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With fantasy drafts approaching (some already taking place, it’s imperative we go over the rest of the top outfielders to draft this year in fantasy baseball. If you’re looking for the top twenty of every position for 2008, click here. While I’m admittedly a huge fan of Rudy Gamble’s 2008 player rater/projections tool, I go more on instinct. (BTW, I haven’t lost a league to Gamble since Britney Spears was (supposedly) a virgin. Natch!) So what follows is what will be happening in 2008 for these fantasy outfielders. Don’t believe me; lose your league. I’ll sleep fine.

21. Manny Ramirez – I’ve already written why he should be avoided; click here. People disputed me. People were wrong. When he was 32, his lovable laissez-faire attitude didn’t matter. As time catches up to him, he doesn’t have the work ethic to put up top twenty numbers. I know that reports suggest Manny’s in the best shape of his life. Reports last spring training suggested Jason Schmidt would be the NL Cy Young. I know about the contract. Um, Manny’s a zillionaire. Do you really think he wants to play 150 games this year so he can make twelve million rather than ten? How many Wiis does Many need? Listen, he’ll still be one of the more productive elder statesmen (Hey, Luis Gonzalez, how’s the elbow?), but keep expectations in check. Projections: 85/32/105/.315

22. Hunter Pence – I tend to steer clear of second year players. (Here’s why Ryan Braun will suck.) In the first year, no one knows how to get them out (or catch up to them, if they’re pitchers). In the second year, everyone has the batter or pitcher’s number. Now they must adjust. This ain’t foolproof here; Hanley adjusted well (though I am down on Hanley this year, which you can see here). I’m just saying there are plenty of outfielders, why not go the safe rather than sorry route? Hunter may be great, but you’re going to have to draft him pretty high to get him. Stop with your ADD and wait a year; see what happens. Projections: 95/22/75/.290/17

23. Delmon Young – See Pence, Hunter. I actually like Young more than Pence. In the minors, he showed more potential. I think his ceiling is higher. So why is he below him? Why ask so many questions? The Twins might actually be worse offensively than the Astros. I know! Hard to bee-leave, right? Anyway, Young, Pence and Corey Hart (who placed 19th) are all very close. Corey Hart is on the best team offensively, Pence on the second best, Young third. See how that worked. Projections: 70/20/100/.285/15

25. Hideki Matsui – Why should you draft Hideki? Cause he loves porn. Also, you don’t get much safer. Sure, he had some injury problems recently, but he’s over the wrist and the knee should be fine. Stop looking for an argument. Projections: 105/25/100/.295

26. Vernon Wells – About here is where the caveats begin. Let’s call this Tier: Caveat. Caveat #1, Vernon absolutely sucks for extended stretches. I’m not talking an oh for twenty stretch. He’s stayed in a flunk for whole seasons. Ugh, I kinda want Swisher more. But he’s got caveats too. Well, Wells will steal… Maybe. I am giddy for Alexis Rios (he will be this year’s Holliday) and just maybe Rios can make the difference in that Jays lineup. Projections: 90/30/90/.280/7

27. Jeff Francoeur – Caveat #2, it’s obvious. But he’s still very young and he took almost double the amount of walks last year (I know, double of nothing is still nothing. Cute.). Very solid lineup around him (barring injury to Chipper, which is a thirty game given). I’m beginning to believe in Frenchy. Projections: 85/25/110/.280/5

28. Chris B. Young – Caveat #3, Krispie doesn’t make a whole lot of contact, but when he does, he has a power/speed combo that should make any fantasy owner excited. I had him for a bit last year (Gamble dropped him. Natch, natch!) and I’ve been crushing on Young ever since, even when he was hitting .230 for me. Projections: 90/25/70/.245/32

29. Andruw Jones – I don’t think he’s done-zo, but I watched more than my share of Jones at-bats last year. Caveat #4, He doesn’t care at all. Stop smiling after you strikeout; you’re really pissing me off! 85/32/110/.250 (BTW, speaking of not caring, while I was writing this up, I looked up to see if there was any new Andruw news. Seems he showed up to camp in Miguel Cabrera’s old body. Andruw will be retired by 36. Guaranteed.)

30. Nick Swisher – The move to the new team was a boon to his value, but that was mostly because his pre-trade value was pretty boon-less.  Caveat #5, Don’t go drafting Swisher expecting top OF value. He’s okay, but keep expectations in order. Projections: 90/33/105/.250

31. Jermaine Dye – Oddly, he seems like he has a bad attitude and, at the same time, no personality. (Unlike Jason Bay who can’t even sport a bad attitude.) Anyway,  Caveat #6, he had one good year amongst many mediocre ones. ’06 was an outlier. Don’t pay for a farkin’ outlier. Projections: 90/25/105/.280

32. Juan Pierre – Caveat #7, he’ll get you steals and maybe an inside the park home run if the official scorer blows a call on a bunt. Projections: 110/0/40/.300/50

33. Johnny Damon – Caveat #8, he relies on his legs and he’s getting old. And he’s getting old fast. Not sure what happened, perhaps diving for Manny’s cutoff throws took a lot out of him. If you don’t know what you’re getting from Damon by this point, you probably shouldn’t be playing fantasy baseball.  Projections: 105/15/70/.280/15

34. Jason Bay – Final Caveat, saved for this bum. I was going to leave Bay off completely, but I figured there would be some Pirates fan somewhere that would complain because Bay’s soooo cute and talented and, like, Canadian. Then I re-thought that and decided there are no Pirates fans. Act like you never saw Bay on this list. He’s poison. Projections: crap/crap/and more crap.

35. Shane Victorino – (Now’s the part of the list where I focus on sweet, sweet upside. These are guys you should be looking to draft.) Seriously, draft Victorino. What are you waiting for? I broke him down a few times already, but here’s the one that won me the Phillies Phulitzer. Projections: 115/15/60/.280/40 and Victorino and I get a room. (BTW, cause I know this is coming, Gamble beat me to Victorino last year. Reverse natch!)

36. Matt Kemp – If the price is right, pounce on Kemp. Shandler’s projecting 14/20; Rotowire’s projecting 17/14; I’m predicting… Projections: 95/20/75/.290/20

37. Michael Bourn – He’s been discussed too if you click here. He’s Juan Pierre for the Gen Z generation.  Projections: 105/4/50/.280/40

38. Josh Hamilton – Now the only crack Hamilton knows is the crack of the bat. Oofa! Seriously, folks. He’s the feel-good story of ’06. Like a baseball Mr. Holland’s Opus. Yowsers! Anyway, he does seem to be a bit injury-prone so be careful, but there’s upside in Arlington. Projections: 70/27/80/.300/5

39. Josh Willingham/Jeremy Hermedia – The upside portion of our show has concluded. I’m not advising you draft both Willingham and Hermedia. Actually, I won’t be drafting either, but they’re here cause, well, you know, they belong here. While we’re here — A secret! Don’t draft any Marlin. I love the “Who you gonna call… Maroone!” commercials as much as the next guy, but this team’s going to be wretched. Projections for both: 70/24/75/85/.270 Hermedia’s got more upside and (supposedly) the ability to steal. This has yet to come to fruition.

40. Kosuke Fukodome – I already dropped some knowledge about this hombre on your Fukodome. I veer towards the proven, so here’s another guy I won’t be drafting. Why not take the gamble? One word – KazIwamura. Projections: 65/15/75/.275 and Murton gets some at-bats. Alas…

Tomorrow we go over the pitchers to grab in drafts after the top twenty. You’re welcome.

From Around The Web

  1. C’mon, man. You’re natching me on Chris B. Young from last year? Where’s the props in having the prescience to draft him in the last round?

    If I had an extra DL slot, I would’ve kept him. He had a leg injury sometime in late Spring and I feared his SBs would suffer when he returned…

    Touche on not winning a league you were in…but i’ve finished in front of you at least one of the previous two years, no? Give a man a sip from the solace tit…

    rudygamble’s last blog post..Top Fantasy Baseball Outfielders for 2008, 21-40

  2. Grey

    Grey says:
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    You were natched, deal. Also, watch the vulgarities. It’s not like we have a half-naked lady on the site advertising her wares (or no wears). Guess word got out about our site’s demographic. There goes my guest blogging opportunity with http://www.mommamuse.com/.

  3. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    Kosuke it ain’t so? (I didn’t just say that did I?)

    Come on… Lou’s already said he’s going to bat him 2nd, 3rd or 5th. This means 90 runs, 85RBI with lots of pitches to hit.

    No steals? He’s on base so much he’s at least good for 10 steals, especially with the bats behind him.

  4. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Why don’t you and the Cubs get a room?

    He’s got some upside because of the unknown factor, but he’s old and he just came off a big injury in the Land of the Rising Sun.

    A better question, why do the Cubs continue to let Murton languish?

  5. I am a little more bullish on CBY. Wasn’t CBY a national frozen yogurt chain? He had an abysmal .258 BABIP last year. With a little luck, .260 is well within reach. His 30 HR power is legit. He averaged a HR every 18.78 AB in his three full seasons in the minors. That comes out to 30 over the course of 560 AB, in line with his performance last year.

    His minor league numbers (.267 BA and .358 OBP) scream Mike Cameron, but remember Cammy played his peak years in Safeco with crazy splits the likes we haven’t seen since the heyday of Diamond Dave. Put him in a neutral park and he would have had some .900+ OPS seasons with 30/30+ counting stats. Ok, so Cammy and Krispie are two different dudes, but can we really be sure of that?

    The BA will never be pretty, and the RBI totals will be stuck in the low 70’s leading off, but at 24 I see room for growth. Though, long term, I think I’d still rather have Delmon.

    Herb Urban’s last blog post..Damn, The Hoff cleans up well

  6. Grey

    Grey says:
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    I think your Cam comparison is fair, who never reached 30/30, btw. Country’s Best Yogurt has a better ballpark and could put 25/35 numbers, fo sho. But .260 seems like a ceiling rather than a jumping off point.

  7. Pingback: Encouraging Projection

  8. Despite a similar skill set, I think CBY had a chance of being the much better offensive player, mostly in the power department. Young had the superior age 24 season. He also had about a 100 pts OPS on Cameron in their respective minor league careers, most of that in SLG. I will concede though Young’s BA might never get up much over .260

    But to defend Cameron for a minute. He had very good age 28 and 29 seasons putting up 25/34 and 25/31 years despite not hitting a lick at home. In 2002 he hit .258/18/49 on the road and .218/7/31 at home. You take him out of Safeco that year and he makes a run at 35 HR. His first year in Shea he hit 30 in less than 500 AB. If he hit in The Bob, he would have had a 35/35 year or two.

    Can you tell I still resent the M’s for thinking Randy Winn was a suitable defensive replacement in CF? Then they mishandled Jeremy Reed, who never got a chance here. A few years later they trade away Adam Jones, who could be something special. Damn, I miss Cammy. Anyway …

    Herb Urban’s last blog post..Damn, The Hoff cleans up well

  9. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Your defense of Cammy’s not going to get his rookie card price back up.

  10. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    Yes, I have an affection for Matt Murton since I’ve seen him so much here at AAA. It’s sad what they’re doing to him, but his greatest fault is that he bats right handed. It’s so unfortunate for his development to be stuck in an organization that doesn’t want him. If let loose, he’d easily hit 25-30 homers a year for like 8 seasons.

    If anything, Murton was misplayed last season and he should be traded to a team that would use him correctly like the A’s to save his career.

    Before a game last year when Murton was foolishly sent down to AAA, Matt was fielding batting practice in right. I was holding my red headed toddler son and yelled at him, “Hey Murton! I’ve got a red headed fan of yours here!” He looked back at us, nodded, briefly took off his cap to flash the red hair and threw us a ball.

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosuke_Fukudome

    He’s never stolen 15 in Japan. Does Fukudome know MLB pitchers’ moves better? Are the Japanese better at throwing out baserunners? Are they simply going to run him because Lee and Ramirez can’t drive him in? Seems like Fukudome’s getting lost in translation.

    BTW, I do love your passion for the Cubs. I wish I liked a team that much. Alas, I’m left simply loving baseball cause the Yankees make it no fun to root for them.

  12. Doctor No says:
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    Curious that you have Pierre and Bourn on here, but no Taveras. I would think he ends up with similar numbers to the judys above?

  13. Grey

    Grey says:
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    I like Taveras slightly less than the two and would place right outside this.

  14. Pingback: Top Starting Pitchers for 2008, 21-40

  15. mike says:
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    What do you think of Mike Cameron when he gets back?….i kno hes about 35 i think, so theres zero upside to him, but his numbers the past 2 seasons which he played in PETCO i may add (2006).268/22hr/25sb, (2007).242/21hr/18sb….not so bad for a waiver wire add no?

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