Comments on: Top 20 Starters, 2011 Fantasy Baseball

By: Ike

Ike — Thu, 24 Mar 2011 23:09:46 +0000

I misread #2. Ignore or delete prior post.

By: Ike

Ike — Thu, 24 Mar 2011 23:08:14 +0000

@Mike from Jersey: This comment is hilarious now. Not that it was stupid at the time.

By: BKK

BKK — Wed, 09 Mar 2011 18:00:15 +0000

Grey, Do you have a projection for Capuano this year? I see you bought him for $4 in the LABR draft. I know you have said in the past that you are not a fan of his.

By: Jonathan O

Jonathan O — Fri, 25 Feb 2011 00:36:34 +0000

In a 10 team(6×6 Roto) keeper league, what do you think about taking Kershaw as one of my keepers, costing me my 4th round pick?

I can keep up to 3, and the pickings are slim. Here are some other options:

Nelson Cruz @ 10th round
Pablo (12th)
Aroldis Chapman (16th)
CJ Wilson (16th)

see, I told you it was slim.

Any help would be appreciated.

By: High Upside

High Upside — Tue, 22 Feb 2011 10:40:51 +0000

Why do you consider 180 or so innings pitched by Latos far to many? He fatigued down the stretch, yes, but last year was his first full season! The kid is young (23) and strikes out over a batter an inning in Petco Park…

If they had him out there for 220 innings I would agree with you, but 180 doesnt seem out-rageous.

By: Lackawanna Larry

Lackawanna Larry — Fri, 28 Jan 2011 04:50:54 +0000

Some of you guys who learned “regression to the mean” should also learn that it usually applies to veterans reaching the end of their prime. When you start seeing “regression” in Mat Latos, who is 23 years old, you need to find another buzzword. Also, the Verducci Effect is a contention, not a fact. Just google “verducci effect debunked” for details.

By: cubfever7

cubfever7 — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 22:15:26 +0000

@simplyred–pretty darn nice squad..may hurt a little for BA? But maybe not–that’s a nit

By: cubfever7

cubfever7 — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 22:12:38 +0000

@Remdog–lots of upside hope at 2B and 3B but it almost seems like you need one more bat and one less arm? Don’t know your format.
If you’re going to spell his name with a “d” you should try Bumguarder then he can star in some prison flicks. ;c-)

By: cubfever7

cubfever7 — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 22:08:32 +0000

@Grey–i don’t think anyone else asked this–you seem way more concerned about Latos’s IP than Kershaw’s. In ’09 when you combine all minor and MLB IP for Latos you get about 122 IP and then about 184 in ’10. The progression seems to almost mirror Kershaw who had about 107 IP in ’08–171 in ’09 and then 204 in ’10.

I admit–Latos was dead arm dick (no relation to Gosh Johnson) last September–and Kershaw is bulkier–but why the differences in rating them?

By: papasmurf

papasmurf — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 18:34:29 +0000

I am surprised you have Oswalt so high up.

Last year, I liked him and drafted him when he fell in the draft, but after his good year last year, I think he might be overvalued.

His K rate last year was the best in his career I think… excluding his debut season. Hit rate was also abnormally good for him.

By: Steve

Steve — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 06:03:11 +0000

@Howie: Point Shares are brilliant. Great for snake drafts and as good, if not better, for auctions IMHO.

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 05:53:41 +0000

@Howie: Gallardo... Auction values come with Point Shares in the next few weeks.

By: Howie

Howie — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 05:38:37 +0000

4×4 Roto keeper question…Gallardo ($3) or Chapman ($2)?…can keep a second year for double those prices if desired prior to next season. Given Gallardo’s ranking in your Top 20 seems to be a no-brainer, but what is Chapman’s comparative upside this year and next?

Speaking of Roto leagues…actually speaking of auctions…any chance of getting your baseline player auction value (4×4) for all your rankings?

Thanks,

Howie

By: VinWins

VinWins — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 05:36:10 +0000

Here is tonight’s mock by position:

http://writer.zoho.com/public/vinreich/mock8

And the ADP page has been updated:

http://writer.zoho.com/public/vinreich/adp

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 04:39:51 +0000

@Steve: Ah... @simply fred: No problem. @Steve: Okay for an endgame flyer.

By: Steve

Steve — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 04:14:48 +0000

@Grey: Mustache twitching at all for Derek Holland?

By: simply fred

simply fred — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 04:03:29 +0000

@Grey: Thank you. Will sleep well tonight.

By: Steve

Steve — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 03:46:15 +0000

@Grey: Your endorsement of Gallardo. Only a hehe at best.

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 03:43:41 +0000

@Steve: Not sure I follow... @simply fred: Looks real solid, considering you doubled up on SPs. You might've went a little upside crazy with the backside of your staff, but after taking two top ones I can understand it. Hitting looks real solid.

By: simply fred

simply fred — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 03:19:56 +0000

@Grey: From tonight’s mock:

C Posada 15.2
1B A. Gonzalez 1.12
2B Hill 7.2
3B Arod 2.1
SS Asdrubal 18.1
MI Kendrick 14.1
CI Reynolds 9.12
OF McCutchen 3.12
OF Heyward 4.1
OF Victorino 8.1
OF T. Snider 13.12
OF Morrison 17.12
UT B. Allen 20.1
SP C. Lee 5.12 (sniped, panic picked two #1s)
SP Ubaldo 6.1 (should have taken Liriano)
SP Morrow 10.1
SP I. Kennedy 19.12
SP Norris 21.12
SP C. Richard 22.1
RP Feliz 11.12
RP Bailiey 12.1
RP Franklin 16.1
BN Hanrahan 23.12
BN Uehara 24.1
BN Garrett Jones (insurance if B. Allen doesn’t start)

(one of mdc’s raters placed it 4th)

By: Steve

Steve — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 03:16:26 +0000

@Mike from Jersey: @Grey: That's the equivalent of Ted Kennedy endorsing the Democratic candidate. Or smoke coming from the Vatican. Or...

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 03:14:02 +0000

@Mike from Jersey: Had noticed that about his last start and knew the rest. I think this is the breakout season coming. Worst case scenario, we get a junky WHIP with a solid ERA and great Ks.

By: VinWins

VinWins — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:57:34 +0000

@VinWins: http://www.mockdraftcentral.com/draft_grid.jsp?id=156062&color=0

By: VinWins

VinWins — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:57:15 +0000

@GopherDay: Here is a link to the draft so you can see if your team turned out better than usual. I might have been better off auto selecting.

By: VinWins

VinWins — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 02:50:03 +0000

@GopherDay: It was a glitchy draft too with several freezes

By: GopherDay

GopherDay — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 01:57:55 +0000

My apologies to everyone at the mock draft…My computers wouldn’t let me join the draft at all. MDC has been really glitchy for me, so I don’t know if it’s on my end or theirs. Hope y’all had a nice mock.

By: Mike from Jersey

Mike from Jersey — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 01:52:34 +0000

I own Gallardo and has seen all the numbers you have seen, and a break thru season looms large. 2 intersting things to note: he got lit up his last start of the season, and without that his era was 3.57
Also, his era over the past 3 years (alltho in 2008 he was injured) his first half era is 2.81, second half is 5.10. Fwiw minus that season ending start, his September era last year was 2.02. I’ve heard that around 500 innings a pitcher really has his stamina and is ready for his big breakout. Yovani is at 505 innings, and will be in his third full year as a starter. Is he becoming Dan Haren (one half pitcher) with a worse whip, or do you believe his break out is this season, and he puts together a full year? Obviously ranking him 10th you believe in the break out, but I’m wondering what you think now that i’ve put out all these facts for you (that you probably already knew lol)

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 01:11:56 +0000

@LMack: Ha! @bob: What Gopher said. @Cole: Thanks for the heads up!

By: Eddy

Eddy — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 01:08:03 +0000

@Cole: Nice find, I had no clue.

By: GopherDay

GopherDay — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 01:01:58 +0000

@bob: From that group I'd keep Andrus, Stanton, and Hamels. No sense in having more than 1 SS unless there is a MI position, but even then Jeter and Rollins are on the downturn of their careers.