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With the top 40 outfielders, we’ve finished all the hitter recaps.  We meaning me, but I’ll include you.  No, that’s not a cue to try to hold my hand.  Why are you now patting my butt?  (Here’s all the final 2011 fantasy baseball rankings.  They’re also to your left… your other left.  And down.)  The pitching recap will begin next.  To recap, the end of the season rankings are based on ESPN’s Player Rater.  I felt the easiest way to keep it objective would to go this course.  This way when I say someone finished 30th and I ranked them 23rd in the preseason it carries more weight.  Does this mean I think ESPN’s Player Rater is perfect?  No.  It’s just an objective third party to see how well my preseason rankings did.  Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2011 fantasy baseball and how they compare to where I originally ranked them:

21. Brett Gardner – Truth be told, I was raised a Yankee fan.  Don’t think it affects me for fantasy because the Yankees are usually one of the last teams I watch when there’s a full slate of games.  I just don’t like their announcers.  And I could really care less about their players unless I have one of them on my fantasy teams.  I mention this because Gardner is about the only Yankee I tend to like for fantasy more than other ‘perts.  He just seems so underappreciated.  No, he’s not going to hit 20 homers any time soon, but he gives you SAGNOF without totally killing you elsewhere.  Preseason Rank #22, 2011 Projections:  105/7/55/.270/45, Final Numbers:  87/7/36/.259/49

22. Jay Bruce – I talk about how accurate my projections are in blurbs below, so I won’t say it here besides saying I’m not saying it while saying it.  You can go ahead and put Bruce, McCutchen and Stanton in a pile of players that I’m crazy sexy excited about for next year.  Preseason Rank #25, 2011 Projections:  85/32/100/.270/7, Final Numbers: 84/32/97/.256/8

23. Adam Jones – In the preseason, I said something like I’m being optimistic with my Adam Jones projections, but I like him and I think he’s about to break out in the non-acne way.  And that’s me paraphrasing me!  Preseason Rank #44, 2011 Projections:  85/25/95/.295/12, Final Numbers: 68/25/83/.280/12

24. Carlos Beltran – Is it me or do my projections seem really accurate this year?  I’m like butter with the ER.  Preseason Rank #36, 2011 Projections:  75/20/85/.270/10, Final Numbers: 78/22/84/.300/4

25. Shane Victorino – It’s always sad for me to see a player I’ve liked for a while hit the point where I think his value is going to start declining.  2011 might be the last season of a valuable Flying Hawaiian, poi.  Preseason Rank #20, 2011 Projections:  90/12/65/.285/32, Final Numbers:  95/17/61/.279/19

26. Ichiro Suzuki – Now this schmohawk is definitely on the decline.  Take a half second off a guy’s legs who beats the ball into the ground and you get Ichiro’s 2011.  Preseason Rank #15, 2011 Projections:  85/5/40/.320/32, Final Numbers: 80/5/47/.272/40

27. Mike Stanton – As said in a previous recap, I really don’t want to talk too much about 2012 in these recaps.  Feel it defeats the purpose of what I’m trying to do, but can 2012 happen already just so I can see Stanton take the next step?  We’re talking 40+ homers and 10+ steals.  I love Mike Stanton.  Preseason Rank #26, 2011 Projections:  70/32/80/.250/7, Final Numbers:  79/34/87/.262/5

28. Drew Stubbs – As I said the other day with B.J. Upton about low average biases, Stubbs seems to fall into that grouping.  Can hit 15 to 20 homers and steal 30 to 40 bases, but that seems to go out the metaphorical window when he hits .240.  Preseason Rank #30, 2011 Projections:  95/18/65/.260/32, Final Numbers:  92/15/44/.243/40

29. Cameron Maybin – This guy scares me.  Not in the “Holy crapballs, why is there a cat jumping out a closet with creepy music playing?” way.  He scares me because I touted Maybin for a few years and he kept disappointing, then when I finally ignored him, he did well.  Maybe I should pretend to ignore Dexter Fowler next year.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers: 82/9/40/.264/40

30. Howie Kendrick – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2011 fantasy baseball.

31. Corey Hart – I ranked him 31st overall in the preseason and he came in 31st at the end of the year.  How about a boo-ya with a side order of boo-ya?  And to drink I’d like a shot of boo-ya with a boo-ya back!  Yeah, that’s kinda boo-ya B.S. because I told you in the preseason to not draft Hart.  Though I wasn’t completely off because he was overrated coming off a career year.  So maybe a small boo-ya.  Preseason Rank #31, 2011 Projections:  70/21/80/.260/10, Final Numbers: 80/26/63/.285/7

32. Matt Holliday – Didn’t see it coming in the preseason, but I think we’ve seen the last of Holliday’s huge production years.  He gets these niggling injuries and just doesn’t have big-time power or speed.  Preseason Rank #3, 2011 Projections:  95/27/105/.310/10, Final Numbers:  83/22/75/.296/2

33. Nelson Cruz – I’ll contest (as I’m about to do) that Cruz is actually way more valuable than 33rd overall because when he gets injured he goes down for extended periods of time and you can fill him in while getting more stats from someone else.  Preseason Rank #11, 2011 Projections:  70/27/90/.285/15, Final Numbers: 64/29/87/.263/9

34. Michael Cuddyer – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2011 fantasy baseball.

35. Nick Markakis – He’s become a guy that gives nothing special but a little bit of everything.  Versatile but boring.  Kinda like brown slacks.  I will now call him Markhakis.  Preseason Rank #45, 2011 Projections:  85/17/80/.305/10, Final Numbers:  72/15/73/.284/12

36. Matt Joyce – As valuable as Joyce was, and he was valuable when you consider where he was drafted, he was really just a 1st half player.  You kinda could’ve done better elsewhere in the 2nd half…. Okay, I wrote that then looked at his month-to-month stats and Joyce wasn’t exactly a 1st half guy as much as he was a Mr. May.  Sounds like he was swinging Dave Winfield’s shtick.  Preseason Rank #82, 2011 Projections:  40/17/55/.250/4, Final Numbers:  69/19/75/.277/13

37. Johnny Damon – On one hand, it’s weird that I didn’t rank Damon in the preseason.  On the other hand, I ranked Joyce and hoped Damon would get pushed to the bench with Sean-Rod and/or Brignac pushing Zobrist to the outfield.  On the third lesser known hand that is actually a glove on a soda can, it’s Johnny Damon so maybe I didn’t rank him because I just figured he’d be rank.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers: 79/16/73/.261/19

38. Mark Trumbo – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2011 fantasy baseball.

39. Krispie Young – I think January Grey might’ve been sniffing glue when he ranked Krispie 13th overall for outfielders last preseason.  January Grey, “It was a dark time.”  Preseason Rank #13, 2011 Projections:  75/25/85/.240/25, Final Numbers:  89/20/71/.236/22

40. Juan Pierre – Ha!  He was a top 40 outfielder?  Oh, c’mon.  Sure, he doubled his projected home run total, but he could’ve quadrupled it and it would still be miserable.  He was unownable for huge stretches of the season.  2 homers and 27 steals?  Seriously, c’mon.  I mean, c’mon c’mon.  C’mon!  I would’ve preferred healthy stretches of Shin-Soo and a waiver wire add to Juan “2 homer” Pierre.  Preseason Rank #40 1/8, 2011 Projections:  85/1/35/.300/50, Final Numbers:  80/2/50/.279/27

53 Responses

  1. Markhakis. Fantastic.
    I AM MARKHAKIS!

  2. schlitzy says:
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    Maybe your krispie ranking was off, but your projections for him were pretty close.

  3. papasmurf says:
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    I will have Bruce, Stanton, BJ Upton and Jennings in my OF and Lawrie and Hosmer in my IF to start the year. Oh my. I can’t help it. I keep repeating the names and marking the smurf calendar for 2012. Hahaha. It sure’s gonna be the most exciting starting roster I’ve ever had. Kinda worried about Lawrie and his hand injuries but the grass is always greener in the next spring when you’re approaching winter! Hm… what should I use to insulate my mushroom house against the cold…

    PS, I was especially pleasantly surprised by Stanton’s year. Bruce’s season was pretty bipolar, which was actaully not too bad cuz I just benched him during the ice cold streaks and didn’t miss out on anything.

    Another season well done Mr. Grey sir.

  4. Steve in NYC says:
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    I had Kemp, Braun and Justin Upton in my NL only league this year. If they could have pitched a bit better, maybe I’d have finished first, but I’m happy with 2nd.

    Been watching Holliday in the playoffs, and man, has he gotten old! And, they signed him for how many more years? Perhaps, they should move him to first next year.

  5. Greg Norton says:
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    Looking at your projections compared to their final numbers gives me a boner, and that’s no easy task. Well done Grey!

  6. blakestreetblues says:
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    I flipped Hanley for Braun in week 2, drafted Ellsbury, Stanton, Granderson, and Joyce in their appropriate rounds. Flipped Grandy for Cliff Bar at the break. Won my roto league running away. Thanks Grey!!

  7. chata says:
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    my keeper leagues roster four outfielders and am finding the position
    increasingly thin and frustrating to fill , especially when hit with an
    injury or two .

    usually like to draft an extra pitcher (or three) , but am re-thinking
    that strategy .

  8. sean says:
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    Grey, I couldn’t agree more about Holliday. His body is breaking down and his true value was that he provided solid but unspectacular numbers in all categories. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him closer to 15 HRs next year than 25. With the steals having evaporated (two or fewer in two of the last three seasons), I’ll definitely be passing up on Holliday when others are looking to him in the third round based upon name recognition.

  9. sean says:
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    If you were to draft Cruz, you’d get 475 ABs of 64/29/87/.263/9. While he was injured, if you plugged in 150 ABs of Cameron Maybin, who was available on waivers almost all year, you’d add 24/3/12/12

    88/32/99/.264/12 — pretty, pretty good.

  10. Ray says:
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    posted this in top 20 piece:

    Grey-I can see McCutchen going 20-40 in 2012….thought that in 2011 too, but you say 25-40 with upside.

    What is his upside, in your opinion? 30-40?

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @zombie: Ha

    @schlitzy: Yeah, that is true.

    @papasmurf: A tortilla chip? No problem…

    @Steve in NYC: He does look old, yeah. Man, your pitching must’ve been atrocious.

    @Greg Norton: Thanks!

    @blakestreetblues: Wow, nice.

    @chata: Depends on how many teams, but 4 OFs isn’t that much in most leagues.

    @sean: Yeah, seems to be a hair away from Markhakis.

    @sean: Maybin seems to be too high of a guy to expect on waivers., though if he was those are great numbers,

    @Ray: Maybe not with upside on the steals, but he could get above 25 homers. He hit 23 this year, doesn’t seem to be a stretch to see him hit more than 2 more.

  12. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    yeah .
    guys in 5 outfielder leagues must really be scraping the bottom
    of the barrel …. (yes , i guess i do use a lot of idiomatic expressions .
    maybe that’s why i find people less understanding . but , i’ll be damned if i’m going to turn into a person who repeatedly says “do you know what i mean ? do you know what i mean ?? do you hear what i’m saying ???
    do you feel me ????)

    guess there will always be room for strict dh types on some rosters
    to fill the utility spot , despite the troubles brought on by inter-
    league play .

    do you smell my cheese ?

  13. mrobs says:
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    Markhakis… love it!

    Krispie @ 13th overall OF felt like a stretch. But I drafted him (prob a lil high) on nearly all my teams. I then proceeded to trade him for better pieces… so all in all it worked out.

  14. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: I don’t.

    @mrobs: Thanks… Good call on the trades.

  15. Wake Up says:
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    I’m guessing that the only people that enjoyed BJ were those that made the H2H playoffs…

    I’m also a big fan of Stanton but isn’t he starting to feel a little fragile?

  16. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Wake Up: I don’t think he’s too fragile. He played in 150 games, that’s not bad.

  17. It’s amazing what a drop off occurred in the middle of the 30s. I’d hate to see #41-50, you might see Denard Spahn in there.

  18. calvin says:
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    @grey

    standard roto, keep 4 players, $260 budget. would u trade:
    granderson @ $11 and dezzie jennings @ $11
    for
    tulo @ $22

    my other potential keepers are kinsler 33, napoli 12, morse 6, beltre 11…so the 2 for 1 trade would allow me to keep an additional player out of those 4

    thanks

  19. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @ChrisV82: Yeah, Damon and Pierre. Bleh.

    @calvin: I’d hold, and not keep Napoli.

  20. The Sequential Hermaphrodite says:
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    I saw that you think that Granderson will be overrated heading into next year, and I was wandering who you would rather keep for next year, him or McCutchen, all things being equal? I have it as a tossup right now.

  21. Wake Up says:
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    @Grey: You’re right, it just seemed like he always had some kind of nagging injury this year, and last year too, if I remember correctly, which I probably don’t since I don’t even remember how I started this long, winding sentence, but I do, however, remember liking him a lot and it seemed like he homered in every game he played in.

  22. Wake Up says:
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    just wanted to share this with you since I seriously doubt that you read his posts…

    # 34 Wake Up Says:
    October 13th, 2011 at 8:09 pm

    @Albert: I realize that Ells put up first round numbers this year. The question is, will he do it again? I’m not sure where you are getting that he has always had decent pop? 20 HRs is by no means his baseline and this was most likely his career year. As for other players that can do that, I like Braun and Kemp to do that again next year much more.

    I don’t like to pay for speed when it comes so cheap. It could be Bonifacio or Crisp, Gardner, Maybin, Revere, Pagan, Bourgeois and countless others.

    I also don’t think that it has to be all or nothing with Granderson. That’s a false argument, of course all things in between are still possible. Probable even. I like him. I think he will be a top 25 player, but if I’m going OF in the first round, I’m probably looking elsewhere.

    I’m with you on Cano and Kemp over Longo. And Longo being fine protection wise. His problem wasn’t not seeing strikes, it was hitting strikes right into gloves. He shouldn’t be so unlucky next year. Good talk.

  23. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Hey Grey, just noticed you actually had Damon ranked 70th preseason. Anyways, good stuff as usual.

  24. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @VinWins: Huh… Totally missed him when I went back to look. Good catch!

  25. SwaggerJackers says:
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    Hey Grey: I came across some baseball daily digest podcast thing you did in August. I’m guessing this discussed in comments already. Somehow I didn’t expect you to sound like that. Now I’m on a quest to find a picture.

  26. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: Ha… Sound like what? A glue-sniffing, tweed-wearing corn cob pipe smoker?

  27. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @Grey: I guess you sound like a guy who writes a fantasy baseball blog. Go figure. You dropped an F bomb when talking about A ROID. It made my ears sad. I must be too use to all the “shizz” and other self censoring. Is this blog a full time gig?

  28. @SwaggerJackers: @Grey: Agreed, not the persona I would have imagined. Sounds like he’s wandering the house looking for a misplaced bowl of Cheetos while dropping crumbs of salient baseball knowledge. Then again, perhaps that’s part of the mystique. If one Googles “Grey Albright” the first suggested search is “Grey Albright real name”. Mission accomplished. :)

  29. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: Nah, not full-time. Though feels like it sometimes.

    @centralohguy: Who would put Cheetos in a bowl? Hmm… Maybe I would.

  30. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Was that the one when you were up on the roof?

  31. Wake Up says:
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    Al Lang sounded exactly like I expected him to…

  32. Wake Up says:
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    Who is I??? That was funny.

  33. @Grey: Try anything twice, I guess. Melted “cheese” might clog your corn cob pipe on the trial run though.

  34. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: I just took a little listen, as my interest was piqued. Heard the hilarious bit about sideburns and a minute or two afterwards. Horrible hosts… sorry if they’re friends of yours, but you don’t leave a five second pause when your guest is done talking, or else they constantly feel like they’ve not answered the question adequately. Also, my wife said in passing, “Grey should have taken one fewer bong hit before the interview.”

  35. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    are you expecting ichiro to be a top 40 outfielder (according to the
    espn player rater) next year ?

    also … can you provide the link to the blog-talk interview that
    everyone is talking about ??
    seems i missed that one .

  36. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, but living on the left coast, you probably second-hand smoke at least a dime bag a day.

  37. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: I don’t think he will be. Not sure where they’re getting the show from.

    @Awesomus Maximus: Nah, I do secondhand wheatgrass shots and do secondhand yoga stretches.

  38. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: “Secondhand Hippies” sounds like a song the Spin Doctors would have put out.

    Game 6 postponed… now we don’t have to choose between the WS and Survivor & Real World. Oh happy day!

  39. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Awesomus Maximus: Secondhand Hippies smoke before you… Hippies that adore you…

    Thank god! Though we do have TiVo, don’t we?

  40. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: Nice! Is that supposed to be sung to the beat of “Two Princes?” Because that’s how I hear it.

    DVR is one of those things you have to give up when you have a kid… along with all of your hopes and dreams.

  41. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Awesomus Maximus: That is Two Princes, yeah. You have to give up DVR? Oh, forget it!

  42. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    whoa .
    the twins declined to pick up joe nathan’s option , making him a
    free agent …. and i’m not suppose to refer to them as the “twinkies” ?
    think again .

  43. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: Huh? I don’t get it.

  44. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: Actually gave up TV altogether… then it magically reappeared about 8 months later. Haven’t gotten around to calling the cable company to complain yet.

  45. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    what don’t you get ?
    nathan’s chances of making a full recovery from his surgery and
    returning to elite closer-dom , or ,
    the twins giving up on him ??

  46. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Awesomus Maximus: Ah… You still doing that one movie a (was it day? week?) marathon?

    @chata: Why you’re not supposed refer to them as Twinkies…

  47. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    you’re going to have to rely on someone else to provide a link ,
    but there was a song … on youtube , i think .
    that was either the name of the song , or the refrain .

  48. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    what are your thoughts on nathan for next year ?
    do you think he can recover and put up elite numbers ,
    if given a closing gig ?

  49. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: Ah… The song. Gotcha… Nathan just needs a closing opportunity. I mean, Gregg got saves this year, it’s not like Nathan’s that much worse than that guy.

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