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As always, probable pitchers are subject to change.  For a look at all fantasy baseball streamers, click that link.

Are you like me? Have you been doubting the existence of the humidor at Coors Field since they allegedly installed it in the early 2000s? Didn’t it sound like some kind of lame way to side-step the concerns that juiced-up ogres were having a field day lighting up the scoreboard in the thin air? Yeah, that’s it, it’s the baseballs, not the steroids coursing through players’ veins, leading to 15-13 games. But no, there really is a humidor at Coors, and they really do put baseballs in there to bathe them in humidity, not groups of smelly 55-year-old cigar-smoking creeps.

All kinds of studies have been done that show home run numbers and batting averages have been somewhat deflated thanks to the humidor. But that hasn’t exactly transformed Coors into Petco. I don’t need to dig for stats on that – you’ve started your best guys there, and you’ve seen your ERA numbers skyrocket as a result. It’s why I see an “@COL” next to one of the guy’s names below and move them down from where they started. So what pitchers don’t get crushed in Coors? There’s no way to predict for certain, but I looked at some of the games where the Rockies were dominated in Denver and found something interesting. Three pitchers who have done well this year have good sinkers, decent-to-great curveballs and throw the four-seam fastball.

Lance Lynn blanked the Rockies over eight innings last Monday. His four-seam fastball has one of  MLB’s best K/9 rates. Lynn has been throwing his sinker, a primary pitch, for strikes lately. And his curveball, which he throws with two strikes quite often, had to have been on that night. On June 3, Chase Anderson – not exactly a Cy Young candidate – went six-plus, giving up four hits and one run in a win. He too relies on a four-seamer, a nasty sinker and a curve that was one of the pitches he focused on heading into 2014. And way back on May 6, Dillon Gee gave up no runs on six hits in a winning effort. Primary pitch? Four-seam fastball. And, while they’re not great, he does throw a sinker and a curve with a knuckle grip. (In case you’re wondering, Tim Lincecum throws a two-seamer, and his curveball has been his bugaboo during his extended dazed-and-confused phase. No truth to the rumor that he uses the humidor for a little Puff the Magic Dragon action when the Giants are in Denver.)

Obviously, a good sinker is clutch in Coors to get those ground balls. What’s odd is that, although the four-seamer is used to surprise hitters and make the ball miss the sweet spot of the bat, it can be easily detected and bashed for dongs. Then again, mix that pitch with a great curve, and you might have something there. Look, I’m no Leo Mazzone. I don’t rock back and forth while writing the Two-Startapalooza every week. But slightly meaningless trends are slightly meaningless trends and that’s what fantasy writers are supposed to pick up on. As such, I think Josh Beckett and Dan Haren’s starts in Coors are worth a close watch this week. Indeed, Beckett throws a four-seamer, and his curve has been one of his best pitches, especially during his schweet comeback 2014. In fact, I wouldn’t be afraid to start him. Why not? If he blows up, you can always come back and yell at me in the comments or on Twitter @NiceRazzball. I’m not as big on Haren, but he does fit the profile.

Here’s some more two-starters for the week:

Must Start

David Price (@NYY, @DET)

Is he a tad unpredictable? Yes. Could he mess himself on the mounds in either New York or Detroit or both? Yes. But after the five starts strung together by Price, all of which were double-digit strikeout performances where he gave up three runs or less, you can’t not roll him out there. He’s given up four walks TOTAL during this run. It’s like the Rays said, “Hey, David, we’re gonna trade you,” and he was like, “Shiz yeah, watch this,” and other teams were like, “Whoah,” and you were like, “I’m going to start him this week, both times.”

First Tier

Mat Latos (@SD, MIL), Jake Arrieta (@BOS, @WAS), Jordan Zimmermann (COL, CHC), Corey Kluber (@LAD, KC), Anibal Sanchez (OAK, TB)

Latos has looked really good in two starts, and really horrendous in one, since he’s returned from the DL. We know one of these will be in the first group, and I’m willing to wager he handles Milwaukee at home just fine.

Second Tier

Josh Beckett (CLE, @COL), Garrett Richards (@CHW, HOU), Henderson Alvarez (PHI, @STL), Chris Archer (@NYY, @DET), Alex Wood (NYM, ARI), Jered Weaver (@CHW, HOU), Dan Haren (CLE, @COL), Jesse Hahn (CIN, SF), Rick Porcello (OAK, TB), Collin McHugh (SEA, @LAA), Hiroki Kuroda (TB, @MIN), Danny Duffy (@MIN, @CLE), Scott Kazmir (@DET, TOR), Taijuan Walker (@HOU, @CWS), A.J. Burnett (@MIA, @PIT), Tim Lincecum (STL, @SD), David Phelps (TB, @MIN), Jeff Locke (ARI, PHI), Jarred Cosart (SEA, @LAA), Zack Wheeler (@ATL, TEX)

The return of Taijuan! Amazing how available he’s been in the last week or so. I’m not expecting complete dominance, but these are very favorable matchups to return to. Meanwhile, Lincecum has been the marquee name in a lot of places as a guy to use next week. Really? Even the game in San Diego is a crap shoot with this guy. Hell, he could no-hit the Cards and then get smoked in Petco. Wow, that was a complete accident. I can’t even avoid the jokes. Speaking of San Diego, Hahn’s got two home starts this week.

Third Tier

Drew Hutchison (MIL, @OAK), Ubaldo Jiminez (TEX, @BOS), Jake Peavy (CHC, BAL), Nick Martinez (@BAL, @NYM), Joe Saunders (@BAL, @NYM)

Martinez and Saunders are here because of their trips to Citi Field, and that’s about it.

Don’t Start

Christian Friedrich (@WAS, LAD), Hector Noesi (LAA, SEA), Yohan Flande (@WAS, LAD), Ricky Nolasco (KC, NYY), Brad Mills (@DET, TOR), Wade Miley (@PIT, @ATL), Samuel Deduno (KC, NYY), Marco Gonzales (@SF, MIA)

This cast is about as bad as the Robert Downey Jr. era of “Saturday Night Live.”

  1. gareth says:
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    I swear,

    The late innings for the Chicago white sox is like watching a world cup penalty shootout.

  2. gareth says:
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    8th inning:

    Guerra gets the first guy then walks the second guy. Toronto pinch hit Lind and they immediately replace Guerra for a left on left match up. This does not bode well for Guerra’s chance to be a closer again.

    The lefty specialist gets lind on 3 pitches and is replaced with putnam who gives up a hit to ANOTHER lefty pinch hitter (Francisco). With batters on the corners and two out he then manages to get Rasmus to fly out for the final out.

    Is petricka coming out for the 9th, or is Putnam getting the 4 out save? We shall see………..

  3. gareth says:
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    Haha. White sox load the bases with nobody out in the 9th. There may be NO save opportunity now!

  4. gareth says:
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    Never mind. Janssen gets out of it.

    4 – 2 game and thw white sox wheel out…………

  5. gareth says:
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    Putnam.

    Dammit!!!! I had shares in petricka!

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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      @gareth: yep, as soon as he got it though (and even before at this point your grabbing putnam in any league that doesn’t make you wait till 3 AM eastern i.e. yahoo-tomorrow’s or espn’s in general)

  6. gareth says:
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    Leadoff double by Gose. The plot thickens…….

  7. gareth says:
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    Wow. Kawasaki gets an rbi. 4 – 3. Still noone out. Sale’s win in jeopardy……

  8. gareth says:
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    One on, two out now. But Putnam had to face the beast they call Edwin……..

  9. gareth says:
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    The beast is temporarily tamed and Putnam gets the save Belissario style. Business as usual in Chicago.

    I’m so glad the ninth inning has become much clearer for the white sox.

    I HATE CHASING SAVES!!!

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @gareth: You can always punt saves. If you don’t have an elite stable of closers it can really consume you to chase em.

  10. stonepie says:
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    miley needs some love. his xfip is well below his era and his swstr% is at a career high and trending upwards. the hr/9 is really high, unsustainable high. he’s never given up this many homers before in his career, so i dont see why it’d start now.

    he’s among league leaders in innings pitched and strikeouts this season. once the home runs regress, you could be looking at a mid 3′s era guy with a k-rate around 7.5-8. that’s pretty valuable.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @stonepie: Well let’s see it happen then. Until that time I got no love for that Kid Rock looking mofo.

  11. Confucius says:
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    Pete, was offered arenado for springer. Earlier I believe I read grey saying springer was a sell because he strikes out a ton. Is this good trade value or can I do better?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Confucius: I would go by need, positionally. I have mixed feelings Arenado. Obviously you have the Coors factor and he was on the way to a breakout. But will the hand be tender and affect his power? if position wasn’t an issue I’d go Springer.

  12. Lemmingness says:
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    Weekly points redraft league,

    Latos or Iwakuma ROS?

    Also how does my Seager+Polanco for his Latos or Iwakuma sound?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Lemmingness: Latos. That trade worries me. I’m not sold on Latos staying healthy. Too much to give for Iwakuma.

      • Lemmingness says:
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        @Pete Nice: What if it was Polanco/Seager for Latos/one of Gausman-Stroman?

        • Pete Nice

          Pete Nice says:
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          @Lemmingness: Latos/Stroman

  13. Chon says:
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    Give Latos, get Machao. Bueno deal?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Chon: na malo.

  14. Tulogit says:
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    Might need to stream. Who should I drop? Gausman or Smyly or Stroman. Leaning Gausman but curious what you guys think. Thanks!

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Tulogit: definitely Gausman. Stroman and Smyly been toit.

  15. ty says:
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    Yo Pete, Are we still being patient with Heaney or would you go with Stroman, Hahn or Walker?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @ty: My order of preference: Stroman, Hahn, Heaney, Walker

      • Ty I says:
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        @Pete Nice: thanks Pete.. I like it..

        • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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          @Ty I: i’m gonna have to make this same decision only i don’t have hahn. but do have keuchel and colon.

  16. Zar says:
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    Hey Pete. Do you like Cain more than Heaney? He’s on waivers and looks like he might be rebounding a bit.

    Also, in a 5×5 h2h league, i was offered his Matt Holliday and Buehrle for my Longo+Melancon. I’m not super hot on the trade. Do you think Longo+Melancon for Darvis (Or Tanaka) and Iwakuma would work?

    Thanks :D

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Zar: Try to get Yu and Tanaka first haha. Then if not take your pick and pair with Iwakuma and accept.

      And yea I think Cain over Heaney.

  17. nick the dick says:
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    Lose kuechel to grab stroman back up?

  18. I Be Teheran It Up says:
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    Eovaldi is now a streamer at best I suppose, who would you replace him with? C. Martinez or Leake are best options on my wire… thanks

  19. Philsfan says:
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    Stroman was dropped in my league. Lose any of these doodes for him? im gonna have to drop Masterson to make room for Harper as he comes off the DL tomorrow:

    Hammel
    Heaney
    Kennedy
    Hahn
    Masterson
    Porcello

    Thanks and great article as per usual

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Philsfan: I’d dump Masterbaterson for Stroman. And thanks for the kind words Nature Boy. Wooooo!

  20. HudsonRiver says:
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    Do you like Stroman or Ervin Santana ROS?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @HudsonRiver: I’m high on Stroman but I wouldn’t drop Santana outright to get him.

  21. Squints says:
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    Who do you drop and then…which one do you start?
    Haren
    Chavez
    Roark
    Eovaldi
    Lohse
    I am leaning towards Eovaldi and starting Haren for the 2 starts…I have Weaver, Arrieta, and Latos on 2 starts as well.
    Thoughts? Thanks.

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Squints: yea Eovaldi. I chucked him in one league today but damn I wish I had kept him instead of Smyly. Oofta!!

  22. Kyle Kendrick says:
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    Stroman, wheeler, Odorizzi, Ervin San, Heaney, leake, G. Cole ROS?

    • Pete Nice

      Pete Nice says:
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      @Kyle Kendrick: Right now if I had my choice to keep ROS: Cole, Leake, Stroman, ESan, Heaney, Odor, Wheeler

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