This is almost the end of the 2010 fantasy baseball rankings. With these top 80 starters for 2010 fantasy baseball, there’s a few names that I’m really gunning for on my teams… My deeper teams. On last year’s top 80, there was only guy who truly emerged (Edwin Jackson), so I imagine a lot of you won’t need most of the names on this list. But humor me. There’s tiers and projections mentioned for everyone. Anyway, here’s the top 80 starters for 2010 fantasy baseball:
61. Benrich Shardard – This is a one person pormanteau/tier made of three players: Ben Sheets, Erik Bedard and Rich Harden. I call this tier, “Together they’re starting 30 games and vying for a Cy Young.” They’re some of my favorite pitchers to watch when they’re healthy, but, well, ya know. (Here’s more on Ben Sheets.) 2010 Projections: Combined 180-day DL
62. Gavin Floyd – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Danks. I call this tier, “White Sox starters that I’m respectively excited about, lukewarm over and cold on.” Would you believe I’m endorsing Gavin Floyd? As De Niro said in the Spider scene, “What’s the world coming to?!” Floyd made positive gains in K-rate and walk rate while throwing less of his fastball and more of his slider. Whatever works, Yellnikoff. I’m not predicting Floyd’s going to be a Cy Young contender, but real late you can do worse. 2010 Projections: 14-10/3.90/1.26/175
63. Mark Buehrle – Buerhrle’s what they used to call plump prostitutes in the early 1800s, a work horse, but horse was spelled different. I have no problem owning Buerhle on certain teams, but you’re not getting the perfect game pitcher or the 6 runs in 5 inning one. Somewhere in the middle like Monie Love. 2010 Projections: 13-10/4.00/1.25/125
64. John Danks - He’s the opposite of Floyd. It’s almost like the gains Floyd made were taken from Danks. Weird! 2010 Projections: 12-7/4.15/1.30/155
65. Wade Davis – This is a new tier. This tier goes until Latos. I call this tier, “They’re going to be good ones, but right now they’re more or less rookie pitchers.” The nice thing about Davis, even more so than Feliz and Strasburg, who appeared in the top 60 starters for 2010 fantasy baseball, is he may actually give you close to a complete season. He could throw close to 200 innings without turning his career over to Dr. Freeze. The bad is his walks haven’t been great. 2010 Projections: 8-10/3.75/1.34/160
66. Chris Tillman – As I explained in the Double Stuff Orioles post, I’m not a huge fan of rookie pitchers. Technically, Tillman’s not a rookie, but more or less the same applies. The more is they can still be very up and down. The less is they have some major league time under their belt and can begin to pitch up to their capability. Let’s continue this in Matusz’s blurb. 2010 Projections: 7-12/3.65/1.32/150
67. Brian Matusz – As I was saying, if they get up to their capability then they shoot up the rankings and become far more valuable. So you have to weigh how much upside you want from your last starter. I already went over my Matusz fantasy. 2010 Projections: 6-9/3.75/1.30/145
68. Mat Latos – Ah, sweet, sweet, HodgePadre. He has a sick, as in healthy, K-rate in the minors. But, as the kids used to say when I was a kid, he’s hella young. Hey, I’m Old Hella. 2010 Projections: 6-7/4.15/1.32/125 in 20 starts.
69. Chris Young – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Penny. I call this tier, “Vets that probably won’t see a resurgence, but they can add some much needed stability to the back of a staff.” Young may be the Padres number one starter, but that’s like being the tallest dwarf. Cristal Young had a 91 MPH fastball when he made his debut in 2004 with the Rangers. In 2009, he was regularly clocked at 85. At 91, you can leave it in the upper part of the strikezone. At 85, not so much. Not to mention, every guy he walks gets an automatic double. Assuming he’s healthy, he could make a decent fifth fantasy starter, but don’t expect him to be a number 2. 2010 Projections: 7-10/4.00/1.28/145
70. Hiroki Kuroda – He doesn’t K many guys or stay healthy, but he manages to keep his ratios in check. Good name to look at late. 2010 Projections: 9-6/3.65/1.24/100
71. Aaron Harang – I read somewhere some genius was saying something about Chris Young, “Assuming he’s healthy, he could make a decent fifth fantasy starter, but don’t expect him to be a number 2.” Same could be said about Harang. 2010 Projections: 12-9/4.05/1.35/155
72. Bronson Arroyo – Trade for him in July. Look at his splits to see what I’m talking about it. 2010 Projections: 12-8/4.25/1.34/140
73. John Maine – I wish I could tell you he’s more than a big question mark, but he’s not. If he looks good in spring training, I could see him going up draft sheets. But I could also see him pitching well in April then going down with shoulder problems. 2010 Projections: 9-8/4.15/1.32/85 in 105 innings.
74. Brad Penny – Penny’s my least favorite type of starter. Overweight with an STD from Alyssa Milano? No, random italicized voice. Penny’s devoid of Ks and upside. He should be perfectly meh in the NL while Dave Duncan sprinkles pixie dust on his melon. Penny might even be great for stretches like he was in San Fran in September of last year. He also had an obscene BABIP in San Fran. He’s a mid-4 ERA pitcher. It’s meh, but sometimes meh is what the doctor ordered. 2010 Projections: 13-10/4.40/1.37/110
75. Brandon Morrow - This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the end of the top 80 starters for 2010 fantasy baseball. I call this tier, “Eh, may as well end this sucker on a good note.” These pitchers aren’t exactly exciting, but compared to some other names on this list, they’re a’ight. As most of you know, when in doubt, I’m going for NL starters at the end of a draft. Then there’s Morrow. There’s very few starters you’re getting this late that can pitch as well as Morrow. Can he stay healthy? Aw, heck’s no. Does he walk far too many hitters? Uh, yeah. Still decent endgame gamble if he starts strong and you can flip him. 2010 Projections: 10-7/3.85/1.40/100
76. Homer Bailey – Do I think there’s a chance that you’ll draft him and drop him before May? Yeah, probably. But it’s a flier, that’s what fliers are for. You can always grab someone off waivers if Bailey doesn’t work out. Ringing endorsement, huh? 2010 Projections: 12-9/4.00/1.40/145
77. Ted Lilly – Lilly just feels safe. Not safe for a 3.10 ERA again. Not safe for 180 Ks again. Not safe for 17 wins again. Not safe to start the season healthy because of an injured shoulder. But safe. Hmm, maybe not safe, but I’d stash him on the DL for April to see what he can do when he returns. 2010 Projections: 10-6/3.85/1.10/100
79. Randy Wells – Not one of my all-time favorite types of upside picks because there’s not many strikeouts here. On the bright side, there’s very few walks too. 2010 Projections: 14-7/3.75/1.25/130
80. Justin Masterson – Masterson’s heat died when he left the Sons of Sam Horns’ hornet nest, but that doesn’t mean something’s wrong with him. He induces groundballs and gets strikeouts, that’s not a combo that should be scoffed at. Even if the only people that scoff at something are in Merchant-Ivory films. 2010 Projections: 12-10/3.85/1.34/150
After the top 80 starters for 2010 fantasy baseball, there’s a ton of names, but here’s two that stand out. One not good, one great:
Trevor Cahill – Cahill had a huge innings bump from ’08 to ’09 and he has no Ks. Than, but no than. 2010 Projections: 8-12/4.50/1.40/80
Jonathan Sanchez – I’m a big fan of Jonathan Sanchez. Might end up owning him on multiple teams. As Fonzie’s horse said, “Nay!” I might own him on every team. May draft him in a couple of AL-Only leagues just to keep snitches honest. I wrote an entire post already about my Jonathan Sanchez fantasy. He. Is. Dazzling. That’s right, I brought out the tooly one word sentence gimmick to make a point. This Sanchez isn’t dirty, he’s filthy. 2010 Projections: 14-7/3.75/1.38/200 <–optimistic, but you’re not paying me to be conservative. In fact, this shizz is free.