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Like Macy Gray (you read that right), I try to say goodbye and I choke (pull a Hosmer?) because my world crumbles when Adam LaRoche is not near. Let’s face it, Mighty Mighty Bosstones, Adam has been radioactive to the point where he’s probably caused a meltdown for his owners. Before you start singing, “We are never ever getting back together,” please take a deep breath and save that song for Hosmer. Yes, LaRoche has been awfully quiet, but I’m not willing to disregard his years of consistency after one month. People are dropping him, yo! I expect him to produce near his career average line of .266/.336/.479 for the rest of the season. He’s definitely a buy low (free?) guy. Now you can exhale. Anyway, here are some other players who put the bomp in OPS leagues:

Nate Schierholtz – He’s worth picking up and is available in most leagues. If you don’t see him, try spelling his name again. And again… just to make sure. There’s no reason why he can’t produce an .800+ OPS for the rest of 2013. He’s better in daily leagues where you can bench him against lefties, like the Cubs generally do.

Eric Hosmer – I’ll admit that I’ve never really been a fan of his, but I’m done expecting anything from Hosmer. Unlike Rihanna, I’m not going back to my abuser. To be fair, he will still be useful in deep leagues, but I think his 2011 numbers could be his ceiling for the next couple years. Sorry Royals fans!

Aramis Ramirez – He usually doesn’t heat up until the weather does, so maybe it’s best that he had a siesta on the disabled list. I would absolutely inquire to see whether his current owner might be willing to sell low due to concern about him being injured. A couple months ago, I thought he’d post a .290/.360/.500 line and I’ll stick with that.

Dan Uggla – At the end of 2012 I said, “His .220/.348/.384 line seemed worse than it already was. His OBP was fine, but his slugging was non-existent. I’d like to think that he could regain form, but I’m leery of trusting him because his contact rate was a career-low and his strikeout rate was much higher than it’s been in years. He’s now had two relatively down years in a row, so I’m starting to think that his baseline may be .750 OPS instead of the .825 OPS that it had been previously.” Unfortunately, this year his contact rate is even lower and strikeout rate higher. It’s looking like a .750 OPS could be his ceiling instead of his baseline.

Victor Martinez – I don’t see any red flags and I’m willing to give the old guy a pass for the first month. He probably won’t have a batting average over .300 this year, but I’m expecting him to approach an .800 OPS.

Adrian Beltre – What’s the square root of 3,500? Take what I said about Victor Frankencatcher and add that number to the OPS and you have a great third baseman. Now look three players up. No, I’m not telling you to grab your Bill James Bible – look at what I said about Aramis. Am I saying that I expect roughly the same production from Beltre as Ramirez for the rest of 2013? Bingo, Sir.

From Around The Web

  1. Peter says:
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    Aramis or Middlebrooks rest of season?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Peter: Aramis by a lot.

  2. Ryan says:
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    What do you see from Jay Bruce for the year? Will these struggles continue, thanks.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ryan: I expect him to be what he’s been the past couple years: something like a .250/.330/.490 line with 30+ homers. I’m not worried about him and think he’s just in a cold streak. I expect a hot streak soon enough.

  3. FillyP says:
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    Given the much better track record.. dropping Ike for LaRoche is a pretty good idea, yeah?

    Also, what do you think of Morrow as a buy low target?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @FillyP: I still think Ike has the greater upside, but I think it’s going to take longer for him to turn things around. I think that’s more or less a lateral move.

      Yeah, I’d buy low on Morrow.

      • FillyP says:
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        @Tom Jacks:

        Yeah, we’re on the same page. I’ve just had it with Ike and my offense has been awesome without him..

        Who do you like from the following group?

        Quintana
        Kendrick
        Colon
        Grimm
        Chen
        Doubront
        W. Davis
        Hammel

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @FillyP: Quintana would top that list for me. For whatever reason I like Colon too.

          • FillyP says:
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            @Tom Jacks: @Tom Jacks:

            Fatty Colon can def string together some quality starts, but I’m prob dropping Ike for Quintana. Going to see how he throws tonight..

            I really came back to bug you one last time – would you trade Willingham for Morrow?

            • Tom Jacks

              Tom Jacks says:
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              @FillyP: That’s fair if you need pitching. I wouldn’t do that trade – I really like Willingham.

              • FillyP says:
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                @Tom Jacks:

                Wish you were in my league.. bunch of idiots. Couldn’t move Craig for an SP2 and for trade value, I don’t think anyone sees him as more than an OF 4-5.

                S’all good though – I’m crushing it through the 1st month. 43-10-3 and 1st place. Perhaps they’re just reluctant to make my team better.

                • FillyP says:
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                  @FillyP:

                  Him = Willingham. Best SP offer I got for Craig was Fister. lol

                • Tom Jacks

                  Tom Jacks says:
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                  @FillyP: You being in first place could absolutely have something to do with it. I’ve had that issue in a keeper league. Good luck!

  4. TheNewGuy says:
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    Unrelated but needs asking all the same (partly because its much easier to find a response on a phone when asking someone other than Grey!)

    Is it crazy to consider a Choo for Hamilton deal already (getting Choo)? Hamiltons been awful and Choos been great, can see him continuing this success in his new park and team.

    But I could still see Hamilton getting nuclear at one point, he cant suddenly be this bad can he. Is it worth missing out on the inevitable huge hotstreak?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @TheNewGuy: It’s not crazy, but I wouldn’t do it. I love Choo, but I think you could do even better if you’re trading Hamilton since somebody will buy into him having a crazy hot streak at some point.

      • TheNewGuy says:
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        @Tom Jacks:
        Thanks for the quick response!

        Well you say that but the turgid offers ive got for Hamilton indicate otherwise: hamilton and Shark for Doc and Swish etc… insulting. And this is from my keeper league where theyre all sensible players.

        Think ive gotta just hold onto him for now then I guess, so bummed I didnt draft Choo on either of my teams though, my biggest regret of my 2013 drafts!

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @TheNewGuy: No problem! Yeah, I’d hold onto him given those offers. I don’t like selling low. Although maybe you can buy low on his teammate, Albert…

  5. 2 Giant rings says:
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    Would you offer Delmon Young for Mujica? 20 teams

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @2 Giant rings: Yeah, I think Mujica keeps the job for at least a couple more months.

  6. Keith says:
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    What would be a good trade for Morrow? Cingrani, Halladay or are they too much?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Keith: I’d trade Cingrani for him.

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Are you saying you’d rather have Morrow than Cingrani? And if so, why?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @malamoney: Yes, I prefer Morrow. I think he’ll be better than he’s been and Cingrani has Dusty Baker with the evil cheshire cat smile over his shoulder. I don’t think Cingrani will continue being this good, just like we saw with Jose Fernandez.

          • malamoney

            malamoney says:
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            @Tom Jacks: Well I certainly hope Morrow picks it up. I’ve got them both. So far Morrow has been disappointing, but it’s early. And Cingrani has been awesome, but it’s early.

            I hate the “Dusty” factor. Leake’s last outing helps Cingrani’s cause for staying in the majors. I agree he can’t remain this good, but I’m interested to see how he shakes out.

            I think he and Jo-Fer are two completely different pitchers though…

            • Tom Jacks

              Tom Jacks says:
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              @malamoney: Yeah they’re two different pitchers, but I think something comparable will happen with a couple dominant outings and then tailing off a bit. I’ll admit that I’m generally skeptical of rookie pitchers though.

  7. Mikeeee says:
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    Just bought low on stanton and feel like dying. just got offered this should i take it?

    Carlos Gonzales for Stanton and Lester. i have pitching depth. thanks.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Mikeeee: It’s not a bad offer, but I wouldn’t do that. He’s supposed to be back at the end of the 15 days, right? Or has that now changed? If he’s only out for two weeks, I’d still hang onto him. I’d only do that trade if he’s going to miss at least a month. I don’t like Cargo more than Stanton.

  8. Josh says:
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    Im off to a rocky start at catcher this year with the struggles of Miguel Montero. Would you drop him for Russell Martin or Chooch?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Josh: I don’t understand why Montero’s been this bad, so I trust that he’ll turn it around soon, given his consistency the past few years. I wouldn’t do that swap.

  9. Spencer says:
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    Having a pretty bad streak of luck at 2B. I picked up Daniel Murphy a while back because he was hitting pretty good. He has slowed big time lately, but was also moved to the 3 hole in the line up for the Mets. Would you hold onto him or grab Infante, Mark Ellis, or Betancourt?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Spencer: I’d hold onto him. The other guys are all a tier below him in my mind.

  10. BTD says:
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    What do you see for Ryan Howard? His AVG looks good, but his power is down.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @BTD: Sadly, I don’t expect him to get any better than this. Maybe a few more walks, but that’s probably it.

  11. JDW says:
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    I like trolling the minor leagues to see who is doing what. I like this line for a PCL AAA pitcher.

    Zero runs allowed (not even on an error) in 29 and 2/3rds is pretty derned impressive.

    29.2 IP / 29Ks / 7BB / 20 Hits / 0 Earned Runs Allowed / 0.91 Whip and a .202 Batting average against. Oh, and surprise – he’s another arm in the Cardinals AAA system. Man do they have some young arms on that squad.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @JDW: That’s insane. Maybe his dad is a home plate umpire in that league?

    • JDW says:
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      @JDW: yeah – i realize that post is a complete non-sequitor but throwing numbers around is what many of us fantasy junkies love to do. Goodly Mr. Jacks, I take it from your post and your recent Ryan Howard response that you would obviously prefer Aramis to Ryan? I’ve been trying to move Howard since week one and NO ONE is interested. Yet I’m starting to like what Ryan’s doing and suddenly not so sure I want to move him just yet.

      • Tom Jacks

        Tom Jacks says:
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        @JDW: Stats can be fun, especially smallish sample sizes! I’d much prefer Aramis to Ryan. If I had Howard, I wouldn’t just drop him, but I’d move him for the first decent offer I got.

        • JDW says:
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          @Tom Jacks: Thanks for the time. Sorry to be another one of those “what would you do?” guys. :) It must get exhausting.

          • Tom Jacks

            Tom Jacks says:
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            @JDW: No problem!

  12. Ryan says:
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    Saddled with hellickson, vogelsong and Brett Anderson. What do you see coming of these 3 and will it get better or is this the pace? Thanks again

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ryan: I think Vogelsong will improve a lot, but be slightly worse than last year going forward. Hellickson will keep pace. Anderson will be frustrating because he will continue to miss starts randomly but be decent when he actually pitches.

  13. Ron says:
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    Would you trade Villinueva and Quintana for Mclouth amd Miguel Montero?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ron: Not unless it’s a two catcher league.

  14. The Dredd Pirate says:
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    If I offered bruce for staton now that he is on dl would that be fair and a good buy low? I have ridiculus outfield depth at the moment so easily could handle not have bruce or stanton for the time being. Also do you really think it will only be 15 day dl those hamstring injuries can be a little tricky sometimes?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @The Dredd Pirate: I’d definitely try that offer, but it might be easier to pull off the deal by trading a guy who has been a bit hotter. Injuries are always tricky, but I’m going to trust the 15 day timeline until I hear otherwise. The only time when I truly don’t believe the recovery timeline with hitters is for concussions.

  15. Ron says:
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    Here is one for you:

    Verlander
    for
    Cespedes and Cueto

    Which side you taking?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ron: Cespedes/Cueto. I don’t think Cueto will be that far off from Verlander this year.

      • Ron says:
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        @Tom Jacks: So basically I have two trade offers on the table:

        Trade A: I give Villinueva and Quintana for Mclouth amd Miguel Montero
        or
        Trade B: I give Verlander for Cespedes and Cueto (DL)

        My Pitchers are: Verlander, Sherzer, A. Sanchez, Bailey, Dickey Moore, Iwakuma, Garza (DL), Villanueva and Quintana

        Knowing what my pitching looks like do you like trade A or B for me?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Ron: I like Trade B for you, especially considering you’re already deep with pitching.

  16. JoeG says:
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    Matt Joyce heating up?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @JoeG: Yes sir. Bench him against lefties and you’re golden.

  17. OPS Tom:

    How ’bout that Big Papi!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Elijah: My hero! I look forward to him being undervalued again in drafts next year because of the DH label.

  18. 4zini says:
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    What is your take on Ike Davis? Just dropped in my league…worth a claim?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @4zini: Definitely. I think he’ll turn it around at some point in a big way, like he did last year.

  19. Ron says:
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    Like a dunce i gave this to you in pieces instead of the whole picture. So basically I have two trade offers on the table:

    Trade A: I give Villinueva and Quintana for Mclouth amd Miguel Montero
    or
    Trade B: I give Verlander for Cespedes and Cueto (DL)

    My Pitchers are: Verlander, Sherzer, A. Sanchez, Bailey, Dickey Moore, Iwakuma, Garza (DL), Villanueva and Quintana

    Knowing what my pitching looks like do you like trade A or B for me?

    • Ron says:
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      @Ron: Nevermind. You have been a TREMENDOUS help. THANKS a million!

      • Tom Jacks

        Tom Jacks says:
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        @Ron: No problem!

  20. TobiasFunkeAnalRapist says:
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    I can only start 2: Bumgarner Vs. Arizona, Morrow Vs. Boston and Ryu Vs. Colorado. Leaning towards Bumgarner and Ryu but would appreciate any input.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @TobiasFunkeAnalRapist: I agree with you. Boston (Ortiz) has been hot lately. Colorado may be without Tulo tonight, which would also be a plus for Ryu.

  21. Fister Furbush says:
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    What’s up TOM!

    I have Melky Cabrera on my bench, he’s been there all year. I am in a shallow 10 team h2h league and I have Prado and Aoki starting as my #3 OF in front of him.

    Do you stick with Melky and wait it out? Or drop him for somebody like Josh Willingham, Markakis or Josh Reddick.

    p.s. I am the new fantasy advisor for a growing Facebook page called MLB Update. It’d be an honor if you’d check it out and maybe ask a couple fantasy questions for kicks and gigs’.

    Thanks!

    FF(Josh)

  22. Pops says:
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    Stanton has a grade 2 strain–at least 3 weeks.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Pops: Thanks for the update. Don’t like the sound of that…

  23. Pops says:
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    My outfield in the RCL is McCutchen-Crawford-Werth-Wells-Mclouth
    On waivers–Gattis-Rasmus-Duda-Schierholtz-Joyce-Quentin-Ross
    I’ve been stashing Myers on bench all year.
    HR score is 4.5 Any suggestions?

    Also 1b-ci-ut are Howard-Konerko-Berkman and Ortiz.
    I have to bench one everyday. ????

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Pops: I’d try to trade an outfielder for help elsewhere. Maybe Crawford since he’s been hotter than I expect him to continue to be. Then pick up Quentin. If he’s gone, I’d look to Schierholtz, Joyce, Duda, and Ross in that order.

      Hang on to Myers. It shouldn’t be long now and his value will spike when he gets called up.

      I’d generally bench Howard, but would hang on to him because an injury to one of the other three isn’t unlikely.

  24. Zoot says:
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    POINTS LEAGUE

    Brett Anderson… if him is he going to start this week?
    Edwin Jackson
    Bartolo Colon
    JA Happ
    Kevin Correia
    Ryan Vogelsong

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Zoot: I’d go with Colon and Vogelsong

  25. Jason says:
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    How you feel about Matt Cain? Been offered Matt Cain for Rizzo and S. Marte. Thanks!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Jason: I believe Cain will rebound, but I love Rizzo. It’s a wash to me.

  26. Kevin says:
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    Im thinking about dumping Jayson Werth, here are my options for a replacement..

    Kubel
    Arenado
    Betancourt

    who do you like the best out of those three? Or would you stick with the injury prone mountain man. Thanks in advance.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Kevin: I’d go with Kubel. I trust him slightly more than Werth. Although if you need a third baseman, then pick up Arenado.

  27. Nick says:
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    Unrelated, but I was offered Kenley Jansen for my Chris Perez in a 10-team roto league.
    Already have putz/perkins/grilli. Should I make it happen?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Nick: I wouldn’t because it could be awhile before he gets the job.

  28. BrewerFan says:
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    Matt Harvey or David Price rest of the year?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @BrewerFan: Price

  29. tugboat says:
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    Is Hamilton for David Price crazy? I’d receive Price. It’s a keeper league, 12 man h2h, 6×6 (ops and holds)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @tugboat: No, that’s not crazy at all

  30. Chris says:
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    Can you name 3 top pitching prospects worth an add for keeper possibilities?

    thanks

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Chris: Taillon, Cole, Walker, not necessarily in that order

  31. foul balls says:
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    (d,jennings,espinosa, miller/ for machado andkenley jensen)…or..(machado for moustakas and shelby miller) which one you like better, I need pitching and…I’m grieving my losses of stanton, heyward, bourjos, and potentially werth and looking for a spark to keep up the hope…whatever you like most…I will most likely roll with

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @foul balls: Are you trading away or getting Machado?

      • foul balls says:
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        trading away

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @foul balls: I really like the deal with you getting Jennings, Espinosa, and Miller

          • foul balls says:
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            I ended up trading machado for moose espinosa and miller…3 for 1
            a part of me thinks Jansen is closing sooner than later so I wanted to keep him…league’s era is in the mid 4’s…wake up don mattingly!!!…Im not a believer in Jennings,,,healthwise low average…so I’m hoping sagnofs can pick up those steals for me…thanks for taking time and providing feedback…Razzball Rules!!

            • Tom Jacks

              Tom Jacks says:
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              @foul balls: No problem! I like that deal. Agreed on Jansen too.

  32. Sideshow says:
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    Would u spot start David Phelps tomorrow in a deep 16 man league?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Sideshow: Yes, in that league.

  33. JG_ism says:
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    I believe itsway too early for trades, like to preach patience….but I got offered Shelby Miller/Span for Lorenzo Cain/Marwin Gonzalez….since its basically 2 for 1 I gotta press accept before he realizes. Right?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @JG_ism: You’re getting Miller? Yes, accept!

      • JG_ism says:
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        @Tom Jacks: just hit the accept button….yeah, Im getting Miller….and Span on the Nats has to be a decent season. Thanks

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @JG_ism: No problem. I agree that Span should be decent.

  34. ferris says:
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    what do you think of dropping edwin jackson in an nl-only to pick up someone like clippard or aj ramos?

    i don’t know if i can ever trust e-jax to not destroy my ratios after getting blasted at home against SD (the rest of my SP staff is great)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @ferris: I’d.still hang onto him for now. I went to that game last night and it was bizarre all around. Crazy wind, some iffy ump calls, and awkward errors.

  35. T.M. says:
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    Adrian Gonzalez straight up for Cole Hamels?

    Too much to give away? (My pitching is god awful.)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @T.M.: I think it’s too much.

  36. Doorstop says:
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    Up and at them.

    Up and atom.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Doorstop: Better.

  37. Clint says:
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    So hang tight with V-Mart even though Lucroy, Gattis, and Martin are all available to me?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Clint: Yeah, I would.

  38. Reginald Denny says:
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    Do you like Josh Rutledge or Erick Aybar better the rest of the year? I feel like Rutledge will put up better counting stats but Aybar should have nice ratios and score a lot of runs hitting in that sweet spot between Trout and Pujols.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Reginald Denny: Agreed on your points. I prefer Rutledge.

  39. Mike says:
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    Hi Tom,

    LaRoche or Konerko for the RoS? Both of them over Hosmer?

    Victor Martinez or Salvador Perez for the RoS?

    Thanks…

    Mike.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Mike: Hey Mike – I’d want Konerko first, then LaRoche, then Hosmer. Also, Martinez over Perez.

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