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With the top 40 outfielders, we’ve finished all the hitter recaps.  We meaning me, but I’ll include you.  No, that’s not a cue to try to hold my hand.  Why are you now patting my butt?  (Here’s all the final 2012 fantasy baseball rankings.  They’re also to your left… your other left.  And down.  That’s up.  Oh, forget it.)  The pitching recap will begin next.  To recap, the end of the season rankings are based on our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater.  I felt the easiest way to keep it objective would to go this course.  This way when I say someone finished 30th and I ranked them 23rd in the preseason it carries more weight.  Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2012 fantasy baseball and how they compare to where I originally ranked them:

21. Torii Hunter – He just missed 99/15/58/.316/9.  Or maybe he just beat 99/15/58/.316/9.  Or maybe 99/15/58/.316/9 has nothing to do with nothing.  You know who 99/15/58/.316/9 is?  It’s Cap’n Jetes.  So, the 5th shortstop is about equal to the 21st outfielder.  Considering you need 5 outfielders (in any leagues that have a solid set of testicles) and one shortstop, it means… Well, I’m not sure what it means, but it means something.  Damn, OctoGrey, you’re illuminating shizz!  Thanks, RIV!  Preseason Rank #39, 2012 Projections:  80/24/90/.270/7, Final Numbers: 81/16/92/.313/9

22. Ben Zobrist – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball.

23. Josh Reddick – In the preseason, I said, “In Triple-A, Reddick hit .127 in 2009, then .266 in 2010, then .230 last year.  So I’d be surprised if he hits above .260 over the course of the 2012 season.  He has shown the ability to hit for power, but now he moves to the unfriendly confines of Oakland.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Unfriendly my tukis!  The greatest trick the Devil ever pulled was convincing the world Andrew Bailey is worth trading for.  Preseason Rank #66, 2012 Projections:  75/15/85/.260/10, Final Numbers: 85/32/85/.242/11

24. Yoenis Cespedes – The 2nd greatest trick the Devil ever pulled was dropping a raft off the coast of Miami with a message in a bottle that read, “Hey, you wanna come play for the Athletics?  Cuba Gooding Jr. has a summer residence in Oakland.  You guys can be friends!”  Cespedeseseseses’ average was a bit surprising, but only because we didn’t have anything to go on but his Cuban stats.  His numbers in his first year suggest he is more or less what he showed… Until he shows us something else.  See how that works?  Preseason Rank #35 1/2, 2012 Projections:  65/20/80/.250/12, Final Numbers: 70/23/82/.292/16

25. Austin Jackson – I’m jacked up on excitement like a honkey at a rave with glow sticks hoping to draft Austin Jackson next year on my teams.  Some would look at Jackson’s 2012 as he had a high BABIP and his steals being down, but I…Wait, he had a high BABIP and his steals were down?  Okay, but he’s fast, so his BABIP can be high and he’s fast so you gotta figure steals gonna come, Sam Cooke.  Preseason Rank #46, 2012 Projections:  100/9/50/.260/27, Final Numbers: 102/16/66/.300/12

26. Hunter Pence – Just when you think a guy is always a lock for certain stats the wind gets up and changes his luck.  Wind, “It was feeling a bit stuffy.  My bad!”  Pence had pretty much the same season as he always has minus almost thirty points on his average, i.e., his luck went a bit south.  Preseason Rank #12, 2012 Projections:  95/25/100/.280/10, Final Numbers: 87/24/104/.253/5

27. Bryce Harper – I didn’t rank him but I implicitly told you to draft him just in case he broke camp with the club…Then I told you to drop him…BUT THEN I told you to pick him up again…Through all of that I never said “Simon Says” though, so whatever.  Rudy shocked me when he said Harper would be a guy he’d reach above rankings for next year to make sure he owned him.  Rudy’s talking downright Grey-ish going for upside.  Now it’s yet to be seen if Harper takes a step back to take two steps forward a’la Heyward, or if he keeps on trucking next year.  My breath is bated.  Preseason Unranked, 2012 Projections:  30/9/35/.270/14 in 250 at-bats, Final Numbers: 98/22/59/.270/18

28. Nelson Cruz – Definitely missed the mark for power, which looks like an aberration due to a few fly balls just not leaving the stadium.  If he had 27 homers, which is like one good game for Cruz in Arlington, we’d say he had another solid season that was right in line with expectations.  Preseason Rank #11, 2012 Projections:  70/30/85/.260/10, Final Numbers: 86/24/90/.260/8

29. Allen Craig – Due to a snafu of infinitesimal proportions, I left Craig off the top 20 1st basemen recap list, though he had the eligibility.  You can run, but you can’t hide from my errors.  Allen Craig accumulated his stats in only 119 games, which is terrific, marvelous, adjective, but also a red flag.  Has Craig ever played a full season anywhere ever, you ask your internal monologue.  Your IM responds, “I just got an email that I won the lottery in Nigeria, screw all this fantasy crap!”  But your IM could’ve responded, no, Craig doesn’t play whole seasons.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers: 76/22/92/.307/2

30. Shin-Soo Choo – Never been a huge fan of Shin-Soo due to his low ceiling, but I will give him this, when he’s healthy and not drunk, he’s reliable.  Hmm, sounds like my Dad.  Damn, now Father of Mine by Everclear is stuck in my head.  Preseason Rank #25, 2012 Projections:  80/17/85/.280/17, Final Numbers: 88/16/67/.283/21

31. Alex Gordon – For full disclosure porpoises (let’s just assume they’re reading too since they’re so smart), Gordon and Choo were in my rankings as guys that I wasn’t going to draft due to either Choo’s low ceiling or Gordon’s 2011 boosting his value.  I was kind right and kinda wrong.  They were good, but still a bit overvalued.  Hey, could someone help me down from this hedge?  Preseason Rank #27, 2012 Projections:  85/20/100/.280/12, Final Numbers: 93/14/72/.294/10

32. Melky Cabrera – For what it’s worth, I saw one website saying Melky was the number one ranked outfielder last year.  Preseason Rank #54, 2012 Projections:  75/14/65/.270/15, Final Numbers: 84/11/60/.346/13

33. Angel Pagan – But what about the guy he’s always most compared to and swapped places with — his rankings soulmate, Andres Torres?  Or what about the guy who trademarked the light-power, good speed fantasy outfielder, Shane Victorino?  Angel Pagan, you are rewriting the history books of the last two years.  Preseason Rank #72, 2012 Projections:  75/6/40/.280/27, Final Numbers: 95/7/56/.288/29

34. Nick Swisher – I don’t love you, Nick Swisher, but I love that you give exactly the stats you’re supposed to give (and I find your sideburns slightly arousing too).  Preseason Rank #42, 2012 Projections:  80/25/90/.270, Final Numbers: 75/24/93/.272/2

35. Carlos Gomez – CarGo also won the in-season record for most times mentioned in a Buy/Sell because A) It took people forever to add him. B) He’d get crazy hot and crazy cold. C) There’s no C.  Also, I’m not sure if there’s a way to do this, but it would be interesting to do a Player Rater for actual owned stats.  In other words, Kemp was owned in every league for the entire season and Gomez wasn’t, so in reality Kemp gave you more stats.  Victorino, who didn’t make this list, is probably more valuable than Garrett Jones because the latter was owned less.  Might be impossible to figure this out since league ownership is fickle.   Maybe if we took the average CarGo stats for all of our RCL leagues and did a Rater on those stats.  For instance, if CarGo averaged, say, 50/14/35/.285/28 across our leagues that would be his actual season totals.  My head hurts.  I should ask Rudy.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers: 72/19/51/.260/37

36. Matt Kemp – I was thisclose to posting a Matt Kemp overrated post last preseason.  I even wrote it.  Only problem was I was telling people to draft him 7th overall rather than 1st and it felt like a silly argument.  Don’t take him in the beginning of the first round, take him in the middle to end of the first round!  Obviously, I couldn’t have predicted a fall off of this magnitude because it was predicated by injury, though I would’ve took credit for it nevertheless.  Preseason Rank #3, 2012 Projections:  100/30/105/.290/25, Final Numbers: 74/23/69/.303/9

37. Jason Kubel – Take a Twins hitter in Hubert H. Homerfree Retrodome and normalize his ballpark and you get Kubel’s season.  Preseason Rank #77, 2012 Projections:  60/20/75/.260, Final Numbers: 75/30/90/.253/1

38. Andre Ethier – Looking at my Ethier ranking and projections…*boing*  On the forrella, his numbers are pretty terrible for a top 40 outfielder.  I went into the archives and found 72/25/88/.287 was the 39th best outfielder in 2009 (Juan Rivera — zoinks!).  That’s better than the 38th outfielder this year.  Take what you want from that.  Preseason Rank #38, 2012 Projections:  70/22/85/.295, Final Numbers: 79/20/89/.284/2

39. Garrett Jones – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball.

40. Norichika Aoki – It’s been almost three weeks since I’ve talked about Aoki, then before that I talked about him a solid six weeks straight.  For a while there in early September, I wrote Norichika Aoki blah blah Norichika Aoki blah blah for 1200 words a post and no one even noticed.  Norichika Aoki blah blah… See?!  Next time, I’ll use a Wingding font, that’ll make you notice.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers: 81/10/50/.288/30

42 Responses

  1. ming says:
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    gordon is way too low. i would put him top 15

    • VinWins

      VinWins says:
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      @ming, This list ranks the best 2012 seasons for fantasy baseball by outfielders – using the Razzball Player rater:

      http://razzball.com/playerrater/

      Do you really think 93/14/72/.294/10 was 1 of the 15 best?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ming, Too low for what?

      • ming says:
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        was thinking the list was pre rankings for 2013

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Gotcha… Nah, just a recap…2013 starts on Monday…

  2. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Looking at the Tier sheet:

    It’s hard for me to tell you to draft these guys, because, if things work out as planned, I won’t. But one of them might be more valuable than I’m ranking them, and, if you know which one, you’re a witch and that scares me.

    Angel Pagan (262), Andres Torres (263), Seth Smith (264), Martin Prado (229), Josh Willingham (286), Jason Kubel (295), Ben Revere (296),Denard Span (297)

    I’m now compiling a list of everyone who drafted Willingham…

    • Vacation says:
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      @VinWins, That made me laugh out loud.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @VinWins, Ha! I told you!

  3. Vacation says:
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    Grey, its draft day in March of 2013. You’re in the sixth round (say pick 65 overall). Standard roto 5×5, 10 teams. Your first five picks were Miggy, Cutch, Longoria, Heyward and NatGio. Which of the following players do you draft (in this hypotetical draft your only options are these players):

    Rollins
    Zobrist
    Freeman
    Medlen
    N. Cruz
    Uggla
    Kimbrel

    • Vacation says:
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      Also, if your answer is Kimbrel (I kinda of doubt it will be, because SAGNOF and all), who would your second choice be?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Vacation, Cruz

      • Vacation says:
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        @Grey, What if its a keeper league, does that affect your decision?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You already have a 1st baseman so Freeman is less attractive, Cruz is pretty replaceable as an OF… The value play really is Kimbrel, but you don’t seem like you want to keep him… I’d go with Kimbrel, Cruz, Freeman, in that order… SAGNOF and all, he Ks as many hitters as some 4th fantasy starters…

          • Vacation says:
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            @Grey, Yeah, but Miggy won’t qualify at 1B in yahoo next year. My problem is that I have two 3Bs.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Great point, totally forgot about that… Do you not have a CI spot for Longoria?

              • Vacation says:
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                @Grey, No, we don’t have infidel slots. We do have a UTIL slot where I plan on sticking Miggy or Longoria (I offered Miggy for Trout and was summarily denied). So I need a 1b but Freeman, AuShiz, both Davises and LaRoche will all be available, so I’m less inclined to keep Freeman, even though I expect him to hit 30 hr with 100 ribs and runs and bat around .280. I don’t own Kimbrel but his owner isn’t keeping him and I’m thinking about trading for him as a keeper (each team can keep 6 year to year). I’m torn between Freeman, Cruz, Rollins, Zobrist or trading for Kimbrel for my 6th keeper. I suppose what I should really do is trade Miggy for Braun or someone (maybe Votto?). Anyway, thanks for listening and apologies again for my awful commenter name.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Definitely trade Miggy for Braun if you can…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Or you should be able to trade Longo for Votto, though it might not happen…

                  • Vacation says:
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                    @Grey, Thanks. You’re the man. I can probably trade Miggy for Braun and then keep, I dunno, Freeman.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Word!

  4. Ned Shakeshaft says:
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    I’m also big on A-Jax. The stat-heads will focus on that BABIP but I’ll believe my eyes on this one. Looks like a much improved hitter with the stance and swing adjustments made over the winter.

    The steals are a concern but I look at it this way: if Cabrera continues his Babe Ruth impression A-Jax won’t run a lot but the runs are going to pile up.

    Also, dude missed a ton of time trying to play through that ab injury in May and took a while to get right afterwards. Plus, though I don’t have the stats to back this up, I’m pretty sure the Tigers’ 2-hole was figuratively that most of the season.

    So a lot to like, he’ll be maybe my 10th or 12th OF off the board next year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ned Shakeshaft, I might quote your eyes in the spring. FWIW, Detroit was about middle of the pack for the whole majors for 2 hole hitters… I do like A-Jax a bunch though… Any guy that can ht 15 homers and steal 30+ bases is worth liking…

  5. WallyCleaver says:
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    #35 I think you mean Gonzalez not Gomez

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @WallyCleaver, Why?

  6. nyydj2 says:
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    After losing in my championship for the 2nd year in a row, I must now spend the long off season trying to battle this Buffalo Bill complex that is enveloping me.

    12 team H2H 6X6 with OBP and L’s added.

    Keep 3 Forever- Must have been drafted after Rd 5- Waiver and FA pickups count as a Rd 11 and down.

    I will again be keeping Hamilton (6th Rd) and Stanton (10th Rd) locking up a good portion of my OF.

    Had to let Desmond run to the marketplace in a win all attempt and don’t really have a viable offensive keeper that is worthwhile, and he kinda sucked this year anyway. As much as I hate to keep a pitcher with these limits, I think I have to go that route.

    J Zimm (Rd 7)
    Gio (Rd 8)
    Dickey (Rd 11)
    Medlen (Rd 11)

    Where do you see my best value here? Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha! I’d keep Gio…

  7. KO says:
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    I think you should consider the fact that Cespedes put up those stats while missing 33 games due to injury. If he stays healthy and on that pace he is a Top 20 OF.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Not sure what you’re saying….

      • KO says:
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        @Grey, I guess my interpretation of the comment in your post of “His numbers in his first year suggest he is more or less what he showed” was that his final stat line next season should be in this range. So if he stays healthy and does not miss 33 games he would actually have had 29 HR and 20 SB’s. Andrew McCutchen this season had 31 HR and 20 SB’s. I like your site and this is not meant to be a jab, but rather I think you are underestimating/valuing Cespedes and what he might end up being. Just make sure you take this into account for your 2013 rankings. He also got much better as the season went on, so the argument that the league will figure him out seems a little far fetched.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Gotcha… These are recap posts for 2012… They’re not 2013 rankings…

  8. Prezii says:
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    Krispie to the A’s? Billy beane, at it again!! Say he works real hard to stay healthy and turns april 2012 into a 2013 season… eh, eh? What, i guy can dream right?

    • Prezii says:
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      Btw man… Ya gotta post “THIS IS THE RECAP FOR 2012!” After every blurb… Maybe people will understand then.. guess no baseball makes everyone half retarded!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        HA… Yeah, seriously… Scary to think how much I write that people are taking the wrong way that I don’t know about…

        • Prezii says:
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          @Grey, i agree… Well, at least you’ll lead the wise ones to water!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, I really like that for the A’s… Surprised that he did it this early in the offseason… Feel like MLB doesn’t like teams trading while playoffs are still going cause it distracts from the main event…

      • Prezii says:
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        @Grey, yeah i was shocked… I had to make sure we didnt go out and get Chris Young the pitcher….. Haha!! But all we gave is pennington and a prospect? Talk about a buy low… Krispie is 29.. most guys break out year! Im not sayin, but im Cust Kayin! Krispie, crisp and cespedes in the outfield i guess? Unless krispie is just gonna sit on the bench so he doesnt run into any walls.. hell, we should just DH him… I mean its not your prototypical move, but least he’ll be healthy. Not to mention he could barely get the ball into the infield towards the end of last year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, he was a mess last year but I think it was an injury… Definitely a chance he could hit .230 even of healthy, but it’s a great gamble for the A’s…

          • royce! says:
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            @Grey, I agree. Looks like Beane is doubling down on the low average, high power guys…or just taking a bargain when it appears. Very strange that Towers moved so fast on this, b/c it really seems that he could have gotten something better out of it. Adding Pennington and Bell and losing Krispie made their team worse. Would’ve thought that Towers would have been more skeptical this time around, what with how well that Parker, Cook, Cowgill for Cahill and Breslow trade worked out.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Totally agree… I think Towers wanted out of Krispie and took whatever he could get… His team definitely worse right now… He’s basically just replaced Stephen Drew which he could’ve just kept with Krispie…

  9. Schmohawks Bob says:
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    So Cishek is now the Closer for the Fish? I hope so because I own him for $1 in my NL keeper league.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, as of right now, but the Fish could be on the market for a closer still… Still early…

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