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Here’s a post I haven’t done in some time.  I stopped doing the top 5 designated hitters a few years ago because there was only one guy, Papi Grande, that was only eligible at DH that was worth discussing.  Then last year happened, and Ron Blomberg finally had something to talk about again at the bingo hall.  “If you wanna sit by your bingo cards while I come in and hit them with the marker for you, I can do that.”  That’s Blomberg keeping his DH muscles on the ready.  All of the 2016 fantasy baseball rankings are under that rather self-explanatory link.  As with all other posts, I say when tiers start and stop and give you my projections.  If you want, here’s the 2016 position eligibility chart that doesn’t contain any of the guys in this post.  Anyway, here’s the top 5 designated hitters for 2016 fantasy baseball:

1. Miguel Sano – This is the first tier.  This tier goes from here to here.  I call this tier, “Yes, I think Sano will get eligibility at some point early in the season; you can stop asking now.”  Honestly, really, literally, clunky sentence opening, I’m kinda doing this whole post because I wanted to talk about Sano.  Sure, A-Rod, Papi and Kendrys could have value, but Sano is a 35-homer hitter that is 22 years old.  That’s something something.  Not a little something something, either.  For each blurb, I zero in one stat.  Sometimes I balloon out to other stats if it’s needed.  For Sano, I went straight to his 35.5% strikeout percentage.  Since 2000, only one player had a 35.5% or higher strikeout percentage over a full season, Chris Carter in 2013 who hit .223 that year.  Sesame Street breakdown:  When you’re striking out more than a third of the time, you can’t hit for a good average.  This was brought to you by the letter K.  Last year, Sano hit .269.  Do you know how Sano hit for such a high average?  He had a .396 BABIP.  For those that don’t understand or care to know BABIP, I’ll make it simple.  Everything Sano hit last year found a hole or a bleacher seat.  A high BABIP either means a hitter was lucky, they’re fast or hit the ball hard.  Sano is not fast, he was lucky and hit the ball hard.  Since he hits the ball so hard, he could have a higher than average BABIP, but .396 isn’t higher than average, it’s obscene.  He could’ve easily hit .190 last year.  No one seems to be talking about this.  I Googled “Sano strikeout percentage” and found a Bleacher Report article titled, Miguel Sano is Great and Here’s a Slideshow to Prove It.  I then Googled “Miguel Sano” “Strikeout Percentage,” and I found two articles and one was written by me in 2014.  Not even joking.  Then, I opened up my search to “Sano strikeouts” and I found lots of results.  I don’t mention this because it’s my only Google history I can talk about.  I’m talking about it because no one else is.  Sano is a bad luck streak away from hitting .175 in the majors.  Sano connected with only 33.8% of pitches outside of the strike zone.  One player in the last 15 years has been that bad, Wily Mo Pena.  Last year, Melvin Upton connected with 41.2%.  Previously, Upton connected with 55.3% of pitches outside the zone in his career.  Sano makes Melvin Upton’s wild swing look like he studied under Charley Lau.  Sano isn’t just bad with pitches outside the strike zone.  He’s historically bad.  It took me five minutes to figure this out.  How long do you think it’s going to take major league pitchers and Sano never sees another strike?  Say Opening Day?  I’m not sure how Steamer is projecting Sano for a .255 average.  Sano hit .236 in Double-A!  Yeah, have fun on someone else’s fantasy team this year.  2016 Projections:  62/32/77/.231/4

2. David Ortiz – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until A-Rod.  I call this tier, “You can watch Classic ESPN and see some highlights for these guys.”  Between you and me, I didn’t think we’d ever finish Sano’s blurb.  Everyone knows Ortiz, so on a related note:  Ortiz or Fred McGriff in the Hall of Fame?  Right now, their career stats:  1340/503/1641/.284/15 with a .378 OBP for Ortiz.  McGriff’s:  1349/493/1550/.284/72 with a .377 OBP.  You didn’t think it was that close, did you?  Ortiz DH’d, McGriff taught defensive fundamentals with Tom Emanski.  Nikki Minaj sung about Ortiz, McGriff probably listens to country music.  McGriff barely received 20% of the vote at the peak of his induction candidacy.  I bet Ortiz gets in.  Things that make you go hmm… 2016 Projections:  62/25/86/.268

3. Kendrys Morales – Every once in a while a hitter gets a huge number of RBIs compared to how many they should get.  My new glossary term for that is exoRBItant.  Last year, Morales had an exoRBItant year.  You can not expect that to happen again.  He could easily regress to 75 RBIs, which isn’t awful, until it’s with his bleh 20 HRs and .270 average.  2016 Projections:  65/20/83/.274

4. Alex Rodriguez – Last year, A-Rod’s stats were 83/33/86/.250/4.  He spent half the season as a 40-year-old.  What does this mean?  The science of making steroids is moving faster than the science to detect them.  I can’t wait for the awkward celebration when A-Rod passes Barry Bonds’s home run record.  You know where they’ll be celebrating it?  In Jersey City.  Those people are the worst celebrators.  Right, Trump?  Tace Bell should give out a free taco to everyone in the US when A-Rod passes Bonds.  Only the taco has been passed first through Bartolo’s colon two days prior.  (Yeah, like it only takes two days to get through Colon’s colon.)  As for A-Rod, I can’t imagine he repeats last year, but I didn’t think he would’ve been able to do that either.  2016 Projections:  59/21/69/.252/3

5. Billy Butler – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the end of the list.  I call this tier, “Should be ‘Designated (For Assignment) Hitters.'”  As for Butler, see the image at the end of the post.  2016 Projections:  55/13/62/.254

6. John Jaso – Just as Kendrys said after a few years that his name wasn’t Kendry but was Kendrys, I’m waiting for the moment when we hear, “No, my real name is Jason Joh.”  2016 Projections: 42/7/51/.269/2

Billy Butler

   
  1. Bas says:
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    Hi Grey,

    Many thanks for the smile you put every morning on my face.
    Have to decide what to do with my keepers. We keep 8 forever, no costs in a 12 team 5×5. Closers are more valuable then starters in our league.
    I won last year
    This is my list of potential keepers: Cutch, J-Upton, Cespedes, Davis, Kimbrell, Chapman, Fielder, Kluber, Altuve, Seager and Heyward

    I can make this trade: Cutch and Kluber (or Fielder) for Rizzo. looking at your Rankings I should take it right?

    Who else to keep?

    Many thanks as always!

    Bas from Holland

    • Malicous Phenom says:
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      @Bas: Hey Bas from Holland, I thought I wud chime in with my advice for you, hope you don’t mind.

      I would trade for Rizzo and keep these other 7:
      J-Upton, Cespedes, Davis, Kimbrell, Chapman, Altuve, and Heyward.

      Cheers, MP

      • Bas says:
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        @Malicous Phenom:

        Thanks for the advice. Just made the trade.;-)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bas: Thanks! I’d take Rizzo, keep Upton, Yoenis, Davis, Rizzo, Aroldis, Altuve, Heyward

      • Bas says:
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        @Grey:

        Thanks Grey!!!. Just made the trade

  2. Robert says:
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    Wow, I so agree with the Michael Sano comments, I don’t get what all the hype is about, yes he might have second most power next to Glencarlo Stanton but this guy is a whiff machine. I could easily see him hitting 220 and everybody owning him being pretty disgusted. He is being drafted very high In NFbc, and ranked highly feels like a 100 plus to me. Great work can’t wait till the pitchers. I got Kershaw, Scherzer, Sale, in there own tier then you got 15 plus solid number 1 then a boat load of very good starters, and a ton of sleepers. Starting pitching might be the deepest I have seen. Great work.

    • Nate says:
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      The Sano part is misguided – a lot. When do Ks become a problem? We already know obviously they don’t always entail bad, and last year was no exception; the top ten list of batter Ks included Chris Davis, JD Martinez, Mike Trout, Kris Bryant, Nelson Cruz, Victor Martinez. Ks become bad when it’s because of a bad eye. Sano walked 53 times in 80 games last year. Include his minor league half and you got 91 BB to 187 Ks. They have words for guys who come straight off the farm and walk 100 times at age 22, but absolutely none of them will be about poor strike zone judgment. The guy hits with every bit the authority as every player I mentioned here and handles the strike zone as well if not better than all of them.

      It’s painfully clear. The 35 HR pace and .900 OPS are the starting figures and his upside from there is unlimited. BABIP is absolutely not a projector and is not intended to be used as one, it’s merely a predictor. Balls tend to find holes and miss gloves when they’re plastered all over the place. It’s a cute little tool to use every now and then to try to determine luck, but rest assured other numbers can put it to bed pretty fast.

      This man isn’t hype. He’s slowly and steadily earned every bit of respect he’s been given as a prospect and now MLB player. Sano has proven them right every time and absolutely nothing indicates that’ll be any different this time.

  3. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    a. You’re such a tease doing this article that you haven’t done in years because of Papa Grande. You know EVERYONE and their grandmother is waiting for the Top20 pitchers. YET, you insist on doing this DH article which in theory could be useful but I’m not buying it.

    b. Ever hear of this guy… (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Bingham,_7th_Earl_of_Lucan)? Lots of conspiracy surrounding his death, maybe he’s still alive. His son wants to be the 8th Earl of Lucan but he needs his father’s death to be confirmed.

    c. Lastly, this…(http://www.mcall.com/news/breaking/mc-pa-pajamas-in-courtroom-20160130-story.html). Crazy, right? What constitutes pajamas? Very confusing indeed.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Malicous Phenom says:
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      @Ante GALIC:
      A. agree!
      B. The ex wife did it.
      C. I thought there was no C.

      By the by, I am typing this in my pajamas bottoms!

    • Old School Brother says:
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      @Ante GALIC: D. Watch out for that Zika virus Ante!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: A. Tis is true B. No, but I love a good mystery! C. So if I sleep in a three piece suit, it’s not appropriate for court?

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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      @Ante GALIC: I could not agree with you more on (a), Ante!

  4. Vacation says:
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    You Monster. I was expecting the top 20 Pitchers this morning. Damn it.

    • SwaggerJackers says:
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      @Vacation: Instead of starting pitchers we got a wet blanket thrown over Sano. *sad story*

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Haha

  5. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    i’ll clean this up after getting rid of the obv ones. keep up to 25 and i’d need to drop 3 min of these guys to be able to use pick 6 overall. 1 extra SP needs dropping if i can move my 2nd rounder (26th overall) for shark. this i will do unless i can get Odor for Yes…. Many and a bunch of picks i don’t need and can’t use. Odor owner has all of Dee G, Odor, Spangenberg but no decent 3B so he might bite now that i showed him ARI got rid of Inciarte Party so Yes…many isn’t platooning anymore.
    C -none yet. due to Uh-Oh Chirinos playing so little i’m probably better off just streaming this everyday for guaranteed putouts. or maybe could grab both chirinos + perez (both of those unowned). we’re forced to use at least 3/4 of bench spots for hitters anyway.
    1B – fielder/forsythe
    2B forsythe
    SS andrus
    3B beltre
    LF upton
    CF hicks
    RF stanton
    Util franco
    BN yes…many (3B/LF/RF)
    BN choo
    NA profar/gallo/tapia/t.anderson (i’m seeing depth charts saying profar/gallo start year in minors)
    SP (can’t have more than 6, 5 might be optimal to keep prospects), darvish/liriano/quintana/fiers/hammel/heaney/holland
    RP (start 7), giles, robertson, tolleson, kela
    NA urias, bradley

    Gotta drop 3 of these. just noticed, if in fact gallo/profar/bradley all do start year in minors i’d have to drop one of those NA’s for sure, meaning i guess bradley is one of drops. Hicks not starting is really gonna suck unless i can trade something for a CF who plays, or drop Hicks for Altherr/BJ upton/Almonte. Franco one day getting 1B eligibility would kick some ass too. Post draft i can take care of the last 3 RP and C slots after I DL or NA everybody. Yahoo’s such a joke with DL/NA guys not counting for what they are until post draft.

  6. Jon Boba says:
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    What Grey, no Gattis? Seems like 29 bombs hitting in the Astros lineup is better than 1/2 the guys you list above…just k-ing…

  7. JeF With 1 F says:
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    What up boo!..Thank God baseball is around the corner…and the Mets look real good for a change. I’m not used to this

    • JeF With 1 F says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: And J-Foh. .I know you miss me Beb. ..don’t worry I’m back.

    • Malicous Phenom says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: Welcome back F and yes the Mets look like a contender for 2016.

    • Cram It says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: Let’s go Mets!

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Cram It: Yeah Buddy!!!

    • FrankGrimes says:
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      @JeF With 1 F:
      The Mets Stink!

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @FrankGrimes: HA HA….GRIMEY!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: Too bad now the Mets have nowhere to go but disappoint… F!

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Grey: God don’t say 2007 all over again…NOOOO

        • Zeus says:
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          @JeF With 1 F: @JeF With 1 F: Annnnnddddd this is why Mets fans are annoying. Fluctuating wildly between horrible pessimism and delirious optimism.

          • JeF With 1 F says:
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            @Zeus: If you were a fan maybe you’d get it

            • Zeus says:
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              @JeF With 1 F: I was born and raised in NYC and have a bunch of friends who are Mets fans. I get it. They’re still annoying.

              Thank god I grew up in the Bronx and my Mets fan father got free Yankees tickets from work.

          • Cram It says:
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            @Zeus: I believe that’s every fan of any team that perennially sucks and finally gets a taste of what could be.

            • Zeus says:
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              @Cram It: nah mets fans are their own breed of annoying. I think it stems from not only having their team stink but they share a city with the greatest franchise in the sport. Hey at least new Shea is better than the new stadium. So you guys have that

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: I’ll take a season ending in disappointment over one starting with complete hopelessness.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Cram It: like Phillies and braves fans?

          • Cram It says:
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            @J-FOH: So nice to be able to piss on those teams right now.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Cram It: well you arent wearing any pants so its even easier. we can call you cRam Kelly

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, this is a good point, Cram

  8. cruisinkc says:
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    Grey,

    I need some keeper help!

    My league details include: 12 team, 6×6 (quality starts and doubles are the extra categories from standard) roto league and we keep 5 players each season with no limitation on how long we can keep a player. By keeping the 5 players, we lose the first 5 rounds of the snake draft so essentially the draft starts in round 6. I have the 1st, 11th and 12th picks in the first round this year. My pitching failed me early in the season last year which left me in rebuilding mode but I have a solid draft for the upcoming season.

    Offense positions are made up of 10 spots with the additional being an extra utility spot (no corner or middle infielder).

    Absolute Keepers :
    Paul Goldschmidt
    Anthony Rizzo

    The Maybes:
    Anthony Rendon
    Miguel Sano
    Christian Yelich
    Jorge Soler
    Brett Gardner
    Jay Bruce
    Brandon Belt
    Byron Buxton

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @cruisinkc: Oh, and good to see you, you original girl reader!

      • cruisinkc says:
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        @Grey: thanks for all your awesome advice, Grey! I enjoy the “original girl reader” title!

  9. Iguy says:
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    Yep, more keeper questions (sorry)… $260 12 Team Roto Auction (shallow) league that skews Stars & Scrubs (e.g. First rounders usually go in $50-$60 range). Keep 4. Players I’m considering:
    – Harper $45
    – Stanton $44
    – Abreu $29
    – J Fernandez $7
    – Schwarber $11
    – Kluber $11
    – Sano $11

    Despite the high cost, I’m gravitating towards the top 4. From a hitter perspective, I’m immediately in good shape on power and average with 3 bonafide top 15 hitters. I figure I can complement these guys with cheap speed and undervalued players. Thoughts?

    • Malicous Phenom says:
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      @Iguy: Agree, I wud keep ur top 4.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Iguy: Top 4

  10. jiggy nits says:
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    my favourite article in a long time. well done grey

  11. Left Hangs Lower says:
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    Hi Grey,

    It’s interesting you mention the outside contact for Sano as a negative. A couple of days ago, Fangraphs broke it down and identified it as an ELITE skill.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/miguel-sanos-other-elite-skill/

    What type of OBP do you expect out of him this season?

    • royce! says:
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      @Left Hangs Lower: Fangraphs did not identify his outside contact rate as elite: in that article, August Fagerstrom actually referred to it as a “wart.” It is his outside swing rate (O-Swing%) that they were referring to as elite. He misses pitches outside of the zone so he doesn’t swing at them as often. Yet this still resulted in a 35% K rate, which is crazy.

      • Lincecuminmypants says:
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        @royce!: I read that article the other day as well. Seems like something he can work on. The fact that he draws any comps to Batting Practice Hero Wily Mo doesn’t bode well, but couldn’t it also mean that he’s just not a bad ball hitter?

        • Left Hangs Lower says:
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          @Lincecuminmypants:

          That’s what I took away from it. He can take his walks and isn’t an all or nothing guy.

      • Left Hangs Lower says:
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        @royce!:

        Very true, my mistake on the mix up. His contact% overall is definitely a little scary and I think I might be avoiding him in AVG leagues. In OBP leagues (almost all of mine), I’m reaching in the 30s and 40s.

      • SwaggerJackers says:
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        @Grey: Depending on where you rank him overall, a .345 OBP has to bump him up 10-20 spots for OBP leagues, right?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          About ten spots

  12. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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    The words in this Sanotebook made me weep. Heart-wrenching stuff.

    El fin.

  13. hondo says:
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    Like the Crime Dog comparison.Hate,well,begrudgingly admire the twisted deception of, Grey for the “hold the football Charlie Brown” gamut regarding the Top 20 SP list.
    I’ll take my frustrations out on the English language and punctuation in particular.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @hondo: Sorry, Lucy!

  14. Nightpandas says:
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    Hey Grey,

    15 team Obp Slg and QS K/9 league

    I was offered Degrom/Kimbrel/Braun for

    Miggy/Cueto

    I also have Rizzo so Miggy is currently in my one Util position. Only 3 of and no ci or mi so more pitchers likely will be kept.

    Thoughts?

  15. UL's Toothpick says:
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    Damn. Is Dave Kingman the hitting instructor for the Twins? Arcia and Sano K rates are problematic.

    Any chance Jesus Montero is relevant?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @UL’s Toothpick: Rudy has Jesus down for around 150 ABs, that sounds about right and not really relevant

      • UL's Toothpick says:
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        @Grey:

        Jesus is alright with me.
        Taking a flyer.
        You never know.
        The alternative sounds terrible.

  16. seph meier says:
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    Joe Mauer is worthless. Lol flashback to a couple years ago when he was ranked top ten.

      • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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        @Grey: LOL

      • seph meier says:
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        @Grey:
        I know you didn’t! You laughed with us at those other ‘perts having him that high!

  17. royce! says:
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    Morning, Grey! Recently got back from my “vacation” of a month in Seattle. Was still too busy to deal with fantasy stuff but then my phone got screwed up so now I’m catching up. I even was checking out yahoo’s rankings, and thus far, I can’t find any pitchers that I am excited about drafting. (Maybe Nola, who is buried in their rankings right now.) I figure that’s a good thing because I won’t be tempted to draft any pitchers in the first 8 rounds or so.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @royce!: Did you try that pasta place? Hot cakes?

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey: Didn’t get to the pasta place. Because I was either busy working on the bar or hanging with the kids, I missed out on a lot of great, fancier food options. I did try hot cakes, though, and am now the proud owner of a jar of smoked chocolate chips. Was thinking of using them to make bacon and smoked chocolate chip cookies, though I feel that might be overkill.

        Thanks for the recs! I will probably go up solo for the bar opening and then I can try a couple of the places I missed. Or just eat a bag of dicks. Cheeseburgers! Get yer head out of the gutter.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You can’t have cookies that are overkill, ever… Speaking of which! This weekend Cougs and I are going to a cookie convention in downtown LA… You’ll try the pasta place next time you’re up there and won’t be disappointed, glad you tried hot cakes, it was wonderful…

  18. Teddy Heater says:
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    BFF!, Great Graphic!

  19. FrankGrimes says:
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    Damn that OJ show sucked ASS!
    Didn’t even make it thru the entire episode.
    you’re practically a Hollywood insider
    explain to me please how can there be
    shows like Fargo and complete trash like that?

    • JeF With 1 F says:
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      @FrankGrimes: I watched it last night too..wasn’t impressed …Travolta looked Sexy though

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @JeF With 1 F: Travolta’s plastic surgery is really settling in

        • JeF With 1 F says:
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          @Grey: That’s an understatement

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @FrankGrimes: Ryan Murphy can get shows made, doesn’t mean they’re always good

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        @Grey:
        Its unwatchable.
        How can someone make that shit and
        Think it’s good enough to put out there?
        Haha. Watch Rick and Morty instead!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I haven’t watched it yet, bc Cougs likes to go to bed at 930

  20. Natty Boh says:
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    You just sold me. I will be throwing out Sano in AL only auction first and letting other people spend money on him.

  21. JoLo says:
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    Hello all,
    thanks for all the great info! I was hoping to get a little help from some of the best and brightest in all the land. I took home the gold last year but, had to mortgage my future to do it. I have been left with a less then stellar group. Which 8 would you keep standard 5×5 with OPS and QS.
    Kershaw
    Bum
    Arieta
    Klubber
    Cain
    Brantley
    Duda
    Wong
    Soler
    Salazar
    Goldy
    I have a potential Abreu for bum on the table but as soon as that hits the group i am sure the price will go up. Pitching is deep but I won last year because I won all 6 pitching categories. It actually boiled down to quality starts and wins
    Thanks
    JLo

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JoLo: Not Wong, Duda, Soler

  22. Jammer McSlam says:
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    Hey guys!

    I posted this in Mike’s last post, but I still have a few spots open in a 14 team Dynasty league that is auction/contract based. We each team has a 15 person minor league roster as well and minor league draft. We are in our 5th year with the same core players. There is a league fee of $50 and we pay out the top 4 teams.

    You can email [email protected] if you are interested.

  23. Mike says:
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    Good news: get to keep Sano in one of those lesser sites that have him at 3rd base for a 16th rounder.

    Bad news: I could also see him falling off the face of the earth.

    Old news: Remember last year when he hit that Trop double that blasted THROUGH the catwalk? (citation needed)

  24. J_Ceol says:
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    Hey Grey!! I can smell the baseball.. uhhh wait.. that’s my hockey bag.. I should have let it air out, outside…

    Ok! I need some advice here for an AL only ROTO league and we are preparing our keepers. I’ve got some decent options and might actually throw back some guys and go in with extra money. Right now though he is offering some tasty deals.

    I’ve got Jose Altuve and JD Martinez both reasonably priced.

    He is offering me George Springer, Miguel Sano, Delino DeShields Jr., and something like Pedroia or Byron Buxton.. for those two of mine.

    I can keep any guy for 2-3 years at the longest depending on how high I want to take their salary.. What would you do?

    I love me some Sano and the way you have Springer ranked makes me extra tempted. But I’m not sure I should cut ties with JD or Altuve honestly. If I keep those two I might end up keeping Buxton and Adam Eaton as well.. But not sure what else.

    What do you think? Would you go all in on Springer and Sano plus additions or stay put with little midget Altuve and JD Banger?

    Thanks and as always love the articles. You’re da best!

    Read more: http://razzball.com/top-100-outfielders-for-2016-fantasy-baseball/#ixzz3z7WlJmQO

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @J_Ceol: Hold what you have

      • J_Ceol says:
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        @Grey: Kind of how I was leaning honestly, much love sir!!

        Another guy swooping in on Altuve… Said he would potentially give me Edwin Encarcion OR Mookie Betts plus Rougned Odor? Not a bad offer either.. Would love to get all 3 but that 2 for 1 is definitely intriguing!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Betts and Odor works

  25. Cafuné

    Maxi says:
    (link)

    On the Ortiz HOF note, do you think the 3WS Championships outweighs McGriff’s one and only with the ’95 Braves? I have a feeling that (and his connection to ending the curse of the Bambino) will have something to do with it. Politics play such a huge part in the HOF vote, too bad really. Crime dog all day!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Maxi: I don’t think that should get him in over McGriff, but it prolly will

  26. JeF With 1 F says:
    (link)

    In a dynasty would you move C.Gomez for Rendon…Risky either way but I’m leaning towards Rendon

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @JeF With 1 F: Sounds fair, I don’t really want either

      • JeF With 1 F says:
        (link)

        @Grey: LOL same here that’s my dilemma

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Prolly just go Gomez

          • JeF With 1 F says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Yeah hopefully he gets off hot and I can make a move then

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              That’s what I’d hope for too

  27. Corey says:
    (link)

    Oh boy, it’s finally time for the Top 20 starters!

    *Grey posts Top 80 Outfielders*

    Errr. Okay, tomorrow will be the Top 20 starters!

    *Grey posts the Top 100 Outfielders*

    What the, why is he even ranking players from the 1936 Cubs? Well, at least tomorrow will be…

    *Grey posts the top 5 DHs*

    KLJHKSDKUYUEIYIUEGB!^^&^^&!**~!(!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Corey: Haha, my bad!

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        @Grey: The Grey giveth, and the Grey holdeth back

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Grey giveth every day, homey!

          • ERad says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Amen!

    • SwaggerJackers says:
      (link)

      @Corey: Better watch out or he’ll post a Top 20 Middle Relievers article tomorrow.

  28. pbmax says:
    (link)

    Keeper League OPS $260 Budget. Which Side?

    Correa($8) & Archer($15) or

    Stanton($45) Lindor($7) & Piscotty($10)

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Correa

      • pbmax says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks! I am hoping the guy being a Cards fan will make him more attune to taking Piscotty.

  29. Rich says:
    (link)

    Just took over for a booted manager in a keeper league, so naturally I need you to make my decisions for me. 6×6 (OPS and holds are the extras) 16 team league with $275 budget. 6 players can be kept.

    Leaning toward:
    JD Martinez $20
    Brandon Belt$10
    Hunter Pence $16
    Jean Segura $16
    Steven Matz $10

    For the last spot I’m really not sure but consdiring (loosely in this order):
    Andrew Heaney $2
    Jay Bruce $16
    Adrian Beltre $28
    Cole Hamels $31
    Yasiel Puig $21
    Kolten Wong $20
    Kenley Jansen $29
    JJ Hoover $10

    Which of them would you go with for #6, and would you drop any of the 5 I have up top for one of the others?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Puig

      • Zeus says:
        (link)

        @Grey: wouldn’t you think Puig would go for less than $21 if he’s thrown back out there? Also if Kenley is going for more than 10% of your budget I would guess that closers are over valued. If Hoover is named closer it might make sense to lock in some saves for 1/3 of what Kenley would cost. It depends on the league I guess but with holds in play in guessing almost all backup closers would be owned making it that much harder to get saves off of the wire. Conversely with 6 categories saves have a lessened impact.

        Not sure what the right answer is here but giving you some food for thought. Definitely check the transaction reports and drafts from the last few years

        • Rich says:
          (link)

          @Zeus: I appreciate the in depth analysis. I just included the closers at the bottom because the rest of the team is crapola. Like you said, over 10% of the budget on Jansen seems absurd, but with a 16 team league I imagine closers will be hard to come by. That’s a big part of the reason I was thinking Heaney at $2 might be worth it, it gives me much more flexibility elsewhere. In this league the budget jumps to $340 in season, but undrafted guys are $10 each, so Heaney gets me a scrap heap guy at significantly below that.

          • Zeus says:
            (link)

            @Rich: yeah I was wondering that because if a holds guy like Hoover went for $10 at last years draft that would be crazy. I like Heaney at that cheap though. Good luck either way

  30. Zeus says:
    (link)

    For the record I laughed when I saw top 5 DH instead of 20SP. I knew it would get the Internet whiners whining. God if I had been a teenager now I would be a complete troll.

    I’m with you on Sano but do you have him above Papi due to the higher ceiling? I’m not one to get hung up on the rankings.

    I bet on Papi last year who started out ice cold but was on fire down the stretch. I’M thinking the first half might be more along the lines of what we see this year. I mean it’s possible that he has such a high amount of cholesterol it masks the PeDs he’s taking so maybe he had one more year.

    Normally I like to get one of these DHs in my auction league as their price is not commiserate with their actual value as people are scared to clog up their DH slot which drives down the value. I’m not really feeling any of these guys and I may throw out Sano early when people are flush with cash.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sano’s got better upside, yeah… Papi’s blood is red dye in softened butter

      • Zeus says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I guess that would mean his feces comes out as a fully formed red velvet cake

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That sounds oddly delicious

  31. Bryce Krispie Treats says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    We here in MN are pretty excited for Buxton and Sano… im kinda sad that you are so down on Sano. People here in MN are already calling him the next Miggy (haha). Obvious exaggeration, especially at this point in his career, but he was really fun to watch last year. Over a .900 OPS over a half season? Thats gotta say something… right?

    I know you said that you are passing on him, but would you throw up a huge caution flag when it comes to Sano? I actually have quite a bit of money riding on this guy…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, my entire blurb about him was a caution flag

    • Zeus says:
      (link)

      @Bryce Krispie Treats: I think the most important lesson in fantasy is to not overvalue players on your real life team.

  32. Martin Harris says:
    (link)

    10 team nl only dynasty league auction. Thoughts on loading up on outfield and corner infield and spending very little on catcher and middle infield. Cory seager for 7 is one of my keepers so thinking of punting 2nd base and catcher. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

  33. Lincecuminmypants says:
    (link)

    All keeper costs being the same, which one are you keeping:

    Khris Davis
    Delino DeShields
    Hunter Pence
    Adam Eaton

    Try to deal one of them for Rendon?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Khris or Delino, depends on team needs

  34. #BlackmonMatters says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    I was curious what you think of these stats….

    http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=300&type=15&season=2015&month=0&season1=2006&ind=1&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=10,a

    Basically Sano (last year) had the lowest contact % ever recorded (they started keeping tabs in 2007). What I find interesting is the guy in second is George Springer from 2014 (who is now your fantasy darling) and at number 23 is Stanton in 2015 (who as we both know was on pace for like a bazillion HR’s)

    Do you think this means that Sano can improve that stat or realistically he doesn’t even need to improve it that much, because like Stanton he can hit the ball harder than anyone? I just found it really interesting. Also he can take walks!

    I am just trying to find a bright spot because I am keeping Sano for cheap.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ssano can improve, but Springer is a few years older, I don’t think Sano is going to improve immediately 1st half of the season

      • Nate says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Even if Sano doesn’t improve the baseline for what he will do has been set. There’s far more evidence to suggest he’ll bust out or at least repeat his rookie year than whatever says he’ll decline.

  35. Boomer19 says:
    (link)

    5×5 13 team roto league. Was offered Springer and Bumgarner for my Chris Davis and Cole. worth making the switch? thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Springer side

  36. J-FOH says:
    (link)

    Nice graphic. I totes thought that was a picture of his frank and beans…..Franks and Beans Brett Wallace!

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @J-FOH: On Brooklyn Nine-Nine last night, Joe Lo Truglio’s character referred to his junk as Bennie and the Jets. I spit up my beer.

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Cram It: I just choked on my coffee a little. I have the episode on my dvr. Will be looking forward to it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha! Thanks!

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I hope brett Wallace does something this year for the Franks and Beans jokes we get to enjoy

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I think he’s in Japan now

            • royce! says:
              (link)

              @J-FOH: Mind if I steal “I Yonder what happened to Rizzo” for a team name? It’s hilarious. Also, hi Jack!

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @royce!: absolutely…and I’m good. I’m taking my dad to a Padres Mets game in May….hopefully. We’ll be going with the traveling Mets fan club. Should be awesome

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              May as well be in Japan

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Grey: the land of the setting sun diego

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  That means nothing to me

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: if you keep hating on him I’ll want to own him out of spite. So please stop…. He did bat .302 with 5 dongs and a .219 ISO so don’t judge the franks and beans by the sample size. I need a shower I feel dirty right now

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, he’s garbage

                    • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
                      (link)

                      @J-FOH: 68% contact rate and fly balls fell down into 31% range. Like a worse Smoak with less at bats.

  37. The Grand Poppy says:
    (link)

    1st round pick in standard roto keeper league … first year for the league.

    Stanton or Correa?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Stanton

  38. Gordon Shumway says:
    (link)

    Greetings, sir-

    Where would you rank sano in an obp/slg/no avg league in which he has 3rd base eligbility? Does that drastically affect his stock? Thanks!

  39. Will says:
    (link)

    Not a lot of verses in this article, please allow me to drop a guest verse

    6 – Dae Ho Lee

    This is a story bout a dude named Dae Ho
    Mariners want to have a hitter like Bartolo
    So they hit Japan up for a dude who eats some rolos
    With Seattle’s OBP those dongs will all be solos
    He’ll never hit like Cargo, he won’t run like Hidalgo
    Hopefully 20 times he will make the fuckin’ ball go
    I guess this means they’ve given up on waiting for Montero
    Jesus in the system, might as well be Godot

    Hopefully they’re lucky and he platoons well with Lind-o
    And opens talks for baseball games released on the Nintendo

    38/14/52/.243

    please send cheques to Will

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Awesome!

      • Will says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Only thing that would have made it better is if I had put him as “7” instead of “6” but I was too busy counting stacks… had no time to count designated hitters

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You make it rain and let someone else worry about counting

  40. Hoosier Daddy says:
    (link)

    well, thanks for introducing this pinprick to temper my excitement bubble on Sano as a “no doubt” selection as one of my three keepers. I got caught up with the sexy results last year and didn’t realize what was going on under the hood. We have limited trades during the season which makes relievers more challenging to pick up.

    That being said, this year, I am keeping Goldy and Correa. Should my third be Kenley, or is Sano (who qualifies at 3B) still worth a shot?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      In a keeper, I’d hold Sano

      • Mobin Can't Hack It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: should’ve just read this one.

  41. GordyFisher says:
    (link)

    Grey –

    Where would Pedro Alvarez slot if he signs with an AL team?

  42. Q says:
    (link)

    Grey and Co!

    Jose Abreu. I have to sign him to a contract to keep him.

    Price depends on length of contract. 1 year is $25, then I have to put him back in the auction. Two years is $30 EACH year, then he goes back. Three years is $35, etc.

    How long should I sign him for? For reference, Fangraphs Auction Calculator that uses steamer projections has him at $41.8 this year, based on my league’s settings. Projection seems basically in line with last year, so I don’t need some big improvement. Just wondering how long you guys think he holds his value.

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1 year

      • Q says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        In looking at that link and clicking through, I just realized that I don’t have to wait until the top 400 for auction values….they are on the individual player pages already! LIFE HACK! THERE GOES MY WEDNESDAY!

        ps. I ask you these contract questions every year and you always say one year. Does Cougs know you are so committment averse?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, when the price is that high it’s scary to think of signing a guy for $35 and having him bomb out

  43. Alex says:
    (link)

    Any of these SPs you wouldnt trade Boxberger for in a dynasty league? 5×5 roto 15 teams, 20 milb, 30 mlb kept by each team each year.

    Cashner, Kazmir, Gio, Samardzija, Shields, Wei yen, Cashner, Severino, Joe Ross, Heaney, Corbin, Wheeler

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cashner, Gio, Cashner, Cashner, Cashner

  44. Mike deGrasse Tyson says:
    (link)

    Keeper league, Marte or Chris Davis? I like Marte, but power does seem to be in short supply.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Marte

  45. quimmy says:
    (link)

    In a league counting AVG OBP SLG and TB as seperate scoring cats, as well as K/9 would you trade:

    My Posey for his Cespedes and Wade Davis?

    Thanks as always sir!

    P.S. I think if there was a glossary term for what you did to me this morning, with my having expected to read the glorious top 20 SP rankings and instead getting the Top 5 DH rankings, it would be baseblueballs

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yoenis side…Ha, my bad

  46. Malicous Phenom says:
    (link)

    Mets are going a 6 man rotation all season..

    GM Sandy Alderson said the Mets plan to use a sixth starter throughout the year.
    Zack Wheeler is expected to return from Tommy John surgery in July, but even before that, the Mets plan to use spot starters to keep their rotation fresh. Logan Verrett and Sean Gilmartin could both be used in this capacity, though neither one has much starting experience. Verrett made four starts last year while Gilmartin started just once. Despite the team’s plan to utilize a sixth starter, Alderson said he doesn’t expect any of his pitchers to be on an innings limit. That includes Steven Matz, who threw 141 innings between the majors and minors last year.
    Related: Sean Gilmartin
    Source: ESPN.comFeb 3 – 4:22 PM

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, that’ll last for about a week

  47. henncoop says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,
    I have a question for a dynasty league where we keep 25 players with a 30 player rosters. I have a wealth of talent in the infield with my outfield being OK. SPs could use a boost & I only have one closer so I assume I need to draft one or trade one of my 3 nice SS’s f0r upgrades if possible. Team has plenty of speed but possibly light on power.
    My roster:
    Miguel Montero ChC – C
    Nick Hundley Col – C
    Paul Goldschmidt Ari – 1B
    Mark Trumbo Bal – 1B,LF,RF
    Jason Kipnis Cle – 2B
    Nolan Arenado Col – 3B
    Carlos Correa Hou – SS
    Jean Segura Ari – SS
    Corey Seager LAD – SS
    Khris Davis Mil – LF
    Kevin Pillar Tor – LF,CF
    Domingo Santana Mil – LF,CF,RF
    Adam Eaton CWS – CF
    Wil Myers SD – 1B,CF
    Billy Hamilton Cin – CF
    J.D. Martínez Det – RF
    Steven Souza Jr. TB – RF

    Noah Syndergaard NYM – SP
    Chris Archer TB – SP
    Gerrit Cole Pit – SP
    Scott Kazmir LAD –
    SPCarlos Martínez StL – SP
    Jaime García StL – SP
    Drew Smyly TB – SP
    Cody Allen Cle – RP
    John Axford Oak – RP
    Kevin Jepsen Min – RP
    Kris Medlen KC – SP,RP

    Lucas Giolito Was – SP
    Alex Meyer Min – RP
    Kohl Stewart Min – SP
    This is 12 team roto scoring 5X5 with QSinstead of Ws & NO CI or MI but 2 Utility slots
    I need to cut 5 players loose I assume probably one C & RP not closing & unlikely to &/or prospects without real value.
    Any suggestions for strategies for the team in general?? Which 5 would you cut loose?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Medlen, Jepsen, Axford, Montero and Hundley… Team looks solid overall, excellent pitching and decent enough hitting… You might struggle for average

      • henncoop says:
        (link)

        @Grey: So keep no C’s & draft one?? I figured Hundley playing in COL was pretty decent option to keep considering what might be left in the 5 round draft.
        As always I appreciate your expert advise & am awaiting the top 20 SPs tonight at 2 or 3 in the AM my time. Hope you have a great evening

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Who are you throwing back instead?

          • henncoop says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Fair enough …I defer to the pert. Actual keepers are not due till late March just getting an opinion. A lot can happen between now & then. Just got the itch for the season to get going.
            Thanks again!

    • henncoop says:
      (link)

      @henncoop: Actually I see I have 31 players currently (probably ended the year with one on the DL) so I need to cut 6 players

  48. Papa C says:
    (link)

    Damn. Maybe you can help me figure out if it’s better to NOT keep Kendry(s)…

    I’m starting my second season in a 15 team 5×5 keeper auction league (let’s keep it simple and ignore the three-year salary). We get up to 10 keepers and their salary is subtracted from our $260 for the auction.

    Does Morales make the cut?

    d’Arnaud $5
    Morales $1
    Correa $15
    Burns $1
    Yelich $6
    Piscotty $3
    Darvish $4
    C.Martinez $4
    Salazar $10
    Richards $11
    Corbin $6
    J. Ross $1
    Papelbon $9
    McGee $4
    Doolittle $2
    Reddick $3
    Myers $15
    Bour $5
    Valencia $1
    Kiermaier $3
    Bradley Jr. $1

    • Papa C says:
      (link)

      @Papa C:

      …also, we get to keep three prospects. I have Gallo and Glasnow for two. Do I keep Olivera or Peraza?

      • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
        (link)

        @Papa C: would depend on their prices right? olivera is a lot older than peraza.

        • Papa C says:
          (link)

          @Crapshoot Kershaw:

          We are allowed up to 3 free keepers if they are already on our roster and still a rookie going into 2016.

          I choose three from:
          Gallo, Joey (TEX – 1B)
          Olivera, Hector (ATL – 2B)
          Peraza, Jose (CIN – 2B)
          Shaffer, Richie (TAM – 3B)
          Glasnow, Tyler (PIT – P)
          Gray, Jon (COL – P)
          Montas, Frankie (LAD – P)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Vs. who?

      • Papa C says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        I’m thinking these are the top 9:
        d’Arnaud $5
        Morales $1
        Correa $15
        Burns $1
        Yelich $6
        Piscotty $3
        Darvish $4
        C.Martinez $4
        Salazar $10

        plus maybe a reliever. Is Reddick a better keep than Morales? Or Richards or J. Ross?

  49. Mobin Can't Hack It says:
    (link)

    i figured this was easy 6th keeper, but with above on sano… more not as sure now. 16 team H2H with OPS, hits, QS, and holds added. start 1 of each position with 3 OF and 2 utils. 2 SP, 1 RP, 5 P, 5 BN (so likely 6 min SP best, maybe a streamer slot for starters and 6th RP)
    C –
    1B goldy
    2B
    3B arenado
    OF upton, pollock
    SP thor
    can keep 1 more out of sano, odor, k.marte, keuchel, liriano

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sano

  50. Jordan says:
    (link)

    I would also add in the fact that Sano hit .236 in AA as a 19 year old in 2013. He hit .276 as a 21 year old in 2015 and cut his K% down from 29.3% to 23.8%. There’s plenty of upside when you look at the numbers.

  51. Slick says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    This write up was yawnstipating. But what should we expect from the DH slot. Looking forward to your SP Rankings. You’re the best!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  52. Jorge says:
    (link)

    Corey Seager or Miguel Sano? OBP league

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Seager

  53. Jj says:
    (link)

    I think I might be able to land Bautista in a 12 team keeper league. Just not sure if it’s worth it. He’s a fragile 35. But could use his power if he has anything near a repeat of last year.
    Was thinking of offering SALAZAR and CALHOUN or KEMP. What do you think? Is that a good deal for me, insulting to his owner, or should I try for a different 2 for 1 deal.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure, try it

      • JJ says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        He countered with Hosmer and Salazar for Bautista. I may get him to bite on Dozier Salazar. Or should I just take the Hosmer Salazar deal. It is a keeper league

  54. the swinging says:
    (link)

    BeaRod looked sexy as a pure dh. 7 of his 32 homers were in september so he didn’t wear down.

  55. What’s up Grey, your Canadian buddy drunk in Atlanta…..got an offer of Bautista Degrom for Rizzo Cueto

  56. For an Armenianless vacation come to Akron says:
    (link)

    i see player rater is up and going. nice, now i can rank for super deep OBP/OPS/holds/QS leagues. also anybody this is in one of those leagues where you draft entire MLB teams mlbdepthcharts.com now has at the top each team ranked in 6X6 roto stats for each stat. this saves a LOT of time.

  57. For an Armenianless vacation come to Akron says:
    (link)

    WTF! am i missing something,
    steamer give maybin 419 PA
    Razzball player rater gives him 402.
    isn’t he lefty-side platooner here at DET? are they assuming an injury here?

    • For an Armenianless vacation come to Akron says:
      (link)

      @For an Armenianless vacation come to Akron: shandler’s book has him down for 418 as well, so i guess it’s just me that finds 402-419 large for lefty only guy.

  58. Chris says:
    (link)

    Good Day Grey!!

    Looking forward to much fun and frivolity here at Razzball again this season.

    I’m in a Yahoo 12 team keepr 6×6 with OPS and KK/B as the extra cats.

    We keep 10 players each season at no cost and this team won the title for me last year.

    Bats:
    C.Davis
    Hosmer
    Duda
    K.Davis
    C.Santana
    Cron
    Piscotty
    Solarte
    Valencia
    Canha
    Ozuna
    E.Escobar
    Gyorko
    Shaw
    Profar

    Arms:
    Kluber
    Cole
    Syndergaard
    Lester
    Carrasco
    Pineda
    Familia
    Ramos
    Jepsen
    Capps
    Elias
    Ray
    Burdi
    Robles

    Anyway I know my batting needs a lot of work and I think it was the same story last year but with that pitching corp I was able to make it work therefore I was thinking of hanging onto:

    C.Davis
    Duda
    Hosmer
    K.Davis
    Lester
    Carrasco
    Kluber
    Cole
    Syndergaard
    Familia

    What do you reckon? What’s the story with Profar as I was entertaining the thought of hanging onto him?

    Thanks in advance!!

    Chris

Comments are closed.