cubs, Tuesday May 30th, 2017, Petco Park San Diego, CA 

 

First Inning

Ben Zobrist – Fastball high gloveside ball 1, fastball 95 inside, strike 1, high fastball 97, and Zobrist makes hard contact, driving it to the warning track, but it’s caught for out number one.

Kyle Schwarber – Fastball 97 inside part of the plate, strike one, fastball high at 98, swinging strike two, fastball way high at 98, ball one, fastball 94 low and outside the zone that Schwarber slaps into the shift for out number two.

Kris Bryant – 98 MPH on the outside part of the plate, ball one, next pitch is a 97 mph fastball up in the zone, and it’s popped up to Wil Myers at first to end the inning.

Entirely fastballs this inning, getting two weakly hit balls, after starting the inning with an out that tested Petco’s friendly limits. Very efficient Inning, only needing 9 pitches to get three outs.

Second Inning

Anthony Rizzo – Fastball 96 low and over the plate, strike one, Rizzo shows bunt at a 96 MPH fastball, he accidentally fouls it back and is dangerously close to getting hit. Strike two, fastball 96 way high and outside, ball 1, changeup at 91 low is hit to the gap in center but it’s caught for out numero uno.

Jon Jay – Fastball 97 inside strike one, fastball 96, foul ball, slider 86, high and outside fouled off, Lamet buries the slider under Jay’s hands for a swinging strike three. Lamet then walks off the field thinking it’s out number three. Hilarious moment, Mike Maher used the gif in his two start pitchers post.

Jason Heyward – 96 MPH pitch is hit down the line for a groundball double that finds the corner.

Willson Contreras – Slider 86, drops for a strike, 96 MPH off the plate is fouled away for strike two, 89 MPH changeup off the plate is called for ball one, next pitch is a slider at 86 low and over the plate that’s slapped for a bouncing grounder than bounces over Cory Spangenberg’s head for an RBI double, as Heyward scores.

Addison Russell – Fastball 97, swinging strike one, high changeup, at 89, swinging strike two, 98 MPH off the plate waist high, ball one, 87 MPH slider drops under a swinging bat of Russell for strike three to end the inning.

Lamet lost his way after forgetting how many outs he had, but he came back strong in the at bat against Russell. He made Russell look silly. Dipped into the secondaries more this inning.

Third Inning

Eddie Butler – 94 MPH fastball belt high and inside strike one, slider 84 knee high on the outside corner strike one. Another slider and the the bottom drops out on that for a swinging strike three. Bounces on Hedges, but he tosses to first for the out.

Ben Zobrist – 95 MPH Fastball over the plate, strike one, high slider at 83, ball one, drops a slide low and inside, catches the corner for strike two, 84 MPH slider same spot fouled off, 92 MPH changeup on the outside fouled off, 86 MPH slider inside belt high, fouled off, high 92 MPH changeup, check swing, ball two, 97 MPH fastball high is fouled off again, 91 MPH change, inside belt high, fouled off, 87 MPH slider off the plate, ball three, fastball at 98 real low, Zobrist takes for a walk.

Kyle Schwarber – Slider at 86 over the plate, taken for strike one, fastball high and outside swung on at 97 for strike two, Schwarber really chased there, 96 MPH and outside again ball one, inside slider at 87 doesn’t break and it hits Schwarber.

Kris Bryant – Slider at 87 over the plate taken for strike one, another slider at 87, poked at off the plate foul, strike two, 97 MPH fastball high in the zone, popped back for a foul, 91 MPH changeup gets Bryant as it runs over the plate and Bryant swings through it.

Anthony Rizzo – Slider high and inside at 88 is taken for strike one, fastball middle of the zone at 96 is fouled off, strike two, fastball slapped off at the high outside part of the zone, slider in the dirt, ball one, slider in on Rizzo’s hands is popped up for our number three.

Not a bad inning for Lamet, though it could have been better had he won his battle vs Zobrist, and managed to not hit Schwarber. He worked out of the jam to Bryant and Rizzo, getting the former to strikeout, while getting the latter to pop-up to end the inning. Swinging strikes and weak contact, lots to like so far.

Fourth Inning

Jon Jay – Change up low and inside for strike one, 95 MPH fastball inside strike two, slider buried in the dirt, ball one, high heat at 95 fouled back, 85 MPH slider fouled off, high heat on the outside at 95, ball two, slider off the plate fouled back, 87 MPH slider too high, ball three, full count, next breaking pitch whacked foul, changeup whacked foul, pitch 10 of the at bat, buries the slider low in the zone at 89 for a swinging strike three.

Jason Heyward – First pitch is a 90 MPH change over the plate and it’s hit for a single up the middle.

Willson Contreras – 95 MPH fastball off the plate taken for ball one, 94 MPH inside and over the plate, taken for strike one, 94 MPH outside fastball whacked on the ground to third, and thrown to first for the second out.

Addison Russell – 88 MPH changeup off the plate taken for ball one, 86 MPH slider off the plate swung on for strike one, 97 MPH on the inside swing and missed on for strike two, 87 MPH slider under the hand again gets a swing again, and it’s swinging strikeout to end the fourth.

Lamet is really utilizing the slider now, working it high and low in zone, and burrying it under the hands to both righties and lefties for swinging strikes, particularly in two strike counts. The fourth was the best inning since the first, winning the battle against Jay, while sitting down Russell on strikes to end the inning.

Fifth Inning

Eddie Butler – 93 MPH fastball high in the zone, is whacked back for strike one, a slider on the outside part of the plate is taken for strike two, Lamet then rings up Butler on an 85 MPH slider that gets a half-hearted swing from the Cubs starter.

Ben Zobrist – Changeup at 89 taken on the outside for ball one, another changeup low in the zone at 89 taken for ball two, 93 MPH on the outside for strike one, 94 MPH on the inside taken for strike two, 94 MPH fastball on the outside gets a check swing but Zobrist can’t hold up for strike three.

Kyle Schwarber – 89 MPH slider under the hands Schwarber can’t hold up, and it’s strike one, 95 MPH heat high in the zone is swung on and missed for strike two, Lamet goes right back to the high fastball and Schwarber makes him pay, crushing the ball 400+ feet to right field.

Kris Bryant – Fastball thrown wildly high and inside, ball one, 86 MPH slider on the outside, and Bryant holds up, ball two, 85 MPH slider in the outside is swung through for strike one, 94 MPH fastball middle in is blasted to center for a two out double.

Anthony Rizzo – 91 MPH changeup off the plate taken for ball one, fastball 95 on the outside part of the plate taken for strike one, 94 MPH outside, ball two, 87 MPH slider under the hands swung and missed for strike two, 85 MPH slider on the outside is fouled off, 87 MPH on the inside bounces T the plate for ball three, 89 MPH changeup over the plate is popped up to center field and that’s the end of Lamet’s day.

5 IP, 5 Hits, 2 ER, 1 Walk, 8 K’s, 94 Pitches, 69 Strikes, Game Score 54.

Summary: A very solid showing by the rookie right-hander, as he really only had a handful of hard hit balls all night, coming off the bat of Zobrist, Bryant, and of course the homer from Schwarber. He does a great job of commanding and locating his fastball, and slider all over the zone. With his changeup being an effective third offering, one that Lamet seems to understand when and how to use. Much like his other offerings he knows how to spot it. The slider in particular seems to have two variations, a harder version thrown between 87-89 with hard bite, and another thrown between 84-86 with more loopy action. Though none of his scouting reports mention this.

Lots of his flyball contact is of the pop-up variety, and gives him multiple ways to thwart threats with runners on base. The home park couldn’t be a better fit for his skillset, and the Padres have no one holding him back from sticking in the rotation for the remainder of the season and beyond. I’d be intrigued by the possibility of adding Lamet in dynasty formats.

 

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Chris Sale, BOS
2 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
3 Max Scherzer, WAS
4 Yu Darvish, TEX
5 Jacob deGrom, NYM
6 Zack Greinke, ARI
7 Chris Archer, TB
8 Lance McCullers, HOU
9 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
10 Corey Kluber, CLE  
11 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
12 Carlos Martinez, STL 
13 Carlos Carrasco, CLE 
14 Jon Lester, CHC
15 Johnny Cueto, SF
16 Michael Pineda, NYY
17 James Paxton, SEA
18 Michael Fulmer, DET
19 Luis Severino, NYY
20 Jake Arrieta, CHC
21 David Price, BOS 
22 Robbie Ray, ARI 
23 Gerrit Cole, PIT
24 Marco Estrada, TOR
25 Jeff Samardzija, SF
26 Marcus Stroman, TOR 
27 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
28 Jose Berrios, MIN
29 Sean Manaea, OAK
30 Dylan Bundy, BAL
31 Rich Hill, LAD 
32 Jason Vargas, KC
33 Lance Lynn, STL
34 Ivan Nova, PIT
35 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
36 Dan Straily, MIA
37 Michael Wacha, STL
38 Justin Verlander, DET
39 Jameson Taillon, PIT
40 Rick Porcello, BOS
41 J.A. Happ, TOR 
42 Jose Quintana, CHW
43 Steven Matz, NYM 
44 John Lackey, CHC  
45 Chase Anderson, MIL 
46 Mike Leake, STL
47 Ervin Santana, MIN 
48 Jake Odorizzi, TB  
49 Kenta Maeda, LAD
50 Taijuan Walker, ARI 
51 Matt Shoemaker, LAA 
52   Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
53 Junior Guerra, MIL
54 Tanner Roark, WAS 
55 Drew Pomeranz, BOS
56 Sonny Gray, OAK  
57 Brandon McCarthy, LAD   
58 Adam Wainwright, STL 
59 Francisco Liriano, TOR  
60 Zack Wheeler, NYM
61 Andrew Triggs, OAK
62 Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD
63 Trevor Bauer, CLE    
64 Jesse Hahn, OAK
65 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL 
66 Wade Miley, BAL    
67 Mike Clevinger, CLE 
68 Antonio Senzatela, COL  
69 Jaime Garcia, ATL
70 Brad Peacock, HOU
71 Aaron Nola, PHI  
72 Joe Biagini, TOR  
73 Dinelson Lamet, SD
74 Luis Perdomo, SD 
75 Zack Godley, ARI
76 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
77 J.C. Ramirez, LAA   
78 Daniel Norris, DET
79 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI 
80 Jordan Montgomery, NYY
81 Edinson Volquez, MIA 
82 German Marquez, COL
83 Randall Delgado, ARI  
84 Derek Holland, CWS  
85 C.C. Sabathia, NYY  
86 Kyle Freeland, COL  
87 Kevin Gausman, BAL  
88 Alex Cobb, TB 
89 Julio Teheran, ATL
90 Ty Blach, SF 
91 Clayton Richard, SD   
92 Robert Gsellman, NYM
93 Jeremy Hellickson, PHI
94 Matt Harvey, NYM
95 Zach Davies, MIL
96 Tyler Chatwood, COL
97 Joe Musgrove, HOU
98 Matt Moore, SF 
99 Ricky Nolasco, LAA
100 Scott Feldman, CIN

Disabled List (Ranking When Active): Madison Bumgarner, SF (3) , Noah Syndergaard, NYM (8), Danny Duffy (19), KC, Alex Wood (22), LAD, Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS (31), Aaron Sanchez, TOR (34), Charlie Morton, HOU (46), Carlos Rodon, CHW (49), Felix Hernandez, SEA (62), Trevor Cahill, SD (66), Matt Andriese, TB (68),Vincent Velasquez, PHI (73), Kendall Graveman, OAK (76), Tyson Ross (90)

On The Fringes: Sam Gaviglio, SEA, Alec Asher, BAL, Jeff Hoffman, COL

Coming Up:  Jacob Faria, TB, Brandon Woodruff, MIL, Chance Adams, NYY, Sean Newcomb, ATL, Jose De Leon, TB, Josh Hader, MIL, Brent Honeywell, TB

Dropped off: Erasmo Ramirez, TB, Danny Salazar, CLE, Julio Urias, LAD, Patrick Corbin, ARI, Chad Kuhl, PIT, Amir Garrett, CIN, Matt Garza, MIL, Tyler Anderson, COL, Joe Ross, WAS, Jesse Chavez, LAA

  • You’ll notice a change in the rankings this week, I’ve removed all the DL guys. With so many starters on the DL each week, it was becoming a deterrent to this post’s purpose. So I’ve inculded all of the injured arms that would rank on this list, and where they would rank if, and when they’re active. I know, I know, I ranked Taijuan Walker, but my guess is he’s back on Sunday.
  • Tyson Ross is coming back for the first time in nearly a year and a half and I have no idea where to rank him. He’ll slot at 90 initially, but could move up if he shows a return to form.
  • So I’m almost fully back on the David Price bandwagon following a strong showing on Saturday, and a decent debut in Chicago on Monday. It’s only 12 innings, so take this with a grain of salt, but his fastball velocity was back up a tick from last year averaging 93.8 MPH between the two starts. His cutter usage was up, which is somewhat suspicious considering his struggles with that pitch in 2016. Though an early glance at his heatmaps says he’s burying the pitch on the low glove-side of the plate.
  • Lots of starters with early season luck are struggling to maintain over their last five starts, those include Gio Gonzalez (4.80 ERA last 5 GS), Andrew Triggs (4.67 ERA last 5 GS), J.C. Ramirez (4.50 last 5 GS), and Derek Holland (5.27 ERA last 5 GS).
  • On the other side of the coin, Trevor Bauer (3-0, 3.86 ERA, 7.20 K/BB), Zack Wheeler (2.1, 2.76 ERA, 7.98 K/9, and Jimmy Nelson (2-1, 1.93 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 11.02 K/9, and 1.65 Bb/9), have all been coming on over the last monthly, with Nelson looking like a legitimate break through candidate.
  • Through 3 starts, and a total of 15 innings, Randall Delgado has been very strong for the Diamondbacks. How good? Try 1.80 ERA, 9.0 K/9, 1.2 Bb/9, and a 13% SwStr %. The biggest issue I see for Delgado as a starter is his tendency to struggle vs. left-handed hitters.
  • There are 8 qualified starters with groundball rates of 50%+, and swinging strike rates of 10% plus, they are as follows: Dallas Keuchel (67.4%, 10.5%), Lance McCullers (61.7%, 12.2%), Luis Severino (54.5%, 11.7%), Carlos Martinez (50.5%, 11.2%), Michael Pineda (50.3%, 13.6%), Jon Lester (50%, 10.8%),  Charlie Morton (51.3%, 10.1%), and Tyler Chatwood (57.4%, 10.1%). Clayton Kershaw (47.9%, 12.8%) and Michael Fulmer (48.9%, 9.7%) are on the cusp of that group.
  • Converted starter/reliever/long-man Brad Peacock has been enjoying his time in the Astros rotation, and he’s ranked 70 with a bullet. In three starts, totaling 15 innings, Peacock has a 3.60 ERA, 15.0 K/9, 2.4 Bb/9, and a 1.64 xFIP. He tossed 6 efficient innings on Sunday, and really as long as he’s in the rotation, getting deep into games is the only thing holding him back.
  • I have no idea what to make of Masahiro Tanaka, Kenta Maeda, Francisco Liriano, and Aaron Nola. None of them make sense.

Follow me on Twitter @Ralphlifshitzbb, and check out my weekly Live Baseball Show on Fantrax YouTube channel Tuesday’s at 9 PM EST

   
  1. knucks says:
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    Gotta ask. Thoughts on the Phillips call up?

    He is likely only up for a short time with Shaw on paternity leave? Was expecting Brinson first.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @knucks: what’s up Knucks? Yeah, I had a feeling Phillips would be the first. I’m sure they’re less worried about the service time with him. Phillips has power and a little bit of speed. I assume it should short term with a second callup for a longer stretch in short order. He’s had K issues since joining the Brewers. Worth a gamble as a batty call tonight.

      • knucks says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: A damn fine batty call if you ask me, thx again Rappin’ Ralph!

  2. Oppo Taco says:
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    Would you trade G Cole and Moncada for Trea Turner in a keeper league? Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Oppo Taco: Not unless Moncada and Cole were my two choices for my final keeper and combining them into Turner gave me a SS I needed.

      • Oppo Taco says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: We keep 8 !
        C – Grandal
        1B – Goldy
        2B – DJL
        3B – Bregman
        SS – C Seager
        OF – Thames
        OF – Upton
        OF – Mazara
        Util – Rizzo
        Util – Alonso
        Bench – CarGo, Zimmer, Moncada

        SP – Bumgarner, Cole, McCullers, Quintana, Cobb, Verlander, Berrios, Wood, Devenski, Bradley

        RP – Jansen
        RP – Robertson

        So As of now my current keepers would be : Goldy, Rizzo, Seager, Thames, Bumgarner, Bregman, McCullers and one of Cole/Moncada/Mazara/Berrios etc.

        Also in first place and trying to win this year

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Oppo Taco: Agree with your keepers, wait until you need to make the call. Much can change.

  3. Re-Pete says:
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    Jose Quintana – bench until further notice? As a 2-start guy this week, he frightens me. Should I risk him over Nola, or one of my 1-start guys (Cole, Berrios, Bauer)?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Re-Pete: I’d risk him over Nola.

  4. mikeMaher

    mikeMaher says:
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    The work you put into these posts is incredible, Ralph! Makes me ashamed of my posts! Haha

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @mikeMaher: Ahh stop it brother! I’ve been loving your work on the two start and top 100 hitters! We should do a Rocky and Apollo romp on the beach for this bromance!

      Thanks for the props.

  5. Btdrnks says:
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    Hi there, love the list Ralph! Where would you rank Jon Gray once active?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Btdrnks: Thanks! I knew I missed a DL guy. Probably somewhere in the 50’s.

      • kawaters98 says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Gray in the 50’s? I think with the W/QS potential and high K upside, he’s top 15 upside with a floor around 40… At least I hope for the sake of a lot of my squads

  6. Eric says:
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    I love the new format!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Eric: Thanks!

  7. knucks says:
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    I like what you did with the DL guys, that’s helpful as shizz. Thank you!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @knucks: With the new 10 day who knows how hurt anyone is? Allows me to add another dozen guys who are actually pitching too.

  8. PM_me_alexwood_woodies says:
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    You coward, removing Alex Wood just because of a disabled list stint? Get wrecked, son. He’s top 8. I’m calling you out!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @PM_me_alexwood_woodies: I had him one, but Grey told me no. I’d blame him.

      • PM_me_alexwood_woodies says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Well he can’t be trusted to run this site any more

  9. ctrengove says:
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    Are you trusting Manaea tonight as a streamer?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @ctrengove: I have some confidence, though the Jays are tough. He had strong showings in two tough matchups at NY and at Cleveland recently. He’s been very good since returning from the DL.

  10. John says:
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    Loving the format for DL players.

    What are your thought on Biagini ROS? Also Graveman is on the WW. Pitching is pretty bare at this point in my league. Is he worth a stash. I also have had Rodon stashed for the season.

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @John: I like Biagini in the right formats, particularly deeper leagues. Graveman is a stash only in a league where most starters are owned.

      • M says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I liked what I saw from Biagini against the Yanks over the weekend. What do you think of Mike Clevinger ROS in a deep league (hoping he stays in the rotation)

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @M: Clevinger has the ability to be a sneaky back of your rotation guy with some K value. I wrote a sleeper post about him last season.

          • M says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: thanks! Will def check the article out. I watched some of his start against the Astros and he looked fabulous (like he has been all year) hopefully once Salazar comes back Tomlin is the odd guy out

  11. The Great Knoche says:
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    Can you profile Chris Sale next?

    Standing by Manaea is in top 20 by end of year. It’s gonna happen.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The Great Knoche: Hahaha it would just be hearts!

      It’s not crazy, he’s been creeping up there since coming off the DL. Rolling him tonight a few places.

  12. Pete says:
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    Miranda on the rise?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Pete: Brain fart should be in the 60’s around Hahn. There’s always one. Sorry about that.

  13. Chucky says:
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    I see your sour on Nola. Can’t say I disagree. Philly looks like a dumpster fire. Having said that, two start Nola on the road at StL and Atl, or Hoffman @ ChC, Wacha v Philly or Vargas v Houston?
    Just parlayed Sonny and Forsythe into Cargo and Swanson, 12 team Dynasty, thoughts?

  14. Five-On-One says:
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    Any concerns regarding a deGrom injury or his recent performance? Would a trade of Odor and Moncada for deGrom (12-team, 5×5, redraft league) be fair? Which side you prefer?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Five-On-One: I’m not worried yet. His numbers the previous four starts were fine. He had a bad night inn Wednesday.

      I’d take DeGrom in redraft, very fair deal, most would take Moncada and Odor I bet.

  15. Chucky says:
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    Preferred to acquire in a Dynasty deal, Gsellman or Davies?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chucky: I’m still going Gsellman, but it’s a toss up.

  16. Chris says:
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    Thanks Ralph,

    Should I start Schebler or Seth Smith. Schebler is out until at least June 6 maybe later. Smith has 5 righties this week and 1 lefty. To me it’s a no brainer to start Smith do you agree?

    Also the crew is bringing up Phillips. Guessing he’s not worth a pick up at this point?

    Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: I’d roll with Smith.

      Only as a short schedule fill in

      • Chris says:
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        Now I’m seeing Schebler expects to play tomorrow. Take the chance on Schebler, it’s sounding pretty close to a sure thing.

      • Chris says:
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        Also, what do you think of this trade?

        Scherzer-Wood-Pillar

        for

        Ozuna-Duvall-Belt

        Thanks

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chris: I want the Scherzer side but in dynasty it’s closer.

          • Chris says:
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            Thanks man! I think I’m going to go Schebler it sounds like a sure thing that he’ll be back tomorrow! What are your thoughts on Brett Phillips being called up?

  17. Maverick says:
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    Hey Ralph. Love the Top 100’s! Great work!!
    Can I get your read on this trade please?

    Rizzo/Paxton/Jose Ramirez for Votto/Oh/Tomlin/Moncada (depends on how close you think he is to being called up) Thanks!!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Maverick: Rizzo side, three good pieces there.

  18. Nightpandas says:
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    Looking to next year Ralph…15 team keeper:

    Drop Joe Ross for Honeywell and Joc for Meadows? Still intrigued by Joe’s potential…

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nightpandas: I like Honeywell and Meadows there, much higher upside.

  19. Shark says:
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    I personally don’t trust Wacha, and it’s not just hindsight after his last 2 crappy starts! But I’ve hung on to him because “everyone” has him rated fairly high; why do analysts like him so much, relatively? I saw stats during a game that shows Wacha’s performance drastically drops the 3rd time through an order…not that he’s gotten that far lately!!!

    • Shark says:
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      @Shark: Sorry, that was 3! crappy starts, twice against LA both home and away.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Shark: I don’t really love him, and didn’t want to drop him due to a couple of bad starts against the Dodgers (rankings are ranked Saturday night). He’s now had two and a bad Cubs start. So it wouldn’t shock me if he drops down to like 50. Prior to this run, he had a lot of things trending in the right direction with even luck. His SwStr was up, hard contact down, fastball velo up.

  20. OldMilwaukeePounders says:
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    Hey Ralph!

    Great write up man! I know i asked you about Pirates prospect Jordan Luplow awhile back, but since then he has dinged a bunch of dongs, including 5 in the last week!

    Does the power showing up shoot him up the Pirates prospect ranks at all in your mind? They seem to really be lacking power bats in the system, so I’d have to think the front office is quite pleased with Luplow’s progression this year at AA. Think he could be a 25 dong guy a year some day?

    Thanks, Homie!

  21. Braden D Christensen says:
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    Very nice, Ralph! I love the details, and specifics you provided about the variations on his slider. Can I request Hoffman for next week? (If he stays up I guess…) Speaking of, where would he fall if he had a permanent spot? Thanks again for all your hard work! This info is like gold!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Braden D Christensen: Hoffman is an option, I’m considering Peacock too.

  22. Mike L says:
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    Tampa Bay has way too many good pitchers in the minors. Someone needs to get on the phone for trade bait. If you’re a coach, what guy do you go after? Hell of a minor league game between Giolito and Snell tonight. Over/ under 5 runs?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike L: Ha! Gio came out for blood. After being dead, he’s found the zombie juice.

  23. Fausto

    Fausto says:
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    10 team/H2H /Redraft
    1. Clevinger, Mccarthy or stream it?
    and same league
    2. For SAGNOF purposes add 1- Maybin, Buxton, Deshields, or Andrelton, Motter, (prefer an MI but I can use the OF/ UTIL slot) disregard all other counting stats just looking for SB.. im leaning Buxton.
    3. More stash value in a Redraft Moncada or Rosario?
    Thoughts and thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Fausto: I like McCarthy more this turn, so does SON.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Go Buxton.

        Rosario, not sure when Moncada is up. Amed needs to be up now.

  24. SMITTY says:
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    Fantastic work Ralph, you’re the man!
    What the heck do we do with Maeda and Tanaka though?! I have both of them in a 10 team h2h league, I’m in first by a pretty large margin but I just can’t figure out what to do with these guys. The rest of my staff looks like this…
    Carrasco
    McCullers Jr
    Paxton
    Stroman
    Nova
    Pomeranz
    Syndergard (DL)
    Tanaka
    Maeda

    Being that this is a 10 team league there are some very good options on the wire and I’m allowed 4 moves a week for streaming so it’s making it very hard to hold on.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @SMITTY: I’d stream in place of Tanaka and Maeda depending on matchups.

  25. JR says:
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    Did Cole Hamels intentionally get left off the list? If not, where would he fall?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JR: Cautiously around 65. He looked bad before getting hurt and was lucky. I forgot to add him to the dl

  26. LenFuego says:
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    Where will DeSclafani rank once he is back?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @LenFuego: Around 80 with a chance to move up if he’s right.

  27. Brando says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    Prospect question. Was offered Francis Martes and Jorge Mateo for my Derek Fisher. I know Fisher has been beasting lately and honestly I feel like Mateos star is dimming, but this is a no brainer right?

    • Slappy Jack says:
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      @Brando: I’d hang on to Fisher… Martes looks like he needs alot more work

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brando: I’d hold Fish. lots of risk with the other two at the moment.

      • Brando says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks the the reply. The guy just came back with Martes and Jon Gray for Fisher. I guess I’m asking how much has Fisher improved his stock in the last few weeks! That’s a pretty tasty offer in a keeper league

  28. TheRealAdamKing says:
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    Need thoughts on a trade offer.

    Dynasty league. 5×5 OBP and QS

    Receive Urias, Odor, Jake Bauers
    Give: Duffy, Dahl, Eloy Jimenez

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @TheRealAdamKing: Don’t do it, I prefer what you’re giving up.

  29. b the esq. says:
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    Hey Ralph,
    SP as well as Prospect related. Went to the Iron Pigs game last night and Eshelman was dealing.

    Fastball topped out around 93 from what I saw. Looked great. A couple of well hit outs but nothing overly dramatic. At least 1 of the 5 hits was a bloop single just over the SS head.

    Hard to do a full detailed analysis with the kids drawing plenty of my attention, but was a great game for Eshelman.

    Thoughts on when he will be up and what kind of impact he could have?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @b the esq.: There’s a lot of those sort of back end types in the Phillies upper minors. Between he Lively, Pivetta, Thompson, etc. They’ll all get a shot, who ever pitches the best sticks. He’s not someone I’m really excited by, but he could carve out a nice MLB career.

  30. Jon says:
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    Injured pitchers who are most likely to contribute positively this year? Velasquez, Finnegan, Graveman, Karns, Tyson Ross, Iwakuma, AJ Griffin

    • Jon says:
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      @Jon: DeSclafani an option, too

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jon: I’ll go Karns and Ross if he’s right.

  31. The old professor says:
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    No Jon Gray?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The old professor: I’ll rank him next week in the DL section.

  32. Dougie says:
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    Ralph, I really love the way you write up a pitcher profile! My question is, if I were trading an injured pitcher, or trading for one, how can I estimate the ROY value of that pitcher? I don’t dislike that you took injured guys out, but they still have ROY value- many still have top 100 ROY value. Every week that their return gets closer that value grows. If you keep them separate could you put like a little estimated ranking or even a range next to their name to give folks an idea?

    Sorry, I don’t mean to be critical and I hope this doesn’t come off that way. I know you’re doing a lot and I am TRULY appreciative of the all the work you do

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dougie: No worries those little red numbers are where I would rank them if they were back. Not a problem, I aim to please with these.

  33. Saints says:
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    Hay Ralph,
    Great stuff i have more of a dynasty Question. What do you think about Matt Reynolds and Mac williamson ? Have they two a chance to get valuable MLB Starters or do you think they are garbage and i should move on ?

  34. Crime Dog says:
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    Great stuff as always Ralph. Looks like Sean Newcomb may be coming up for this weekends doubleheader with the Mets. Is he heads and shoulders ahead of Lamet as far as a good rookie stash for ROS goes or are they close? You think he’ll go back down after a start regardless of how he does?

  35. Clive says:
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    Thanks, Ralph!

    My SP is a bit of a mess right now in a 10 team H2H keeper.
    deGrom
    PAxton
    Tanaka
    Berrios
    Wacha
    Shoemaker
    Taillon
    Bumgarner (DL)

    Would you shop deGrom for Wood & G Torres? Keeper league where I could keep Torres Rd 22 next year. Or would you hold and hope deGrom turns it around?

    Thanks!

Comments are closed.