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After the top 20 outfielders for 2009 fantasy baseball, there’s so many more outfielders to rank I need to turn this sucka to 40.  This is after already going over all of our other 2009 fantasy baseball rankings.  Since this is such a deep position, this list of 2009 outfielders could go to 60.  Crazy, right?  That’s not crazy as in crazy, but crazy as in, “Huh.  Um.  Okay.”  When I’m done with all of the top 20 and top 40 lists, I’m going to do a top 100 and top 300 overall.  That’s right, ya’ll; wonderful just gave birth to awesome.  Now before we get into our top 40 outfielder list, here’s our 2009 Fantasy Baseball Player Rater and our list of all the players with multiple position eligibility.  Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2009 fantasy baseball:

21. Corey Hart – This is a continuation of the last tier in the top 20 outfielders post that started at Rios.  This tier ends here.  Flameout, that’s what Hart was towards the end of 2008 and his approach at the plate says this is exactly what we should be expecting.  Hart is susceptible to occasional droughts of unusability (SAT Word!), but he has a hair of upside so he ended up in this tier.  2009 Projections:  75/22/80/.275/20

22. Vladimir Guerrero -  This is a new tier.  This tier goes all the way down to Double I.  I call this tier, “You know what you’re getting and don’t expect any upside in this tier.  They are what they are.”   Sadly, Vladdy got old real fast.  He went from a 40/20 Clemente to a 27/5 Dawson in a two year time period.  2009 Projections:  85/27/100/.310/5

23. Adam Dunn -  40 home runs.  Every year.   Like clockwork.  A big, roly-poly clock with a lack of motivation according to J.P. Ricciardi.  Dunn’s average was a bit lower than it should’ve been for his career BABIP, but that’s like saying your crap smells a bit worse when you eat Thai food.  2009 Projections:  80/40/85/.245/5

24. Magglio Ordonez – I haven’t liked Mags since ’02.  I’m just not a fan of guys that max out under 30 HRs and have no speed.  There’s some argument to made that he’s better than Vladdy at this point, but I’m not here to make arguments for guys I don’t like.   2009 Projections:  85/24/105/.310/3

25. Bobby Abreu – At some point Abreu’s going to be a 15/15 guy with the downside of 12/12.  You really don’t want to be the last one to leave and shut off the lights on the Abreu 20/20 party.  2009 Projections:  110/17/100/.300/20

26. Johnny Damon – He got a bit lucky last year with his numbers.  He’s not quite a .300 hitter.  From there, you could just read what I wrote for Abreu then subtract a bit of power and it’s Damon.  He’s a 17/20 guy just as easily as he’s a 12/17 guy or as I like to call him, Johnny DeJesus.  2009 Projections:  105/15/70/.285/20

27. Jermaine Dye – Dye is Vladdy minus thirty points on average and a bit more power.  There’s a time and a fantasy team for Dye.  But what fun is a 2nd outfielder with no upside? Not a not a not a, not a damn thing.   What’s Duke Ellington without that swing?  2009 Projections:  80/30/90/.275/3

28. Raul Ibanez – A big part of me wanted to put Ibanez in the below tier with Burrell, but his move to the Phillies lineup and that ballpark has me a bit more excited, i.e., he was yawnstipating and now he’s only midly so.  2009 Projections:  85/25/110/.290/3

29. Vernon Wells – If owning Vernon Wells causes you to have an erection for longer than 15 minutes, you might want to seek a doctor.  2009 Projections:  85/24/95/.280/7

30. Torii Hunter – His HRs peaked at 31 in ’06 and there’s no reason to think he’s going to get above that number.  He’s Abreu with less stability on average and I’s instead of a Y.  2009 Projections:  85/24/85/.275/17

31. Jay Bruce – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Pence.  This tier I like to call, “They might not do anything but strikeout a lot, but they’re worth the risk.”  When Jay Bruce was called up to the majors, he did a Triple Lindy into the hearts of fantasy owners.  Then people called him a nipple-ringed bust.  Well, don’t let last year scare you away from Jay Bruce in 2009.  2009 Projections:  85/30/90/.280/10

32. Ryan Ludwick – There was some discussion on the Josh Hamilton in 2009 post about Ludwick’s potential.  Rudy said this, “(Ludwick’s) K rate is 27% which is well above (Carlos) Quentin (16%) and (Carlos) Lee (11%). Ludwick’s .299 last year was a fluke (.349 BABIP) – with his swing and miss rate, he’s a better bet for .250 than .300.”  And that’s me quoting Rudy!   2009 Projections:  85/30/100/.275/3

33. Krispie Young – Unlike the Diamondbacks last year, you don’t want Krispie on the same team as Dunn, but as a cheap 25/20 guy Krispie’s got value.   2009 Projections:  80/25/80/.245/20

34. Brad Hawpe – Hawpe’s splits in 2008 against lefties weren’t as dramatic as they were in the past, but even if you want to slot him in only against righties in daily leagues, he’s worth the draft pick.  He’s nothing flashy, but he’s solid without any severe downside.  2009 Projections:  70/30/95/.280

35. Hunter Pence – Leaving the plate from April through June of last year, Pence says, “Make adjustments, stupid!”  In the 2nd half of the season, Pence says, “Now you’re cooking with gas.”  I’m not sure if he is completely done struggling yet, but if Pence was completely out of the woods, would it make a sound?  Yup, a pretty big one.  2009 Projections:  85/28/95/.275/10

36. Pat Burrell – Here we are in another tier.  This tier goes down to Drew.  I call this tier, “You know exactly what you’re getting, and you’re getting less than the last tier where you knew exactly what you were getting.”  You can see why I wanted to place Ibanez in this tier.  Anyway… With Pat Burrell, you get 30 HRs and a .250 average.  2009 Projections:  70/30/85/.250

37. Milton Bradley – With Milton Bradley, you’re getting a headcase that is not going to give you more than 400 ABs.  The great thing about Bradley going the distance (more or less) last year was we were able to see what he’s capable of.  He’s capable of 22 HRs and 5 steals. Um, okay.  2009 Projections:  60/18/75/.290/4

38. J.D. DrewJ.D. Drew, Nomar Garciaparra and Rickie Weeks get onto your crosscountry flight, do you get off?  2009 Projections:  80/22/75/.280/5

39. Carlos Gomez -  Now for the last tier of the top 40 outfielders for 2009.  I call this last tier, “Probably not the 39th thru 41nd most valuable outfielders, but I’m just pointing out some upside guys.”  There’s a chance for 10 HRs and 40 steals with CarGo.  Granted, his average might be tremendously bleh.  I wasn’t crazy about CarGo last year, and I’m not completely sold on him yet, but a sleeper is a sleeper is a sleeper.  I could have wrote Denard Span here instead of Gomez, but he’s not as exciting to me.   2009 Projections:  90/10/60/.260/40

40. Lastings Milledge – At some point early on last year, I said get rid of Milledge.  He’s not ready yet.  He needs more time to season and absorb some of his juices.  Of course, Bowden left him on the grill for those first four months, and, by August, Milledge started to finally cook.  2009 Projections:  75/18/90/.280/20

After the top 40 outfielders for 2009 fantasy baseball, there’s a lot of names, but here’s two that stand out:

Cameron Maybin – I already went over a Maybin 2009 post so I’m not going to belabor the point.  Let me just say, SAGNOF.  Okay, I’ll say one more thing, Ellsbury in 2008.  2009 Projections:  85/5/50/.280/40

Delmon Young – He has only 26 HRs in over 1300 ABs.  Well, this is supposed to be in favor of him so ignore that.  Young is a hot head that hasn’t shown an ounce of potential.  Oops, that’s not positive either.  Um, he’s still only 23.  There, that’s positive!  And he can throw a bat at an ump harder than anyone else.  Shoot, there I go again.  2009 Projections:  70/15/85/.295/15

  1. sickmangarner says:
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    I think you have Hart above a few guys who will outperform him–e.g. Abreu who you have ahead of Hart in every category except HR. Is that ranking all about Abreu’s fall-off-a-cliff potential vs. Hart’s relative predictability?

  2. I would definitely have Andre Ethier in my top 40, ahead of schmohawks like Drew and Bradley anyway.

    But that’s how I roll. Your mileage may vary.

  3. big o says:
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    ellsbury will steal 50 bases again this year (4th year in a row) barring injury.
    maybe 60 .

  4. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    You get four RazzPoints for the Triple Lindy reference, redeemable for a sip of Hippo’s BigGulp.

  5. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    @big o: Ellsbury will steal 130 bases this year. Tacos, tacos, tacos for EVERYBODY!

  6. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    @sickmangarner: I could argue pro-Abreu as well. There’s just too much consistency for too long. I guess it matters where he ends up playing. If it’s Cincinatti, then he’s a top 20 guy; if it’s SF or ATL, well…

    @Fman99: Ethier did have a sick second half, didn’t he?

  7. BigFatHippo says:
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    @IowaCubs: No respect at all, I tell ya.

    Everbody outta the pool!

  8. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @sickmangarner: Hart has potential to exceed his numbers. Abreu is 35 years-old, he’s not getting any better, only worse.

    @Fman99: Ethier hit 7 home runs in August and .462 in September, two insane months that don’t look like they’re going to be easily repeated. He’s a 15/5/.290 hitter, not awful, not really that exciting either.

  9. Josh says:
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    no love for werth? injury history worry you?

  10. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Josh: Honestly, if I didn’t hogtie and ram the last four into the top 40, he might’ve been there. Leaving him off was pretty easy though, cause I’m just not a huge fan. His average 2009 projections look like 15/15/.270 and he’s going to be 30 this year. Eh, he’s not an awful fourth outfielder for a fantasy team, but I wouldn’t want him as my third.

  11. BigFatHippo says:
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    @Grey: Good thing you talked me into that Snuggie, power outage in the bootheel.

  12. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @BigFatHippo: Any time… How’s this, Fantasy Baseball & Blankie Advice?

  13. BigFatHippo says:
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    @Grey: Ha, EricW told me in the slow mock that I can make picks without getting my arms cold.

  14. Steve says:
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    Hate to rub it in boyz, but it’s hot and sunny here. Been swimming in the ocean every day.

    Still missing that slow mock tho ;-)

  15. cole says:
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    not that i am, but is there any reason you don’t have an erection over the potential of nelson cruz. i am a brewer fan, so i am aware of his shortcomings and the fact he was dealt to texas for next to nothing, but how do you feel about his breakout potential? i am pesimistic and appear to be the only one in the country.

  16. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @cole: I’m fairly realistic on Cruz (and he will have his own post on the site shortly). He’s not destined for 30 HRs just because he has an opportunity. He’s had an opportunity before. He has made some corrections, but I’m not completely sold on him. Then again, real late in a draft, he’s worth a flier. I just wouldn’t reach for him.

  17. TJ says:
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    What about Jack Cust? I tend to play in roto leagues that count OBP rather than BA, and in that format he’s a great buy relative to his ADP. You have Pat Burrell in your top 40, but is there really any difference between the two stats wise?

  18. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TJ: In an OBP league, there’s no difference between the two and I would slot him around the same area in my top 40.

  19. James says:
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    I am hearing some good stuff on Adam Jones. What is your take on him? In addition, I am seeing a much lower projection for Maybin as far as average goes. Why do you think he can hit .280?

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @James: I’m really excited for Maybin. He’s going to be (hopefully) batting in front of Hanley and he has .389 OBP in the minors. He could be something special and he’s definitely worth a late flier. As for the average, Bill James has him at .276 and Marcel has him at .288 so I’m not that far off, just a bit more bullish, I guess.

    re: I like Adam Jones — cheap 15/15 guy. He’ll probably make the top 60 OFs list.

  21. James says:
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    Yes, I guess those are pretty close. My bad – I remember seeing a lower average, but I must have been mistaken.

  22. Adam says:
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    I would certainly take Upton and the upside over a bunch of these schmohawks.

  23. Adam says:
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    J Upton that is.

  24. James says:
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    Yes, Upton had some small doses of great play last year. I am waiting to see that from Delmon Young. I thought last year he was on the verge of actually having value mid season, but he got hurt. This year I am worried he won’t get consistent playing time, and will end up having another disappointing season. However, a competition for playing time could be what he needs to bring that talent out.

    Grey, is this what you were thinking when you listed him at the end of this list?

  25. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Adam: @James: I like Upton and he’ll be in the top 60 OFs post.

    re: Young — He is a great prospect and he’s still very… um, immature. I like him with some caveats. Definitely someone I will be looking to grab late in some leagues.

  26. James says:
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    Grey, what do you think about playing time? do you see a trade coming along or do you think he can crack the starting lineup? I am concerned because it seems RG has his lineup set without DY.

  27. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @James: I think he cracks the starting lineup, but, you’re right, it’s not a done deal.

  28. James says:
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    Cool.

    Thanks for answering my questions, and I will try to give back by posting my opinion.

  29. The Span analogy for me is Figgins and if that’s the case he has value. I’d much rather have Span be my third outfielder, than Figgins be my 3b.

  30. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Exonerated: Potentially, but I don’t see him cracking 30 steals.

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