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With the top 40 outfielders, we’ve finished all the hitter recaps.  We meaning me, but I’ll include you.  No, that’s not a cue to try to hold my hand.  (Here’s all the final 2010 fantasy baseball rankings.  They’re also to your left… your other left.  And down.)  The pitching recap will begin next.  To recap, the end of the season rankings are based on ESPN’s Player Rater.  I felt the easiest way to keep it objective would to go this course.  This way when I say someone finished 30th and I ranked them 23rd in the preseason it carries more weight.  Does this mean I think ESPN’s Player Rater is perfect?  No.  It’s just an objective third party to see how well my preseason rankings did.  Anyway, here’s the top 40 outfielders for 2010 fantasy baseball and how they compare to where I originally ranked them:

21. Nelson Cruz – I’d argue, as I’m about to do, that Cruz was actually more valuable than his ranking here if you played in a shallow enough league where you were able to reasonably replace him every time he got hurt.  Say Cruz and a hot couple of weeks from Coco Crisp and you were snap, crack and poppin’.  Preseason Rank #17, 2010 Projections:  80/32/95/.275/15, Final Numbers:  60/22/78/.318/17

22. Delmon Young – I’m actually a bit worried about Young for next year, but I guess I’ll leave that to January.  For this year, Young almost reached his potential.  His numbers look like a poor man’s Holliday, which isn’t bad.  He has a little bit of everything, except RBIs, where he excelled, but RBIs are really hard to count on.  Preseason Rank #63, 2010 Projections:  55/17/75/.290/7, Final Numbers:  77/21/112/.298/5

23. Drew Stubbs – He had one of those top 40 outfielder seasons where he went from being a must-own to a must-bench to a must-drop.  Some absolutely brutal stretches — June, 2 homers and a .230 average; April, 1 homer and a .186 average.  Finally, I’m not sure where the power has come from.  In his last full season at Triple-A, he hit 3 homers in 472 plate appearances.  Hit 7 homers in 548 PAs in 2008.  In his short time in the majors, he’s averaging 16.4% HR/FB, blowing his minor league numbers away.  Preseason Rank #49, 2010 Projections:  80/7/50/.255/35, Final Numbers:  91/22/77/.255/30

24. Shane Victorino – 18 homers was very nice from a guy who can steal 35 bases.  His HR/FB% was a bit high for him so it’s probably only a one year boost in power, but the amount of fly balls compared to last year makes it seem like he was going for the fences a bit more.  Also explains the dip in average, along with some unluckiness.  Preseason Rank #22, 2010 Projections:  75/12/85/.290/30, Final Numbers:  84/18/69/.259/34

25. Nick Swisher – Went over him in top 20 1st basemen for 2010 fantasy baseball post.

26. B.J. Upton – I’m unabashedly a fan, if unabashedly means what I think it does.  Crawford ranked number 2 overall for outfielders and the only thing separating him from Upton is a lucky average year.  If Upton hits .280, his Runs will go up because Buddy Holly will leave him at the top of the order.  He’ll get on base more for more steals and he’ll be a top 5 outfielder.  Unabashedly!  Preseason Rank #10, 2010 Projections:  90/14/65/.275/40, Final Numbers:  89/18/62/.237/42

27. Michael Bourn – Bourn masturbates to pictures of Juan Pierre.  Preseason Rank #40, 2010 Projections:  100/4/40/.270/55, Final Numbers:  84/2/38/.265/52

28. Scott Podsednik – Turned in a Juan Pierre, in the non-French way, season.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  63/6/51/.297/35

29. Adam Dunn – Went over him in top 20 1st basemen for 2010 fantasy baseball post.

30. Vernon Wells – I’ll admit to staying stubborn thinking there was no way he was putting together the season he did, but after 3 straight sub-par years Color Me Surprised he did do what he did, dude.  Who knew everyone on the 1927 Blue Jays would hit so many homers?  Preseason Unranked, 2010 Projections:  65/17/75/.265/10, Final Numbers:  79/31/88/.273/6

31. Austin Jackson – At some point in December, MLB is going to disallow 15 of Jackson’s lucky hits and knock his average down to .275.  Watch!  Preseason Rank #75, 2010 Projections:  85/5/50/.275/22, Final Numbers:  103/4/41/.293/27

32. Matt Kemp – I really thought 2010 was going to be the breakout Kemp season that we’re due.  Now, unfortunately, we’re overdue.  In fairness — though I’m not sure why I’m being fair to this guy — Kemp had the worst season he could possibly have and still had a top 40 outfielder season.  I’m warning you now, I’m going to be a sucker for a certain 30/30 potential, 26-year-old next year too.  Preseason Rank #2, 2010 Projections:  100/30/110/.305/32, Final Numbers:  82/28/89/.249/19

33. Torii Hunter – I have two words for you for what Hunter is going to do next year, Carloslee Thisyear.  Preseason Rank #29, 2010 Projections:  75/23/85/.275/17, Final Numbers:  76/23/90/.281/9

34. Bobby Abreu – For this piece of under-performance art, I’m going to give you 20/20 but lose the average.  Next year, the power and speed will be gone.  Finally, I’ll be a bench player until I retire.  I call this, “The Piecemeal Collapse of Bobby Abreu.”  Preseason Rank #21, 2010 Projections:  95/15/100/.300/20, Final Numbers:  88/20/78/.255/24

35. Andres Torres – I had love for Torres this year like he was Mondo from Project Runway.  Was one of those guys that had no business producing as well as he did, yet his hot streak seemed to last forever until he got aufed by his appendix.  Then he returned from his emergency appendectomy and produced again.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  84/16/63/.268/26

36. Colby Rasmus – I ended 2009 with a Colby Rasmus sleeper post, then reminded everyone in the outfielders to target post in March.  Finally, when I had enough, I told you to sell him mid-June.  In the 3 months before the sell, 16 homers, 9 steals.  3 months after that post, 7 homers and 3 steals.  Yeah, it’s like that.  Preseason Rank #47, 2010 Projections:  85/17/65/.265/14, Final Numbers:  85/23/66/.276/12

37. Andre Ethier – I really think Ethier pays off someone over at the WWL to get ranked this high on their Player Rater.  He had 23 homers and 2 steals.  Really?  Really?!  Preseason Rank #15, 2010 Projections:  80/24/95/.285/7, Final Numbers:  71/23/82/.292/2

38. Jay Bruce – I gave you a little love with the Jay Bruce sleeper post and ranked him high compared to most.  Not all though.  Someone named Bill James predicted Bruce would get 38 homers and 10 steals.  Maybe he thought he was Chris Davis.  Preseason Rank #36, 2010 Projections:  85/30/100/.295/15, Final Numbers:  80/25/70/.281/5

39. Justin Upton – Not gonna lie, this was a disappointing season for Upton.  There’s really not much positive to take away from it.  He didn’t have any extended hot stretches to carry your team and practically abandoned your team late-June.  His post-All-Star break numbers were 3 homers and 6 steals.  That’s a nice week… For Mike Aviles!  Now Justin finds out he’s a carrier of the Upton bad shoulder gene.  Can we pretend like 2010 never happened for J-Upside?  Please and thank you.  Preseason Rank #7, 2010 Projections:  80/27/95/.290/20, Final Numbers:  73/17/69/.273/17

40. Jason Heyward – The mollywhopping, 1930s matinee idol surname having, Frank Thomas gams possessing, love child of Hank Aaron and a Yeti, Jason Heyward produced numbers above where I thought he’d be.  Not far above, but above.  And he missed time on the DL.  Hello, sexy.  (Here’s my Jason Heyward 2011 fantasy baseball, um, fantasy.) Preseason Rank #73, 2010 Projections:  65/12/70/.290/20, Final Numbers:  83/18/72/.277/11

  1. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    “Bourn masturbates to pictures of Juan Pierre.” Ha! Rankings will reflect the behavourn, I’m sure.

    @Grey: Percentage likelihood that Jennings supplants BJ at top of lineup (Crawford gone)(BJ possibly shipped as well)?

  2. Marlo Stanfield says:
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    who do you rank higher in 2011: Cruz or Pagan?

  3. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Grey: You are the best. You are the VERY, VERY best when ID’ing overrated players. I had kind of liked Stubbs’ overall production for 2010. Looks as if he is a candidate for the overrated list this year. If he lands there, he absolutely doesn’t get drafted by me. Bucking your overrated list is not a formula for finding value. Thank you!

    @Grey: If you tab Stubbs’ one month stretches as brutal, what do label do you put to BJ’s May AND June AND July stretch of 4 HR and .214 AVG? Upton masturbates to pictures of Stubbs. :-)

  4. Stephen says:
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    @Grey: You referenced Mondo from Project Runaway. A)Who’s the other that is making you watch? B)I know my other was the only way I knew who you’re talking about. C)Subsequently, I also know why youre reference makes sense.

  5. Frank Rizzo says:
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    Out of this list, the guys that jump out at me initially as guys I want next year, at a discount I hope, are Rasmus, J Upside, and Heyward.

  6. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @simply fred: Thanks for sharing, Fred.

    @simply fred: Jennings is young, could happen but wouldn’t surprise me to see him batting 9th.

    @Marlo Stanfield: Cruz

    @simply fred: Ha… Yeah, Upton’s stretch was miserable too.

    @Stephen: A) Is there another one? B) Huh? Also, the finale is on tonight, but I Tivo it and don’t watch it immediately, so don’t ruin it even though it’s obvious who’s going to win.

    @Frank Rizzo: Don’t see Heyward being a discount anywhere.

  7. Stephen says:
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    @Grey: I was saying that my girlfriend is the only reason I watch the show. I wont ruin anything, because if it is possible, I’ll avoid watching it.

  8. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:
    What kind of numbers can a healthy Cruz put up?

  9. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:
    Selling him short don’t you think? I mean he did 33/20 in 128 games in 2009.

    I can easily see a 35/25 campaign out of him, and I wouldn’t be surprised with a 40 HR season. I just hope he’s not the designated Ranger to get injured multiple times in 2011.

  10. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Eddy: I guess if he were to actually play for 162 games then yeah he could go 40/25. 125 games seems to be a healthy year for him though.

  11. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Grey: My pleasure!

    RE Jennings: Thanks. Looks if he will show up on the wire and can grab him there for the SB if the timing is right.

  12. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @simply fred: With the hype going into the season, Jennings will be drafted in most mixed leagues, so he might not be on the wire.

  13. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, get that for sure at start of season. If he struggles/starts in 9-hole it is just as reasonable that he will fall short of expectations and fall to the wire. Am just trying to take into account your previous “he may be batting 9th”.

    I appreciate the heads up. I got overly optimistic about Sean Rod last year and can see it might be a similar up/down transition for Jennings.

  14. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Grey: As you can see I from post to Stephen, just trying to fill in as many blanks as I can! You are welcome to weigh in on the minor league to mlb transition issue (just seemed in Stephen’s wheelhouse).

  15. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @simply fred: Yeah, Jennings will probably be drafted everywhere then end up on waivers if he doesn’t hit out of the gate.

  16. Howie says:
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    @Grey: I obtained Chris Young late in the season just before the trading deadline. His keeper price is single digit dollars ($260, 4×4 Roto). As he did not crack the ESPN Top 40, what sayeth you regarding his prospects for next year?

  17. Steve says:
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    I don’t know who BJ Upton masturbates to, but I was sure calling him a wanker for long stretches during the season.

  18. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Howie: He was 15th overall, located in the top 20. He’s worth single digit dollars.

    @Steve: Ha

  19. Howie says:
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    @Grey: My ignorance shining through…I hadn’t associated him with the “Krispie” moniker… Anyhow…he had a nice season going up until I acquired him. Do you think he builds on this year or regresses slightly back to 2009 levels? Either way it appears his BA will never be robust?

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Howie: BA will regress, rest of the numbers can stay pretty similar. But BA is pretty fluky depending on luck from year to year.

  21. Black Beard says:
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    Grey, where do you see BJ getting drafted next year? If he falls, he’s a guy I would love to grab a little later and hope for a bounce back.

    Also, have you guys ever considered doing a chat during a World Series game? I participated in one last night and it was a nice addition to the game. Plus, every time I saw Vlad run down a ball last night I imagined you guys roasting the him and Ron-Ron. Anyway, just a thought.

  22. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Black Beard: Yeah, that’s not a bad idea to do a chat if I could figure out how to do it. BJ will probably be drafted around the same spot next year, 50ish.

  23. Anonymous says:
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    @Grey: I know that if you go to http://gabbly.com/razzball.com/ that it opens up a gabbly chat window that you’d be able to use to have/host a chat.

  24. big o says:
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    @Grey:

    joe magrane says that , with sam holbrook umping behind the plate ,
    the strike zone will be very small , tonight .

    he’s worried about cj wilson’s high walk rate .

    i’m thinking that this might be the rangers night to run wild on the base-paths .

  25. royce! says:
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    “Giants baseball is torture”? SF sure seems to like it, though. Kinky!

  26. royce! says:
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    But if SF fans like the torture so much, I know a certain ex-Rangers owner that could accommodate them…

  27. royce! says:
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    Lady Antebellum seems willing to accommodate them as well…

  28. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Anonymous: Hmm… Will have to check that out.

    @big o: Rangers will have to try and get something going, for sure.

    @royce!: Hehe… Who’s choosing the anthem singers? Lady Antebellum? Blech.

  29. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Jefferson Airplane might have been better. And I mean the real Jefferson Airplane.

    None of that Starship shit.

  30. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Get mad, Steve!

    @royce!: I will now check Wikileaks to find out.

  31. Steve says:
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    @Grey: I get mad whenever I hear ‘We Built This City’.

    Possibly the worst song of the 20th century. Or any century come to that.

    What’s worse, it was written by Bernie Taupin.

  32. royce! says:
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    @Steve: Would have been much better. SF is home to so much great music that it’s insulting that a country band from Nashville got to sing the Star Spangled Banner. Then again, I could see a lot of the good SF bands refusing to sing the song, so there’s that

  33. Steve says:
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    @royce!: A faux-country band, even.

  34. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Would’ve loved to be a fly on the wall when Bernie asked Elton to sing it. “This is total bullocks, give it to someone else.”

  35. royce! says:
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    @Steve: And it’s so unrealistic! Rock and Roll is a terrible foundation for a city that has serious problems with earthquakes.

  36. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Love those guys. Elton could (should?) have stopped at Goodbye Yellow Brick Road and still been a legend.

  37. royce! says:
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    Funny that in the intros Cruz said that his favorite player as a kid was Vlad, the guy who’s benched and Cruz is starting in the place of.

  38. big o says:
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    @royce!: \

    murphy in for vlad

  39. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: He did stop there, didn’t he?

    @royce!: Didn’t hear that. That would be like me starring in BTTF IV, replacing MJF.

  40. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Not an unreasonable observation.

    And one more thing – unless you’re on an enormous boat with hookers and blow (not a feature of my day-to-day lifestyle BTW), why would you bother being in McCovey Cove?

  41. royce! says:
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    @big o: Yeah, I realized that I should have phrased that differently- Murphy is starting instead of Vlad, but it’s Cruz that’s actually starting in RF, and Vlad started in RF last night, so it’s sort of true both ways.

    Can I still be right about Lady Antebellum being terrible? ‘Cos if that’s not right, I don’t want to ever be right again.

  42. royce! says:
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    @Grey: Yes, it would be exactly like that.

    Is a IV really possible? I see that there’s a ton of fan-made video on youtube purporting to be from IV. Time clearly well spent.

  43. big o says:
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    @royce!:

    yeah , i realized after i typed my comment , that i should have
    more closely examined the words “in” and “the” .

    and then , rather than place an immediate retraction ,
    i realized your explanation would clarify for those
    who misunderstood .

  44. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Seems counterintuitive. You need to be a huge Giants fan to go out there, yet you can’t see your team play.

    @royce!: I hope it’s not a real possibility. Would probably be starring Jaden P. Smith (or whatever his name is).

  45. Grey

    Grey says:
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    BTW, why do I need to install a chat thing? Isn’t this chatting? Just missing the H.

  46. royce! says:
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    @Grey: Well, if it came out anytime soon, I’m sure Galifianakis would be in it. He’s apparently blackmailing all of Hollywood.

  47. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: My ex-girlfriend dated him for a second and I had to hear about every millisecond of their relationship. Please no Galifianakis talkis.

  48. royce! says:
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    @Grey: Ha!

    I am not catting. At least as far as I understand the term.

    I only threw one cat today, and it deserved it.

  49. BigFatHippo says:
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    @Grey: @Steve:

    Wow, you guys stopped at Goodbye Yellow Brick Road too huh? Nice taste Charlie!

  50. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: Catting’s new to me too.

    @BigFatHippo: Hippo! How the hell you been? How’s Dash?

  51. Steve says:
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    @BigFatHippo: @Grey: To be fair, Caribou and Captain Fantastic, which came after, were pretty good, but not a lot to write home about after that.

    Still a legend, though.

  52. BigFatHippo says:
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    @Steve: Captain fantastic had his brown dirt cowboy for a reason…………..

    @Grey: Been great and real busy, Dash is awesome, thanks.

  53. Steve says:
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    Man, if Renteria is putting them into the stands, maybe it’s your year.

  54. royce! says:
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    @Steve: and Sanchez, Uribe and Ross are hitting to? Gotta be some karmic shizz.

  55. Steve says:
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    Random question – Is Keith Law really an insufferable know-it-all, or am I judging him too harshly based on the 140 characters allowed to him by Twitter?

  56. royce! says:
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    @Steve: I never followed his “twits” or “toots” or whatever you kids are calling em, but calling oneself a “heavy reader” doesn’t bode well for Law’s sufferability.

  57. royce! says:
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    and know-it-all-itude.

  58. Steve says:
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    @royce!: Wow.

    But hasn’t he had the rage for a few years now?

  59. royce! says:
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    @Steve: Yeah, I suppose he figured he might as well have some justification for it.

  60. Steve says:
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    Andrus getting on base like a crazy man in the postseason.

  61. big o says:
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    rangers’ bullpen missing frank/frank

  62. Steve says:
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    @big o: He could certainly throw a chair for a strike.

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