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With the top 40 outfielders for 2013 fantasy baseball, we’ve finished all the hitter recaps.  We meaning me, but I’ll include you.  No, that’s not a cue to try to hold my hand.  Why are you now patting my butt?  The pitching recap will begin next.  To recap, the end of the season rankings are based on our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater.  I felt the easiest way to keep it objective would to go this course.  This way when I say someone finished 30th and I ranked them 23rd in the preseason it carries more weight.  Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2013 fantasy baseball and how they compare to where I originally ranked them:

21. Carlos Beltran – Just imagine how good Beltran would be if the entire baseball season were played in October.  But then there would be five, and sometimes six, games a day for the Cardinals and he might sit out a few.  Preseason Rank #28, 2013 Projections:  75/23/89/.279/10, Final Numbers:  79/24/84/.296/2

22. Alex Gordon – His RBIs would’ve nailed my projections if he had stayed in the three hole like I begged the Royals to do for the better part of the year.  The Royals also would’ve made the playoffs if they had done that.  See, I have telepathic powers with parallel universes.  Bee tee dubya, the parallel universe version of you is getting laid left and right.  Gordon’s power never evolved.  His 2012 doubles didn’t Extenze another ten feet, but his doubles did plunge (27, down from 51).  With another year under his belt, I’m not sure he can ever hit 25+ homers. Preseason Rank #22, 2013 Projections:  92/27/105/.290/10, Final Numbers:  90/20/81/.265/11

23. Marlon Byrd – He won’t be unranked again next year, but he won’t be far off from that either.  I.e., I before E except in Teixeira, Marlon Byrd overperformed this year and will come crashing back to earth like he’s one of Andrelton Simmons’s relatives.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  75/24/88/.291/2

24. Brandon Moss – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen post.

25. Starling Marte – Marte was my Segura of outfielders.  I gave you a sleeper post, I ranked him high and I told everyone to draft him.  So, he overperformed, but that’s good because you were suppose to draft him; hope you did.  The “hope you did” was said in a cute voice.  Preseason Rank #44, 2013 Projections:  77/12/58/.252/27, Final Numbers:  83/12/35/.280/41

26. Jose Bautista – As I’ll go over with Nelson Cruz, Bautista didn’t have a terrible season even if his numbers were down, unless you owned him in a very deep league.  In most shallower leagues, get a guy’s stats then have them sidelined for the remainder of the season isn’t something you can’t recover from.  It’s much worse for guys like Kemp, who linger like they’re going to return and never do.  Bautista produced 85% of his stats in only 118 games (73% of the season) and made 92% of us happy.  Don’t ask me to show my work.  Preseason Rank #10, 2013 Projections:  91/32/100/.272/5, Final Numbers:  82/28/73/.259/7

27. Shane Victorino – This is total broken record shizz by this point, but Victorino’s stats aren’t far from his projections.  The final stats are actually a tad lower than his projections.  Yet — again with some stank on it — YET, he ended up ranking 27th overall, above where he was in the preseason.  Preseason Rank #32, 2013 Projections:  92/14/66/.272/29, Final Numbers:  82/15/61/.294/21

28. Domonic Brown – His home run projections are way off because he was in a platoon when I projected him.  I did like him a lot though.  Hence, the reason I drafted him in a 12-team mixed league and held him for the month of April before he had his insane May.  Speaking of that May, he had 12 homers that month and only 15 the rest of the year and four after the All-Star break.  That’s really bad.  He’ll be a tough guy to peg next year, because, even with the fall off, I do like his age and talent.  Preseason Rank #74, 2013 Projections:  54/13/62/.268/8, Final Numbers: 65/27/83/.272/8

29. Allen Craig – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen post.

30. Ben Zobrist – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen post.

31. Alejandro De Aza – What do Victorino, De Aza and Brantley have in common?  No, not that they were all in that question.  I mean, yes, that is true, but I wanted more.  They’re guys that are being helped in the rankings by the dearth of offense.  If a guy can hit 10+ homers and steal 15+ bases, he has a great chance of being a top 40 outfielder.  He just needs to avoid hitting .250 or below and have a decent amount of counting stats.  Preseason Rank #56, 2013 Projections:  88/8/52/.284/30, Final Numbers:  84/17/62/.264/20

32. Yoenis Cespedes – Yoenis was a wild card coming into the season.  I mentioned that in the preseason rankings.  His track record was short.  Now we have two seasons of data — .326 BABIP vs. .274; 18.9% K-rate vs. 23.9; 14.8 HR/FB% vs. 14.4%.  So, we know he’s a 25 home run hitter, everything else is still murky.  My guess is the book on him got a bit bigger and Cespedes is more of a .260 hitter than a .292 hitter.  The picture’s clearer now, but the rule of three wants another year.  Preseason Rank #20, 2013 Projections:  82/25/95/.281/15, Final Numbers:  74/26/80/.240/7

33. Will Venable – Easily his healthiest season with 481 ABs in 151 games.  He wasn’t even platooned that much, but he was here and there, and that’s why his runs and RBIs are low, even for the Padres…Okay, not for the Padres.  For a Padres hitter, he could get his number retired if he records back-to-back seasons this good.  It’s a long tradition, started by Tony Gwynn and, um, that other guy.  Preseason Rank #105, 2013 Projections:  52/9/41/.260/20, Final Numbers:  64/22/53/.268/22

34. Martin Prado – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen post.

35. Michael Brantley – A’la Mark McGwire, I’m not here to talk about next year.  But gee-dee almighty do I want to own me some Brantley.  There’s forty steal-speed in his gams, I know there is.  There’s no way he steals 46 bases in Triple-A and that just abandons him.  Next year, he’ll be 27 years old and coming off a ten-homer season and capable of 35+ steals.  And the really3 great thing is, who the hell will be excited about Brantley next year?  No one, I promise you.  Matthew Berry has more hair on his head than ‘perts who will talk about Brantley.  Preseason Rank #58, 2013 Projections:  83/7/57/.292/20, Final Numbers:  66/10/73/.284/17

36. Bryce Harper – Wasn’t really that disappointing of a season if he would’ve just played in 150+ games.  Too bad The Kool-Aid Man inhabited his body one night in Los Angeles.  Preseason Rank #16, 2013 Projections:  102/25/69/.261/22, Final Numbers:  71/20/58/.274/11

37. Nelson Cruz – See Bautista, Jose or 9 inches above, which isn’t really four inches with shrinkage.  Preseason Rank #27, 2013 Projections:  74/25/86/.265/7, Final Numbers:  49/27/76/.266/5

38. Leonys Martin – Can I just talk something out so I don’t think I’m going crazy?  Michael Brantley steals 46 bases in Triple-A; Leonys steals 19 bases between Double and Triple-A.  Brantley can’t steal more than 17 bases in the majors and Leonys steals 36?!  Martin, you so crazy!  Preseason Rank #63, 2013 Projections:  85/12/50/.280/17, Final Numbers:  66/8/49/.260/36

39. Brett Gardner – Here’s a weird one.  I love Gardner.  Lurve.  For a few years now.  He finally makes it to the top 40 outfielders at the end of the year and it’s with a yawnstipating season.  Well, color me unimpressed.  And don’t color gray hair into my mustache, my shizz is young and vibrant.  Preseason Rank #42, 2013 Projections:  102/8/45/.281/46, Final Numbers:  81/8/52/.273/24

40. Desmond Jennings – Guys like this don’t bother me that much.  By “guys like this,” I don’t mean guys who sneak in or out of a door when I’m holding it without saying thank you; those guys do bother me.  I mean, guys that underperform a bit.  If someone is ranked in the top 20 and they give top 40-ish stats, they’re not killing your team.  Guys like Matt Kemp or CC Sabathia are killing your team.  You just have to deal with guys like Jennings and have solid pieces around them.  They are not the problem or the solution.  They’re just there giving you some stats.  This was brought to you by the Committee to Re-Elect Grey Albright as your Fantasy Level-Headed ‘Pert.  Preseason Rank #18, 2013 Projections:  92/17/59/.262/35, Final Numbers:  82/14/54/.252/20

97 Responses

  1. Gregorious Chant says:
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    Can you believe big Papi last night? I’ve had him the last few years do you think he’s got one left in him?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Doesn’t look like there’s an end in sight… If he’s healthy, no reason to think he can’t do it again next year… Not like his ballpark isn’t conducive… Last night’s homer is caught in a lot of other stadiums

  2. Curt says:
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    Who would you keep for ’14…….Gordon @14 or Jennings @15???

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Jennings

  3. TheNewGuy says:
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    Unbelievable. Just unbelievable.

    I don’t even like the Red Sox but I have to admit last night was impressive. Big Papi you are the man.

    And biggest loser of the night goes to that chump security guard who kept celebrating even though he was right by Torii falling head first over the wall, and never even looked at him to try and catch him. If he was badly hurt that guy would’ve gotten slaughtered by the media.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I doubt it’s in his job description to save players from injuries…

    • Bombo Rivera says:
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      @TheNewGuy: I’m thinking if that police officer had collided with a visiting player who was making a play on the ball he might have been at the center of a bigger controversy.

      • TheNewGuy says:
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        @Bombo Rivera: Hardly, if he was trying to save the player from falling…We’re all human beings, surely its instict to help a guy if he’s about to fall on his head.

        • Cram It says:
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          @TheNewGuy: Oh NewGuy. Do you watch sports? Have you ever seen security in any game of any sport interfere with live action because he thought a player might hurt himself? Ever? At all?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        I agree with Bombo… Cops are there to keep fans out of the field of play, not cushion player falls…

  4. Carnac says:
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    Rather than make a cliche point about how offense was down across the board (<– but still sneaking it in there!)… I have to remind myself I'm looking at so many anemic Top 40 OFs because so many guys largely fell off the map this year. Kemp, Hamilton, BJ, Heyward, to some degree Giancarlo… even blue collar options like Willingham, Austin Jackson, Reddick. Off the top of my turban, that's almost ten guys right there that could've/should've pushed a lot of yawnstipation out of the Top 40.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That is true… But I’m not sure you can’t say that every year… Hamilton was great last year, but a guy like Cuddyer wasn’t… BJ was fine, but Ellsbury wasn’t…

  5. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    You threw this pitch out a coupla’ days ago: “I have an idea for someone who wants extra credit on their Razzball exam.  Put together next year a team of 27 year olds.  My guess is if you don’t research anything else and only draft 27 year olds, you’ll have a leg up on the competition. ” I always tried to be the teacher’s pet…

    RD Player Team POS
    1 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF
    2 Jay Bruce CIN OF
    3 Jason Kipnis CLE 2B
    4 Buster Posey SF C/1B
    6 Billy Butler KC UT-DH
    7 Pedro Alvarez PIT 3B
    8 Pablo Sandoval SF CI-3B
    9 Jonathan Lucroy MIL C
    10 Desmond Jennings TB OF
    11 Everth Cabrera SD SS
    12 Evan Gattis ATL OF
    13 Austin Jackson DET OF
    14 Justin Smoak SEA 1B
    15 Alcides Escobar KC MI-SS
    16 Ike Davis NYM 1B

    Targeted rounds close to the mock I am watching. All 27 on opening day except, Bruce and Kipnis who turn 27 on April 3. Might want to sit them April 4 (since you, Rudy, and I will be bar-hopping them the night before).

    (threw in a couple more than the 13 RCL hitters, just for options)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Awesome! I think this would be a good post for February/March…

    • TheNewGuy says:
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      @simply fred: Good looking team. Dont forget the pitchers though dude.

      • Simply Fred

        simply fred says:
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        @TheNewGuy: Hey, left you that coveted 5-hole for your ace!

        • Simply Fred

          simply fred says:
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          @simply fred: (not sure the 27 is a target for pitchers hitting there prime…)

          • Simply Fred

            simply fred says:
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            @simply fred: there>thier (and i used to teach junior high English…)

            • Simply Fred

              simply fred says:
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              @simply fred: their!

              • chunk says:
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                @simply fred: there, there…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Pitchers coveted year is their third year in the majors, age doesn’t matter, but tends to be prior to age 27…

  6. costaricanchata says:
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    @ Grey :

    a) brantley didn’t steal as much as you had hoped
    because he was buried deep in that line-up for most of the year :
    62 games out of the 5-hole and 29 games batting 7th .

    leonys : batted lead-off for 31 games and played 89 games
    batting 9th in the order .

    b) aren’t you worried that if the cougs discovers how
    “level-headed” you are , she might use it as a resting place
    for her beer ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A) Has it been proven guys in AL lineups run less depending on lineup position? Hamilton could steal 75 bases batting 8th… B) Ha!

  7. Gregorius Chant says:
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    Seriously, I hate ESPN. Bringing up that today is the ten year anniversary of the cubs loss to the Marlins in Game 6 as their lede story on their MLB page (and what occurred in that game), seriously, let it DIE! Media whores! If it wasn’t for actual sporting events on that station, I would never tune in…. Sorry rant over….

    • Gregorius Chant says:
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      @Gregorius Chant: Damn, Chicago Tribune has the story too. Ugggh

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

  8. Shake N Bacon says:
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    Ha, Bryce Harper and the Kool Aid Man. Got me laughing. All I can picture is the cartoon on comedy central for Dane Cook’s Kool Aid Man skit. OH YEAHHHHHHH

    Here’s a crazy thought Grey. In a keeper league, would you trade Alex Rios for Domonic Brown? Rios is the safe pick but he old.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, thanks! I’d hold Rios, I have concerns on Brown…

  9. J-FOH says:
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    Back to last night convo, how far down the manhole did you fall or was this a trip and fall situation?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      One leg went in and I tripped and fell…Shizz is sore, but I didn’t break anything… I think I have a serious lawsuit against Beverly Hills though… Get your house in order, BH!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: As your amateur attorney consultant I see a case of gross negligence from the city of Beverly Hills. I see a settlement on the horizon.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You could be my Erin Brokovich… I want the Beverly Hills sign that was in the opening credits on 90210…

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: I would go for a nice condo in the 90210. We could rename the website Razzball 90210. You get to be Dylan and Rudy can be Brandon

            • OaktownSteve says:
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              @J-FOH:

              That makes you Steve Sanders. I can see it.

              • J-FOH says:
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                @OaktownSteve: Funny, I see you as Nat running the Peach Pit

                • OaktownSteve says:
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                  @J-FOH:

                  There used to be this place on the Westside not far from UCLA called The Apple Pan that I think was the model for the Peach Pit. I used to spot a lot of UCLA references on that show. I think some of the writer/producers must have gone there.

                  I used to do an overnight radio show on the campus radio and afterward I’d go down to the Apple Pan and get pork chops and eggs and a Bud longneck for breakfast.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @OaktownSteve: Very nice, what was the radio show about or what kind of music did you play?

                    • OaktownSteve says:
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                      @J-FOH:

                      It was me and a buddy and we just combed through the huge record library and did a fair amount of talking between. The station there wasn’t broadcast at the time so you had to get it through tv cable (the internet was just being invented waaaaaaaaaaaay back then) so we didn’t exactly have a huge listenership. My friend was roommates with Jack Black’s best friends so we got the show because those guys all did a show that went until midnight and then there was nobody.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    The Apple Pan is still there, they have great pie… One guy who works there has been there for 45 years… He jokes about how his boss has been there for 52 years…

              • J-FOH says:
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                @OaktownSteve: did you get my e-mails this morning?

                • OaktownSteve says:
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                  @J-FOH:

                  I got one. Were there more?

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @OaktownSteve: I sent another about Wake Ups pitching thing, other thread

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I like how my counsel is talking!

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: JayWrong gets to be Brian Austin Green

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: I’m an ideas man…Pitch Posse 4 Life!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Ha!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: Sky can be Steve Sanders and Tehol can be Kelly

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Tehol is the girl that got Brandon hooked on drugs… Straight trouble…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: not a big stretch for a model

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I was just thinking about models stretching… Ah…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That was me!

          • SteveNZ says:
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            @Grey: One of my favourite Rowan Atkinson sketches. Was pre-Mr Bean too…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, didn’t know him from that stage in his career…

  10. OaktownSteve

    OaktownSteve says:
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    The last two season at an avg of 150 games played, Michael Brantley has had only 21 attempted steals per season. Bourn went from 55 attempts in ’12 to 35 in ’13 (though in 20 fewer games). Seems like it’ll be hard to project Brantley for more steals without seeing signs that the Tribe will give more green lights.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, agreed… But when he finally comes around with the bat maybe they’ll let him run more as it won’t be viewed as a distraction…

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        Maybe but I’m thinking the Indians might just have a conservative philosophy when it comes to running. They were 6th in Sb attempts but that might be deceiving just because they have a lot of guys who run. Stubbs is another guy interesting to look at. He went from 37 attempts with the reds to just 19 attempts last year. And he was 17-19, so it’s not like be was told not to run because of poor success rate.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @OaktownSteve: I think an interesting thing would be to see a five year chart that has all the attempts per team. Then you can cross that with managerial changes to get an idea of what teams/managers have a higher rate of attempts thus increasing the probability of owning a guy on one team over another based on the opportunity of them stealing a base or even attempting one.

          If Drew Stubbs was on a different team would he be a 40-50 steals guy?

          • OaktownSteve

            OaktownSteve says:
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            @J-FOH:

            I don’t think attempts per team quite captures it though because it may speak to the type of players in the organization more than the philosophy about base stealing in general. Have to think about what the right metric would be.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @OaktownSteve: @OaktownSteve: I would think our knowledge of the players would solve that portion of that, some would obviously speak to who is there, but seeing a listing might help to track them. This is how my noggin works with fantasy, i like messing with probability in the most un-academic and amateur of ways

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Hmm, that’s an interesting point… Kipnis has been stealing more than ever in his minor league career once he got to the Indians though…

          • OaktownSteve

            OaktownSteve says:
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            @Grey:

            Re: Kipnis. Yeah that’s just weird.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I know!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, very sad… I had heard he was arrested, but didn’t know he killed himself…

      • costaricanchata says:
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        @Grey:

        hope nothing negative happens to the little kids on his latest show .
        lots of pressure .

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Agreed

  11. J-FOH says:
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    F**k real baseball. These balls and strikes are killing me. I will only care about fantasy baseball now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, Puig is exciting… Makes me want to say f**k yeah!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: is the knee going to impact the bachelor party weekend?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, hell no… Nothing will be hindering that… Besides, after all that booze, I won’t feel a thing…

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: you can get a rascal to ride around

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I wanna ride around on the back of a dwarf…

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: If I wasn’t going to see Sky this weekend I would volunteer to be your personal piggy back all weekend….

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Aw, you’re sweet…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: I could see the conversation in the club, “Uh Grey, I don’t think doing the typewriter is a good idea with you on my back?” you “TYPEWRITER NOW!” me “don’t you think the cabbage patch would be safer” you ” if you don’t do the typewriter I’m going to give Brooke your address….dance motherf**ker dance!”

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      HA! I wanna do the typewriter under the sprinkler… Let’s set it off!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Oh no you dint bring out the Kid N Play…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: Hype that!

  12. Tom Brady says:
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    No love for Wil Myers?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      In what way?

      • Tom Brady says:
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        @Grey: Just that he is not in the top 40 OF.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Why would he be?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          This is 2013, says in the title

  13. SteveNZ says:
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    Hard to believe that Brian Wilson has gone from being the equivalent of a homeless man to the go-to 8th inning guy for an NLCS team.

    One forgets how effective he was closing for the Giants…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds like Evan Gattis

  14. SteveNZ says:
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    Ethier is using ‘Royals’ by Lorde as his walk-up music? Erm, I think he might be missing the point…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha… It is a great song… He’s also missing the point of waiting for your pitch and hitting it…

      • SteveNZ says:
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        @Grey: And she’s a 16-year-old kid. From New Zealand. It’s incredible.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I remember that video you shared with me

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

    • Gregorious Chant says:
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      @Gareth: That’s hilarious and true!

Comments are closed.