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The royal we already went over all the hitters for 2016 fantasy baseball rankings.  That’s not the “royal we” as that term usually implies.  It was me writing it alone while wearing a Burger King crown.  I refuse to draft a top starter where they are usually drafted.  Unlike hitters, you need six starters, depending on your league depth.  Simple math tells us there’s plenty of starters to go around.  Simple Math also says, “Stop putting words in my mouth!”  In most leagues, there’s a ton of pitchers on waivers that can help you — all year.  Not just in April, and then they disappear.  With the help of the Stream-o-Nator, you can get by with, say, three starters while streaming the rest.  To read more about streaming as a draft strategy.  There’s also the fact that three stats by starters are difficult to predict due to luck.  Wins, ERA and WHIP are prone to shift due to which way the ball bounces and whether or not the guys behind the pitchers can score runs.  Finally, the best starters can give you four categories.  The best hitters can give you five categories.  As always, where I see tiers starting and stopping are included and my projections.  Also, Rudy’s released his Steamer Projections with auction values.  Here’s the Steamer Hitter Projections, the Steamer Pitcher Projections and the fantasy baseball auction values for every conceivable league.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 starters for 2016 fantasy baseball:

1. Clayton Kershaw – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until deGrom.  I call this tier, “Security blankets are for bouncers who are chilly.”  This is a refresher for noobs, which I believe is spelled with two zeroes.  I’ve gone over this before, but it bears repeating like a hairy gay man from San Francisco who stutters.  If you own Kershaw or any of the guys in this tier, you’re drafting scared.  You’re scared to go into the season without a number one starter.  You’re afraid that if you don’t have an ace you’ll never find a starter off waivers or your later picks won’t pan out.  You’re chicken, as Biff would say, because there’s more pitchers than Michael J. Fox can shake a stick at.  The only people that draft a top starter want a security blanket.  They want to feel like they’re pitching staff is safe.  They want to feel nuzzled like a bug in an alpaca rug.  If you would’ve owned Marco Estrada, Jaime Garcia, Jason Hammel, Wei-Yin Chen, Edinson Volquez and Erasmo Ramirez last year, your ERA would’ve been 3.36 in 1036 1/3 IP.  Sure, I’m cherrypicking guys from last year…Just like you could’ve cherrypicked any of them off waivers in your league.  In some leagues, you could do fine not drafting ANY starters.  Yes, I brought out the caps.  I’m not only talking about H2H leagues where you can carry only relievers.  I’m talking 10 or 12-team roto leagues where you can stream starters.  Maybe you own one starter and stream five spots.  Maybe you own two guys and stream four spots.  Maybe you drink seven cups of coffee and stream all day.  Last year, I finished in the top ten out of 1200 RCL teams and I owned only three starters all year:  Gerrit, Archer and Carrasco, while collecting 41 out of a possible 48 starting pitcher points.  You might be saying to yourself, “Well, those are great starters.”  True, but I didn’t draft a starter before 70th overall in that league.  So, yes, those were great starters, but you can get great starters after everyone else is drafting them.  Even if you want to draft an entire rotation and hold them (or try to), you don’t need a guy from this tier.  There’s plenty of options later to fill out your rotation so you’re competitive in leagues where you can’t stream.  I’m not suggesting you Reggie Roby starters.  I’m telling you to Reggie Roby top starters.  Concentrate on your hitting while these guys are being drafted.  As for Kershaw, I went over him in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

2. Jake Arrieta – I owned Arrieta last year and it was glorious.  Like off the chain, and good ‘off the chain’ not bad ‘off the chain’ like when your bestie removes your half of the friendship heart charm.  Last year was the year to own Arrieta.  Don’t worry, there will be Arrieta-types to own this year.  I think a lot of times people get concerned that they missed last year’s breakout and there won’t be breakouts this year.  There will be.  I’m going to repeat that for emphasis, there will be breakouts this year.  There’s always breakouts.  I tell you who to draft every year, and I don’t ever tell you you (stutterer!) need a top starter.  I think some people reading this might think the RCLs, due to being 12-team leagues, are easier to find streamers.  That’s true, they are easier than, say, 14-team leagues.  But let’s look at a 14-team league and my pitching in that league last year.  In a 14-team league with Funston, Behrens, Pianowski and some Rotoworld guys, I didn’t draft a starter until the 66th overall pick, that guy was Gerrit Cole (see a theme?), then I grabbed Arrieta with the 94th pick, then Carrasco with the 122nd pick.  Any ideas if my pitching did well?  I got 51 points out of a possible 56 points.  In a 15-team league called Tout Wars, I zigged where I usually zag and drafted Strasburg in the 2nd round.  How’d that turn out?  Well, I drafted Arrieta in the 7th round, Salazar in the 10th and C. Martinez in the 18th round and it led to me getting 55 points out of a possible 60 points.  I’m moving to douchey one word sentences for emphasis.  You.  Do.  Not.  Need.  A.  Number.  One.  Starter.  2016 Projections:  17-8/2.38/0.96/224 in 220 IP

3. Chris Sale – I have a feeling next year around this time we’re going to be saying, “Of course, Kanye and Kim are getting a divorce, but I never would’ve guessed Kanye and Caitlyn are hooking up.”  Oh, in relation to starting pitchers, next year we’re gonna be saying, “Sale is better than Kershaw.”  Hopefully we’re a bit pithier when we say it.  Otherwise, what a snooze, Future Grey!  Sale has been biding his time as the third to fifth best starter in the game while being as unlucky as a seat cushion under Tom Arnold after a bowl of chili.  Last year, he had the best K-rate in the majors and threw almost a full mile per hour faster than previous years.  It feels like he’s been around a while, but he’s only going to be 27.  Want a guy that could have a sub-1 ERA going into July?  Here ya go.  Shame we won’t be drafting him.  2016 Projections:  17-6/2.49/0.99/245 in 205 IP

4. Max Scherzer – He turned 31 this past season and his velocity went up almost two miles per hour in his first year in the NL.  Explanation:  he didn’t have to face all of those garbage DHs.  Scherzer will once again be dominant and this year he might finally get to 300 Ks in a season.  Of course, that’ll be made easier when Dusty throws him for 300 innings.  “Your arm’s future will be as bleak as the characters in Anomalisa.”  That’s Dusty Baker talking to Scherzer while they are in an arthouse theater.  2016 Projections: 16-8/2.65/0.98/258 in 220 IP

5. Jacob deGrom – Is he better than his teammates, Harvey and Syndergaard?  Totes McTotes, which sounds like I’m talking to my umbrella.  How much better is where things get interesting.  How interesting is a question for another day.  DeGrom’s K-rate was better than Harvey, but less than Syndergaard; deGrom’s xFIP was better than Harvey and about equal to Syndergaard (2.92 to 2.91); deGrom’s walk rate was 1.79 vs. 1.86 for Syndergaard and 1.76 for Harvey; deGrom throws the slowest at 95 MPH on his fastball, but that is not slow; it’s actually top ten in the majors for pitchers with at least 150 IP; this is the 3rd longest sentence in the world, and the first two were written after the Gutenberg typewriter was first invented, but before someone invented punctuation.  I feel bad for those of you who have Siri speak these posts; she’s probably out of breath after that last sentence.  So, after that data purge, why deGrom above Harvey?  I think that’s obvious.  Besides velocity and walk rate, deGrom is better than Harvey, and I’d take the guy who was better in xFIP and K-rate every day of the week and twice on Muesday, a magical day between Monday and Tuesday that was discovered by Scientologists.  Why deGrom over Syndergaard is a trickier question.  I don’t believe deGrom is better, I think he’s just safer.  That’s why I’m putting deGrom in a tier I’m not drafting and Syndergaard in a tier I want.  2016 Projections:  17-7/2.61/0.97/217 in 210 IP

6. Matt Harvey – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Bumgarner.  I call this tier, “I ain’t mad at cha, I ain’t mad for you either.”  This is the 2nd tier I’m not drafting.  So, why not just rank them with the tier above, you ask with those inquisitive eyes of yours.  Because I don’t believe this tier of pitchers is as good as the above tier and I felt I needed to separate them.  As for Harvey, this post is going on 30,000 words so just see my deGrom blurb for Harvey info.  Only thing I’ll add is with one year removed from Tommy John I wouldn’t be surprised if Harvey’s better than last year, not worse.  Assuming the Mets pushing him about 50 IP too far last year doesn’t have any repercussions.  By the way, those are not what a goth chick decorates with, those are Reaper cushions.  2016 Projections: 15-9/2.86/1.06/206 in 200 IP

7. David Price – Here’s what I said this offseason, “The Red Sox signed David Price to a seven-year deal for $217 million.  MFW I heard.  I get that half goes to the government, and ten percent goes to his lawyer, and ten percent goes to his agent, and ten percent goes to his business manager, and ten percent goes to his accountant, and ten percent goes to the guy in his business manager’s office that is pretending to be his business manager and moving money straight to a bank account in Turks and Caicos without anyone knowing, but $217 million is ludicrous.  The Ghost of Curt Flood says, “Ya’ll abusing the crack baby out free agency.”  The ‘crack baby’ modifier is popular amongst ghosts.  The Ghost of Marion Barry started it.  This contract makes me long for the days of collusion.  This doesn’t even take into account how stupid it is from the Red Sox perspective, and I don’t mean just due to Price’s unstellar (Made Up Word of the Day!) playoff history.  There will never be a contract where this much money ever makes sense.  Look at your World Champion Royals, they don’t have one guy making more than ten million.  Look at the past handful of huge contracts, have any of them looked good in hindsight?  By the third year, this will look as egregious as the contracts given to Sabathia, A-Rod, Cano, Ryan Howard…Okay, nothing will look as bad as Ryan Howard’s.  It’s not like contracts are secret either.  It’s not as if the Red Sox are sitting there scratching their heads wondering how much the Royals are paying Hosmer.  Big contracts get you nowhere!  I said that last sentence while pounding my fist on a lectern as a few kids dozed in the front row.  As for Price, he’ll turn 31 years old during the 2016 season, which is not exactly when pitchers get better, but he looks like he could stave off decline for a year or two.  Last year, his fastball velocity went up from 2014, his K-rate was above his career average and his walk rate was within sneezing distance of his career mark.  He was a tad lucky on homers, LOB% and BABIP, but he appears to be 2.70-3.20 ERA pitcher with neutral luck.  Of course, I wouldn’t draft him since I don’t buy number one fantasy aces, but I doubt Fenway or the AL East really hurt him that much.  At least not until the third year of his deal when there will be 217 million reasons why the Red Sox want to unload him.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2016 Projections: 17-7/3.03/1.10/225 in 220 IP

8. Madison Bumgarner – I realize that I can’t say every year that Bumgarner is going to break down due to innings, then eventually take credit for predicting it when he finally does after being wrong about him breaking down for three straight years.  That doesn’t exclude me from using that as rational for avoiding him.  Shoot (not you, deranged white person!), if Bumgarner was regularly being underdrafted, I might even draft him myself, because his numbers don’t scream that the end is nigh.  By the by, if you ever go in the nude hosiery business, you should call them, Nigh High.  I won’t be manufacturing pantyhose any time soon, so you can have the name.  2016 Projections:  17-9/2.95/1.03/216 in 215 IP

9. Gerrit Cole – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Strasburg.  I call this tier, “I have illusions of drafting these guys, maybe they’re delusions, or is it allusions?”  I’m writing this post in January, and I don’t know where most are ranking or drafting anyone.  If Cole is ranked and drafted as a top three starter off the board, then, so be it, I won’t own him.  I’ll own Strasburg or Syndergaard or I none of them and someone in another tier.  There’s too many starters to worry about whether or not you can draft one specific starter.  This is a tier I’d love to draft, but I won’t be drafting a starter before the 50th starter off the board, so if they don’t fit the bill then we’ll move on to one of dozens of other starters.  At some point soon, I will post a separate article with a tool on how to draft starters.  Hehe, I said tool.  As for Cole, last preseason I said he’d break out and he just had a year with a 2.60 ERA and 200 Ks, so this year I say, told ya so.  I’m just banking on no one else realizing Cole’s already broke out.  Or, I guess in regards to a Pirate, I’m just PNC’ing on no one else realizing.  2016 Projections:  15-9/2.78/1.06/217 in 215 IP

10. Jose Fernandez – From early ADP reports I’ve seen, I don’t have a legitimate chance to own Jo-Fer.  Jo figure!  That’s a bummer because he is tantalizingly delicious, and if he falls to around 50 overall in drafts, then I’m gonna be on that faster than you can say, “Mom, did you throw out my lucky underwear?!”  Last year, Jo-Fer returned with a 11 K/9 and 2.62 xFIP.  In other words, RRRRAOWR, RRRRAOW like a dungeon dragon.  In other other words, is that a baculum in your pants or did you just read Jo-Fer’s numbers?  Talk about not missing a step after missing a year.  Yes, that was what you were talking about, your point?  Shut up, Random Italicized Voice.  Jo-Fer will likely be ranked as the 1st, 2nd or 3rd pitcher overall next year.  Like fo’reals.  2016 Projections:  13-5/2.44/1.01/210 in 180 IP

11. Noah Syndergaard – Do I really have a chance of drafting Syndergaard this late?  Let’s do some quick math.  Yup, I have a chance!  What, you never said I had to show my math.  Okay, I love him.  I love Syndergaard for the man he wants to be and the man he is.  I love him!  He had me at hello.  He completes me.  His brain weighs nine pounds.  She’s got a Syndergaarden.  Okay, now I’m just mashing up Jerry Maguire with that terrible Springsteen song.  Sorry, Jersey, there are bad Springsteen songs.  On a related note, was there any good music made by white people in the 90s?  So, I mostly went over Syndergaard in the deGrom blurb.  I’ll only add here that Syndergaard could easily be a top five pitcher this year.  Only concern I have is whether he can get 190+ IP.  2016 Projections:  15-6/2.88/1.07/208 Ks in 185 IP

12. Stephen Strasburg – Sometimes I get so burnt by a guy I don’t want to ever hear his name again.  When watching Narcos and hearing someone say Pablo, I’ll think Sandoval and throw something at my TV.  Other times, I’ll get burnt and line up for some more burning like a person with an unshaven pubis region at Burning Man.  Strasburg falls into the latter category.  And I don’t mean he looks like Don Johnson in The Harrad Experiment from the waist down, or do I mean that?  I’ve painted myself into a corner where on one side I want to own a man in fantasy and on the other side I’m talking about unshaven pubis.  It’s almost due to Strasburg burning me last year that I want him more.  That’s not it though.  (At least that’s what I tell my fantasy shrink, which is actually just a Mr. Potato Head.)  Here’s what I said after his final start of the year, “From June 1st on, he was hit by random injury after random injury, but when he was on the mound, his ERA was 1.76.  One more time with some stank, in 82 innings from June 1st on, his ERA was 1.76.”  And that’s me copying and pasting me!  Strasburg screwed over last year’s owners with one bad month in May, don’t let that stop you from grabbing him this year.  2016 Projections: 14-9/2.89/1.08/231 in 205 IP

13. Carlos Carrasco – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Salazar.  I call this tier, “Okay, you need to draft a starter at some point prolly, but if you’re looking at me to force you to draft a starter, you’re looking at the wrong guy.”  This tier could’ve also been named, “These guys were great last year, not totally sure why no one realizes it, or maybe they do realize it and I’m being daft.”  Grey being daft is actually always a possibility.  “Did he tell us to draft Gyorko three years in a row?”  “Grey being daft.”  “Did he really rank F-Her all the way down there?”  “Daft.” “Did he really use hydrogen peroxide after he shaved?”  “Dafter shave.”  This is something I see just about every year.  Players (hitters too) break out and no one drafts them like they should.  Instead, people will either draft guys they know — F-Her — or guys that just had a career year — Keuchel.  I think there’s a certain element to drafting that people don’t want to look stupid.  You’re in a draft with your friends, or at least people you pretend to like, and it’s your turn to draft.  You then draft F-Her in front of Carrasco because you’re afraid of being mocked by people not as smart as yourself.  I don’t know, it’s a working theory.  As for Carrasco, there’s few categories you can point to where he didn’t excel except 1st inning runs allowed and ERA.  We all know ERA only gets you so far and 1st inning runs aren’t a reason to not draft someone.  His ERA last year from the 2nd inning on was 3.03.  If he corrects his 1st inning problems, he could be a top five starter, and, even if he doesn’t, last year he was the 14th best starter in fantasy.  In other words, he was already terrific!  2016 Projections:  14-8/3.09/1.04/223 in 202 IP

14. Chris Archer – I was perusing wins above average on pitches to see what was the most effective pitch in the major leagues and you know what it is?  Hint it’s a slider and it’s Chris Archer’s.  Okay, that was less of a hint and more of a I just didn’t feel like waiting for you to guess.  I got no patience and I hate waiting!  Uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, big pimpin’.  Kershaw had 24.4 wins above average with his fastball, F-Her was top with curveball at 19.8 (Kershaw was close second with 17.2), Greinke was top with a change at 20.9, then Archer’s slider was 25.4.  Hitters hit .186 against his slider.  His Swinging Strike rate with the slider was 20.4%.  The top two in baseball for Swinging Strike rate were Kershaw and Scherzer with 15.9% and 15.3% respectively.  To go with this unhittable pitch, Archer has a 95 MPH fastball.  This is a long way of saying woo-hoo.  Or a short way to say woo-hoo with four hundred O’s after the W and H.  2016 Projections:  12-10/3.02/1.12/238 in 204 IP

15. Corey Kluber – I think it’s safe to say you likely won’t be battling with many of Kluber’s 2015 owners to get him this year.  Unless they have the same Burning Man love for him like I have for Strasburg.  Kluber cut his walks from his Cy Young year to last year, but lost some on his fastball and his K-rate, but, honestly, interjection, he had some room to spare on those.  His xFIP last year was 3.05, good for 12th in the majors between Bumgarner and Lester.  He also had the 7th best K-rate.  Okay, sorry he screwed some of you last year, but your loss is our gain.  Did you just subconsciously touch your Rogaine?  You did, didn’t you?  2016 Projections:  14-10/3.18/1.08/235 in 217 IP

16. Danny Salazar – Pound for pound, the Indians have the best AL pitching staff.  At some point, this will become common knowledge.  On a real baseball note, I’d be furious if I were an Indians fan and my team’s best offseason moves were signing Napoli and Rajai.  They have Kluber, Carrasco and Salazar and they’re going into the season with Giovanny Urshela at 3rd base?  The Indians should be ashamed of themselves.  Notice how I didn’t say the Indians should be red-faced.  Any hoo!  Salazar is right there with Carrasco, Archer and everyone else in this tier, he wasn’t bad last year.  In fact (Grey’s got more!), he was really good.  Last year, Salazar cut his walks from 2.86 to 2.58.  If he can move that number to 2.1 or lower, he’ll be a top five starter.  Even if he doesn’t, he’s more than worthy of being drafted here.  2016 Projections:  13-11/3.12/1.10/216 in 200 IP

17. Dallas Keuchel – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until F-Her.  I call this tier, “You guys had a good run, which is the only exercise you had last year.”  By the tier name, I mean I’m not drafting these guys, and likely won’t even be presented with the opportunity since they should be gone way before this.  As for Keuchel, this is funny (not funny at all), I looked at Keuchel’s numbers and started digging in to figure out how he did what he did last year, and if he can do it again and I ended totally puzzled.  Then I looked at what I said last October in my recap and I said, “Strikeouts are the easiest to predict.  They stabilize relatively quickly and don’t usually change a ton, especially not for a guy who tops out at 89 MPH (like Keuchel).  Taking a look at Keuchel’s numbers to figure out where the extra Ks came from, still leaves me a bit baffled, but watching me be confused is fun, so here goes.  His cutter usage went up a little and change went down a little, which led to better numbers for both of them.  He tends to throw those more against righties because they work better against them.  Then against lefties, he’s unhittable with a slider and sinker.  What does this mean? He learned how to be more effective using his arsenal.”  And that’s puzzled me quoting baffled me!  I need a nap!  A guy that gets ground balls at a 62% rate like Keuchel and strikes out 8+ batters is a top five pitcher.  The ground balls I believe, I don’t buy the Ks, and likely won’t ever with a 89 MPH fastball.  For qualified pitchers last year, that was the 12th slowest fastball.  He feels a little to me like when R.A. Dickey won the Cy Young.  Dickey was a bit more out of the blue (balls), and Keuchel has two years in a row with a sub-3 ERA, but a sub-3 ERA with 170 Ks isn’t nearly as interesting as 200+ Ks.  What I believe is happening is his Ks are a function of his control.  He knows how to pitch.  Knowing how to pitch is less interesting to me than a guy that can just blow hitters away.  I’m not writing him off, but I’m also not writing him on!  Okay, that sounded better in my head.  2016 Projections: 15-10/2.98/1.15/172 in 215 IP

18. Zack Greinke – Here’s what I said this offseason, “You know, this signing of Zack Greinke with the Diamondbacks isn’t much of a surprise since Greinke is so intellectually driven and Phoenix is on the cutting edge of cyber-learning.  Did you know 1 out of 24 graduates from the University of Phoenix go on to make six figures?  Of course, 1 out of 24 graduates from the University of Phoenix are chosen to be in their commercials and paid $100,000.  That gives me an idea, we should start a college and charge students $200,000 for a 4-year degree, then hire every graduate for $24,000/year.  Shoot, every college and company are already working this scheme.  Any hoo!  Zack Greinke goes to the Diamondbacks and takes a hit in his value or will take multiple hits on his value.  Don’t think the Dodgers are really that much better offensively than the D-Backs.  Actually, they’re worse.  So, it’s not a hit due to chance for wins.  It’s a hit due to home stadium change.  Arizona’s decidedly a hitters’ park and the Casa de Doyers is not.  Arizona is around top five for hitting, whereas Dodger Stadium is around bottom five.  Things sway yearly, but Chase Field has had years in the top two for offense, only sniffing Coors’ butt.  Mean’s while, Dodger Stadium has had years in the bottom three for all offense, only staying in front of Safeco and Petco.  I doubt Greinke falls back to a 4+ ERA pitcher he was his last year on the Royals, but he was a 3.83 ERA pitcher in another hitting-friendly park in Milwaukee, and that’s not so good.   Oh, and Greinke is 32 years old.  Yeah, you don’t need a degree from the University of Phoenix to know this deal could go sideways real fast.”  And that’s me–Well, you know.  2016 Projections:  15-8/3.54/1.16/194 in 210 IP

19. Felix Hernandez – F-Her has been a number one starter and ranked in the top 10 for starters as long as Razzball has been around.  That was *covers mouth so you can’t hear the number* years ago.  If I didn’t cover my mouth at the worst possible time, you would’ve heard a big number.  I’m been Grey’ing your skies blue since you can remember, which is alternate lyrics for Jeff Tweedy’s next song.  I made you wish your ears were cauliflowered like Bob Backlund from my cackle and made you want to plastic surgeon your eyes wider to see my ‘stache.  Okay, this is sounding like a eulogy.  Well, I guess it is for Felix.  His K-rate dropped to 8.5 (almost a full K per nine), his velocity dropped to 91.8, he’s overly reliant on his curve, he’s turning 30 this year and his xFIP was its worst in six years.  Time is not on Felix’s side and neither am I.  2016 Projections:  14-10/3.43/1.16/190 in 204 IP

20. Tyson Ross – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until top 40 starters for 2016 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “Fetty Wap.”  By the tier name, I mean that like Fetty Wap all of these pitchers have one good eye on the future and one good eye into a void of nothingness.  If your first starter is from here, you don’t want no sauce, no A1.  These pitchers are not as easy to live with as your first pitcher as the guys in the Gerrit Cole and Carrasco tiers.  Like I’ve said a million times in this post, I’m punting top starters, but I’m not saying to punt starters completely.  If you’re at this point in the draft and don’t have a number one, then you need to draft one of these guys.  Hopefully they provide at least 200 IP, close to 200 Ks and not too many headaches.  I’d prefer to have a starter like Strasburg and skip this tier completely and get another starter in the top 40, but that’s not always an option.  At a later date, I will explain exactly how to draft a six-man rotation.  As for Ross, he was like an ambassador at the Ministry of Silly Walks last year, bumping from 3.3 BB/9 in 2014 to 3.9 last year.  Keep going like that and the only one that can save him will be Ray Searage and a team of astronauts, because, as everyone knows, a team of astronauts never hurt in any circumstance.  Fortch, Ross’s Ks also went up last year to almost 10 K/9, he pitches in Petco and he’ll give you around 200 IP, so I’ll give him a grant for some silly walks.  2016 Projections:  11-12/3.09/1.26/209 in 200 IP