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If you’re into two-start streaming, then you’re likely not into six-man rotations.  They suck.  They push back useful, healthy starters.  They dilute the two-start pool.  They’re maddening for H2H purposes.  And six-man rotations are especially awful when quality teams turn to them.  Enter the St. Louis Cardinals.  Word from St. Louis is that Michael Wacha will be called-up on Saturday, and that he’ll remain in the rotation throughout the stretch run.  Now, I’ll admit I’m conflicted on this one — as a prospect enthusiast, it’s awesome to see guys like Wacha and Carlos Martinez starting big league ballgames, but as a weekly league fantasy player, I loathe the six-man rotation.  It’s a selfish hatred, as I realize it’s important for a contending team to pace out young arms like Shelby Miller and Lance Lynn, but still… what about my H2H team, John Mozeliak?  The upcoming week for the Cardinals lays out the cruddy nature of SMRs pretty clearly:  Adam Wainwright is scheduled to start Tuesday, which is game one of a six-game week.  A typical five-man corps would have him pitching again over the weekend, but that doesn’t appear to be the case in St. Louis any longer.  Perhaps Wainwright will get a special exemption and always make his starts on four days rest, but that seems unlikely.  Oh well.  It appears I’ll have to make do with just one Waino start in this HUGELY IMPORTANT WEEK. [weeps softly at desk]

As always, probable pitchers are subject to change.  For a look at all fantasy baseball streamers, click that link.

MUST START

Max Scherzer (@CHW, KC); Mat Latos (@CHC, @MIL); Chris Sale (DET, @MIN); Hiroki Kuroda (LAA, @BOS); Gio Gonzalez (SF, @ATL); Yu Darvish (@HOU, SEA); Bartolo Colon (HOU, CLE); Doug Fister (@CHW, KC); Cole Hamels (@ATL, LAD); Madison Bumgarner (@WAS, @MIA); Julio Teheran (PHI, WAS); Homer Bailey (@CHC, @MIL)

FIRST TIER

Danny Salazar (@MIN, @OAK); Jenrry Mejia (@LAD, @SD); Chris Archer (SEA, TOR); Ricky Nolasco (NYM, @PHI)

  • It’s another thin week for the first tier, but we’re flush with talent in the must start tier, so I won’t complain.  Danny Salazar (23% owned in Y! leagues) is bringing elite velocity into the 7th and 8th innings, and his whiff potential is way too good to ignore at this point.  He brings huge upside in week 20, and I’m using him wherever I can get my greedy little hands on him.  Jenrry Mejia (8%) has been quietly dominant in his three starts, posting an 18/3 K/BB along the way.  It wasn’t long ago that Mejia was a very highly-touted prospect, and it seems he might be achieving some post-hype validation down the stretch this season.  Ricky Nolasco (39%) is grossly under-owned considering his steady production — I’m certainly starting him against two cupcakes in the week ahead.  Finally, Chris Archer carries some risk coming off the forearm injury, but all reports positive, and he appears ready to go.  If the Rays are putting him out there, so am I.

SECOND TIER

Brett Oberholtzer (TEX, @LAA); Wade Miley (BAL, @PIT); Garrett Richards (@NYY, HOU); Travis Wood (CIN, STL); Jhoulys Chacin (SD, @BAL); Samuel Deduno (CLE, CHW); Bruce Chen (MIA, @DET)

  • Brett Oberholtzer (2%) was listed in last week’s two-start post, before the Houston officially went to a six-man rotation.  He was in the “don’t start” tier last last Saturday, as I wasn’t ready to buy into the lefty after just one quality outing.  But then he went and blanked the Red Sox for seven frames on Monday.  Oberholtzer draws a tough slate in week 20, but I’m comfortable riding this hot streak while it lasts.  August is usually about the time of year when Bruce Chen (15%) starts doing things that Bruce Chen shouldn’t be doing.  He’s posted a 10/1 K/BB across his last two starts, allowing only one run during that stretch.  If it weren’t for the start versus Detroit, Chen might be a first tier dude this week.  Garrett Richards (3%) draws a couple nice opponents in week 20 — don’t let the Yankees fool ya; they’re the second worst team in baseball in the OPS department.  The remaining streamable two-start options are as follows:  Sam Deduno (7%), Wade Miley (55%), and Travis Wood (68%).

THIRD TIER

Andrew Albers (CLE, CHW); Miguel Gonzalez (@ARI, COL); Josh Johnson (OAK, @TB); Eric Stults (@COL, NYM); Tom Koehler (@KC, SF); Charlie Morton (@STL, ARI); Ryan Dempster (@TOR, NYY); CC Sabathia (LAA, @BOS); Hector Santiago (DET, @MIN); Marco Estrada (@TEX, CIN)

  • There’s usually some sort of desperate argument to be made for the guys here in tier three, but c’mon.  Outside of AL/NL-only, why would you go here?  Sure, Andrew Albers dominated the Royals in his only career start, but that’s one damn start, and I’m sure as hell not trusting him yet.  Should he toss a couple more gems, I’ll cut him some slack, a la Oberholtzer.  For now, I’ll steer clear.  I suppose, too, Tom Koehler has some upside.  The match-ups are good, and he’s been reasonably steady for the past month, but I really can’t endorse using him.  Same goes for the others here.  Dipping into tier three is never a good idea.

DON’T START

Aaron Harang (@TB, @TEX); Dan Straily (@TOR, CLE); Edinson Volquez (@COL, NYM); J.A. Happ (BOS, @TB)

  • What’re you, crazy?
  1. Billy B-Cup Butler says:
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    Thanks for eliminating some of the guess work every week, the palooza is always clutch.
    Who do you like ROS in a 12team standard H2H (with limited roster moves), Salazar or Nolasco?
    Thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Salazar brings more upside, but Nolasco is the safer bet. Probably Ricky.

  2. Travis says:
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    What’s your thoughts on Garza? Droppable? He looked good his first couple games in TEX but has been rocked ever sense–either he’s having trouble figuring out the AL or they were quick to figure out him? He even got litup by the Astros. I’m considering dropping for Ivan Nova or an extra hitter.

    • Jeff G. says:
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      I the same question. I was thinking of dropping Garza and picking up Nova or Salazar. Which would be better?

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        I’d hold Garza, but Nova would be the add if you’re intent on making a move…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Garza was one of the best pitchers going just two weeks ago… it’s amazing how quickly things can change. I’d hold him for now.

      • Travis says:
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        @Scott Evans: what about homer? I’m not impressed with his overall consistency–great one game, horrible the next few?

        • Travis says:
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          @Travis: looking at Nova, Nolasco, or Alex Wood. Options to drop are Garza, Homer or Beachy–but I think Beachy turned a corner now.

          • Scott Evans

            Scott Evans says:
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            Beachy would be my drop, but frankly, I don’t think you need to make this move…

  3. BrewerFan says:
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    Haren, Wacha, Kennedy,Estrada ROS?

    Which one would you drop if needed?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Estrada.

  4. Alex says:
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    Beauty, I got 5 guys in the top two tiers.

    Gonna rip this week!

    Colon is in must start territory though? I’ll definitely be playing him, but his last start…sucked. And Cleveland isn’t exactly a brutal offence.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Colon’s been too steady throughout the past three months for one poor outing to knock him out of must start status.

  5. Natty Boh says:
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    Who should I drop for Sonny Gray, Samardzija or Kazmir?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Neither… Kazmir if you’re intent on making the move, though.

  6. brick says:
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    Great read as always, thanks Scott! Excited to get a two start week from Scherzer!

    Would you rather start Sonny Gray v Toronto or Wacha vs. CHC today?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Wacha

  7. Shake N Bacon says:
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    I’m looking forward to Salazar’s two starts coming up. He’s an exciting pitcher to watch!

    I have a hard time agreeing on the Phillies being a cupcake matchup after what the did to my ratios this past week. I streamed E-Jax against them and then the Samardzija catastrophe happened. They’ll probably go back to sucking now that I’ve sworn off streaming against them.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Salazar is filthy & very fun to watch. And yeah, Phillies are kinda waking up past few weeks — poor timing for you! I’ll have to reassess the cupcake moniker if they keep hitting…

      • Shake N Bacon says:
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        @Scott Evans: The Phillies before the E-Jax start had been awful for a month. Maybe the absence of D-Brown was part of that. I dropped Samardzija out of anger. I’ll probably end up regretting that. He’s been a pretty streaky pitcher this year though.

        This week is looking like a better week for my pitching though. Two must start pitchers and Salazar’s nice matchups. Can’t complain!

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          No shame in a good old fashioned hate drop w/ someone like Samardz.

  8. Vinny says:
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    I am having a really hard time benching TWO of these guys…

    Salazar … Two starts
    Burnett… Vs ARI
    Parker… Vs Hou
    Fernandez @KC

    Im leaning on benching the last two. Dumb?

    • Captian Giggles says:
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      never sit Fernandez…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Gotta start Jo-Fer against KC… tough call, but I’d bench Burnett & Parker

  9. Captian Giggles says:
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    SCOTT,

    Would you drop S. Romo for Danny Farquhar? bad teams is it worht the RP change going down the playoff stretch? and yea, I like me some Oberholtzer too, He maybe something special

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’d hold Romo.

  10. Kawasaki MVP! says:
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    Two questions…

    Does Matt Harvey have two starts this week?

    And cliff lee vs LAD?

    Or

    Leake vs MIL

    Who to start need era and whip help

    Thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Jon Niese’s return puts the Mets with a 6-man rotation, so I don’t believe Harvey will throw twice… I’d start Lee.

  11. Peter Nincompoop says:
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    Great article as always…looks like Sonny Gray is going to be a fixture in the A’s lineup for the foreseeable future. Are any of the following pitchers cuttable in favor of picking up Gray for the ROY/Playoffs? Lynn, Bailey, Liriano (got bombed last night), Zimmermann or Holland. I could get tricky and cut Brian McCann and go without a catcher for a while. Should I slow my roll on Grey? Thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’d hold for now. Not a fan of any of those drops…

      • Peter Nincompoop says:
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        @Scott Evans: Thank you!

  12. D. Jackson says:
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    Mejia and Nolasco are both available and I have room for only one. Which do you lean toward? Mejia = riskier but more exciting? I just can’t get jazzed about picking up Nolasco.

    Also: if Vargas returns this week against NYY like he says he will, do you think Richards gets bumped out of his second start? Because if there’s a chance of that, I’d rather just roll with my man Gaudin @MIA. (Both RP-eligible.)

    Strange days when Carsten is in Tier 3.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Yeah, Nolasco is a boring scoop, but probably safer. I usually go with the more exciting option in these cases, though –> Mejia.

      The Vargas situation probably does set Richards back… I’d go with the safer option in Gaudin.

      • D. Jackson says:
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        Thanks, Scott. You’re the man.

        One Oakland follow-up: Would you prefer Sonny Delight or Parker, both against Houston?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          Parker.

  13. JoeG414 says:
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    A few questions:
    Do we like Martin Perez vs Hou on Sunday?

    And Other than Avisail Garcia,W.Flores,X.Bogaerts,Travis d’Arnaud,Nick Castellanos,Oscar Taveras(I know all big names); are there any other hitters that will get called up and help (get enough playing time to help)this year?
    Deep daily mixed 6×6 roto.
    Thanks

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Stream-o-nator isn’t big on that Perez start, and I’m not really liking it either… as for the prospects, your list covers the high-impact guys… Billy Hamilton probably gets a call up, but his impact will be minimal… there’s always the potential for Middlebrooks to return to relevance… anything else (Singleton, Springer, etc) would come as a surprise to me…

      • JoeG414 says:
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        @Scott Evans:
        Is Niese a better option than Perez, or it just might better to wait and see on both(don’t want my whip and era to get killed).
        I could pickup Jerry Mejia for the two start week?
        What think?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          I like the idea of adding Mejia.

          • JoeG414 says:
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            @Scott Evans:
            Thanks ; I know Sonny (look what they did to my boy) is a little wild today. But

            • JoeG414 says:
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              @JoeG414:
              But i wish the A’s would catch the ball for him

              • Scott Evans

                Scott Evans says:
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                yeah, no shizz…

  14. I have both Scherzer and Santiago in a roto league and they go head to head this week. Our league allows 2 bench spots. Wins, WHIP and ERA are all very, very type tight. For instance, six teams have between 59 and 62 wins, I have 60). I am trying to decide whether to start them both and have a higher chance of getting a win or just start Scherzer and bench Santiago. Santiago has been dragging down my WHIP and ERA and pitching against Detroit is no picnic and a Santiago win has to be low. I guess I go just Scherzer, do you agree? Our league title is a two team race between me and another owner is ERA is 3.287 and mine is 3.387 with a own owner between us at 3.384.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I agree, Scherzer only.

  15. D. Jackson says:
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    Unrelated to the Palooza, but in mixed leagues do you try to stock your staff with more NLers than ALers, due to the scoring differential? Or do you just go with talent? All five of my SPs next week are in the AL, and I’m wondering if having an AL-heavy staff is a poor idea in the long run.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I don’t let broad league factors like that influence my rosters… talent supersedes all that stuff.

  16. Anthony says:
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    @Scott: Are Hellickson and locke not streaming options? what tier would these guys be in?? they both start tomorrow

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      We’re only looking at guys that go twice for this feature… both those guys are worth a look, especially Locke. Check out our stream-o-nator for daily streamer projections –> http://razzball.com/streamers

  17. TheGoods says:
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    Should I start Andre Rienzo today?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Not a bad play versus the Twins… I like it.

  18. dave says:
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    looking to pick up salazar
    need to drop one

    cole, lackey,dubrount, tillman, zimmerman

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Tillman

  19. dave says:
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    also i know this a forum on pitching for this week but a question about SS.

    junior lake,stephen drew, andrus or lowrie

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’d play the hot hand w/ Lake…

  20. McGrupp says:
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    Think C-Mart may still find regular starts down the stretch, considering that Wacha is supposedly up for good? Holding him in a pitching-thin keeper, though I won’t be keeping him.

    Thanks for the article as always.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @McGrupp: no, not regular starts…

  21. Ecstatic Giraffe says:
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    Should I start Peavy, Ryu, or cingrani or should I pick up fister? I’m leading in wins, third in ks, and third in both era and whip.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Fister is available? Pick him up!

  22. malamoney says:
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    Randall Delgado?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Unless I’m missing something, it looks like only Miley will go twice for ARI in a 6-game week.

  23. goodfold2 says:
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    wacha’s going bullpen, not staying on as starter. Until next time Westrbroke sucks, maybe.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Yeah, Joe Strauss of the St Louis Post Dispatch was forecasting a de facto 6-man rotation on Friday, which is the source I was using when I wrote this on Fri… obviously it’s not quite so crystal clear with the Cards moving Wacha to the ‘pen…

  24. I am in a auction Roto keeper league and drafted NYY David Robertson for the league minimum of $1. I have been getting trade offers for him from the NYY fans. What is the chance the Yankees turn over the closer duties to him next year? I have heard no rumors, but if he gets the job it would be a steal for me. Otherwise I can get an Elvis Andrus for the rest of this year.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      It’s pretty tough to peg a guy as a closer for the following year… so much can go wrong with those lat innings guys… I’d probably look to trade him.

  25. Mikey says:
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    Scott –

    In the playoffs and want to start 4 SP for the upcoming week. I’ve got Fister and Sale. Which 2 would you start – Dickey @ TB/ Hellickson, Lester @ Tor/ Rogers, Griffin @ Clev/ Jimenez, Parker vs Hou/ Cosart?

    I could go with only 3 SP and an RP but my only RP on the bench is Tazawa.

    Your expertise is appreciated…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Parker & either Griffin or Dickey… I’d roll w/ Dickey if he pitches well today.

  26. Jay says:
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    For this upcoming week who do you like the best?

    Homer Bailey, Salazar, or Nolasco? I couldn’t find it but is Jordan Zimmerman a two start pitcher?

    Also- since the news that its possible David wright may not return this season since the mets are out of the playoff hunt, would you drop the 3b I’ve been using (Chris Johnson) & add either Martin Prado, Donnie Murphy, Or Brett Lawrie or just continue to roll with Johnson?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Bailey. Jay-Z is not a 2-start guy for this week… Lawrie is probably worth a look at 3B.

  27. TheBravesWearPrado says:
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    I’m in a 12 team H2H league. I’ve been riding the Wei-Yin Chen streak. I’m up against the first place team this week and he has multiple 2 start pitchers. Should I drop Chen for Mejia knowing that someone else will probably scoop Chen up? Basically my question is whether Chen is good enough to warrant a permanent spot on my roster or if I shouldn’t hesitate to drop him for a streamer.

    Thanks!

  28. Jake says:
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    Hey Scott Evans which pitcher do you like the best for this weeks upcoming matchup?:

    Bruce Chen (vs. Miami & Detroit)

    Hector Santiago (vs. Detroit & Minnesota)

    Tom Koehler (vs. KC & San Fran)

    Erasamo Ramirez (vs. Tampa bay & Texas)

    Thanks!

    • Jake says:
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      @Jake:

      Or the Mets pitcher; Mejia (vs. Dodgers & Padres)

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        whoops… I like Mejia best

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Chen

  29. Viv Savage says:
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    Cingrani @ Mil this week or M. Estrada with 2 starts (one in Texas..)? H2H points

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @Viv Savage: Cingrani

  30. mraccoe says:
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    Scared of Erasmo’s 2nd start at Tex. Replace him with Vargas (Hou) if all goes well in tomorrow’s start?

Comments are closed.